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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:286.0
Current RPI:286
Expected SOS:246
Current Record:9-19
Expected Record:9-19
Current Conf Record:5-11
Expected Conf Record:5-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-6
Current OOC Record:4-8
Expected OOC Record:4-8
Expected OOC RPI:213
Expected OOC SOS:184


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UMKC.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Minnesota (257.0)B10A76-58L0%0.0
11-17Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumA95-89L0%0.0
11-21Drake (325.0)MVCA73-79W100%0.0
11-28South Dakota St. (29.0)SumH64-57W100%0.0
12-1Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCH74-70W100%0.0
12-5Iowa (28.0)B10A95-75L0%0.0
12-8South Dakota (197.0)SumA79-70L0%0.0
12-12Mississippi St. (154.0)SECH72-67W100%0.0
12-22Louisville (17.0)ACCA75-47L0%0.0
12-23UNC Wilmington (45.0)CAAN56-76L0%0.0
12-29Oklahoma St. (170.0)B12A61-43L0%0.0
1-2USC Upstate (324.0)ASunA70-68L0%0.0
1-7Seattle (287.0)WACH84-69W100%0.0
1-9Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACH72-83L0%0.0
1-14New Mexico St. (111.0)WACA65-64L0%0.0
1-16UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACA71-66L0%0.0
1-21Utah Valley (272.0)WACH79-90L0%0.0
1-23Grand Canyon (91.0)WACH78-85L0%0.0
1-30Chicago St. (348.0)WACH78-64W100%0.0
2-4Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACA77-66L0%0.0
2-6Seattle (287.0)WACA65-55L0%0.0
2-13UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACH75-58W100%0.0
2-18Grand Canyon (91.0)WACA78-66L0%0.0
2-20Utah Valley (272.0)WACA79-70L0%0.0
2-27New Mexico St. (111.0)WACH61-62L0%0.0
3-5Chicago St. (348.0)WACA53-82W100%0.0
3-10Utah Valley (272.0)WACN78-80W100%0.0
3-11New Mexico St. (111.0)WACN78-64L0%0.0