Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Seattle   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Seattle

Conference:ind
Expected RPI:191.8
Current RPI:192
Expected SOS:274
Current Record:17-14
Expected Record:17-14
Current Conf Record:1-0
Expected Conf Record:1-0
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-4
Current OOC Record:16-14
Expected OOC Record:16-14
Expected OOC RPI:190
Expected OOC SOS:266


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1454.84%191.8100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Seattle.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Oklahoma St. (31.2)B12A64-86L0%0.0
11-17Portland (79.9)WCCA81-98L0%0.0
11-19Fresno St. (190.4)WACH85-84W100%0.0
11-22Weber St. (84.7)BSkyH91-87W100%0.0
11-24Utah (156.1)MWCA77-74W100%0.0
11-27Presbyterian (329.4)BSthN67-63W100%0.0
11-28Wofford (68.8)SCN83-84L0%0.0
12-3Cal Poly (255.8)BWA74-85L0%0.0
12-5UC Davis (244.0)BWA88-78W100%0.0
12-12Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyA97-100L0%0.0
12-15UC Irvine (275.6)BWH82-81W100%0.0
12-17Oakland (51.7)SumH68-77L0%0.0
12-22Denver (164.4)SBA83-84L0%0.0
12-30Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCA89-104L0%0.0
1-2Harvard (98.9)IvyH71-92L0%0.0
1-6Oregon St. (184.8)P10A99-48W100%0.0
1-9Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyA67-80L0%0.0
1-11Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWA90-98L0%0.0
1-16Utah Valley (342.0)GWCH66-63W100%0.0
1-19Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWH74-64W100%0.0
1-26Washington (46.7)P10A76-123L0%0.0
1-30Idaho (173.2)WACH85-87L0%0.0
2-1Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyH68-62W100%0.0
2-7Portland St. (221.5)BSkyA80-77W100%0.0
2-13Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyH98-67W100%0.0
2-16UC Davis (244.0)BWH81-56W100%0.0
2-18Idaho (173.2)WACA72-82L0%0.0
2-22San Jose St. (177.2)WACA90-88W100%0.0
2-27Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indH76-72W100%0.0
3-2Portland St. (221.5)BSkyH93-80W100%0.0
3-6Utah Valley (342.0)GWCA74-64W100%0.0