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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:287.0
Current RPI:287
Expected SOS:307
Current Record:12-16
Expected Record:12-16
Current Conf Record:8-8
Expected Conf Record:8-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-6
Current OOC Record:4-8
Expected OOC Record:4-8
Expected OOC RPI:327
Expected OOC SOS:304


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Seattle.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Arkansas Pine Bluff (311.0)SWACH56-58L0%0.0
11-15Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyH65-77L0%0.0
11-18Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyA76-70L0%0.0
11-23Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyH58-52W100%0.0
12-1California (16.0)P12A66-52L0%0.0
12-4Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWH61-70L0%0.0
12-6Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACH84-72W100%0.0
12-13UAB (88.0)CUSAA79-73L0%0.0
12-20San Jose St. (301.0)MWCH67-64W100%0.0
12-22Washington (83.0)P12A79-68L0%0.0
12-28UC Davis (281.0)BWH80-75W100%0.0
12-30UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWH50-88L0%0.0
1-7UMKC (286.0)WACA84-69L0%0.0
1-9Chicago St. (348.0)WACA50-66W100%0.0
1-16Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACH52-79L0%0.0
1-21New Mexico St. (111.0)WACH60-68L0%0.0
1-23UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACH70-59W100%0.0
1-28Utah Valley (272.0)WACA62-73W100%0.0
1-30Grand Canyon (91.0)WACA57-59W100%0.0
2-4Chicago St. (348.0)WACH59-56W100%0.0
2-6UMKC (286.0)WACH65-55W100%0.0
2-12Grand Canyon (91.0)WACH60-71L0%0.0
2-18UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACA67-57L0%0.0
2-20New Mexico St. (111.0)WACA70-57L0%0.0
2-27Utah Valley (272.0)WACH72-69W100%0.0
3-5Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACA93-71L0%0.0
3-10UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACN75-52W100%0.0
3-11Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACN72-47L0%0.0