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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Seattle

Conference:ind
Expected RPI:291.5
Current RPI:290
Expected SOS:251
Current Record:4-14
Expected Record:8-16
Current Conf Record:0-0
Expected Conf Record:2-0
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-6
Current OOC Record:4-14
Expected OOC Record:6-16
Expected OOC RPI:296
Expected OOC SOS:237


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
10-1441.67%260.24.07%
9-1537.50%278.624.32%
8-1633.33%291.538.82%
7-1729.17%302.024.35%
6-1825.00%312.07.38%
5-1920.83%321.60.97%
4-2016.67%332.40.08%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Seattle.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Portland St. (206.9)BSkyA66-65L0%0.0
11-19San Francisco (154.1)WCCH63-69L0%0.0
11-22Montana St. (262.2)BSkyA73-85W100%0.0
12-1Stanford (85.8)P12H49-72L0%0.0
12-4Harvard (45.6)IvyA80-70L0%0.0
12-11Idaho (164.8)WACH62-73L0%0.0
12-14Arkansas St. (229.8)SBA87-74L0%0.0
12-17Utah St. (129.7)WACA78-53L0%0.0
12-21Virginia (40.7)ACCH77-83L0%0.0
12-30San Jose St. (278.3)WACH74-84L0%0.0
1-7Utah Valley (206.6)GWCA77-72L0%0.0
1-10Washington (71.3)P12A91-83L0%0.0
1-13Utah Valley (206.6)GWCH74-84L0%0.0
1-16Eastern Washington (207.3)BSkyH91-78W100%0.0
1-19Utah St. (129.7)WACH73-66W100%0.0
1-24UC Irvine (259.2)BWA78-67L0%0.0
2-4Arkansas St. (229.8)SBH75-69W100%0.0
2-7Idaho (164.8)WACA70-69L0%0.0
2-11Longwood (319.3)indA0-075%7.5
2-16Pepperdine (252.4)WCCH0-063%3.6
2-20UC Davis (342.3)BWH0-088%12.6
2-23Fresno St. (181.1)WACA0-021%-8.9
2-29Longwood (319.3)indH0-090%14.0
3-10Portland St. (206.9)BSkyH0-055%1.5