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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Hawaii

Conference:BW
Expected RPI:210.0
Current RPI:210
Expected SOS:234
Current Record:16-14
Expected Record:16-14
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-4
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:230
Expected OOC SOS:191


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1453.33%210.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Hawaii.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Maryland Eastern Shore (345.0)MEACH76-64W100%0.0
11-11Arkansas Pine Bluff (202.0)SWACH81-54W100%0.0
11-12Houston Baptist (310.0)GWCH73-60W100%0.0
11-16Illinois (40.0)B10H77-78L0%0.0
11-20North Dakota (226.0)BSkyH71-66W100%0.0
12-1Nevada Las Vegas (23.0)MWCA77-63L0%0.0
12-8Pepperdine (212.0)WCCH56-63L0%0.0
12-22Miami FL (4.0)ACCH58-73L0%0.0
12-23East Tennessee St. (275.0)ASunH84-61W100%0.0
12-25Mississippi (47.0)SECH66-81L0%0.0
12-29Cal St. Northridge (254.0)BWH74-71W100%0.0
1-3Cal St. Fullerton (270.0)BWH90-88W100%0.0
1-5UC Riverside (338.0)BWH76-61W100%0.0
1-9UC Irvine (125.0)BWA68-64L0%0.0
1-12Long Beach St. (115.0)BWA76-72L0%0.0
1-17Pacific (97.0)BWH60-52W100%0.0
1-19UC Davis (234.0)BWH82-93L0%0.0
1-24Cal Poly (164.0)BWA88-59L0%0.0
1-26UC Santa Barbara (244.0)BWA73-78W100%0.0
1-31UC Riverside (338.0)BWA68-72W100%0.0
2-2Cal St. Fullerton (270.0)BWA75-77W100%0.0
2-7Long Beach St. (115.0)BWH94-73W100%0.0
2-9UC Irvine (125.0)BWH78-72W100%0.0
2-14UC Davis (234.0)BWA89-65L0%0.0
2-16Pacific (97.0)BWA80-71L0%0.0
2-23Northern Arizona (255.0)BSkyH84-50W100%0.0
2-28UC Santa Barbara (244.0)BWH70-66W100%0.0
3-2Cal Poly (164.0)BWH61-64L0%0.0
3-7Cal St. Northridge (254.0)BWA88-75L0%0.0
3-14UC Irvine (125.0)BWN71-60L0%0.0