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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Hawaii

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:204.0
Current RPI:204
Expected SOS:170
Current Record:14-16
Expected Record:14-16
Current Conf Record:7-9
Expected Conf Record:7-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-3
Current OOC Record:7-7
Expected OOC Record:7-7
Expected OOC RPI:272
Expected OOC SOS:286


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1646.67%204.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Hawaii.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Cal St. Northridge (323.0)BWH86-67W100%0.0
11-19Gonzaga (25.0)WCCN73-54L0%0.0
11-22Eastern Washington (209.0)BSkyH72-89L0%0.0
11-25Pacific (288.0)BWH75-70W100%0.0
12-3Pepperdine (271.0)WCCA73-67L0%0.0
12-6Pacific (288.0)BWA64-54L0%0.0
12-11UC Davis (338.0)BWH74-61W100%0.0
12-18North Carolina A&T (289.0)MEACN65-57W100%0.0
12-22Auburn (145.0)SECH62-65L0%0.0
12-23Xavier (41.0)A10H84-82W100%0.0
12-25Clemson (151.0)ACCH75-68W100%0.0
12-29South Carolina St. (343.0)MEACH100-73W100%0.0
12-31Nevada Las Vegas (21.0)MWCH69-74L0%0.0
1-7San Jose St. (279.0)WACH82-69W100%0.0
1-12Fresno St. (229.0)WACA68-74W100%0.0
1-14Nevada (65.0)WACA77-74L0%0.0
1-19Louisiana Tech (160.0)WACH70-74L0%0.0
1-21New Mexico St. (59.0)WACH91-87W100%0.0
1-26Utah St. (143.0)WACA77-72L0%0.0
1-28Idaho (146.0)WACA70-76W100%0.0
2-4San Jose St. (279.0)WACA81-83W100%0.0
2-9Nevada (65.0)WACH79-88L0%0.0
2-11Fresno St. (229.0)WACH62-58W100%0.0
2-18Montana (74.0)BSkyA94-79L0%0.0
2-23New Mexico St. (59.0)WACA115-73L0%0.0
2-25Louisiana Tech (160.0)WACA84-67L0%0.0
3-1Idaho (146.0)WACH63-82L0%0.0
3-3Utah St. (143.0)WACH60-61L0%0.0
3-8Idaho (146.0)WACN70-72W100%0.0
3-9New Mexico St. (59.0)WACN92-81L0%0.0