Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Hawaii   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Hawaii

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:253.2
Current RPI:253
Expected SOS:114
Current Record:9-20
Expected Record:9-20
Current Conf Record:3-13
Expected Conf Record:3-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-3
Current OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC RPI:230
Expected OOC SOS:122


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
9-2031.03%253.2100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Hawaii.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Southern Utah (325.5)SumH65-48W100%0.0
11-15McNeese St. (314.8)SlndH73-65W100%0.0
11-16Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyH75-81L0%0.0
11-20Brigham Young (21.9)MWCH65-83L0%0.0
11-27New Mexico (10.5)MWCH71-83L0%0.0
12-2UC Irvine (275.6)BWA70-80L0%0.0
12-6Lamar (292.7)SlndH96-78W100%0.0
12-12Chicago St. (344.3)GWCH83-58W100%0.0
12-22College of Charleston (91.1)SCH84-71W100%0.0
12-23Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCH53-77L0%0.0
12-25St. Mary's (35.6)WCCH75-84L0%0.0
12-28Northwestern St. (312.3)SlndH81-62W100%0.0
1-2Idaho (173.2)WACH52-59L0%0.0
1-4Boise St. (202.8)WACH76-68W100%0.0
1-9Fresno St. (190.4)WACA64-78L0%0.0
1-11Utah St. (24.4)WACA54-98L0%0.0
1-17San Jose St. (177.2)WACH68-67W100%0.0
1-21New Mexico St. (58.1)WACH69-71L0%0.0
1-23Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACH60-65L0%0.0
1-28San Jose St. (177.2)WACA60-83L0%0.0
1-30Nevada (72.9)WACA60-66L0%0.0
2-6Fresno St. (190.4)WACH51-61L0%0.0
2-13Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACA60-66L0%0.0
2-15New Mexico St. (58.1)WACA64-88L0%0.0
2-20Cal Poly (255.8)BWH89-102L0%0.0
2-25Utah St. (24.4)WACH50-61L0%0.0
2-27Nevada (72.9)WACH74-63W100%0.0
3-4Boise St. (202.8)WACA63-82L0%0.0
3-6Idaho (173.2)WACA69-78L0%0.0