live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Feb 4, 2012.

Baylor

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:10.1
Current RPI:3
Expected SOS:14
Current Record:20-2
Expected Record:26-6
Current Conf Record:8-2
Expected Conf Record:14-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:15.73%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:12-0
Expected OOC Record:12-0
Expected OOC RPI:2
Expected OOC SOS:36


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
31-293.94%1.30.39%
30-390.91%2.43.05%
29-390.62%4.60.46%
28-390.32%6.70.40%
29-487.88%3.37.38%
28-487.50%6.03.74%
27-487.10%8.72.17%
28-584.85%4.69.69%
27-584.38%7.910.03%
26-583.87%11.26.20%
27-681.82%5.98.24%
26-681.25%10.211.20%
25-680.65%14.310.15%
26-778.79%8.14.29%
25-778.12%13.07.21%
24-777.42%18.37.79%
25-875.76%11.41.07%
24-875.00%16.92.55%
23-874.19%24.32.95%
24-972.73%15.70.10%
23-971.88%22.20.39%
22-970.97%32.60.47%
23-1069.70%21.50.02%
22-1068.75%29.00.02%
21-1067.74%40.00.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Baylor.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Texas Southern (229.7)SWACH77-57W100%0.0
11-13Jackson St. (306.8)SWACH92-59W100%0.0
11-15San Diego St. (30.7)MWCH77-67W100%0.0
11-22South Carolina St. (337.2)MEACH70-50W100%0.0
11-23Texas Arlington (84.9)SlndH75-65W100%0.0
11-29Prairie View A&M (277.9)SWACH90-54W100%0.0
12-4Northwestern (75.3)B10A41-69W100%0.0
12-14Bethune Cookman (253.6)MEACH69-42W100%0.0
12-17Brigham Young (41.2)WCCA83-86W100%0.0
12-22St. Mary's (16.3)WCCN72-59W100%0.0
12-23West Virginia (35.9)BEN81-83W100%0.0
12-28Mississippi St. (48.3)SECN54-52W100%0.0
1-2Texas A&M (162.5)B12H61-52W100%0.0
1-7Texas Tech (243.2)B12A60-73W100%0.0
1-10Kansas St. (50.3)B12A73-75W100%0.0
1-14Oklahoma St. (127.8)B12H106-65W100%0.0
1-16Kansas (9.4)B12A92-74L0%0.0
1-21Missouri (13.3)B12H88-89L0%0.0
1-24Oklahoma (96.2)B12A65-77W100%0.0
1-28Texas (61.2)B12H76-71W100%0.0
2-1Texas A&M (162.5)B12A60-63W100%0.0
2-4Oklahoma St. (127.8)B12A60-64W100%0.0
2-8Kansas (9.4)B12H0-048%-0.6
2-11Missouri (13.3)B12A0-032%-5.2
2-13Iowa St. (47.8)B12H0-078%8.4
2-18Kansas St. (50.3)B12H0-071%6.0
2-20Texas (61.2)B12A0-047%-0.9
2-25Oklahoma (96.2)B12H0-086%12.0
2-27Texas Tech (243.2)B12H0-098%23.4
3-3Iowa St. (47.8)B12A0-056%1.6