Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Oregon   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Oregon

Conference:P10
Expected RPI:138.5
Current RPI:138
Expected SOS:77
Current Record:16-16
Expected Record:16-16
Current Conf Record:8-12
Expected Conf Record:8-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-0
Current OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC RPI:118
Expected OOC SOS:84


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1650.00%138.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oregon.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Winston Salem St. (292.3)indH94-43W100%0.0
11-14UC Davis (244.0)BWH95-64W100%0.0
11-15Colorado St. (119.8)MWCH68-55W100%0.0
11-21Portland (79.9)WCCA81-88L0%0.0
11-23Montana (97.3)BSkyH55-68L0%0.0
11-28Montana St. (200.5)BSkyH89-66W100%0.0
12-5Missouri (44.4)B12A69-106L0%0.0
12-12St. Mary's (35.6)WCCH76-81L0%0.0
12-16Mississippi Valley St. (325.7)SWACH79-51W100%0.0
12-19Oakland (51.7)SumH72-60W100%0.0
12-22Idaho St. (303.8)BSkyH77-71W100%0.0
12-28Arkansas Pine Bluff (185.5)SWACH73-53W100%0.0
12-31Washington St. (162.6)P10A91-89W100%0.0
1-2Washington (46.7)P10A90-79W100%0.0
1-10Oregon St. (184.8)P10H57-64L0%0.0
1-14Arizona St. (63.4)P10H57-76L0%0.0
1-16Arizona (95.4)P10H60-74L0%0.0
1-21California (18.5)P10A57-89L0%0.0
1-23Stanford (165.1)P10A69-84L0%0.0
1-28UCLA (137.1)P10H71-66W100%0.0
1-30Southern California (110.9)P10H67-57W100%0.0
2-6Oregon St. (184.8)P10A42-62L0%0.0
2-11Arizona (95.4)P10A57-70L0%0.0
2-13Arizona St. (63.4)P10A51-61L0%0.0
2-18Stanford (165.1)P10H65-72L0%0.0
2-20California (18.5)P10H49-64L0%0.0
2-25Southern California (110.9)P10A54-44W100%0.0
2-27UCLA (137.1)P10A70-68W100%0.0
3-4Washington (46.7)P10H72-86L0%0.0
3-6Washington St. (162.6)P10H74-66W100%0.0
3-10Washington St. (162.6)P10N82-80W100%0.0
3-11California (18.5)P10N74-90L0%0.0