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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:147.0
Current RPI:147
Expected SOS:113
Current Record:16-15
Expected Record:16-15
Current Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-1
Current OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC RPI:105
Expected OOC SOS:143


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UNLV.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Cal Poly (236.0)BWH74-72W100%0.0
11-18Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyH84-64W100%0.0
11-23UCLA (102.0)P12N77-75L0%0.0
11-25Indiana (24.0)B10N72-69W100%0.0
11-28Prairie View A&M (334.0)SWACH80-62W100%0.0
12-4Oregon (2.0)P12N80-69W100%0.0
12-9Wichita St. (47.0)MVCA56-50L0%0.0
12-12UC Riverside (267.0)BWA62-73W100%0.0
12-16Arizona St. (99.0)P12H56-66L0%0.0
12-19Arizona (26.0)P12A82-70L0%0.0
12-22South Dakota (197.0)SumH103-68W100%0.0
12-30Fresno St. (66.0)MWCH66-69L0%0.0
1-6Colorado St. (181.0)MWCA66-65L0%0.0
1-9Wyoming (187.0)MWCA59-57L0%0.0
1-12New Mexico (141.0)MWCH86-74W100%0.0
1-16Air Force (226.0)MWCH100-64W100%0.0
1-19Utah St. (151.0)MWCA68-80W100%0.0
1-23Nevada (118.0)MWCA65-63L0%0.0
1-27Boise St. (101.0)MWCH87-77W100%0.0
1-30San Diego St. (41.0)MWCH52-67L0%0.0
2-2New Mexico (141.0)MWCA87-83L0%0.0
2-6Fresno St. (66.0)MWCA111-104L0%0.0
2-10San Jose St. (301.0)MWCH64-61W100%0.0
2-13Colorado St. (181.0)MWCH87-80W100%0.0
2-16Air Force (226.0)MWCA79-74L0%0.0
2-20Nevada (118.0)MWCH102-91W100%0.0
2-23Boise St. (101.0)MWCA81-69L0%0.0
2-27Wyoming (187.0)MWCH79-74W100%0.0
3-5San Diego St. (41.0)MWCA92-56L0%0.0
3-9Air Force (226.0)MWCH108-102W100%0.0
3-10Fresno St. (66.0)MWCH82-95L0%0.0