Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Tulsa   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

Tulsa

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:69.4
Current RPI:70
Expected SOS:99
Current Record:20-10
Expected Record:22-11
Current Conf Record:10-6
Expected Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:2-1
Probability of Auto Bid:7.17%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-0
Current OOC Record:10-4
Expected OOC Record:10-4
Expected OOC RPI:81
Expected OOC SOS:124


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
24-1070.59%52.07.17%
23-1167.65%60.39.45%
22-1166.67%65.427.24%
21-1165.62%74.048.96%
20-1164.52%82.57.17%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tulsa.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Florida International (296.2)SBH81-49W100%0.0
11-17Arkansas Little Rock (300.3)SBH59-45W100%0.0
11-21South Alabama (209.6)SBH84-62W100%0.0
11-24Loyola Marymount (175.3)WCCH79-65W100%0.0
11-28Missouri St. (91.2)MVCA75-83L0%0.0
12-2Oklahoma St. (32.1)B12H86-65W100%0.0
12-6Ohio (117.5)MACH81-80W100%0.0
12-17Jackson St. (192.0)SWACH92-39W100%0.0
12-19Chicago St. (343.8)GWCH86-49W100%0.0
12-22Nebraska (159.3)B12N70-74L0%0.0
12-23Nevada (64.0)WACN68-99L0%0.0
1-2Colorado (107.7)B12H84-59W100%0.0
1-6Tulane (278.6)CUSAH73-59W100%0.0
1-9Houston (158.6)CUSAA86-80W100%0.0
1-13Southern Methodist (198.9)CUSAA63-56W100%0.0
1-16Central Florida (197.8)CUSAH90-70W100%0.0
1-20Oral Roberts (123.9)SumA57-52W100%0.0
1-23Rice (309.7)CUSAH62-58W100%0.0
1-26UAB (40.8)CUSAA55-65L0%0.0
1-30Central Florida (197.8)CUSAA55-50W100%0.0
2-3Marshall (60.4)CUSAH73-69W100%0.0
2-6Texas El Paso (38.1)CUSAA59-73L0%0.0
2-10Southern Mississippi (123.6)CUSAH60-52W100%0.0
2-13Memphis (48.8)CUSAH86-93L0%0.0
2-17Marshall (60.4)CUSAA58-64L0%0.0
2-20Texas El Paso (38.1)CUSAH70-78L0%0.0
2-25Duke (2.8)ACCA52-70L0%0.0
2-27East Carolina (229.5)CUSAA85-73W100%0.0
3-3Southern Methodist (198.9)CUSAH58-55W100%0.0
3-6Memphis (48.8)CUSAA53-75L0%0.0