- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:81.0
Current RPI:81
Expected SOS:102
Current Record:20-11
Expected Record:20-11
Current Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:11-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:8-3
Expected OOC Record:8-3
Expected OOC RPI:84
Expected OOC SOS:165


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Ohio.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunH85-75W100%0.0
11-16Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCH75-67W100%0.0
11-20Tulsa (58.0)AmerN90-88L0%0.0
11-21Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACN71-93W100%0.0
11-23Florida St. (82.0)ACCN90-81L0%0.0
12-1Marshall (128.0)CUSAH85-70W100%0.0
12-5St. Bonaventure (30.0)A10A81-68L0%0.0
12-12Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzA67-76W100%0.0
12-17Jackson St. (221.0)SWACH72-67W100%0.0
12-21Arkansas Pine Bluff (311.0)SWACH65-58W100%0.0
12-30UC Riverside (267.0)BWH81-59W100%0.0
1-6Northern Illinois (136.0)MACA80-69L0%0.0
1-9Ball St. (179.0)MACH79-73W100%0.0
1-12Bowling Green (200.0)MACH75-91L0%0.0
1-16Kent St. (124.0)MACA89-82L0%0.0
1-19Western Michigan (202.0)MACH82-64W100%0.0
1-23Central Michigan (156.0)MACA72-49L0%0.0
1-26Toledo (182.0)MACA79-81W100%0.0
1-29Kent St. (124.0)MACH72-61W100%0.0
2-2Akron (34.0)MACH68-80L0%0.0
2-6Northern Illinois (136.0)MACH80-69W100%0.0
2-9Ball St. (179.0)MACA69-72W100%0.0
2-12Buffalo (90.0)MACA75-94W100%0.0
2-16Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACH86-64W100%0.0
2-20Miami OH (195.0)MACH76-64W100%0.0
2-23Bowling Green (200.0)MACA87-82L0%0.0
2-27Buffalo (90.0)MACH103-96W100%0.0
3-1Akron (34.0)MACA91-76L0%0.0
3-4Miami OH (195.0)MACA65-67W100%0.0
3-10Northern Illinois (136.0)MACN79-62W100%0.0
3-11Buffalo (90.0)MACN74-88L0%0.0