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Through games of Feb 4, 2012.

Ohio

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:60.3
Current RPI:80
Expected SOS:163
Current Record:18-4
Expected Record:25-8
Current Conf Record:7-2
Expected Conf Record:13-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:21.27%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-1
Current OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC Record:12-2
Expected OOC RPI:62
Expected OOC SOS:222


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
29-487.88%18.80.47%
28-584.85%25.03.19%
27-584.38%41.10.74%
26-583.87%52.50.44%
27-681.82%31.58.15%
26-681.25%48.74.27%
25-680.65%60.63.03%
26-778.79%40.312.00%
25-778.12%56.78.78%
24-777.42%69.36.06%
26-876.47%47.00.35%
25-875.76%49.59.73%
24-875.00%66.29.78%
23-874.19%80.07.32%
25-973.53%59.20.98%
24-972.73%61.94.58%
23-971.88%77.97.11%
22-970.97%90.94.68%
24-1070.59%72.50.64%
23-1069.70%81.41.85%
22-1068.75%95.12.69%
21-1067.74%104.61.36%
23-1167.65%82.20.20%
22-1166.67%99.70.41%
21-1165.62%110.90.80%
22-1264.71%91.50.02%
20-1164.52%116.40.15%
21-1263.64%108.20.05%
20-1262.50%126.80.13%
19-1261.29%136.30.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Ohio.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Tennessee Martin (322.6)OVCH74-65W100%0.0
11-15Lamar (92.5)SlndH85-78W100%0.0
11-20Arkansas St. (230.2)SBH69-54W100%0.0
11-25Louisville (28.9)BEA59-54L0%0.0
11-30Marshall (62.5)CUSAA68-70W100%0.0
12-3Morgan St. (252.1)MEACH61-53W100%0.0
12-7Oakland (137.7)SumA82-84W100%0.0
12-10Portland (223.7)WCCA54-72W100%0.0
12-17Wright St. (219.7)HorzA54-82W100%0.0
12-20Northern Iowa (65.5)MVCA59-76W100%0.0
12-23North Carolina A&T (262.0)MEACH82-66W100%0.0
12-30Kennesaw St. (319.0)ASunH71-63W100%0.0
1-2Robert Morris (106.7)NECH67-70L0%0.0
1-7Bowling Green (156.2)MACA67-57L0%0.0
1-11Buffalo (65.4)MACH60-52W100%0.0
1-14Akron (45.6)MACA68-63L0%0.0
1-18Kent St. (82.5)MACH87-65W100%0.0
1-21Miami OH (209.7)MACH69-65W100%0.0
1-25Western Michigan (181.2)MACH56-51W100%0.0
1-28Ball St. (221.1)MACH59-55W100%0.0
2-1Northern Illinois (337.4)MACA58-67W100%0.0
2-4Central Michigan (271.3)MACH68-42W100%0.0
2-8Toledo (275.2)MACA0-076%7.8
2-11Eastern Michigan (254.0)MACA0-084%11.0
2-15Bowling Green (156.2)MACH0-075%7.2
2-18NC Asheville (119.6)BSthH0-077%8.0
2-22Buffalo (65.4)MACA0-038%-3.3
2-25Akron (45.6)MACH0-057%1.8
2-29Kent St. (82.5)MACA0-044%-1.8
3-3Miami OH (209.7)MACA0-066%4.5