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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Ohio

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:67.0
Current RPI:67
Expected SOS:146
Current Record:24-9
Expected Record:24-9
Current Conf Record:15-3
Expected Conf Record:15-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:16-1
Current OOC Record:9-6
Expected OOC Record:9-6
Expected OOC RPI:141
Expected OOC SOS:165


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
24-972.73%67.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Ohio.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-10Portland (231.0)WCCH81-52W100%0.0
11-16NC Wilmington (301.0)CAAH85-47W100%0.0
11-18Wofford (250.0)SCH73-50W100%0.0
11-20Hampton (287.0)MEACH75-67W100%0.0
11-24Richmond (92.0)A10H73-48W100%0.0
11-28St. Bonaventure (139.0)A10H69-64W100%0.0
12-1Robert Morris (132.0)NECA84-76L0%0.0
12-5Memphis (12.0)CUSAA84-58L0%0.0
12-8Oakland (152.0)SumH78-61W100%0.0
12-15Winthrop (269.0)BSthH49-50L0%0.0
12-19Massachusetts (57.0)A10A85-76L0%0.0
12-22Maryland Eastern Shore (345.0)MEACH93-57W100%0.0
12-29Oklahoma (39.0)B12A74-63L0%0.0
1-5Marshall (208.0)CUSAH94-57W100%0.0
1-9Buffalo (215.0)MACH86-68W100%0.0
1-12Western Michigan (128.0)MACA59-61W100%0.0
1-16Northern Illinois (333.0)MACH81-63W100%0.0
1-19Toledo (193.0)MACH76-67W100%0.0
1-23Miami OH (258.0)MACA62-74W100%0.0
1-26Kent St. (131.0)MACA68-69W100%0.0
2-2Akron (43.0)MACA86-72L0%0.0
2-6Ball St. (233.0)MACA42-69W100%0.0
2-9Bowling Green (274.0)MACH72-63W100%0.0
2-13Central Michigan (268.0)MACA63-82W100%0.0
2-16Kent St. (131.0)MACH78-75W100%0.0
2-20Eastern Michigan (239.0)MACH73-50W100%0.0
2-23Belmont (21.0)OVCA81-62L0%0.0
2-27Akron (43.0)MACH81-88L0%0.0
3-2Bowling Green (274.0)MACA65-78W100%0.0
3-5Buffalo (215.0)MACA69-72W100%0.0
3-9Miami OH (258.0)MACH58-54W100%0.0
3-15Western Michigan (128.0)MACN74-63W100%0.0
3-16Akron (43.0)MACN65-46L0%0.0