Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Temple   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 6, 2010.

Temple

Conference:A10
Expected RPI:26.0
Current RPI:23
Expected SOS:60
Current Record:19-5
Expected Record:25-8
Current Conf Record:7-2
Expected Conf Record:13-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:19.23%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:12-3
Expected OOC Record:12-3
Expected OOC RPI:28
Expected OOC SOS:38


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
29-585.29%10.02.19%
28-682.35%13.07.90%
27-681.82%16.13.09%
26-681.25%19.42.08%
28-780.00%17.30.18%
27-779.41%17.011.44%
26-778.79%21.39.03%
25-778.12%24.77.08%
27-877.14%21.71.80%
26-876.47%22.17.96%
25-875.76%26.79.43%
24-875.00%30.911.29%
26-974.29%28.12.33%
25-973.53%31.03.93%
24-972.73%36.06.99%
23-971.88%39.15.09%
25-1071.43%35.21.37%
24-1070.59%40.41.77%
23-1069.70%46.12.48%
22-1068.75%53.00.80%
24-1168.57%41.80.18%
23-1167.65%48.60.51%
22-1166.67%54.00.69%
23-1265.71%47.00.01%
21-1165.62%61.40.21%
22-1264.71%55.50.06%
21-1263.64%60.60.10%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Temple.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Delaware (227.8)CAAA76-56W100%0.0
11-17Georgetown (9.9)BEA45-46L0%0.0
11-21Siena (32.6)MAACH73-69W100%0.0
11-24Ball St. (211.8)MACH66-46W100%0.0
11-27Virginia Tech (64.9)ACCH61-50W100%0.0
11-28St. John's (105.0)BEH48-55L0%0.0
12-1Western Michigan (122.8)MACA76-70W100%0.0
12-5Penn St. (211.4)B10H45-42W100%0.0
12-8Miami OH (135.4)MACA64-42W100%0.0
12-13Villanova (6.9)BEH75-65W100%0.0
12-19Seton Hall (75.5)BEA71-65W100%0.0
12-28Bowling Green (198.0)MACH63-39W100%0.0
12-30Northern Illinois (252.3)MACA70-60W100%0.0
1-2Kansas (1.9)B12H52-84L0%0.0
1-6Saint Joseph's (183.7)A10H73-46W100%0.0
1-10Rhode Island (22.6)A10A68-64W100%0.0
1-13Pennsylvania (299.8)IvyA60-45W100%0.0
1-16Massachusetts (197.2)A10H76-64W100%0.0
1-20Xavier (25.4)A10H77-72W100%0.0
1-23Fordham (299.0)A10A62-45W100%0.0
1-27Charlotte (48.7)A10A64-74L0%0.0
1-30La Salle (140.3)A10H64-52W100%0.0
2-3Duquesne (127.1)A10H76-60W100%0.0
2-6Richmond (39.3)A10A54-71L0%0.0
2-13Rhode Island (22.6)A10H0-070%5.8
2-17St. Bonaventure (173.2)A10A0-068%5.0
2-20Saint Joseph's (183.7)A10A0-080%9.1
2-24Dayton (32.9)A10H0-065%4.3
2-28La Salle (140.3)A10A0-070%5.8
3-3St. Louis (128.1)A10A0-065%4.2
3-6George Washington (137.2)A10H0-086%12.0