Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Houston   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Houston

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:126.1
Current RPI:132
Expected SOS:119
Current Record:17-15
Expected Record:17-16
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:21.80%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-3
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:158
Expected OOC SOS:131


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1554.55%110.821.80%
17-1651.52%130.478.20%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Houston.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Nicholls St. (277.4)SlndH92-60W100%0.0
11-21Nevada (72.9)WACA99-112L0%0.0
11-26Oklahoma (117.9)B12N100-93W100%0.0
11-27San Diego (230.7)WCCN65-72L0%0.0
12-6Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndH83-76W100%0.0
12-14Troy (109.6)SBH93-85W100%0.0
12-19Mississippi St. (60.9)SECH64-70L0%0.0
12-21The Citadel (198.5)SCH81-58W100%0.0
12-23Texas Christian (188.1)MWCH105-81W100%0.0
12-29Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACH94-99L0%0.0
1-1Texas San Antonio (186.6)SlndA82-83L0%0.0
1-3Iowa St. (122.8)B12A75-82L0%0.0
1-6Rice (311.0)CUSAA83-66W100%0.0
1-9Tulsa (66.5)CUSAH80-86L0%0.0
1-13Texas El Paso (32.8)CUSAH75-65W100%0.0
1-16East Carolina (230.2)CUSAA74-55W100%0.0
1-20Central Florida (189.5)CUSAH71-78L0%0.0
1-23Memphis (56.3)CUSAA77-92L0%0.0
1-30Marshall (67.3)CUSAH81-66W100%0.0
2-3Texas El Paso (32.8)CUSAA58-65L0%0.0
2-6Southern Mississippi (112.8)CUSAH55-57L0%0.0
2-9Western Kentucky (133.5)SBA74-72W100%0.0
2-13Southern Methodist (208.1)CUSAH66-60W100%0.0
2-16Central Florida (189.5)CUSAA65-68L0%0.0
2-20UAB (45.3)CUSAA66-75L0%0.0
2-24Memphis (56.3)CUSAH92-75W100%0.0
2-27Southern Methodist (208.1)CUSAA83-94L0%0.0
3-3Rice (311.0)CUSAH78-70W100%0.0
3-6Tulane (281.1)CUSAA76-79L0%0.0
3-10East Carolina (230.2)CUSAN93-80W100%0.0
3-11Memphis (56.3)CUSAN66-65W100%0.0
3-12Southern Mississippi (112.8)CUSAN74-66W100%0.0