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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Delaware

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:178.3
Current RPI:173
Expected SOS:194
Current Record:11-12
Expected Record:16-15
Current Conf Record:7-6
Expected Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:1.80%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-4
Current OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC RPI:235
Expected OOC SOS:261


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-1263.64%82.80.04%
20-1360.61%95.70.50%
19-1359.38%123.60.41%
18-1358.06%143.11.42%
19-1457.58%111.41.53%
17-1356.67%156.30.46%
18-1456.25%135.13.27%
17-1454.84%158.410.54%
18-1554.55%127.52.29%
16-1453.33%179.63.76%
17-1553.12%150.65.20%
16-1551.61%173.920.52%
17-1651.52%140.31.49%
16-1650.00%165.33.43%
15-1550.00%196.38.98%
16-1748.48%160.20.40%
15-1648.39%189.314.44%
15-1746.88%181.31.13%
14-1646.67%211.89.68%
15-1845.45%178.90.07%
14-1745.16%204.55.09%
14-1843.75%198.60.15%
13-1743.33%227.13.81%
13-1841.94%219.00.82%
13-1940.62%207.00.01%
12-1840.00%241.40.47%
12-1938.71%236.50.02%
11-1936.67%255.30.06%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Delaware.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Radford (335.2)BSthA58-54L0%0.0
11-18Villanova (105.3)BEA79-69L0%0.0
11-22Cornell (182.4)IvyH72-64W100%0.0
11-26Lafayette (210.0)PatH81-78W100%0.0
11-30Boston University (159.1)AEA73-67L0%0.0
12-3Drexel (70.1)CAAH71-60W100%0.0
12-7Pennsylvania (121.8)IvyA69-60L0%0.0
12-10Delaware St. (264.8)MEACA42-58W100%0.0
12-19La Salle (69.7)A10H70-66W100%0.0
12-22Howard (300.1)MEACA88-83L0%0.0
12-30Temple (28.6)A10H63-66L0%0.0
1-2NC Wilmington (208.3)CAAA80-75L0%0.0
1-4Hofstra (234.9)CAAH67-66W100%0.0
1-7William & Mary (305.0)CAAA64-75W100%0.0
1-11Old Dominion (124.0)CAAH66-68L0%0.0
1-14Virginia Commonwealth (69.1)CAAH55-68L0%0.0
1-18George Mason (90.6)CAAA89-63L0%0.0
1-21Georgia St. (110.1)CAAH77-74W100%0.0
1-23Towson (305.6)CAAH62-43W100%0.0
1-25Northeastern (165.1)CAAA62-61L0%0.0
1-28Drexel (70.1)CAAA71-55L0%0.0
2-1George Mason (90.6)CAAH65-60W100%0.0
2-4James Madison (249.9)CAAA80-85W100%0.0
2-8NC Wilmington (208.3)CAAH0-072%6.4
2-11Georgia St. (110.1)CAAA0-016%-10.9
2-14Hofstra (234.9)CAAA0-043%-1.8
2-18Hampton (305.5)MEACH0-086%11.6
2-22Towson (305.6)CAAA0-088%12.6
2-25Northeastern (165.1)CAAH0-065%4.1