live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog



Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Denver

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:188.0
Current RPI:188
Expected SOS:193
Current Record:16-15
Expected Record:16-15
Current Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-4
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:218
Expected OOC SOS:320


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1551.61%188.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Denver.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Milwaukee (173.0)HorzN71-58L0%0.0
11-14Santa Clara (251.0)WCCA33-55W100%0.0
11-15Lipscomb (269.0)ASunN82-69W100%0.0
11-18Utah Valley (272.0)WACH75-62W100%0.0
11-25Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyH79-69W100%0.0
11-28South Alabama (240.0)SBH69-56W100%0.0
12-2Wyoming (187.0)MWCH52-68L0%0.0
12-5Air Force (226.0)MWCH59-61L0%0.0
12-9San Diego (302.0)WCCA47-59W100%0.0
12-13Weber St. (108.0)BSkyH69-68W100%0.0
12-16Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyA77-81W100%0.0
12-20Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyH58-74L0%0.0
12-22UC Riverside (267.0)BWA63-54L0%0.0
1-1South Dakota St. (29.0)SumA68-59L0%0.0
1-3North Dakota St. (120.0)SumA75-49L0%0.0
1-6Oral Roberts (148.0)SumH78-75W100%0.0
1-9IPFW (71.0)SumH64-65L0%0.0
1-14Western Illinois (262.0)SumA69-76W100%0.0
1-16IUPUI (189.0)SumA76-61L0%0.0
1-21Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumH55-69L0%0.0
1-28South Dakota (197.0)SumH66-52W100%0.0
1-30South Dakota St. (29.0)SumH56-67L0%0.0
2-4IUPUI (189.0)SumH53-51W100%0.0
2-6Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumA72-75W100%0.0
2-11Western Illinois (262.0)SumH60-63L0%0.0
2-13IPFW (71.0)SumA88-84L0%0.0
2-19Oral Roberts (148.0)SumA62-58L0%0.0
2-21South Dakota (197.0)SumA71-76W100%0.0
2-27North Dakota St. (120.0)SumH70-59W100%0.0
3-6Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumN70-78W100%0.0
3-7South Dakota St. (29.0)SumA54-53L0%0.0