Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Denver   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Denver

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:164.4
Current RPI:165
Expected SOS:232
Current Record:19-13
Expected Record:19-13
Current Conf Record:12-9
Expected Conf Record:12-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:14-5
Current OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC RPI:97
Expected OOC SOS:105


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1359.38%164.4100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Denver.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCH65-71L0%0.0
11-15Arkansas Pine Bluff (185.5)SWACH75-56W100%0.0
11-19Montana (97.3)BSkyH56-49W100%0.0
11-25Wyoming (227.6)MWCH80-77W100%0.0
11-28South Dakota St. (233.5)SumA83-80W100%0.0
12-2Lamar (292.7)SlndH62-55W100%0.0
12-5Colorado St. (119.8)MWCA59-64L0%0.0
12-8Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWH89-82W100%0.0
12-12Portland (79.9)WCCA62-72L0%0.0
12-17Florida International (296.0)SBH59-53W100%0.0
12-19Louisiana Monroe (273.3)SBH87-65W100%0.0
12-22Seattle (191.8)indH84-83W100%0.0
12-28Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyA57-72L0%0.0
12-31Arkansas St. (200.9)SBH64-55W100%0.0
1-2Troy (109.6)SBA46-64L0%0.0
1-7New Orleans (323.2)SBH75-66W100%0.0
1-10Western Kentucky (133.5)SBH72-67W100%0.0
1-14Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBA49-55L0%0.0
1-16Louisiana Monroe (273.3)SBA53-64L0%0.0
1-23South Alabama (209.4)SBH71-48W100%0.0
1-28Arkansas Little Rock (300.2)SBA57-69L0%0.0
1-30Arkansas St. (200.9)SBA62-73L0%0.0
2-6Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBH73-63W100%0.0
2-11Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBA50-57L0%0.0
2-13North Texas (103.0)SBA59-64L0%0.0
2-18Arkansas Little Rock (300.2)SBH62-57W100%0.0
2-20New Orleans (323.2)SBA53-45W100%0.0
2-25South Alabama (209.4)SBA52-54L0%0.0
2-27Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBH63-47W100%0.0
3-6Florida International (296.0)SBN71-64W100%0.0
3-7Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBN73-58W100%0.0
3-8North Texas (103.0)SBN56-63L0%0.0