Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  IUPUI   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

IUPUI

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:86.1
Current RPI:87
Expected SOS:179
Current Record:22-10
Expected Record:22-10
Current Conf Record:17-4
Expected Conf Record:17-4
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-1
Current OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC RPI:122
Expected OOC SOS:66


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
22-1068.75%86.1100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for IUPUI.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Drake (180.1)MVCA88-82W100%0.0
11-18Eastern Illinois (170.5)OVCA69-66W100%0.0
11-20Austin Peay (162.2)OVCN77-63W100%0.0
11-21Auburn (156.5)SECN65-80L0%0.0
11-22Georgia St. (248.0)CAAN67-56W100%0.0
11-28Kansas St. (5.5)B12N57-70L0%0.0
12-3South Dakota St. (233.5)SumH79-57W100%0.0
12-5North Dakota St. (268.0)SumH86-74W100%0.0
12-9Notre Dame (48.1)BEA70-93L0%0.0
12-19Duquesne (112.6)A10H73-64W100%0.0
12-23Indiana St. (87.5)MVCA59-72L0%0.0
12-28Memphis (56.3)CUSAA67-87L0%0.0
12-31IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumA79-69W100%0.0
1-2Oakland (51.7)SumA82-85L0%0.0
1-6Ohio (99.9)MACH62-63L0%0.0
1-9Western Illinois (280.0)SumH67-54W100%0.0
1-14Oral Roberts (124.3)SumH90-87W100%0.0
1-16Centenary (314.0)SumH74-58W100%0.0
1-21Southern Utah (325.5)SumA75-60W100%0.0
1-23Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumA65-64W100%0.0
1-28Oakland (51.7)SumH78-54W100%0.0
1-31IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumH60-62L0%0.0
2-6Western Illinois (280.0)SumA70-42W100%0.0
2-11Centenary (314.0)SumA88-77W100%0.0
2-13Oral Roberts (124.3)SumA60-61L0%0.0
2-18Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumH103-65W100%0.0
2-20Southern Utah (325.5)SumH77-61W100%0.0
2-25North Dakota St. (268.0)SumA66-52W100%0.0
2-27South Dakota St. (233.5)SumA86-76W100%0.0
3-6Western Illinois (280.0)SumN77-68W100%0.0
3-8Oral Roberts (124.3)SumN69-65W100%0.0
3-9Oakland (51.7)SumN64-76L0%0.0