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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:189.0
Current RPI:189
Expected SOS:139
Current Record:12-19
Expected Record:12-19
Current Conf Record:9-8
Expected Conf Record:9-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-12
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-3
Current OOC Record:3-11
Expected OOC Record:3-11
Expected OOC RPI:278
Expected OOC SOS:218


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for IUPUI.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Indiana St. (172.0)MVCA70-72W100%0.0
11-16Marquette (110.0)BEA75-71L0%0.0
11-18North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCA79-56L0%0.0
11-23Kennesaw St. (263.0)ASunA71-63L0%0.0
11-24South Alabama (240.0)SBN68-78L0%0.0
11-27Georgia St. (180.0)SBA78-72L0%0.0
12-1Ball St. (179.0)MACA61-58L0%0.0
12-5Miami OH (195.0)MACH78-64W100%0.0
12-7Purdue (15.0)B10A80-53L0%0.0
12-10Missouri St. (235.0)MVCA88-74L0%0.0
12-12Creighton (100.0)BEA90-65L0%0.0
12-19Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyH82-68W100%0.0
12-22Memphis (139.0)AmerA84-48L0%0.0
12-28Butler (57.0)BEA92-54L0%0.0
1-1South Dakota (197.0)SumA66-77W100%0.0
1-3Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumA76-71L0%0.0
1-7South Dakota St. (29.0)SumH74-67W100%0.0
1-9Western Illinois (262.0)SumA60-67W100%0.0
1-14Oral Roberts (148.0)SumH71-80L0%0.0
1-16Denver (188.0)SumH76-61W100%0.0
1-23IPFW (71.0)SumA82-84W100%0.0
1-29Western Illinois (262.0)SumH69-67W100%0.0
1-31North Dakota St. (120.0)SumH73-72W100%0.0
2-4Denver (188.0)SumA53-51L0%0.0
2-6South Dakota St. (29.0)SumA80-58L0%0.0
2-11Oral Roberts (148.0)SumA77-56L0%0.0
2-17Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumH88-76W100%0.0
2-20North Dakota St. (120.0)SumA63-59L0%0.0
2-25South Dakota (197.0)SumH82-85L0%0.0
2-27IPFW (71.0)SumH80-77W100%0.0
3-6North Dakota St. (120.0)SumN45-60L0%0.0