Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Jacksonville   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Jacksonville

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:142.7
Current RPI:143
Expected SOS:250
Current Record:19-12
Expected Record:19-12
Current Conf Record:15-7
Expected Conf Record:15-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-4
Current OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC RPI:130
Expected OOC SOS:143


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1261.29%142.7100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Jacksonville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Florida St. (41.5)ACCA61-87L0%0.0
11-24California (18.5)P10A47-79L0%0.0
11-27South Carolina (93.2)SECA93-97L0%0.0
11-30Georgia St. (248.0)CAAA54-64L0%0.0
12-4Florida (54.2)SECH67-85L0%0.0
12-16Bethune Cookman (258.8)MEACA56-48W100%0.0
12-19Campbell (183.2)ASunA57-73L0%0.0
12-21East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunA70-93L0%0.0
12-29Buffalo (108.3)MACN83-73W100%0.0
12-30Central Florida (189.5)CUSAA61-51W100%0.0
1-2Mercer (220.1)ASunH74-75L0%0.0
1-4Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunH91-52W100%0.0
1-8Stetson (326.9)ASunA80-70W100%0.0
1-10Florida Gulf Coast (321.3)ASunA82-58W100%0.0
1-14Lipscomb (205.6)ASunH79-73W100%0.0
1-16Belmont (136.8)ASunH82-66W100%0.0
1-18North Florida (236.1)ASunH62-55W100%0.0
1-23South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunH65-52W100%0.0
1-25Savannah St. (316.0)indA72-68W100%0.0
1-29North Florida (236.1)ASunA73-61W100%0.0
1-31South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunA79-63W100%0.0
2-5Belmont (136.8)ASunA70-73L0%0.0
2-7Lipscomb (205.6)ASunA61-79L0%0.0
2-11Florida Gulf Coast (321.3)ASunH68-62W100%0.0
2-13Stetson (326.9)ASunH69-54W100%0.0
2-18Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunA75-67W100%0.0
2-20Mercer (220.1)ASunA76-64W100%0.0
2-25Campbell (183.2)ASunH65-52W100%0.0
2-27East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunH62-64L0%0.0
3-3North Florida (236.1)ASunN76-69W100%0.0
3-5Mercer (220.1)ASunA63-66L0%0.0