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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Jacksonville

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:281.0
Current RPI:281
Expected SOS:313
Current Record:12-18
Expected Record:12-18
Current Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-10
Current OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC RPI:284
Expected OOC SOS:283


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1840.00%281.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Jacksonville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Georgia (140.0)SECA68-62L0%0.0
11-16Miami FL (4.0)ACCA73-57L0%0.0
11-19Missouri St. (203.0)MVCA58-64W100%0.0
11-21Arkansas Little Rock (176.0)SBA78-56L0%0.0
11-23Rider (145.0)MAACN86-71L0%0.0
11-24Wisconsin Milwaukee (307.0)HorzN66-71W100%0.0
11-28South Carolina St. (342.0)MEACA74-72L0%0.0
12-7South Carolina (222.0)SECA91-74L0%0.0
12-18Wofford (250.0)SCH52-94L0%0.0
12-22Furman (343.0)SCH65-53W100%0.0
12-28Indiana (8.0)B10A93-59L0%0.0
12-31Northern Kentucky (264.0)ASunH53-51W100%0.0
1-2Lipscomb (237.0)ASunH85-71W100%0.0
1-5Florida Gulf Coast (94.0)ASunA78-55L0%0.0
1-7Stetson (220.0)ASunA81-72L0%0.0
1-10Kennesaw St. (341.0)ASunH99-92W100%0.0
1-12Mercer (137.0)ASunH49-47W100%0.0
1-18North Florida (230.0)ASunA68-77W100%0.0
1-24East Tennessee St. (275.0)ASunA80-83W100%0.0
1-26South Carolina Upstate (225.0)ASunA79-64L0%0.0
1-31Stetson (220.0)ASunH71-70W100%0.0
2-2Florida Gulf Coast (94.0)ASunH78-81L0%0.0
2-7Mercer (137.0)ASunA67-64L0%0.0
2-9Kennesaw St. (341.0)ASunA75-68L0%0.0
2-15North Florida (230.0)ASunH70-68W100%0.0
2-21South Carolina Upstate (225.0)ASunH68-64W100%0.0
2-23East Tennessee St. (275.0)ASunH58-61L0%0.0
2-28Lipscomb (237.0)ASunA77-73L0%0.0
3-2Northern Kentucky (264.0)ASunA66-62L0%0.0
3-7South Carolina Upstate (225.0)ASunN62-76L0%0.0