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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:289.0
Current RPI:289
Expected SOS:339
Current Record:12-16
Expected Record:12-16
Current Conf Record:8-7
Expected Conf Record:8-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-11
Current OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC RPI:317
Expected OOC SOS:329


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Jacksonville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Appalachian St. (259.0)SBA76-68L0%0.0
11-17Florida St. (82.0)ACCA98-79L0%0.0
11-27IPFW (71.0)SumN63-71L0%0.0
11-28Navy (216.0)PatN71-65L0%0.0
11-29UNC Greensboro (237.0)SCA71-69L0%0.0
12-5Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCA82-86W100%0.0
12-12South Carolina St. (203.0)MEACA81-74L0%0.0
12-16South Florida (230.0)AmerA88-75L0%0.0
12-21Florida A&M (349.0)MEACH68-66W100%0.0
12-22Florida (55.0)SECA89-65L0%0.0
12-29Marist (318.0)MAACH69-68W100%0.0
12-31Bethune Cookman (288.0)MEACH74-70W100%0.0
1-2Western Michigan (202.0)MACA76-72L0%0.0
1-9North Florida (161.0)ASunA83-68L0%0.0
1-14Kennesaw St. (263.0)ASunH83-70W100%0.0
1-16Lipscomb (269.0)ASunH76-73W100%0.0
1-21NJIT (207.0)ASunA83-63L0%0.0
1-23USC Upstate (324.0)ASunA68-77W100%0.0
1-27Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunA69-78W100%0.0
1-30Stetson (303.0)ASunH75-60W100%0.0
2-1Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunH83-80W100%0.0
2-6Stetson (303.0)ASunA88-96W100%0.0
2-11Lipscomb (269.0)ASunA93-92L0%0.0
2-13Kennesaw St. (263.0)ASunA90-69L0%0.0
2-18USC Upstate (324.0)ASunH81-76W100%0.0
2-20NJIT (207.0)ASunH58-73L0%0.0
2-25North Florida (161.0)ASunH80-81L0%0.0
3-1Lipscomb (269.0)ASunH89-92L0%0.0