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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Stetson

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:267.0
Current RPI:267
Expected SOS:181
Current Record:8-20
Expected Record:8-20
Current Conf Record:6-12
Expected Conf Record:6-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-5
Current OOC Record:2-8
Expected OOC Record:2-8
Expected OOC RPI:234
Expected OOC SOS:62


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2028.57%267.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Stetson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Bethune Cookman (239.0)MEACH65-60W100%0.0
11-14Florida A&M (316.0)MEACA60-78W100%0.0
11-16Florida St. (11.0)ACCA79-66L0%0.0
11-21Charleston Southern (162.0)BSthA73-64L0%0.0
11-28Florida (30.0)SECN96-70L0%0.0
12-1East Tennessee St. (179.0)ASunH73-65W100%0.0
12-4Indiana (17.0)B10A84-50L0%0.0
12-17South Carolina Upstate (140.0)ASunH63-79L0%0.0
12-21Charleston Southern (162.0)BSthH81-88L0%0.0
12-29Central Florida (54.0)CUSAA80-70L0%0.0
12-30James Madison (261.0)CAAN69-71L0%0.0
1-2Kennesaw St. (331.0)ASunA62-66W100%0.0
1-4Mercer (132.0)ASunA75-59L0%0.0
1-7Jacksonville (264.0)ASunH73-61W100%0.0
1-9North Florida (180.0)ASunH68-64W100%0.0
1-14Belmont (58.0)ASunA84-71L0%0.0
1-16Lipscomb (225.0)ASunA104-103L0%0.0
1-20Florida Gulf Coast (208.0)ASunH85-92L0%0.0
1-23Savannah St. (191.0)MEACA75-45L0%0.0
1-28Mercer (132.0)ASunH64-75L0%0.0
1-30Kennesaw St. (331.0)ASunH75-59W100%0.0
2-4North Florida (180.0)ASunA99-96L0%0.0
2-6Jacksonville (264.0)ASunA74-63L0%0.0
2-11Lipscomb (225.0)ASunH91-99L0%0.0
2-13Belmont (58.0)ASunH93-106L0%0.0
2-17Florida Gulf Coast (208.0)ASunA80-86W100%0.0
2-23East Tennessee St. (179.0)ASunA72-56L0%0.0
2-25South Carolina Upstate (140.0)ASunA90-72L0%0.0