Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Stetson   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Stetson

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:326.9
Current RPI:327
Expected SOS:268
Current Record:5-22
Expected Record:5-22
Current Conf Record:5-15
Expected Conf Record:5-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-11
Current OOC Record:0-7
Expected OOC Record:0-7
Expected OOC RPI:340
Expected OOC SOS:226


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
5-2218.52%326.9100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Stetson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Florida (54.2)SECA46-74L0%0.0
11-18Florida St. (41.5)ACCA38-80L0%0.0
11-21Charleston Southern (285.0)BSthA64-80L0%0.0
11-30South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunA56-78L0%0.0
12-2Louisville (38.3)BEA48-80L0%0.0
12-16Miami FL (95.7)ACCH49-69L0%0.0
12-21Savannah St. (316.0)indA46-57L0%0.0
12-29Florida Gulf Coast (321.3)ASunH72-64W100%0.0
1-2Lipscomb (205.6)ASunA63-84L0%0.0
1-4Belmont (136.8)ASunA71-85L0%0.0
1-8Jacksonville (142.7)ASunH70-80L0%0.0
1-10North Florida (236.1)ASunH44-54L0%0.0
1-14East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunA54-52W100%0.0
1-16Campbell (183.2)ASunA55-81L0%0.0
1-22Mercer (220.1)ASunH76-69W100%0.0
1-24Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunH59-75L0%0.0
1-27Florida Gulf Coast (321.3)ASunA53-64L0%0.0
1-30Mercer (220.1)ASunA57-91L0%0.0
2-1Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunA62-73L0%0.0
2-4Campbell (183.2)ASunH47-65L0%0.0
2-6East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunH60-75L0%0.0
2-11North Florida (236.1)ASunA71-60W100%0.0
2-13Jacksonville (142.7)ASunA54-69L0%0.0
2-15Savannah St. (316.0)indH68-82L0%0.0
2-18Belmont (136.8)ASunH70-79L0%0.0
2-20Lipscomb (205.6)ASunH71-85L0%0.0
2-27South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunH65-60W100%0.0