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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Oakland

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:139.0
Current RPI:139
Expected SOS:139
Current Record:16-15
Expected Record:16-15
Current Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-3
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:116
Expected OOC SOS:49


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1551.61%139.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oakland.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Alabama (36.0)SECA74-57L0%0.0
11-16Arkansas (110.0)SECA91-68L0%0.0
11-19Grambling (341.0)SWACA45-75W100%0.0
11-22Houston (221.0)CUSAA74-76W100%0.0
11-25Utah Valley (230.0)GWCH89-83W100%0.0
11-28Tennessee (86.0)SECH89-81W100%0.0
12-1South Dakota (291.0)SumH101-83W100%0.0
12-3Missouri Kansas City (266.0)SumH86-73W100%0.0
12-7Ohio (47.0)MACH82-84L0%0.0
12-10Michigan (14.0)B10N90-80L0%0.0
12-17Valparaiso (95.0)HorzA80-82W100%0.0
12-20Arizona (79.0)P12A85-73L0%0.0
12-23Western Michigan (205.0)MACH76-91L0%0.0
12-28North Dakota St. (184.0)SumA96-69L0%0.0
12-30South Dakota St. (42.0)SumA76-64L0%0.0
1-3Oral Roberts (51.0)SumH80-89L0%0.0
1-5Western Illinois (150.0)SumH61-71L0%0.0
1-7IUPUI (211.0)SumH93-81W100%0.0
1-14IUPU Fort Wayne (278.0)SumA86-96W100%0.0
1-19Southern Utah (232.0)SumA63-72W100%0.0
1-21Oral Roberts (51.0)SumA93-86L0%0.0
1-26South Dakota St. (42.0)SumH92-87W100%0.0
1-28North Dakota St. (184.0)SumH75-78L0%0.0
2-1IUPUI (211.0)SumA79-75L0%0.0
2-4Western Illinois (150.0)SumA70-74W100%0.0
2-11IUPU Fort Wayne (278.0)SumH93-82W100%0.0
2-15Southern Utah (232.0)SumH76-68W100%0.0
2-18Illinois St. (100.0)MVCA79-75L0%0.0
2-23Missouri Kansas City (266.0)SumA56-89W100%0.0
2-25South Dakota (291.0)SumA77-84W100%0.0
3-4Southern Utah (232.0)SumN82-84L0%0.0