Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Oakland   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Oakland

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:51.7
Current RPI:52
Expected SOS:156
Current Record:24-8
Expected Record:24-8
Current Conf Record:20-1
Expected Conf Record:20-1
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:17-1
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC RPI:101
Expected OOC SOS:20


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
24-875.00%51.7100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oakland.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Eastern Michigan (201.8)MACH77-81L0%0.0
11-18Wisconsin (21.5)B10A42-58L0%0.0
11-23Tennessee Tech (196.0)OVCA77-56W100%0.0
11-25Kansas (1.0)B12A59-89L0%0.0
11-28Central Arkansas (320.1)SlndH83-75W100%0.0
11-30Memphis (56.3)CUSAA46-77L0%0.0
12-5IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumA84-76W100%0.0
12-10Michigan St. (29.5)B10A57-88L0%0.0
12-13Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzH76-52W100%0.0
12-17Seattle (191.8)indA77-68W100%0.0
12-19Oregon (138.5)P10A60-72L0%0.0
12-22Syracuse (5.0)BEA60-92L0%0.0
12-31Western Illinois (280.0)SumH75-63W100%0.0
1-2IUPUI (86.1)SumH85-82W100%0.0
1-7Oral Roberts (124.3)SumA67-64W100%0.0
1-9Centenary (314.0)SumA88-50W100%0.0
1-14Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumH87-73W100%0.0
1-16Southern Utah (325.5)SumH99-53W100%0.0
1-21North Dakota St. (268.0)SumA85-79W100%0.0
1-23South Dakota St. (233.5)SumA85-82W100%0.0
1-28IUPUI (86.1)SumA54-78L0%0.0
1-30Western Illinois (280.0)SumA68-64W100%0.0
2-4Centenary (314.0)SumH75-64W100%0.0
2-6Oral Roberts (124.3)SumH79-77W100%0.0
2-11Southern Utah (325.5)SumA85-72W100%0.0
2-13Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumA83-71W100%0.0
2-18South Dakota St. (233.5)SumH88-83W100%0.0
2-20North Dakota St. (268.0)SumH88-81W100%0.0
2-27IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumH86-83W100%0.0
3-6Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumN85-70W100%0.0
3-8IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumN71-58W100%0.0
3-9IUPUI (86.1)SumN76-64W100%0.0