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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:204.0
Current RPI:204
Expected SOS:207
Current Record:14-15
Expected Record:14-15
Current Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-1
Current OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC RPI:183
Expected OOC SOS:142


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Detroit.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-20Pittsburgh (53.0)ACCA95-79L0%0.0
11-28Oral Roberts (148.0)SumA100-95L0%0.0
12-2Vanderbilt (63.0)SECA102-52L0%0.0
12-5Northeastern (109.0)CAAH76-73W100%0.0
12-9Toledo (182.0)MACH75-72W100%0.0
12-12Bowling Green (200.0)MACH95-80W100%0.0
12-19UCF (219.0)AmerH95-89W100%0.0
12-22Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAA79-74L0%0.0
12-28Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACA88-73L0%0.0
1-2Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzH96-87W100%0.0
1-4Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzH88-80W100%0.0
1-8Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzH87-69W100%0.0
1-10Valparaiso (49.0)HorzH74-92L0%0.0
1-16Oakland (116.0)HorzH82-86L0%0.0
1-18Wright St. (146.0)HorzA77-76L0%0.0
1-23Milwaukee (173.0)HorzA83-80L0%0.0
1-25Green Bay (112.0)HorzA115-108L0%0.0
1-29Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzH83-91L0%0.0
1-31Wright St. (146.0)HorzH75-68W100%0.0
2-4Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzA63-71W100%0.0
2-6Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzA92-94W100%0.0
2-11Green Bay (112.0)HorzH85-86L0%0.0
2-13Milwaukee (173.0)HorzH80-66W100%0.0
2-16Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzA68-74W100%0.0
2-19Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzA72-83W100%0.0
2-21Valparaiso (49.0)HorzA90-74L0%0.0
2-26Oakland (116.0)HorzA108-97L0%0.0
3-5Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzH92-79W100%0.0
3-6Wright St. (146.0)HorzN82-72L0%0.0