Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Detroit   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Detroit

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:167.4
Current RPI:167
Expected SOS:207
Current Record:19-14
Expected Record:19-14
Current Conf Record:11-10
Expected Conf Record:11-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-3
Current OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC RPI:174
Expected OOC SOS:307


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1457.58%167.4100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Detroit.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11California (18.5)P10A61-95L0%0.0
11-15Western Michigan (149.7)MACH86-80W100%0.0
11-20Robert Morris (128.6)NECN71-59W100%0.0
11-21Albany (301.3)AEA66-54W100%0.0
11-22Alcorn St. (345.5)SWACN79-59W100%0.0
11-28DePaul (212.2)BEA66-68L0%0.0
12-3Youngstown St. (270.5)HorzH82-71W100%0.0
12-5Cleveland St. (166.0)HorzH69-62W100%0.0
12-8Tennessee St. (259.6)OVCH69-70L0%0.0
12-13Michigan (133.7)B10A64-75L0%0.0
12-19Bowling Green (188.3)MACH73-69W100%0.0
12-22Central Michigan (195.1)MACH76-58W100%0.0
12-31Illinois Chicago (291.0)HorzA56-60L0%0.0
1-2Loyola Chicago (213.2)HorzA59-42W100%0.0
1-8Valparaiso (185.4)HorzH77-67W100%0.0
1-10Butler (11.9)HorzH62-64L0%0.0
1-14Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzA81-65W100%0.0
1-16Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzA72-74L0%0.0
1-23Wright St. (80.6)HorzH59-61L0%0.0
1-28Loyola Chicago (213.2)HorzH83-63W100%0.0
1-30Illinois Chicago (291.0)HorzH76-73W100%0.0
2-4Butler (11.9)HorzA58-63L0%0.0
2-6Valparaiso (185.4)HorzA70-74L0%0.0
2-8Chicago St. (344.3)GWCH92-72W100%0.0
2-11Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzH62-64L0%0.0
2-13Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzH60-71L0%0.0
2-17Wright St. (80.6)HorzA53-70L0%0.0
2-20Eastern Michigan (201.8)MACH68-66W100%0.0
2-25Cleveland St. (166.0)HorzA65-54W100%0.0
2-27Youngstown St. (270.5)HorzA62-54W100%0.0
3-2Valparaiso (185.4)HorzA89-82W100%0.0
3-5Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzN62-53W100%0.0
3-6Wright St. (80.6)HorzN50-69L0%0.0