Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

These projections also include simulated Conference Tournaments.

For the projected RPIs through the end of the regular season, click on the links at the top.

This particular page is updated weekly

Click here for the detailed simulation results for this page

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

NEW! Click on a team's name to see the RPI Forecast broken down by different end of season records plus Schedules, Results and Probabilities of Winning

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
7677.0CharlotteA100.55680.53789319-1219-121-52-41-17-38-010-459121761.00.9
5249.6DaytonA100.58310.56613420-1121-122-62-22-211-24-011-3161552-2.4-0.4
108110.5DuquesneA100.53200.54267515-1515-150-50-32-46-47-08-569601082.51.6
302304.7FordhamA100.41350.5355982-262-260-40-30-51-91-52-102961613022.71.5
146148.1George WashingtonA100.51580.507215016-1416-140-30-32-36-58-010-31232781462.11.1
173174.7La SalleA100.50180.53948712-1812-180-50-40-45-47-18-6114861731.71.9
175173.8MassachusettsA100.50150.54676611-1911-200-41-42-44-84-05-816549175-1.2-0.2
4140.7Rhode IslandA100.59230.53729422-823-90-41-15-212-24-012-163441-0.3-0.1
2526.3RichmondA100.61030.54407124-725-81-24-14-59-07-011-43768251.30.4
178181.2Saint Joseph'sA100.49860.55375211-2011-200-50-51-36-64-16-8142421783.21.7
157152.8St. BonaventureA100.51000.520212014-1514-160-41-10-76-47-06-6135105157-4.2-0.5
8381.0St. LouisA100.55230.527810619-1020-110-33-21-210-45-08-518120883-2.0-0.3
1716.3TempleA100.62310.54896026-528-62-34-13-213-05-012-3284017-0.7-0.2
2118.6XavierA100.61810.55804623-724-81-44-36-19-05-09-5431721-2.4-0.4
116122.3Boston CollegeACC0.52730.55954315-1615-160-42-63-25-45-09-51762251166.33.0
3334.3ClemsonACC0.60090.57642321-1021-102-43-34-26-26-012-238107331.31.1
22.6DukeACC0.66190.5906726-529-51-37-18-08-13-013-293120.60.7
3434.2Florida St.ACC0.60000.55764722-823-90-45-34-18-16-012-241180340.20.0
4041.2Georgia TechACC0.59230.57792019-1120-121-33-54-26-25-011-234102401.20.2
1917.9MarylandACC0.62050.57662222-723-81-35-24-26-07-09-410612419-1.1-0.2
106104.5Miami FLACC0.53370.518112418-1218-130-34-53-21-411-013-086344106-1.5-0.2
9292.7North CarolinaACC0.54580.58131616-1616-161-53-73-14-25-011-46170920.70.5
9699.3North Carolina St.ACC0.54020.54456918-1418-151-24-52-55-37-012-3107242963.30.6
126126.2VirginiaACC0.52420.55045915-1515-160-42-52-26-55-09-41592411260.20.0
4750.2Virginia TechACC0.58480.514713223-724-80-43-13-28-29-013-177318473.20.7
3940.3Wake ForestACC0.59510.57222819-1019-102-24-22-45-26-010-23161391.31.0
303301.0AlbanyAE0.41340.47582207-257-250-10-10-21-126-95-10229202303-2.0-2.3
228227.6BinghamtonAE0.46120.486719111-1811-180-10-10-13-128-33-10245127228-0.4-0.4
140137.7Boston UniversityAE0.51750.481920319-1219-130-10-11-43-715-06-7177150140-2.3-0.3
304303.8HartfordAE0.41300.46242568-228-220-20-00-10-118-82-11331282304-0.2-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
153152.7MaineAE0.51190.460426418-1118-110-10-00-14-514-47-5124227153-0.3-0.3
333332.7MD Baltimore CountyAE0.38080.44942914-264-260-00-10-11-123-131-12344338333-0.3-0.4
243242.3New HampshireAE0.45290.463825312-1712-170-20-00-13-89-65-6223280243-0.7-0.5
143142.3Stony BrookAE0.51650.437431521-921-90-00-10-16-315-47-5197332143-0.7-0.5
130123.3VermontAE0.52130.437431624-925-90-00-11-09-415-410-5149308130-6.7-0.7
136136.3BelmontASun0.51880.476521719-1219-120-10-10-27-212-65-597551360.30.2
182181.8CampbellASun0.49680.453428117-1117-110-00-11-02-614-43-4225246182-0.2-0.1
123122.0East Tennessee St.ASun0.52490.496516919-1419-140-10-22-25-412-53-71185123-1.0-0.5
321320.9Florida Gulf CoastASun0.39600.43643188-218-210-10-00-02-76-133-6306336321-0.1-0.2
142142.1JacksonvilleASun0.51660.465824719-1219-120-10-10-24-415-44-51251431420.10.1
283284.7Kennesaw St.ASun0.42780.451228811-2011-200-00-20-10-1111-63-62813032831.71.4
207206.9LipscombASun0.47690.446829616-1316-130-10-10-25-411-52-6303289207-0.1-0.1
220219.8MercerASun0.46980.475622114-1714-170-10-20-26-68-62-6240160220-0.2-0.1
232234.0North FloridaASun0.45760.468524112-1812-180-00-20-22-910-54-51381302322.01.6
307307.2South Carolina UpstateASun0.41110.47412266-236-230-00-20-20-126-80-93221363070.20.2
325326.0StetsonASun0.39110.46012675-225-220-00-20-11-84-110-73402243251.01.0
7877.8IllinoisB100.55660.56034218-1318-143-52-41-15-48-08-51268878-0.2-0.0
215221.3IndianaB100.47170.54506810-2110-211-70-21-43-55-36-62392042156.34.2
205210.4IowaB100.47720.55655010-2210-220-60-50-54-76-06-7204792055.44.7
127130.0MichiganB100.52230.55225414-1614-170-61-33-24-56-16-5146731273.00.3
2424.7Michigan St.B100.61160.55754824-725-82-31-26-39-07-010-34575240.70.2
7372.6MinnesotaB100.55900.55075819-1220-133-51-22-18-47-19-3545773-0.4-0.0
113112.7NorthwesternB100.52970.510514220-1220-131-51-23-25-211-212-164243113-0.3-0.1
2628.4Ohio St.B100.60690.54796324-726-84-51-03-26-111-010-35293262.40.4
192194.0Penn St.B100.48770.54526711-2011-200-70-30-56-15-48-41662521922.02.4
1013.2PurdueB100.62890.55355326-428-54-22-15-08-18-012-01195103.20.7
1415.1WisconsinB100.62570.57592423-725-84-23-24-27-17-010-21426141.10.2
77.6BaylorB120.63970.58211424-625-73-45-15-18-14-012-1188170.60.4
118119.6ColoradoB120.52680.57093013-1613-161-50-51-36-35-07-51631651181.60.8
122124.0Iowa St.B120.52570.56443615-1715-171-80-51-16-37-011-41111781222.01.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.0KansasB120.68110.5893930-231-27-14-14-014-02-014-142510.0NaN
66.5Kansas St.B120.64240.5983424-625-74-34-24-110-13-012-151260.50.3
4345.7MissouriB120.58750.55944422-1022-101-63-12-010-36-012-356153432.71.8
145147.8NebraskaB120.51590.55704915-1815-180-81-42-16-56-012-3742131452.81.4
115118.4OklahomaB120.52760.58151513-1813-180-63-51-35-34-19-594991153.42.2
2929.8Oklahoma St.B120.60490.57532522-1022-104-30-41-214-13-012-23087290.80.5
2828.8TexasB120.60540.56393724-924-93-62-13-110-16-014-125162280.80.6
1113.8Texas A&MB120.62870.5909622-822-91-64-34-08-05-010-32933112.81.0
6971.0Texas TechB120.56470.58881117-1517-150-83-50-09-25-012-21352692.01.6
6061.8CincinnatiBE0.57200.5899818-1518-152-72-53-35-06-09-33232601.81.6
6162.6ConnecticutBE0.57150.6007317-1517-152-52-45-45-23-010-3123611.61.6
212211.2DePaulBE0.47510.5664338-238-231-71-30-82-34-27-513090212-0.8-0.8
99.1GeorgetownBE0.63520.6153122-923-106-42-37-13-15-010-13290.10.0
3838.3LouisvilleBE0.59570.5973520-1220-122-51-26-58-13-09-4499380.30.3
4544.6MarquetteBE0.58710.56064122-1023-114-71-26-05-17-19-38813345-0.4-0.1
4646.7Notre DameBE0.58700.56124023-1023-114-31-17-44-37-011-273156460.70.2
1616.5PittsburghBE0.62530.58761224-824-83-24-37-27-04-111-22236160.50.3
137139.8ProvidenceBE0.51820.57302712-1912-190-60-53-73-16-08-41041231372.81.5
160159.9RutgersBE0.50810.55145614-1714-171-51-21-85-26-09-3113179160-0.1-0.0
5959.7Seton HallBE0.57390.57023119-1219-121-73-22-36-07-09-257122590.70.7
7070.0South FloridaBE0.56460.55095720-1220-122-41-43-36-18-010-271189700.00.0
8282.5St. John'sBE0.55280.57722117-1517-151-73-43-24-26-010-22641820.50.6
54.5SyracuseBE0.65350.58901028-428-45-23-29-06-05-013-01225-0.5-0.7
1213.5VillanovaBE0.62820.57861924-724-73-54-16-16-05-011-121144121.51.0
44.1West VirginiaBE0.65530.6019225-626-75-44-19-16-03-011-121140.10.1
278277.4Eastern WashingtonBSky0.43060.49351777-217-210-10-11-52-84-62-1025294278-0.6-0.5
306303.7Idaho St.BSky0.41250.49201805-225-220-10-21-31-93-71-10276132306-2.3-1.6
9595.8MontanaBSky0.54100.481420520-920-90-00-12-19-49-37-379198950.80.7
200200.8Montana St.BSky0.48010.472123113-1413-140-00-02-43-58-53-72331992000.80.8
198199.0Northern ArizonaBSky0.48170.472822912-1412-140-10-10-60-412-24-51752321981.00.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121117.4Northern ColoradoBSky0.52620.437331723-723-70-00-02-36-115-311-2133342121-3.6-2.8
221221.7Portland St.BSky0.46860.491018211-1911-190-00-22-51-98-33-92241202210.70.7
297297.2Sacramento St.BSky0.41590.46262557-217-210-00-00-42-105-74-82432622970.20.5
8585.3Weber St.BSky0.54830.507015118-1018-100-20-22-35-311-14-610918850.30.2
285284.7Charleston SouthernBSth0.42770.45122879-179-170-10-10-13-66-82-5221193285-0.3-0.3
139137.2Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51780.423833124-624-60-10-02-02-320-27-2139329139-1.8-1.3
318318.0Gardner WebbBSth0.39820.46172595-215-210-10-10-20-85-90-83241473180.00.1
254254.6High PointBSth0.44430.422433213-1513-150-00-10-13-410-93-62893372540.60.7
231231.6LibertyBSth0.45850.462025812-1612-160-00-30-01-1011-32-72481312310.60.6
218217.9NC AshevilleBSth0.47040.485119512-1612-160-20-00-22-810-40-827119218-0.1-0.1
328329.0PresbyterianBSth0.38670.46802444-264-260-00-30-40-84-112-102411373281.01.4
171170.3RadfordBSth0.50240.469923817-1217-120-20-10-14-313-53-619853171-0.7-0.6
309309.7Virginia Military InstBSth0.40990.46562496-196-190-00-10-10-86-81-5255743090.71.4
163160.7WinthropBSth0.50680.468724017-1317-130-00-10-43-514-32-7246159163-2.3-2.5
256255.7Cal PolyBW0.44400.454927712-1912-190-10-10-03-69-114-9291317256-0.3-0.2
206207.7Cal St. FullertonBW0.47720.470823714-1514-150-10-11-33-410-65-61841922061.71.1
253252.0Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44690.485619311-2111-210-10-10-14-127-75-10238163253-1.0-1.9
119120.5Long Beach St.BW0.52650.523911414-1515-160-31-30-14-49-55-75141191.50.1
120116.1PacificBW0.52640.476521820-1021-110-11-21-24-315-38-6157211120-3.9-0.3
241240.3UC DavisBW0.45360.460126612-1712-180-00-00-11-1111-63-9304316241-0.7-0.1
276276.2UC IrvineBW0.43150.445129912-1812-180-00-10-03-99-86-72643342760.20.3
255255.8UC RiversideBW0.44420.465624810-1710-170-10-10-23-57-85-62152712550.80.8
102105.2UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53570.485119417-918-100-10-11-15-212-55-51471351023.20.4
238237.6DelawareCAA0.45580.5411827-247-240-20-30-72-75-54-815221238-0.4-0.2
150148.7DrexelCAA0.51420.511813916-1616-160-20-33-33-510-35-8170103150-1.3-0.7
159158.2George MasonCAA0.50810.499916417-1417-140-11-21-63-312-25-7242197159-0.8-0.7
248248.6Georgia St.CAA0.44910.491218111-2011-200-00-30-62-69-56-62022372480.60.5
148146.0HofstraCAA0.51470.501515918-1418-140-10-12-82-414-07-5128129148-2.0-1.3
244242.7James MadisonCAA0.45280.477821013-2013-200-10-22-52-69-68-5194327244-1.3-0.9
237236.9NC WilmingtonCAA0.45610.51021449-229-220-10-21-73-85-44-8213110237-0.1-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
7272.9NortheasternCAA0.56090.53859220-1220-121-02-33-34-610-05-7988720.90.9
2726.6Old DominionCAA0.60580.53928926-826-81-10-27-45-113-08-5421327-0.4-0.3
264263.6TowsonCAA0.43850.483519910-2110-210-10-31-31-108-53-8302235264-0.4-0.2
6564.7Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.56860.514213322-922-91-03-23-34-312-19-1157865-0.3-0.3
5857.7William & MaryCAA0.57430.529610421-1021-101-12-23-46-09-37-3172858-0.3-0.2
190190.0Central FloridaCUSA0.49180.511813814-1714-170-00-40-85-39-27-6167184190-0.0-0.0
229229.5East CarolinaCUSA0.46010.52441137-217-210-20-40-61-76-23-8200512290.50.5
144139.0HoustonCUSA0.51610.522811616-1517-160-01-33-56-67-37-6156126144-5.0-0.4
6766.6MarshallCUSA0.56680.527010920-920-90-11-31-48-110-09-3447667-0.4-0.5
5757.9MemphisCUSA0.57460.53998523-923-90-32-25-07-39-110-510359570.90.7
311311.0RiceCUSA0.40660.48092067-237-230-00-30-60-87-66-72502543110.00.0
211207.5Southern MethodistCUSA0.47610.516312912-1712-180-10-41-82-59-15-7262200211-3.5-0.4
104105.7Southern MississippiCUSA0.53420.512313716-1216-120-11-40-53-012-26-41272201041.71.3
3735.2Texas El PasoCUSA0.59600.522611725-526-50-12-06-38-110-09-413417137-1.8-0.4
279280.5TulaneCUSA0.42960.49521718-228-220-10-30-53-75-65-82692442791.51.3
6663.2TulsaCUSA0.56810.530210222-1023-110-11-42-59-19-010-48312866-2.8-0.6
4444.6UABCUSA0.58740.53619623-823-81-00-33-310-29-012-22096440.60.4
345344.4Chicago St.GWC0.34270.38783466-226-220-00-00-10-76-142-13339326345-0.6-1.0
330329.9Houston BaptistGWC0.38360.392634411-2012-210-00-00-10-512-151-17346328330-0.1-0.0
341339.4NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.36050.39653437-207-210-00-00-10-77-132-12323281341-1.6-0.7
340340.0North DakotaGWC0.36110.40803396-226-220-20-00-10-56-141-143302643400.00.0
223220.6South DakotaGWC0.46750.399134116-918-90-10-20-21-217-25-8247266223-2.4-0.4
336335.0Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.37610.43283206-266-270-00-20-30-96-131-18325205336-1.0-0.4
343342.2Utah ValleyGWC0.34920.37893478-188-180-10-10-10-38-123-10328320343-0.8-1.8
1312.9ButlerHorz0.62730.54267628-428-41-12-23-114-08-08-424713-0.1-0.1
166166.4Cleveland St.Horz0.50480.53579714-1714-170-50-22-13-99-03-8199141660.40.3
168167.7DetroitHorz0.50350.479220719-1419-140-30-00-310-59-38-4172307168-0.3-0.3
291290.7Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42330.49441747-227-220-30-00-43-114-44-6235245291-0.3-0.6
214213.1Loyola ChicagoHorz0.47240.484019712-1612-160-30-01-13-118-17-282269214-0.9-1.1
185185.0ValparaisoHorz0.49530.511114112-1712-170-40-00-44-78-22-82441491850.00.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
109107.4Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.53170.502515719-1219-121-21-12-25-610-17-491113109-1.6-1.2
128129.2Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.52200.500416218-1418-140-40-11-27-610-16-51441961281.20.9
8180.4Wright St.Horz0.55330.510214320-1220-120-30-11-310-59-17-511217481-0.6-0.5
271271.1Youngstown St.Horz0.43290.50951466-226-220-40-10-21-125-34-51641192710.10.1
344344.8Bryantind0.34360.44173061-291-290-00-10-20-61-201-293433013440.81.5
317316.9Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.39970.45172847-227-220-00-20-10-97-107-20299279317-0.1-0.4
284284.6Longwoodind0.42770.46022658-198-190-20-20-21-37-105-172581672840.60.4
347347.0North Carolina Centralind0.34230.42483283-223-220-00-10-30-33-161-20345313347-0.0-0.2
316316.1Savannah St.ind0.40070.42453297-157-150-10-10-00-77-65-132852743160.10.4
193191.7Seattleind0.48730.456727317-1417-140-00-21-44-412-416-14191267193-1.3-2.1
292292.4Winston Salem St.ind0.42210.44682958-178-170-10-20-20-38-98-172792922920.40.7
257256.6BrownIvy0.44360.47742139-209-200-00-40-52-37-84-11267226257-0.4-0.4
252251.2ColumbiaIvy0.44690.464225211-1711-170-10-20-21-510-76-8227256252-0.8-1.8
4948.6CornellIvy0.58440.481720425-425-40-20-04-18-013-112-34615249-0.4-0.2
335335.2DartmouthIvy0.37800.47092364-234-230-00-20-20-74-123-103182493350.20.5
9998.7HarvardIvy0.53890.460126820-720-70-10-21-14-215-110-37525599-0.3-0.2
301301.1PennsylvaniaIvy0.41350.47782096-226-220-31-10-20-75-91-133292603010.10.1
133133.1PrincetonIvy0.51990.450128919-819-80-10-22-02-315-28-51683111330.10.0
267267.4YaleIvy0.43630.455627511-1911-190-00-20-30-911-55-112923042670.40.5
204204.8CanisiusMAAC0.47770.474822415-1715-170-00-21-44-710-46-62142902040.80.8
8079.8FairfieldMAAC0.55360.495317022-1022-100-10-41-15-416-07-412925380-0.2-0.2
8787.6IonaMAAC0.54750.505515321-1021-100-10-32-28-211-29-358142870.60.4
219217.6Loyola MDMAAC0.47000.475821913-1713-170-10-20-44-59-57-4158293219-1.4-0.9
225225.4ManhattanMAAC0.46440.500316311-2011-200-10-31-41-89-46-51552092250.40.4
334334.1MaristMAAC0.37850.49751671-291-290-00-20-40-111-120-113412333340.10.3
129130.2NiagaraMAAC0.52160.505715218-1518-150-01-13-55-79-28-51211911291.20.9
141141.6RiderMAAC0.51670.508914717-1617-160-10-32-46-59-37-61371701410.60.3
3131.5SienaMAAC0.60200.517212727-627-60-30-16-18-113-07-5100109310.50.4
180179.3St. Peter'sMAAC0.49720.483420016-1416-140-00-21-44-411-45-6237286180-0.7-0.5
9189.7AkronMAC0.54590.498016622-923-100-10-31-213-39-19-516221891-1.3-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
217218.3Ball St.MAC0.47050.477521114-1514-150-30-11-27-46-56-62182172171.30.7
189188.8Bowling GreenMAC0.49180.500916013-1613-160-21-11-23-98-27-5145228189-0.2-0.2
110108.4BuffaloMAC0.53160.507814817-1217-120-11-11-17-78-27-46769110-1.6-1.0
195194.8Central MichiganMAC0.48430.474922314-1514-150-10-11-33-610-45-7212231195-0.2-0.3
202202.8Eastern MichiganMAC0.47930.469923915-1515-150-00-22-22-811-36-61962612020.80.8
4848.6Kent St.MAC0.58470.53729522-922-90-21-05-29-57-09-54829480.60.3
132135.0Miami OHMAC0.52020.54247814-1715-180-41-12-66-56-24-10201391323.00.2
262264.3Northern IllinoisMAC0.43880.477421210-2010-200-20-10-42-98-54-92742382622.31.2
107106.4OhioMAC0.53330.524811218-1419-150-11-23-48-67-29-58472107-0.6-0.1
324323.9ToledoMAC0.39240.50191583-283-280-10-20-60-143-62-12295138324-0.1-0.2
147141.5Western MichiganMAC0.51560.503515617-1418-150-10-14-36-67-47-69348147-5.5-0.4
259258.7Bethune CookmanMEAC0.44220.425532714-1614-160-00-10-30-414-86-6180259259-0.3-0.2
337337.5Coppin St.MEAC0.36590.43083215-225-220-10-10-10-55-142-83082953370.50.8
209206.0Delaware St.MEAC0.47690.445329814-1115-120-00-10-20-515-42-6283186209-3.0-0.3
319319.4Florida A&MMEAC0.39700.43853148-228-220-00-20-10-68-123-102942683190.40.6
286278.9HamptonMEAC0.42660.412233614-1714-180-00-00-51-314-105-9287333286-7.1-0.8
329329.3HowardMEAC0.38600.43873127-257-250-00-10-20-67-161-143272153290.30.4
308307.3Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.41110.430032311-2111-210-00-10-30-511-122-12333284308-0.7-0.9
105104.0Morgan St.MEAC0.53400.447529225-926-90-10-10-33-223-29-8136212105-1.0-0.1
266265.7Norfolk St.MEAC0.43790.452128311-1911-190-10-20-31-310-102-11300173266-0.3-0.2
300301.8North Carolina A&TMEAC0.41390.45442798-228-220-10-10-41-47-121-113151543001.81.1
233231.5South Carolina St.MEAC0.45760.419633414-1315-140-00-10-21-214-93-7261294233-1.5-0.2
103104.0BradleyMVC0.53540.54856216-1516-151-31-24-45-55-16-51601341031.00.8
114113.8CreightonMVC0.52840.53928816-1516-150-41-12-66-47-06-6187145114-0.2-0.2
183181.6DrakeMVC0.49660.530510114-1914-190-31-22-65-56-36-7236239183-1.4-0.8
249248.4EvansvilleMVC0.44890.51831238-218-211-21-10-72-104-15-5254310249-0.6-0.5
7474.4Illinois St.MVC0.55880.512813622-1022-100-21-24-29-48-010-2115299740.40.4
8888.0Indiana St.MVC0.54690.54696516-1416-140-20-23-39-54-27-47691880.00.0
8989.6Missouri St.MVC0.54620.518612220-1220-120-20-35-26-59-011-147229890.60.8
1818.7Northern IowaMVC0.62140.527610728-428-40-04-16-012-16-210-153234180.70.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
170170.0Southern IllinoisMVC0.50300.516013114-1514-150-20-33-43-68-08-280265170-0.0-0.0
4242.8Wichita St.MVC0.58830.531110024-924-91-30-18-17-38-110-289272420.80.6
240244.6Air ForceMWC0.45390.5340998-218-210-50-40-21-97-16-52071952404.63.4
2319.4Brigham YoungMWC0.61540.523311528-429-51-34-25-010-010-014-12717723-3.6-0.9
117121.8Colorado St.MWC0.52690.53859115-1515-150-50-41-26-58-08-51081551174.82.2
5145.3Nevada Las VegasMWC0.58320.526411023-724-83-42-13-06-310-011-26219051-5.7-0.8
89.3New MexicoMWC0.63570.54437029-330-44-13-25-09-19-014-175481.30.7
3229.7San Diego St.MWC0.60140.54327421-822-92-41-22-111-17-19-33610032-2.3-0.5
186188.8Texas ChristianMWC0.49290.54367311-1911-190-50-40-41-610-06-72061721862.82.6
156157.9UtahMWC0.51000.54217914-1714-170-42-32-24-56-27-72101661561.91.6
227227.4WyomingMWC0.46290.5489618-218-210-61-20-23-64-55-7185462270.40.3
310309.3Central ConnecticutNEC0.40980.409833712-1812-180-00-00-10-712-105-8334347310-0.7-1.7
272271.3Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43270.463525411-2111-210-10-20-11-810-93-12314258272-0.7-0.6
242240.5Long IslandNEC0.45330.447229314-1714-170-00-00-33-511-94-9284288242-1.5-1.7
289288.4MonmouthNEC0.42430.439331112-1912-190-00-00-12-1010-86-8297346289-0.6-0.8
172172.1Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.50190.483120116-1516-150-20-20-02-714-44-81931161720.10.1
151148.3QuinnipiacNEC0.51400.429132423-923-90-00-10-03-520-38-5189340151-2.7-1.6
131130.4Robert MorrisNEC0.52120.460826223-1123-110-20-11-15-517-26-8211236131-0.6-0.4
263262.8Sacred HeartNEC0.43870.419733314-1514-150-10-00-11-613-79-4171345263-0.2-0.1
294294.5St. Francis NYNEC0.42000.427132511-1811-180-10-00-12-59-115-82933432940.50.9
287287.2St. Francis PANEC0.42560.451628511-1911-190-00-20-12-79-93-92902482870.20.3
332331.5WagnerNEC0.38230.45382805-265-260-10-00-12-83-162-12326291332-0.5-0.7
164163.8Austin PeayOVC0.50590.505315415-1515-150-20-12-45-78-14-712023164-0.2-0.2
169169.2Eastern IllinoisOVC0.50310.472822817-1217-120-00-01-65-511-15-41862571690.20.2
155154.1Eastern KentuckyOVC0.51020.473422718-1218-120-20-00-47-411-27-4110169155-0.9-0.9
298297.8Jacksonville St.OVC0.41580.46532509-199-190-00-10-63-76-52-7332296298-0.2-0.5
8484.2Morehead St.OVC0.54870.500516121-1021-100-10-21-48-212-13-61196840.20.2
5655.8Murray St.OVC0.57530.460826328-428-40-10-02-211-115-06-37018156-0.2-0.2
322321.8SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.39440.47482253-233-230-10-00-51-22-153-18313251322-0.2-0.3
313312.6Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.40410.47172346-236-230-00-00-70-116-52-8259158313-0.4-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
338338.5Tennessee MartinOVC0.36420.46852422-252-250-00-20-50-92-90-83362063380.50.8
260259.8Tennessee St.OVC0.44170.48841879-239-230-10-10-63-106-53-10249176260-0.2-0.3
197196.8Tennessee TechOVC0.48230.488718613-1713-170-10-00-93-410-34-6153112197-0.2-0.2
9494.2ArizonaP100.54400.56473516-1516-151-41-23-210-72-06-610510940.20.1
6263.4Arizona St.P100.57100.54247722-1022-100-51-12-113-36-010-35556621.41.3
2019.6CaliforniaP100.61950.58451322-923-90-31-25-117-31-08-410120-0.4-0.1
138139.0OregonP100.51790.54198016-1616-160-31-31-69-45-08-4117841381.00.6
184184.9Oregon St.P100.49570.517012814-1714-171-10-22-48-83-26-62342751840.91.1
111112.0Southern CaliforniaP100.53060.54088316-1416-142-13-23-24-94-08-492771111.00.7
161160.8StanfordP100.50800.53998414-1714-180-30-31-68-55-16-6188139161-0.2-0.0
135137.1UCLAP100.51950.55834514-1714-181-41-23-66-63-15-7174301352.10.3
5048.2WashingtonP100.58420.54756422-923-102-20-05-313-43-010-2233750-1.8-0.3
162162.4Washington St.P100.50680.514213415-1515-150-30-22-35-78-09-2662501620.40.5
295294.5AmericanPat0.42000.444230111-2011-200-10-00-20-511-123-12337341295-0.5-0.9
250248.1ArmyPat0.44880.440430913-1513-150-00-01-11-511-99-4150319250-1.9-1.8
258258.8BucknellPat0.44230.434031914-1714-170-00-30-01-413-105-113093352580.81.0
290290.3ColgatePat0.42380.454827810-1910-190-10-00-10-710-104-103122982900.30.6
273274.1Holy CrossPat0.43270.47712159-229-220-00-20-30-89-103-122822102731.10.6
213208.2LafayettePat0.47500.424033019-1219-130-10-00-01-518-79-6219339213-4.8-0.8
158151.7LehighPat0.50900.443530321-1022-100-00-10-12-320-59-6183300158-6.3-0.9
265264.7NavyPat0.43810.442530513-1713-170-00-00-23-410-116-9277302265-0.3-0.3
299299.1Arkansas Little RockSB0.41460.49931656-226-220-00-00-62-74-92-7216272990.10.3
201202.1Arkansas St.SB0.47940.466324515-1415-140-00-10-44-511-43-62562302011.11.1
165164.3DenverSB0.50490.471523519-1319-130-10-01-14-614-57-4101106165-0.7-0.7
216216.0Florida AtlanticSB0.47090.477321412-1612-160-10-00-22-910-42-72682012160.00.0
296296.0Florida InternationalSB0.41810.48751896-256-250-00-10-42-104-102-10288214296-0.0-0.0
246243.3Louisiana LafayetteSB0.45230.457627112-1612-160-00-11-03-68-92-7298297246-2.7-2.0
274272.7Louisiana MonroeSB0.43250.461126110-1910-190-00-01-22-97-83-6272287274-1.3-1.1
181180.1Middle TennesseeSB0.49710.472023217-1317-130-20-10-14-513-44-7253203181-0.9-0.4
323323.4New OrleansSB0.39240.45552766-226-220-00-00-10-116-103-63013303230.40.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
101101.9North TexasSB0.53670.458427022-822-80-10-10-07-115-56-3651641010.90.7
210208.3South AlabamaSB0.47620.466024615-1515-150-00-11-13-911-46-4179283210-1.7-1.3
112109.8TroySB0.53040.494617317-1217-120-00-10-37-410-42-6205108112-2.2-1.7
134134.2Western KentuckySB0.51960.487818821-1321-131-00-12-22-816-27-61611401340.20.2
10099.5Appalachian St.SC0.53830.490518320-1120-110-00-12-38-49-35-510264100-0.5-0.4
239238.1ChattanoogaSC0.45520.475222213-1813-180-00-31-65-27-76-5151151239-0.9-0.9
9391.1College of CharlestonSC0.54480.493617621-1121-110-10-13-24-614-16-61168293-1.9-1.9
179179.7DavidsonSC0.49740.507514914-1514-150-10-31-65-38-23-7217451790.70.6
270269.7ElonSC0.43380.48312028-238-230-00-10-62-86-82-9257188270-0.3-0.4
280280.2FurmanSC0.42910.441430811-1711-170-00-11-51-49-64-52633252800.20.1
288288.4Georgia SouthernSC0.42490.49701687-237-230-00-01-73-93-71-103171682880.40.6
247249.0NC GreensboroSC0.44930.51631308-238-230-20-30-71-57-51-10226202472.01.6
261262.5SamfordSC0.43900.48581928-208-200-10-20-70-78-43-61951112611.51.3
199199.4The CitadelSC0.48130.484419614-1614-160-30-02-51-311-54-61781181990.40.3
124122.0Western CarolinaSC0.52480.476721619-1119-110-01-32-34-212-37-33980124-2.0-1.4
7168.5WoffordSC0.56440.483719825-825-80-20-13-36-215-07-58514171-2.5-2.3
9796.5AlabamaSEC0.53970.55425117-1417-151-60-33-45-38-010-4816597-0.5-0.1
154158.6ArkansasSEC0.51030.56303914-1814-180-40-46-43-45-27-8182381544.62.9
152154.8AuburnSEC0.51240.55195514-1714-170-30-23-84-47-08-6148971522.82.6
5351.3FloridaSEC0.58210.56733221-1122-122-82-15-27-16-111-4727153-1.7-0.3
98100.0GeorgiaSEC0.53970.58021814-1614-172-51-35-61-25-18-59058982.00.3
33.3KentuckySEC0.66070.56313829-231-33-12-011-110-04-015-089230.30.2
222223.8Louisiana St.SEC0.46810.53899011-2011-200-50-11-94-56-09-51691942221.81.9
5555.9MississippiSEC0.57640.54397221-922-101-61-13-37-19-012-233101550.90.1
6867.3Mississippi St.SEC0.56590.529810321-1022-110-41-16-27-48-012-36818368-0.7-0.1
9093.0South CarolinaSEC0.54610.58091715-1615-162-51-22-65-35-09-57847903.02.7
1515.4TennesseeSEC0.62540.57132924-725-82-41-110-16-27-012-21950150.40.1
2221.1VanderbiltSEC0.61730.57492622-723-82-23-07-45-26-010-3506222-0.9-0.2
320320.1Central ArkansasSlnd0.39630.44642976-206-200-10-00-31-65-103-72652773200.10.1
293292.6LamarSlnd0.42130.456827210-1810-180-00-00-42-78-75-7278305293-0.4-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
315314.8McNeese St.Slnd0.40330.44373027-207-200-00-00-42-55-112-9321315315-0.2-0.5
277277.3Nicholls St.Slnd0.43130.47262308-188-180-10-00-31-107-41-82861752770.30.3
312313.0Northwestern St.Slnd0.40440.44013107-187-180-10-00-30-67-82-73163223121.01.2
7773.7Sam Houston St.Slnd0.55680.477920820-721-70-10-00-110-311-24-515414877-3.3-0.7
194192.9Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.48580.451528615-1215-120-00-00-32-513-44-5220263194-1.1-1.4
149144.0Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.51440.438531320-820-90-00-00-45-315-27-3143285149-5.0-0.5
167167.8Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50370.492717814-1514-150-00-30-44-410-43-82221571670.80.5
235234.4Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.45720.459626912-1412-140-20-00-23-59-54-5266309235-0.6-0.3
187187.2Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49200.450029016-1116-110-00-11-14-411-57-31313121870.20.1
245243.8Texas St.Slnd0.45260.461426011-1611-160-00-11-22-78-62-8335321245-1.2-0.6
314313.6CentenarySum0.40390.46222576-216-210-00-10-70-36-103-6231207314-0.4-0.4
224224.0IUPU Fort WayneSum0.46590.453228214-1514-150-20-21-41-312-54-5232306224-0.0-0.0
8686.4IUPUISum0.54790.492417922-1022-100-10-11-46-315-15-612267860.40.3
282282.0Missouri Kansas CitySum0.42840.446929410-1810-180-00-20-60-310-74-5251331282-0.0-0.0
268268.3North Dakota St.Sum0.43600.46522519-189-180-00-10-40-89-51-73052192680.30.5
5452.8OaklandSum0.58010.504115524-824-80-40-02-25-117-14-7961654-1.2-1.0
125124.8Oral RobertsSum0.52470.490118419-1319-131-01-21-72-114-35-713263125-0.2-0.1
234233.7South Dakota St.Sum0.45730.468324312-1612-160-10-00-62-310-62-7275187234-0.3-0.2
327326.6Southern UtahSum0.39030.47202335-225-220-00-20-50-55-102-7270146327-0.4-0.5
281280.6Western IllinoisSum0.42900.444830010-1710-170-10-00-61-29-84-4230323281-0.4-0.4
331330.8Alabama A&MSWAC0.38280.39163458-158-150-00-10-10-58-80-4342270331-0.2-0.4
269270.0Alabama St.SWAC0.43460.397334213-1413-150-00-00-11-812-60-83473242691.00.1
346345.8Alcorn St.SWAC0.34250.44143072-292-290-10-30-10-82-160-13319114346-0.2-0.3
191190.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.48790.455727415-1516-160-10-40-20-616-30-1127324191-1.0-0.2
339339.5GramblingSWAC0.36400.40483406-206-210-10-10-11-55-131-63072733390.50.3
196197.1Jackson St.SWAC0.48250.430432218-1218-120-10-00-32-516-31-102801041961.10.8
326325.6Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.39040.42613268-238-230-00-10-20-108-100-12338216326-0.4-0.4
275274.4Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43170.409033812-1412-140-10-10-20-412-61-6320240275-0.6-0.4
342342.8SouthernSWAC0.34960.41553355-245-240-20-10-10-75-132-93112223420.81.8
226224.0Texas SouthernSWAC0.46400.442730414-1515-160-00-20-24-611-52-820335226-2.0-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
203204.2Boise St.WAC0.47870.493817514-1714-170-10-21-75-38-49-51923142031.21.1
188186.8Fresno St.WAC0.49190.521611814-1814-190-20-33-53-78-27-8209182188-1.2-0.3
251253.1HawaiiWAC0.44700.52721089-209-200-30-32-51-66-36-72281172512.14.8
174173.0IdahoWAC0.50160.513213513-1613-160-10-21-86-36-37-5140223174-1.0-1.1
7575.9Louisiana TechWAC0.55720.489518523-923-90-11-13-48-211-113-263276750.90.8
6358.0NevadaWAC0.57060.54158119-1120-120-20-26-57-27-17-6954463-5.0-0.8
6467.6New Mexico St.WAC0.56960.53988619-1119-120-22-32-26-39-17-68743643.60.9
177177.2San Jose St.WAC0.49930.517912513-1713-170-10-32-53-48-47-61411851770.20.3
3028.3Utah St.WAC0.60400.528010525-627-61-01-17-37-210-010-4608530-1.7-0.4
3636.7GonzagaWCC0.59660.525411125-625-61-22-25-06-111-112-34066360.70.5
176174.8Loyola MarymountWCC0.50040.487219017-1517-150-02-41-43-111-68-7173221176-1.2-1.4
305305.3PepperdineWCC0.41260.49501726-236-230-00-40-42-74-83-113102473050.30.2
7979.3PortlandWCC0.55400.517412619-1019-100-11-51-16-211-18-59998790.30.2
230230.3San DiegoWCC0.45980.509914510-2110-210-10-50-53-67-46-92081252300.30.3
208207.2San FranciscoWCC0.47690.519212110-1810-180-11-40-53-56-43-10260115208-0.8-0.5
236235.1Santa ClaraWCC0.45680.51121409-219-210-00-60-53-56-56-919089236-0.9-0.5
3536.2St. Mary'sWCC0.59710.521511925-525-51-12-24-15-113-012-23583351.20.9

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com