Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

These projections also include simulated Conference Tournaments.

For the projected RPIs through the end of the regular season, click on the links at the top.

This particular page is updated weekly

Click here for the detailed simulation results for this page

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

NEW! Click on a team's name to see the RPI Forecast broken down by different end of season records plus Schedules, Results and Probabilities of Winning

Through games of Feb 6, 2010.

	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
47	48.7	Charlotte	A10	0.5869	0.5356	96	18-5	22-9	1-5	3-3	1-0	8-1	9-0	10-4	69	155	45	3.7	0.3
28	32.9	Dayton	A10	0.6021	0.5628	40	16-6	23-9	2-5	3-2	2-0	13-2	4-0	11-3	17	17	33	-0.1	-0.0
120	127.1	Duquesne	A10	0.5259	0.5385	86	11-11	15-16	0-4	0-5	0-2	7-4	7-0	8-5	80	80	95	32.1	1.5
300	299.0	Fordham	A10	0.4186	0.5370	93	2-19	2-26	0-4	0-4	0-2	1-9	1-6	2-10	292	156	296	3.0	0.3
135	137.2	George Washington	A10	0.5178	0.5065	150	12-10	16-14	0-3	1-4	1-3	7-4	8-1	10-3	123	281	136	1.2	0.1
137	140.3	La Salle	A10	0.5171	0.5376	91	11-12	14-17	0-5	0-5	0-3	6-3	8-1	8-6	108	83	122	18.3	0.9
192	197.2	Massachusetts	A10	0.4851	0.5463	71	7-15	9-20	0-4	0-5	1-3	3-8	4-1	5-8	166	51	187	10.2	0.5
17	22.6	Rhode Island	A10	0.6151	0.5421	79	19-3	25-6	1-2	3-3	4-1	12-1	5-0	12-1	4	23	13	9.6	1.0
38	39.3	Richmond	A10	0.5958	0.5474	67	18-6	23-10	2-2	4-3	2-3	8-2	8-0	11-4	36	57	31	8.3	0.7
181	183.7	Saint Joseph's	A10	0.4931	0.5511	62	8-14	10-20	0-5	1-5	1-3	4-7	4-1	6-8	139	39	175	8.7	0.4
175	173.2	St. Bonaventure	A10	0.4975	0.5186	123	8-11	13-16	0-3	1-3	0-4	4-6	7-0	6-6	145	137	177	-3.8	-0.1
122	128.1	St. Louis	A10	0.5256	0.5287	106	13-8	17-14	1-2	2-3	1-3	8-4	6-1	8-5	171	192	110	18.1	0.7
25	26.0	Temple	A10	0.6096	0.5518	60	19-5	25-8	3-3	3-2	3-1	10-2	7-0	12-3	28	38	23	3.0	0.3
27	25.4	Xavier	A10	0.6083	0.5638	36	16-7	23-9	1-4	4-3	3-1	9-0	6-0	8-6	50	12	27	-1.6	-0.1
106	110.9	Boston College	ACC	0.5352	0.5682	33	12-11	15-16	0-5	1-4	5-4	4-3	5-0	9-5	154	180	104	6.9	0.4
36	38.7	Clemson	ACC	0.5962	0.5756	26	16-7	21-11	2-4	2-3	6-3	5-1	6-0	12-2	41	100	40	-1.3	-0.1
3	3.6	Duke	ACC	0.6600	0.5956	6	19-4	28-6	2-3	6-1	9-1	6-1	3-0	13-2	9	19	3	0.6	0.3
41	43.0	Florida St.	ACC	0.5927	0.5599	45	17-6	22-10	2-3	3-3	6-3	6-1	6-0	12-2	42	174	43	0.0	0.0
24	27.1	Georgia Tech	ACC	0.6106	0.5843	13	16-6	21-10	2-3	3-3	5-3	5-1	5-0	11-2	27	76	25	2.1	0.2
39	37.9	Maryland	ACC	0.5956	0.5791	20	14-6	21-10	1-5	2-2	5-3	6-0	6-0	9-4	97	101	46	-8.1	-0.5
88	92.6	Miami FL	ACC	0.5473	0.5255	111	15-7	19-12	1-2	2-3	4-4	2-2	10-0	13-0	61	325	83	9.6	0.5
77	82.0	North Carolina	ACC	0.5561	0.5840	14	13-9	17-16	1-7	2-4	4-4	4-1	5-0	11-4	55	70	78	4.0	0.2
109	113.2	North Carolina St.	ACC	0.5333	0.5428	78	14-10	17-15	1-2	2-4	3-7	4-2	7-0	12-3	103	243	108	5.2	0.3
90	93.1	Virginia	ACC	0.5471	0.5527	58	14-7	17-13	1-3	2-3	4-4	6-3	5-1	9-4	158	241	92	1.1	0.1
63	64.9	Virginia Tech	ACC	0.5724	0.5141	137	18-4	23-9	1-3	2-2	5-3	5-1	10-0	13-1	85	331	58	6.9	0.4
23	28.0	Wake Forest	ACC	0.6107	0.5740	28	16-5	21-9	2-3	4-2	6-3	4-1	6-0	10-2	37	81	16	12.0	1.0
299	293.8	Albany	AE	0.4195	0.4713	232	6-20	9-24	0-1	0-1	0-2	2-12	7-8	5-10	230	194	302	-8.2	-0.5
238	235.6	Binghamton	AE	0.4593	0.4798	206	9-14	12-19	0-1	0-1	0-2	4-12	8-4	3-10	255	154	235	0.6	0.0
154	147.9	Boston University	AE	0.5094	0.4849	192	13-11	18-13	0-2	1-1	0-3	3-6	14-1	6-7	172	108	162	-14.1	-0.7
286	283.3	Hartford	AE	0.4257	0.4566	264	7-16	10-21	0-2	0-0	0-1	1-11	9-7	2-11	337	287	282	1.3	0.1
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
157	153.7	Maine	AE	0.5082	0.4557	267	14-8	18-12	0-1	0-0	0-1	4-5	13-5	7-5	130	244	140	13.7	0.7
341	340.1	MD Baltimore County	AE	0.3622	0.4375	313	2-21	4-27	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-10	2-15	1-12	345	344	341	-0.9	-0.2
275	270.1	New Hampshire	AE	0.4326	0.4522	277	7-13	11-18	0-1	0-1	0-1	3-9	8-6	4-7	258	283	298	-27.9	-1.2
150	146.3	Stony Brook	AE	0.5117	0.4366	316	15-7	21-9	0-1	0-0	0-0	6-4	15-4	7-5	188	322	154	-7.7	-0.3
147	142.6	Vermont	AE	0.5126	0.4438	298	17-8	22-11	0-0	0-0	0-2	8-5	14-4	10-5	151	302	165	-22.4	-1.2
140	138.6	Belmont	ASun	0.5154	0.4686	240	14-10	20-12	0-1	0-1	0-2	7-4	14-5	5-5	129	119	144	-5.4	-0.3
190	189.5	Campbell	ASun	0.4869	0.4486	291	12-9	17-12	0-0	0-0	0-1	4-6	13-4	3-4	238	264	200	-10.5	-0.5
136	134.7	East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.5171	0.4999	160	12-12	17-15	0-1	0-2	1-3	6-5	11-4	3-7	113	3	147	-12.3	-0.6
312	312.1	Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.4048	0.4429	300	7-17	8-21	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-8	6-11	3-6	281	315	312	0.1	0.0
132	134.0	Jacksonville	ASun	0.5190	0.4682	243	13-9	19-12	0-1	0-2	0-2	5-4	14-4	4-5	120	131	132	2.0	0.1
273	273.6	Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.4336	0.4444	296	10-13	12-18	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-11	10-5	3-6	290	319	278	-4.4	-0.3
210	204.6	Lipscomb	ASun	0.4775	0.4499	287	11-11	16-14	0-1	0-1	0-2	5-4	11-5	2-6	303	303	209	-4.4	-0.2
232	229.7	Mercer	ASun	0.4635	0.4691	238	9-12	13-17	0-1	0-2	0-2	4-6	8-6	2-6	233	141	240	-10.3	-0.5
227	222.2	North Florida	ASun	0.4689	0.4637	253	10-12	14-17	0-0	0-0	0-3	4-9	10-5	4-5	146	163	206	16.2	0.9
303	298.6	South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.4158	0.4765	216	4-18	6-23	0-0	0-1	0-2	1-11	6-8	0-9	319	105	304	-5.4	-0.4
334	331.4	Stetson	ASun	0.3818	0.4617	260	3-18	4-23	0-0	0-2	0-2	1-8	3-11	0-7	330	204	327	4.4	0.8
73	78.6	Illinois	B10	0.5593	0.5594	46	16-8	19-14	2-5	2-3	2-2	4-3	8-0	8-5	125	86	73	5.6	0.4
202	208.7	Indiana	B10	0.4798	0.5430	76	9-12	11-20	1-6	1-3	1-5	2-5	6-1	6-6	242	214	226	-17.3	-1.0
197	205.8	Iowa	B10	0.4820	0.5631	38	8-15	10-22	0-6	0-4	0-7	3-5	6-0	6-7	193	64	196	9.8	0.6
142	144.8	Michigan	B10	0.5143	0.5536	54	10-12	14-17	0-6	1-3	2-4	4-4	6-1	6-5	157	103	143	1.8	0.1
21	25.2	Michigan St.	B10	0.6117	0.5554	51	19-5	25-8	2-3	2-1	6-3	6-1	8-0	10-3	45	82	12	13.2	1.2
62	61.3	Minnesota	B10	0.5728	0.5552	53	14-8	21-12	2-4	1-2	2-3	7-1	8-1	9-3	51	50	61	0.3	0.0
91	95.3	Northwestern	B10	0.5465	0.5160	133	15-7	22-11	1-5	0-2	3-2	6-1	12-1	12-1	65	245	65	30.3	1.7
37	37.1	Ohio St.	B10	0.5959	0.5435	75	17-6	24-9	4-4	2-1	4-2	5-1	10-0	10-3	54	116	35	2.1	0.2
214	211.4	Penn St.	B10	0.4762	0.5449	74	8-15	10-21	0-6	0-3	1-6	3-3	5-3	8-4	165	247	225	-13.6	-0.7
12	15.7	Purdue	B10	0.6247	0.5580	49	19-3	26-6	4-2	2-2	4-2	8-1	8-0	12-0	7	61	11	4.7	0.6
9	13.0	Wisconsin	B10	0.6290	0.5685	32	18-5	25-7	3-2	3-2	6-1	6-1	8-0	10-2	23	41	9	4.0	0.6
19	24.9	Baylor	B12	0.6130	0.5766	25	16-5	22-9	3-4	3-1	7-1	4-2	5-0	12-1	21	98	28	-3.1	-0.3
134	138.2	Colorado	B12	0.5183	0.5781	21	9-12	12-18	1-6	1-4	1-4	4-3	5-1	7-5	148	145	148	-9.8	-0.4
111	114.5	Iowa St.	B12	0.5328	0.5620	42	13-10	16-16	0-9	1-3	1-3	7-1	7-0	11-4	109	184	114	0.5	0.0
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
1	1.9	Kansas	B12	0.6722	0.5863	10	22-1	30-3	5-2	5-1	6-0	12-0	3-0	14-1	6	32	1	0.9	0.7
7	7.1	Kansas St.	B12	0.6447	0.6010	5	18-4	24-7	4-3	4-2	4-2	11-0	3-0	12-1	3	10	7	0.1	0.0
40	37.7	Missouri	B12	0.5951	0.5626	41	17-6	23-10	3-5	2-2	3-2	8-2	6-0	12-3	56	164	47	-9.3	-0.7
124	130.3	Nebraska	B12	0.5236	0.5484	65	13-10	16-16	0-8	1-3	3-2	3-4	8-0	12-3	81	224	126	4.3	0.2
78	84.2	Oklahoma	B12	0.5560	0.5814	17	13-9	16-16	2-5	2-4	3-3	5-3	4-1	9-5	95	89	72	12.2	0.7
48	50.6	Oklahoma St.	B12	0.5861	0.5752	27	16-7	20-12	2-5	1-3	2-3	9-1	5-0	12-2	29	85	41	9.6	0.7
13	15.6	Texas	B12	0.6243	0.5676	34	19-4	26-7	3-4	4-2	6-2	7-0	6-0	14-1	19	136	19	-3.4	-0.4
20	26.5	Texas A&M	B12	0.6127	0.5949	7	16-6	20-11	2-6	3-2	5-2	6-0	5-0	10-3	33	31	20	6.5	0.5
55	58.4	Texas Tech	B12	0.5798	0.5839	16	15-7	18-13	1-7	2-3	3-2	6-1	6-0	12-2	15	55	32	26.4	1.7
59	60.3	Cincinnati	BE	0.5768	0.5875	9	14-8	18-14	2-5	2-4	4-4	5-1	5-0	9-3	32	27	51	9.3	0.6
54	56.7	Connecticut	BE	0.5803	0.6013	4	14-9	19-14	2-7	1-3	6-3	7-2	3-0	10-3	16	4	57	-0.3	-0.0
182	187.8	DePaul	BE	0.4929	0.5630	39	8-15	10-21	1-6	1-3	1-7	3-3	4-2	7-5	141	123	152	35.8	1.9
8	9.9	Georgetown	BE	0.6382	0.6085	1	17-5	22-9	5-4	3-2	5-2	5-0	4-0	10-1	5	5	8	1.9	0.4
35	36.5	Louisville	BE	0.5977	0.6015	3	15-8	20-13	2-6	1-2	6-3	10-1	2-0	9-4	43	9	42	-5.5	-0.4
56	53.7	Marquette	BE	0.5791	0.5593	47	15-8	21-11	2-6	2-1	5-2	6-2	6-0	9-3	92	148	60	-6.3	-0.4
75	83.4	Notre Dame	BE	0.5562	0.5528	57	16-7	20-13	1-4	1-2	5-4	6-2	7-1	11-2	83	196	66	17.4	1.0
26	28.1	Pittsburgh	BE	0.6092	0.5850	12	17-6	23-10	2-5	2-1	6-3	8-1	3-1	11-2	25	35	22	6.1	0.5
94	102.7	Providence	BE	0.5415	0.5769	23	12-11	15-17	1-6	1-3	3-7	5-2	5-0	8-4	101	112	103	-0.3	-0.0
165	169.1	Rutgers	BE	0.5040	0.5560	50	11-12	13-18	0-6	0-3	2-7	5-3	5-0	9-3	102	172	119	50.1	2.5
70	75.5	Seton Hall	BE	0.5627	0.5702	31	12-9	18-13	1-6	2-2	3-4	5-1	7-0	9-2	60	130	63	12.5	0.7
61	63.6	South Florida	BE	0.5728	0.5600	44	15-7	20-12	2-4	1-2	5-5	7-2	5-0	10-2	58	158	48	15.6	1.1
95	105.0	St. John's	BE	0.5405	0.5724	29	12-10	15-16	1-6	2-3	3-4	5-2	5-0	10-2	38	71	91	14.0	0.7
2	3.3	Syracuse	BE	0.6627	0.5884	8	22-1	30-4	5-2	4-1	10-1	7-0	4-0	13-0	1	21	2	1.3	0.6
6	6.9	Villanova	BE	0.6480	0.5810	19	20-2	26-6	4-4	5-1	7-1	6-0	4-0	11-1	18	122	5	1.9	0.5
4	4.0	West Virginia	BE	0.6596	0.6024	2	19-3	26-6	4-4	5-1	8-1	7-0	2-0	11-1	2	13	4	0.0	0.0
292	288.7	Eastern Washington	BSky	0.4241	0.4953	173	4-17	6-22	0-1	0-1	0-6	1-6	4-8	2-10	263	124	295	-6.3	-0.4
274	276.8	Idaho St.	BSky	0.4330	0.4962	168	4-17	6-21	0-1	0-1	1-6	1-8	4-5	2-9	259	138	272	4.8	0.3
99	97.3	Montana	BSky	0.5389	0.4710	233	15-7	20-8	0-0	0-1	2-3	6-3	12-2	7-3	84	211	100	-2.7	-0.2
188	190.3	Montana St.	BSky	0.4876	0.4770	213	10-11	13-14	0-0	0-0	1-5	4-4	8-4	4-6	227	221	193	-2.7	-0.1
199	202.2	Northern Arizona	BSky	0.4816	0.4768	214	9-10	12-15	0-1	0-1	0-6	2-5	10-2	4-5	168	219	188	14.2	0.7
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
101	101.3	Northern Colorado	BSky	0.5370	0.4482	292	18-5	24-7	0-0	0-0	2-3	7-2	14-2	11-2	100	318	102	-0.7	-0.0
193	196.4	Portland St.	BSky	0.4837	0.4935	177	8-12	12-17	0-0	0-1	2-5	2-6	9-4	4-8	177	113	199	-2.6	-0.1
294	291.5	Sacramento St.	BSky	0.4217	0.4600	261	6-16	8-20	0-0	0-0	0-5	1-7	7-8	4-8	256	301	303	-11.5	-0.9
79	77.6	Weber St.	BSky	0.5556	0.5091	145	13-8	18-10	0-2	0-2	2-2	6-2	10-1	4-6	118	24	85	-7.4	-0.5
267	267.4	Charleston Southern	BSth	0.4366	0.4413	303	8-12	10-16	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-6	8-8	2-5	240	233	274	-6.6	-0.3
126	123.2	Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.5221	0.4172	335	17-4	25-5	0-1	0-0	1-0	3-2	21-2	7-2	147	335	141	-17.8	-1.1
310	306.0	Gardner Webb	BSth	0.4067	0.4635	254	4-16	6-21	0-2	0-1	0-2	0-7	6-9	0-8	304	99	289	17.0	1.2
266	266.7	High Point	BSth	0.4367	0.4187	334	9-11	12-15	0-0	0-1	0-1	2-5	11-8	3-6	282	334	263	3.7	0.2
251	252.9	Liberty	BSth	0.4479	0.4551	269	9-12	12-17	0-0	0-1	0-2	1-8	10-5	2-7	260	168	249	3.9	0.2
247	246.6	NC Asheville	BSth	0.4520	0.4784	210	7-14	10-17	0-2	0-1	0-2	2-6	8-6	0-8	265	14	234	12.6	0.7
329	326.6	Presbyterian	BSth	0.3881	0.4685	241	3-21	5-25	0-1	0-3	0-4	0-6	5-12	1-11	278	127	323	3.6	0.4
177	172.0	Radford	BSth	0.4956	0.4714	231	10-10	16-13	0-2	0-1	0-1	4-3	11-6	3-6	222	48	178	-6.0	-0.2
318	316.2	Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.3986	0.4567	263	4-15	5-19	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-7	5-9	1-5	252	72	324	-7.8	-0.6
180	178.9	Winthrop	BSth	0.4932	0.4575	262	11-10	16-13	0-0	0-1	0-3	2-6	14-3	2-7	232	144	184	-5.1	-0.2
272	273.6	Cal Poly	BW	0.4341	0.4534	274	8-14	11-19	0-1	0-1	0-1	2-7	8-10	3-10	313	317	259	14.6	0.7
216	210.3	Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.4748	0.4660	248	9-11	14-15	0-0	0-1	1-3	4-4	9-6	5-6	206	229	207	3.3	0.1
230	226.0	Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.4653	0.4751	222	9-14	14-19	0-1	0-1	0-2	5-9	9-6	6-9	216	202	229	-3.0	-0.1
139	139.6	Long Beach St.	BW	0.5164	0.5192	121	9-12	14-16	0-4	1-1	0-2	5-3	8-6	4-8	77	11	142	-2.4	-0.1
115	112.7	Pacific	BW	0.5302	0.4724	228	15-7	22-10	0-1	1-2	2-1	4-4	15-2	9-5	133	206	113	-0.3	-0.0
291	287.1	UC Davis	BW	0.4242	0.4513	280	7-13	10-20	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-9	8-9	2-10	325	324	281	6.1	0.3
280	277.7	UC Irvine	BW	0.4306	0.4434	299	8-14	12-18	0-1	0-0	0-1	3-8	9-8	6-7	266	329	265	12.7	0.7
260	264.9	UC Riverside	BW	0.4397	0.4623	258	7-14	10-18	0-1	0-1	0-3	3-6	7-8	5-6	229	260	258	6.9	0.4
145	143.9	UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.5136	0.4782	211	12-8	16-11	0-1	0-1	2-1	4-4	11-4	4-6	184	159	138	5.9	0.2
229	227.8	Delaware	CAA	0.4661	0.5376	90	6-17	8-22	0-2	0-5	0-4	3-6	4-5	4-8	162	40	216	11.8	0.7
104	109.0	Drexel	CAA	0.5360	0.5175	126	14-11	18-15	0-3	2-3	1-3	4-4	11-2	5-8	160	102	97	12.0	0.6
128	136.9	George Mason	CAA	0.5201	0.5043	157	15-9	18-14	0-2	1-4	1-2	4-3	12-3	6-6	212	166	133	3.9	0.2
233	232.2	Georgia St.	CAA	0.4627	0.4956	171	9-15	12-19	0-1	0-5	0-4	3-5	9-5	6-6	215	234	238	-5.8	-0.3
178	178.1	Hofstra	CAA	0.4954	0.5071	149	11-13	15-17	0-2	0-4	1-5	3-5	12-1	7-5	132	114	179	-0.9	-0.0
246	245.5	James Madison	CAA	0.4539	0.4779	212	10-13	12-19	0-1	0-5	1-4	1-6	9-4	8-5	204	340	245	0.5	0.0
220	219.7	NC Wilmington	CAA	0.4715	0.5243	113	7-16	10-21	0-1	0-5	1-5	2-7	6-3	4-8	198	110	214	5.7	0.3
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
49	47.9	Northeastern	CAA	0.5851	0.5487	64	16-8	22-10	1-1	4-2	4-2	5-4	9-0	6-6	59	2	55	-7.1	-0.6
34	34.2	Old Dominion	CAA	0.5983	0.5409	81	18-7	25-9	1-1	2-4	4-2	5-1	12-0	8-5	30	8	38	-3.8	-0.4
296	293.3	Towson	CAA	0.4203	0.4880	184	5-17	7-22	0-1	0-4	0-3	1-8	5-6	3-8	291	227	293	0.3	0.0
44	41.8	Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.5908	0.5243	114	17-5	23-7	1-0	3-2	4-2	4-2	12-0	9-1	14	67	53	-11.2	-0.9
57	59.3	William & Mary	CAA	0.5774	0.5327	101	15-7	21-11	1-1	3-3	2-3	5-1	9-2	8-3	12	20	54	5.3	0.4
191	198.0	Central Florida	CUSA	0.4865	0.5081	146	10-11	13-17	0-0	0-3	0-8	4-5	9-2	7-6	167	177	168	30.0	1.4
244	246.8	East Carolina	CUSA	0.4548	0.5315	103	4-16	6-22	0-3	0-4	0-6	1-6	5-3	3-8	178	29	221	25.8	1.7
144	142.2	Houston	CUSA	0.5138	0.5229	115	10-11	16-15	0-0	1-3	3-6	5-4	7-2	7-6	169	128	157	-14.8	-0.6
80	82.0	Marshall	CUSA	0.5554	0.5214	117	14-7	20-11	0-2	1-3	2-4	7-2	11-1	9-3	46	87	86	-4.0	-0.2
67	62.6	Memphis	CUSA	0.5687	0.5397	83	16-7	23-10	0-3	1-2	4-1	7-2	10-1	10-5	107	74	79	-16.4	-1.2
293	289.2	Rice	CUSA	0.4234	0.4807	202	7-15	9-21	0-1	0-2	0-5	1-7	8-6	6-7	245	238	287	2.2	0.2
194	194.6	Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.4837	0.5179	124	9-11	13-17	0-1	0-4	2-6	2-3	9-2	5-7	264	207	198	-3.4	-0.1
110	113.8	Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.5332	0.5146	135	10-8	16-12	0-1	1-4	1-4	4-1	10-2	6-4	112	197	105	8.8	0.4
53	51.2	Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.5809	0.5276	108	17-5	24-8	0-1	2-2	5-3	7-2	9-0	9-4	124	160	59	-7.8	-0.6
252	257.2	Tulane	CUSA	0.4460	0.5048	156	7-15	9-21	0-2	0-3	0-6	2-6	6-5	5-8	248	205	253	4.2	0.3
64	62.5	Tulsa	CUSA	0.5715	0.5257	110	17-5	22-10	0-1	1-2	4-4	7-2	10-0	10-4	91	162	62	0.5	0.0
31	35.2	UAB	CUSA	0.5997	0.5331	100	19-4	25-7	1-0	1-2	5-4	9-1	9-0	12-2	22	91	29	6.2	0.5
344	342.9	Chicago St.	GWC	0.3498	0.3967	343	4-16	6-22	0-0	0-0	0-2	0-5	6-15	2-13	335	313	347	-4.1	-1.3
343	342.3	Houston Baptist	GWC	0.3511	0.3933	345	5-17	8-24	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-5	8-17	1-17	347	333	343	-0.7	-0.2
337	333.3	NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.3748	0.4053	338	4-14	8-20	0-0	0-0	0-2	0-6	8-11	2-12	323	276	334	-0.7	-0.1
339	335.6	North Dakota	GWC	0.3715	0.4109	336	2-16	7-21	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-4	7-14	1-14	340	268	317	18.6	2.6
239	232.7	South Dakota	GWC	0.4592	0.4010	341	9-9	17-10	0-1	0-1	0-3	1-2	16-4	5-8	243	253	232	0.7	0.0
330	325.6	Texas Pan American	GWC	0.3870	0.4501	286	3-22	7-26	0-1	0-1	0-4	0-7	7-13	1-18	308	143	332	-6.4	-0.6
335	327.9	Utah Valley	GWC	0.3803	0.3795	347	7-12	11-16	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	11-12	3-10	333	332	339	-11.1	-1.0
15	17.2	Butler	Horz	0.6189	0.5417	80	20-4	27-5	1-2	2-2	4-1	14-1	6-0	8-4	31	7	15	2.2	0.3
143	146.0	Cleveland St.	Horz	0.5142	0.5389	85	10-12	15-16	0-5	0-1	1-3	6-6	7-0	3-8	208	16	128	18.0	0.8
167	159.7	Detroit	Horz	0.5036	0.4767	215	13-10	19-13	0-3	0-1	0-2	10-5	8-3	8-4	180	310	172	-12.3	-0.5
298	293.7	Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.4199	0.4978	166	5-17	6-23	0-3	0-0	0-3	2-14	4-3	3-7	270	248	300	-6.3	-0.4
184	184.9	Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.4916	0.4886	182	11-10	14-15	0-3	0-0	1-1	5-9	7-1	7-2	73	265	186	-1.1	-0.1
170	169.3	Valparaiso	Horz	0.5013	0.5079	147	9-13	13-17	0-3	0-1	0-3	6-7	7-3	2-8	234	182	163	6.3	0.3
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
118	125.4	Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.5265	0.5064	151	14-9	18-13	1-2	0-1	2-3	6-7	9-1	7-4	114	139	125	0.4	0.0
162	159.6	Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.5055	0.4962	169	11-11	16-15	0-3	0-1	1-2	6-8	8-1	7-4	126	213	159	0.6	0.0
83	78.2	Wright St.	Horz	0.5541	0.5050	154	15-9	21-11	0-2	0-2	1-2	11-5	8-0	8-4	75	151	96	-17.8	-1.2
255	258.0	Youngstown St.	Horz	0.4449	0.5054	152	6-15	8-21	0-3	0-2	0-3	3-11	5-2	4-5	163	161	251	7.0	0.4
345	344.6	Bryant	ind	0.3438	0.4471	293	0-24	1-29	0-0	0-0	0-3	0-7	1-19	1-29	342	297	345	-0.4	-0.2
323	322.2	Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.3928	0.4534	273	5-17	6-23	0-1	0-2	0-1	1-6	5-13	6-21	311	279	333	-10.8	-1.1
290	287.9	Longwood	ind	0.4244	0.4548	270	5-16	8-19	0-1	0-3	0-4	1-3	7-10	5-17	268	187	255	32.9	1.8
347	345.4	North Carolina Central	ind	0.3387	0.4206	331	1-20	3-23	0-0	0-0	0-4	0-4	2-16	1-20	344	311	346	-0.6	-0.3
322	321.5	Savannah St.	ind	0.3949	0.4195	333	6-14	7-15	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-6	7-7	5-13	300	286	325	-3.5	-0.3
235	233.7	Seattle	ind	0.4611	0.4546	272	10-13	14-17	0-0	0-1	1-4	3-5	10-6	14-16	231	273	230	3.7	0.2
316	313.9	Winston Salem St.	ind	0.4002	0.4384	310	5-12	8-18	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-4	8-9	7-18	301	296	291	22.9	1.5
262	267.3	Brown	Ivy	0.4383	0.4869	187	5-16	8-21	0-1	0-2	0-5	1-5	7-8	4-11	247	181	268	-0.7	-0.0
248	250.7	Columbia	Ivy	0.4496	0.4685	242	8-12	11-17	0-1	0-1	0-3	1-6	10-6	6-8	226	237	247	3.7	0.2
52	52.2	Cornell	Ivy	0.5816	0.4802	204	18-3	25-4	0-2	0-0	2-1	8-0	14-0	12-3	47	169	50	2.2	0.3
326	324.0	Dartmouth	Ivy	0.3906	0.4755	219	3-16	5-22	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-8	5-10	3-10	309	226	320	4.0	0.4
89	90.4	Harvard	Ivy	0.5472	0.4657	249	14-5	20-7	0-1	0-1	1-2	3-2	15-1	10-3	64	228	94	-3.6	-0.3
304	299.8	Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.4155	0.4830	195	3-15	6-22	0-3	0-1	0-3	0-6	5-9	1-13	329	236	306	-6.2	-0.5
116	120.1	Princeton	Ivy	0.5274	0.4562	266	12-5	19-8	0-1	0-1	2-1	2-3	15-1	8-5	159	291	124	-3.9	-0.2
253	256.0	Yale	Ivy	0.4458	0.4624	256	8-14	11-19	0-0	0-2	0-4	0-8	11-5	5-11	279	285	271	-15.0	-1.0
196	198.5	Canisius	MAAC	0.4834	0.4851	190	11-13	15-17	0-1	0-1	1-2	6-9	7-4	6-6	221	288	190	8.5	0.4
108	108.7	Fairfield	MAAC	0.5340	0.4887	180	16-7	20-11	0-2	0-2	1-2	7-5	12-1	7-4	106	252	116	-7.3	-0.4
76	77.3	Iona	MAAC	0.5561	0.5078	148	17-7	23-10	0-1	0-3	2-2	11-3	10-1	9-4	78	140	81	-3.7	-0.3
189	190.6	Loyola MD	MAAC	0.4873	0.4788	208	11-12	15-16	0-2	0-2	1-3	5-7	9-3	8-3	121	304	189	1.6	0.1
234	228.2	Manhattan	MAAC	0.4626	0.4943	175	8-15	11-19	0-1	0-2	0-4	4-9	8-2	6-5	174	232	242	-13.8	-0.7
333	330.4	Marist	MAAC	0.3839	0.4995	161	1-22	2-29	0-1	0-1	0-3	0-15	1-9	0-11	341	254	335	-4.6	-0.8
158	153.3	Niagara	MAAC	0.5069	0.4956	170	13-12	17-16	0-1	0-1	1-3	8-9	7-2	7-6	155	223	160	-6.7	-0.3
163	161.9	Rider	MAAC	0.5052	0.5026	159	13-12	16-17	0-2	0-1	1-4	5-8	9-1	7-6	131	186	151	10.9	0.5
32	32.6	Siena	MAAC	0.5990	0.5141	138	20-4	27-6	0-3	1-1	3-1	12-1	10-0	7-5	94	117	34	-1.4	-0.1
152	147.4	St. Peter's	MAAC	0.5109	0.4844	193	13-10	18-13	0-1	0-2	1-2	8-4	8-4	6-5	219	294	146	1.4	0.1
113	112.3	Akron	MAC	0.5316	0.4951	174	16-7	21-11	0-1	0-2	1-2	10-5	10-1	9-5	150	212	135	-22.7	-1.1
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
213	211.8	Ball St.	MAC	0.4768	0.4709	234	11-10	15-15	0-3	0-2	1-1	6-4	8-5	6-6	235	249	191	20.8	1.0
195	198.0	Bowling Green	MAC	0.4836	0.4887	181	10-11	13-16	0-1	0-1	1-2	4-10	7-2	7-5	183	275	185	13.0	0.6
130	137.7	Buffalo	MAC	0.5196	0.5125	141	11-9	15-14	0-1	0-1	1-2	7-8	7-2	6-5	96	96	131	6.7	0.3
185	186.0	Central Michigan	MAC	0.4903	0.4726	227	10-10	16-14	0-1	0-1	1-3	4-7	11-3	5-7	224	246	181	5.0	0.2
217	212.3	Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.4743	0.4669	247	10-11	14-16	0-0	0-1	1-2	4-7	8-6	6-6	192	261	215	-2.7	-0.1
58	56.1	Kent St.	MAC	0.5769	0.5301	104	16-7	23-10	0-1	1-2	3-2	12-4	7-1	9-5	49	28	64	-7.9	-0.6
133	135.4	Miami OH	MAC	0.5189	0.5294	105	10-13	15-17	0-3	0-2	2-3	6-6	7-2	4-10	225	63	129	6.4	0.3
249	252.3	Northern Illinois	MAC	0.4492	0.4762	217	8-14	11-19	0-1	0-1	0-4	2-8	9-4	4-9	267	251	246	6.3	0.4
149	144.7	Ohio	MAC	0.5121	0.5200	119	11-11	16-16	0-0	0-2	2-5	7-7	7-2	8-6	99	69	161	-16.3	-0.7
324	323.4	Toledo	MAC	0.3926	0.4989	163	2-21	3-28	0-1	0-2	0-5	0-13	3-7	2-12	299	150	315	8.4	1.1
117	122.8	Western Michigan	MAC	0.5271	0.5106	142	12-10	18-13	0-1	1-1	2-3	5-6	9-3	7-6	71	33	117	5.8	0.3
231	227.0	Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.4645	0.4283	325	11-9	16-14	0-0	0-2	0-3	0-3	16-6	6-6	197	262	244	-17.0	-0.8
336	331.3	Coppin St.	MEAC	0.3772	0.4332	322	2-16	6-22	0-1	0-1	0-3	1-4	5-14	3-7	277	295	338	-6.7	-0.7
240	235.1	Delaware St.	MEAC	0.4585	0.4421	301	8-9	13-13	0-0	0-1	0-2	1-5	12-5	2-6	285	188	231	4.1	0.2
331	327.6	Florida A&M	MEAC	0.3848	0.4343	319	4-16	7-22	0-1	0-2	0-1	0-6	7-13	2-11	318	257	329	-1.4	-0.1
289	280.8	Hampton	MEAC	0.4246	0.4207	330	7-15	14-18	0-0	0-1	0-4	0-3	13-10	4-10	286	316	305	-24.2	-1.3
315	314.7	Howard	MEAC	0.4017	0.4405	305	6-18	9-24	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-8	9-13	1-14	334	218	308	6.7	0.5
314	314.4	Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.4018	0.4373	314	6-16	9-22	0-0	0-0	0-5	0-5	9-12	2-12	327	277	307	7.4	0.6
100	99.1	Morgan St.	MEAC	0.5381	0.4507	283	16-7	26-9	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-4	22-1	9-8	140	220	123	-23.9	-1.7
311	307.1	Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.4066	0.4503	285	5-16	9-22	0-1	0-1	0-4	1-4	7-12	2-11	314	201	313	-5.9	-0.4
265	264.8	North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.4370	0.4553	268	5-15	11-19	0-1	0-1	0-5	2-3	9-10	2-10	289	171	275	-10.2	-0.5
218	209.7	South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.4739	0.4248	328	9-8	16-12	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-2	15-6	4-6	209	284	218	-8.3	-0.3
114	117.8	Bradley	MVC	0.5304	0.5472	69	12-11	15-15	0-3	0-2	4-5	5-6	5-0	6-5	161	95	111	6.8	0.3
121	123.8	Creighton	MVC	0.5257	0.5400	82	12-12	16-16	0-4	1-2	2-4	6-5	6-0	6-6	196	146	130	-6.2	-0.3
179	181.3	Drake	MVC	0.4939	0.5255	112	11-14	14-19	0-2	1-2	2-5	4-7	6-3	5-8	249	230	183	-1.7	-0.1
276	277.0	Evansville	MVC	0.4323	0.5136	139	5-17	7-23	0-2	0-2	0-6	1-12	5-1	6-4	239	321	290	-13.0	-0.9
102	105.7	Illinois St.	MVC	0.5364	0.5043	158	16-8	20-12	0-2	1-1	3-3	8-5	9-0	10-2	137	314	120	-14.3	-0.7
92	94.9	Indiana St.	MVC	0.5464	0.5429	77	13-10	16-14	0-2	0-2	2-3	11-5	4-2	7-4	68	90	82	12.9	0.7
86	85.2	Missouri St.	MVC	0.5515	0.5197	120	16-8	20-12	0-2	1-2	4-2	8-5	8-0	11-1	53	235	87	-1.8	-0.1
16	19.8	Northern Iowa	MVC	0.6171	0.5265	109	21-2	27-4	0-0	2-1	6-1	12-1	7-0	10-1	57	215	14	5.8	0.7
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
129	133.0	Southern Illinois	MVC	0.5200	0.5167	129	12-10	16-14	0-2	0-2	3-3	5-5	8-0	8-2	115	290	134	-1.0	-0.0
46	45.9	Wichita St.	MVC	0.5877	0.5166	130	19-5	25-8	1-2	1-1	5-1	10-3	8-0	10-2	74	258	37	8.9	0.7
237	240.7	Air Force	MWC	0.4597	0.5340	97	7-13	9-20	0-5	0-3	0-3	2-7	6-1	6-5	202	195	241	-0.3	-0.0
14	14.8	Brigham Young	MWC	0.6223	0.5283	107	21-3	29-4	1-2	3-2	5-0	9-0	10-0	14-1	26	173	21	-6.2	-1.0
112	116.4	Colorado St.	MWC	0.5319	0.5339	98	13-9	16-15	0-5	0-3	1-2	6-5	8-0	8-5	111	179	98	18.4	0.9
29	32.1	Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.6016	0.5368	95	18-4	25-6	3-3	2-1	4-1	7-2	9-0	11-2	48	152	30	2.1	0.2
11	15.6	New Mexico	MWC	0.6247	0.5498	63	21-3	27-6	3-2	3-2	4-1	9-2	8-0	14-1	10	53	10	5.6	0.9
45	43.5	San Diego St.	MWC	0.5897	0.5464	70	14-7	20-10	1-4	1-2	1-2	10-2	7-1	9-3	35	79	39	4.5	0.4
176	173.6	Texas Christian	MWC	0.4971	0.5450	73	9-13	11-19	0-5	0-4	0-4	2-5	8-0	6-7	179	129	174	-0.4	-0.0
169	163.1	Utah	MWC	0.5030	0.5381	88	10-12	14-18	1-4	2-3	1-4	4-4	6-3	7-7	205	170	180	-16.9	-0.8
208	208.6	Wyoming	MWC	0.4782	0.5584	48	7-14	9-20	0-7	1-3	1-1	3-6	5-4	5-7	187	45	201	7.6	0.4
309	304.9	Central Connecticut	NEC	0.4072	0.4043	339	9-14	12-18	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-5	12-11	5-8	338	347	319	-14.1	-0.9
282	278.4	Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.4299	0.4700	237	8-16	10-21	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-9	9-9	4-11	293	225	261	17.4	1.1
257	254.4	Long Island	NEC	0.4443	0.4492	289	9-14	13-18	0-0	0-0	0-3	3-6	10-9	4-9	280	266	267	-12.6	-0.6
281	274.8	Monmouth	NEC	0.4305	0.4353	318	10-14	13-18	0-0	0-0	0-1	3-9	10-8	6-8	294	343	299	-24.2	-1.3
187	177.7	Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.4893	0.4815	198	9-14	15-16	0-2	0-2	0-1	3-6	12-5	4-8	199	125	195	-17.3	-0.8
138	139.3	Quinnipiac	NEC	0.5167	0.4259	327	16-7	23-9	0-1	0-0	0-0	3-4	20-4	8-5	181	339	169	-29.7	-1.4
156	157.8	Robert Morris	NEC	0.5083	0.4532	275	16-8	21-12	0-1	0-1	1-1	4-5	16-4	6-8	213	239	158	-0.2	-0.0
242	237.1	Sacred Heart	NEC	0.4561	0.4200	332	12-11	16-14	0-1	0-0	0-0	2-6	14-7	9-4	175	346	257	-19.9	-0.9
277	273.2	St. Francis NY	NEC	0.4320	0.4238	329	10-13	13-17	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-6	11-9	5-8	302	345	280	-6.8	-0.4
313	311.6	St. Francis PA	NEC	0.4031	0.4488	290	7-16	9-21	0-0	0-1	0-2	1-8	8-10	3-9	317	267	310	1.6	0.1
325	322.5	Wagner	NEC	0.3918	0.4492	288	4-21	7-24	0-1	0-0	0-1	1-8	5-14	3-11	326	309	331	-8.5	-1.0
125	129.8	Austin Peay	OVC	0.5222	0.5054	153	12-11	17-14	0-2	0-1	1-4	5-5	10-2	5-6	122	36	115	14.8	0.7
221	215.3	Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.4712	0.4623	257	10-11	13-15	0-0	0-0	0-5	3-8	11-3	5-4	207	274	203	12.3	0.6
127	129.9	Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.5209	0.4721	229	15-8	20-11	0-1	0-1	1-4	4-3	14-2	7-4	136	203	139	-9.1	-0.4
261	262.4	Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.4395	0.4626	255	8-13	11-17	0-0	0-2	0-5	2-5	9-5	3-6	324	305	264	-1.6	-0.1
93	91.8	Morehead St.	OVC	0.5442	0.4953	172	15-7	21-10	0-1	0-1	1-4	6-2	14-1	3-6	119	15	107	-15.2	-0.9
68	63.2	Murray St.	OVC	0.5678	0.4563	265	20-3	27-5	0-1	0-1	2-2	8-2	17-0	6-3	79	189	90	-26.8	-2.8
328	324.9	SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.3900	0.4707	235	2-20	3-23	0-1	0-0	0-4	1-5	2-13	3-18	320	263	321	3.9	0.5
302	295.0	Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.4166	0.4718	230	6-16	8-22	0-0	0-0	0-6	1-10	7-6	2-8	272	198	301	-6.0	-0.4
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
338	335.5	Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.3746	0.4754	221	1-19	2-25	0-0	0-1	0-5	0-8	2-10	0-8	332	185	337	-1.5	-0.3
278	277.5	Tennessee St.	OVC	0.4312	0.4881	183	5-20	7-24	0-1	0-1	0-5	2-9	6-8	3-10	237	153	270	7.5	0.4
200	202.0	Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.4805	0.4854	189	10-12	13-17	0-1	0-1	0-6	2-5	10-4	4-6	156	135	192	10.0	0.5
82	84.6	Arizona	P10	0.5542	0.5711	30	12-11	17-15	1-4	1-3	4-4	8-3	3-1	6-6	98	6	67	17.6	1.1
69	69.5	Arizona St.	P10	0.5635	0.5369	94	16-8	22-11	0-4	1-2	3-3	10-2	8-0	10-3	70	93	76	-6.5	-0.5
22	24.2	California	P10	0.6112	0.5860	11	15-8	22-10	0-3	1-2	7-3	12-2	3-0	8-4	11	1	26	-1.8	-0.2
155	155.5	Oregon	P10	0.5093	0.5374	92	12-10	15-16	0-2	1-3	4-7	6-4	5-1	8-4	117	92	145	10.5	0.5
203	206.5	Oregon St.	P10	0.4798	0.5153	134	10-12	13-19	0-1	0-2	2-6	7-7	3-3	6-6	236	270	197	9.5	0.5
81	82.3	Southern California	P10	0.5553	0.5474	68	14-9	19-13	2-2	3-2	4-3	6-5	5-2	8-4	76	52	80	2.3	0.1
174	174.5	Stanford	P10	0.4979	0.5381	89	10-13	14-18	0-2	0-3	3-7	5-5	6-1	6-6	185	132	155	19.5	0.8
148	151.5	UCLA	P10	0.5125	0.5552	52	11-12	14-18	1-3	1-1	3-8	4-5	4-1	5-7	191	42	137	14.5	0.7
50	51.2	Washington	P10	0.5839	0.5531	56	16-7	22-10	1-2	1-1	6-4	9-3	5-0	10-2	20	26	56	-4.8	-0.3
107	114.2	Washington St.	P10	0.5343	0.5177	125	14-8	18-13	0-3	0-3	3-4	5-4	9-0	9-2	63	240	99	15.2	0.7
307	303.6	American	Pat	0.4085	0.4378	311	7-16	10-21	0-1	0-0	0-1	1-6	8-13	3-12	339	342	311	-7.4	-0.5
215	205.3	Army	Pat	0.4758	0.4319	323	11-9	17-12	0-0	0-0	1-1	2-4	14-7	9-4	152	327	224	-18.7	-0.8
279	274.5	Bucknell	Pat	0.4307	0.4388	309	9-15	13-19	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-6	11-10	5-11	306	336	285	-10.5	-0.6
305	297.7	Colgate	Pat	0.4122	0.4519	278	6-15	9-20	0-1	0-0	0-1	1-8	8-10	4-10	310	300	314	-16.3	-0.9
268	265.0	Holy Cross	Pat	0.4364	0.4794	207	6-17	10-21	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-10	9-7	3-12	276	190	279	-14.0	-0.7
204	206.2	Lafayette	Pat	0.4796	0.4342	320	14-9	18-13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1-5	17-6	9-6	201	326	210	-3.8	-0.2
164	163.0	Lehigh	Pat	0.5043	0.4412	304	15-8	21-11	0-0	0-1	0-0	2-3	18-5	9-6	182	307	170	-7.0	-0.3
271	269.0	Navy	Pat	0.4362	0.4369	315	11-12	14-17	0-0	0-0	0-2	3-6	11-9	6-9	295	330	277	-8.0	-0.4
263	266.3	Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.4380	0.5049	155	5-16	8-20	0-0	0-1	0-5	5-9	3-6	2-7	211	18	262	4.3	0.2
171	167.2	Arkansas St.	SB	0.5008	0.4749	223	12-9	16-12	0-0	0-1	0-3	6-5	10-3	3-6	246	210	156	11.2	0.5
151	150.7	Denver	SB	0.5112	0.4802	203	14-9	19-13	0-1	0-0	1-2	6-6	12-4	7-4	82	68	149	1.7	0.1
198	196.3	Florida Atlantic	SB	0.4816	0.4738	224	10-12	14-15	0-0	0-1	0-2	5-8	9-4	2-7	274	222	202	-5.7	-0.2
288	286.3	Florida International	SB	0.4249	0.4818	197	6-19	7-24	0-0	0-1	0-4	2-11	5-8	2-10	287	208	276	10.3	0.8
201	199.5	Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.4804	0.4705	236	10-11	14-15	0-0	0-1	1-1	6-7	8-6	2-7	284	278	233	-33.5	-1.3
270	270.6	Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.4363	0.4621	259	8-14	10-18	0-0	0-0	1-3	3-10	6-6	3-6	254	256	256	14.6	0.8
186	182.2	Middle Tennessee	SB	0.4896	0.4681	244	12-11	17-14	0-2	0-1	0-1	5-6	12-3	4-7	253	200	194	-11.8	-0.5
327	323.4	New Orleans	SB	0.3905	0.4511	281	5-17	6-22	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-13	6-8	3-6	305	338	330	-6.6	-0.7
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
160	159.2	North Texas	SB	0.5059	0.4508	282	13-8	18-11	0-1	0-1	0-1	5-5	13-4	6-3	89	216	150	9.2	0.4
225	220.3	South Alabama	SB	0.4690	0.4644	251	11-12	14-16	0-0	0-1	1-1	4-10	9-4	6-4	170	271	220	0.3	0.0
172	168.7	Troy	SB	0.4995	0.4828	196	10-11	14-14	0-0	0-1	0-2	6-6	8-4	2-6	210	121	167	1.7	0.1
161	154.8	Western Kentucky	SB	0.5057	0.4910	179	13-11	19-14	1-0	1-1	2-2	6-8	10-4	7-6	135	115	171	-16.2	-0.7
131	132.3	Appalachian St.	SC	0.5190	0.4813	201	11-9	18-12	0-1	0-1	3-1	6-4	9-5	5-5	104	60	127	5.3	0.2
222	221.7	Chattanooga	SC	0.4699	0.4785	209	11-12	14-17	0-1	0-2	1-4	4-3	9-6	6-5	144	142	219	2.7	0.1
87	89.5	College of Charleston	SC	0.5479	0.4943	176	16-8	21-11	0-1	0-1	2-2	6-6	14-2	5-7	134	66	88	1.5	0.1
159	157.9	Davidson	SC	0.5059	0.5101	143	10-11	16-15	0-2	0-2	1-5	4-5	11-2	3-7	223	49	164	-6.1	-0.3
285	284.3	Elon	SC	0.4266	0.4813	200	4-17	7-23	0-1	0-1	0-4	2-9	5-9	2-9	271	175	273	11.3	0.7
264	266.2	Furman	SC	0.4380	0.4470	295	9-12	12-17	0-0	0-1	0-4	2-5	10-6	4-5	251	312	269	-2.8	-0.1
301	295.8	Georgia Southern	SC	0.4169	0.4992	162	4-19	6-24	0-0	0-1	1-5	3-10	3-9	1-10	315	165	288	7.8	0.5
258	265.1	NC Greensboro	SC	0.4406	0.5097	144	5-18	8-23	0-2	0-3	0-6	1-7	7-6	1-10	244	30	248	17.1	1.1
256	257.9	Samford	SC	0.4449	0.4868	188	6-15	9-20	0-1	0-2	0-5	1-7	8-5	3-6	194	107	254	3.9	0.2
212	207.9	The Citadel	SC	0.4768	0.4814	199	10-12	14-16	0-2	0-1	1-4	2-5	11-4	4-6	186	133	217	-9.1	-0.4
98	101.6	Western Carolina	SC	0.5397	0.4735	225	15-6	21-9	0-1	1-1	2-1	5-3	12-3	7-3	39	77	93	8.6	0.4
97	97.9	Wofford	SC	0.5398	0.4754	220	16-8	22-10	0-1	0-1	2-4	4-3	16-1	7-5	87	147	101	-3.1	-0.2
103	108.9	Alabama	SEC	0.5361	0.5526	59	13-10	17-15	1-5	1-4	3-4	4-3	9-0	10-4	90	84	106	2.9	0.1
123	131.6	Arkansas	SEC	0.5238	0.5631	37	12-11	15-17	0-5	1-4	3-4	5-3	5-1	7-8	189	46	112	19.6	0.9
168	167.0	Auburn	SEC	0.5032	0.5476	66	10-12	13-18	0-3	0-4	2-6	4-5	7-1	8-6	153	120	153	14.0	0.7
51	51.7	Florida	SEC	0.5837	0.5619	43	17-6	22-11	2-6	2-2	4-1	8-1	6-1	12-3	72	118	49	2.7	0.2
96	105.6	Georgia	SEC	0.5399	0.5839	15	10-11	14-17	2-4	1-4	2-6	3-3	5-0	8-5	88	54	89	16.6	0.7
5	6.2	Kentucky	SEC	0.6497	0.5676	35	22-1	29-4	3-1	4-1	8-2	11-0	4-0	15-0	8	73	6	0.2	0.1
224	221.4	Louisiana St.	SEC	0.4697	0.5390	84	9-14	11-20	0-4	0-4	1-7	4-6	6-0	9-5	164	176	212	9.4	0.6
43	43.2	Mississippi	SEC	0.5915	0.5516	61	17-6	23-9	2-5	1-1	4-2	8-2	8-0	12-2	24	65	36	7.2	0.6
66	63.4	Mississippi St.	SEC	0.5702	0.5323	102	16-7	22-11	1-2	2-2	3-2	8-4	7-0	12-3	67	178	70	-6.6	-0.4
71	76.3	South Carolina	SEC	0.5616	0.5776	22	13-9	17-15	2-5	1-3	3-4	6-2	5-0	9-5	86	62	69	7.3	0.4
10	15.6	Tennessee	SEC	0.6255	0.5812	18	18-4	24-8	2-3	3-1	6-2	8-1	5-0	12-2	13	37	18	-2.4	-0.3
18	23.4	Vanderbilt	SEC	0.6150	0.5768	24	16-5	23-9	2-2	3-1	6-3	6-2	5-0	10-3	44	58	17	6.4	0.5
320	319.4	Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.3966	0.4415	302	4-15	6-20	0-1	0-0	0-3	1-5	6-11	3-7	273	298	328	-8.6	-0.7
241	239.8	Lamar	Slnd	0.4569	0.4648	250	10-11	13-16	0-0	0-0	0-4	3-7	9-6	5-7	262	280	236	3.8	0.2
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
287	285.5	McNeese St.	Slnd	0.4253	0.4527	276	5-14	9-19	0-0	0-1	0-3	2-5	7-10	2-9	298	269	286	-0.5	-0.0
297	293.8	Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.4200	0.4729	226	4-14	7-19	0-1	0-0	0-3	1-8	6-7	1-8	269	126	297	-3.2	-0.2
319	317.7	Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.3985	0.4401	306	4-13	7-19	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-5	6-10	2-7	316	320	326	-8.3	-0.6
74	78.1	Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.5564	0.4834	194	12-5	20-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	8-4	12-2	4-5	149	134	75	3.1	0.2
206	199.7	Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.4792	0.4440	297	9-9	15-12	0-0	0-0	0-2	2-6	13-4	4-5	214	250	222	-22.3	-0.9
173	168.5	Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.4994	0.4337	321	13-6	18-9	0-0	0-1	0-3	2-3	16-4	7-3	142	292	166	2.5	0.1
146	139.9	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.5133	0.4880	185	9-10	16-14	0-1	0-2	0-4	3-3	12-4	3-8	217	157	182	-42.1	-1.6
259	263.1	Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.4401	0.4471	294	8-9	11-15	0-1	0-1	0-2	2-4	9-6	4-5	288	341	266	-2.9	-0.1
183	177.3	Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.4919	0.4518	279	10-8	16-12	0-0	0-1	1-2	3-5	12-4	7-3	127	308	204	-26.7	-1.0
254	255.7	Texas St.	Slnd	0.4452	0.4670	246	7-12	10-17	0-1	0-0	0-3	2-8	7-6	2-8	331	299	260	-4.3	-0.2
295	292.6	Centenary	Sum	0.4206	0.4674	245	6-16	7-20	0-0	0-1	0-7	1-4	7-8	3-6	218	167	283	9.6	0.7
243	241.4	IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.4560	0.4506	284	9-12	13-16	0-2	0-1	1-3	2-4	10-5	4-5	228	282	243	-1.6	-0.1
105	106.1	IUPUI	Sum	0.5354	0.4801	205	15-8	21-10	0-1	0-0	2-4	5-3	14-2	5-6	138	97	109	-2.9	-0.2
283	278.3	Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.4293	0.4389	308	8-13	10-18	0-0	0-1	0-4	0-6	10-6	4-5	250	328	294	-15.7	-1.0
269	267.9	North Dakota St.	Sum	0.4363	0.4639	252	7-14	9-18	0-0	0-1	0-4	1-8	8-5	1-7	297	209	284	-16.1	-1.0
72	75.7	Oakland	Sum	0.5615	0.4979	165	16-8	22-10	0-4	0-1	1-1	5-2	16-2	4-7	105	22	68	7.7	0.7
119	120.4	Oral Roberts	Sum	0.5264	0.4928	178	13-11	19-13	1-1	1-1	1-6	3-3	14-2	4-8	143	47	118	2.4	0.1
205	202.1	South Dakota St.	Sum	0.4792	0.4691	239	11-11	15-14	0-1	0-1	1-5	2-4	12-4	2-7	275	191	211	-8.9	-0.4
317	317.2	Southern Utah	Sum	0.3989	0.4756	218	4-17	6-22	0-1	0-1	0-5	0-6	5-9	2-7	257	109	318	-0.8	-0.1
308	306.8	Western Illinois	Sum	0.4079	0.4354	317	6-14	8-18	0-1	0-0	0-4	0-4	8-9	4-4	241	337	309	-2.2	-0.2
332	326.1	Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.3843	0.3881	346	4-10	8-15	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-3	8-10	0-4	343	289	336	-9.9	-0.8
306	301.2	Alabama St.	SWAC	0.4117	0.4007	342	6-12	11-17	0-0	0-1	0-0	1-6	10-10	0-8	346	306	316	-14.8	-0.8
346	344.7	Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.3412	0.4392	307	0-23	2-29	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-6	2-19	0-13	321	111	342	2.7	1.3
211	201.2	Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.4774	0.4546	271	7-14	15-16	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-5	15-4	0-11	283	34	237	-35.8	-1.7
340	337.7	Grambling	SWAC	0.3651	0.3963	344	4-13	7-19	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-3	7-13	1-6	312	293	340	-2.3	-0.4
245	243.8	Jackson St.	SWAC	0.4542	0.4286	324	10-11	15-16	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-6	15-6	1-10	296	149	252	-8.2	-0.4
321	319.0	Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.3960	0.4281	326	5-17	8-23	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-8	8-12	0-12	336	193	322	-3.0	-0.2
250	250.3	Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.4492	0.4011	340	8-9	15-12	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-2	13-7	1-6	328	272	250	0.3	0.0
342	342.4	Southern	SWAC	0.3512	0.4085	337	4-17	6-23	0-2	0-1	0-1	0-5	6-15	2-9	322	255	344	-1.6	-0.5
207	203.3	Texas Southern	SWAC	0.4786	0.4377	312	9-11	17-14	0-0	0-1	0-3	2-4	15-5	2-8	220	44	227	-23.7	-1.1
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
219	213.9	Boise St.	WAC	0.4738	0.4849	191	10-12	14-17	0-1	0-2	1-6	5-4	8-3	10-4	173	323	223	-9.1	-0.5
166	160.5	Fresno St.	WAC	0.5038	0.5169	127	11-12	16-17	0-2	0-3	3-5	5-4	8-3	8-7	195	199	176	-15.5	-0.7
236	236.5	Hawaii	WAC	0.4607	0.5337	99	8-14	10-20	0-3	0-4	1-5	2-6	7-2	7-6	203	88	239	-2.5	-0.1
153	148.3	Idaho	WAC	0.5101	0.5144	136	9-11	14-15	0-1	0-2	2-6	4-4	7-2	7-5	116	217	173	-24.7	-1.0
60	61.7	Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.5731	0.4986	164	19-4	24-9	0-1	1-1	3-3	8-2	12-0	12-3	66	259	71	-9.3	-0.8
65	64.6	Nevada	WAC	0.5708	0.5532	55	12-9	19-12	0-2	1-3	4-3	8-3	6-0	7-6	62	25	74	-9.4	-0.6
84	86.0	New Mexico St.	WAC	0.5537	0.5457	72	13-8	17-14	0-2	1-3	2-3	5-5	8-1	6-7	110	43	77	9.0	0.6
141	142.7	San Jose St.	WAC	0.5149	0.5189	122	11-11	14-16	0-1	0-3	3-5	3-4	8-4	7-6	128	183	121	21.7	0.9
30	31.5	Utah St.	WAC	0.5999	0.5382	87	17-6	25-8	1-0	1-2	7-3	8-3	9-0	10-4	52	59	52	-20.5	-1.9
33	33.4	Gonzaga	WCC	0.5986	0.5209	118	18-4	26-5	1-2	2-2	6-0	4-0	12-1	12-3	40	56	24	9.4	1.0
209	209.2	Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.4778	0.4877	186	11-12	14-17	0-1	0-4	2-4	2-3	10-6	8-7	176	231	213	-3.8	-0.2
284	285.5	Pepperdine	WCC	0.4274	0.4967	167	6-16	8-22	0-1	0-3	0-4	2-6	6-7	3-11	307	242	292	-6.5	-0.4
85	82.2	Portland	WCC	0.5523	0.5165	131	13-8	19-10	0-2	1-4	1-2	5-2	12-1	8-5	93	78	84	-1.8	-0.1
228	227.5	San Diego	WCC	0.4671	0.5167	128	8-16	10-20	0-2	0-4	1-5	2-4	7-5	6-9	200	106	228	-0.5	-0.0
226	224.6	San Francisco	WCC	0.4689	0.5215	116	7-15	9-19	0-1	1-4	0-5	2-6	7-4	3-10	261	104	205	19.6	1.0
223	224.8	Santa Clara	WCC	0.4698	0.5163	132	8-16	11-20	0-1	0-5	0-5	3-4	7-6	6-9	190	94	208	16.8	1.2
42	38.5	St. Mary's	WCC	0.5924	0.5136	140	20-3	25-5	0-1	3-2	4-2	5-0	13-0	12-2	34	75	44	-5.5	-0.6

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com