Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

These projections also include simulated Conference Tournaments.

For the projected RPIs through the end of the regular season, click on the links at the top.

This particular page is updated weekly

Click here for the detailed simulation results for this page

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

NEW! Click on a team's name to see the RPI Forecast broken down by different end of season records plus Schedules, Results and Probabilities of Winning

(Help keep the site up and running - donate via paypal to rpiforecast@gmail.com)

Through games of Feb 6, 2010.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.9KansasB120.67220.58631022-130-35-25-16-012-03-014-163210.90.7
23.3SyracuseBE0.66270.5884822-130-45-24-110-17-04-013-012121.30.6
33.6DukeACC0.66000.5956619-428-62-36-19-16-13-013-291930.60.3
44.0West VirginiaBE0.65960.6024219-326-64-45-18-17-02-011-121340.00.0
56.2KentuckySEC0.64970.56763522-129-43-14-18-211-04-015-087360.20.1
66.9VillanovaBE0.64800.58101920-226-64-45-17-16-04-011-11812251.90.5
77.1Kansas St.B120.64470.6010518-424-74-34-24-211-03-012-131070.10.0
89.9GeorgetownBE0.63820.6085117-522-95-43-25-25-04-010-15581.90.4
913.0WisconsinB100.62900.56853218-525-73-23-26-16-18-010-2234194.00.6
1414.8Brigham YoungMWC0.62230.528310721-329-41-23-25-09-010-014-12617321-6.2-1.0
1115.6New MexicoMWC0.62470.54986321-327-63-23-24-19-28-014-11053105.60.9
1315.6TexasB120.62430.56763419-426-73-44-26-27-06-014-11913619-3.4-0.4
1015.6TennesseeSEC0.62550.58121818-424-82-33-16-28-15-012-2133718-2.4-0.3
1215.7PurdueB100.62470.55804919-326-64-22-24-28-18-012-0761114.70.6
1517.2ButlerHorz0.61890.54178020-427-51-22-24-114-16-08-4317152.20.3
1619.8Northern IowaMVC0.61710.526510921-227-40-02-16-112-17-010-157215145.80.7
1722.6Rhode IslandA100.61510.54217919-325-61-23-34-112-15-012-1423139.61.0
1823.4VanderbiltSEC0.61500.57682416-523-92-23-16-36-25-010-34458176.40.5
2224.2CaliforniaP100.61120.58601115-822-100-31-27-312-23-08-411126-1.8-0.2
1924.9BaylorB120.61300.57662516-522-93-43-17-14-25-012-1219828-3.1-0.3
2125.2Michigan St.B100.61170.55545119-525-82-32-16-36-18-010-345821213.21.2
2725.4XavierA100.60830.56383616-723-91-44-33-19-06-08-6501227-1.6-0.1
2526.0TempleA100.60960.55186019-525-83-33-23-110-27-012-32838233.00.3
2026.5Texas A&MB120.61270.5949716-620-112-63-25-26-05-010-33331206.50.5
2427.1Georgia TechACC0.61060.58431316-621-102-33-35-35-15-011-22776252.10.2
2328.0Wake ForestACC0.61070.57402816-521-92-34-26-34-16-010-237811612.01.0
2628.1PittsburghBE0.60920.58501217-623-102-52-16-38-13-111-22535226.10.5
3031.5Utah St.WAC0.59990.53828717-625-81-01-27-38-39-010-4525952-20.5-1.9
2932.1Nevada Las VegasMWC0.60160.53689518-425-63-32-14-17-29-011-248152302.10.2
3232.6SienaMAAC0.59900.514113820-427-60-31-13-112-110-07-59411734-1.4-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
2832.9DaytonA100.60210.56284016-623-92-53-22-013-24-011-3171733-0.1-0.0
3333.4GonzagaWCC0.59860.520911818-426-51-22-26-04-012-112-34056249.41.0
3434.2Old DominionCAA0.59830.54098118-725-91-12-44-25-112-08-530838-3.8-0.4
3135.2UABCUSA0.59970.533110019-425-71-01-25-49-19-012-22291296.20.5
3536.5LouisvilleBE0.59770.6015315-820-132-61-26-310-12-09-443942-5.5-0.4
3737.1Ohio St.B100.59590.54357517-624-94-42-14-25-110-010-354116352.10.2
4037.7MissouriB120.59510.56264117-623-103-52-23-28-26-012-35616447-9.3-0.7
3937.9MarylandACC0.59560.57912014-621-101-52-25-36-06-09-49710146-8.1-0.5
4238.5St. Mary'sWCC0.59240.513614020-325-50-13-24-25-013-012-2347544-5.5-0.6
3638.7ClemsonACC0.59620.57562616-721-112-42-36-35-16-012-24110040-1.3-0.1
3839.3RichmondA100.59580.54746718-623-102-24-32-38-28-011-43657318.30.7
4441.8Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.59080.524311417-523-71-03-24-24-212-09-1146753-11.2-0.9
4143.0Florida St.ACC0.59270.55994517-622-102-33-36-36-16-012-242174430.00.0
4343.2MississippiSEC0.59150.55166117-623-92-51-14-28-28-012-22465367.20.6
4543.5San Diego St.MWC0.58970.54647014-720-101-41-21-210-27-19-33579394.50.4
4645.9Wichita St.MVC0.58770.516613019-525-81-21-15-110-38-010-274258378.90.7
4947.9NortheasternCAA0.58510.54876416-822-101-14-24-25-49-06-659255-7.1-0.6
4748.7CharlotteA100.58690.53569618-522-91-53-31-08-19-010-469155453.70.3
4850.6Oklahoma St.B120.58610.57522716-720-122-51-32-39-15-012-22985419.60.7
5351.2Texas El PasoCUSA0.58090.527610817-524-80-12-25-37-29-09-412416059-7.8-0.6
5051.2WashingtonP100.58390.55315616-722-101-21-16-49-35-010-2202656-4.8-0.3
5151.7FloridaSEC0.58370.56194317-622-112-62-24-18-16-112-372118492.70.2
5252.2CornellIvy0.58160.480220418-325-40-20-02-18-014-012-347169502.20.3
5653.7MarquetteBE0.57910.55934715-821-112-62-15-26-26-09-39214860-6.3-0.4
5856.1Kent St.MAC0.57690.530110416-723-100-11-23-212-47-19-5492864-7.9-0.6
5456.7ConnecticutBE0.58030.6013414-919-142-71-36-37-23-010-316457-0.3-0.0
5558.4Texas TechB120.57980.58391615-718-131-72-33-26-16-012-215553226.41.7
5759.3William & MaryCAA0.57740.532710115-721-111-13-32-35-19-28-31220545.30.4
5960.3CincinnatiBE0.57680.5875914-818-142-52-44-45-15-09-33227519.30.6
6261.3MinnesotaB100.57280.55525314-821-122-41-22-37-18-19-35150610.30.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6061.7Louisiana TechWAC0.57310.498616419-424-90-11-13-38-212-012-36625971-9.3-0.8
6462.5TulsaCUSA0.57150.525711017-522-100-11-24-47-210-010-491162620.50.0
6762.6MemphisCUSA0.56870.53978316-723-100-31-24-17-210-110-51077479-16.4-1.2
6863.2Murray St.OVC0.56780.456326520-327-50-10-12-28-217-06-37918990-26.8-2.8
6663.4Mississippi St.SEC0.57020.532310216-722-111-22-23-28-47-012-36717870-6.6-0.4
6163.6South FloridaBE0.57280.56004415-720-122-41-25-57-25-010-2581584815.61.1
6564.6NevadaWAC0.57080.55325512-919-120-21-34-38-36-07-6622574-9.4-0.6
6364.9Virginia TechACC0.57240.514113718-423-91-32-25-35-110-013-185331586.90.4
6969.5Arizona St.P100.56350.53699416-822-110-41-23-310-28-010-3709376-6.5-0.5
7075.5Seton HallBE0.56270.57023112-918-131-62-23-45-17-09-2601306312.50.7
7275.7OaklandSum0.56150.497916516-822-100-40-11-15-216-24-710522687.70.7
7176.3South CarolinaSEC0.56160.57762213-917-152-51-33-46-25-09-58662697.30.4
7677.3IonaMAAC0.55610.507814817-723-100-10-32-211-310-19-47814081-3.7-0.3
7977.6Weber St.BSky0.55560.509114513-818-100-20-22-26-210-14-61182485-7.4-0.5
7478.1Sam Houston St.Slnd0.55640.483419412-520-70-10-00-18-412-24-5149134753.10.2
8378.2Wright St.Horz0.55410.505015415-921-110-20-21-211-58-08-47515196-17.8-1.2
7378.6IllinoisB100.55930.55944616-819-142-52-32-24-38-08-512586735.60.4
8082.0MarshallCUSA0.55540.521411714-720-110-21-32-47-211-19-3468786-4.0-0.2
7782.0North CarolinaACC0.55610.58401413-917-161-72-44-44-15-011-45570784.00.2
8582.2PortlandWCC0.55230.516513113-819-100-21-41-25-212-18-5937884-1.8-0.1
8182.3Southern CaliforniaP100.55530.54746814-919-132-23-24-36-55-28-47652802.30.1
7583.4Notre DameBE0.55620.55285716-720-131-41-25-46-27-111-2831966617.41.0
7884.2OklahomaB120.55600.58141713-916-162-52-43-35-34-19-595897212.20.7
8284.6ArizonaP100.55420.57113012-1117-151-41-34-48-33-16-69866717.61.1
8685.2Missouri St.MVC0.55150.519712016-820-120-21-24-28-58-011-15323587-1.8-0.1
8486.0New Mexico St.WAC0.55370.54577213-817-140-21-32-35-58-16-711043779.00.6
8789.5College of CharlestonSC0.54790.494317616-821-110-10-12-26-614-25-713466881.50.1
8990.4HarvardIvy0.54720.465724914-520-70-10-11-23-215-110-36422894-3.6-0.3
9391.8Morehead St.OVC0.54420.495317215-721-100-10-11-46-214-13-611915107-15.2-0.9
8892.6Miami FLACC0.54730.525511115-719-121-22-34-42-210-013-061325839.60.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9093.1VirginiaACC0.54710.55275814-717-131-32-34-46-35-19-4158241921.10.1
9294.9Indiana St.MVC0.54640.54297713-1016-140-20-22-311-54-27-468908212.90.7
9195.3NorthwesternB100.54650.516013315-722-111-50-23-26-112-112-1652456530.31.7
9997.3MontanaBSky0.53890.471023315-720-80-00-12-36-312-27-384211100-2.7-0.2
9797.9WoffordSC0.53980.475422016-822-100-10-12-44-316-17-587147101-3.1-0.2
10099.1Morgan St.MEAC0.53810.450728316-726-90-10-10-23-422-19-8140220123-23.9-1.7
101101.3Northern ColoradoBSky0.53700.448229218-524-70-00-02-37-214-211-2100318102-0.7-0.0
98101.6Western CarolinaSC0.53970.473522515-621-90-11-12-15-312-37-33977938.60.4
94102.7ProvidenceBE0.54150.57692312-1115-171-61-33-75-25-08-4101112103-0.3-0.0
95105.0St. John'sBE0.54050.57242912-1015-161-62-33-45-25-010-238719114.00.7
96105.6GeorgiaSEC0.53990.58391510-1114-172-41-42-63-35-08-588548916.60.7
102105.7Illinois St.MVC0.53640.504315816-820-120-21-13-38-59-010-2137314120-14.3-0.7
105106.1IUPUISum0.53540.480120515-821-100-10-02-45-314-25-613897109-2.9-0.2
108108.7FairfieldMAAC0.53400.488718016-720-110-20-21-27-512-17-4106252116-7.3-0.4
103108.9AlabamaSEC0.53610.55265913-1017-151-51-43-44-39-010-490841062.90.1
104109.0DrexelCAA0.53600.517512614-1118-150-32-31-34-411-25-81601029712.00.6
106110.9Boston CollegeACC0.53520.56823312-1115-160-51-45-44-35-09-51541801046.90.4
113112.3AkronMAC0.53160.495117416-721-110-10-21-210-510-19-5150212135-22.7-1.1
115112.7PacificBW0.53020.472422815-722-100-11-22-14-415-29-5133206113-0.3-0.0
109113.2North Carolina St.ACC0.53330.54287814-1017-151-22-43-74-27-012-31032431085.20.3
110113.8Southern MississippiCUSA0.53320.514613510-816-120-11-41-44-110-26-41121971058.80.4
107114.2Washington St.P100.53430.517712514-818-130-30-33-45-49-09-2632409915.20.7
111114.5Iowa St.B120.53280.56204213-1016-160-91-31-37-17-011-41091841140.50.0
112116.4Colorado St.MWC0.53190.53399813-916-150-50-31-26-58-08-51111799818.40.9
114117.8BradleyMVC0.53040.54726912-1115-150-30-24-55-65-06-5161951116.80.3
116120.1PrincetonIvy0.52740.456226612-519-80-10-12-12-315-18-5159291124-3.9-0.2
119120.4Oral RobertsSum0.52640.492817813-1119-131-11-11-63-314-24-8143471182.40.1
117122.8Western MichiganMAC0.52710.510614212-1018-130-11-12-35-69-37-671331175.80.3
126123.2Coastal CarolinaBSth0.52210.417233517-425-50-10-01-03-221-27-2147335141-17.8-1.1
121123.8CreightonMVC0.52570.54008212-1216-160-41-22-46-56-06-6196146130-6.2-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
118125.4Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.52650.506415114-918-131-20-12-36-79-17-41141391250.40.0
120127.1DuquesneA100.52590.53858611-1115-160-40-50-27-47-08-580809532.11.5
122128.1St. LouisA100.52560.528710613-817-141-22-31-38-46-18-517119211018.10.7
125129.8Austin PeayOVC0.52220.505415312-1117-140-20-11-45-510-25-61223611514.80.7
127129.9Eastern KentuckyOVC0.52090.472122915-820-110-10-11-44-314-27-4136203139-9.1-0.4
124130.3NebraskaB120.52360.54846513-1016-160-81-33-23-48-012-3812241264.30.2
123131.6ArkansasSEC0.52380.56313712-1115-170-51-43-45-35-17-81894611219.60.9
131132.3Appalachian St.SC0.51900.481320111-918-120-10-13-16-49-55-5104601275.30.2
129133.0Southern IllinoisMVC0.52000.516712912-1016-140-20-23-35-58-08-2115290134-1.0-0.0
132134.0JacksonvilleASun0.51900.468224313-919-120-10-20-25-414-44-51201311322.00.1
136134.7East Tennessee St.ASun0.51710.499916012-1217-150-10-21-36-511-43-71133147-12.3-0.6
133135.4Miami OHMAC0.51890.529410510-1315-170-30-22-36-67-24-10225631296.40.3
128136.9George MasonCAA0.52010.504315715-918-140-21-41-24-312-36-62121661333.90.2
135137.2George WashingtonA100.51780.506515012-1016-140-31-41-37-48-110-31232811361.20.1
130137.7BuffaloMAC0.51960.512514111-915-140-10-11-27-87-26-596961316.70.3
134138.2ColoradoB120.51830.5781219-1212-181-61-41-44-35-17-5148145148-9.8-0.4
140138.6BelmontASun0.51540.468624014-1020-120-10-10-27-414-55-5129119144-5.4-0.3
138139.3QuinnipiacNEC0.51670.425932716-723-90-10-00-03-420-48-5181339169-29.7-1.4
139139.6Long Beach St.BW0.51640.51921219-1214-160-41-10-25-38-64-87711142-2.4-0.1
146139.9Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.51330.48801859-1016-140-10-20-43-312-43-8217157182-42.1-1.6
137140.3La SalleA100.51710.53769111-1214-170-50-50-36-38-18-61088312218.30.9
144142.2HoustonCUSA0.51380.522911510-1116-150-01-33-65-47-27-6169128157-14.8-0.6
147142.6VermontAE0.51260.443829817-822-110-00-00-28-514-410-5151302165-22.4-1.2
141142.7San Jose St.WAC0.51490.518912211-1114-160-10-33-53-48-47-612818312121.70.9
145143.9UC Santa BarbaraBW0.51360.478221112-816-110-10-12-14-411-44-61841591385.90.2
149144.7OhioMAC0.51210.520011911-1116-160-00-22-57-77-28-69969161-16.3-0.7
142144.8MichiganB100.51430.55365410-1214-170-61-32-44-46-16-51571031431.80.1
143146.0Cleveland St.Horz0.51420.53898510-1215-160-50-11-36-67-03-82081612818.00.8
150146.3Stony BrookAE0.51170.436631615-721-90-10-00-06-415-47-5188322154-7.7-0.3
152147.4St. Peter'sMAAC0.51090.484419313-1018-130-10-21-28-48-46-52192941461.40.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
154147.9Boston UniversityAE0.50940.484919213-1118-130-21-10-33-614-16-7172108162-14.1-0.7
153148.3IdahoWAC0.51010.51441369-1114-150-10-22-64-47-27-5116217173-24.7-1.0
151150.7DenverSB0.51120.480220314-919-130-10-01-26-612-47-482681491.70.1
148151.5UCLAP100.51250.55525211-1214-181-31-13-84-54-15-71914213714.50.7
158153.3NiagaraMAAC0.50690.495617013-1217-160-10-11-38-97-27-6155223160-6.7-0.3
157153.7MaineAE0.50820.455726714-818-120-10-00-14-513-57-513024414013.70.7
161154.8Western KentuckySB0.50570.491017913-1119-141-01-12-26-810-47-6135115171-16.2-0.7
155155.5OregonP100.50930.53749212-1015-160-21-34-76-45-18-41179214510.50.5
156157.8Robert MorrisNEC0.50830.453227516-821-120-10-11-14-516-46-8213239158-0.2-0.0
159157.9DavidsonSC0.50590.510114310-1116-150-20-21-54-511-23-722349164-6.1-0.3
160159.2North TexasSB0.50590.450828213-818-110-10-10-15-513-46-3892161509.20.4
162159.6Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.50550.496216911-1116-150-30-11-26-88-17-41262131590.60.0
167159.7DetroitHorz0.50360.476721513-1019-130-30-10-210-58-38-4180310172-12.3-0.5
166160.5Fresno St.WAC0.50380.516912711-1216-170-20-33-55-48-38-7195199176-15.5-0.7
163161.9RiderMAAC0.50520.502615913-1216-170-20-11-45-89-17-613118615110.90.5
164163.0LehighPat0.50430.441230415-821-110-00-10-02-318-59-6182307170-7.0-0.3
169163.1UtahMWC0.50300.53818810-1214-181-42-31-44-46-37-7205170180-16.9-0.8
168167.0AuburnSEC0.50320.54766610-1213-180-30-42-64-57-18-615312015314.00.7
171167.2Arkansas St.SB0.50080.474922312-916-120-00-10-36-510-33-624621015611.20.5
173168.5Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.49940.433732113-618-90-00-10-32-316-47-31422921662.50.1
172168.7TroySB0.49950.482819610-1114-140-00-10-26-68-42-62101211671.70.1
165169.1RutgersBE0.50400.55605011-1213-180-60-32-75-35-09-310217211950.12.5
170169.3ValparaisoHorz0.50130.50791479-1313-170-30-10-36-77-32-82341821636.30.3
177172.0RadfordBSth0.49560.471423110-1016-130-20-10-14-311-63-622248178-6.0-0.2
175173.2St. BonaventureA100.49750.51861238-1113-160-31-30-44-67-06-6145137177-3.8-0.1
176173.6Texas ChristianMWC0.49710.5450739-1311-190-50-40-42-58-06-7179129174-0.4-0.0
174174.5StanfordP100.49790.53818910-1314-180-20-33-75-56-16-618513215519.50.8
183177.3Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49190.451827910-816-120-00-11-23-512-47-3127308204-26.7-1.0
187177.7Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.48930.48151989-1415-160-20-20-13-612-54-8199125195-17.3-0.8
178178.1HofstraCAA0.49540.507114911-1315-170-20-41-53-512-17-5132114179-0.9-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
180178.9WinthropBSth0.49320.457526211-1016-130-00-10-32-614-32-7232144184-5.1-0.2
179181.3DrakeMVC0.49390.525511211-1414-190-21-22-54-76-35-8249230183-1.7-0.1
186182.2Middle TennesseeSB0.48960.468124412-1117-140-20-10-15-612-34-7253200194-11.8-0.5
181183.7Saint Joseph'sA100.49310.5511628-1410-200-51-51-34-74-16-8139391758.70.4
184184.9Loyola ChicagoHorz0.49160.488618211-1014-150-30-01-15-97-17-273265186-1.1-0.1
185186.0Central MichiganMAC0.49030.472622710-1016-140-10-11-34-711-35-72242461815.00.2
182187.8DePaulBE0.49290.5630398-1510-211-61-31-73-34-27-514112315235.81.9
190189.5CampbellASun0.48690.448629112-917-120-00-00-14-613-43-4238264200-10.5-0.5
188190.3Montana St.BSky0.48760.477021310-1113-140-00-01-54-48-44-6227221193-2.7-0.1
189190.6Loyola MDMAAC0.48730.478820811-1215-160-20-21-35-79-38-31213041891.60.1
194194.6Southern MethodistCUSA0.48370.51791249-1113-170-10-42-62-39-25-7264207198-3.4-0.1
198196.3Florida AtlanticSB0.48160.473822410-1214-150-00-10-25-89-42-7274222202-5.7-0.2
193196.4Portland St.BSky0.48370.49351778-1212-170-00-12-52-69-44-8177113199-2.6-0.1
192197.2MassachusettsA100.48510.5463717-159-200-40-51-33-84-15-81665118710.20.5
195198.0Bowling GreenMAC0.48360.488718110-1113-160-10-11-24-107-27-518327518513.00.6
191198.0Central FloridaCUSA0.48650.508114610-1113-170-00-30-84-59-27-616717716830.01.4
196198.5CanisiusMAAC0.48340.485119011-1315-170-10-11-26-97-46-62212881908.50.4
201199.5Louisiana LafayetteSB0.48040.470523610-1114-150-00-11-16-78-62-7284278233-33.5-1.3
206199.7Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.47920.44402979-915-120-00-00-22-613-44-5214250222-22.3-0.9
211201.2Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.47740.45462717-1415-160-20-20-30-515-40-1128334237-35.8-1.7
200202.0Tennessee TechOVC0.48050.485418910-1213-170-10-10-62-510-44-615613519210.00.5
205202.1South Dakota St.Sum0.47920.469123911-1115-140-10-11-52-412-42-7275191211-8.9-0.4
199202.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.48160.47682149-1012-150-10-10-62-510-24-516821918814.20.7
207203.3Texas SouthernSWAC0.47860.43773129-1117-140-00-10-32-415-52-822044227-23.7-1.1
210204.6LipscombASun0.47750.449928711-1116-140-10-10-25-411-52-6303303209-4.4-0.2
215205.3ArmyPat0.47580.431932311-917-120-00-01-12-414-79-4152327224-18.7-0.8
197205.8IowaB100.48200.5631388-1510-220-60-40-73-56-06-7193641969.80.6
204206.2LafayettePat0.47960.434232014-918-130-10-00-01-517-69-6201326210-3.8-0.2
203206.5Oregon St.P100.47980.515313410-1213-190-10-22-67-73-36-62362701979.50.5
212207.9The CitadelSC0.47680.481419910-1214-160-20-11-42-511-44-6186133217-9.1-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
208208.6WyomingMWC0.47820.5584487-149-200-71-31-13-65-45-7187452017.60.4
202208.7IndianaB100.47980.5430769-1211-201-61-31-52-56-16-6242214226-17.3-1.0
209209.2Loyola MarymountWCC0.47780.487718611-1214-170-10-42-42-310-68-7176231213-3.8-0.2
218209.7South Carolina St.MEAC0.47390.42483289-816-120-00-10-30-215-64-6209284218-8.3-0.3
216210.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.47480.46602489-1114-150-00-11-34-49-65-62062292073.30.1
214211.4Penn St.B100.47620.5449748-1510-210-60-31-63-35-38-4165247225-13.6-0.7
213211.8Ball St.MAC0.47680.470923411-1015-150-30-21-16-48-56-623524919120.81.0
217212.3Eastern MichiganMAC0.47430.466924710-1114-160-00-11-24-78-66-6192261215-2.7-0.1
219213.9Boise St.WAC0.47380.484919110-1214-170-10-21-65-48-310-4173323223-9.1-0.5
221215.3Eastern IllinoisOVC0.47120.462325710-1113-150-00-00-53-811-35-420727420312.30.6
220219.7NC WilmingtonCAA0.47150.52431137-1610-210-10-51-52-76-34-81981102145.70.3
225220.3South AlabamaSB0.46900.464425111-1214-160-00-11-14-109-46-41702712200.30.0
224221.4Louisiana St.SEC0.46970.5390849-1411-200-40-41-74-66-09-51641762129.40.6
222221.7ChattanoogaSC0.46990.478520911-1214-170-10-21-44-39-66-51441422192.70.1
227222.2North FloridaASun0.46890.463725310-1214-170-00-00-34-910-54-514616320616.20.9
226224.6San FranciscoWCC0.46890.52151167-159-190-11-40-52-67-43-1026110420519.61.0
223224.8Santa ClaraWCC0.46980.51631328-1611-200-10-50-53-47-66-91909420816.81.2
230226.0Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.46530.47512229-1414-190-10-10-25-99-66-9216202229-3.0-0.1
231227.0Bethune CookmanMEAC0.46450.428332511-916-140-00-20-30-316-66-6197262244-17.0-0.8
228227.5San DiegoWCC0.46710.51671288-1610-200-20-41-52-47-56-9200106228-0.5-0.0
229227.8DelawareCAA0.46610.5376906-178-220-20-50-43-64-54-81624021611.80.7
234228.2ManhattanMAAC0.46260.49431758-1511-190-10-20-44-98-26-5174232242-13.8-0.7
232229.7MercerASun0.46350.46912389-1213-170-10-20-24-68-62-6233141240-10.3-0.5
233232.2Georgia St.CAA0.46270.49561719-1512-190-10-50-43-59-56-6215234238-5.8-0.3
239232.7South DakotaGWC0.45920.40103419-917-100-10-10-31-216-45-82432532320.70.0
235233.7Seattleind0.46110.454627210-1314-170-00-11-43-510-614-162312732303.70.2
240235.1Delaware St.MEAC0.45850.44213018-913-130-00-10-21-512-52-62851882314.10.2
238235.6BinghamtonAE0.45930.47982069-1412-190-10-10-24-128-43-102551542350.60.0
236236.5HawaiiWAC0.46070.5337998-1410-200-30-41-52-67-27-620388239-2.5-0.1
242237.1Sacred HeartNEC0.45610.420033212-1116-140-10-00-02-614-79-4175346257-19.9-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241239.8LamarSlnd0.45690.464825010-1113-160-00-00-43-79-65-72622802363.80.2
237240.7Air ForceMWC0.45970.5340977-139-200-50-30-32-76-16-5202195241-0.3-0.0
243241.4IUPU Fort WayneSum0.45600.45062849-1213-160-20-11-32-410-54-5228282243-1.6-0.1
245243.8Jackson St.SWAC0.45420.428632410-1115-160-10-10-21-615-61-10296149252-8.2-0.4
246245.5James MadisonCAA0.45390.477921210-1312-190-10-51-41-69-48-52043402450.50.0
247246.6NC AshevilleBSth0.45200.47842107-1410-170-20-10-22-68-60-82651423412.60.7
244246.8East CarolinaCUSA0.45480.53151034-166-220-30-40-61-65-33-81782922125.81.7
250250.3Prairie View A&MSWAC0.44920.40113408-915-120-10-10-21-213-71-63282722500.30.0
248250.7ColumbiaIvy0.44960.46852428-1211-170-10-10-31-610-66-82262372473.70.2
249252.3Northern IllinoisMAC0.44920.47622178-1411-190-10-10-42-89-44-92672512466.30.4
251252.9LibertyBSth0.44790.45512699-1212-170-00-10-21-810-52-72601682493.90.2
257254.4Long IslandNEC0.44430.44922899-1413-180-00-00-33-610-94-9280266267-12.6-0.6
254255.7Texas St.Slnd0.44520.46702467-1210-170-10-00-32-87-62-8331299260-4.3-0.2
253256.0YaleIvy0.44580.46242568-1411-190-00-20-40-811-55-11279285271-15.0-1.0
252257.2TulaneCUSA0.44600.50481567-159-210-20-30-62-66-55-82482052534.20.3
256257.9SamfordSC0.44490.48681886-159-200-10-20-51-78-53-61941072543.90.2
255258.0Youngstown St.Horz0.44490.50541526-158-210-30-20-33-115-24-51631612517.00.4
261262.4Jacksonville St.OVC0.43950.46262558-1311-170-00-20-52-59-53-6324305264-1.6-0.1
259263.1Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.44010.44712948-911-150-10-10-22-49-64-5288341266-2.9-0.1
265264.8North Carolina A&TMEAC0.43700.45532685-1511-190-10-10-52-39-102-10289171275-10.2-0.5
260264.9UC RiversideBW0.43970.46232587-1410-180-10-10-33-67-85-62292602586.90.4
268265.0Holy CrossPat0.43640.47942076-1710-210-10-10-21-109-73-12276190279-14.0-0.7
258265.1NC GreensboroSC0.44060.50971445-188-230-20-30-61-77-61-102443024817.11.1
264266.2FurmanSC0.43800.44702959-1212-170-00-10-42-510-64-5251312269-2.8-0.1
263266.3Arkansas Little RockSB0.43800.50491555-168-200-00-10-55-93-62-7211182624.30.2
266266.7High PointBSth0.43670.41873349-1112-150-00-10-12-511-83-62823342633.70.2
262267.3BrownIvy0.43830.48691875-168-210-10-20-51-57-84-11247181268-0.7-0.0
267267.4Charleston SouthernBSth0.43660.44133038-1210-160-00-10-22-68-82-5240233274-6.6-0.3
269267.9North Dakota St.Sum0.43630.46392527-149-180-00-10-41-88-51-7297209284-16.1-1.0
271269.0NavyPat0.43620.436931511-1214-170-00-00-23-611-96-9295330277-8.0-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
275270.1New HampshireAE0.43260.45222777-1311-180-10-10-13-98-64-7258283298-27.9-1.2
270270.6Louisiana MonroeSB0.43630.46212598-1410-180-00-01-33-106-63-625425625614.60.8
277273.2St. Francis NYNEC0.43200.423832910-1313-170-10-00-12-611-95-8302345280-6.8-0.4
273273.6Kennesaw St.ASun0.43360.444429610-1312-180-00-00-11-1110-53-6290319278-4.4-0.3
272273.6Cal PolyBW0.43410.45342748-1411-190-10-10-12-78-103-1031331725914.60.7
279274.5BucknellPat0.43070.43883099-1513-190-00-10-22-611-105-11306336285-10.5-0.6
281274.8MonmouthNEC0.43050.435331810-1413-180-00-00-13-910-86-8294343299-24.2-1.3
274276.8Idaho St.BSky0.43300.49621684-176-210-10-11-61-84-52-92591382724.80.3
276277.0EvansvilleMVC0.43230.51361395-177-230-20-20-61-125-16-4239321290-13.0-0.9
278277.5Tennessee St.OVC0.43120.48811835-207-240-10-10-52-96-83-102371532707.50.4
280277.7UC IrvineBW0.43060.44342998-1412-180-10-00-13-89-86-726632926512.70.7
283278.3Missouri Kansas CitySum0.42930.43893088-1310-180-00-10-40-610-64-5250328294-15.7-1.0
282278.4Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.42990.47002378-1610-210-10-10-21-99-94-1129322526117.41.1
289280.8HamptonMEAC0.42460.42073307-1514-180-00-10-40-313-104-10286316305-24.2-1.3
286283.3HartfordAE0.42570.45662647-1610-210-20-00-11-119-72-113372872821.30.1
285284.3ElonSC0.42660.48132004-177-230-10-10-42-95-92-927117527311.30.7
284285.5PepperdineWCC0.42740.49671676-168-220-10-30-42-66-73-11307242292-6.5-0.4
287285.5McNeese St.Slnd0.42530.45272765-149-190-00-10-32-57-102-9298269286-0.5-0.0
288286.3Florida InternationalSB0.42490.48181976-197-240-00-10-42-115-82-1028720827610.30.8
291287.1UC DavisBW0.42420.45132807-1310-200-00-00-11-98-92-103253242816.10.3
290287.9Longwoodind0.42440.45482705-168-190-10-30-41-37-105-1726818725532.91.8
292288.7Eastern WashingtonBSky0.42410.49531734-176-220-10-10-61-64-82-10263124295-6.3-0.4
293289.2RiceCUSA0.42340.48072027-159-210-10-20-51-78-66-72452382872.20.2
294291.5Sacramento St.BSky0.42170.46002616-168-200-00-00-51-77-84-8256301303-11.5-0.9
295292.6CentenarySum0.42060.46742456-167-200-00-10-71-47-83-62181672839.60.7
296293.3TowsonCAA0.42030.48801845-177-220-10-40-31-85-63-82912272930.30.0
298293.7Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41990.49781665-176-230-30-00-32-144-33-7270248300-6.3-0.4
299293.8AlbanyAE0.41950.47132326-209-240-10-10-22-127-85-10230194302-8.2-0.5
297293.8Nicholls St.Slnd0.42000.47292264-147-190-10-00-31-86-71-8269126297-3.2-0.2
302295.0Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.41660.47182306-168-220-00-00-61-107-62-8272198301-6.0-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301295.8Georgia SouthernSC0.41690.49921624-196-240-00-11-53-103-91-103151652887.80.5
305297.7ColgatePat0.41220.45192786-159-200-10-00-11-88-104-10310300314-16.3-0.9
303298.6South Carolina UpstateASun0.41580.47652164-186-230-00-10-21-116-80-9319105304-5.4-0.4
300299.0FordhamA100.41860.5370932-192-260-40-40-21-91-62-102921562963.00.3
304299.8PennsylvaniaIvy0.41550.48301953-156-220-30-10-30-65-91-13329236306-6.2-0.5
306301.2Alabama St.SWAC0.41170.40073426-1211-170-00-10-01-610-100-8346306316-14.8-0.8
307303.6AmericanPat0.40850.43783117-1610-210-10-00-11-68-133-12339342311-7.4-0.5
309304.9Central ConnecticutNEC0.40720.40433399-1412-180-00-00-11-512-115-8338347319-14.1-0.9
310306.0Gardner WebbBSth0.40670.46352544-166-210-20-10-20-76-90-83049928917.01.2
308306.8Western IllinoisSum0.40790.43543176-148-180-10-00-40-48-94-4241337309-2.2-0.2
311307.1Norfolk St.MEAC0.40660.45032855-169-220-10-10-41-47-122-11314201313-5.9-0.4
313311.6St. Francis PANEC0.40310.44882907-169-210-00-10-21-88-103-93172673101.60.1
312312.1Florida Gulf CoastASun0.40480.44293007-178-210-10-00-12-86-113-62813153120.10.0
316313.9Winston Salem St.ind0.40020.43843105-128-180-10-20-20-48-97-1830129629122.91.5
314314.4Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.40180.43733146-169-220-00-00-50-59-122-123272773077.40.6
315314.7HowardMEAC0.40170.44053056-189-240-00-10-20-89-131-143342183086.70.5
318316.2Virginia Military InstBSth0.39860.45672634-155-190-00-10-20-75-91-525272324-7.8-0.6
317317.2Southern UtahSum0.39890.47562184-176-220-10-10-50-65-92-7257109318-0.8-0.1
319317.7Northwestern St.Slnd0.39850.44013064-137-190-10-10-20-56-102-7316320326-8.3-0.6
321319.0Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.39600.42813265-178-230-00-10-20-88-120-12336193322-3.0-0.2
320319.4Central ArkansasSlnd0.39660.44153024-156-200-10-00-31-56-113-7273298328-8.6-0.7
322321.5Savannah St.ind0.39490.41953336-147-150-10-10-10-67-75-13300286325-3.5-0.3
323322.2Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.39280.45342735-176-230-10-20-11-65-136-21311279333-10.8-1.1
325322.5WagnerNEC0.39180.44922884-217-240-10-00-11-85-143-11326309331-8.5-1.0
327323.4New OrleansSB0.39050.45112815-176-220-00-00-11-136-83-6305338330-6.6-0.7
324323.4ToledoMAC0.39260.49891632-213-280-10-20-50-133-72-122991503158.41.1
326324.0DartmouthIvy0.39060.47552193-165-220-00-10-30-85-103-103092263204.00.4
328324.9SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.39000.47072352-203-230-10-00-41-52-133-183202633213.90.5
330325.6Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.38700.45012863-227-260-10-10-40-77-131-18308143332-6.4-0.6
332326.1Alabama A&MSWAC0.38430.38813464-108-150-00-10-10-38-100-4343289336-9.9-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
329326.6PresbyterianBSth0.38810.46852413-215-250-10-30-40-65-121-112781273233.60.4
331327.6Florida A&MMEAC0.38480.43433194-167-220-10-20-10-67-132-11318257329-1.4-0.1
335327.9Utah ValleyGWC0.38030.37953477-1211-160-10-10-10-111-123-10333332339-11.1-1.0
333330.4MaristMAAC0.38390.49951611-222-290-10-10-30-151-90-11341254335-4.6-0.8
336331.3Coppin St.MEAC0.37720.43323222-166-220-10-10-31-45-143-7277295338-6.7-0.7
334331.4StetsonASun0.38180.46172603-184-230-00-20-21-83-110-73302043274.40.8
337333.3NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.37480.40533384-148-200-00-00-20-68-112-12323276334-0.7-0.1
338335.5Tennessee MartinOVC0.37460.47542211-192-250-00-10-50-82-100-8332185337-1.5-0.3
339335.6North DakotaGWC0.37150.41093362-167-210-10-10-20-47-141-1434026831718.62.6
340337.7GramblingSWAC0.36510.39633444-137-190-10-00-10-37-131-6312293340-2.3-0.4
341340.1MD Baltimore CountyAE0.36220.43753132-214-270-00-00-11-102-151-12345344341-0.9-0.2
343342.3Houston BaptistGWC0.35110.39333455-178-240-00-00-10-58-171-17347333343-0.7-0.2
342342.4SouthernSWAC0.35120.40853374-176-230-20-10-10-56-152-9322255344-1.6-0.5
344342.9Chicago St.GWC0.34980.39673434-166-220-00-00-20-56-152-13335313347-4.1-1.3
345344.6Bryantind0.34380.44712930-241-290-00-00-30-71-191-29342297345-0.4-0.2
346344.7Alcorn St.SWAC0.34120.43923070-232-290-10-20-20-62-190-133211113422.71.3
347345.4North Carolina Centralind0.33870.42063311-203-230-00-00-40-42-161-20344311346-0.6-0.3

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com