live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

Click here for the detailed simulation results for this page

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

NEW! Click on a team's name to see the RPI Forecast broken down by different end of season records plus Schedules, Results and Probabilities of Winning

(Help keep the site up and running - donate via paypal to rpiforecast@gmail.com)

Through games of Feb 27, 2015.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.5KentuckySEC0.67830.57302528-034-04-06-09-09-05-013-011110.50.4
24.0VirginiaACC0.66770.57752026-130-25-24-07-010-04-012-043331.00.4
45.0VillanovaBE0.66240.57082926-230-34-16-16-112-03-013-075941.00.4
85.6GonzagaWCC0.65120.54467428-132-11-14-05-013-08-011-13138-2.4-1.0
75.7ArizonaP120.65500.57053025-329-44-14-07-111-24-012-110577-1.3-0.4
56.0DukeACC0.65880.58251225-329-45-15-17-25-06-013-063751.00.3
66.1WisconsinB100.65700.58141425-329-42-35-19-010-13-012-181760.10.0
36.6KansasB120.66630.6244122-625-86-44-25-18-11-011-22224.61.5
99.6UtahP120.63390.56793321-526-62-32-15-110-06-09-2173010-0.4-0.1
1212.0Wichita St.MVC0.62540.53279225-328-41-31-06-18-012-09-2162914-2.0-0.4
1313.4Northern IowaMVC0.62390.519011327-229-32-22-05-07-114-011-1149615-1.6-0.4
1014.8BaylorB120.62950.5957320-723-94-44-25-27-14-011-11132113.80.7
1515.5SMUAmer0.62020.55984622-525-60-23-27-25-010-08-3281617-1.5-0.3
1117.7MarylandB100.62750.56283923-526-72-23-25-210-16-012-1186998.71.7
1617.8VCUA100.61920.58141321-725-92-33-27-36-26-010-351134.80.8
1718.0North CarolinaACC0.61860.6052219-922-112-63-36-28-04-010-313519-1.0-0.2
1418.7Iowa St.B120.62070.58481020-723-94-65-14-14-15-110-234105126.71.0
1818.9OklahomaB120.61830.5895519-822-105-55-13-15-35-09-34485162.90.4
1920.0LouisvilleACC0.61690.57781922-625-82-52-16-28-06-012-124115182.00.3
2421.7San Diego St.MWC0.60440.53748721-625-72-22-23-19-29-19-3335223-1.3-0.1
2022.5ArkansasSEC0.61360.55296423-525-81-23-15-37-28-011-21543202.50.3
2124.6West VirginiaB120.61160.56873222-624-93-63-23-16-08-012-135196213.60.5
2225.8GeorgetownBE0.60790.5947418-821-102-52-44-19-03-08-22115241.80.2
2325.9ButlerBE0.60490.57262620-823-102-53-34-110-14-09-354112250.90.1
2631.6Colorado St.MWC0.59410.512312023-526-61-12-14-28-311-012-0998265.60.5
2531.7ProvidenceBE0.60240.5848919-921-112-44-26-28-22-110-32323229.71.0
3132.0Ohio St.B100.58700.54946720-824-102-31-35-39-17-011-25820641-9.0-0.6
2735.1Notre DameACC0.59260.526710024-526-73-42-14-27-010-012-185332287.10.6
2837.4Michigan St.B100.59020.57512219-922-111-52-25-210-24-09-46964325.40.5
3537.7DavidsonA100.58330.519711119-623-81-31-15-14-211-08-25621942-4.3-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3239.2TulsaAmer0.58540.53668920-623-90-42-24-26-111-07-49599345.20.4
4039.6Old DominionCUSA0.58000.504114021-625-71-02-14-27-312-111-1124449-9.4-0.6
3039.7XavierBE0.58800.58081618-1120-133-34-33-38-42-010-32634309.70.8
4939.9WoffordSC0.57790.492717122-625-70-21-12-25-116-17-4191443-3.1-0.2
5240.0Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.57660.484119320-425-50-20-13-16-016-17-36213265-25.0-1.9
4540.1IonaMAAC0.57930.485018924-627-70-10-11-111-215-27-4489445-4.9-0.3
3341.5DaytonA100.58370.519311221-624-80-21-14-38-110-110-231114356.50.4
2941.9Oklahoma St.B120.58940.5863816-1018-124-72-23-14-36-09-2381132714.91.3
4842.1Boise St.MWC0.57820.514511619-723-91-22-11-18-311-18-353173402.10.1
3642.3BuffaloMAC0.58230.53828418-922-110-21-13-37-310-19-3228044-1.7-0.1
4342.6BYUWCC0.57950.54557120-822-100-41-13-19-39-08-3291856-13.4-1.0
3445.0GeorgiaSEC0.58360.56503818-921-110-42-16-29-44-09-341782916.01.2
4247.0TexasB120.57960.58381117-1120-132-91-33-18-06-011-2329248-1.0-0.1
4647.2StanfordP120.57910.55715418-921-120-52-25-27-37-09-3398751-3.8-0.3
4447.3CincinnatiAmer0.57940.55516019-922-113-22-24-45-28-19-4491952-4.7-0.3
3747.6TempleAmer0.58200.54796920-922-111-51-24-24-212-09-447463116.61.2
4148.8North Carolina St.ACC0.57960.5883717-1120-133-42-34-47-24-09-47326399.80.7
3849.8OregonP120.58160.55306320-821-101-31-16-38-26-09-3871173811.80.9
5850.2Louisiana TechCUSA0.56970.486218621-724-80-11-22-27-315-18-410824757-6.8-0.4
3950.8St. John'sBE0.58090.57592118-920-121-64-24-16-24-010-237563713.81.0
5450.8Saint Mary'sWCC0.57550.52979520-722-80-31-22-110-29-07-3838253-2.2-0.2
4751.9Texas A&MSEC0.57840.54467519-822-100-31-25-38-17-09-3641203318.91.3
5152.1MississippiSEC0.57710.55804819-921-111-22-35-37-36-09-481106475.10.4
5552.2IowaB100.57480.56513718-1021-123-52-23-48-25-09-412013454-1.8-0.1
5052.8IndianaB100.57740.56933119-1021-123-42-34-36-16-010-3751033616.81.1
5353.3LSUSEC0.57610.54308020-823-101-22-27-27-26-211-24517155-1.7-0.1
6558.1Murray St.OVC0.56300.468624523-425-50-00-12-19-214-18-412321670-11.9-0.7
6258.3Green BayHorz0.56460.496315720-722-80-10-03-35-314-09-3307063-4.7-0.3
5659.9PittsburghACC0.57350.56254018-1020-121-51-23-29-36-110-3551194613.90.9
5760.0UCLAP120.57140.56783417-1220-131-62-13-38-36-08-5112515010.00.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6760.4UTEPCUSA0.56200.509012719-823-90-21-22-27-213-18-4603961-0.6-0.0
7662.8South Dakota St.Sum0.55270.480220619-822-90-20-11-15-316-37-59416680-17.2-0.9
6863.8Central MichiganMAC0.56070.483819618-521-70-01-03-25-211-27-113634972-8.2-0.4
5963.9PurdueB100.56770.55036619-921-121-33-25-36-45-08-5179211585.90.4
6665.8RichmondA100.56240.55745116-1219-142-21-33-45-47-17-61102768-2.2-0.1
7267.5Rhode IslandA100.55920.510112518-721-90-31-24-25-211-07-311922271-3.5-0.2
7568.0Georgia St.SB0.55330.492817018-922-100-10-22-27-213-36-4436688-20.0-1.1
6469.3IllinoisB100.56380.55386117-1120-132-31-33-58-26-010-3631595910.30.6
6170.3HarvardIvy0.56490.499815017-619-70-10-03-15-211-38-461137646.30.6
6370.4ValparaisoHorz0.56410.467525123-524-50-01-12-18-313-110-270257664.40.4
6971.7Miami FLACC0.56060.54657018-1020-121-41-24-25-48-010-389190674.70.3
6072.6SyracuseACC0.56640.56683518-1019-121-52-22-46-28-09-479886210.61.2
8073.2High PointBSth0.55150.480020919-721-80-00-11-27-513-06-34012982-8.8-0.4
7473.4ToledoMAC0.55590.525910418-1021-120-21-12-38-49-18-580127730.40.0
8574.5Sam Houston St.Slnd0.54800.462526518-522-70-00-31-23-118-05-410210893-18.5-1.1
8774.7William & MaryCAA0.54690.501414816-1019-110-11-11-37-110-44-51014283-8.3-0.4
7076.1YaleIvy0.56050.503214318-820-90-00-12-35-413-19-672136697.10.9
7176.7MassachusettsA100.55920.55675616-1218-140-21-43-46-47-17-652106016.71.1
7778.1UC DavisBW0.55240.460327419-522-70-00-02-19-411-28-3125335762.10.1
7979.0MemphisAmer0.55210.55575917-1119-140-61-43-24-111-18-5862484-5.0-0.3
8481.2Illinois St.MVC0.54850.53289117-1119-120-50-11-27-310-17-4684090-8.8-0.6
7382.7ConnecticutAmer0.55590.55096516-1119-131-42-43-43-09-17-511368757.70.5
7885.0AlabamaSEC0.55220.55595816-1118-140-51-33-46-28-09-365152796.00.3
8285.8Eastern WashingtonBSky0.54890.473822818-722-80-10-01-25-415-16-44673778.80.5
8386.3MinnesotaB100.54860.55366216-1218-141-42-34-46-36-010-257220788.30.5
8686.9FloridaSEC0.54790.5889613-1515-171-51-44-68-22-17-61062091-4.1-0.3
8987.0George WashingtonA100.54550.507813218-1021-121-41-22-36-211-110-37727689-2.0-0.1
8187.9Seton HallBE0.55070.55735215-1217-151-52-52-17-35-010-2361917413.90.9
9088.1Bowling GreenMAC0.54510.489617918-721-90-11-22-35-313-18-29331992-3.9-0.2
11188.7North Carolina CentralMEAC0.52870.422934218-623-70-20-10-15-218-05-6116118112-23.3-1.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9191.2Arizona St.P120.54500.56144315-1318-151-51-33-38-55-08-5161167865.20.3
9896.8UC IrvineBW0.53760.504014215-1018-120-10-12-47-48-25-7152104103-6.2-0.3
8896.8MichiganB100.54580.57961713-1315-151-61-34-47-32-06-5134288115.81.1
9299.4Kent St.MAC0.54010.503114418-920-120-11-23-43-413-18-4154274954.40.2
10299.8UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53450.53109413-1216-140-20-12-38-56-25-7929104-4.2-0.2
112100.6New Mexico St.WAC0.52780.478121317-1021-100-20-11-21-317-16-916936114-13.4-0.8
95101.5WyomingMWC0.53820.483919519-721-101-32-12-15-411-29-2107320974.50.2
99101.8South CarolinaSEC0.53720.57112812-1415-161-42-23-43-55-18-3761111001.80.1
97102.9La SalleA100.53760.54417815-1317-161-31-32-56-37-38-57445984.90.3
104103.4NortheasternCAA0.53300.488518319-1121-120-00-12-48-411-48-582154105-1.6-0.1
106104.0ChattanoogaSC0.53160.474822419-921-100-21-20-15-215-45-6182110108-4.0-0.2
93104.3ClemsonACC0.54000.55715315-1216-151-52-24-26-54-18-41551928717.31.1
96105.2Oregon St.P120.53780.52799816-1118-131-30-33-39-35-18-3168317969.20.5
94105.5Kansas St.B120.53980.58121514-1515-184-62-42-32-46-17-61771638520.51.4
101108.3EvansvilleMVC0.53490.508013118-1019-121-30-10-35-213-29-2711981026.30.4
107111.4VanderbiltSEC0.53120.53269315-1218-140-31-35-45-36-19-31152241092.40.1
103113.6WashingtonP120.53310.54108115-1217-152-31-23-45-56-011-1422179419.61.1
114114.0Georgia SouthernSB0.52640.457128617-619-90-00-11-23-314-34-2166344126-12.0-0.5
100115.2UNLVMWC0.53550.54517214-1317-151-41-32-35-38-28-420410114.20.9
105116.6CaliforniaP120.53210.54437716-1217-150-50-24-47-26-210-3881761079.60.6
113116.7Long Beach St.BW0.52740.54008311-1614-180-21-42-65-46-14-10126610610.70.5
109118.4Stony BrookAE0.52930.474022718-1020-110-00-21-16-613-27-66762119-0.6-0.0
108119.3TennesseeSEC0.53090.55695514-1315-161-41-32-56-35-18-41001019920.31.2
115119.6Western KentuckyCUSA0.52620.504114115-1017-130-11-22-22-411-35-512449120-0.4-0.0
119119.6Louisiana MonroeSB0.52480.483119815-918-110-00-11-36-511-32-52391751181.60.1
124120.4North Dakota St.Sum0.52190.454529318-919-100-00-21-23-315-36-5209318131-10.6-0.4
110121.6Florida Gulf CoastASun0.52930.465925718-821-90-01-22-22-316-17-613112211011.60.7
131122.4Cleveland St.Horz0.51960.506013515-1316-140-31-12-42-311-34-819365132-9.6-0.4
118124.1Western MichiganMAC0.52500.502014615-1118-130-01-12-44-710-17-41583131168.10.3
117124.7TCUB120.52520.526710217-1119-141-92-31-14-111-013-090348125-0.3-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
125124.8UNC WilmingtonCAA0.52150.477521616-1118-120-10-21-34-212-54-6194251130-5.2-0.2
116125.9NorthwesternB100.52570.55784914-1416-170-51-43-55-37-09-414220311312.90.7
132129.0Utah St.MWC0.51950.492217216-1018-130-21-22-34-311-36-5184245147-18.0-0.8
136129.3RiderMAAC0.51780.461726820-1022-110-20-20-17-215-46-51892871281.30.1
129129.5AkronMAC0.52020.497715417-1120-130-01-14-45-411-38-4202324133-3.5-0.1
120131.1AlbanyAE0.52480.454029420-823-90-00-11-17-515-36-716420512110.10.7
121131.1Georgia TechACC0.52390.57322412-1613-180-61-33-36-44-29-3518411714.10.7
133131.3OaklandHorz0.51930.521510814-1415-160-30-23-42-410-33-1019722138-6.7-0.3
122131.5Florida St.ACC0.52380.54876815-1416-160-40-33-66-37-18-518820911516.50.9
123133.2Penn St.B100.52270.54048215-1316-160-50-32-45-38-012-15929311122.21.1
149135.2Texas SouthernSWAC0.51020.457428415-1219-140-31-11-31-417-33-101177152-16.8-0.6
135135.2Sacramento St.BSky0.51840.456628816-818-100-10-01-23-314-54-5207269139-3.8-0.1
130136.8ColoradoP120.51980.55755012-1514-180-51-22-56-56-07-51411241297.80.3
154137.3Norfolk St.MEAC0.50920.464426016-1119-130-20-10-24-514-35-89921166-28.7-1.1
126137.8NebraskaB100.52130.55984513-1514-171-41-33-65-55-08-415624612314.80.7
134138.0Incarnate WordSlnd0.51900.460027613-715-90-00-20-21-114-34-22786144-6.0-0.4
127138.3Wake ForestACC0.52100.57422312-1614-190-71-33-44-46-18-514915312711.30.5
137138.6St. BonaventureA100.51710.505513714-1217-141-11-22-63-29-37-419130512414.60.7
128138.7CreightonBE0.52030.55994413-1514-181-51-62-45-34-19-411118012216.70.8
140139.0BelmontOVC0.51340.457728117-1019-110-10-10-14-314-47-51472291354.00.2
156139.0Eastern KentuckyOVC0.50860.459227816-1018-110-10-11-23-314-36-5148215151-12.0-0.4
138139.5Loyola ChicagoMVC0.51700.501314915-1216-130-50-11-22-312-28-2782641345.50.3
152140.2Charleston SouthernBSth0.50980.469224215-1017-110-01-21-23-511-23-5187121154-13.8-0.4
139143.6PortlandWCC0.51500.515311514-1315-140-30-21-35-49-27-31042021367.60.4
142145.9AmericanPat0.51160.490717615-1416-150-00-10-28-88-47-5661331450.90.0
170146.7HofstraCAA0.50190.455629119-1121-120-00-11-34-516-29-4160336179-32.3-1.2
143146.7RadfordBSth0.51100.460627317-1018-110-10-12-13-513-36-497204150-3.3-0.1
144148.9Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51090.445131317-918-100-00-12-24-411-35-396258149-0.1-0.0
146149.6PepperdineWCC0.51050.493616515-1216-130-32-11-33-410-36-42363391427.60.4
151150.7New MexicoMWC0.50980.517911414-1416-160-21-33-24-37-58-4157266157-6.3-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
157150.9Gardner WebbBSth0.50800.487218414-1215-130-10-11-35-39-54-512191159-8.1-0.3
147151.3James MadisonCAA0.51050.498115318-1219-140-10-11-43-514-17-6165891483.30.2
141152.9BucknellPat0.51330.491717416-1318-140-10-00-28-910-24-82251701439.90.6
168154.0Louisiana LafayetteSB0.50220.482919913-1216-140-01-12-23-611-53-5216179183-29.0-1.0
150154.1LehighPat0.51010.490117715-1217-130-10-01-07-99-35-51331431468.10.4
161154.3Tennessee MartinOVC0.50530.451730216-1017-120-10-20-23-514-26-5180328167-12.7-0.5
148154.3St. Francis NYNEC0.51030.443631420-923-100-10-00-16-617-35-7258299155-0.7-0.0
160154.4UABCUSA0.50620.508912814-1317-150-21-21-54-311-33-926350165-10.6-0.4
158154.9LafayettePat0.50750.484519115-1216-130-20-00-16-710-37-3501621531.90.1
145155.2MarquetteBE0.51080.56553611-1613-190-71-62-26-33-18-413715714114.20.6
159157.1San DiegoWCC0.50700.523510713-1514-170-31-31-35-48-36-5139156160-2.9-0.1
172157.9MontanaBSky0.50080.470323914-1116-130-10-21-23-313-42-721247185-27.1-0.9
162159.1UT ArlingtonSB0.50430.484019414-1217-140-10-21-34-312-65-4103148174-14.9-0.6
163159.3HawaiiBW0.50390.486618517-1119-130-10-12-45-511-110-4135189161-1.7-0.1
167159.6Northern ArizonaBSky0.50250.469124315-1218-140-00-11-32-514-54-8192102178-18.4-0.6
165161.4Eastern MichiganMAC0.50360.493416613-1115-140-10-32-54-210-37-291298162-0.6-0.0
173161.5CanisiusMAAC0.50070.482620116-1317-140-01-11-24-611-45-410997170-8.5-0.3
169163.0Oral RobertsSum0.50220.482620214-1316-140-11-11-32-411-65-7175177163-0.0-0.0
155164.3Washington St.P120.50910.54517312-1513-180-41-23-43-66-26-620623113727.31.5
153165.0AuburnSEC0.50950.56164111-1612-190-22-43-64-63-27-51187114025.01.2
178166.5Northwestern St.Slnd0.49900.472223212-1015-120-20-30-32-112-31-62053180-13.5-0.5
164168.0ColumbiaIvy0.50360.512411912-1214-130-10-02-45-37-57-614583169-1.0-0.1
174168.0Middle TennesseeCUSA0.50070.493616414-1316-150-00-31-34-510-46-6153125172-4.0-0.1
171169.6North FloridaASun0.50150.439432616-1119-120-10-01-22-416-45-92413011645.60.3
181170.3East Tennessee St.SC0.49700.476622014-1215-140-10-21-33-312-66-32541182-11.7-0.4
180173.1Cal PolyBW0.49790.497215611-1312-150-10-11-55-66-35-598140186-12.9-0.5
176173.2Eastern IllinoisOVC0.49950.484719014-1315-140-00-20-44-410-45-61461161730.20.0
175176.8NJITind0.50020.463226413-1114-110-10-02-13-49-514-111712771715.80.5
184178.5VermontAE0.49360.452529916-1118-120-00-00-34-614-44-8264223195-16.5-0.7
183179.1Indiana St.MVC0.49540.513411713-1514-160-50-12-23-29-53-83002341763.10.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
182179.5Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49650.478221214-1416-150-10-10-14-711-54-7140531754.50.2
179179.8Saint Joseph'sA100.49800.525910312-1513-180-31-14-42-46-66-616717216811.80.5
166180.6RutgersB100.50260.57132710-1911-221-30-31-86-53-18-51057615624.61.9
177182.6DePaulBE0.49910.54457612-1713-200-52-43-33-55-26-727829515824.61.4
188182.7MonmouthMAAC0.49080.472023416-1418-150-31-10-03-613-54-7253243189-6.3-0.3
193183.2Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.48820.443631516-1319-140-20-10-14-414-67-8122161196-12.8-0.6
186184.2Boston UniversityPat0.49240.504113912-1514-160-10-10-27-87-53-720154187-2.8-0.1
185184.7ColgatePat0.49320.492916813-1615-170-00-10-28-87-62-10289183190-5.3-0.3
191185.6St. Francis PANEC0.48960.463826214-1315-150-00-10-15-810-55-584126194-8.4-0.3
194187.0ManhattanMAAC0.48790.461227115-1316-140-00-20-34-612-43-6291314193-6.0-0.2
189191.8TulaneAmer0.49040.501514713-1315-160-21-32-52-211-38-31833211847.80.4
197192.1DetroitHorz0.48720.510112612-1713-180-10-13-63-47-55-815148199-6.9-0.3
192193.0San FranciscoWCC0.48920.526710111-1712-180-20-20-35-77-25-62131441912.00.1
202193.8CharlotteCUSA0.48360.491717312-1615-180-20-31-53-511-37-6150187203-9.2-0.3
204193.8QuinnipiacMAAC0.48200.477221715-1317-150-00-11-16-69-56-3129141210-16.2-0.6
205194.1MercerSC0.48170.467925014-1416-150-10-30-42-414-43-8283193207-12.9-0.5
200194.4New HampshireAE0.48400.436733115-1117-120-00-00-04-713-45-6223291197-2.6-0.1
196196.5Robert MorrisNEC0.48720.472823115-1417-150-20-10-25-512-54-8215109198-1.5-0.1
195197.7BryantNEC0.48780.477021914-1416-150-00-00-44-612-53-820074201-3.3-0.2
187198.9Texas TechB120.49170.55665712-1712-201-80-51-34-37-110-314328518117.91.4
190199.0Boston CollegeACC0.49030.5614429-1811-210-51-41-73-35-18-416219417722.01.2
198200.0Fresno St.MWC0.48670.508712911-1512-181-21-22-23-86-43-82972681928.00.4
209202.4IPFWSum0.47930.468524612-1314-140-00-11-42-410-54-6242263206-3.6-0.1
201203.6North TexasCUSA0.48400.502414512-1313-160-20-41-34-28-64-6244164209-5.4-0.2
214204.9USC UpstateASun0.47580.415134817-919-100-10-00-14-315-59-4181341217-12.1-0.5
199207.8Mississippi St.SEC0.48460.52709911-1612-190-20-31-55-56-36-626929018819.81.1
219208.4WinthropBSth0.47370.439832513-1215-130-10-01-24-510-42-6309315216-7.6-0.3
231208.4Alabama St.SWAC0.46850.389435114-719-90-20-00-11-217-42-5276248232-23.6-0.7
203209.5UC RiversideBW0.48260.485818812-1313-160-20-11-44-68-45-72262362027.50.3
207209.8CornellIvy0.48150.481220412-1414-150-00-11-53-49-67-82202752054.80.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211210.9Portland St.BSky0.47780.453929612-1114-140-00-11-22-711-44-4173292218-7.1-0.3
210211.5Holy CrossPat0.47880.499615111-1512-170-00-01-26-95-54-5127582083.50.2
220211.6Morehead St.OVC0.47330.471423612-1614-170-10-20-31-1012-13-10266200222-10.4-0.4
208216.1USCP120.47980.53828510-1811-200-30-31-55-75-28-417427020412.10.9
206216.7MissouriSEC0.48150.5778187-208-230-60-52-62-53-25-71853120016.71.0
213218.5Northern IllinoisMAC0.47710.506413410-1512-180-00-31-52-78-35-52272862126.50.3
212219.0Santa ClaraWCC0.47750.521510910-1711-190-30-30-35-86-24-62371952118.00.5
226220.3ArmyPat0.47080.457528314-1315-150-10-00-05-99-58-2130330230-9.7-0.5
225220.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.47100.445331213-1216-140-11-20-22-212-73-7320342228-7.3-0.3
224222.2South DakotaSum0.47160.466825213-1514-170-00-21-33-510-75-8245278226-3.8-0.2
222222.6UTSACUSA0.47180.472123311-1313-160-01-21-33-69-54-5265326229-6.4-0.3
217223.0DartmouthIvy0.47390.474722511-1412-160-00-01-35-47-97-72042962230.00.0
216223.5MilwaukeeHorz0.47450.497715511-1611-170-20-20-44-57-43-92681392149.50.9
215224.6George MasonA100.47520.5593477-198-220-51-42-52-44-54-7170252195.60.3
229224.7Delaware St.MEAC0.46940.453929511-1514-170-10-20-33-410-74-9138722213.70.2
233225.9DenverSum0.46820.493016712-1613-180-10-21-33-69-66-717693242-16.1-0.8
221226.9PrincetonIvy0.47210.480220711-1413-160-00-00-54-69-56-9282282227-0.1-0.0
218228.5Virginia TechACC0.47390.54377910-1811-210-70-21-52-68-18-522929421513.50.9
223228.8UCFAmer0.47170.506613311-1512-170-30-30-53-29-46-425230821315.80.8
227228.9Miami OHMAC0.47010.504413811-1613-190-10-32-43-68-54-8325307231-2.1-0.1
240229.1IdahoBSky0.46400.469224110-1413-160-01-11-34-47-83-6222155240-10.9-0.4
246233.6HowardMEAC0.46060.428433812-1315-150-00-10-42-613-53-9261271250-16.4-0.6
232233.8LamarSlnd0.46830.475422310-1311-150-20-20-31-410-52-6221158237-3.2-0.2
235234.3Texas St.SB0.46630.48282009-1411-160-00-11-31-79-53-3114130246-11.7-0.5
237234.5East CarolinaAmer0.46590.508113010-1612-190-31-32-52-38-55-6281303244-9.5-0.4
228234.7PacificWCC0.46960.51231219-1710-190-30-30-33-86-35-418626522014.70.9
230235.6Missouri St.MVC0.46900.52501069-1810-200-50-10-33-77-34-619812322411.60.7
234235.8FordhamA100.46780.5334908-1710-200-30-31-73-56-24-625718122510.80.5
236238.4OhioMAC0.46600.5290969-1810-210-01-21-74-105-25-62472102344.40.3
249239.7Western CarolinaSC0.45990.461926611-1612-170-00-21-43-59-63-7235228251-11.3-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
238240.1BrownIvy0.46520.486118711-1512-170-01-00-61-610-57-8214250241-0.9-0.1
241240.6Air ForceMWC0.46400.484419211-1412-160-30-31-23-68-35-4275346245-4.4-0.2
239240.6DuquesneA100.46480.52091109-1610-190-21-31-52-67-34-62872792337.60.4
248242.9HartfordAE0.46000.452530013-1414-160-00-10-22-712-56-6172197249-6.1-0.4
251243.0Sacred HeartNEC0.45790.458328013-1614-170-00-10-14-810-75-7219208254-11.0-0.5
243243.3FIUCUSA0.46320.465825811-1512-180-10-20-22-710-65-61993112367.30.4
256243.4SouthernSWAC0.45540.447230811-1514-170-20-10-30-714-40-1128012262-18.6-0.7
247244.6IUPUISum0.46020.490117810-1911-200-00-20-62-89-54-10238151247-2.4-0.2
259246.3UNC AshevilleBSth0.45370.458527910-1512-160-00-00-24-87-61-7328289258-11.7-0.4
242247.4DrakeMVC0.46330.5372888-209-220-50-10-52-77-42-9277612398.40.5
253247.6LIU BrooklynNEC0.45740.466025612-1613-180-00-10-14-109-64-7208149255-7.4-0.4
255248.0Northern KentuckyASun0.45600.476022110-1611-180-20-10-21-810-54-920395257-9.0-0.4
257248.3Saint Peter'sMAAC0.45500.457228513-1714-190-00-10-24-810-76-5195312261-12.7-0.6
244248.4Wright St.Horz0.46310.49281699-1810-190-00-10-55-55-86-612813123513.40.9
245249.7Loyola MarymountWCC0.46170.5380867-218-230-40-30-44-83-43-8243772436.70.4
250251.5Saint LouisA100.45990.513411810-1711-200-30-31-64-27-57-521726123813.50.8
261252.6Northern ColoradoBSky0.45290.452530111-1413-160-00-10-32-711-43-6288252259-6.4-0.3
254253.1DrexelCAA0.45680.493616210-1711-190-00-21-42-98-32-8294160256-2.9-0.2
252253.3Loyola MDPat0.45750.477721511-1712-180-10-00-16-116-64-72622602485.30.3
260254.0Arkansas Little RockSB0.45360.471123712-1513-180-00-21-41-711-44-5273273260-6.0-0.3
262258.5RiceCUSA0.45210.49611588-169-190-10-30-44-45-81-8339255267-8.5-0.4
272259.0Prairie View A&MSWAC0.44580.434533310-1614-180-10-20-21-412-91-1126763278-19.0-0.8
258259.5South FloridaAmer0.45400.5287977-209-230-30-40-82-56-45-72301692527.50.4
264260.7SienaMAAC0.45110.482320310-1811-200-00-10-24-107-73-6211142264-3.3-0.2
267261.0Weber St.BSky0.44890.46972409-1511-170-10-10-43-67-53-621079263-2.0-0.1
263263.1Arkansas St.SB0.45180.463726310-1511-170-00-10-42-69-64-423332225310.10.7
266264.2DelawareCAA0.44950.48871829-1910-210-11-12-23-75-91-10336214265-0.8-0.1
265265.7UMass LowellAE0.45000.451630311-1711-170-00-10-13-78-75-7163218266-0.3-0.1
268265.9NavyPat0.44860.483619710-1811-200-10-20-13-117-53-8299227270-4.1-0.3
270266.7ElonCAA0.44710.459227711-1712-190-10-01-21-99-76-5218337274-7.3-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
269267.5Ball St.MAC0.44730.52571056-197-220-20-21-72-74-44-6256225269-1.5-0.1
271267.8TowsonCAA0.44590.455529211-1812-190-10-20-42-710-66-6246340271-3.2-0.2
274271.2VMISC0.44410.46822489-1710-180-20-20-21-59-71-7311147273-1.8-0.1
273272.2Grand CanyonWAC0.44510.438132814-1315-140-10-10-41-314-57-8260244276-3.8-0.4
275274.0HoustonAmer0.44380.49541609-1811-200-30-41-51-28-78-42243342686.00.4
280274.9SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.43850.460127510-1511-160-00-10-22-78-62-7343333281-6.1-0.3
277275.5Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44130.456028910-1611-170-10-20-32-69-64-73063312750.50.0
276276.4PennIvy0.44380.49161757-178-200-10-10-51-67-75-92512412724.40.4
284278.4UMKCWAC0.43550.441432010-1712-190-10-10-31-411-113-12301256288-9.6-0.5
278280.6Houston BaptistSlnd0.44020.46432617-138-160-00-10-21-68-61-5307310292-11.4-0.7
285281.8McNeese St.Slnd0.43470.45672877-1510-170-10-20-31-49-62-514482801.80.1
289281.9HamptonMEAC0.43240.426133911-1513-180-00-10-42-611-84-9279284297-15.1-0.7
279282.5Appalachian St.SB0.43890.46182679-1710-190-00-01-31-98-73-62863382775.50.6
291283.1Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.43190.443231610-1612-180-10-10-31-411-93-11303240300-16.9-0.9
286285.3WagnerNEC0.43380.47042389-189-200-10-10-12-128-61-9313138290-4.7-0.3
282285.8Tennessee TechOVC0.43630.461626910-1710-180-00-11-24-86-86-6159230289-3.2-0.4
283286.5NiagaraMAAC0.43580.49401617-218-220-10-30-34-64-101-8292602797.50.6
281286.9Youngstown St.Horz0.43630.47792148-199-200-00-10-71-78-66-61782392824.90.4
299287.4SeattleWAC0.42760.431133511-1313-150-00-02-31-310-85-7274259303-15.6-0.8
288288.7Southern IllinoisMVC0.43250.47712189-2010-210-40-11-31-58-86-62903472853.70.3
290288.9Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43200.51021246-227-240-30-21-52-85-73-112701002862.90.3
287289.7BradleyMVC0.43250.51211227-228-240-40-01-41-86-74-82952262845.70.5
293290.8FairfieldMAAC0.43120.49861527-228-240-10-20-21-116-72-8248352873.80.3
301292.6Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.42640.44123218-1811-210-20-20-21-310-122-10304186304-11.4-0.6
294293.0LipscombASun0.43080.44023239-1610-170-00-10-20-910-63-9310302294-1.0-0.1
295293.0MarshallCUSA0.42990.48911808-189-210-20-21-21-86-72-93242212912.00.1
292293.1North DakotaBSky0.43150.47552226-197-210-20-10-31-87-72-81968128310.11.0
296294.4South AlabamaSB0.42950.48032057-208-220-00-10-43-85-90-93482532931.40.1
297295.0College of CharlestonCAA0.42830.48901818-229-240-10-21-51-97-75-82281822950.00.0
303297.5SamfordSC0.42470.441132211-1812-200-00-20-42-410-96-6240329298-0.5-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
298298.7Southern MissCUSA0.42760.50601366-196-210-00-30-61-54-73-6259178305-6.3-1.2
300299.6NevadaMWC0.42690.49361636-197-220-20-20-33-84-62-8346325301-1.4-0.1
305301.4Utah ValleyWAC0.42400.44883068-179-190-20-10-30-49-104-92341852965.40.4
309301.5Jackson St.SWAC0.41610.41693469-1813-200-00-10-20-813-92-11302207322-20.5-1.3
302301.6Florida AtlanticCUSA0.42510.48012086-187-200-00-20-32-75-85-41322352992.60.2
304302.9Jacksonville St.OVC0.42420.453529810-1810-190-10-10-22-68-105-82542883020.90.1
315308.1CampbellBSth0.41330.46792497-208-220-10-10-32-86-93-7249199315-6.9-0.4
310309.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41560.42453409-2012-220-00-20-31-411-123-112501683072.00.2
316309.7UNC GreensboroSC0.41300.46132707-208-220-10-20-31-57-101-9332262319-9.3-0.7
306310.7PresbyterianBSth0.41790.47852116-206-220-10-10-31-95-80-93271073082.70.3
307311.7TroySB0.41650.44733078-179-180-00-11-33-44-103-43313513092.70.4
312312.6Southern UtahBSky0.41510.45053047-188-200-00-00-21-87-92-8296254318-5.4-0.5
318313.0The CitadelSC0.41160.44223188-179-190-01-20-11-47-112-53263273112.00.2
313313.1Nebraska OmahaSum0.41480.43053369-1710-180-00-10-22-68-96-6298350316-2.9-0.3
314313.1South Carolina St.MEAC0.41340.43353348-1910-210-10-00-21-89-101-123232323103.10.3
311313.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.41550.47172357-197-220-00-10-51-117-56-72312973121.30.2
308313.7Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41620.49551595-236-250-10-10-61-85-82-113151743067.71.0
322316.2New OrleansSlnd0.40750.43763295-158-180-00-20-20-58-81-5232135323-6.8-0.4
317317.1Austin PeayOVC0.41160.47862106-216-220-00-20-32-74-103-92932373143.10.5
320318.7Kennesaw St.ASun0.40830.44623118-208-220-10-10-31-77-104-113052813171.70.3
319318.8Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.40940.45762826-217-210-00-10-11-106-94-61902013135.81.4
326319.8Alabama A&MSWAC0.40310.41523477-169-190-00-10-21-59-110-9333145326-6.2-0.5
324320.6Coppin St.MEAC0.40520.46642545-216-230-00-10-40-86-90-1230838324-3.4-0.3
323320.7Abilene ChristianSlnd0.40740.46102726-187-210-00-20-32-45-133-72552123200.70.1
321320.9Montana St.BSky0.40810.47362306-216-230-10-00-41-75-102-927275321-0.1-0.0
325321.2FurmanSC0.40500.47372296-207-220-10-20-31-65-101-8314150327-5.8-0.6
328322.2Western IllinoisSum0.40290.47422266-186-200-00-20-41-65-83-6285242328-5.8-0.8
327324.0MaristMAAC0.40300.46912446-236-250-00-10-12-125-111-9341283329-5.0-0.7
330327.7LongwoodBSth0.39480.45003056-227-240-00-10-31-116-92-9335306330-2.3-0.3
329328.3Savannah St.MEAC0.39660.44243176-197-220-10-10-41-56-112-1027190331-2.7-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
332330.3Morgan St.MEAC0.39090.43533327-218-230-10-01-22-76-132-12321249333-2.7-0.4
331331.0Nicholls St.Slnd0.39420.45582904-176-210-10-10-30-66-90-7312553256.00.7
333331.6Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.39090.44223196-197-220-10-00-30-37-153-10284233332-0.4-0.1
335334.7BinghamtonAE0.38480.46632554-245-250-10-20-11-114-100-13340188335-0.3-0.1
338335.3Bethune CookmanMEAC0.38140.39733508-1810-210-00-00-20-610-122-11349343343-7.7-1.2
334335.4Chicago St.WAC0.38650.46442594-225-250-00-10-50-55-131-13318128336-0.6-0.1
337335.9StetsonASun0.38170.43863276-206-220-00-10-20-86-113-10319316337-1.1-0.3
336337.6San Jose St.MWC0.38460.51131230-250-280-20-30-30-110-90-103472383343.61.4
339337.9North Carolina A&TMEAC0.37870.42953375-217-240-10-10-30-67-131-12337213340-2.1-0.4
340339.7MaineAE0.37710.46842473-253-270-10-10-30-113-121-12322165341-1.3-0.5
343340.7UMBCAE0.37440.44623104-244-260-00-00-30-124-112-113302803391.70.4
341341.1Central ConnecticutNEC0.37660.45362975-255-260-10-00-11-105-132-113292723383.10.9
342342.0Idaho St.BSky0.37470.44673094-215-230-00-00-21-73-131-9338300344-2.0-0.5
345342.0JacksonvilleASun0.37140.42403416-216-230-00-10-11-75-143-11345345346-4.0-1.3
344342.4Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.37380.42163435-237-260-10-10-20-77-151-123161843420.40.1
346345.1Tennessee St.OVC0.36930.46652533-253-260-10-00-20-103-131-123442673450.10.0
347346.4LibertyBSth0.35780.43983244-225-240-00-00-11-103-122-7342323347-0.6-0.2
348347.6Alcorn St.SWAC0.35150.41923454-214-250-00-20-30-44-160-10334146348-0.4-0.2
349349.0Central ArkansasSlnd0.33740.43723301-241-280-00-10-20-81-160-113503043490.00.1
351350.4Grambling St.SWAC0.31850.41983440-220-270-00-10-30-50-170-831767351-0.6-1.0
350350.5Florida A&MMEAC0.32070.41513491-261-280-00-00-30-61-180-133513093500.50.9

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com