Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

These projections also include simulated Conference Tournaments.

For the projected RPIs through the end of the regular season, click on the links at the top.

This particular page is updated weekly

Click here for the detailed simulation results for this page

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

NEW! Click on a team's name to see the RPI Forecast broken down by different end of season records plus Schedules, Results and Probabilities of Winning

(Help keep the site up and running - donate via paypal to rpiforecast@gmail.com)

Through games of Mar 7, 2010.

	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
1	1.0	Kansas	B12	0.6825	0.5917	8	29-2	31-2	7-1	5-1	4-0	13-0	2-0	14-1	5	26	1	0.0	0.1
2	2.7	Duke	ACC	0.6644	0.5939	7	26-5	28-5	2-3	7-1	8-0	9-1	3-0	13-2	8	29	2	0.7	0.8
4	3.5	Syracuse	BE	0.6601	0.5876	12	28-3	30-4	6-2	3-2	10-0	6-0	5-0	13-0	1	23	4	-0.5	-0.4
3	3.7	Kentucky	SEC	0.6611	0.5636	38	29-2	31-3	3-1	3-0	10-1	11-0	4-0	15-0	10	91	3	0.7	0.7
5	4.2	West Virginia	BE	0.6574	0.6070	2	24-6	26-7	5-4	3-1	9-2	5-0	3-0	11-1	2	11	5	-0.8	-0.7
6	7.2	Kansas St.	B12	0.6407	0.5988	5	23-6	24-7	4-3	3-2	5-1	9-1	3-0	12-1	4	12	6	1.2	0.7
7	9.4	New Mexico	MWC	0.6386	0.5493	63	28-3	30-4	4-1	3-2	5-1	8-1	10-0	14-1	11	58	7	2.4	0.9
8	9.7	Baylor	B12	0.6370	0.5811	18	23-6	24-7	3-4	4-1	5-1	8-1	4-0	12-1	15	74	8	1.7	0.6
9	10.8	Villanova	BE	0.6343	0.5771	24	24-6	25-7	3-5	3-1	8-1	6-0	5-0	11-1	22	144	9	1.8	0.5
10	12.1	Pittsburgh	BE	0.6339	0.5891	10	24-7	25-8	3-3	4-1	7-3	7-0	4-1	11-2	21	36	10	2.1	0.5
11	12.6	Purdue	B10	0.6307	0.5559	51	26-4	28-5	4-2	3-1	5-0	9-1	7-0	12-0	7	83	11	1.6	0.4
12	15.0	Texas A&M	B12	0.6304	0.5968	6	21-8	22-9	2-6	4-2	5-1	7-0	5-0	10-3	30	33	12	3.0	0.7
13	15.1	Tennessee	SEC	0.6281	0.5778	22	23-7	25-8	2-4	1-1	8-1	7-2	7-0	12-2	19	43	13	2.1	0.4
14	15.3	Georgetown	BE	0.6270	0.6121	1	20-9	21-10	6-5	2-2	6-3	4-1	5-0	10-1	3	2	14	1.3	0.3
16	15.4	Butler	Horz	0.6242	0.5392	86	27-4	28-4	1-1	2-2	3-1	14-0	8-0	8-4	27	9	16	-0.6	-0.2
15	15.5	Wisconsin	B10	0.6254	0.5755	27	23-7	25-8	4-2	2-2	5-2	8-1	6-0	10-2	13	27	15	0.5	0.1
17	16.7	Temple	A10	0.6234	0.5493	61	26-5	28-6	2-3	5-1	4-2	12-0	5-0	12-3	29	41	17	-0.3	-0.1
18	17.3	Northern Iowa	MVC	0.6230	0.5297	106	28-4	28-4	0-0	4-1	6-0	12-1	6-2	10-1	51	222	18	-0.7	-0.4
19	18.7	Maryland	ACC	0.6220	0.5786	20	22-7	23-8	2-4	5-2	3-2	7-0	7-0	9-4	103	116	19	-0.3	-0.1
23	19.1	Brigham Young	MWC	0.6174	0.5272	111	27-4	29-5	1-2	4-2	5-0	10-0	10-0	14-1	25	170	23	-3.9	-0.9
21	19.3	Xavier	A10	0.6184	0.5584	45	23-7	24-8	1-4	4-2	6-1	9-0	5-0	9-5	45	17	21	-1.7	-0.3
20	19.6	California	P10	0.6191	0.5878	11	21-9	23-10	0-3	2-2	5-2	16-3	1-0	8-4	9	1	20	-0.4	-0.1
22	21.9	Vanderbilt	SEC	0.6179	0.5758	25	22-7	24-8	2-2	3-0	6-3	6-2	6-0	10-3	50	62	22	-0.1	-0.0
24	25.9	Richmond	A10	0.6126	0.5471	67	24-7	25-8	1-1	4-2	5-5	8-0	7-0	11-4	38	66	24	1.9	0.4
25	26.6	Michigan St.	B10	0.6120	0.5581	48	24-7	25-8	2-3	1-2	5-3	9-0	7-0	10-3	43	72	25	1.6	0.3
26	27.0	Texas	B12	0.6102	0.5642	37	23-8	25-9	3-6	2-1	4-1	9-1	6-0	14-1	23	156	26	1.0	0.1
27	28.2	Clemson	ACC	0.6085	0.5774	23	21-9	22-10	2-4	3-3	4-2	7-1	6-0	12-2	41	113	27	1.2	0.2
31	28.7	Utah St.	WAC	0.6042	0.5305	104	24-6	26-6	1-0	1-1	8-3	7-2	9-0	10-4	61	85	31	-2.3	-0.4
29	29.8	Ohio St.	B10	0.6071	0.5481	66	24-7	26-8	4-5	2-0	3-2	7-1	10-0	10-3	53	92	29	0.8	0.1
33	30.6	Old Dominion	CAA	0.6019	0.5363	95	25-8	26-8	1-1	1-2	7-4	5-1	13-0	8-5	40	13	33	-2.4	-0.7
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
30	31.7	Louisville	BE	0.6063	0.6036	4	20-11	21-12	2-6	1-1	8-4	8-1	3-0	9-4	44	7	30	1.7	0.3
28	32.6	Oklahoma St.	B12	0.6076	0.5733	30	21-9	22-10	4-4	0-3	2-2	13-1	3-0	12-2	32	101	28	4.6	0.9
36	32.7	San Diego St.	MWC	0.6003	0.5448	70	20-8	21-9	1-4	1-2	2-1	10-1	7-1	9-3	35	94	36	-3.3	-0.5
35	32.8	Gonzaga	WCC	0.6004	0.5202	119	25-5	25-6	1-1	3-2	5-0	6-1	11-1	12-3	39	63	35	-2.2	-0.5
37	34.6	Siena	MAAC	0.5976	0.5125	136	26-6	27-6	0-3	0-1	6-1	8-1	13-0	7-5	98	110	37	-2.4	-0.7
32	35.7	Wake Forest	ACC	0.6038	0.5741	29	19-9	20-10	3-2	3-3	2-3	6-2	6-0	10-2	26	54	32	3.7	0.6
34	36.2	Florida St.	ACC	0.6006	0.5583	46	22-8	23-9	0-5	4-3	5-1	8-1	6-0	12-2	42	183	34	2.2	0.4
38	36.9	Missouri	B12	0.5971	0.5631	40	22-9	24-10	2-7	3-1	3-0	10-2	6-0	12-3	58	155	38	-1.1	-0.2
41	38.3	Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.5937	0.5219	116	24-5	26-6	0-1	3-1	5-3	8-1	10-0	9-4	137	186	41	-2.7	-0.4
40	40.7	UAB	CUSA	0.5941	0.5363	94	23-7	24-8	1-0	0-5	4-2	10-1	9-0	12-2	20	96	40	0.7	0.1
43	41.2	St. Mary's	WCC	0.5905	0.5148	131	24-5	25-5	0-1	2-3	4-1	5-1	13-0	12-2	36	87	43	-1.8	-0.5
39	42.2	Rhode Island	A10	0.5944	0.5419	77	21-8	23-9	0-4	1-1	5-2	12-2	4-0	12-1	6	32	39	3.2	0.5
42	42.8	Kent St.	MAC	0.5915	0.5375	91	22-8	23-9	0-2	1-0	5-3	11-4	7-0	9-5	47	28	42	0.8	0.1
45	43.9	Wichita St.	MVC	0.5888	0.5318	101	24-9	24-9	1-3	0-1	8-1	7-3	8-1	10-2	86	270	45	-1.1	-0.6
44	45.2	Georgia Tech	ACC	0.5897	0.5797	19	18-11	19-12	2-3	3-5	4-2	6-3	5-0	11-2	34	109	44	1.2	0.2
47	48.2	Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.5850	0.5306	103	22-7	24-8	3-4	2-1	3-0	7-3	9-0	11-2	60	184	47	1.2	0.2
48	48.4	Cornell	Ivy	0.5850	0.4824	202	25-4	25-4	0-2	0-0	3-1	9-0	13-1	12-3	46	149	48	0.4	0.2
50	48.9	Memphis	CUSA	0.5820	0.5415	80	23-8	25-9	0-3	3-2	5-0	7-3	9-0	10-5	104	60	50	-1.1	-0.2
46	49.6	Virginia Tech	ACC	0.5855	0.5157	128	23-7	24-8	0-4	3-1	3-1	9-2	9-0	13-1	78	319	46	3.6	0.7
49	49.8	Washington	P10	0.5826	0.5499	60	21-9	23-10	2-2	0-1	4-3	13-4	3-0	10-2	24	37	49	0.8	0.1
51	50.6	Dayton	A10	0.5818	0.5674	35	19-11	20-12	1-6	2-2	3-2	11-2	4-0	11-3	17	15	51	-0.4	-0.1
53	53.4	Arizona St.	P10	0.5791	0.5448	71	22-9	23-10	0-5	1-1	2-2	14-2	6-0	10-3	54	55	53	0.4	0.1
52	53.8	Florida	SEC	0.5810	0.5703	32	20-11	21-12	2-7	2-1	4-2	8-1	6-1	11-4	69	70	52	1.8	0.3
58	55.5	Marquette	BE	0.5760	0.5558	52	20-10	21-11	2-7	1-1	5-1	5-1	7-1	9-3	91	147	58	-2.5	-0.3
56	55.6	William & Mary	CAA	0.5774	0.5256	112	21-9	21-10	1-0	2-3	3-4	6-0	9-3	7-3	18	30	56	-0.4	-0.1
60	55.6	Murray St.	OVC	0.5754	0.4609	263	28-4	28-4	0-1	0-0	2-2	11-1	15-0	6-3	73	182	60	-4.4	-2.5
57	55.7	Mississippi	SEC	0.5766	0.5442	73	21-9	22-10	1-6	1-1	2-3	8-1	9-0	12-2	33	108	57	-1.3	-0.2
54	57.1	Connecticut	BE	0.5776	0.6049	3	17-14	18-15	2-6	1-2	6-5	5-2	3-0	10-3	12	3	54	3.1	0.5
59	58.3	Notre Dame	BE	0.5758	0.5557	53	21-10	22-11	3-3	1-1	7-4	4-3	7-0	11-2	79	168	59	-0.7	-0.1
61	58.4	Oakland	Sum	0.5744	0.5011	161	22-8	23-9	0-3	0-1	2-2	5-1	17-1	4-7	93	14	61	-2.6	-0.5
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
55	58.8	Seton Hall	BE	0.5775	0.5726	31	18-11	19-12	1-7	2-1	3-3	6-0	7-0	9-2	62	135	55	3.8	0.5
62	60.6	Marshall	CUSA	0.5706	0.5234	114	20-8	21-9	0-1	1-4	2-3	7-1	10-0	9-3	48	86	62	-1.4	-0.2
65	63.2	Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.5687	0.5144	132	22-9	22-9	0-0	3-2	3-3	4-3	12-1	9-1	16	89	65	-1.8	-1.1
64	63.8	Nevada	WAC	0.5692	0.5427	76	18-11	20-12	0-2	0-2	5-5	8-2	6-1	7-6	102	51	64	-0.2	-0.0
69	66.6	Mississippi St.	SEC	0.5660	0.5299	105	21-10	22-11	0-4	2-2	5-1	7-5	8-0	12-3	71	188	69	-2.4	-0.3
66	67.3	Charlotte	A10	0.5684	0.5428	75	19-11	20-12	2-5	2-4	1-1	8-2	8-0	10-4	59	121	66	1.3	0.2
68	67.5	Cincinnati	BE	0.5671	0.5895	9	16-14	17-15	2-6	1-4	4-4	5-0	6-0	9-3	31	31	68	-0.5	-0.1
63	68.7	South Florida	BE	0.5692	0.5545	54	19-11	20-12	2-4	1-2	3-5	6-1	7-0	10-2	70	192	63	5.7	1.0
70	69.3	Tulsa	CUSA	0.5649	0.5347	99	20-10	22-11	0-1	1-5	2-4	8-1	10-0	10-4	80	122	70	-0.7	-0.1
67	69.4	New Mexico St.	WAC	0.5674	0.5414	81	18-11	19-12	0-2	2-3	2-2	6-4	9-1	7-6	90	50	67	2.4	0.4
73	70.1	Wofford	SC	0.5611	0.4815	204	24-8	25-8	0-1	0-2	3-3	6-2	16-0	7-5	81	130	73	-2.9	-0.6
72	71.7	Northeastern	CAA	0.5619	0.5398	85	20-12	20-12	0-0	3-3	3-3	5-6	9-0	5-7	96	8	72	-0.3	-0.2
74	74.2	Illinois St.	MVC	0.5585	0.5123	137	22-10	22-10	0-2	1-2	4-2	9-4	8-0	10-2	117	304	74	0.2	0.1
71	76.6	Texas Tech	B12	0.5621	0.5855	13	16-14	17-15	0-8	2-4	1-1	8-2	5-0	12-2	14	57	71	5.6	0.8
78	77.0	Minnesota	B10	0.5567	0.5534	55	18-12	19-13	2-5	1-2	1-1	8-4	6-1	9-3	55	61	78	-1.0	-0.1
77	77.3	Weber St.	BSky	0.5569	0.5067	151	17-9	18-9	0-2	0-2	2-2	5-3	12-1	4-6	112	18	77	0.3	0.0
75	77.3	Illinois	B10	0.5580	0.5621	41	18-13	18-14	3-5	2-4	1-1	6-4	7-0	8-5	122	80	75	2.3	0.4
79	78.6	Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.5548	0.4815	205	18-7	20-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	8-3	12-2	4-5	153	143	79	-0.4	-0.0
82	78.6	Fairfield	MAAC	0.5528	0.4888	180	22-9	22-10	0-1	0-4	1-1	5-4	16-0	7-4	131	259	82	-3.4	-1.0
86	79.5	Wright St.	Horz	0.5509	0.5015	158	20-11	20-12	0-3	0-1	1-3	10-5	9-1	7-5	113	187	86	-6.5	-1.6
81	80.6	Portland	WCC	0.5547	0.5182	122	19-10	19-10	0-1	1-5	1-1	6-2	11-1	8-5	100	102	81	-0.4	-0.2
80	80.7	Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.5548	0.4891	177	22-9	23-10	0-2	1-1	3-4	8-3	11-1	13-2	64	282	80	0.7	0.1
76	82.0	St. John's	BE	0.5570	0.5785	21	16-14	16-15	1-7	2-3	3-3	4-2	6-0	10-2	28	48	76	6.0	1.1
83	83.0	St. Louis	A10	0.5525	0.5281	108	19-10	20-11	0-3	3-2	2-3	9-4	5-0	8-5	179	209	83	-0.0	-0.0
88	84.9	Morehead St.	OVC	0.5493	0.5013	160	21-10	21-10	0-1	0-2	1-4	8-2	12-1	3-6	118	6	88	-3.1	-1.8
84	86.1	South Carolina	SEC	0.5525	0.5834	16	15-15	16-16	2-5	1-2	2-5	5-4	5-0	9-5	75	44	84	2.1	0.2
87	87.1	Arizona	P10	0.5509	0.5679	34	16-14	17-15	1-4	1-3	3-2	10-6	3-0	6-6	107	10	87	0.1	0.0
90	87.5	Indiana St.	MVC	0.5482	0.5486	65	16-14	16-14	0-2	0-2	3-3	9-5	4-2	7-4	72	78	90	-2.5	-1.4
93	87.7	IUPUI	Sum	0.5455	0.4842	198	21-9	22-10	0-1	0-1	2-4	5-3	15-1	5-6	126	71	93	-5.3	-0.7
89	87.9	Iona	MAAC	0.5487	0.5071	149	21-10	21-10	0-1	0-3	2-2	8-2	11-2	9-3	56	133	89	-1.1	-0.5
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
85	88.2	North Carolina	ACC	0.5518	0.5835	15	16-15	16-16	1-6	3-6	3-2	5-2	5-0	11-4	57	69	85	3.2	0.4
91	91.1	Missouri St.	MVC	0.5462	0.5186	120	20-12	20-12	0-2	0-3	5-2	6-5	9-0	11-1	49	235	91	0.1	0.0
92	91.7	College of Charleston	SC	0.5457	0.4948	173	21-11	21-11	0-1	0-1	3-2	4-6	14-1	6-6	116	82	92	-0.3	-0.2
94	92.7	Akron	MAC	0.5438	0.4988	167	21-9	22-10	0-1	0-3	1-2	13-3	9-1	9-5	164	220	94	-1.3	-0.2
95	94.8	Appalachian St.	SC	0.5407	0.4850	193	20-10	20-11	0-0	0-1	3-2	8-4	10-3	5-5	101	64	95	-0.2	-0.0
96	97.8	Harvard	Ivy	0.5402	0.4619	262	20-7	20-7	0-1	0-2	1-1	4-2	15-1	10-3	74	247	96	1.8	1.0
97	102.4	Buffalo	MAC	0.5385	0.5097	145	17-11	18-12	0-1	1-1	1-1	8-7	8-2	7-4	68	77	97	5.4	0.8
99	102.6	Alabama	SEC	0.5365	0.5561	50	16-14	17-15	1-5	0-3	3-4	5-3	8-0	10-4	83	67	99	3.6	0.4
101	102.9	Bradley	MVC	0.5359	0.5490	64	16-15	16-15	1-3	1-2	4-4	5-5	5-1	6-5	159	132	101	1.9	1.0
102	103.8	UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.5356	0.4850	194	17-9	18-10	0-1	0-1	1-1	6-2	11-5	5-5	143	128	102	1.8	0.2
98	104.2	Duquesne	A10	0.5376	0.5458	69	15-14	15-15	0-5	0-3	2-4	7-4	7-0	8-5	66	59	98	6.2	0.9
110	105.5	Northern Colorado	BSky	0.5303	0.4329	320	23-6	24-7	0-0	0-0	1-2	7-3	16-3	11-2	129	342	110	-4.5	-0.5
105	105.6	Morgan St.	MEAC	0.5334	0.4488	290	24-9	26-9	0-1	0-1	0-3	2-2	24-2	9-8	134	207	105	0.6	0.1
107	106.2	Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.5326	0.5038	156	19-12	19-12	1-2	1-1	2-2	5-6	10-1	7-4	89	111	107	-0.8	-0.4
103	107.2	Colorado	B12	0.5341	0.5744	28	13-15	14-16	1-6	0-4	2-3	6-3	5-0	7-5	162	166	103	4.2	0.4
104	108.2	North Carolina St.	ACC	0.5338	0.5416	79	17-14	17-15	1-3	2-5	2-5	5-3	7-0	12-3	109	245	104	4.2	0.7
100	108.2	Georgia	SEC	0.5364	0.5850	14	13-16	14-17	2-4	2-4	5-6	1-2	5-1	8-5	88	56	100	8.2	0.7
109	111.1	Southern California	P10	0.5308	0.5411	82	16-14	16-14	2-1	3-2	3-2	4-9	4-0	8-4	94	88	109	2.1	0.9
106	111.9	Boston College	ACC	0.5328	0.5614	42	15-15	16-16	0-5	1-6	3-2	6-3	5-0	9-5	175	228	106	5.9	0.6
108	112.9	Oklahoma	B12	0.5322	0.5824	17	13-17	13-18	1-7	3-4	1-3	5-3	4-1	9-5	92	93	108	4.9	0.6
115	113.0	Creighton	MVC	0.5278	0.5384	88	16-15	16-15	0-4	1-2	2-6	6-4	7-0	6-6	191	150	115	-2.0	-0.9
114	114.1	Oral Roberts	Sum	0.5279	0.4871	188	19-12	20-13	1-0	1-2	2-7	2-1	14-3	5-7	133	65	114	0.1	0.0
125	116.2	Western Kentucky	SB	0.5247	0.4875	185	21-12	22-13	1-0	0-1	2-2	4-7	15-2	7-6	160	136	125	-8.8	-0.7
116	116.6	Western Carolina	SC	0.5272	0.4798	207	19-11	19-11	0-1	1-2	2-3	4-2	12-3	7-3	37	68	116	0.6	0.2
123	116.6	Pacific	BW	0.5258	0.4757	222	20-10	21-10	0-1	1-2	1-2	4-2	15-3	8-6	157	211	123	-6.4	-0.5
119	117.0	Ohio	MAC	0.5263	0.5211	118	17-14	18-15	0-1	0-3	3-4	7-5	7-2	9-5	82	75	119	-2.0	-0.2
112	117.8	Iowa St.	B12	0.5288	0.5636	39	15-16	15-17	1-9	0-4	2-2	6-2	7-0	11-4	111	178	112	5.8	0.7
120	117.9	North Texas	SB	0.5261	0.4502	287	20-8	21-9	0-1	0-1	0-0	5-3	15-4	6-3	65	161	120	-2.1	-0.2
113	118.0	Troy	SB	0.5280	0.4875	186	16-11	16-12	0-0	0-2	0-3	7-4	10-4	2-6	199	100	113	5.0	0.4
124	118.5	Montana	BSky	0.5252	0.4702	237	18-9	18-10	0-0	0-1	1-2	6-4	11-3	7-3	77	191	124	-5.5	-0.4
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
111	118.6	Colorado St.	MWC	0.5299	0.5356	96	15-14	15-15	0-4	0-4	1-2	6-5	9-0	8-5	108	159	111	7.6	0.9
121	118.6	East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.5260	0.4980	168	19-14	19-14	0-1	0-2	2-2	5-4	12-5	3-7	114	4	121	-2.4	-0.8
122	119.5	Miami FL	ACC	0.5258	0.5134	134	17-12	18-13	0-3	3-5	3-2	1-4	11-0	13-0	87	346	122	-2.5	-0.2
117	120.2	Northwestern	B10	0.5267	0.5122	140	19-12	20-13	1-5	0-2	3-2	5-2	10-2	12-1	67	257	117	3.2	0.2
126	122.0	Long Beach St.	BW	0.5244	0.5272	110	13-15	14-16	0-4	1-1	0-1	4-5	9-5	5-7	52	5	126	-4.0	-0.3
118	123.8	Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.5264	0.5130	135	14-12	15-13	0-1	0-7	0-4	3-0	12-2	6-4	128	219	118	5.8	0.4
129	124.0	Vermont	AE	0.5224	0.4389	313	24-9	25-9	0-0	0-1	1-0	8-4	15-4	10-5	144	302	130	-6.0	-0.6
133	127.8	Quinnipiac	NEC	0.5200	0.4230	332	23-8	24-8	0-0	0-1	0-0	4-4	20-3	8-5	190	341	133	-5.2	-0.4
130	128.9	Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.5222	0.5008	163	18-14	18-14	0-4	0-0	1-3	7-6	10-1	6-5	147	200	131	-2.1	-1.0
128	129.7	Niagara	MAAC	0.5225	0.5069	150	18-15	18-15	0-0	1-1	3-5	4-7	10-2	8-5	123	193	129	0.7	0.3
127	130.3	Providence	BE	0.5233	0.5756	26	12-18	13-19	0-6	0-3	3-8	3-1	6-0	8-4	105	123	128	2.3	0.2
138	131.8	Boston University	AE	0.5177	0.4822	203	19-12	19-13	0-1	0-1	1-4	4-7	15-0	6-7	173	148	137	-5.2	-0.6
131	132.8	Princeton	Ivy	0.5207	0.4518	282	18-8	19-8	0-1	0-2	2-0	2-3	15-2	8-5	167	303	127	5.8	1.2
132	133.5	Michigan	B10	0.5201	0.5565	49	13-16	14-17	0-5	1-3	3-2	4-6	5-1	6-5	149	81	132	1.5	0.1
136	135.0	Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.5182	0.4243	328	24-6	24-6	0-1	0-0	2-0	2-3	20-2	7-2	139	329	136	-1.0	-0.5
135	135.1	Belmont	ASun	0.5187	0.4765	216	19-12	19-12	0-1	0-1	0-3	7-2	12-6	5-5	99	53	135	0.1	0.0
145	138.6	Robert Morris	NEC	0.5157	0.4580	269	22-11	22-12	0-2	0-1	0-1	5-5	17-2	6-8	204	223	145	-6.4	-0.8
134	140.4	Virginia	ACC	0.5197	0.5520	58	14-15	14-16	0-4	2-5	2-2	6-5	5-0	9-4	161	243	134	6.4	0.5
140	140.5	Jacksonville	ASun	0.5168	0.4661	247	19-12	19-12	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-4	16-4	4-5	127	142	140	0.5	0.2
139	140.5	Rider	MAAC	0.5170	0.5093	146	17-16	17-16	0-1	0-3	2-4	6-5	9-3	7-6	136	172	139	1.5	0.6
141	141.1	Stony Brook	AE	0.5165	0.4406	311	20-9	20-9	0-0	0-1	0-1	6-3	14-4	7-5	205	333	141	0.1	0.0
137	142.3	George Washington	A10	0.5177	0.5059	152	16-13	16-14	0-3	0-3	2-4	6-5	8-0	10-3	124	275	138	4.3	0.5
150	142.9	Miami OH	MAC	0.5137	0.5417	78	13-17	14-18	0-4	1-2	2-6	6-5	6-2	4-10	203	39	150	-7.1	-0.4
142	143.6	Hofstra	CAA	0.5164	0.5039	155	18-14	18-14	0-1	0-2	2-8	2-4	14-0	7-5	125	120	142	1.6	0.7
143	145.5	Drexel	CAA	0.5159	0.5139	133	16-16	16-16	0-2	0-3	3-3	3-5	10-3	5-8	170	97	143	2.5	1.0
144	148.1	Arkansas	SEC	0.5158	0.5661	36	14-17	15-18	0-5	0-3	5-4	4-4	5-2	7-8	178	38	144	4.1	0.3
153	148.3	Western Michigan	MAC	0.5116	0.5044	154	16-14	17-15	0-1	0-1	5-2	6-7	7-4	7-6	95	52	153	-4.7	-0.3
149	148.7	Oregon	P10	0.5139	0.5378	90	15-15	16-16	0-2	1-3	1-5	9-5	5-0	8-4	120	98	149	-0.3	-0.0
147	149.1	Auburn	SEC	0.5145	0.5493	62	14-16	14-17	0-3	0-2	3-8	4-4	7-1	8-6	150	106	147	2.1	0.2
151	149.3	Maine	AE	0.5132	0.4621	260	18-11	18-11	0-1	0-0	0-1	4-5	14-4	7-5	119	218	151	-1.7	-0.9
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
146	150.7	UCLA	P10	0.5145	0.5591	44	13-17	13-18	1-3	1-1	3-7	6-6	3-1	5-7	177	35	146	4.7	0.4
148	151.4	Washington St.	P10	0.5143	0.5177	124	15-14	16-15	0-3	0-3	2-2	6-6	8-0	9-2	63	239	148	3.4	0.3
154	151.6	Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.5112	0.4747	225	18-12	18-12	0-2	0-0	0-4	7-4	11-2	7-4	106	163	154	-2.4	-1.2
156	152.5	Utah	MWC	0.5096	0.5387	87	14-16	14-17	0-4	2-3	2-3	4-5	6-2	7-7	207	157	156	-3.5	-0.5
158	153.1	Denver	SB	0.5088	0.4674	243	19-12	20-13	0-1	0-0	0-2	6-5	14-5	7-4	97	105	158	-4.9	-0.4
159	153.8	Lehigh	Pat	0.5085	0.4428	304	21-10	22-10	0-0	0-1	0-1	1-3	20-5	9-6	182	305	159	-5.2	-0.6
157	156.3	George Mason	CAA	0.5090	0.5010	162	17-14	17-14	0-1	1-2	1-6	3-3	12-2	5-7	241	194	157	-0.7	-0.3
162	158.1	Houston	CUSA	0.5074	0.5248	113	14-15	15-16	0-0	2-3	2-5	6-4	6-4	7-6	152	119	162	-3.9	-0.2
152	158.6	Rutgers	BE	0.5131	0.5530	56	14-16	14-17	1-5	0-2	2-8	5-2	6-0	9-3	115	190	152	6.6	0.9
161	158.7	Winthrop	BSth	0.5075	0.4697	238	17-13	17-13	0-0	0-1	0-4	3-5	14-3	2-7	245	154	161	-2.3	-1.2
160	159.1	St. Bonaventure	A10	0.5082	0.5222	115	13-15	14-16	0-4	1-1	0-7	5-4	7-0	6-6	132	99	160	-0.9	-0.1
155	159.3	Nebraska	B12	0.5102	0.5523	57	14-17	14-18	0-8	0-4	2-2	5-4	6-0	12-3	76	212	155	4.3	0.5
163	159.3	Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.5066	0.4357	317	18-8	19-9	0-0	0-0	0-3	4-3	15-3	7-3	140	281	163	-3.7	-0.2
164	162.5	Austin Peay	OVC	0.5060	0.5055	153	15-15	15-15	0-2	0-1	2-4	5-7	8-1	4-7	121	21	164	-1.5	-0.7
170	165.4	San Jose St.	WAC	0.5032	0.5168	127	13-16	14-17	0-1	0-3	2-6	4-4	7-4	7-6	138	174	170	-4.6	-0.4
166	166.7	Detroit	Horz	0.5041	0.4801	206	19-14	19-14	0-3	0-0	0-3	10-5	9-3	8-4	172	306	166	0.7	0.3
169	167.1	Idaho	WAC	0.5032	0.5119	141	13-15	13-16	0-1	0-2	1-8	6-3	6-3	7-5	142	221	169	-1.9	-0.2
168	167.5	Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.5032	0.4730	230	17-12	17-12	0-0	0-0	1-6	5-5	11-1	5-4	185	260	168	-0.5	-0.2
167	167.7	Radford	BSth	0.5038	0.4717	235	17-12	17-12	0-2	0-1	0-1	4-3	13-5	3-6	194	45	167	0.7	0.3
165	167.8	Cleveland St.	Horz	0.5043	0.5349	98	14-17	14-17	0-5	0-2	2-1	3-9	9-0	3-8	210	20	165	2.8	1.2
172	168.7	Southern Illinois	MVC	0.5028	0.5157	129	14-15	14-15	0-2	0-3	3-5	3-6	8-0	8-2	84	269	172	-3.3	-1.5
176	169.2	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.4993	0.4858	191	13-14	14-15	0-0	0-3	0-4	3-4	10-4	3-8	223	165	176	-6.8	-0.4
173	171.7	Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.5020	0.4833	201	16-15	16-15	0-2	0-2	0-0	2-7	14-4	4-8	195	118	173	-1.3	-0.8
171	173.9	La Salle	A10	0.5028	0.5408	84	12-18	12-18	0-5	0-4	0-4	5-4	7-1	8-6	110	84	171	2.9	1.6
174	174.9	Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.5003	0.4871	189	17-15	17-15	0-0	1-4	2-3	3-3	11-6	8-7	176	229	174	0.9	0.5
182	176.0	Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.4977	0.4489	289	16-10	17-11	0-0	0-1	1-1	4-4	11-5	7-3	135	316	182	-6.0	-0.4
175	177.8	Stanford	P10	0.5002	0.5373	92	13-17	13-18	0-3	0-3	0-6	8-5	5-1	6-6	187	141	175	2.8	0.3
180	179.0	Middle Tennessee	SB	0.4980	0.4732	229	17-13	17-13	0-2	0-1	0-1	4-5	13-4	4-7	254	206	180	-1.0	-0.4
179	179.7	Davidson	SC	0.4981	0.5084	147	14-15	14-15	0-1	0-3	1-6	4-3	9-2	3-7	216	46	178	1.7	0.8
181	179.9	St. Peter's	MAAC	0.4979	0.4844	195	16-14	16-14	0-0	0-2	1-4	4-4	11-4	5-6	238	285	181	-1.1	-0.5
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
184	179.9	Drake	MVC	0.4971	0.5312	102	14-19	14-19	0-3	1-2	2-6	5-5	6-3	6-7	236	236	184	-4.1	-1.5
183	180.3	Campbell	ASun	0.4974	0.4542	277	17-11	17-11	0-0	0-1	1-0	2-6	14-4	3-4	224	240	183	-2.7	-1.3
178	180.3	Saint Joseph's	A10	0.4981	0.5504	59	11-19	11-20	0-5	0-5	1-4	6-6	4-1	6-8	141	40	179	1.3	0.2
177	182.7	Oregon St.	P10	0.4982	0.5150	130	14-16	14-17	1-1	0-2	3-4	8-8	3-2	6-6	232	271	177	5.7	0.8
186	184.1	Fresno St.	WAC	0.4928	0.5175	125	14-17	14-18	0-2	0-3	3-4	3-8	8-2	7-8	213	185	186	-1.9	-0.2
185	185.1	Valparaiso	Horz	0.4962	0.5122	138	12-17	12-17	0-3	0-1	0-4	4-7	8-2	2-8	243	146	185	0.1	0.0
189	188.1	Texas Christian	MWC	0.4918	0.5380	89	11-18	11-19	0-5	0-4	0-4	2-6	9-0	6-7	206	167	189	-0.9	-0.2
188	189.0	Bowling Green	MAC	0.4922	0.5013	159	13-16	13-16	0-2	1-1	1-3	3-9	8-2	7-5	145	230	188	1.0	0.6
187	189.0	Massachusetts	A10	0.4926	0.5465	68	10-19	10-20	0-4	2-4	1-5	4-7	4-1	5-8	165	47	187	2.0	0.3
191	189.4	Central Michigan	MAC	0.4898	0.4749	224	14-14	15-15	0-1	0-1	1-3	4-6	9-4	5-7	211	231	191	-1.6	-0.2
195	190.7	Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.4865	0.4598	266	14-15	16-16	0-1	0-4	0-2	0-6	16-3	0-11	272	22	195	-4.3	-0.4
192	191.4	Seattle	ind	0.4896	0.4598	267	17-14	17-14	0-0	0-2	1-4	4-4	12-4	16-14	183	262	192	-0.6	-0.3
190	192.5	Jackson St.	SWAC	0.4899	0.4326	322	18-11	19-12	0-1	0-1	0-2	2-5	18-3	1-10	288	125	190	2.5	0.4
193	192.9	Penn St.	B10	0.4893	0.5437	74	11-19	11-20	0-6	0-3	0-5	6-1	5-4	8-4	169	258	193	-0.1	-0.0
197	197.6	Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.4826	0.4891	179	13-17	13-17	0-1	0-1	0-8	3-4	10-3	4-6	154	112	197	0.6	0.4
194	197.7	Central Florida	CUSA	0.4870	0.5072	148	13-16	13-17	0-0	0-4	0-8	5-4	8-1	7-6	168	180	194	3.7	0.5
201	198.9	Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.4811	0.5184	121	12-16	13-17	0-1	1-5	0-7	2-3	10-1	5-7	264	199	201	-2.1	-0.2
198	199.2	Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.4822	0.4436	303	14-11	15-12	0-0	0-0	0-2	2-5	13-4	4-5	222	265	198	1.2	0.1
205	200.3	Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.4798	0.4639	253	15-14	15-15	0-0	0-2	2-2	2-7	11-3	6-6	200	264	205	-4.7	-0.6
200	200.5	The Citadel	SC	0.4813	0.4843	196	14-16	14-16	0-2	0-1	2-5	1-3	11-5	4-6	180	129	200	0.5	0.3
203	201.2	Arkansas St.	SB	0.4808	0.4681	240	15-14	15-14	0-0	0-2	0-3	4-5	11-4	3-6	256	232	203	-1.8	-0.8
199	201.2	Northern Arizona	BSky	0.4814	0.4724	232	12-14	12-14	0-1	0-1	0-4	0-6	12-2	4-5	174	238	199	2.2	1.0
202	201.3	Montana St.	BSky	0.4811	0.4734	228	13-14	13-14	0-0	0-1	1-4	4-4	9-5	3-7	235	205	202	-0.7	-0.3
204	204.5	Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.4805	0.4752	223	13-14	14-15	0-0	0-2	1-3	3-5	10-5	5-6	188	204	204	0.5	0.1
207	206.3	Canisius	MAAC	0.4787	0.4761	219	15-17	15-17	0-0	0-2	1-4	4-7	10-4	6-6	214	289	207	-0.7	-0.4
206	207.0	San Francisco	WCC	0.4787	0.5216	117	10-18	10-18	0-1	1-4	0-5	3-5	6-4	3-10	258	107	206	1.0	0.5
210	207.1	Boise St.	WAC	0.4769	0.4861	190	14-16	15-17	0-1	0-2	1-6	5-4	8-4	9-5	197	314	210	-2.9	-0.3
196	207.1	Iowa	B10	0.4830	0.5612	43	10-21	10-22	0-6	0-5	0-5	4-6	6-0	6-7	198	73	196	11.1	1.6
212	207.6	Lafayette	Pat	0.4743	0.4232	330	19-12	19-13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1-5	18-7	9-6	219	339	212	-4.4	-0.7
209	207.8	Lipscomb	ASun	0.4771	0.4470	295	16-13	16-13	0-1	0-1	0-2	5-4	11-5	2-6	303	290	209	-1.2	-0.7
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
208	209.6	DePaul	BE	0.4783	0.5681	33	8-22	8-23	1-7	0-2	1-9	2-3	4-2	7-5	130	90	208	1.6	0.2
211	209.7	South Alabama	SB	0.4765	0.4664	244	15-15	15-15	0-0	0-1	1-1	3-9	11-4	6-4	186	287	211	-1.3	-0.6
214	215.1	Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.4726	0.4843	197	12-16	12-16	0-3	0-0	1-1	3-11	8-1	7-2	85	272	214	1.1	0.8
223	215.5	Delaware St.	MEAC	0.4687	0.4416	307	13-11	14-12	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-5	14-4	2-6	280	175	223	-7.5	-0.6
213	216.3	Indiana	B10	0.4736	0.5445	72	10-20	10-21	1-7	0-2	1-4	3-5	5-3	6-6	237	196	213	3.3	0.4
215	217.2	Wyoming	MWC	0.4720	0.5583	47	8-20	9-21	0-7	1-2	0-2	3-6	4-4	5-7	181	49	215	2.2	0.2
217	217.4	Loyola MD	MAAC	0.4708	0.4768	214	13-17	13-17	0-1	0-2	0-4	4-5	9-5	7-4	156	293	217	0.4	0.2
216	218.0	Florida Atlantic	SB	0.4713	0.4778	212	12-16	12-16	0-1	0-0	0-2	2-9	10-4	2-7	268	208	216	2.0	0.9
218	218.4	NC Asheville	BSth	0.4705	0.4852	192	12-16	12-16	0-2	0-0	0-2	2-8	10-4	0-8	269	19	218	0.4	0.2
222	218.6	Portland St.	BSky	0.4690	0.4883	181	11-18	11-19	0-0	0-2	2-4	1-9	8-4	3-9	225	124	222	-3.4	-0.4
219	219.9	Mercer	ASun	0.4701	0.4759	221	14-17	14-17	0-1	0-2	0-2	6-6	8-6	2-6	240	162	219	0.9	0.4
224	220.1	IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.4675	0.4485	291	14-14	14-15	0-1	0-2	1-4	1-3	12-5	4-5	228	300	224	-3.9	-0.5
220	220.6	Ball St.	MAC	0.4701	0.4769	213	14-15	14-15	0-3	0-1	1-2	7-5	6-4	6-6	220	227	220	0.6	0.2
225	221.1	South Dakota	GWC	0.4659	0.3970	342	16-9	17-9	0-1	0-1	0-3	1-2	16-2	5-8	247	266	225	-3.9	-0.6
221	222.6	Louisiana St.	SEC	0.4690	0.5366	93	11-19	11-20	0-4	0-2	1-8	3-6	6-0	9-5	166	181	221	1.6	0.4
227	226.5	Manhattan	MAAC	0.4644	0.5004	164	11-20	11-20	0-1	0-3	1-4	1-8	9-4	6-5	158	210	227	-0.5	-0.4
231	228.7	Texas Southern	SWAC	0.4590	0.4425	306	13-15	14-16	0-0	0-2	0-3	4-5	10-6	2-8	201	34	231	-2.3	-0.2
228	228.8	Binghamton	AE	0.4615	0.4871	187	11-18	11-18	0-1	0-1	0-1	3-12	8-3	3-10	246	126	228	0.8	0.6
226	229.0	East Carolina	CUSA	0.4651	0.5279	109	7-20	7-21	0-2	0-5	0-5	1-7	7-2	3-8	196	42	226	3.0	0.7
235	230.8	Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.4574	0.4533	279	12-13	12-14	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-5	9-5	4-5	271	313	235	-4.2	-0.5
229	230.9	San Diego	WCC	0.4606	0.5108	144	10-21	10-21	0-1	0-5	0-5	3-6	7-4	6-9	208	127	229	1.9	1.1
230	232.3	South Dakota St.	Sum	0.4592	0.4709	236	12-16	12-16	0-1	0-0	0-6	2-3	10-6	2-7	274	177	230	2.3	1.2
232	232.6	Liberty	BSth	0.4586	0.4623	259	12-16	12-16	0-0	0-2	0-1	1-9	11-4	2-7	250	131	232	0.6	0.4
233	233.5	Texas St.	Slnd	0.4584	0.4627	258	11-15	11-16	0-0	0-1	1-2	3-7	8-6	2-8	333	317	233	0.5	0.0
236	235.2	Santa Clara	WCC	0.4572	0.5117	142	9-21	9-21	0-0	0-5	0-5	3-4	6-6	6-9	189	95	236	-0.8	-0.4
234	236.1	NC Wilmington	CAA	0.4577	0.5122	139	9-22	9-22	0-0	0-3	1-7	3-8	5-4	4-8	212	104	234	2.1	1.2
237	237.4	Chattanooga	SC	0.4559	0.4761	220	13-18	13-18	0-0	0-2	1-6	5-2	7-7	6-5	151	152	237	0.4	0.2
238	237.5	North Florida	ASun	0.4558	0.4662	245	12-18	12-18	0-0	0-0	0-3	2-9	10-5	4-5	146	151	238	-0.5	-0.3
243	238.0	South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.4531	0.4199	334	13-13	14-14	0-0	0-1	0-2	1-2	13-9	3-7	261	291	243	-5.0	-0.4
239	238.6	Delaware	CAA	0.4557	0.5409	83	7-24	7-24	0-2	0-4	0-6	2-7	5-5	4-8	155	24	239	-0.4	-0.2
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
240	241.7	Long Island	NEC	0.4537	0.4478	293	14-17	14-17	0-0	0-0	0-3	3-5	11-9	4-9	283	286	241	0.7	0.4
242	242.5	New Hampshire	AE	0.4535	0.4647	252	12-17	12-17	0-2	0-0	0-1	3-8	9-6	5-6	218	278	242	0.5	0.3
241	242.8	James Madison	CAA	0.4537	0.4790	209	13-20	13-20	0-0	0-3	2-5	2-6	9-6	8-5	193	328	240	2.8	1.9
245	244.0	Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.4515	0.4875	184	11-20	12-21	0-1	0-1	0-2	4-12	7-6	5-10	233	153	245	-1.0	-0.1
244	245.5	Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.4518	0.4569	273	12-16	12-16	0-0	0-1	1-0	3-6	8-9	2-7	305	309	244	1.5	1.0
247	247.3	Army	Pat	0.4497	0.4415	308	13-15	13-15	0-0	0-0	1-1	1-5	11-9	9-4	148	318	248	-0.7	-0.5
248	248.2	Georgia St.	CAA	0.4496	0.4919	176	11-20	11-20	0-0	0-3	0-6	2-6	9-5	6-6	202	234	247	1.2	0.6
249	248.8	Evansville	MVC	0.4485	0.5178	123	8-21	8-21	1-2	1-1	0-7	2-10	4-1	5-5	255	312	249	-0.2	-0.1
246	249.0	NC Greensboro	SC	0.4502	0.5175	126	8-23	8-23	0-3	0-3	0-7	1-5	7-5	1-10	227	16	246	3.0	1.7
250	251.2	Columbia	Ivy	0.4480	0.4656	251	11-17	11-17	0-1	0-2	0-2	1-6	10-7	6-8	226	251	250	1.2	0.8
253	251.3	UC Davis	BW	0.4458	0.4572	272	11-17	12-18	0-0	0-0	0-1	2-11	10-6	3-9	304	315	253	-1.7	-0.2
251	251.6	Hawaii	WAC	0.4477	0.5282	107	9-20	9-21	0-3	0-3	2-6	1-6	6-3	6-7	230	117	251	0.6	0.1
254	253.6	High Point	BSth	0.4448	0.4230	331	13-15	13-15	0-0	0-1	0-1	3-4	10-9	3-6	286	336	254	-0.4	-0.3
255	254.6	Brown	Ivy	0.4440	0.4780	211	9-20	9-20	0-0	0-5	0-5	2-3	7-8	4-11	265	224	255	-0.4	-0.2
256	255.7	UC Riverside	BW	0.4428	0.4637	255	10-17	10-17	0-1	0-1	0-1	3-6	7-8	5-6	217	273	256	-0.3	-0.2
252	257.1	Air Force	MWC	0.4469	0.5325	100	7-20	7-21	0-5	0-4	0-2	1-8	6-2	6-5	209	197	252	5.1	0.5
257	257.8	Bucknell	Pat	0.4423	0.4340	319	14-17	14-17	0-0	0-2	0-1	1-4	13-10	5-11	311	338	257	0.8	0.6
258	257.9	Tennessee St.	OVC	0.4422	0.4891	178	9-23	9-23	0-1	0-1	0-6	3-11	6-5	3-10	248	171	258	-0.1	-0.0
261	258.4	Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.4405	0.4235	329	13-15	14-16	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-3	14-9	6-6	184	267	261	-2.6	-0.2
262	260.1	Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.4405	0.4504	285	11-18	11-19	0-1	0-2	0-3	1-4	10-10	2-11	299	173	262	-1.9	-0.2
259	260.2	Cal Poly	BW	0.4419	0.4544	276	11-18	12-19	0-1	0-1	0-0	3-6	9-11	4-9	292	321	259	1.2	0.1
260	261.8	Samford	SC	0.4406	0.4880	182	8-20	8-20	0-1	0-2	0-6	0-6	8-4	3-6	192	103	260	1.8	0.8
263	262.4	Sacred Heart	NEC	0.4397	0.4210	333	14-15	14-15	0-1	0-0	0-1	1-6	13-7	9-4	171	344	263	-0.6	-0.3
265	263.2	Navy	Pat	0.4393	0.4441	301	13-17	13-17	0-0	0-0	0-2	3-4	10-11	6-9	276	297	265	-1.8	-0.8
264	263.8	Northern Illinois	MAC	0.4396	0.4784	210	10-20	10-20	0-2	0-1	0-3	2-9	8-4	4-9	275	241	264	-0.2	-0.1
266	265.4	Towson	CAA	0.4384	0.4834	200	10-21	10-21	0-0	0-3	1-3	1-9	8-5	3-8	301	237	266	-0.6	-0.3
267	266.5	Yale	Ivy	0.4378	0.4575	270	11-19	11-19	0-0	0-2	0-4	0-9	11-5	5-11	289	299	269	-2.5	-1.1
269	266.5	UC Irvine	BW	0.4376	0.4480	292	12-17	13-18	0-0	0-1	0-0	3-9	10-7	6-7	260	327	268	-1.5	-0.1
268	267.8	North Dakota St.	Sum	0.4377	0.4675	242	9-18	9-18	0-0	0-1	0-4	0-8	9-5	1-7	300	216	267	0.8	0.4
273	269.7	Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.4336	0.4037	339	12-13	13-14	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-4	12-6	1-6	321	248	273	-3.3	-0.3
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
271	271.2	Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.4344	0.4658	249	11-21	11-21	0-1	0-2	0-1	1-8	10-9	3-12	310	249	271	0.2	0.2
270	271.4	Elon	SC	0.4346	0.4842	199	8-23	8-23	0-0	0-1	0-6	2-7	6-8	2-9	257	189	270	1.4	1.0
272	272.5	Youngstown St.	Horz	0.4340	0.5109	143	6-22	6-22	0-4	0-1	0-2	1-12	5-3	4-5	163	115	272	0.5	0.3
274	273.9	Eastern Washington	BSky	0.4330	0.4968	170	7-21	7-21	0-1	0-1	0-5	3-7	4-7	2-10	249	79	274	-0.1	-0.1
281	275.6	Alabama St.	SWAC	0.4296	0.3973	341	12-14	13-15	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-7	12-7	0-8	347	320	281	-5.4	-0.5
275	275.9	Holy Cross	Pat	0.4322	0.4766	215	9-22	9-22	0-0	0-2	0-3	0-8	9-10	3-12	284	213	275	0.9	0.6
276	277.3	Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.4317	0.4601	264	10-19	10-19	0-0	0-0	1-3	2-9	7-8	3-6	273	288	276	1.3	0.7
280	277.7	Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.4300	0.4656	250	8-17	8-18	0-1	0-0	0-3	1-9	7-5	1-8	285	179	280	-2.3	-0.4
277	278.0	Tulane	CUSA	0.4314	0.4949	172	8-21	8-22	0-1	0-4	0-5	3-7	5-6	5-8	270	252	277	1.0	0.1
279	278.4	Furman	SC	0.4300	0.4426	305	11-17	11-17	0-0	0-1	1-5	1-4	9-6	4-5	263	324	279	-0.6	-0.3
278	279.1	Western Illinois	Sum	0.4303	0.4465	296	10-17	10-17	0-1	0-1	0-6	1-2	9-8	4-4	231	323	278	1.1	0.7
282	281.2	Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.4291	0.4477	294	10-18	10-18	0-0	0-2	0-6	0-3	10-7	4-5	252	330	282	-0.8	-0.5
291	283.2	Hampton	MEAC	0.4220	0.4122	337	13-17	14-18	0-0	0-0	0-4	0-3	14-10	5-9	281	332	291	-7.8	-0.7
283	283.6	Charleston Southern	BSth	0.4278	0.4513	284	9-17	9-17	0-1	0-1	0-1	3-6	6-8	2-5	221	195	283	0.6	0.4
284	284.3	Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.4272	0.4504	286	11-20	11-20	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-11	11-6	3-6	287	311	284	0.3	0.2
285	284.8	Longwood	ind	0.4267	0.4589	268	8-19	8-19	0-1	0-2	0-2	1-3	7-10	5-17	262	176	285	-0.2	-0.1
287	286.8	Monmouth	NEC	0.4254	0.4407	310	12-19	12-19	0-0	0-0	0-1	2-10	10-8	6-8	297	345	288	-1.2	-0.8
288	288.0	St. Francis PA	NEC	0.4254	0.4514	283	11-19	11-19	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-7	9-9	3-9	293	250	287	1.0	0.6
286	288.3	Georgia Southern	SC	0.4255	0.4979	169	7-23	7-23	0-0	0-0	1-7	2-9	3-7	1-10	317	169	286	2.3	1.6
289	289.3	Colgate	Pat	0.4249	0.4563	274	10-19	10-19	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-7	10-10	4-10	309	295	289	0.3	0.2
290	290.5	Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.4243	0.4957	171	7-22	7-22	0-3	0-0	0-4	3-11	4-4	4-6	234	242	290	0.5	0.4
294	291.6	Winston Salem St.	ind	0.4207	0.4450	298	8-17	8-17	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	8-9	8-17	279	296	294	-2.4	-1.4
292	292.5	Lamar	Slnd	0.4218	0.4574	271	10-18	10-18	0-0	0-0	0-4	2-7	8-7	5-7	278	307	292	0.5	0.5
293	294.2	St. Francis NY	NEC	0.4207	0.4281	324	11-18	11-18	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-5	9-11	5-8	291	343	293	1.2	1.3
295	294.3	American	Pat	0.4202	0.4444	300	11-20	11-20	0-1	0-0	0-2	1-5	10-12	3-12	339	340	295	-0.7	-0.7
296	296.2	Florida International	SB	0.4184	0.4879	183	6-25	6-25	0-0	0-1	0-4	2-10	4-10	2-10	290	215	296	0.2	0.3
298	297.8	Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.4163	0.4660	248	9-19	9-19	0-0	0-1	0-6	3-6	6-5	2-7	332	292	298	-0.2	-0.2
297	297.9	Sacramento St.	BSky	0.4164	0.4631	256	7-21	7-21	0-0	0-0	0-3	2-10	5-8	4-8	244	263	297	0.9	1.0
299	299.5	Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.4151	0.4794	208	6-21	6-22	0-3	1-1	0-2	0-7	5-9	1-13	328	253	304	-4.5	-1.6
300	300.3	Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.4151	0.4998	165	6-22	6-22	0-0	0-1	0-6	2-7	4-8	2-7	215	25	299	1.3	0.9
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
304	302.6	Albany	AE	0.4131	0.4728	231	7-24	7-24	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-10	6-10	5-10	229	198	303	-0.4	-0.3
302	303.0	Hartford	AE	0.4133	0.4628	257	8-22	8-22	0-2	0-0	0-1	0-11	8-8	2-11	331	280	301	2.0	1.2
310	303.5	North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.4085	0.4530	281	7-21	8-22	0-1	0-1	0-3	1-4	7-12	1-11	315	164	310	-6.5	-0.8
303	303.8	Idaho St.	BSky	0.4133	0.4929	175	5-22	5-22	0-1	0-1	0-4	1-8	4-8	1-10	277	137	302	1.8	1.1
301	305.1	Fordham	A10	0.4136	0.5356	97	2-26	2-26	0-4	0-3	0-5	1-9	1-5	2-10	295	160	300	5.1	2.5
305	305.2	Pepperdine	WCC	0.4124	0.4947	174	6-23	6-23	0-0	0-4	0-3	2-8	4-8	3-11	314	255	305	0.2	0.1
306	306.6	South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.4112	0.4742	226	6-23	6-23	0-0	0-2	0-1	0-12	6-8	0-9	323	138	306	0.6	0.4
307	308.0	Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.4105	0.4329	321	10-20	11-21	0-0	0-0	0-4	0-5	10-12	2-12	334	284	307	1.0	0.2
308	308.4	Central Connecticut	NEC	0.4104	0.4105	338	12-18	12-18	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-6	12-10	5-8	337	347	308	0.4	0.4
309	308.8	Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.4103	0.4661	246	6-19	6-19	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-8	6-8	1-5	253	76	309	-0.2	-0.2
311	309.7	Rice	CUSA	0.4049	0.4763	218	7-22	7-23	0-0	0-3	0-5	0-7	7-7	6-7	251	256	311	-1.3	-0.3
312	311.7	Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.4044	0.4721	234	6-23	6-23	0-0	0-1	0-6	0-12	6-4	2-8	259	158	312	-0.3	-0.3
314	314.2	Centenary	Sum	0.4037	0.4620	261	6-21	6-21	0-0	0-1	0-8	0-3	6-10	3-6	239	217	314	0.2	0.1
313	314.3	McNeese St.	Slnd	0.4038	0.4444	299	7-20	7-20	0-0	0-0	0-4	2-4	5-11	2-9	319	308	313	1.3	0.9
315	315.0	Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.4030	0.4382	314	7-18	7-18	0-1	0-0	0-3	0-5	7-9	2-7	320	331	315	0.0	0.0
316	315.7	Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.4010	0.4535	278	7-22	7-22	0-0	0-2	0-1	0-10	7-9	7-20	298	276	316	-0.3	-0.1
317	317.0	Savannah St.	ind	0.4008	0.4246	327	7-15	7-15	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-6	7-6	5-13	282	274	317	0.0	0.0
319	317.8	Florida A&M	MEAC	0.3978	0.4360	316	8-21	8-22	0-0	0-2	0-1	0-6	8-13	3-10	294	268	319	-1.2	-0.2
318	318.2	Gardner Webb	BSth	0.3997	0.4637	254	5-21	5-21	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-8	5-9	0-8	322	134	318	0.2	0.2
320	320.9	Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.3963	0.4368	315	8-21	8-21	0-0	0-1	0-0	2-7	6-12	3-6	302	335	320	0.9	0.8
322	320.9	SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.3956	0.4765	217	3-23	3-23	0-1	0-0	0-5	1-2	2-15	3-18	313	246	322	-1.1	-0.7
321	321.6	Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.3962	0.4463	297	6-20	6-20	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-5	5-11	3-7	267	277	321	0.6	0.5
324	324.1	Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.3933	0.4260	325	8-22	8-23	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-10	8-10	0-12	336	203	324	0.1	0.0
323	324.2	Toledo	MAC	0.3933	0.5031	157	3-28	3-28	0-0	0-3	0-5	0-14	3-5	2-12	296	139	323	1.2	1.0
325	325.7	New Orleans	SB	0.3917	0.4546	275	6-22	6-22	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-12	6-9	3-6	306	334	325	0.7	0.5
326	326.3	Southern Utah	Sum	0.3914	0.4735	227	5-22	5-22	0-0	0-2	0-6	0-4	5-10	2-7	266	145	326	0.3	0.2
327	326.7	Stetson	ASun	0.3910	0.4600	265	5-22	5-22	0-0	0-2	0-1	1-8	4-11	0-7	340	226	327	-0.3	-0.2
328	327.5	Howard	MEAC	0.3898	0.4409	309	7-24	7-25	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-6	7-16	1-14	326	214	328	-0.5	-0.1
330	328.1	Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.3864	0.3902	345	8-14	8-15	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-5	8-8	0-4	342	261	330	-1.9	-0.4
329	329.2	Presbyterian	BSth	0.3868	0.4681	241	4-26	4-26	0-1	0-2	0-4	0-8	4-11	2-10	242	140	329	0.2	0.2
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
331	331.6	Wagner	NEC	0.3817	0.4531	280	5-26	5-26	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-8	3-16	2-12	327	298	331	0.6	0.6
333	331.8	Houston Baptist	GWC	0.3803	0.3960	344	10-20	11-21	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-6	11-14	1-17	346	325	333	-1.2	-0.3
332	332.5	MD Baltimore County	AE	0.3813	0.4501	288	4-26	4-26	0-0	0-1	0-1	1-12	3-13	1-12	344	337	332	0.5	0.8
335	334.4	Dartmouth	Ivy	0.3789	0.4722	233	4-23	4-23	0-0	0-2	0-2	0-7	4-12	3-10	316	244	335	-0.6	-0.7
334	334.4	Marist	MAAC	0.3795	0.4989	166	1-29	1-29	0-0	0-2	0-4	0-11	1-12	0-11	341	233	334	0.4	0.4
336	335.8	Coppin St.	MEAC	0.3690	0.4323	323	5-21	6-22	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-4	6-15	2-8	307	294	336	-0.2	-0.1
337	337.7	Texas Pan American	GWC	0.3672	0.4353	318	5-26	6-27	0-0	0-2	0-3	0-8	6-14	1-18	325	202	337	0.7	0.3
338	338.3	North Dakota	GWC	0.3671	0.4131	335	6-21	7-22	0-2	0-0	0-0	0-6	7-14	1-14	330	254	338	0.3	0.1
340	338.6	Utah Valley	GWC	0.3573	0.3832	347	8-17	9-18	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-3	9-12	3-10	329	322	340	-1.4	-0.5
339	338.8	Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.3648	0.4694	239	2-25	2-25	0-0	0-2	0-5	0-9	2-9	0-8	335	201	339	-0.2	-0.2
341	340.9	NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.3544	0.4007	340	6-20	7-21	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-7	7-13	2-12	324	279	341	-0.1	-0.0
342	341.2	Grambling	SWAC	0.3495	0.3969	343	5-20	5-21	0-1	0-0	0-2	0-5	5-13	1-6	308	283	342	-0.8	-0.7
343	343.2	Southern	SWAC	0.3478	0.4131	336	5-24	5-24	0-2	0-1	0-1	0-6	5-14	2-9	312	225	343	0.2	0.4
344	343.8	Chicago St.	GWC	0.3464	0.3893	346	6-21	7-22	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-7	7-14	2-13	338	326	344	-0.2	-0.1
345	344.6	Bryant	ind	0.3450	0.4436	302	1-29	1-29	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-6	1-20	1-29	343	301	345	-0.4	-0.8
347	346.0	Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.3414	0.4400	312	2-29	2-29	0-1	0-3	0-1	0-8	2-16	0-13	318	114	347	-1.0	-1.8
346	346.9	North Carolina Central	ind	0.3425	0.4250	326	3-22	3-22	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-4	3-15	1-20	345	310	346	0.9	2.4

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com