RPI Forecast

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Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

Click here for the detailed simulation results for this page

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

NEW! Click on a team's name to see the RPI Forecast broken down by different end of season records plus Schedules, Results and Probabilities of Winning

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Through games of Feb 4, 2012.

	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
1	3.4	Syracuse	BE	0.6662	0.5799	16	23-1	30-3	4-1	4-1	8-1	9-0	5-0	13-0	3	41	1	2.4	0.8
2	4.0	Ohio St.	B10	0.6583	0.5872	7	20-3	29-5	6-3	3-1	6-1	8-0	5-0	12-1	9	97	4	-0.0	-0.0
4	4.3	Kentucky	SEC	0.6532	0.5591	47	23-1	31-3	5-2	4-1	5-0	12-0	6-0	14-1	8	98	6	-1.7	-0.5
5	5.7	North Carolina	ACC	0.6523	0.5850	9	20-3	28-6	4-4	3-1	6-1	10-0	5-0	13-2	5	23	5	0.7	0.2
3	6.1	Duke	ACC	0.6539	0.5953	3	19-3	27-6	4-4	4-1	6-1	10-0	4-0	13-2	1	3	2	4.1	1.0
8	9.4	Kansas	B12	0.6370	0.5872	6	18-5	26-7	5-4	3-2	5-1	7-0	6-0	10-3	33	27	8	1.4	0.2
6	10.1	Baylor	B12	0.6439	0.5814	14	20-2	26-6	3-4	4-1	7-1	5-0	7-0	12-0	2	36	3	7.1	1.2
7	10.3	Michigan St.	B10	0.6393	0.6089	1	16-5	23-9	4-5	3-2	4-2	8-0	4-0	10-2	10	18	9	1.3	0.2
10	13.3	Missouri	B12	0.6295	0.5444	71	21-2	29-5	4-2	3-1	7-1	7-1	8-0	13-0	32	264	10	3.3	0.4
9	14.5	Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.6347	0.5642	32	19-4	27-6	3-3	4-2	3-1	9-0	8-0	14-2	16	107	11	3.5	0.5
12	15.6	Florida	SEC	0.6229	0.5613	44	19-4	26-8	2-4	3-1	4-0	11-2	5-0	12-3	29	105	14	1.6	0.2
11	15.9	Georgetown	BE	0.6248	0.5750	20	17-4	23-7	3-3	4-1	3-2	8-1	5-0	9-1	11	59	13	2.9	0.3
15	16.3	St. Mary's	WCC	0.6196	0.5273	106	20-2	26-4	1-2	3-1	4-1	6-1	12-0	10-2	28	66	24	-7.7	-1.0
16	16.5	Wichita St.	MVC	0.6178	0.5570	49	19-4	25-6	1-2	1-2	6-1	12-1	5-0	9-2	12	15	26	-9.5	-1.0
14	18.6	Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.6209	0.5450	69	18-3	25-6	0-1	2-2	6-2	9-1	7-0	11-2	14	64	7	11.6	1.2
13	19.0	Marquette	BE	0.6216	0.5712	23	19-5	25-8	2-3	3-2	6-2	9-1	5-0	11-2	30	99	12	7.0	0.7
18	20.8	Creighton	MVC	0.6122	0.5309	96	21-3	27-5	2-1	2-1	4-2	12-1	7-0	11-1	21	138	16	4.8	0.5
20	22.7	Wisconsin	B10	0.6109	0.5775	18	18-6	24-9	3-6	3-1	5-1	9-1	5-0	11-2	34	94	29	-6.3	-0.6
17	23.1	Indiana	B10	0.6128	0.5648	31	18-6	25-8	3-4	2-1	5-2	8-1	6-0	13-0	17	195	17	6.1	0.5
19	24.3	Florida St.	ACC	0.6115	0.5811	15	16-6	23-9	3-3	1-2	5-2	8-2	5-0	9-5	75	30	18	6.3	0.5
30	26.0	New Mexico	MWC	0.5993	0.5361	84	18-4	25-6	2-3	3-1	4-1	7-0	9-1	13-2	81	263	43	-17.0	-1.2
29	26.2	Murray St.	OVC	0.6000	0.4848	187	20-0	26-2	1-0	1-0	1-0	9-1	13-0	9-1	4	38	38	-11.8	-1.0
21	28.2	Temple	A10	0.6075	0.5519	58	17-5	24-8	3-0	2-1	6-4	7-2	6-0	11-3	15	39	19	9.2	0.7
33	28.7	St. Louis	A10	0.5979	0.5314	94	17-5	24-7	0-1	1-2	7-3	7-1	8-0	11-2	42	187	35	-6.3	-0.4
23	28.9	Louisville	BE	0.6064	0.5748	21	18-5	24-9	2-5	3-1	5-2	7-1	6-0	12-1	7	76	27	1.9	0.1
27	29.1	Gonzaga	WCC	0.6026	0.5337	87	18-4	25-6	1-3	2-2	4-1	9-0	10-0	11-2	19	34	25	4.1	0.3
25	30.7	San Diego St.	MWC	0.6050	0.5489	65	18-3	23-7	3-4	3-2	3-1	6-1	8-0	12-2	58	216	21	9.7	0.7
26	31.9	Connecticut	BE	0.6045	0.6019	2	15-7	20-12	2-4	3-1	5-4	7-3	3-0	10-2	6	6	22	9.9	0.7
22	32.6	Michigan	B10	0.6067	0.5824	11	16-6	21-11	3-5	3-2	5-2	5-2	4-0	9-3	57	134	15	17.6	1.3
28	33.5	Alabama	SEC	0.6001	0.5730	22	15-7	22-10	2-3	2-2	6-3	10-2	3-0	11-3	40	56	34	-0.5	-0.0
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
24	33.9	Memphis	CUSA	0.6056	0.5693	25	16-7	24-9	1-4	2-2	5-2	12-1	5-0	10-5	43	8	20	13.9	1.3
38	34.1	Long Beach St.	BW	0.5900	0.5203	117	15-6	23-8	0-3	0-2	2-1	8-1	12-0	5-7	27	1	37	-2.9	-0.2
31	35.9	West Virginia	BE	0.5991	0.5869	8	15-8	21-12	2-4	3-2	7-4	7-2	3-0	10-3	20	16	30	5.9	0.4
32	36.2	Vanderbilt	SEC	0.5986	0.5907	5	16-7	22-12	2-4	2-2	5-3	8-2	4-0	11-4	31	10	28	8.2	0.6
45	38.8	Iona	MAAC	0.5831	0.5012	151	19-5	26-6	0-0	1-1	4-3	9-1	12-2	9-3	26	51	57	-18.2	-1.3
42	39.7	Oral Roberts	Sum	0.5855	0.5013	150	21-5	27-7	0-1	1-2	3-1	8-2	15-1	9-4	78	132	45	-5.3	-0.3
41	40.1	California	P12	0.5872	0.5329	89	18-6	25-9	0-2	1-1	7-3	7-2	10-0	10-3	46	85	47	-6.9	-0.4
48	40.2	Middle Tennessee	SB	0.5797	0.4838	191	20-4	27-5	0-0	1-1	3-1	10-2	13-0	10-3	45	114	44	-3.8	-0.2
37	40.5	Virginia	ACC	0.5901	0.5319	92	18-4	24-8	2-4	2-1	5-1	8-2	8-0	13-1	51	260	40	0.5	0.0
43	41.2	Brigham Young	WCC	0.5841	0.5293	103	18-6	23-8	1-4	2-1	4-1	5-2	12-0	10-3	41	60	41	0.2	0.0
34	42.2	Colorado St.	MWC	0.5972	0.5916	4	14-7	18-12	1-5	1-3	3-3	7-2	5-0	10-4	23	21	23	19.2	1.2
35	45.6	Harvard	Ivy	0.5927	0.4853	186	19-2	25-4	1-0	1-1	2-0	12-1	10-1	13-2	36	210	39	6.6	0.7
46	45.6	Akron	MAC	0.5810	0.5370	81	15-7	22-10	0-1	2-3	4-5	6-2	10-0	7-7	72	26	55	-9.4	-0.5
52	47.6	South Dakota St.	Sum	0.5752	0.4970	160	17-6	24-8	0-0	1-1	2-2	7-3	14-1	7-4	87	163	58	-10.4	-0.6
36	47.7	Illinois	B10	0.5902	0.5789	17	16-6	21-12	3-6	2-2	4-3	7-2	5-0	11-2	44	119	31	16.7	1.1
39	47.8	Iowa St.	B12	0.5899	0.5629	38	17-6	22-11	2-5	1-2	3-2	9-2	7-0	10-3	80	180	36	11.8	0.8
40	48.3	Mississippi St.	SEC	0.5880	0.5503	60	18-5	23-10	1-4	2-2	4-3	11-1	6-0	13-2	53	175	33	15.3	0.9
44	50.3	Kansas St.	B12	0.5837	0.5545	55	16-6	21-10	3-5	2-2	3-2	7-1	7-0	11-1	47	228	46	4.3	0.3
60	50.9	Davidson	SC	0.5683	0.4953	162	16-5	24-7	1-2	0-1	1-1	7-2	15-1	5-5	56	4	67	-16.1	-0.8
71	54.3	Belmont	ASun	0.5631	0.4897	180	16-7	24-8	0-1	1-1	2-1	9-2	13-2	7-5	59	69	91	-36.7	-2.0
47	55.3	Saint Joseph's	A10	0.5809	0.5632	36	15-9	21-13	1-2	1-3	5-4	8-4	5-0	10-5	38	25	42	13.3	0.7
51	56.9	Wyoming	MWC	0.5754	0.5303	98	16-5	21-9	2-3	2-2	2-1	5-2	10-0	12-2	71	295	69	-12.1	-0.6
49	57.5	Cleveland St.	Horz	0.5780	0.4983	157	18-4	26-6	0-0	1-0	3-2	11-3	10-1	10-2	25	88	60	-2.5	-0.2
50	59.3	Seton Hall	BE	0.5774	0.5625	42	15-8	20-12	1-4	2-2	4-4	9-3	4-0	11-1	18	106	32	27.3	1.5
59	60.3	Ohio	MAC	0.5688	0.4953	163	18-4	25-8	0-1	1-2	5-2	6-2	13-1	12-2	62	222	80	-19.7	-0.9
53	61.0	Xavier	A10	0.5749	0.5583	48	15-8	20-12	0-3	2-4	5-3	7-2	6-0	9-5	66	37	50	11.0	0.6
54	61.2	Texas	B12	0.5731	0.5691	26	14-9	20-13	2-7	1-2	3-3	7-1	7-0	10-3	63	127	66	-4.8	-0.3
58	62.2	Nevada	WAC	0.5690	0.5082	141	17-4	23-7	0-1	1-1	3-2	7-2	13-1	10-4	84	153	70	-7.8	-0.4
56	62.5	Marshall	CUSA	0.5702	0.5677	27	13-9	18-13	1-3	2-4	3-3	7-3	6-0	8-5	54	13	61	1.5	0.1
70	65.4	Buffalo	MAC	0.5633	0.5179	124	13-6	19-10	0-1	1-3	3-3	6-3	9-1	6-5	93	111	90	-24.6	-1.0
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
55	65.5	Northern Iowa	MVC	0.5712	0.5550	53	15-9	19-12	1-4	2-1	3-3	9-4	5-1	9-3	13	19	49	16.5	0.9
57	66.6	North Carolina St.	ACC	0.5692	0.5628	39	17-7	21-12	1-6	1-2	3-2	9-2	7-0	11-4	55	31	59	7.6	0.4
61	68.7	Miami FL	ACC	0.5682	0.5621	43	13-7	18-13	1-5	1-3	2-4	10-1	6-0	9-4	65	90	54	14.7	0.7
79	69.1	Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.5583	0.4813	201	20-5	26-8	0-0	1-1	3-3	9-2	13-0	10-3	83	199	85	-15.9	-0.8
74	69.2	New Mexico St.	WAC	0.5613	0.5206	116	16-7	22-10	1-2	1-2	1-2	9-3	12-1	11-5	73	95	84	-14.8	-0.7
82	69.6	Drexel	CAA	0.5568	0.4695	234	19-5	25-7	0-0	0-1	3-2	8-3	14-1	8-4	95	223	86	-16.4	-0.8
62	70.2	Purdue	B10	0.5676	0.5667	30	15-8	20-13	1-6	3-3	4-2	6-2	6-0	10-3	74	170	62	8.2	0.5
67	70.3	Washington	P12	0.5647	0.5366	82	16-7	21-11	0-3	0-2	5-4	7-2	9-0	7-5	117	62	73	-2.7	-0.1
68	70.5	La Salle	A10	0.5643	0.5180	123	17-7	23-11	1-1	1-2	4-4	7-3	9-0	11-4	98	240	78	-7.5	-0.3
63	71.0	Arkansas	SEC	0.5674	0.5491	63	16-7	21-12	1-3	2-2	2-3	10-3	6-1	12-3	68	188	53	18.0	0.8
65	71.6	Notre Dame	BE	0.5664	0.5556	51	15-8	20-13	3-4	2-2	3-2	6-4	7-0	8-5	161	198	56	15.6	0.8
77	74.3	Arizona	P12	0.5592	0.5266	107	16-8	23-11	0-2	1-2	5-4	7-2	9-0	9-4	60	44	64	10.3	0.5
73	74.9	Central Florida	CUSA	0.5618	0.5294	101	15-6	20-10	1-3	2-3	1-2	7-3	9-0	9-3	82	191	63	11.9	0.5
64	75.3	Northwestern	B10	0.5670	0.5822	12	13-8	17-14	1-6	1-3	3-4	8-2	4-0	10-2	24	55	48	27.3	1.4
66	75.9	Minnesota	B10	0.5648	0.5674	28	16-7	20-13	2-5	2-2	4-3	7-3	5-0	12-1	35	177	52	23.9	1.3
86	78.6	Weber St.	BSky	0.5533	0.4680	241	16-4	21-7	0-1	0-1	1-2	4-1	16-2	7-3	70	112	87	-8.4	-0.4
76	78.7	Colorado	P12	0.5601	0.5382	79	14-7	19-11	0-2	1-2	4-5	7-2	7-0	6-4	107	93	71	7.7	0.3
69	79.2	Mississippi	SEC	0.5636	0.5634	34	14-8	18-14	0-5	1-3	3-3	9-3	4-0	10-4	61	120	51	28.2	1.4
75	79.7	Pittsburgh	BE	0.5604	0.5671	29	14-9	19-14	1-4	2-3	4-4	8-3	4-0	11-2	50	118	65	14.7	0.7
85	80.3	Loyola MD	MAAC	0.5534	0.4797	204	17-5	23-9	0-1	0-1	2-1	6-3	15-2	8-3	64	209	89	-8.7	-0.4
93	81.4	Denver	SB	0.5480	0.4866	184	17-7	23-9	2-1	1-2	1-1	6-4	13-2	10-3	39	70	88	-6.6	-0.3
72	81.4	Bucknell	Pat	0.5627	0.4863	185	17-6	24-8	0-1	0-1	1-3	8-2	15-0	9-6	92	157	76	5.4	0.4
78	81.7	Massachusetts	A10	0.5590	0.5140	130	17-6	22-10	1-1	2-2	3-4	7-2	9-1	11-3	85	230	68	13.7	0.6
83	82.5	Missouri St.	MVC	0.5547	0.5490	64	13-11	18-14	1-5	1-3	2-2	7-4	7-0	7-5	86	50	82	0.5	0.0
87	82.5	Kent St.	MAC	0.5526	0.5038	149	15-6	21-10	0-0	1-2	2-4	7-2	12-1	10-3	77	185	95	-12.5	-0.5
80	83.1	Dayton	A10	0.5581	0.5528	57	14-9	19-13	1-2	2-2	5-5	7-2	4-2	10-4	67	73	72	11.1	0.5
100	84.9	Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.5420	0.4541	281	16-5	24-8	0-1	0-0	2-2	5-3	18-2	7-6	112	196	119	-34.1	-1.5
92	86.0	Stanford	P12	0.5491	0.5099	137	16-7	22-10	0-2	1-1	4-4	5-3	11-0	10-2	89	243	96	-10.0	-0.4
81	86.2	Duquesne	A10	0.5570	0.5548	54	13-9	17-14	0-2	1-2	4-6	8-3	4-1	8-5	88	68	81	5.2	0.3
84	87.4	Wagner	NEC	0.5538	0.4540	282	19-4	27-5	0-0	0-1	2-1	7-3	18-0	9-2	48	172	74	13.4	1.0
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
96	90.5	George Mason	CAA	0.5456	0.4824	197	19-6	24-9	0-0	0-1	3-3	7-3	13-2	9-4	116	213	103	-12.5	-0.5
89	90.8	Oregon	P12	0.5511	0.5327	90	16-7	20-12	0-1	0-3	3-5	7-2	10-0	9-3	79	122	83	7.8	0.4
90	90.9	Cincinnati	BE	0.5492	0.5260	110	16-7	21-12	2-3	2-2	4-2	7-3	7-1	10-3	163	320	99	-8.1	-0.4
88	91.1	Louisiana St.	SEC	0.5524	0.5501	61	13-9	18-14	1-3	1-3	2-4	7-3	6-1	10-4	104	214	75	16.1	0.7
103	92.5	Lamar	Slnd	0.5397	0.4752	220	13-8	21-10	0-2	0-1	0-2	6-3	14-2	7-6	49	43	102	-9.5	-0.4
94	95.2	Virginia Tech	ACC	0.5467	0.5597	45	13-10	18-15	1-6	1-2	2-3	8-3	6-1	11-4	69	96	92	3.2	0.2
91	96.2	Oklahoma	B12	0.5491	0.5628	40	13-9	17-15	1-7	2-2	3-3	4-3	8-0	10-2	52	183	77	19.2	0.9
95	98.5	St. Bonaventure	A10	0.5463	0.5237	112	12-8	17-12	0-1	1-3	4-6	4-2	8-1	7-5	102	137	93	5.5	0.2
101	98.6	Montana	BSky	0.5405	0.4735	224	14-6	21-8	0-0	1-1	1-3	4-2	15-2	6-5	120	109	104	-5.4	-0.3
99	103.0	Villanova	BE	0.5430	0.5833	10	10-12	15-17	0-6	1-4	3-4	8-2	3-1	7-5	91	33	94	9.0	0.4
102	104.1	Valparaiso	Horz	0.5397	0.4944	168	15-8	19-11	0-1	1-1	2-2	8-4	8-3	5-6	122	151	106	-1.9	-0.1
97	104.4	South Florida	BE	0.5446	0.5710	24	12-10	15-16	0-6	1-3	3-4	7-4	4-0	6-6	128	71	79	25.4	1.2
98	105.1	Mercer	ASun	0.5431	0.4702	229	17-7	23-9	0-1	0-2	0-2	7-3	16-1	7-5	109	212	98	7.1	0.5
104	106.0	Tulsa	CUSA	0.5381	0.5262	108	14-9	19-13	0-3	1-2	3-3	8-3	6-3	7-7	136	101	108	-2.0	-0.1
107	106.2	UCLA	P12	0.5352	0.5318	93	12-10	18-14	0-2	1-3	3-6	5-3	9-0	7-5	155	129	113	-6.8	-0.3
110	106.7	Robert Morris	NEC	0.5337	0.4670	246	17-8	23-10	0-0	1-1	2-3	5-4	16-2	9-4	37	58	107	-0.3	-0.0
114	106.7	Manhattan	MAAC	0.5310	0.4693	237	17-8	23-10	0-1	1-2	1-2	4-4	17-1	8-5	141	281	118	-11.3	-0.5
116	107.0	Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.5305	0.4589	269	13-5	20-8	0-0	0-0	1-1	5-5	13-2	4-3	172	253	120	-13.0	-0.5
105	107.8	Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.5367	0.5333	88	13-9	17-13	1-4	1-4	1-1	4-2	10-2	6-6	148	75	110	-2.2	-0.1
109	108.1	Lehigh	Pat	0.5349	0.4430	309	17-6	24-8	0-1	0-1	1-2	4-3	18-1	11-4	113	327	124	-15.9	-0.9
108	109.3	Illinois St.	MVC	0.5352	0.5137	131	15-9	19-12	0-3	0-2	3-1	8-4	7-2	9-3	131	269	115	-5.7	-0.2
113	109.7	Oregon St.	P12	0.5313	0.5066	143	14-8	20-12	0-1	1-2	5-5	4-3	10-1	9-2	119	302	128	-18.3	-0.7
123	111.2	Georgia St.	CAA	0.5241	0.4625	258	16-8	23-10	0-0	0-1	2-3	5-4	15-2	9-3	159	331	139	-27.8	-1.0
106	116.6	Long Island	NEC	0.5366	0.4575	275	17-7	23-10	0-0	0-1	2-1	4-6	16-2	6-6	166	270	112	4.6	0.3
122	118.4	North Dakota St.	Sum	0.5245	0.4784	210	13-8	18-11	0-1	0-2	0-2	7-2	11-4	6-3	126	288	135	-16.6	-0.6
115	119.6	NC Asheville	BSth	0.5308	0.4754	219	15-7	20-9	0-1	0-1	1-2	4-3	15-2	2-7	220	47	116	3.6	0.2
112	120.6	Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.5318	0.5278	105	12-10	18-13	0-2	1-3	2-4	7-4	8-1	8-9	121	40	109	11.6	0.7
126	121.4	College of Charleston	SC	0.5220	0.4968	161	14-10	20-13	0-1	0-2	2-3	6-3	11-5	8-4	22	11	125	-3.6	-0.1
111	122.6	Maryland	ACC	0.5328	0.5626	41	13-9	16-16	0-6	0-4	3-4	5-2	7-0	10-4	96	131	97	25.6	1.2
119	124.3	Princeton	Ivy	0.5293	0.5166	126	9-10	15-13	1-0	1-2	1-4	6-5	6-3	7-7	94	74	105	19.3	1.0
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
117	125.1	Yale	Ivy	0.5299	0.4759	217	13-5	16-10	0-1	0-2	0-1	5-5	11-1	8-4	101	276	111	14.1	0.7
127	125.3	Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.5200	0.4493	291	15-7	22-10	0-2	0-0	1-1	4-3	16-4	8-5	76	103	130	-4.7	-0.2
124	125.4	Old Dominion	CAA	0.5235	0.5110	133	15-10	19-14	0-2	0-1	2-6	6-5	11-0	5-8	156	28	123	2.4	0.1
125	127.1	Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.5231	0.4952	164	13-10	18-13	0-2	0-1	1-3	7-5	10-1	6-5	114	141	134	-6.9	-0.3
120	127.8	Oklahoma St.	B12	0.5276	0.5815	13	10-12	13-19	1-6	0-3	3-6	3-3	5-0	6-6	146	92	114	13.8	0.7
118	128.3	Nebraska	B10	0.5294	0.5641	33	11-10	14-16	1-7	1-3	2-4	4-2	6-0	8-3	124	248	100	28.3	1.4
129	128.6	Utah St.	WAC	0.5198	0.5196	119	12-12	17-15	0-1	1-2	2-5	5-4	9-4	9-7	118	116	146	-17.4	-0.6
135	131.5	Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.5172	0.4832	193	14-9	18-12	0-2	0-2	0-3	6-3	11-4	6-6	137	201	159	-27.5	-1.1
121	132.7	Texas Christian	MWC	0.5255	0.5464	66	12-9	15-16	1-4	1-3	2-3	5-4	6-2	9-6	149	241	101	31.7	1.5
136	133.9	Fairfield	MAAC	0.5158	0.5050	146	12-10	17-14	0-1	0-3	1-5	4-4	12-1	5-7	135	87	151	-17.1	-0.7
152	136.9	Stony Brook	AE	0.5063	0.4284	327	14-7	20-9	0-1	0-0	0-1	6-4	14-4	4-7	261	277	166	-29.1	-1.1
133	137.7	Oakland	Sum	0.5177	0.5158	127	12-13	16-16	0-1	1-4	1-4	3-4	11-3	5-7	111	48	129	8.7	0.4
143	137.8	UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.5107	0.4822	198	10-8	16-11	0-3	0-3	0-2	3-2	12-2	3-6	129	29	140	-2.2	-0.1
134	138.5	Tennessee	SEC	0.5174	0.5631	37	10-12	14-18	1-5	1-4	2-3	5-4	5-1	7-7	204	150	141	-2.5	-0.1
130	138.6	Indiana St.	MVC	0.5193	0.5093	139	13-10	16-14	0-3	1-1	1-4	6-4	8-2	8-3	106	300	117	21.6	0.9
132	138.9	Richmond	A10	0.5180	0.5326	91	12-12	15-17	1-1	1-4	2-8	5-4	8-1	9-6	97	115	132	6.9	0.3
147	138.9	Charleston Southern	BSth	0.5085	0.4590	266	11-9	17-11	0-2	0-1	0-2	3-4	14-3	4-4	110	126	142	-3.1	-0.1
128	139.5	Georgia	SEC	0.5199	0.5753	19	10-12	13-19	0-5	1-4	3-5	5-5	4-0	9-5	90	65	126	13.5	0.6
131	142.8	Drake	MVC	0.5182	0.5294	102	12-11	15-15	1-3	1-2	1-5	4-4	8-1	6-5	147	206	121	21.8	1.0
157	144.1	Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.5041	0.4474	299	11-11	19-13	0-3	0-1	0-4	1-3	18-3	1-11	225	7	156	-11.9	-0.4
139	144.3	Charlotte	A10	0.5148	0.5193	120	11-11	15-16	0-1	1-3	2-7	4-3	8-1	8-5	115	211	127	17.3	0.8
138	145.3	UAB	CUSA	0.5150	0.5569	50	9-13	12-18	0-5	1-4	1-4	3-4	6-2	5-8	165	53	138	7.3	0.3
137	147.8	Iowa	B10	0.5155	0.5422	72	13-11	16-17	1-5	1-3	3-5	4-4	6-0	8-5	238	293	122	25.8	1.2
141	147.9	Butler	Horz	0.5130	0.5168	125	12-12	16-16	0-2	0-2	2-3	5-6	9-2	6-6	108	24	150	-2.1	-0.1
140	148.0	Rutgers	BE	0.5137	0.5515	59	12-12	15-17	1-4	1-3	3-5	3-6	6-0	8-5	201	239	144	4.0	0.2
145	149.7	Clemson	ACC	0.5099	0.5296	100	11-11	15-16	1-3	1-2	1-4	6-6	7-2	8-6	203	261	164	-14.3	-0.5
154	152.3	Tennessee St.	OVC	0.5058	0.4845	189	13-10	16-14	0-3	0-2	0-1	3-4	12-4	5-7	140	155	173	-20.7	-0.8
150	152.5	San Francisco	WCC	0.5074	0.5038	148	13-10	16-14	0-3	0-3	1-2	2-3	12-3	8-4	130	242	157	-4.5	-0.2
148	152.6	American	Pat	0.5084	0.4485	297	15-8	20-11	0-1	0-0	1-3	5-3	14-4	9-6	164	321	147	5.6	0.2
142	154.8	Providence	BE	0.5110	0.5259	111	13-10	16-16	1-5	1-3	1-5	4-3	9-0	11-2	138	337	131	23.8	1.0
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
153	156.2	Bowling Green	MAC	0.5061	0.5100	136	10-11	15-16	1-1	1-2	2-5	4-4	8-3	6-7	194	192	174	-17.8	-0.6
146	157.1	Columbia	Ivy	0.5088	0.4926	174	11-9	15-13	0-0	0-2	1-1	6-7	9-3	9-5	103	193	152	5.1	0.3
144	157.3	Auburn	SEC	0.5103	0.5365	83	13-10	15-16	0-4	0-4	2-5	5-3	7-0	10-4	133	279	133	24.3	1.1
166	157.8	Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.4980	0.4486	296	12-9	19-12	0-0	1-1	1-3	4-3	13-6	6-7	167	249	183	-25.2	-0.9
156	158.1	East Carolina	CUSA	0.5047	0.5419	73	8-10	11-16	0-2	0-2	1-4	4-6	5-1	5-4	152	182	163	-4.9	-0.2
159	158.8	South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.5034	0.4676	244	12-10	17-14	0-1	1-1	1-3	3-5	13-4	5-6	162	236	154	4.8	0.2
158	159.0	Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.5035	0.4827	195	13-11	17-14	0-0	0-1	2-4	4-6	11-2	5-8	224	154	153	6.0	0.2
165	159.8	Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.4989	0.4341	321	13-7	19-10	0-2	0-1	0-0	4-2	15-4	7-4	184	317	161	-1.2	-0.0
149	160.1	St. John's	BE	0.5082	0.5632	35	10-13	13-20	0-6	1-2	2-5	5-6	5-0	6-7	226	159	136	24.1	1.1
170	160.3	Vermont	AE	0.4960	0.4500	289	15-10	21-12	0-1	0-2	0-1	5-6	16-2	7-8	180	190	175	-14.7	-0.6
155	160.7	Evansville	MVC	0.5048	0.5371	80	10-12	13-17	0-5	1-1	3-2	3-6	6-2	5-5	217	164	162	-1.3	-0.1
151	162.5	Texas A&M	B12	0.5063	0.5419	74	11-10	14-17	0-7	0-3	1-4	3-2	9-1	8-3	211	324	145	17.5	0.7
171	163.4	Wofford	SC	0.4959	0.4522	286	13-9	18-13	0-1	0-2	1-1	4-3	13-7	5-6	183	289	193	-29.6	-1.0
167	166.0	Idaho	WAC	0.4979	0.4909	177	10-11	15-15	0-0	0-1	2-3	4-6	9-4	7-7	231	274	179	-13.0	-0.5
173	166.2	Campbell	BSth	0.4954	0.4558	279	14-11	18-14	0-1	0-0	1-2	4-5	13-6	5-7	190	283	185	-18.8	-0.7
163	166.3	Northeastern	CAA	0.5008	0.4940	170	11-12	15-16	0-0	0-1	1-6	6-6	9-3	5-6	132	123	155	11.3	0.5
177	166.4	Quinnipiac	NEC	0.4945	0.4627	257	13-10	17-13	0-0	0-0	1-3	5-6	11-4	7-4	99	215	188	-21.6	-0.7
160	167.2	Youngstown St.	Horz	0.5015	0.4827	196	10-10	15-14	0-0	0-1	1-3	5-6	8-4	3-6	213	252	149	18.2	0.6
175	167.4	Boston University	AE	0.4949	0.4750	221	12-13	17-16	0-0	0-2	0-5	3-7	14-2	4-11	178	63	187	-19.6	-0.8
164	167.4	Washington St.	P12	0.5008	0.5056	144	11-11	14-16	0-1	1-2	2-6	3-3	8-4	7-4	154	278	160	7.4	0.3
174	171.5	Tulane	CUSA	0.4950	0.4699	232	13-8	17-13	0-2	0-1	0-2	4-5	12-1	10-2	123	339	178	-6.5	-0.2
161	173.5	Penn St.	B10	0.5012	0.5592	46	10-14	12-20	0-7	1-4	2-5	4-4	4-1	8-5	153	217	143	30.5	1.7
162	174.6	Georgia Tech	ACC	0.5009	0.5353	85	9-14	13-18	0-4	0-2	2-5	4-6	6-2	7-7	169	160	148	26.6	1.3
180	176.3	Western Illinois	Sum	0.4933	0.4881	183	10-9	13-14	0-1	0-3	1-2	3-3	9-4	3-4	168	255	202	-25.7	-0.9
169	177.4	South Carolina	SEC	0.4965	0.5541	56	9-13	12-19	0-6	1-2	1-3	6-6	4-2	8-6	199	204	158	19.4	0.8
184	179.0	Florida Atlantic	SB	0.4923	0.5145	129	8-14	12-18	0-1	0-3	1-4	2-5	8-4	3-9	150	20	177	2.0	0.1
185	179.6	Detroit	Horz	0.4912	0.4946	166	11-12	15-16	0-1	0-2	0-4	7-6	8-2	5-6	210	161	191	-11.4	-0.4
187	179.7	Delaware	CAA	0.4903	0.4816	199	11-12	16-15	0-0	0-1	2-4	3-6	9-4	5-6	242	268	176	3.7	0.1
182	179.7	Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.4929	0.5313	95	10-13	14-18	0-2	0-3	1-4	5-6	7-3	7-7	145	80	186	-6.3	-0.2
183	179.9	Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.4928	0.4590	267	11-9	16-14	0-1	0-1	1-4	2-4	13-4	5-7	173	165	172	7.9	0.3
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
168	180.8	Wake Forest	ACC	0.4967	0.5304	97	11-12	13-18	0-4	0-2	2-5	4-6	7-1	9-5	139	218	137	43.8	2.3
196	180.9	Cal Poly	BW	0.4852	0.4489	293	11-11	18-13	0-3	0-1	0-1	3-3	14-5	8-5	142	262	196	-15.1	-0.6
179	181.0	Rice	CUSA	0.4937	0.5090	140	10-11	14-16	0-2	0-3	0-5	4-6	9-1	6-6	214	229	170	11.0	0.4
172	181.2	Western Michigan	MAC	0.4956	0.5155	128	9-13	14-18	0-2	0-4	1-5	3-3	9-4	5-9	105	9	165	16.2	0.6
188	181.5	Fresno St.	WAC	0.4903	0.5009	152	9-14	14-18	0-0	0-1	1-5	4-8	8-3	8-8	176	224	192	-10.5	-0.4
176	182.5	Air Force	MWC	0.4948	0.5414	75	9-10	11-16	0-5	0-4	0-4	2-3	8-0	8-4	195	297	171	11.5	0.5
181	183.3	Cornell	Ivy	0.4933	0.5181	122	7-12	11-16	0-0	0-2	1-3	5-9	5-1	4-9	228	91	184	-0.7	-0.0
178	184.5	Boise St.	MWC	0.4941	0.5385	77	9-12	12-17	0-4	1-4	1-3	5-5	5-1	9-5	144	286	197	-12.5	-0.5
189	184.8	Hawaii	WAC	0.4895	0.4903	178	12-9	15-14	0-1	1-1	2-3	5-5	8-4	7-7	258	272	204	-19.2	-0.7
186	184.9	North Florida	ASun	0.4906	0.4900	179	11-13	14-17	0-2	0-2	0-4	3-6	11-2	5-7	125	86	167	17.9	0.7
195	186.1	East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.4860	0.4589	270	11-10	15-14	0-0	0-1	1-2	5-6	10-4	5-5	170	282	201	-14.9	-0.5
193	186.1	Morehead St.	OVC	0.4878	0.4843	190	10-12	14-16	0-1	0-1	0-3	4-6	9-4	4-8	160	102	169	17.1	0.6
194	188.3	St. Francis NY	NEC	0.4876	0.4497	290	13-10	17-14	0-0	0-0	1-3	3-5	14-5	3-8	306	318	205	-16.7	-0.7
192	188.4	Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.4880	0.5049	147	10-13	14-17	0-2	0-1	1-2	4-6	8-5	2-11	275	49	181	7.4	0.3
190	189.0	Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.4886	0.5218	114	7-13	11-17	0-2	0-2	1-3	4-9	6-2	3-6	127	5	180	9.0	0.3
191	193.8	DePaul	BE	0.4880	0.5200	118	11-11	13-18	0-4	0-3	1-6	4-5	7-0	9-3	223	338	182	11.8	0.6
199	194.0	Austin Peay	OVC	0.4807	0.5181	121	8-16	12-20	0-2	0-5	0-2	4-7	8-4	3-11	216	22	212	-18.0	-0.7
198	197.2	South Alabama	SB	0.4830	0.4700	231	11-10	14-13	0-2	0-2	1-2	4-3	10-4	7-3	100	219	168	29.2	1.1
207	197.6	Albany	AE	0.4763	0.4193	336	15-10	20-13	0-1	0-0	0-2	2-8	18-3	9-6	179	315	210	-12.4	-0.4
200	197.7	North Texas	SB	0.4793	0.4694	236	10-10	14-14	0-0	0-2	1-4	3-5	9-3	4-6	236	226	200	-2.3	-0.1
217	198.2	Savannah St.	MEAC	0.4726	0.4250	331	11-10	18-13	0-2	0-1	0-1	1-4	17-5	5-8	257	231	224	-25.8	-0.7
197	201.7	George Washington	A10	0.4831	0.5463	67	8-15	10-21	0-2	0-4	1-8	5-4	4-3	5-9	191	84	189	12.7	0.6
218	202.0	Coppin St.	MEAC	0.4724	0.4463	303	8-11	14-13	0-0	0-2	0-4	1-3	12-4	1-8	302	125	203	-1.0	-0.0
202	205.9	Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.4772	0.4683	238	11-11	14-15	0-0	0-1	0-4	2-8	12-2	4-6	241	234	207	-1.1	-0.0
205	207.0	Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.4765	0.4529	284	12-12	16-15	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-6	13-5	7-6	193	285	195	12.0	0.4
222	207.4	Utah Valley	GWC	0.4685	0.4211	335	12-10	17-12	0-0	0-1	0-3	1-3	16-5	7-10	251	266	236	-28.6	-1.0
206	207.5	Portland St.	BSky	0.4765	0.4683	239	9-12	14-16	0-0	0-1	0-5	1-5	12-5	5-7	158	176	194	13.5	0.5
210	207.6	Eastern Washington	BSky	0.4753	0.4680	242	9-13	13-17	0-1	0-1	0-4	2-5	11-6	4-8	151	181	230	-22.4	-0.9
201	208.0	Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.4783	0.4934	172	9-12	13-17	0-1	0-2	0-5	5-6	8-3	8-7	197	256	190	18.0	0.8
203	208.5	Lipscomb	ASun	0.4766	0.4837	192	10-13	13-17	0-1	1-3	1-3	2-7	10-4	4-7	188	124	211	-2.5	-0.1
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
208	208.6	Niagara	MAAC	0.4759	0.4946	167	9-15	14-19	0-1	0-3	1-5	1-7	12-3	5-8	182	144	199	9.6	0.5
211	209.7	Miami OH	MAC	0.4750	0.5278	104	6-14	10-19	0-2	1-3	3-5	2-5	5-5	4-8	248	104	226	-16.3	-0.6
204	210.2	NC Wilmington	CAA	0.4765	0.5105	135	9-14	11-20	0-0	0-2	1-7	4-7	6-4	4-7	157	110	215	-4.8	-0.2
209	210.4	Lafayette	Pat	0.4753	0.4847	188	10-13	13-18	0-0	0-1	0-5	2-8	11-3	5-10	246	205	231	-20.6	-1.0
214	212.8	Florida International	SB	0.4735	0.4989	154	7-14	11-18	0-1	0-2	1-3	3-6	6-6	3-8	212	82	218	-5.2	-0.2
215	213.9	Rider	MAAC	0.4730	0.4981	158	9-15	12-20	0-1	0-2	1-5	2-7	10-4	3-10	237	139	219	-5.1	-0.2
213	215.6	Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.4748	0.4602	263	11-12	13-14	0-1	0-1	0-3	3-2	9-7	13-14	219	275	223	-7.4	-0.4
212	216.5	San Diego	WCC	0.4748	0.5260	109	7-14	10-19	0-3	0-3	0-3	1-6	9-3	3-8	256	146	198	18.5	0.8
216	218.7	Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.4727	0.5071	142	8-13	11-19	0-1	0-3	1-4	4-9	6-3	7-6	192	233	206	12.7	0.5
220	219.7	Wright St.	Horz	0.4713	0.4993	153	10-14	13-19	0-2	0-1	1-4	4-10	8-2	4-8	222	135	217	2.7	0.1
221	220.0	McNeese St.	Slnd	0.4706	0.4709	227	7-10	11-16	0-1	0-1	1-3	1-7	9-4	2-8	245	78	213	7.0	0.2
223	221.1	Ball St.	MAC	0.4681	0.4301	326	11-9	17-13	0-0	0-2	0-3	3-3	14-4	8-4	218	340	235	-13.9	-0.5
237	222.3	North Carolina Central	MEAC	0.4580	0.4377	316	7-11	13-15	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-5	12-7	2-8	206	67	275	-52.7	-1.5
224	223.0	Elon	SC	0.4677	0.4576	274	10-10	13-15	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-4	10-6	3-6	189	113	209	14.0	0.5
219	223.7	Portland	WCC	0.4723	0.5550	52	5-18	7-23	0-4	0-4	0-4	2-7	4-4	2-10	208	17	208	15.7	0.8
228	224.5	Georgia Southern	SC	0.4647	0.4697	233	8-12	12-16	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-7	9-6	0-8	333	178	221	3.5	0.1
225	224.5	Siena	MAAC	0.4662	0.4746	223	10-12	14-17	0-0	1-1	1-4	4-6	8-6	5-6	229	267	225	-0.5	-0.0
230	224.7	Furman	SC	0.4632	0.4472	300	10-11	14-15	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-6	11-6	4-5	243	309	233	-8.3	-0.3
226	225.7	Holy Cross	Pat	0.4660	0.4791	209	9-13	12-17	0-0	0-1	1-3	2-8	9-5	6-8	202	220	214	11.7	0.4
235	228.0	Central Connecticut	NEC	0.4600	0.4616	261	10-12	13-16	0-1	0-0	1-5	2-6	11-5	3-7	295	244	253	-25.0	-0.8
244	229.7	Texas Southern	SWAC	0.4551	0.4455	305	7-15	14-18	0-3	0-1	0-4	0-4	14-7	1-11	247	12	256	-26.3	-0.8
229	230.2	Arkansas St.	SB	0.4644	0.4935	171	9-15	12-19	0-2	0-3	1-5	3-6	9-4	5-9	198	108	234	-3.8	-0.2
227	231.8	Southern Illinois	MVC	0.4654	0.5208	115	8-15	10-21	0-4	0-2	1-5	3-8	5-2	3-8	304	287	227	4.8	0.2
231	232.9	Southern Utah	Sum	0.4630	0.4630	256	10-12	12-16	0-1	0-3	0-3	2-5	10-4	3-6	314	343	241	-8.1	-0.4
246	234.3	Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.4548	0.4313	324	8-9	14-14	0-0	0-0	0-3	2-5	11-6	3-7	325	328	277	-42.7	-1.4
233	234.8	Houston	CUSA	0.4618	0.4941	169	10-11	13-17	0-1	0-1	1-3	5-8	6-3	7-5	262	294	242	-7.2	-0.3
232	236.9	Southern California	P12	0.4622	0.5448	70	6-18	8-24	0-3	0-3	1-9	3-7	5-2	5-8	186	61	220	16.9	1.0
236	237.2	Hofstra	CAA	0.4583	0.5097	138	8-17	12-21	0-0	1-1	1-6	3-10	7-4	7-6	171	130	252	-14.8	-0.7
242	237.7	Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.4564	0.4442	306	10-11	13-15	0-2	0-1	0-1	2-4	11-7	3-8	307	319	248	-10.3	-0.4
241	238.3	Sacred Heart	NEC	0.4566	0.4522	285	11-14	14-18	0-0	0-0	0-3	4-8	10-7	6-7	244	298	240	-1.7	-0.1
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
238	242.0	Western Kentucky	SB	0.4579	0.5055	145	8-15	10-20	0-1	0-3	0-4	4-5	6-6	4-9	221	45	245	-3.0	-0.2
239	243.1	Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.4573	0.4928	173	8-15	10-19	0-3	0-3	0-2	3-4	7-7	6-5	134	203	238	5.1	0.3
234	243.2	Texas Tech	B12	0.4614	0.5459	68	7-15	8-23	0-6	0-3	0-5	1-8	6-1	7-5	227	303	232	11.2	0.8
250	245.3	Appalachian St.	SC	0.4519	0.4706	228	7-13	11-17	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-6	8-7	3-6	209	83	247	-1.7	-0.1
245	245.4	IUPUI	Sum	0.4550	0.4985	156	8-15	10-19	0-2	0-3	1-2	3-5	7-7	5-6	181	168	267	-21.6	-1.0
240	245.5	Arizona St.	P12	0.4572	0.5223	113	7-16	10-22	0-2	0-2	1-8	4-6	4-4	4-8	252	121	216	29.5	1.8
243	248.4	Fordham	A10	0.4560	0.5114	132	9-13	10-19	0-3	1-2	1-6	2-6	7-3	7-6	196	265	222	26.4	1.7
255	249.6	Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.4502	0.4724	225	8-15	11-18	0-1	0-1	0-3	3-8	9-5	4-8	250	167	254	-4.4	-0.2
253	250.0	James Madison	CAA	0.4513	0.4680	240	10-15	13-20	0-0	0-1	0-6	2-8	10-4	7-6	215	296	255	-5.0	-0.3
256	251.0	Presbyterian	BSth	0.4498	0.4546	280	9-13	13-17	0-1	0-1	1-2	2-6	10-7	5-5	143	197	246	5.0	0.2
268	252.1	Morgan St.	MEAC	0.4426	0.4594	265	5-15	12-18	0-2	0-1	0-2	1-6	10-7	3-9	232	81	273	-20.9	-0.7
272	252.1	North Dakota	GWC	0.4398	0.4411	311	6-12	12-15	0-2	0-1	1-0	1-3	8-10	5-10	233	173	286	-33.9	-1.0
257	252.5	Samford	SC	0.4491	0.4796	205	7-14	10-18	0-1	1-1	1-2	2-6	6-9	1-8	267	57	261	-8.5	-0.4
252	252.8	Pepperdine	WCC	0.4516	0.4882	182	7-15	10-19	0-3	0-3	0-2	3-5	7-7	5-6	260	329	239	13.8	0.6
265	253.6	Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.4450	0.4361	318	8-13	13-18	0-2	0-0	0-2	1-6	12-8	2-11	310	202	262	-8.4	-0.3
248	253.7	Boston College	ACC	0.4533	0.5392	76	7-16	8-23	0-4	0-3	1-6	3-8	4-2	5-9	273	179	237	16.7	1.1
249	253.9	Bradley	MVC	0.4533	0.5383	78	6-19	8-24	0-4	0-3	1-5	3-8	4-3	6-7	200	133	229	24.9	1.6
247	254.0	Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.4538	0.4652	250	9-13	12-19	0-2	0-1	0-4	3-5	9-8	4-10	265	254	228	26.0	1.3
267	254.4	Maine	AE	0.4445	0.4189	337	10-10	14-15	0-0	0-1	0-1	2-7	12-5	6-5	207	311	272	-17.6	-0.7
254	254.4	Northern Colorado	BSky	0.4508	0.4980	159	6-14	8-18	0-1	0-2	0-6	1-3	7-6	2-8	175	14	258	-3.6	-0.2
258	254.8	Stetson	ASun	0.4487	0.4923	175	7-15	9-20	0-2	0-2	0-3	2-8	7-5	2-8	235	72	264	-9.2	-0.4
251	256.0	Rhode Island	A10	0.4519	0.5352	86	5-19	6-25	0-1	0-3	2-8	1-9	4-4	3-12	277	140	244	12.0	0.9
259	256.6	IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.4486	0.4774	212	7-13	9-17	0-1	0-3	1-3	2-6	7-5	4-4	185	312	259	-2.4	-0.1
260	257.0	NC Greensboro	SC	0.4479	0.4792	208	8-15	10-20	0-3	0-2	0-3	2-5	8-8	1-10	266	32	249	8.0	0.4
262	257.8	Western Carolina	SC	0.4457	0.4633	255	8-15	11-19	0-0	0-2	0-4	2-4	9-9	4-7	174	162	251	6.8	0.3
261	258.7	UC Riverside	BW	0.4473	0.4588	271	9-12	11-18	0-1	0-2	0-2	4-6	7-7	5-7	230	227	257	1.7	0.1
264	259.9	UC Irvine	BW	0.4451	0.4768	214	7-13	10-18	0-2	0-2	0-3	1-7	9-5	3-8	278	117	274	-14.1	-0.7
271	262.0	North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.4411	0.4517	287	7-14	11-19	0-2	0-1	0-2	1-6	10-8	2-10	268	77	266	-4.0	-0.2
263	262.4	Idaho St.	BSky	0.4455	0.4761	216	7-14	10-19	0-1	0-1	1-5	1-6	8-7	1-11	315	166	243	19.4	0.9
269	262.6	Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.4422	0.4384	314	9-11	12-16	0-1	0-0	0-2	1-8	11-5	3-5	305	330	260	2.6	0.1
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
266	263.1	Montana St.	BSky	0.4447	0.4442	307	9-11	11-16	0-1	0-1	0-3	1-4	10-8	3-7	287	310	270	-6.9	-0.4
270	264.4	Pacific	BW	0.4419	0.4651	252	7-13	10-18	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-8	7-6	3-8	296	200	268	-3.6	-0.2
273	267.4	Winthrop	BSth	0.4398	0.4624	259	8-15	10-19	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-9	9-6	1-9	272	136	282	-14.6	-0.7
274	267.4	Gardner Webb	BSth	0.4380	0.4472	301	8-15	12-19	0-1	0-0	0-1	3-9	9-7	4-7	276	314	283	-15.6	-0.7
277	271.3	Central Michigan	MAC	0.4376	0.4661	248	6-15	10-20	0-1	0-2	0-5	1-7	9-6	5-8	240	247	250	21.3	1.1
278	271.9	Troy	SB	0.4351	0.4813	200	6-15	9-20	0-0	0-2	0-2	2-9	7-6	4-6	205	184	269	2.9	0.1
284	271.9	Delaware St.	MEAC	0.4306	0.4338	323	6-11	11-17	0-0	0-0	0-3	2-6	9-8	1-9	300	149	276	-4.1	-0.2
281	275.2	Toledo	MAC	0.4334	0.4486	294	8-13	12-18	0-1	0-2	0-3	3-4	9-8	7-6	264	305	285	-9.8	-0.5
276	275.6	Santa Clara	WCC	0.4379	0.5105	134	6-15	8-21	1-3	1-2	1-3	1-6	5-6	6-5	177	225	284	-8.4	-0.5
279	275.7	Monmouth	NEC	0.4350	0.4810	202	7-18	9-23	0-1	0-1	0-5	1-9	8-6	2-11	286	148	265	10.7	0.7
275	276.1	Utah	P12	0.4380	0.5494	62	4-18	4-26	0-1	0-3	0-11	1-7	3-3	2-9	280	79	263	13.1	1.4
280	277.4	Marist	MAAC	0.4337	0.4794	206	8-15	10-20	0-1	0-2	0-4	1-6	9-7	5-7	234	232	280	-2.6	-0.1
289	277.7	Chattanooga	SC	0.4259	0.4666	247	6-16	11-19	0-2	0-2	0-2	2-5	8-9	3-7	269	147	297	-19.3	-0.8
286	277.9	Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.4296	0.4250	332	7-13	12-18	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-4	12-9	1-9	259	35	279	-1.1	-0.1
285	278.9	San Jose St.	WAC	0.4299	0.4889	181	6-16	8-22	0-0	0-2	0-4	2-9	5-6	6-9	253	284	293	-14.1	-0.9
287	279.0	High Point	BSth	0.4285	0.4676	245	7-15	9-19	0-0	0-1	0-4	3-7	7-7	2-7	292	208	294	-15.0	-0.8
282	279.4	St. Peter's	MAAC	0.4312	0.4986	155	5-18	8-24	0-0	0-2	0-7	1-8	7-6	2-10	308	145	281	-1.6	-0.1
283	281.5	South Dakota	Sum	0.4307	0.4749	222	5-14	7-18	0-1	0-3	0-3	1-6	6-6	3-4	284	335	271	10.5	0.6
290	285.4	Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.4258	0.4677	243	5-14	8-20	0-0	0-1	0-5	0-6	8-7	2-9	279	143	292	-6.6	-0.4
288	287.3	Jacksonville	ASun	0.4265	0.4921	176	4-19	6-23	0-3	0-2	0-2	2-8	5-8	2-9	239	89	288	-0.7	-0.1
296	288.9	Southern	SWAC	0.4179	0.3861	344	9-11	14-16	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-7	13-8	1-9	338	307	298	-9.1	-0.4
291	289.4	Seattle	ind	0.4238	0.4660	249	4-13	8-16	0-0	0-2	0-2	2-6	6-6	6-16	293	237	287	2.4	0.2
293	289.4	Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.4214	0.4700	230	6-14	8-20	0-0	0-1	0-4	4-9	4-7	3-6	281	323	301	-11.6	-0.6
295	289.8	Army	Pat	0.4193	0.4279	328	9-13	12-17	0-0	0-0	0-3	2-6	10-7	6-8	331	344	299	-9.2	-0.6
297	291.1	NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.4171	0.4266	330	6-12	10-16	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-5	10-8	4-11	288	246	278	13.1	0.6
292	291.7	Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.4219	0.4647	253	6-17	8-21	0-1	0-0	0-4	1-8	7-7	2-9	289	189	291	0.7	0.1
298	294.4	Colgate	Pat	0.4167	0.4600	264	7-16	9-21	0-2	0-0	0-3	1-7	8-9	6-9	270	301	295	-0.6	-0.1
294	295.2	Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.4193	0.4405	312	7-14	9-18	0-1	0-1	0-1	1-6	8-8	6-5	249	332	290	5.2	0.4
300	297.2	Alabama St.	SWAC	0.4112	0.4092	340	6-14	11-18	0-1	0-1	0-1	1-6	11-9	1-9	282	152	310	-12.8	-0.7
299	300.7	Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.4129	0.4423	310	5-13	8-19	0-1	0-0	0-3	1-6	7-9	3-7	263	271	289	11.7	0.7
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
307	302.3	Hampton	MEAC	0.4050	0.4168	338	8-14	12-19	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-8	12-11	4-10	312	325	322	-19.7	-1.1
301	305.3	St. Francis PA	NEC	0.4086	0.4766	215	5-18	7-23	0-0	0-1	0-6	2-7	4-9	1-10	283	46	306	-0.7	-0.1
311	305.7	Liberty	BSth	0.4027	0.4475	298	6-16	8-21	0-0	0-0	0-2	1-10	7-9	2-8	330	316	319	-13.3	-1.1
302	305.7	SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.4081	0.4504	288	5-14	8-18	0-1	0-1	0-1	2-6	5-9	1-8	339	326	300	5.7	0.4
303	305.7	William & Mary	CAA	0.4078	0.4948	165	3-21	4-27	0-1	0-2	0-5	1-11	4-8	1-11	327	258	307	-1.3	-0.2
304	305.7	Towson	CAA	0.4077	0.5300	99	1-24	2-30	0-2	0-3	0-8	0-11	1-8	0-13	303	52	296	9.7	1.4
306	305.9	Sacramento St.	BSky	0.4071	0.4345	320	6-14	9-17	0-0	0-0	0-3	1-5	8-9	4-6	319	334	316	-10.1	-0.8
308	306.8	Jackson St.	SWAC	0.4037	0.4486	295	4-17	8-22	0-4	0-1	0-1	1-4	7-12	1-10	187	2	317	-10.2	-0.6
305	307.0	Brown	Ivy	0.4076	0.4724	226	6-16	7-23	0-0	0-2	0-2	1-13	6-6	5-11	317	308	303	4.0	0.5
309	307.0	Texas Pan American	GWC	0.4030	0.4569	277	4-17	7-21	0-1	0-0	0-3	0-8	7-9	1-16	321	156	308	-1.0	-0.1
310	307.9	Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.4028	0.4490	292	4-15	6-21	0-1	0-2	0-1	1-8	5-9	2-8	294	292	302	5.9	0.5
312	309.5	Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.4021	0.4635	254	4-17	6-23	0-0	0-2	0-4	1-10	5-7	4-6	271	333	305	4.5	0.4
318	312.8	New Hampshire	AE	0.3958	0.4067	342	7-13	11-18	0-0	0-0	0-1	2-8	9-8	5-6	316	341	318	-5.2	-0.4
313	312.8	Longwood	ind	0.4007	0.4305	325	6-14	8-19	0-1	0-3	0-2	0-2	7-12	7-18	309	313	313	-0.2	-0.0
314	312.9	Howard	MEAC	0.3979	0.4581	273	4-18	7-23	0-3	0-1	0-1	1-7	6-11	2-10	255	42	312	0.9	0.1
315	313.0	Houston Baptist	GWC	0.3977	0.4463	304	5-15	8-20	0-1	0-1	0-2	2-4	6-11	4-12	274	171	311	2.0	0.1
317	314.6	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.3974	0.4569	278	4-18	6-24	0-0	0-1	0-4	2-7	4-12	1-13	334	257	320	-5.4	-0.5
316	315.8	Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.3974	0.4470	302	5-15	6-21	0-1	0-0	0-3	0-8	6-8	2-9	299	259	304	11.8	1.3
321	316.2	Navy	Pat	0.3929	0.4808	203	2-19	4-24	0-1	0-0	0-4	0-8	3-11	2-11	318	245	323	-6.8	-0.8
319	317.1	Texas St.	Slnd	0.3945	0.4388	313	4-14	7-19	0-0	0-0	0-3	1-5	7-10	3-7	285	304	330	-12.9	-1.0
322	319.0	Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.3921	0.4569	276	4-16	6-23	0-0	0-1	0-2	1-7	5-12	2-10	291	142	315	4.0	0.3
320	319.0	Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.3943	0.4831	194	2-21	4-26	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-10	3-9	3-9	254	158	314	5.0	0.7
323	321.3	Dartmouth	Ivy	0.3908	0.4769	213	3-18	5-24	0-0	0-2	0-3	1-11	4-8	3-12	337	306	324	-2.7	-0.3
324	322.3	Canisius	MAAC	0.3891	0.4531	283	4-19	6-24	0-1	0-2	0-4	0-5	6-12	4-7	322	342	321	1.3	0.1
325	322.6	Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.3890	0.4793	207	1-22	3-26	0-2	0-3	0-2	1-6	2-13	2-11	297	207	309	13.6	1.4
327	324.0	Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.3874	0.4758	218	2-21	4-25	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-11	3-11	1-10	328	194	329	-5.0	-0.6
326	324.5	Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.3879	0.4782	211	2-21	3-26	0-1	0-1	0-3	0-11	2-9	1-11	326	235	327	-2.5	-0.4
329	325.4	Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.3814	0.4233	333	4-19	8-24	0-1	0-2	0-2	1-7	7-12	1-12	301	128	339	-13.6	-1.2
328	326.7	Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.3822	0.4226	334	5-13	8-19	0-0	0-0	0-3	1-6	7-10	4-6	323	336	326	0.7	0.1
330	327.3	Hartford	AE	0.3806	0.4349	319	4-19	6-24	0-0	0-0	0-2	0-11	6-11	0-13	343	299	325	2.3	0.3
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
332	328.2	Florida A&M	MEAC	0.3792	0.4277	329	4-17	7-23	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-8	6-13	0-12	340	251	333	-4.8	-0.5
331	328.9	Northern Arizona	BSky	0.3806	0.4590	268	3-19	4-23	0-0	0-1	0-4	0-6	4-11	3-8	298	250	332	-3.1	-0.5
336	329.8	Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.3716	0.4037	343	3-14	7-19	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-7	7-10	0-7	320	100	342	-12.2	-1.0
333	330.9	The Citadel	SC	0.3765	0.4694	235	2-19	3-25	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-8	3-13	1-8	324	221	335	-4.1	-0.6
337	332.3	Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.3707	0.4133	339	3-15	6-21	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-6	6-12	0-8	311	54	337	-4.7	-0.5
334	332.6	MD Baltimore County	AE	0.3741	0.4378	315	3-19	5-25	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-12	5-11	1-12	332	280	331	1.6	0.2
335	334.9	Bryant	NEC	0.3718	0.4617	260	2-22	3-27	0-0	0-1	0-5	0-8	3-13	1-11	336	273	340	-5.1	-1.0
338	335.2	Radford	BSth	0.3694	0.4605	262	2-21	4-25	0-1	0-0	0-2	1-9	3-12	2-9	313	174	336	-0.8	-0.2
339	337.0	Chicago St.	GWC	0.3668	0.4582	272	1-20	3-26	0-2	0-2	0-2	0-6	3-15	1-17	329	169	328	9.0	1.6
341	337.2	South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.3621	0.4340	322	2-18	4-25	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-6	4-15	3-9	290	238	338	-0.8	-0.2
340	337.4	Northern Illinois	MAC	0.3640	0.4651	251	1-18	2-26	0-0	0-1	0-4	0-8	2-12	0-11	341	291	334	3.4	0.7
342	341.1	Grambling	SWAC	0.3506	0.4072	341	3-17	4-24	0-0	0-0	0-2	0-7	4-14	0-10	335	186	341	0.1	0.0
343	342.3	UC Davis	BW	0.3460	0.4441	308	0-21	2-27	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-8	1-15	1-12	344	322	344	-1.7	-0.9
344	343.4	Binghamton	AE	0.3375	0.4373	317	0-23	2-29	0-1	0-0	0-2	0-9	1-16	0-13	342	290	343	0.4	0.3

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com