Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

These projections also include simulated Conference Tournaments.

For the projected RPIs through the end of the regular season, click on the links at the top.

This particular page is updated weekly

Click here for the detailed simulation results for this page

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

NEW! Click on a team's name to see the RPI Forecast broken down by different end of season records plus Schedules, Results and Probabilities of Winning

(Help keep the site up and running - donate via paypal to rpiforecast@gmail.com)

Through games of Mar 7, 2010.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.0KansasB120.68250.5917829-231-27-15-14-013-02-014-152610.00.1
22.7DukeACC0.66440.5939726-528-52-37-18-09-13-013-282920.70.8
43.5SyracuseBE0.66010.58761228-330-46-23-210-06-05-013-01234-0.5-0.4
33.7KentuckySEC0.66110.56363829-231-33-13-010-111-04-015-0109130.70.7
54.2West VirginiaBE0.65740.6070224-626-75-43-19-25-03-011-12115-0.8-0.7
67.2Kansas St.B120.64070.5988523-624-74-33-25-19-13-012-141261.20.7
79.4New MexicoMWC0.63860.54936328-330-44-13-25-18-110-014-1115872.40.9
89.7BaylorB120.63700.58111823-624-73-44-15-18-14-012-1157481.70.6
910.8VillanovaBE0.63430.57712424-625-73-53-18-16-05-011-12214491.80.5
1012.1PittsburghBE0.63390.58911024-725-83-34-17-37-04-111-22136102.10.5
1112.6PurdueB100.63070.55595126-428-54-23-15-09-17-012-0783111.60.4
1215.0Texas A&MB120.63040.5968621-822-92-64-25-17-05-010-33033123.00.7
1315.1TennesseeSEC0.62810.57782223-725-82-41-18-17-27-012-21943132.10.4
1415.3GeorgetownBE0.62700.6121120-921-106-52-26-34-15-010-132141.30.3
1615.4ButlerHorz0.62420.53928627-428-41-12-23-114-08-08-427916-0.6-0.2
1515.5WisconsinB100.62540.57552723-725-84-22-25-28-16-010-21327150.50.1
1716.7TempleA100.62340.54936126-528-62-35-14-212-05-012-3294117-0.3-0.1
1817.3Northern IowaMVC0.62300.529710628-428-40-04-16-012-16-210-15122218-0.7-0.4
1918.7MarylandACC0.62200.57862022-723-82-45-23-27-07-09-410311619-0.3-0.1
2319.1Brigham YoungMWC0.61740.527211127-429-51-24-25-010-010-014-12517023-3.9-0.9
2119.3XavierA100.61840.55844523-724-81-44-26-19-05-09-5451721-1.7-0.3
2019.6CaliforniaP100.61910.58781121-923-100-32-25-216-31-08-49120-0.4-0.1
2221.9VanderbiltSEC0.61790.57582522-724-82-23-06-36-26-010-3506222-0.1-0.0
2425.9RichmondA100.61260.54716724-725-81-14-25-58-07-011-43866241.90.4
2526.6Michigan St.B100.61200.55814824-725-82-31-25-39-07-010-34372251.60.3
2627.0TexasB120.61020.56423723-825-93-62-14-19-16-014-123156261.00.1
2728.2ClemsonACC0.60850.57742321-922-102-43-34-27-16-012-241113271.20.2
3128.7Utah St.WAC0.60420.530510424-626-61-01-18-37-29-010-4618531-2.3-0.4
2929.8Ohio St.B100.60710.54816624-726-84-52-03-27-110-010-35392290.80.1
3330.6Old DominionCAA0.60190.53639525-826-81-11-27-45-113-08-5401333-2.4-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3031.7LouisvilleBE0.60630.6036420-1121-122-61-18-48-13-09-4447301.70.3
2832.6Oklahoma St.B120.60760.57333021-922-104-40-32-213-13-012-232101284.60.9
3632.7San Diego St.MWC0.60030.54487020-821-91-41-22-110-17-19-3359436-3.3-0.5
3532.8GonzagaWCC0.60040.520211925-525-61-13-25-06-111-112-3396335-2.2-0.5
3734.6SienaMAAC0.59760.512513626-627-60-30-16-18-113-07-59811037-2.4-0.7
3235.7Wake ForestACC0.60380.57412919-920-103-23-32-36-26-010-22654323.70.6
3436.2Florida St.ACC0.60060.55834622-823-90-54-35-18-16-012-242183342.20.4
3836.9MissouriB120.59710.56314022-924-102-73-13-010-26-012-35815538-1.1-0.2
4138.3Texas El PasoCUSA0.59370.521911624-526-60-13-15-38-110-09-413718641-2.7-0.4
4040.7UABCUSA0.59410.53639423-724-81-00-54-210-19-012-22096400.70.1
4341.2St. Mary'sWCC0.59050.514813124-525-50-12-34-15-113-012-2368743-1.8-0.5
3942.2Rhode IslandA100.59440.54197721-823-90-41-15-212-24-012-1632393.20.5
4242.8Kent St.MAC0.59150.53759122-823-90-21-05-311-47-09-54728420.80.1
4543.9Wichita St.MVC0.58880.531810124-924-91-30-18-17-38-110-28627045-1.1-0.6
4445.2Georgia TechACC0.58970.57971918-1119-122-33-54-26-35-011-234109441.20.2
4748.2Nevada Las VegasMWC0.58500.530610322-724-83-42-13-07-39-011-260184471.20.2
4848.4CornellIvy0.58500.482420225-425-40-20-03-19-013-112-346149480.40.2
5048.9MemphisCUSA0.58200.54158023-825-90-33-25-07-39-010-51046050-1.1-0.2
4649.6Virginia TechACC0.58550.515712823-724-80-43-13-19-29-013-178319463.60.7
4949.8WashingtonP100.58260.54996021-923-102-20-14-313-43-010-22437490.80.1
5150.6DaytonA100.58180.56743519-1120-121-62-23-211-24-011-3171551-0.4-0.1
5353.4Arizona St.P100.57910.54487122-923-100-51-12-214-26-010-35455530.40.1
5253.8FloridaSEC0.58100.57033220-1121-122-72-14-28-16-111-46970521.80.3
5855.5MarquetteBE0.57600.55585220-1021-112-71-15-15-17-19-39114758-2.5-0.3
5655.6William & MaryCAA0.57740.525611221-921-101-02-33-46-09-37-3183056-0.4-0.1
6055.6Murray St.OVC0.57540.460926328-428-40-10-02-211-115-06-37318260-4.4-2.5
5755.7MississippiSEC0.57660.54427321-922-101-61-12-38-19-012-23310857-1.3-0.2
5457.1ConnecticutBE0.57760.6049317-1418-152-61-26-55-23-010-3123543.10.5
5958.3Notre DameBE0.57580.55575321-1022-113-31-17-44-37-011-27916859-0.7-0.1
6158.4OaklandSum0.57440.501116122-823-90-30-12-25-117-14-7931461-2.6-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
5558.8Seton HallBE0.57750.57263118-1119-121-72-13-36-07-09-262135553.80.5
6260.6MarshallCUSA0.57060.523411420-821-90-11-42-37-110-09-3488662-1.4-0.2
6563.2Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.56870.514413222-922-90-03-23-34-312-19-1168965-1.8-1.1
6463.8NevadaWAC0.56920.54277618-1120-120-20-25-58-26-17-61025164-0.2-0.0
6966.6Mississippi St.SEC0.56600.529910521-1022-110-42-25-17-58-012-37118869-2.4-0.3
6667.3CharlotteA100.56840.54287519-1120-122-52-41-18-28-010-459121661.30.2
6867.5CincinnatiBE0.56710.5895916-1417-152-61-44-45-06-09-3313168-0.5-0.1
6368.7South FloridaBE0.56920.55455419-1120-122-41-23-56-17-010-270192635.71.0
7069.3TulsaCUSA0.56490.53479920-1022-110-11-52-48-110-010-48012270-0.7-0.1
6769.4New Mexico St.WAC0.56740.54148118-1119-120-22-32-26-49-17-69050672.40.4
7370.1WoffordSC0.56110.481520424-825-80-10-23-36-216-07-58113073-2.9-0.6
7271.7NortheasternCAA0.56190.53988520-1220-120-03-33-35-69-05-796872-0.3-0.2
7474.2Illinois St.MVC0.55850.512313722-1022-100-21-24-29-48-010-2117304740.20.1
7176.6Texas TechB120.56210.58551316-1417-150-82-41-18-25-012-21457715.60.8
7877.0MinnesotaB100.55670.55345518-1219-132-51-21-18-46-19-3556178-1.0-0.1
7777.3Weber St.BSky0.55690.506715117-918-90-20-22-25-312-14-611218770.30.0
7577.3IllinoisB100.55800.56214118-1318-143-52-41-16-47-08-512280752.30.4
7978.6Sam Houston St.Slnd0.55480.481520518-720-70-10-00-18-312-24-515314379-0.4-0.0
8278.6FairfieldMAAC0.55280.488818022-922-100-10-41-15-416-07-413125982-3.4-1.0
8679.5Wright St.Horz0.55090.501515820-1120-120-30-11-310-59-17-511318786-6.5-1.6
8180.6PortlandWCC0.55470.518212219-1019-100-11-51-16-211-18-510010281-0.4-0.2
8080.7Louisiana TechWAC0.55480.489117722-923-100-21-13-48-311-113-264282800.70.1
7682.0St. John'sBE0.55700.57852116-1416-151-72-33-34-26-010-22848766.01.1
8383.0St. LouisA100.55250.528110819-1020-110-33-22-39-45-08-517920983-0.0-0.0
8884.9Morehead St.OVC0.54930.501316021-1021-100-10-21-48-212-13-6118688-3.1-1.8
8486.1South CarolinaSEC0.55250.58341615-1516-162-51-22-55-45-09-57544842.10.2
8787.1ArizonaP100.55090.56793416-1417-151-41-33-210-63-06-610710870.10.0
9087.5Indiana St.MVC0.54820.54866516-1416-140-20-23-39-54-27-4727890-2.5-1.4
9387.7IUPUISum0.54550.484219821-922-100-10-12-45-315-15-61267193-5.3-0.7
8987.9IonaMAAC0.54870.507114921-1021-100-10-32-28-211-29-35613389-1.1-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8588.2North CarolinaACC0.55180.58351516-1516-161-63-63-25-25-011-45769853.20.4
9191.1Missouri St.MVC0.54620.518612020-1220-120-20-35-26-59-011-149235910.10.0
9291.7College of CharlestonSC0.54570.494817321-1121-110-10-13-24-614-16-61168292-0.3-0.2
9492.7AkronMAC0.54380.498816721-922-100-10-31-213-39-19-516422094-1.3-0.2
9594.8Appalachian St.SC0.54070.485019320-1020-110-00-13-28-410-35-51016495-0.2-0.0
9697.8HarvardIvy0.54020.461926220-720-70-10-21-14-215-110-374247961.81.0
97102.4BuffaloMAC0.53850.509714517-1118-120-11-11-18-78-27-46877975.40.8
99102.6AlabamaSEC0.53650.55615016-1417-151-50-33-45-38-010-48367993.60.4
101102.9BradleyMVC0.53590.54906416-1516-151-31-24-45-55-16-51591321011.91.0
102103.8UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53560.485019417-918-100-10-11-16-211-55-51431281021.80.2
98104.2DuquesneA100.53760.54586915-1415-150-50-32-47-47-08-56659986.20.9
110105.5Northern ColoradoBSky0.53030.432932023-624-70-00-01-27-316-311-2129342110-4.5-0.5
105105.6Morgan St.MEAC0.53340.448829024-926-90-10-10-32-224-29-81342071050.60.1
107106.2Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.53260.503815619-1219-121-21-12-25-610-17-489111107-0.8-0.4
103107.2ColoradoB120.53410.57442813-1514-161-60-42-36-35-07-51621661034.20.4
104108.2North Carolina St.ACC0.53380.54167917-1417-151-32-52-55-37-012-31092451044.20.7
100108.2GeorgiaSEC0.53640.58501413-1614-172-42-45-61-25-18-588561008.20.7
109111.1Southern CaliforniaP100.53080.54118216-1416-142-13-23-24-94-08-494881092.10.9
106111.9Boston CollegeACC0.53280.56144215-1516-160-51-63-26-35-09-51752281065.90.6
108112.9OklahomaB120.53220.58241713-1713-181-73-41-35-34-19-592931084.90.6
115113.0CreightonMVC0.52780.53848816-1516-150-41-22-66-47-06-6191150115-2.0-0.9
114114.1Oral RobertsSum0.52790.487118819-1220-131-01-22-72-114-35-7133651140.10.0
125116.2Western KentuckySB0.52470.487518521-1222-131-00-12-24-715-27-6160136125-8.8-0.7
116116.6Western CarolinaSC0.52720.479820719-1119-110-11-22-34-212-37-337681160.60.2
123116.6PacificBW0.52580.475722220-1021-100-11-21-24-215-38-6157211123-6.4-0.5
119117.0OhioMAC0.52630.521111817-1418-150-10-33-47-57-29-58275119-2.0-0.2
112117.8Iowa St.B120.52880.56363915-1615-171-90-42-26-27-011-41111781125.80.7
120117.9North TexasSB0.52610.450228720-821-90-10-10-05-315-46-365161120-2.1-0.2
113118.0TroySB0.52800.487518616-1116-120-00-20-37-410-42-61991001135.00.4
124118.5MontanaBSky0.52520.470223718-918-100-00-11-26-411-37-377191124-5.5-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
111118.6Colorado St.MWC0.52990.53569615-1415-150-40-41-26-59-08-51081591117.60.9
121118.6East Tennessee St.ASun0.52600.498016819-1419-140-10-22-25-412-53-71144121-2.4-0.8
122119.5Miami FLACC0.52580.513413417-1218-130-33-53-21-411-013-087346122-2.5-0.2
117120.2NorthwesternB100.52670.512214019-1220-131-50-23-25-210-212-1672571173.20.2
126122.0Long Beach St.BW0.52440.527211013-1514-160-41-10-14-59-55-7525126-4.0-0.3
118123.8Southern MississippiCUSA0.52640.513013514-1215-130-10-70-43-012-26-41282191185.80.4
129124.0VermontAE0.52240.438931324-925-90-00-11-08-415-410-5144302130-6.0-0.6
133127.8QuinnipiacNEC0.52000.423033223-824-80-00-10-04-420-38-5190341133-5.2-0.4
130128.9Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.52220.500816318-1418-140-40-01-37-610-16-5147200131-2.1-1.0
128129.7NiagaraMAAC0.52250.506915018-1518-150-01-13-54-710-28-51231931290.70.3
127130.3ProvidenceBE0.52330.57562612-1813-190-60-33-83-16-08-41051231282.30.2
138131.8Boston UniversityAE0.51770.482220319-1219-130-10-11-44-715-06-7173148137-5.2-0.6
131132.8PrincetonIvy0.52070.451828218-819-80-10-22-02-315-28-51673031275.81.2
132133.5MichiganB100.52010.55654913-1614-170-51-33-24-65-16-5149811321.50.1
136135.0Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51820.424332824-624-60-10-02-02-320-27-2139329136-1.0-0.5
135135.1BelmontASun0.51870.476521619-1219-120-10-10-37-212-65-599531350.10.0
145138.6Robert MorrisNEC0.51570.458026922-1122-120-20-10-15-517-26-8204223145-6.4-0.8
134140.4VirginiaACC0.51970.55205814-1514-160-42-52-26-55-09-41612431346.40.5
140140.5JacksonvilleASun0.51680.466124719-1219-120-10-10-23-416-44-51271421400.50.2
139140.5RiderMAAC0.51700.509314617-1617-160-10-32-46-59-37-61361721391.50.6
141141.1Stony BrookAE0.51650.440631120-920-90-00-10-16-314-47-52053331410.10.0
137142.3George WashingtonA100.51770.505915216-1316-140-30-32-46-58-010-31242751384.30.5
150142.9Miami OHMAC0.51370.54177813-1714-180-41-22-66-56-24-1020339150-7.1-0.4
142143.6HofstraCAA0.51640.503915518-1418-140-10-22-82-414-07-51251201421.60.7
143145.5DrexelCAA0.51590.513913316-1616-160-20-33-33-510-35-8170971432.51.0
144148.1ArkansasSEC0.51580.56613614-1715-180-50-35-44-45-27-8178381444.10.3
153148.3Western MichiganMAC0.51160.504415416-1417-150-10-15-26-77-47-69552153-4.7-0.3
149148.7OregonP100.51390.53789015-1516-160-21-31-59-55-08-412098149-0.3-0.0
147149.1AuburnSEC0.51450.54936214-1614-170-30-23-84-47-18-61501061472.10.2
151149.3MaineAE0.51320.462126018-1118-110-10-00-14-514-47-5119218151-1.7-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
146150.7UCLAP100.51450.55914413-1713-181-31-13-76-63-15-7177351464.70.4
148151.4Washington St.P100.51430.517712415-1416-150-30-32-26-68-09-2632391483.40.3
154151.6Eastern KentuckyOVC0.51120.474722518-1218-120-20-00-47-411-27-4106163154-2.4-1.2
156152.5UtahMWC0.50960.53878714-1614-170-42-32-34-56-27-7207157156-3.5-0.5
158153.1DenverSB0.50880.467424319-1220-130-10-00-26-514-57-497105158-4.9-0.4
159153.8LehighPat0.50850.442830421-1022-100-00-10-11-320-59-6182305159-5.2-0.6
157156.3George MasonCAA0.50900.501016217-1417-140-11-21-63-312-25-7241194157-0.7-0.3
162158.1HoustonCUSA0.50740.524811314-1515-160-02-32-56-46-47-6152119162-3.9-0.2
152158.6RutgersBE0.51310.55305614-1614-171-50-22-85-26-09-31151901526.60.9
161158.7WinthropBSth0.50750.469723817-1317-130-00-10-43-514-32-7245154161-2.3-1.2
160159.1St. BonaventureA100.50820.522211513-1514-160-41-10-75-47-06-613299160-0.9-0.1
155159.3NebraskaB120.51020.55235714-1714-180-80-42-25-46-012-3762121554.30.5
163159.3Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.50660.435731718-819-90-00-00-34-315-37-3140281163-3.7-0.2
164162.5Austin PeayOVC0.50600.505515315-1515-150-20-12-45-78-14-712121164-1.5-0.7
170165.4San Jose St.WAC0.50320.516812713-1614-170-10-32-64-47-47-6138174170-4.6-0.4
166166.7DetroitHorz0.50410.480120619-1419-140-30-00-310-59-38-41723061660.70.3
169167.1IdahoWAC0.50320.511914113-1513-160-10-21-86-36-37-5142221169-1.9-0.2
168167.5Eastern IllinoisOVC0.50320.473023017-1217-120-00-01-65-511-15-4185260168-0.5-0.2
167167.7RadfordBSth0.50380.471723517-1217-120-20-10-14-313-53-6194451670.70.3
165167.8Cleveland St.Horz0.50430.53499814-1714-170-50-22-13-99-03-8210201652.81.2
172168.7Southern IllinoisMVC0.50280.515712914-1514-150-20-33-53-68-08-284269172-3.3-1.5
176169.2Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.49930.485819113-1414-150-00-30-43-410-43-8223165176-6.8-0.4
173171.7Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.50200.483320116-1516-150-20-20-02-714-44-8195118173-1.3-0.8
171173.9La SalleA100.50280.54088412-1812-180-50-40-45-47-18-6110841712.91.6
174174.9Loyola MarymountWCC0.50030.487118917-1517-150-01-42-33-311-68-71762291740.90.5
182176.0Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49770.448928916-1017-110-00-11-14-411-57-3135316182-6.0-0.4
175177.8StanfordP100.50020.53739213-1713-180-30-30-68-55-16-61871411752.80.3
180179.0Middle TennesseeSB0.49800.473222917-1317-130-20-10-14-513-44-7254206180-1.0-0.4
179179.7DavidsonSC0.49810.508414714-1514-150-10-31-64-39-23-7216461781.70.8
181179.9St. Peter'sMAAC0.49790.484419516-1416-140-00-21-44-411-45-6238285181-1.1-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
184179.9DrakeMVC0.49710.531210214-1914-190-31-22-65-56-36-7236236184-4.1-1.5
183180.3CampbellASun0.49740.454227717-1117-110-00-11-02-614-43-4224240183-2.7-1.3
178180.3Saint Joseph'sA100.49810.55045911-1911-200-50-51-46-64-16-8141401791.30.2
177182.7Oregon St.P100.49820.515013014-1614-171-10-23-48-83-26-62322711775.70.8
186184.1Fresno St.WAC0.49280.517512514-1714-180-20-33-43-88-27-8213185186-1.9-0.2
185185.1ValparaisoHorz0.49620.512213812-1712-170-30-10-44-78-22-82431461850.10.0
189188.1Texas ChristianMWC0.49180.53808911-1811-190-50-40-42-69-06-7206167189-0.9-0.2
188189.0Bowling GreenMAC0.49220.501315913-1613-160-21-11-33-98-27-51452301881.00.6
187189.0MassachusettsA100.49260.54656810-1910-200-42-41-54-74-15-8165471872.00.3
191189.4Central MichiganMAC0.48980.474922414-1415-150-10-11-34-69-45-7211231191-1.6-0.2
195190.7Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.48650.459826614-1516-160-10-40-20-616-30-1127222195-4.3-0.4
192191.4Seattleind0.48960.459826717-1417-140-00-21-44-412-416-14183262192-0.6-0.3
190192.5Jackson St.SWAC0.48990.432632218-1119-120-10-10-22-518-31-102881251902.50.4
193192.9Penn St.B100.48930.54377411-1911-200-60-30-56-15-48-4169258193-0.1-0.0
197197.6Tennessee TechOVC0.48260.489117913-1713-170-10-10-83-410-34-61541121970.60.4
194197.7Central FloridaCUSA0.48700.507214813-1613-170-00-40-85-48-17-61681801943.70.5
201198.9Southern MethodistCUSA0.48110.518412112-1613-170-11-50-72-310-15-7264199201-2.1-0.2
198199.2Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.48220.443630314-1115-120-00-00-22-513-44-52222651981.20.1
205200.3Eastern MichiganMAC0.47980.463925315-1415-150-00-22-22-711-36-6200264205-4.7-0.6
200200.5The CitadelSC0.48130.484319614-1614-160-20-12-51-311-54-61801292000.50.3
203201.2Arkansas St.SB0.48080.468124015-1415-140-00-20-34-511-43-6256232203-1.8-0.8
199201.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.48140.472423212-1412-140-10-10-40-612-24-51742381992.21.0
202201.3Montana St.BSky0.48110.473422813-1413-140-00-11-44-49-53-7235205202-0.7-0.3
204204.5Cal St. FullertonBW0.48050.475222313-1414-150-00-21-33-510-55-61882042040.50.1
207206.3CanisiusMAAC0.47870.476121915-1715-170-00-21-44-710-46-6214289207-0.7-0.4
206207.0San FranciscoWCC0.47870.521611710-1810-180-11-40-53-56-43-102581072061.00.5
210207.1Boise St.WAC0.47690.486119014-1615-170-10-21-65-48-49-5197314210-2.9-0.3
196207.1IowaB100.48300.56124310-2110-220-60-50-54-66-06-71987319611.11.6
212207.6LafayettePat0.47430.423233019-1219-130-10-00-01-518-79-6219339212-4.4-0.7
209207.8LipscombASun0.47710.447029516-1316-130-10-10-25-411-52-6303290209-1.2-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
208209.6DePaulBE0.47830.5681338-228-231-70-21-92-34-27-5130902081.60.2
211209.7South AlabamaSB0.47650.466424415-1515-150-00-11-13-911-46-4186287211-1.3-0.6
214215.1Loyola ChicagoHorz0.47260.484319712-1612-160-30-01-13-118-17-2852722141.10.8
223215.5Delaware St.MEAC0.46870.441630713-1114-120-00-10-20-514-42-6280175223-7.5-0.6
213216.3IndianaB100.47360.54457210-2010-211-70-21-43-55-36-62371962133.30.4
215217.2WyomingMWC0.47200.5583478-209-210-71-20-23-64-45-7181492152.20.2
217217.4Loyola MDMAAC0.47080.476821413-1713-170-10-20-44-59-57-41562932170.40.2
216218.0Florida AtlanticSB0.47130.477821212-1612-160-10-00-22-910-42-72682082162.00.9
218218.4NC AshevilleBSth0.47050.485219212-1612-160-20-00-22-810-40-8269192180.40.2
222218.6Portland St.BSky0.46900.488318111-1811-190-00-22-41-98-43-9225124222-3.4-0.4
219219.9MercerASun0.47010.475922114-1714-170-10-20-26-68-62-62401622190.90.4
224220.1IUPU Fort WayneSum0.46750.448529114-1414-150-10-21-41-312-54-5228300224-3.9-0.5
220220.6Ball St.MAC0.47010.476921314-1514-150-30-11-27-56-46-62202272200.60.2
225221.1South DakotaGWC0.46590.397034216-917-90-10-10-31-216-25-8247266225-3.9-0.6
221222.6Louisiana St.SEC0.46900.53669311-1911-200-40-21-83-66-09-51661812211.60.4
227226.5ManhattanMAAC0.46440.500416411-2011-200-10-31-41-89-46-5158210227-0.5-0.4
231228.7Texas SouthernSWAC0.45900.442530613-1514-160-00-20-34-510-62-820134231-2.3-0.2
228228.8BinghamtonAE0.46150.487118711-1811-180-10-10-13-128-33-102461262280.80.6
226229.0East CarolinaCUSA0.46510.52791097-207-210-20-50-51-77-23-8196422263.00.7
235230.8Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.45740.453327912-1312-140-10-10-23-59-54-5271313235-4.2-0.5
229230.9San DiegoWCC0.46060.510814410-2110-210-10-50-53-67-46-92081272291.91.1
230232.3South Dakota St.Sum0.45920.470923612-1612-160-10-00-62-310-62-72741772302.31.2
232232.6LibertyBSth0.45860.462325912-1612-160-00-20-11-911-42-72501312320.60.4
233233.5Texas St.Slnd0.45840.462725811-1511-160-00-11-23-78-62-83333172330.50.0
236235.2Santa ClaraWCC0.45720.51171429-219-210-00-50-53-46-66-918995236-0.8-0.4
234236.1NC WilmingtonCAA0.45770.51221399-229-220-00-31-73-85-44-82121042342.11.2
237237.4ChattanoogaSC0.45590.476122013-1813-180-00-21-65-27-76-51511522370.40.2
238237.5North FloridaASun0.45580.466224512-1812-180-00-00-32-910-54-5146151238-0.5-0.3
243238.0South Carolina St.MEAC0.45310.419933413-1314-140-00-10-21-213-93-7261291243-5.0-0.4
239238.6DelawareCAA0.45570.5409837-247-240-20-40-62-75-54-815524239-0.4-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
240241.7Long IslandNEC0.45370.447829314-1714-170-00-00-33-511-94-92832862410.70.4
242242.5New HampshireAE0.45350.464725212-1712-170-20-00-13-89-65-62182782420.50.3
241242.8James MadisonCAA0.45370.479020913-2013-200-00-32-52-69-68-51933282402.81.9
245244.0Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.45150.487518411-2012-210-10-10-24-127-65-10233153245-1.0-0.1
244245.5Louisiana LafayetteSB0.45180.456927312-1612-160-00-11-03-68-92-73053092441.51.0
247247.3ArmyPat0.44970.441530813-1513-150-00-01-11-511-99-4148318248-0.7-0.5
248248.2Georgia St.CAA0.44960.491917611-2011-200-00-30-62-69-56-62022342471.20.6
249248.8EvansvilleMVC0.44850.51781238-218-211-21-10-72-104-15-5255312249-0.2-0.1
246249.0NC GreensboroSC0.45020.51751268-238-230-30-30-71-57-51-10227162463.01.7
250251.2ColumbiaIvy0.44800.465625111-1711-170-10-20-21-610-76-82262512501.20.8
253251.3UC DavisBW0.44580.457227211-1712-180-00-00-12-1110-63-9304315253-1.7-0.2
251251.6HawaiiWAC0.44770.52821079-209-210-30-32-61-66-36-72301172510.60.1
254253.6High PointBSth0.44480.423033113-1513-150-00-10-13-410-93-6286336254-0.4-0.3
255254.6BrownIvy0.44400.47802119-209-200-00-50-52-37-84-11265224255-0.4-0.2
256255.7UC RiversideBW0.44280.463725510-1710-170-10-10-13-67-85-6217273256-0.3-0.2
252257.1Air ForceMWC0.44690.53251007-207-210-50-40-21-86-26-52091972525.10.5
257257.8BucknellPat0.44230.434031914-1714-170-00-20-11-413-105-113113382570.80.6
258257.9Tennessee St.OVC0.44220.48911789-239-230-10-10-63-116-53-10248171258-0.1-0.0
261258.4Bethune CookmanMEAC0.44050.423532913-1514-160-00-10-30-314-96-6184267261-2.6-0.2
262260.1Norfolk St.MEAC0.44050.450428511-1811-190-10-20-31-410-102-11299173262-1.9-0.2
259260.2Cal PolyBW0.44190.454427611-1812-190-10-10-03-69-114-92923212591.20.1
260261.8SamfordSC0.44060.48801828-208-200-10-20-60-68-43-61921032601.80.8
263262.4Sacred HeartNEC0.43970.421033314-1514-150-10-00-11-613-79-4171344263-0.6-0.3
265263.2NavyPat0.43930.444130113-1713-170-00-00-23-410-116-9276297265-1.8-0.8
264263.8Northern IllinoisMAC0.43960.478421010-2010-200-20-10-32-98-44-9275241264-0.2-0.1
266265.4TowsonCAA0.43840.483420010-2110-210-00-31-31-98-53-8301237266-0.6-0.3
267266.5YaleIvy0.43780.457527011-1911-190-00-20-40-911-55-11289299269-2.5-1.1
269266.5UC IrvineBW0.43760.448029212-1713-180-00-10-03-910-76-7260327268-1.5-0.1
268267.8North Dakota St.Sum0.43770.46752429-189-180-00-10-40-89-51-73002162670.80.4
273269.7Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43360.403733912-1313-140-10-10-20-412-61-6321248273-3.3-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271271.2Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43440.465824911-2111-210-10-20-11-810-93-123102492710.20.2
270271.4ElonSC0.43460.48421998-238-230-00-10-62-76-82-92571892701.41.0
272272.5Youngstown St.Horz0.43400.51091436-226-220-40-10-21-125-34-51631152720.50.3
274273.9Eastern WashingtonBSky0.43300.49681707-217-210-10-10-53-74-72-1024979274-0.1-0.1
281275.6Alabama St.SWAC0.42960.397334112-1413-150-00-00-11-712-70-8347320281-5.4-0.5
275275.9Holy CrossPat0.43220.47662159-229-220-00-20-30-89-103-122842132750.90.6
276277.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.43170.460126410-1910-190-00-01-32-97-83-62732882761.30.7
280277.7Nicholls St.Slnd0.43000.46562508-178-180-10-00-31-97-51-8285179280-2.3-0.4
277278.0TulaneCUSA0.43140.49491728-218-220-10-40-53-75-65-82702522771.00.1
279278.4FurmanSC0.43000.442630511-1711-170-00-11-51-49-64-5263324279-0.6-0.3
278279.1Western IllinoisSum0.43030.446529610-1710-170-10-10-61-29-84-42313232781.10.7
282281.2Missouri Kansas CitySum0.42910.447729410-1810-180-00-20-60-310-74-5252330282-0.8-0.5
291283.2HamptonMEAC0.42200.412233713-1714-180-00-00-40-314-105-9281332291-7.8-0.7
283283.6Charleston SouthernBSth0.42780.45132849-179-170-10-10-13-66-82-52211952830.60.4
284284.3Kennesaw St.ASun0.42720.450428611-2011-200-00-10-20-1111-63-62873112840.30.2
285284.8Longwoodind0.42670.45892688-198-190-10-20-21-37-105-17262176285-0.2-0.1
287286.8MonmouthNEC0.42540.440731012-1912-190-00-00-12-1010-86-8297345288-1.2-0.8
288288.0St. Francis PANEC0.42540.451428311-1911-190-00-10-22-79-93-92932502871.00.6
286288.3Georgia SouthernSC0.42550.49791697-237-230-00-01-72-93-71-103171692862.31.6
289289.3ColgatePat0.42490.456327410-1910-190-10-00-10-710-104-103092952890.30.2
290290.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42430.49571717-227-220-30-00-43-114-44-62342422900.50.4
294291.6Winston Salem St.ind0.42070.44502988-178-170-10-20-20-38-98-17279296294-2.4-1.4
292292.5LamarSlnd0.42180.457427110-1810-180-00-00-42-78-75-72783072920.50.5
293294.2St. Francis NYNEC0.42070.428132411-1811-180-10-00-12-59-115-82913432931.21.3
295294.3AmericanPat0.42020.444430011-2011-200-10-00-21-510-123-12339340295-0.7-0.7
296296.2Florida InternationalSB0.41840.48791836-256-250-00-10-42-104-102-102902152960.20.3
298297.8Jacksonville St.OVC0.41630.46602489-199-190-00-10-63-66-52-7332292298-0.2-0.2
297297.9Sacramento St.BSky0.41640.46312567-217-210-00-00-32-105-84-82442632970.91.0
299299.5PennsylvaniaIvy0.41510.47942086-216-220-31-10-20-75-91-13328253304-4.5-1.6
300300.3Arkansas Little RockSB0.41510.49981656-226-220-00-10-62-74-82-7215252991.30.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
304302.6AlbanyAE0.41310.47282317-247-240-10-10-21-106-105-10229198303-0.4-0.3
302303.0HartfordAE0.41330.46282578-228-220-20-00-10-118-82-113312803012.01.2
310303.5North Carolina A&TMEAC0.40850.45302817-218-220-10-10-31-47-121-11315164310-6.5-0.8
303303.8Idaho St.BSky0.41330.49291755-225-220-10-10-41-84-81-102771373021.81.1
301305.1FordhamA100.41360.5356972-262-260-40-30-51-91-52-102951603005.12.5
305305.2PepperdineWCC0.41240.49471746-236-230-00-40-32-84-83-113142553050.20.1
306306.6South Carolina UpstateASun0.41120.47422266-236-230-00-20-10-126-80-93231383060.60.4
307308.0Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.41050.432932110-2011-210-00-00-40-510-122-123342843071.00.2
308308.4Central ConnecticutNEC0.41040.410533812-1812-180-00-00-10-612-105-83373473080.40.4
309308.8Virginia Military InstBSth0.41030.46612466-196-190-00-10-10-86-81-525376309-0.2-0.2
311309.7RiceCUSA0.40490.47632187-227-230-00-30-50-77-76-7251256311-1.3-0.3
312311.7Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.40440.47212346-236-230-00-10-60-126-42-8259158312-0.3-0.3
314314.2CentenarySum0.40370.46202616-216-210-00-10-80-36-103-62392173140.20.1
313314.3McNeese St.Slnd0.40380.44442997-207-200-00-00-42-45-112-93193083131.30.9
315315.0Northwestern St.Slnd0.40300.43823147-187-180-10-00-30-57-92-73203313150.00.0
316315.7Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.40100.45352787-227-220-00-20-10-107-97-20298276316-0.3-0.1
317317.0Savannah St.ind0.40080.42463277-157-150-10-10-00-67-65-132822743170.00.0
319317.8Florida A&MMEAC0.39780.43603168-218-220-00-20-10-68-133-10294268319-1.2-0.2
318318.2Gardner WebbBSth0.39970.46372545-215-210-10-10-20-85-90-83221343180.20.2
320320.9Florida Gulf CoastASun0.39630.43683158-218-210-00-10-02-76-123-63023353200.90.8
322320.9SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.39560.47652173-233-230-10-00-51-22-153-18313246322-1.1-0.7
321321.6Central ArkansasSlnd0.39620.44632976-206-200-10-10-21-55-113-72672773210.60.5
324324.1Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.39330.42603258-228-230-00-10-20-108-100-123362033240.10.0
323324.2ToledoMAC0.39330.50311573-283-280-00-30-50-143-52-122961393231.21.0
325325.7New OrleansSB0.39170.45462756-226-220-00-00-10-126-93-63063343250.70.5
326326.3Southern UtahSum0.39140.47352275-225-220-00-20-60-45-102-72661453260.30.2
327326.7StetsonASun0.39100.46002655-225-220-00-20-11-84-110-7340226327-0.3-0.2
328327.5HowardMEAC0.38980.44093097-247-250-00-10-20-67-161-14326214328-0.5-0.1
330328.1Alabama A&MSWAC0.38640.39023458-148-150-00-10-10-58-80-4342261330-1.9-0.4
329329.2PresbyterianBSth0.38680.46812414-264-260-10-20-40-84-112-102421403290.20.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331331.6WagnerNEC0.38170.45312805-265-260-10-00-12-83-162-123272983310.60.6
333331.8Houston BaptistGWC0.38030.396034410-2011-210-00-10-10-611-141-17346325333-1.2-0.3
332332.5MD Baltimore CountyAE0.38130.45012884-264-260-00-10-11-123-131-123443373320.50.8
335334.4DartmouthIvy0.37890.47222334-234-230-00-20-20-74-123-10316244335-0.6-0.7
334334.4MaristMAAC0.37950.49891661-291-290-00-20-40-111-120-113412333340.40.4
336335.8Coppin St.MEAC0.36900.43233235-216-220-10-10-10-46-152-8307294336-0.2-0.1
337337.7Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.36720.43533185-266-270-00-20-30-86-141-183252023370.70.3
338338.3North DakotaGWC0.36710.41313356-217-220-20-00-00-67-141-143302543380.30.1
340338.6Utah ValleyGWC0.35730.38323478-179-180-10-10-10-39-123-10329322340-1.4-0.5
339338.8Tennessee MartinOVC0.36480.46942392-252-250-00-20-50-92-90-8335201339-0.2-0.2
341340.9NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.35440.40073406-207-210-00-00-10-77-132-12324279341-0.1-0.0
342341.2GramblingSWAC0.34950.39693435-205-210-10-00-20-55-131-6308283342-0.8-0.7
343343.2SouthernSWAC0.34780.41313365-245-240-20-10-10-65-142-93122253430.20.4
344343.8Chicago St.GWC0.34640.38933466-217-220-00-00-10-77-142-13338326344-0.2-0.1
345344.6Bryantind0.34500.44363021-291-290-00-10-20-61-201-29343301345-0.4-0.8
347346.0Alcorn St.SWAC0.34140.44003122-292-290-10-30-10-82-160-13318114347-1.0-1.8
346346.9North Carolina Centralind0.34250.42503263-223-220-00-10-30-43-151-203453103460.92.4

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com