The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Southern Methodist page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Southern Methodist

Conference:		CUSA
Expected RPI:		208.0
Current RPI:		208
Expected SOS:		129
Current SOS:		129
Current Record:		12-17
Expected Record:		12-17
Current Conf Record:		7-10
Expected Conf Record:		7-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-1
Current OOC Record:		5-7
Expected OOC Record:		5-7
Expected OOC RPI:		262
Expected OOC SOS:		221

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
12-17		208.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern Methodist.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	South Florida (71.0)	BE	H	61-67	L	0%	0.0
11-16	Texas A&M (12.0)	B12	H	68-80	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Florida Gulf Coast (321.0)	ASun	H	79-62	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Texas Christian (188.0)	MWC	H	53-60	L	0%	0.0
12-7	Texas St. (243.0)	Slnd	H	94-86	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Nevada Las Vegas (48.0)	MWC	N	53-67	L	0%	0.0
12-23	College of Charleston (91.0)	SC	N	71-72	L	0%	0.0
12-25	Northeastern (75.0)	CAA	N	62-73	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Army (247.0)	Pat	H	71-63	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Texas St. (243.0)	Slnd	A	86-91	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Texas El Paso (38.0)	CUSA	A	45-49	L	0%	0.0
1-9	North Carolina Central (347.0)	ind	H	78-50	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Tulsa (68.0)	CUSA	H	56-63	L	0%	0.0
1-16	UAB (45.0)	CUSA	H	62-63	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Rice (311.0)	CUSA	A	73-65	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Houston Baptist (328.0)	GWC	H	82-68	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Central Florida (191.0)	CUSA	H	65-43	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Memphis (58.0)	CUSA	H	70-60	W	100%	0.0
2-2	Southern Mississippi (114.0)	CUSA	A	53-56	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Tulane (282.0)	CUSA	A	66-48	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Texas El Paso (38.0)	CUSA	H	51-62	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Houston (110.0)	CUSA	A	60-66	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Rice (311.0)	CUSA	H	67-57	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Memphis (58.0)	CUSA	A	63-76	L	0%	0.0
2-24	East Carolina (231.0)	CUSA	A	59-54	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Houston (110.0)	CUSA	H	94-83	W	100%	0.0
3-3	Tulsa (68.0)	CUSA	A	55-58	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Marshall (67.0)	CUSA	H	57-73	L	0%	0.0
3-10	Central Florida (191.0)	CUSA	N	53-69	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Southern Methodist's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Southern Methodist's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Southern Methodist.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern Methodist	CUSA	26.21	26.21	35.56	35.56	-7.57	-7.57
Houston	CUSA	4.29	4.29	54.84	54.84	0.41	0.41
Tulsa	CUSA	4.20	4.20	64.52	64.52	1.22	1.22
Texas El Paso	CUSA	4.19	4.19	80.00	80.00	2.51	2.51
Central Florida	CUSA	4.17	4.17	44.83	44.83	-0.43	-0.43
Rice	CUSA	4.14	4.14	25.00	25.00	-2.07	-2.07
Memphis	CUSA	4.11	4.11	73.33	73.33	1.92	1.92
Texas St.	Slnd	3.48	3.48	40.00	40.00	-0.70	-0.70
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.47	2.47	53.57	53.57	0.18	0.18
East Carolina	CUSA	2.45	2.45	25.93	25.93	-1.18	-1.18
Marshall	CUSA	2.41	2.41	67.86	67.86	0.86	0.86
UAB	CUSA	2.39	2.39	73.33	73.33	1.12	1.12
Tulane	CUSA	2.37	2.37	27.59	27.59	-1.06	-1.06
Texas Christian	MWC	1.95	1.95	34.48	34.48	-0.61	-0.61
Houston Baptist	GWC	1.84	1.84	37.50	37.50	-0.46	-0.46
North Carolina Central	ind	1.78	1.78	12.50	12.50	-1.34	-1.34
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.78	1.78	74.19	74.19	0.86	0.86
South Florida	BE	1.78	1.78	61.29	61.29	0.40	0.40
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	1.76	1.76	28.57	28.57	-0.75	-0.75
Army	Pat	1.72	1.72	48.15	48.15	-0.06	-0.06
College of Charleston	SC	1.72	1.72	64.52	64.52	0.50	0.50
Northeastern	CAA	1.72	1.72	61.29	61.29	0.39	0.39
Texas A&M	B12	1.72	1.72	70.00	70.00	0.69	0.69
Lamar	Slnd	0.24	0.24	35.71	35.71	-0.07	-0.07
Brigham Young	MWC	0.22	0.22	84.85	84.85	0.15	0.15
Air Force	MWC	0.20	0.20	27.59	27.59	-0.09	-0.09
South Alabama	SB	0.19	0.19	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.18	0.18	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.18	0.18	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.18	0.18	59.26	59.26	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.16	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	25.93	25.93	-0.07	-0.07
New Orleans	SB	0.15	0.15	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.15	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.14	18.18	18.18	-0.09	-0.09
Troy	SB	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.14	0.14	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.14	0.14	87.88	87.88	0.11	0.11
San Diego St.	MWC	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Utah	MWC	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.14	0.14	30.00	30.00	-0.05	-0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.14	0.14	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.13	0.13	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.13	0.13	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.12	0.12	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	28.00	28.00	-0.05	-0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.12	0.12	23.08	23.08	-0.06	-0.06
Florida International	SB	0.12	0.12	19.35	19.35	-0.07	-0.07
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Jacksonville	ASun	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.11	0.11	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	75.76	75.76	0.06	0.06
North Texas	SB	0.11	0.11	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Colorado St.	MWC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.11	0.11	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.11	94.12	94.12	0.10	0.10
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Samford	SC	0.11	0.11	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.11	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.11	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
High Point	BSth	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.10	29.63	29.63	-0.04	-0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.09	0.09	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.09	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.09	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.09	0.09	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.09	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.09	20.69	20.69	-0.05	-0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Arizona	P10	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Colorado	B12	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.07	0.07	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.04	0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.06	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.06	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.03	0.03	24.00	24.00	-0.02	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	78.79	78.79	0.02	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	64.29	64.29	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern Methodist	CUSA	26.21	26.21	35.56	35.56	-7.57	-7.57
Houston	CUSA	4.29	4.29	54.84	54.84	0.41	0.41
Tulsa	CUSA	4.20	4.20	64.52	64.52	1.22	1.22
Texas El Paso	CUSA	4.19	4.19	80.00	80.00	2.51	2.51
Central Florida	CUSA	4.17	4.17	44.83	44.83	-0.43	-0.43
Rice	CUSA	4.14	4.14	25.00	25.00	-2.07	-2.07
Memphis	CUSA	4.11	4.11	73.33	73.33	1.92	1.92
Texas St.	Slnd	3.48	3.48	40.00	40.00	-0.70	-0.70
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.47	2.47	53.57	53.57	0.18	0.18
East Carolina	CUSA	2.45	2.45	25.93	25.93	-1.18	-1.18
Marshall	CUSA	2.41	2.41	67.86	67.86	0.86	0.86
UAB	CUSA	2.39	2.39	73.33	73.33	1.12	1.12
Tulane	CUSA	2.37	2.37	27.59	27.59	-1.06	-1.06
Texas Christian	MWC	1.95	1.95	34.48	34.48	-0.61	-0.61
Houston Baptist	GWC	1.84	1.84	37.50	37.50	-0.46	-0.46
North Carolina Central	ind	1.78	1.78	12.50	12.50	-1.34	-1.34
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.78	1.78	74.19	74.19	0.86	0.86
South Florida	BE	1.78	1.78	61.29	61.29	0.40	0.40
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	1.76	1.76	28.57	28.57	-0.75	-0.75
Army	Pat	1.72	1.72	48.15	48.15	-0.06	-0.06
College of Charleston	SC	1.72	1.72	64.52	64.52	0.50	0.50
Northeastern	CAA	1.72	1.72	61.29	61.29	0.39	0.39
Texas A&M	B12	1.72	1.72	70.00	70.00	0.69	0.69
Lamar	Slnd	0.24	0.24	35.71	35.71	-0.07	-0.07
Brigham Young	MWC	0.22	0.22	84.85	84.85	0.15	0.15
Air Force	MWC	0.20	0.20	27.59	27.59	-0.09	-0.09
South Alabama	SB	0.19	0.19	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.18	0.18	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.18	0.18	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.18	0.18	59.26	59.26	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.18	0.18	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.16	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	25.93	25.93	-0.07	-0.07
New Orleans	SB	0.15	0.15	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.15	25.81	25.81	-0.07	-0.07
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.14	18.18	18.18	-0.09	-0.09
Troy	SB	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.14	0.14	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.14	0.14	87.88	87.88	0.11	0.11
San Diego St.	MWC	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Utah	MWC	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.14	0.14	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.14	0.14	30.00	30.00	-0.05	-0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.14	0.14	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.13	0.13	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.13	0.13	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.12	0.12	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	28.00	28.00	-0.05	-0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.12	0.12	23.08	23.08	-0.06	-0.06
Florida International	SB	0.12	0.12	19.35	19.35	-0.07	-0.07
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Jacksonville	ASun	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.11	0.11	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	75.76	75.76	0.06	0.06
North Texas	SB	0.11	0.11	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Colorado St.	MWC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.11	0.11	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.11	94.12	94.12	0.10	0.10
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Samford	SC	0.11	0.11	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.11	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.11	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
High Point	BSth	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.10	29.63	29.63	-0.04	-0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.09	0.09	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.09	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.09	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.09	0.09	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.09	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.09	20.69	20.69	-0.05	-0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Arizona	P10	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Colorado	B12	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.07	0.07	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.04	0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.06	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.06	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.06	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00