The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Southern Methodist page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Southern Methodist

Conference:		CUSA
Expected RPI:		197.3
Current RPI:		199
Expected SOS:		124
Current SOS:		135
Current Record:		9-11
Expected Record:		12-16
Current Conf Record:		4-4
Expected Conf Record:		7-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-2
Current OOC Record:		5-7
Expected OOC Record:		5-7
Expected OOC RPI:		264
Expected OOC SOS:		228

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-11	108.5	0.02%
16-12	132.1	0.39%
15-13	151.5	2.94%
14-14	169.7	12.23%
13-15	186.3	27.17%
12-16	202.4	32.08%
11-17	218.6	19.23%
10-18	233.3	5.25%
9-19	244.1	0.68%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern Methodist.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	South Florida (64.9)	BE	H	61-67	L	0%	0.0
11-16	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	H	68-80	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Florida Gulf Coast (311.3)	ASun	H	79-62	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Texas Christian (174.6)	MWC	H	53-60	L	0%	0.0
12-7	Texas St. (256.5)	Slnd	H	94-86	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Nevada Las Vegas (32.4)	MWC	N	53-67	L	0%	0.0
12-23	College of Charleston (90.2)	SC	N	71-72	L	0%	0.0
12-25	Northeastern (49.2)	CAA	N	62-73	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Army (204.0)	Pat	H	71-63	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Texas St. (256.5)	Slnd	A	86-91	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Texas El Paso (53.5)	CUSA	A	45-49	L	0%	0.0
1-9	North Carolina Central (345.5)	ind	H	78-50	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Tulsa (63.1)	CUSA	H	56-63	L	0%	0.0
1-16	UAB (34.4)	CUSA	H	62-63	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Rice (288.1)	CUSA	A	73-65	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Houston Baptist (342.5)	GWC	H	82-68	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Central Florida (192.9)	CUSA	H	65-43	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Memphis (65.5)	CUSA	H	70-60	W	100%	0.0
2-2	Southern Mississippi (111.9)	CUSA	A	53-56	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Tulane (255.7)	CUSA	A	66-48	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Texas El Paso (53.5)	CUSA	H	0-0		31%	-5.5
2-13	Houston (144.5)	CUSA	A	0-0		24%	-7.6
2-17	Rice (288.1)	CUSA	H	0-0		85%	11.3
2-20	Memphis (65.5)	CUSA	A	0-0		11%	-13.2
2-24	East Carolina (243.1)	CUSA	A	0-0		66%	4.4
2-27	Houston (144.5)	CUSA	H	0-0		51%	0.4
3-3	Tulsa (63.1)	CUSA	A	0-0		17%	-10.6
3-6	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	H	0-0		46%	-1.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Southern Methodist's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Southern Methodist's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Southern Methodist.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern Methodist	CUSA	26.29	26.24	37.23	38.12	-6.71	-6.23
Texas St.	Slnd	5.06	3.60	35.29	35.72	-1.49	-1.03
Rice	CUSA	2.95	4.22	33.33	32.04	-0.98	-1.52
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.85	4.19	76.19	75.03	1.49	2.10
Tulane	CUSA	2.85	2.44	33.33	30.64	-0.95	-0.94
UAB	CUSA	2.85	2.46	81.82	77.82	1.81	1.37
Tulsa	CUSA	2.84	4.19	76.19	69.44	1.49	1.63
Memphis	CUSA	2.79	4.22	72.73	71.76	1.27	1.84
Central Florida	CUSA	2.78	2.52	50.00	46.06	0.00	-0.20
Texas Christian	MWC	2.75	2.04	38.10	36.07	-0.65	-0.57
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.72	2.46	52.94	54.08	0.16	0.20
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.61	1.90	23.81	24.88	-1.37	-0.96
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	2.56	1.82	30.43	29.88	-1.00	-0.73
South Florida	BE	2.56	1.82	63.64	60.87	0.70	0.40
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.56	1.85	80.95	80.22	1.58	1.12
North Carolina Central	ind	2.55	1.85	5.00	10.17	-2.30	-1.47
Army	Pat	2.50	1.79	60.00	61.31	0.50	0.40
College of Charleston	SC	2.50	1.79	65.22	64.43	0.76	0.52
Northeastern	CAA	2.50	1.79	65.22	67.01	0.76	0.61
Texas A&M	B12	2.50	1.79	71.43	65.66	1.07	0.56
Houston	CUSA	0.47	4.24	47.62	49.98	-0.02	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.41	2.47	20.00	21.46	-0.25	-1.41
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.38	0.20	47.06	43.53	-0.02	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.35	2.43	66.67	65.95	0.12	0.78
New Orleans	SB	0.31	0.16	22.73	22.86	-0.17	-0.09
South Alabama	SB	0.29	0.21	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.29	0.22	35.00	30.59	-0.09	-0.09
Lamar	Slnd	0.25	0.26	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.25	0.16	26.32	31.51	-0.12	-0.06
Texas	B12	0.25	0.19	82.61	78.76	0.16	0.11
Colgate	Pat	0.24	0.13	27.27	31.08	-0.11	-0.05
Brigham Young	MWC	0.23	0.18	87.50	87.42	0.17	0.14
Santa Clara	WCC	0.22	0.15	33.33	34.27	-0.07	-0.05
Samford	SC	0.22	0.12	28.57	31.03	-0.09	-0.05
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.21	0.12	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.20	0.10	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.19	0.10	66.67	67.74	0.06	0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.19	0.10	39.13	43.30	-0.04	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.19	0.16	12.00	18.82	-0.14	-0.10
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.19	0.13	21.05	24.96	-0.11	-0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.19	0.13	73.91	72.52	0.09	0.06
DePaul	BE	0.18	0.13	34.78	33.89	-0.06	-0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.17	0.12	20.00	20.57	-0.10	-0.07
Nebraska	B12	0.17	0.12	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.17	0.15	87.50	83.52	0.13	0.10
Texas Tech	B12	0.17	0.15	68.18	59.30	0.06	0.03
Florida International	SB	0.17	0.12	24.00	23.74	-0.09	-0.07
Miami FL	ACC	0.17	0.10	68.18	62.73	0.06	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.17	0.09	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.16	0.12	77.27	77.12	0.09	0.07
Kent St.	MAC	0.16	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.06	0.04
Davidson	SC	0.16	0.09	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.14	70.59	72.98	0.05	0.06
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.13	0.07	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.13	0.20	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.13	0.20	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.13	0.07	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.12	0.09	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.12	0.10	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.12	0.10	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.12	0.07	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.12	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.04	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.12	0.09	73.68	75.41	0.06	0.05
Holy Cross	Pat	0.12	0.10	26.09	31.05	-0.06	-0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.09	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.11	0.12	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.15	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.12	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.12	25.00	34.68	-0.06	-0.04
North Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.09	15.79	27.84	-0.08	-0.04
North Texas	SB	0.11	0.12	61.90	63.69	0.03	0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.11	0.13	23.53	26.10	-0.06	-0.06
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.18	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.12	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.11	0.09	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.04
San Diego St.	MWC	0.11	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
Utah	MWC	0.11	0.12	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.11	0.12	33.33	30.72	-0.04	-0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.09	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.11	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.10	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.11	0.12	23.81	28.38	-0.06	-0.05
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.12	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.06	0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.12	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.06
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.11	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
Furman	SC	0.11	0.12	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.11	0.12	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.11	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.09	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.05
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.15	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.11	0.09	95.83	91.37	0.10	0.07
Virginia	ACC	0.11	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.04	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.11	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.11	0.09	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.12	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.06
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.09	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.04
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.10	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.07	-0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.07	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.04	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.07	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.07	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.04	0.02
Albany	AE	0.06	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.01
American	Pat	0.06	0.07	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.06	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.02
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.06	-0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.07	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.06	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.06	0.07	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.06	0.07	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.06	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.07	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.06	0.03	35.00	38.23	-0.02	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Portland	WCC	0.06	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.04	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.03	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.06	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.03	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.12	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.06
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.06	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.06	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.06	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.04	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.06	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.06	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.09	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.09	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.07
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.09	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.09	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.16	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.10	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.00	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.00	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.00	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.00	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.00	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.04
Elon	SC	0.00	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.00	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.00	0.09	56.52	50.47	0.00	0.00
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.00	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.00	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.00	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.13	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.00	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.00	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.07	68.42	67.04	0.00	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.00	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern Methodist	CUSA	26.29	26.24	37.23	38.12	-6.71	-6.23
Houston	CUSA	0.47	4.24	47.62	49.98	-0.02	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	2.79	4.22	72.73	71.76	1.27	1.84
Rice	CUSA	2.95	4.22	33.33	32.04	-0.98	-1.52
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.85	4.19	76.19	75.03	1.49	2.10
Tulsa	CUSA	2.84	4.19	76.19	69.44	1.49	1.63
Texas St.	Slnd	5.06	3.60	35.29	35.72	-1.49	-1.03
Central Florida	CUSA	2.78	2.52	50.00	46.06	0.00	-0.20
East Carolina	CUSA	0.41	2.47	20.00	21.46	-0.25	-1.41
UAB	CUSA	2.85	2.46	81.82	77.82	1.81	1.37
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.72	2.46	52.94	54.08	0.16	0.20
Tulane	CUSA	2.85	2.44	33.33	30.64	-0.95	-0.94
Marshall	CUSA	0.35	2.43	66.67	65.95	0.12	0.78
Texas Christian	MWC	2.75	2.04	38.10	36.07	-0.65	-0.57
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.61	1.90	23.81	24.88	-1.37	-0.96
North Carolina Central	ind	2.55	1.85	5.00	10.17	-2.30	-1.47
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.56	1.85	80.95	80.22	1.58	1.12
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	2.56	1.82	30.43	29.88	-1.00	-0.73
South Florida	BE	2.56	1.82	63.64	60.87	0.70	0.40
Army	Pat	2.50	1.79	60.00	61.31	0.50	0.40
College of Charleston	SC	2.50	1.79	65.22	64.43	0.76	0.52
Northeastern	CAA	2.50	1.79	65.22	67.01	0.76	0.61
Texas A&M	B12	2.50	1.79	71.43	65.66	1.07	0.56
Lamar	Slnd	0.25	0.26	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.29	0.22	35.00	30.59	-0.09	-0.09
South Alabama	SB	0.29	0.21	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.13	0.20	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.13	0.20	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.38	0.20	47.06	43.53	-0.02	-0.03
Texas	B12	0.25	0.19	82.61	78.76	0.16	0.11
Brigham Young	MWC	0.23	0.18	87.50	87.42	0.17	0.14
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.18	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.31	0.16	22.73	22.86	-0.17	-0.09
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.25	0.16	26.32	31.51	-0.12	-0.06
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.19	0.16	12.00	18.82	-0.14	-0.10
Troy	SB	0.05	0.16	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.17	0.15	87.50	83.52	0.13	0.10
Texas Tech	B12	0.17	0.15	68.18	59.30	0.06	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.15	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.15	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.22	0.15	33.33	34.27	-0.07	-0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.14	70.59	72.98	0.05	0.06
Colgate	Pat	0.24	0.13	27.27	31.08	-0.11	-0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.13	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.06
DePaul	BE	0.18	0.13	34.78	33.89	-0.06	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.11	0.13	23.53	26.10	-0.06	-0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.19	0.13	73.91	72.52	0.09	0.06
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.19	0.13	21.05	24.96	-0.11	-0.06
Florida International	SB	0.17	0.12	24.00	23.74	-0.09	-0.07
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.12	25.00	34.68	-0.06	-0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.16	0.12	77.27	77.12	0.09	0.07
Colorado St.	MWC	0.11	0.12	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.12	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.11	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.04
Utah	MWC	0.11	0.12	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.11	0.12	33.33	30.72	-0.04	-0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.12	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.06
North Texas	SB	0.11	0.12	61.90	63.69	0.03	0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.21	0.12	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Furman	SC	0.11	0.12	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.17	0.12	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.12	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.12	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.06
George Mason	CAA	0.11	0.12	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.02
Samford	SC	0.22	0.12	28.57	31.03	-0.09	-0.05
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.12	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.17	0.12	20.00	20.57	-0.10	-0.07
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.11	0.12	23.81	28.38	-0.06	-0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.12	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.12	0.10	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.19	0.10	66.67	67.74	0.06	0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.19	0.10	39.13	43.30	-0.04	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.10	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.20	0.10	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.12	0.10	26.09	31.05	-0.06	-0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.10	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.17	0.10	68.18	62.73	0.06	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.12	0.10	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.09	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.12	0.09	73.68	75.41	0.06	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.11	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.06
Arizona	P10	0.11	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.00	0.09	56.52	50.47	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.09	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.09	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.05
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.09	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.12	0.09	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.09	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.11	0.09	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.09	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.09	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.09	15.79	27.84	-0.08	-0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.17	0.09	70.83	63.39	0.07	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.16	0.09	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.16	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.06	0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.11	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.11	0.09	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.09	95.65	91.32	0.05	0.07
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.11	0.09	95.83	91.37	0.10	0.07
Savannah St.	ind	0.12	0.07	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.13	0.07	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.07	68.42	67.04	0.00	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.13	0.07	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
American	Pat	0.06	0.07	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.06	0.07	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.06	0.07	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.06	0.07	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.07	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.11	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.12	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.04	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.06	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.04
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.00	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.00	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.10	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.07	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.06	0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.11	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.04
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.11	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.04	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.07	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.04	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.07	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.00	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.00	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.07	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.04	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.04	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.06	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.00	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.00	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.03	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.06	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.02
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.06	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00