The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated North Florida page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

North Florida

Conference:		ASun
Expected RPI:		236.0
Current RPI:		236
Expected SOS:		244
Current SOS:		244
Current Record:		12-18
Expected Record:		12-18
Current Conf Record:		8-13
Expected Conf Record:		8-13
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-5
Current OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC RPI:		143
Expected OOC SOS:		120

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
12-18		236.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Florida.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Notre Dame (49.0)	BE	A	65-86	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Savannah St. (316.0)	ind	H	57-46	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Illinois St. (76.0)	MVC	A	55-71	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Campbell (183.0)	ASun	A	58-59	L	0%	0.0
11-29	East Tennessee St. (122.0)	ASun	A	56-82	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Alabama (102.0)	SEC	A	51-73	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Northwestern (116.0)	B10	A	54-84	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Marquette (50.0)	BE	A	51-78	L	0%	0.0
12-21	Canisius (206.0)	MAAC	N	65-61	W	100%	0.0
12-22	New Orleans (323.0)	SB	N	64-49	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Southern Mississippi (114.0)	CUSA	N	53-46	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Kennesaw St. (284.0)	ASun	H	66-60	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Mercer (220.0)	ASun	H	79-84	L	0%	0.0
1-8	Florida Gulf Coast (321.0)	ASun	A	62-56	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Stetson (326.0)	ASun	A	54-44	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Belmont (135.0)	ASun	H	45-43	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Lipscomb (207.0)	ASun	H	55-79	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Jacksonville (143.0)	ASun	A	55-62	L	0%	0.0
1-21	South Carolina Upstate (307.0)	ASun	H	50-64	L	0%	0.0
1-27	South Carolina Upstate (307.0)	ASun	A	55-53	W	100%	0.0
1-29	Jacksonville (143.0)	ASun	H	61-73	L	0%	0.0
2-5	Lipscomb (207.0)	ASun	A	72-70	W	100%	0.0
2-7	Belmont (135.0)	ASun	A	56-70	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Stetson (326.0)	ASun	H	60-71	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Florida Gulf Coast (321.0)	ASun	H	68-65	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Mercer (220.0)	ASun	A	67-77	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Kennesaw St. (284.0)	ASun	A	66-60	W	100%	0.0
2-25	East Tennessee St. (122.0)	ASun	H	46-61	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Campbell (183.0)	ASun	H	49-57	L	0%	0.0
3-3	Jacksonville (143.0)	ASun	N	69-76	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

North Florida's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

North Florida's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against North Florida.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Florida	ASun	26.50	26.50	42.47	42.47	-3.99	-3.99
Jacksonville	ASun	6.10	6.10	57.14	57.14	0.87	0.87
Mercer	ASun	4.61	4.61	41.38	41.38	-0.79	-0.79
East Tennessee St.	ASun	4.57	4.57	54.84	54.84	0.44	0.44
Kennesaw St.	ASun	4.53	4.53	37.93	37.93	-1.09	-1.09
Stetson	ASun	4.46	4.46	16.00	16.00	-3.03	-3.03
Belmont	ASun	4.45	4.45	62.07	62.07	1.07	1.07
Lipscomb	ASun	4.44	4.44	55.56	55.56	0.49	0.49
Campbell	ASun	4.44	4.44	57.69	57.69	0.68	0.68
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.39	4.39	29.63	29.63	-1.79	-1.79
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	4.39	4.39	18.52	18.52	-2.76	-2.76
Savannah St.	ind	1.87	1.87	33.33	33.33	-0.62	-0.62
Notre Dame	BE	1.77	1.77	66.67	66.67	0.59	0.59
Canisius	MAAC	1.73	1.73	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.72	1.72	57.14	57.14	0.25	0.25
New Orleans	SB	1.72	1.72	22.22	22.22	-0.96	-0.96
Alabama	SEC	1.72	1.72	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
Marquette	BE	1.69	1.69	65.62	65.62	0.53	0.53
Northwestern	B10	1.69	1.69	59.38	59.38	0.32	0.32
Illinois St.	MVC	1.67	1.67	67.74	67.74	0.59	0.59
Florida St.	ACC	0.25	0.25	70.97	70.97	0.10	0.10
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.19	11.54	11.54	-0.15	-0.15
Longwood	ind	0.19	0.19	29.63	29.63	-0.08	-0.08
Miami FL	ACC	0.18	0.18	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.17	0.17	63.64	63.64	0.05	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.17	0.17	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.16	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.16	0.16	28.12	28.12	-0.07	-0.07
Providence	BE	0.15	0.15	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.14	0.14	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.14	0.14	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.14	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.13	0.13	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.13	0.13	12.00	12.00	-0.10	-0.10
South Carolina	SEC	0.13	0.13	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.13	0.13	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.13	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.13	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.12	0.12	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.11	0.11	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.11	0.11	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.09	19.35	19.35	-0.05	-0.05
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.09	0.09	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.08	0.08	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.08	0.08	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
St. John's	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.06	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	81.25	81.25	0.04	0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	7.14	7.14	-0.05	-0.05
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.04	0.04	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.04	0.04	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.04	0.04	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.04	0.04	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Florida	ASun	26.50	26.50	42.47	42.47	-3.99	-3.99
Jacksonville	ASun	6.10	6.10	57.14	57.14	0.87	0.87
Mercer	ASun	4.61	4.61	41.38	41.38	-0.79	-0.79
East Tennessee St.	ASun	4.57	4.57	54.84	54.84	0.44	0.44
Kennesaw St.	ASun	4.53	4.53	37.93	37.93	-1.09	-1.09
Stetson	ASun	4.46	4.46	16.00	16.00	-3.03	-3.03
Belmont	ASun	4.45	4.45	62.07	62.07	1.07	1.07
Lipscomb	ASun	4.44	4.44	55.56	55.56	0.49	0.49
Campbell	ASun	4.44	4.44	57.69	57.69	0.68	0.68
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	4.39	4.39	29.63	29.63	-1.79	-1.79
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	4.39	4.39	18.52	18.52	-2.76	-2.76
Savannah St.	ind	1.87	1.87	33.33	33.33	-0.62	-0.62
Notre Dame	BE	1.77	1.77	66.67	66.67	0.59	0.59
Canisius	MAAC	1.73	1.73	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.72	1.72	57.14	57.14	0.25	0.25
New Orleans	SB	1.72	1.72	22.22	22.22	-0.96	-0.96
Alabama	SEC	1.72	1.72	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
Marquette	BE	1.69	1.69	65.62	65.62	0.53	0.53
Northwestern	B10	1.69	1.69	59.38	59.38	0.32	0.32
Illinois St.	MVC	1.67	1.67	67.74	67.74	0.59	0.59
Florida St.	ACC	0.25	0.25	70.97	70.97	0.10	0.10
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.19	11.54	11.54	-0.15	-0.15
Longwood	ind	0.19	0.19	29.63	29.63	-0.08	-0.08
Miami FL	ACC	0.18	0.18	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.17	0.17	63.64	63.64	0.05	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.17	0.17	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.16	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.16	0.16	28.12	28.12	-0.07	-0.07
Providence	BE	0.15	0.15	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.14	0.14	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.14	0.14	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.14	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.13	0.13	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.13	0.13	12.00	12.00	-0.10	-0.10
South Carolina	SEC	0.13	0.13	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.13	0.13	25.81	25.81	-0.06	-0.06
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.13	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.13	0.13	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.12	0.12	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.11	0.11	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.11	0.11	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Creighton	MVC	0.09	0.09	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.09	19.35	19.35	-0.05	-0.05
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.09	0.09	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.08	0.08	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.08	0.08	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
St. John's	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.06	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.06	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Elon	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.06	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	81.25	81.25	0.04	0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	7.14	7.14	-0.05	-0.05
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.04	0.04	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.04	0.04	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.04	0.04	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.04	0.04	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Belmont	ASun	4.45	4.45	62.07	62.07	1.07	1.07
Jacksonville	ASun	6.10	6.10	57.14	57.14	0.87	0.87
Campbell	ASun	4.44	4.44	57.69	57.69	0.68	0.68
Illinois St.	MVC	1.67	1.67	67.74	67.74	0.59	0.59
Notre Dame	BE	1.77	1.77	66.67	66.67	0.59	0.59
Marquette	BE	1.69	1.69	65.62	65.62	0.53	0.53
Lipscomb	ASun	4.44	4.44	55.56	55.56	0.49	0.49
East Tennessee St.	ASun	4.57	4.57	54.84	54.84	0.44	0.44
Northwestern	B10	1.69	1.69	59.38	59.38	0.32	0.32
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.72	1.72	57.14	57.14	0.25	0.25
Florida St.	ACC	0.25	0.25	70.97	70.97	0.10	0.10
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.17	0.17	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.14	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.14	0.14	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Alabama	SEC	1.72	1.72	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Florida	SEC	0.17	0.17	63.64	63.64	0.05	0.05
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Louisville	BE	0.16	0.16	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	81.25	81.25	0.04	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.13	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.18	0.18	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03