The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Ball St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Ball St.

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		218.0
Current RPI:		218
Expected SOS:		215
Current SOS:		215
Current Record:		14-15
Expected Record:		14-15
Current Conf Record:		8-9
Expected Conf Record:		8-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-5
Current OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC RPI:		219
Expected OOC SOS:		220

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
14-15		218.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Ball St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Valparaiso (186.0)	Horz	H	88-78	W	100%	0.0
11-21	SIU Edwardsville (322.0)	OVC	H	57-47	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Temple (9.0)	A10	A	46-66	L	0%	0.0
11-28	UC Davis (244.0)	BW	H	58-60	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Butler (11.0)	Horz	H	38-59	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Indiana St. (87.0)	MVC	A	68-63	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Tennessee Tech (196.0)	OVC	A	81-86	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Purdue (16.0)	B10	N	49-69	L	0%	0.0
12-21	North Carolina Central (347.0)	ind	H	59-45	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Maryland Eastern Shore (308.0)	MEAC	H	56-47	W	100%	0.0
1-5	Dayton (53.0)	A10	A	35-59	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Northern Illinois (261.0)	MAC	H	48-62	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Central Michigan (195.0)	MAC	A	38-53	L	0%	0.0
1-17	Toledo (324.0)	MAC	H	71-43	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Western Michigan (150.0)	MAC	H	75-68	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Eastern Michigan (201.0)	MAC	A	53-57	L	0%	0.0
1-26	Miami OH (144.0)	MAC	H	65-59	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Buffalo (108.0)	MAC	A	75-69	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Ohio (95.0)	MAC	A	67-66	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Bowling Green (189.0)	MAC	H	64-59	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Akron (89.0)	MAC	H	70-75	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Kent St. (47.0)	MAC	A	42-76	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Northern Illinois (261.0)	MAC	A	71-66	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Central Michigan (195.0)	MAC	H	69-63	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Tennessee Martin (338.0)	OVC	H	68-52	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Eastern Michigan (201.0)	MAC	H	67-72	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Toledo (324.0)	MAC	A	42-45	L	0%	0.0
3-4	Western Michigan (150.0)	MAC	A	52-67	L	0%	0.0
3-7	Ohio (95.0)	MAC	H	77-85	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Ball St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Ball St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Ball St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Ball St.	MAC	26.16	26.16	44.96	44.96	-2.64	-2.64
Western Michigan	MAC	4.24	4.24	53.33	53.33	0.28	0.28
Eastern Michigan	MAC	4.20	4.20	46.43	46.43	-0.30	-0.30
Northern Illinois	MAC	4.20	4.20	32.14	32.14	-1.50	-1.50
Toledo	MAC	4.18	4.18	6.90	6.90	-3.61	-3.61
Central Michigan	MAC	4.17	4.17	48.15	48.15	-0.15	-0.15
Ohio	MAC	4.09	4.09	59.38	59.38	0.77	0.77
Akron	MAC	2.53	2.53	68.75	68.75	0.95	0.95
Miami OH	MAC	2.47	2.47	45.16	45.16	-0.24	-0.24
Buffalo	MAC	2.44	2.44	60.71	60.71	0.52	0.52
Bowling Green	MAC	2.44	2.44	46.43	46.43	-0.17	-0.17
Kent St.	MAC	2.39	2.39	70.00	70.00	0.95	0.95
Temple	A10	1.92	1.92	84.85	84.85	1.34	1.34
Valparaiso	Horz	1.92	1.92	42.86	42.86	-0.27	-0.27
Purdue	B10	1.88	1.88	83.87	83.87	1.27	1.27
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	1.87	1.87	35.48	35.48	-0.54	-0.54
Tennessee Martin	OVC	1.81	1.81	7.69	7.69	-1.54	-1.54
Tennessee Tech	OVC	1.79	1.79	41.38	41.38	-0.31	-0.31
Butler	Horz	1.78	1.78	87.10	87.10	1.32	1.32
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	1.78	1.78	12.00	12.00	-1.36	-1.36
Indiana St.	MVC	1.78	1.78	55.17	55.17	0.18	0.18
Dayton	A10	1.78	1.78	61.29	61.29	0.40	0.40
North Carolina Central	ind	1.75	1.75	12.50	12.50	-1.31	-1.31
UC Davis	BW	1.72	1.72	37.93	37.93	-0.42	-0.42
Wright St.	Horz	0.36	0.36	62.50	62.50	0.09	0.09
Detroit	Horz	0.34	0.34	57.58	57.58	0.05	0.05
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.31	0.31	24.14	24.14	-0.16	-0.16
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.30	0.30	20.69	20.69	-0.17	-0.17
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.29	0.29	58.62	58.62	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.26	0.26	56.25	56.25	0.03	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.24	0.24	28.12	28.12	-0.10	-0.10
Illinois St.	MVC	0.23	0.23	68.75	68.75	0.09	0.09
Austin Peay	OVC	0.23	0.23	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.22	0.22	87.50	87.50	0.17	0.17
Xavier	A10	0.22	0.22	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
Morehead St.	OVC	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
Evansville	MVC	0.21	0.21	27.59	27.59	-0.09	-0.09
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.20	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.20	0.20	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Illinois	B10	0.20	0.20	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.19	0.19	61.76	61.76	0.05	0.05
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.18	0.18	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.10
Chicago St.	GWC	0.17	0.17	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.10
Missouri St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.17	0.17	60.00	60.00	0.03	0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.15	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.14	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.14	0.14	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Northwestern	B10	0.14	0.14	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.14	0.14	79.41	79.41	0.08	0.08
Rhode Island	A10	0.13	0.13	71.88	71.88	0.06	0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa	B10	0.12	0.12	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.12	0.12	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.12	0.12	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.11	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.11	87.50	87.50	0.09	0.09
Towson	CAA	0.11	0.11	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.11	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.10	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.10	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.09	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.09	0.09	67.86	67.86	0.03	0.03
Vermont	AE	0.09	0.09	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
Samford	SC	0.09	0.09	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.07	-0.07
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	21.88	21.88	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Richmond	A10	0.08	0.08	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.08	0.08	22.58	22.58	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.07	0.07	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.06	19.35	19.35	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.04	0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.06	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.88	87.88	0.04	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Ball St.	MAC	26.16	26.16	44.96	44.96	-2.64	-2.64
Western Michigan	MAC	4.24	4.24	53.33	53.33	0.28	0.28
Eastern Michigan	MAC	4.20	4.20	46.43	46.43	-0.30	-0.30
Northern Illinois	MAC	4.20	4.20	32.14	32.14	-1.50	-1.50
Toledo	MAC	4.18	4.18	6.90	6.90	-3.61	-3.61
Central Michigan	MAC	4.17	4.17	48.15	48.15	-0.15	-0.15
Ohio	MAC	4.09	4.09	59.38	59.38	0.77	0.77
Akron	MAC	2.53	2.53	68.75	68.75	0.95	0.95
Miami OH	MAC	2.47	2.47	45.16	45.16	-0.24	-0.24
Buffalo	MAC	2.44	2.44	60.71	60.71	0.52	0.52
Bowling Green	MAC	2.44	2.44	46.43	46.43	-0.17	-0.17
Kent St.	MAC	2.39	2.39	70.00	70.00	0.95	0.95
Temple	A10	1.92	1.92	84.85	84.85	1.34	1.34
Valparaiso	Horz	1.92	1.92	42.86	42.86	-0.27	-0.27
Purdue	B10	1.88	1.88	83.87	83.87	1.27	1.27
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	1.87	1.87	35.48	35.48	-0.54	-0.54
Tennessee Martin	OVC	1.81	1.81	7.69	7.69	-1.54	-1.54
Tennessee Tech	OVC	1.79	1.79	41.38	41.38	-0.31	-0.31
Butler	Horz	1.78	1.78	87.10	87.10	1.32	1.32
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	1.78	1.78	12.00	12.00	-1.36	-1.36
Indiana St.	MVC	1.78	1.78	55.17	55.17	0.18	0.18
Dayton	A10	1.78	1.78	61.29	61.29	0.40	0.40
North Carolina Central	ind	1.75	1.75	12.50	12.50	-1.31	-1.31
UC Davis	BW	1.72	1.72	37.93	37.93	-0.42	-0.42
Wright St.	Horz	0.36	0.36	62.50	62.50	0.09	0.09
Detroit	Horz	0.34	0.34	57.58	57.58	0.05	0.05
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.31	0.31	24.14	24.14	-0.16	-0.16
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.30	0.30	20.69	20.69	-0.17	-0.17
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.29	0.29	58.62	58.62	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.26	0.26	56.25	56.25	0.03	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.24	0.24	28.12	28.12	-0.10	-0.10
Illinois St.	MVC	0.23	0.23	68.75	68.75	0.09	0.09
Austin Peay	OVC	0.23	0.23	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.22	0.22	87.50	87.50	0.17	0.17
Xavier	A10	0.22	0.22	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
Morehead St.	OVC	0.21	0.21	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
Evansville	MVC	0.21	0.21	27.59	27.59	-0.09	-0.09
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.20	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.20	0.20	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Illinois	B10	0.20	0.20	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.19	0.19	61.76	61.76	0.05	0.05
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.18	0.18	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.10
Chicago St.	GWC	0.17	0.17	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.10
Missouri St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.17	0.17	60.00	60.00	0.03	0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.15	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.14	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.14	0.14	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Northwestern	B10	0.14	0.14	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.14	0.14	79.41	79.41	0.08	0.08
Rhode Island	A10	0.13	0.13	71.88	71.88	0.06	0.06
North Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa	B10	0.12	0.12	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.12	0.12	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.12	0.12	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.11	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.11	87.50	87.50	0.09	0.09
Towson	CAA	0.11	0.11	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.11	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.10	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.10	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.09	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.09	0.09	67.86	67.86	0.03	0.03
Vermont	AE	0.09	0.09	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
Samford	SC	0.09	0.09	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.07	-0.07
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	21.88	21.88	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Richmond	A10	0.08	0.08	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.08	0.08	22.58	22.58	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.07	0.07	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.06	19.35	19.35	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.04	0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.06	0.06	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.06	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.88	87.88	0.04	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Temple	A10	1.92	1.92	84.85	84.85	1.34	1.34
Butler	Horz	1.78	1.78	87.10	87.10	1.32	1.32
Purdue	B10	1.88	1.88	83.87	83.87	1.27	1.27
Kent St.	MAC	2.39	2.39	70.00	70.00	0.95	0.95
Akron	MAC	2.53	2.53	68.75	68.75	0.95	0.95
Ohio	MAC	4.09	4.09	59.38	59.38	0.77	0.77
Buffalo	MAC	2.44	2.44	60.71	60.71	0.52	0.52
Dayton	A10	1.78	1.78	61.29	61.29	0.40	0.40
Western Michigan	MAC	4.24	4.24	53.33	53.33	0.28	0.28
Indiana St.	MVC	1.78	1.78	55.17	55.17	0.18	0.18
Murray St.	OVC	0.22	0.22	87.50	87.50	0.17	0.17
Xavier	A10	0.22	0.22	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
Wright St.	Horz	0.36	0.36	62.50	62.50	0.09	0.09