The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated West Virginia page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

West Virginia

Conference:		BE
Expected RPI:		3.9
Current RPI:		4
Expected SOS:		2
Current SOS:		7
Current Record:		19-3
Expected Record:		25-5
Current Conf Record:		8-2
Expected Conf Record:		14-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		8-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		2-0
Current OOC Record:		11-1
Expected OOC Record:		11-1
Expected OOC RPI:		2
Expected OOC SOS:		25

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
27-3	1.4	4.82%
26-4	2.0	20.07%
25-5	3.1	31.09%
24-6	4.5	26.39%
23-7	6.2	13.19%
22-8	8.5	3.80%
21-9	12.9	0.61%
20-10	22.5	0.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for West Virginia.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Loyola MD (179.5)	MAAC	H	83-60	W	100%	0.0
11-24	The Citadel (209.3)	SC	N	69-50	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Long Beach St. (139.7)	BW	N	85-62	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	N	73-66	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Portland (84.3)	WCC	N	84-66	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Duquesne (123.2)	A10	H	68-39	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Coppin St. (332.1)	MEAC	H	69-43	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	A	80-78	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	H	76-66	W	100%	0.0
12-26	Seton Hall (72.6)	BE	A	90-84	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Marquette (55.4)	BE	H	63-62	W	100%	0.0
1-1	Purdue (14.9)	B10	A	62-77	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Rutgers (161.8)	BE	H	86-52	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	A	68-70	L	0%	0.0
1-13	South Florida (64.9)	BE	A	69-50	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	H	71-72	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	N	68-60	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Ohio St. (38.1)	B10	H	71-65	W	100%	0.0
1-26	DePaul (180.2)	BE	A	62-46	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Louisville (36.4)	BE	H	77-74	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Pittsburgh (26.0)	BE	H	70-51	W	100%	0.0
2-6	St. John's (101.2)	BE	A	79-60	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Villanova (6.2)	BE	H	0-0		72%	6.3
2-12	Pittsburgh (26.0)	BE	A	0-0		59%	2.4
2-17	Providence (98.2)	BE	A	0-0		75%	7.4
2-20	Seton Hall (72.6)	BE	H	0-0		88%	13.1
2-22	Connecticut (54.2)	BE	A	0-0		64%	3.8
2-27	Cincinnati (61.1)	BE	H	0-0		89%	13.5
3-1	Georgetown (8.9)	BE	H	0-0		75%	7.4
3-6	Villanova (6.2)	BE	A	0-0		44%	-1.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

West Virginia's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

West Virginia's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against West Virginia.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
West Virginia	BE	26.12	26.01	87.00	83.14	19.33	17.24
Pittsburgh	BE	2.68	3.89	77.27	74.26	1.46	1.89
Syracuse	BE	2.62	2.22	95.65	91.09	2.39	1.82
South Florida	BE	2.62	2.22	68.18	64.32	0.95	0.64
Notre Dame	BE	2.57	2.25	69.57	62.17	1.01	0.55
DePaul	BE	2.57	2.22	36.36	35.06	-0.70	-0.66
Rutgers	BE	2.57	2.25	50.00	44.37	0.00	-0.25
Louisville	BE	2.53	2.22	68.18	64.14	0.92	0.63
Seton Hall	BE	2.52	3.85	60.00	61.30	0.50	0.87
St. John's	BE	2.47	2.24	57.14	50.94	0.35	0.04
Marquette	BE	2.47	2.25	68.18	68.37	0.90	0.83
Ohio St.	B10	2.38	1.75	78.26	76.18	1.34	0.92
Loyola MD	MAAC	2.34	1.70	52.17	53.40	0.10	0.12
Texas A&M	B12	2.32	1.70	76.19	69.24	1.22	0.65
The Citadel	SC	2.32	1.70	47.62	47.50	-0.11	-0.08
Duquesne	A10	2.32	1.72	52.38	51.56	0.11	0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	2.32	1.69	47.62	48.48	-0.11	-0.05
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.32	1.70	11.76	21.77	-1.77	-0.96
Long Beach St.	BW	2.32	1.69	45.00	47.35	-0.23	-0.09
Purdue	B10	2.32	1.72	85.71	81.17	1.66	1.07
Marshall	CUSA	2.27	1.67	70.00	67.97	0.91	0.60
Mississippi	SEC	2.27	1.72	77.27	75.02	1.24	0.86
Portland	WCC	2.27	1.67	65.00	68.21	0.68	0.61
Villanova	BE	0.45	3.86	90.91	85.39	0.37	2.73
Cincinnati	BE	0.45	2.22	60.87	57.08	0.10	0.31
Providence	BE	0.44	2.22	52.17	47.38	0.02	-0.12
Georgetown	BE	0.40	2.25	77.27	75.09	0.22	1.13
Connecticut	BE	0.35	2.22	60.87	57.15	0.08	0.32
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.26	0.17	40.00	42.64	-0.05	-0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.25	0.17	63.64	64.66	0.07	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.25	0.14	78.26	78.92	0.14	0.08
Indiana	B10	0.25	0.22	40.91	34.84	-0.04	-0.07
Michigan	B10	0.21	0.17	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.20	0.14	95.65	88.67	0.19	0.11
Central Florida	CUSA	0.20	0.17	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.20	0.11	56.52	51.96	0.03	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.20	0.14	33.33	30.82	-0.07	-0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.16	0.12	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.16	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.07	0.06
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.16	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.16	0.20	79.17	77.57	0.09	0.11
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.16	0.12	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.16	0.09	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.16	0.17	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.10
Binghamton	AE	0.16	0.11	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.03
Samford	SC	0.15	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.07	-0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.15	0.11	85.71	85.57	0.11	0.08
Davidson	SC	0.15	0.09	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.15	0.09	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.05
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.15	0.14	39.13	36.57	-0.03	-0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.15	0.11	28.57	27.72	-0.07	-0.05
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.14	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.15	0.14	66.67	64.02	0.05	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.06	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.15	0.09	83.33	81.25	0.10	0.05
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.15	0.08	30.43	30.27	-0.06	-0.03
Marist	MAAC	0.14	0.09	4.17	4.73	-0.13	-0.08
Rider	MAAC	0.14	0.09	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.12	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.12	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.06	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.09	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.11	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.06	-0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.11	0.06	8.70	11.46	-0.09	-0.05
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.11	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.06
Idaho	WAC	0.11	0.09	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.09	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.05
Troy	SB	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.11	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.03	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.11	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.11	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.07
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.11	0.09	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.11	0.09	72.00	73.54	0.05	0.04
Washington	P10	0.11	0.09	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.09	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.11	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.04
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.09	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.10	0.09	22.22	27.56	-0.06	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.08	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.09	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.09	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.04
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.09	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.09	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.11	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.10	0.09	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.09	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.08	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.11	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.08	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.11	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.08
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.11	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.08	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.08	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.04	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.08	27.27	31.08	-0.04	-0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.10	0.05	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.08	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.05	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.10	0.11	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.05	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.05	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.04
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.08	68.00	67.20	0.03	0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.09	0.08	37.50	39.23	-0.02	-0.02
California	P10	0.09	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.09	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.02
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.03	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.09	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.04
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.09	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.05
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.06	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.06	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.06	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.03	0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.03
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.05
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.11	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.05
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.11	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.09
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.11	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.11	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.06
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.03	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.08	35.00	38.23	-0.01	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.03	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.03	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.11	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.05
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.00	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.00	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.00	-0.03
Elon	SC	0.00	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.00	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.00	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.00	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.00	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.00	0.08	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.00	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.00	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.08	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.00	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.00	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.00	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.00	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.00	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.00	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.00	0.06	68.18	68.10	0.00	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.00	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.00	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.00	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.00	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.00	-0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.00	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.00	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
West Virginia	BE	26.12	26.01	87.00	83.14	19.33	17.24
Pittsburgh	BE	2.68	3.89	77.27	74.26	1.46	1.89
Villanova	BE	0.45	3.86	90.91	85.39	0.37	2.73
Seton Hall	BE	2.52	3.85	60.00	61.30	0.50	0.87
Rutgers	BE	2.57	2.25	50.00	44.37	0.00	-0.25
Notre Dame	BE	2.57	2.25	69.57	62.17	1.01	0.55
Marquette	BE	2.47	2.25	68.18	68.37	0.90	0.83
Georgetown	BE	0.40	2.25	77.27	75.09	0.22	1.13
St. John's	BE	2.47	2.24	57.14	50.94	0.35	0.04
Syracuse	BE	2.62	2.22	95.65	91.09	2.39	1.82
DePaul	BE	2.57	2.22	36.36	35.06	-0.70	-0.66
Connecticut	BE	0.35	2.22	60.87	57.15	0.08	0.32
Louisville	BE	2.53	2.22	68.18	64.14	0.92	0.63
Providence	BE	0.44	2.22	52.17	47.38	0.02	-0.12
South Florida	BE	2.62	2.22	68.18	64.32	0.95	0.64
Cincinnati	BE	0.45	2.22	60.87	57.08	0.10	0.31
Ohio St.	B10	2.38	1.75	78.26	76.18	1.34	0.92
Mississippi	SEC	2.27	1.72	77.27	75.02	1.24	0.86
Duquesne	A10	2.32	1.72	52.38	51.56	0.11	0.05
Purdue	B10	2.32	1.72	85.71	81.17	1.66	1.07
Loyola MD	MAAC	2.34	1.70	52.17	53.40	0.10	0.12
Texas A&M	B12	2.32	1.70	76.19	69.24	1.22	0.65
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.32	1.70	11.76	21.77	-1.77	-0.96
The Citadel	SC	2.32	1.70	47.62	47.50	-0.11	-0.08
Cleveland St.	Horz	2.32	1.69	47.62	48.48	-0.11	-0.05
Long Beach St.	BW	2.32	1.69	45.00	47.35	-0.23	-0.09
Marshall	CUSA	2.27	1.67	70.00	67.97	0.91	0.60
Portland	WCC	2.27	1.67	65.00	68.21	0.68	0.61
Indiana	B10	0.25	0.22	40.91	34.84	-0.04	-0.07
Temple	A10	0.16	0.20	79.17	77.57	0.09	0.11
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.26	0.17	40.00	42.64	-0.05	-0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.25	0.17	63.64	64.66	0.07	0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.20	0.17	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.21	0.17	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.16	0.17	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.10
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.15	0.14	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.20	0.14	95.65	88.67	0.19	0.11
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.15	0.14	39.13	36.57	-0.03	-0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.15	0.14	66.67	64.02	0.05	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.20	0.14	33.33	30.82	-0.07	-0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.25	0.14	78.26	78.92	0.14	0.08
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.16	0.12	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.16	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.07	0.06
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.16	0.12	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.11	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.11	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.11	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.07
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.11	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.08
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.11	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.05
Binghamton	AE	0.16	0.11	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.11	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.06
Cornell	Ivy	0.15	0.11	85.71	85.57	0.11	0.08
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.11	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.05
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.11	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.09
North Carolina	ACC	0.20	0.11	56.52	51.96	0.03	0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.10	0.11	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.15	0.11	28.57	27.72	-0.07	-0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.11	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.11	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.11	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.12	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.06	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.11	0.09	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.09	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.09	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Navy	Pat	0.12	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.06
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.09	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.09	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.03
Washington	P10	0.11	0.09	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.03
Samford	SC	0.15	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.07	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.09	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.04
UCLA	P10	0.16	0.09	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.16	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.15	0.09	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.09	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.05
Old Dominion	CAA	0.11	0.09	72.00	73.54	0.05	0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.09	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.09	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.10	0.09	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.09	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.10	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.15	0.09	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.05
Long Island	NEC	0.11	0.09	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.14	0.09	4.17	4.73	-0.13	-0.08
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.09	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.10	0.09	22.22	27.56	-0.06	-0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.14	0.09	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.15	0.09	83.33	81.25	0.10	0.05
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.09	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.08	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.08	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.04
La Salle	A10	0.00	0.08	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.08	68.00	67.20	0.03	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.08	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.09	0.08	37.50	39.23	-0.02	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.08	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.08	35.00	38.23	-0.01	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.15	0.08	30.43	30.27	-0.06	-0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.10	0.08	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.10	0.08	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.08	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.08	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.06	0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.08	27.27	31.08	-0.04	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.11	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.06	-0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.11	0.06	8.70	11.46	-0.09	-0.05
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.11	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.04
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.00	0.06	68.18	68.10	0.00	0.02
Troy	SB	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.06	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.11	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.03	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.06	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.06	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.11	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.02
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.09	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.04