The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Morgan St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Morgan St.

Conference:		MEAC
Expected RPI:		103.0
Current RPI:		103
Expected SOS:		292
Current SOS:		292
Current Record:		27-9
Expected Record:		27-9
Current Conf Record:		18-1
Expected Conf Record:		18-1
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		25-2
Current OOC Record:		9-8
Expected OOC Record:		9-8
Expected OOC RPI:		136
Expected OOC SOS:		175

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
27-9		103.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Morgan St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Albany (302.0)	AE	A	69-65	W	100%	0.0
11-15	MD Baltimore County (333.0)	AE	A	72-57	W	100%	0.0
11-19	East Tennessee St. (122.0)	ASun	H	72-61	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Louisville (37.0)	BE	A	81-90	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Arkansas (159.0)	SEC	A	97-94	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Appalachian St. (101.0)	SC	A	92-93	L	0%	0.0
12-1	Loyola MD (214.0)	MAAC	A	66-78	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Coppin St. (337.0)	MEAC	A	80-67	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Minnesota (62.0)	B10	A	64-94	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Manhattan (226.0)	MAAC	H	83-74	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Towson (264.0)	CAA	H	87-80	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Eastern Kentucky (154.0)	OVC	N	62-76	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Long Island (240.0)	NEC	N	87-70	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Robert Morris (129.0)	NEC	A	75-78	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Baylor (8.0)	B12	A	63-79	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Howard (330.0)	MEAC	A	90-58	W	100%	0.0
1-11	Hampton (283.0)	MEAC	A	73-63	W	100%	0.0
1-16	South Carolina St. (223.0)	MEAC	A	72-67	W	100%	0.0
1-18	Winston Salem St. (293.0)	ind	A	84-65	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Delaware St. (219.0)	MEAC	H	72-62	W	100%	0.0
1-25	Maryland Eastern Shore (308.0)	MEAC	H	91-54	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Norfolk St. (266.0)	MEAC	A	100-94	W	100%	0.0
2-1	North Carolina A&T (299.0)	MEAC	A	74-65	W	100%	0.0
2-7	Florida A&M (319.0)	MEAC	H	94-68	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Bethune Cookman (259.0)	MEAC	H	48-47	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Winston Salem St. (293.0)	ind	H	79-65	W	100%	0.0
2-15	South Carolina St. (223.0)	MEAC	H	68-71	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Delaware St. (219.0)	MEAC	A	68-65	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Murray St. (57.0)	OVC	A	66-75	L	0%	0.0
2-22	Maryland Eastern Shore (308.0)	MEAC	A	65-61	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Norfolk St. (266.0)	MEAC	H	88-87	W	100%	0.0
3-1	North Carolina A&T (299.0)	MEAC	H	81-67	W	100%	0.0
3-4	Coppin St. (337.0)	MEAC	H	74-54	W	100%	0.0
3-10	North Carolina A&T (299.0)	MEAC	N	84-57	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Hampton (283.0)	MEAC	N	74-67	W	100%	0.0
3-13	South Carolina St. (223.0)	MEAC	N	68-61	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Morgan St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Morgan St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Morgan St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Morgan St.	MEAC	26.41	26.41	80.59	80.59	16.16	16.16
South Carolina St.	MEAC	4.96	4.96	53.85	53.85	0.38	0.38
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	4.91	4.91	29.63	29.63	-2.00	-2.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	3.66	3.66	20.00	20.00	-2.20	-2.20
Norfolk St.	MEAC	3.61	3.61	39.29	39.29	-0.77	-0.77
Hampton	MEAC	3.54	3.54	46.67	46.67	-0.24	-0.24
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	3.53	3.53	36.67	36.67	-0.94	-0.94
Delaware St.	MEAC	3.53	3.53	58.33	58.33	0.59	0.59
Winston Salem St.	ind	3.51	3.51	34.78	34.78	-1.07	-1.07
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.28	2.28	48.28	48.28	-0.08	-0.08
Howard	MEAC	2.21	2.21	22.58	22.58	-1.21	-1.21
Florida A&M	MEAC	2.20	2.20	27.59	27.59	-0.99	-0.99
Loyola MD	MAAC	1.55	1.55	41.38	41.38	-0.27	-0.27
Arkansas	SEC	1.53	1.53	45.16	45.16	-0.15	-0.15
MD Baltimore County	AE	1.53	1.53	13.79	13.79	-1.11	-1.11
Manhattan	MAAC	1.50	1.50	36.67	36.67	-0.40	-0.40
Towson	CAA	1.48	1.48	33.33	33.33	-0.49	-0.49
Robert Morris	NEC	1.48	1.48	66.67	66.67	0.49	0.49
East Tennessee St.	ASun	1.48	1.48	59.38	59.38	0.28	0.28
Long Island	NEC	1.48	1.48	46.67	46.67	-0.10	-0.10
Appalachian St.	SC	1.47	1.47	63.33	63.33	0.39	0.39
Baylor	B12	1.46	1.46	76.67	76.67	0.78	0.78
Murray St.	OVC	1.46	1.46	87.10	87.10	1.08	1.08
Albany	AE	1.46	1.46	22.58	22.58	-0.80	-0.80
Louisville	BE	1.45	1.45	61.29	61.29	0.33	0.33
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	1.43	1.43	58.62	58.62	0.25	0.25
Minnesota	B10	1.39	1.39	60.61	60.61	0.29	0.29
Iona	MAAC	0.25	0.25	67.74	67.74	0.09	0.09
Maine	AE	0.19	0.19	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
Miami FL	ACC	0.18	0.18	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.16	0.16	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Navy	Pat	0.16	0.16	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.16	0.16	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.15	0.15	70.00	70.00	0.06	0.06
High Point	BSth	0.14	0.14	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.14	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.08
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.14	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.14	0.14	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	32.14	32.14	-0.05	-0.05
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
Vermont	AE	0.14	0.14	73.53	73.53	0.06	0.06
James Madison	CAA	0.14	0.14	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.14	0.14	81.82	81.82	0.09	0.09
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.13	0.13	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.13	0.13	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
American	Pat	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.12	0.12	81.25	81.25	0.07	0.07
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.11	79.41	79.41	0.07	0.07
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.11	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.11	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.11	0.11	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	75.76	75.76	0.06	0.06
Hartford	AE	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.11	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.11	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.11	0.11	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.11	0.11	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Furman	SC	0.09	0.09	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.09	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.09	0.09	3.33	3.33	-0.09	-0.09
Old Dominion	CAA	0.09	0.09	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.09	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.09	0.09	7.41	7.41	-0.08	-0.08
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.09	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.09	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Texas	B12	0.09	0.09	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.09	0.09	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.09	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.09	0.09	16.13	16.13	-0.06	-0.06
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.09	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.07	0.07	19.35	19.35	-0.04	-0.04
George Washington	A10	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.07	0.07	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.07	0.07	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.07	0.07	7.14	7.14	-0.06	-0.06
Nebraska	B12	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.07	0.07	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.07	0.07	12.00	12.00	-0.05	-0.05
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	6.45	6.45	-0.06	-0.06
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.04	0.04	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.04	0.04	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.04	0.04	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Davidson	SC	0.04	0.04	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.04	0.04	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.04	0.04	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.04	0.04	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.04	0.04	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.04	0.04	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.04	0.04	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.04	0.04	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.04	0.04	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.04	0.04	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.04	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.04	0.04	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.04	0.04	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.04	0.04	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.04	0.04	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.04	0.04	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.04	0.04	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.04	0.04	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.04	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.04	0.04	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.04	0.04	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
La Salle	A10	0.04	0.04	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.04	0.04	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.04	0.04	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.04	0.04	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.04	0.04	11.54	11.54	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.04	0.04	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.04	0.04	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.04	0.04	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.04	0.04	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.04	0.04	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.04	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.04	0.04	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.04	0.04	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.04	0.04	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.04	0.04	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.02	0.02	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.02	0.02	18.18	18.18	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.02	0.02	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.02	0.02	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.02	0.02	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.02	0.02	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.02	0.02	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	60.00	60.00	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.02	0.02	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.02	0.02	17.24	17.24	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.02	0.02	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Xavier	A10	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.02	0.02	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.02	0.02	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Portland	WCC	0.02	0.02	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.02	0.02	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Morgan St.	MEAC	26.41	26.41	80.59	80.59	16.16	16.16
South Carolina St.	MEAC	4.96	4.96	53.85	53.85	0.38	0.38
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	4.91	4.91	29.63	29.63	-2.00	-2.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	3.66	3.66	20.00	20.00	-2.20	-2.20
Norfolk St.	MEAC	3.61	3.61	39.29	39.29	-0.77	-0.77
Hampton	MEAC	3.54	3.54	46.67	46.67	-0.24	-0.24
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	3.53	3.53	36.67	36.67	-0.94	-0.94
Delaware St.	MEAC	3.53	3.53	58.33	58.33	0.59	0.59
Winston Salem St.	ind	3.51	3.51	34.78	34.78	-1.07	-1.07
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.28	2.28	48.28	48.28	-0.08	-0.08
Howard	MEAC	2.21	2.21	22.58	22.58	-1.21	-1.21
Florida A&M	MEAC	2.20	2.20	27.59	27.59	-0.99	-0.99
Loyola MD	MAAC	1.55	1.55	41.38	41.38	-0.27	-0.27
Arkansas	SEC	1.53	1.53	45.16	45.16	-0.15	-0.15
MD Baltimore County	AE	1.53	1.53	13.79	13.79	-1.11	-1.11
Manhattan	MAAC	1.50	1.50	36.67	36.67	-0.40	-0.40
Towson	CAA	1.48	1.48	33.33	33.33	-0.49	-0.49
Robert Morris	NEC	1.48	1.48	66.67	66.67	0.49	0.49
East Tennessee St.	ASun	1.48	1.48	59.38	59.38	0.28	0.28
Long Island	NEC	1.48	1.48	46.67	46.67	-0.10	-0.10
Appalachian St.	SC	1.47	1.47	63.33	63.33	0.39	0.39
Baylor	B12	1.46	1.46	76.67	76.67	0.78	0.78
Murray St.	OVC	1.46	1.46	87.10	87.10	1.08	1.08
Albany	AE	1.46	1.46	22.58	22.58	-0.80	-0.80
Louisville	BE	1.45	1.45	61.29	61.29	0.33	0.33
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	1.43	1.43	58.62	58.62	0.25	0.25
Minnesota	B10	1.39	1.39	60.61	60.61	0.29	0.29
Iona	MAAC	0.25	0.25	67.74	67.74	0.09	0.09
Maine	AE	0.19	0.19	62.07	62.07	0.05	0.05
Miami FL	ACC	0.18	0.18	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.16	0.16	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Navy	Pat	0.16	0.16	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.16	0.16	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.15	0.15	70.00	70.00	0.06	0.06
High Point	BSth	0.14	0.14	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.14	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.08
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.14	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.14	0.14	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	32.14	32.14	-0.05	-0.05
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
Vermont	AE	0.14	0.14	73.53	73.53	0.06	0.06
James Madison	CAA	0.14	0.14	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.14	0.14	81.82	81.82	0.09	0.09
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.13	0.13	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.13	0.13	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
American	Pat	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.12	0.12	81.25	81.25	0.07	0.07
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.11	79.41	79.41	0.07	0.07
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.11	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.11	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.11	0.11	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	75.76	75.76	0.06	0.06
Hartford	AE	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.11	0.11	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.11	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.11	0.11	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.11	0.11	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Furman	SC	0.09	0.09	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.09	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.09	0.09	3.33	3.33	-0.09	-0.09
Old Dominion	CAA	0.09	0.09	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.09	0.09	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.09	0.09	7.41	7.41	-0.08	-0.08
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.09	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.09	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Texas	B12	0.09	0.09	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.09	0.09	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.09	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.09	0.09	16.13	16.13	-0.06	-0.06
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.09	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.08	0.08	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.07	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.07	0.07	19.35	19.35	-0.04	-0.04
George Washington	A10	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.07	0.07	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.07	0.07	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.07	0.07	7.14	7.14	-0.06	-0.06
Nebraska	B12	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.07	0.07	3.33	3.33	-0.06	-0.06
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.07	0.07	12.00	12.00	-0.05	-0.05
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	6.45	6.45	-0.06	-0.06
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	84.38	84.38	0.04	0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.04	0.04	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.04	0.04	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.04	0.04	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Davidson	SC	0.04	0.04	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.04	0.04	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.04	0.04	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.04	0.04	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.04	0.04	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.04	0.04	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.04	0.04	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.04	0.04	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.04	0.04	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.04	0.04	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.04	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.04	0.04	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.04	0.04	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.04	0.04	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.04	0.04	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.04	0.04	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.04	0.04	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.04	0.04	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.04	0.04	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.04	0.04	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.04	0.04	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
La Salle	A10	0.04	0.04	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.04	0.04	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.04	0.04	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.04	0.04	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.04	0.04	11.54	11.54	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.04	0.04	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.04	0.04	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.04	0.04	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.04	0.04	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.04	0.04	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.04	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.04	0.04	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.04	0.04	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.04	0.04	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.04	0.04	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.02	0.02	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.02	0.02	18.18	18.18	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.02	0.02	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01