The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Northern Illinois page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Northern Illinois

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		250.0
Current RPI:		244
Expected SOS:		213
Current SOS:		197
Current Record:		8-14
Expected Record:		11-18
Current Conf Record:		4-6
Expected Conf Record:		7-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-4
Current OOC Record:		4-8
Expected OOC Record:		4-9
Expected OOC RPI:		265
Expected OOC SOS:		249

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-14	186.0	0.06%
14-15	201.2	1.04%
13-16	219.1	6.02%
12-17	235.2	21.34%
11-18	248.5	32.35%
10-19	261.1	27.83%
9-20	274.6	10.22%
8-21	287.8	1.13%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	A	55-77	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Illinois (76.5)	B10	A	61-80	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Tennessee St. (276.7)	OVC	H	85-57	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Southeast Missouri St. (298.6)	OVC	H	64-70	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	A	45-52	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Bradley (115.5)	MVC	H	49-63	L	0%	0.0
12-15	Minnesota (61.2)	B10	A	48-89	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	A	49-69	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Maryland Eastern Shore (313.8)	MEAC	H	87-69	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Temple (24.9)	A10	H	60-70	L	0%	0.0
1-2	North Dakota (331.1)	GWC	H	66-45	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Chicago St. (342.9)	GWC	A	99-93	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	A	62-48	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	H	87-77	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Eastern Michigan (213.6)	MAC	H	77-69	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	A	58-54	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	A	75-81	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	H	84-99	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Buffalo (134.2)	MAC	H	83-95	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Kent St. (57.5)	MAC	A	46-76	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Akron (113.3)	MAC	A	76-90	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	H	69-74	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	A	0-0		28%	-6.4
2-13	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	H	0-0		56%	1.6
2-17	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	A	0-0		11%	-13.3
2-20	Eastern Illinois (217.6)	OVC	A	0-0		34%	-4.5
2-24	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	H	0-0		46%	-1.0
2-27	Eastern Michigan (213.6)	MAC	A	0-0		25%	-7.5
3-4	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	H	0-0		84%	11.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Northern Illinois's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Northern Illinois's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Northern Illinois.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Illinois	MAC	26.13	26.17	35.29	36.83	-7.69	-6.89
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.84	4.20	50.00	47.49	0.00	-0.21
Ball St.	MAC	2.79	4.16	55.00	53.90	0.28	0.32
Western Michigan	MAC	2.79	4.20	57.14	57.52	0.40	0.63
Toledo	MAC	2.75	4.18	9.09	10.25	-2.25	-3.32
Central Michigan	MAC	2.75	4.20	47.37	50.40	-0.14	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	2.74	2.38	40.91	45.88	-0.50	-0.20
Akron	MAC	2.74	2.35	68.18	64.83	1.00	0.70
Kent St.	MAC	2.69	2.32	68.18	69.27	0.98	0.90
Buffalo	MAC	2.68	2.32	52.63	50.15	0.14	0.01
Ohio	MAC	2.64	2.32	47.62	49.27	-0.13	-0.03
Illinois	B10	2.47	1.90	65.22	57.64	0.75	0.29
Northwestern	B10	2.46	1.90	68.18	66.86	0.90	0.64
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.43	1.87	19.05	19.70	-1.50	-1.13
Temple	A10	2.43	1.90	78.26	76.82	1.37	1.02
Chicago St.	GWC	2.38	1.97	21.05	21.36	-1.38	-1.13
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.38	1.82	90.91	87.79	1.95	1.37
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	2.38	1.85	28.57	30.41	-1.02	-0.72
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.37	1.94	20.83	24.84	-1.38	-0.97
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.37	1.93	23.81	23.17	-1.24	-1.04
Bradley	MVC	2.37	1.81	50.00	48.44	0.00	-0.06
Minnesota	B10	2.32	1.81	61.90	63.44	0.55	0.49
North Dakota	GWC	2.32	1.82	16.67	28.91	-1.55	-0.77
Bowling Green	MAC	0.57	2.35	47.62	44.70	-0.03	-0.25
Michigan St.	B10	0.35	0.23	79.17	76.61	0.20	0.12
Purdue	B10	0.32	0.30	86.36	81.80	0.23	0.19
Illinois St.	MVC	0.31	0.27	66.67	63.46	0.10	0.07
Wright St.	Horz	0.31	0.27	62.50	65.32	0.08	0.08
Iowa St.	B12	0.31	0.18	56.52	50.47	0.04	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.31	1.99	47.62	48.42	-0.01	-0.06
Missouri St.	MVC	0.30	0.21	66.67	64.62	0.10	0.06
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.30	0.24	54.55	54.05	0.03	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.26	0.18	44.00	43.20	-0.03	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.26	0.33	56.52	58.43	0.03	0.06
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.25	0.27	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.25	0.24	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.25	0.24	65.22	64.71	0.08	0.07
Penn St.	B10	0.25	0.20	34.78	32.23	-0.07	-0.07
Iowa	B10	0.24	0.26	33.33	30.82	-0.08	-0.10
Utah Valley	GWC	0.23	0.16	36.84	39.02	-0.06	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.22	0.16	12.00	18.82	-0.17	-0.10
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.22	0.15	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.21	0.18	8.70	9.54	-0.18	-0.15
Butler	Horz	0.21	0.18	83.33	83.91	0.14	0.12
Ohio St.	B10	0.21	0.20	75.00	73.72	0.10	0.10
Valparaiso	Horz	0.20	0.24	40.91	43.37	-0.04	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.20	0.24	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.20	0.18	22.73	22.60	-0.11	-0.10
Indiana	B10	0.20	0.17	40.91	34.84	-0.04	-0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.19	0.21	68.18	67.88	0.07	0.07
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.17	0.13	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.07
Texas A&M	B12	0.16	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.03
Samford	SC	0.16	0.12	28.57	31.03	-0.07	-0.05
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.15	0.15	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.15	0.09	23.81	27.28	-0.08	-0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.15	0.09	28.57	27.72	-0.07	-0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.15	0.09	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.15	0.18	38.10	41.29	-0.04	-0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.06
Wofford	SC	0.15	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.15	0.12	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.18	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.13
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.14	0.24	5.00	8.59	-0.13	-0.20
Siena	MAAC	0.14	0.09	83.33	81.25	0.09	0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.13	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.12	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.11	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.06	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.11	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.11	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.11	0.09	22.73	23.47	-0.06	-0.05
Vermont	AE	0.11	0.09	68.00	67.20	0.04	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.09	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.12	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.12	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.09	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.17	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.10
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.12	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.08	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.12	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.14	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.08	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.06	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.06	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.06
Army	Pat	0.06	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.13	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.06
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.09	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.07
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.06	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.12	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.05
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.09	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.04
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.05
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.09	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.03
Florida International	SB	0.00	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.00	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.00	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.00	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.00	0.03	58.33	58.93	0.00	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Illinois	MAC	26.13	26.17	35.29	36.83	-7.69	-6.89
Western Michigan	MAC	2.79	4.20	57.14	57.52	0.40	0.63
Central Michigan	MAC	2.75	4.20	47.37	50.40	-0.14	0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.84	4.20	50.00	47.49	0.00	-0.21
Toledo	MAC	2.75	4.18	9.09	10.25	-2.25	-3.32
Ball St.	MAC	2.79	4.16	55.00	53.90	0.28	0.32
Miami OH	MAC	2.74	2.38	40.91	45.88	-0.50	-0.20
Akron	MAC	2.74	2.35	68.18	64.83	1.00	0.70
Bowling Green	MAC	0.57	2.35	47.62	44.70	-0.03	-0.25
Kent St.	MAC	2.69	2.32	68.18	69.27	0.98	0.90
Ohio	MAC	2.64	2.32	47.62	49.27	-0.13	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	2.68	2.32	52.63	50.15	0.14	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.31	1.99	47.62	48.42	-0.01	-0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	2.38	1.97	21.05	21.36	-1.38	-1.13
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.37	1.94	20.83	24.84	-1.38	-0.97
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.37	1.93	23.81	23.17	-1.24	-1.04
Temple	A10	2.43	1.90	78.26	76.82	1.37	1.02
Illinois	B10	2.47	1.90	65.22	57.64	0.75	0.29
Northwestern	B10	2.46	1.90	68.18	66.86	0.90	0.64
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.43	1.87	19.05	19.70	-1.50	-1.13
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	2.38	1.85	28.57	30.41	-1.02	-0.72
North Dakota	GWC	2.32	1.82	16.67	28.91	-1.55	-0.77
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.38	1.82	90.91	87.79	1.95	1.37
Bradley	MVC	2.37	1.81	50.00	48.44	0.00	-0.06
Minnesota	B10	2.32	1.81	61.90	63.44	0.55	0.49
Detroit	Horz	0.26	0.33	56.52	58.43	0.03	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.32	0.30	86.36	81.80	0.23	0.19
Illinois St.	MVC	0.31	0.27	66.67	63.46	0.10	0.07
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.25	0.27	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.31	0.27	62.50	65.32	0.08	0.08
Iowa	B10	0.24	0.26	33.33	30.82	-0.08	-0.10
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.14	0.24	5.00	8.59	-0.13	-0.20
Valparaiso	Horz	0.20	0.24	40.91	43.37	-0.04	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.25	0.24	65.22	64.71	0.08	0.07
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.30	0.24	54.55	54.05	0.03	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.25	0.24	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.20	0.24	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.35	0.23	79.17	76.61	0.20	0.12
Missouri St.	MVC	0.30	0.21	66.67	64.62	0.10	0.06
Morehead St.	OVC	0.19	0.21	68.18	67.88	0.07	0.07
Ohio St.	B10	0.21	0.20	75.00	73.72	0.10	0.10
Penn St.	B10	0.25	0.20	34.78	32.23	-0.07	-0.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.21	0.18	8.70	9.54	-0.18	-0.15
Butler	Horz	0.21	0.18	83.33	83.91	0.14	0.12
Drake	MVC	0.26	0.18	44.00	43.20	-0.03	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.31	0.18	56.52	50.47	0.04	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.15	0.18	38.10	41.29	-0.04	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.18	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.13
Evansville	MVC	0.20	0.18	22.73	22.60	-0.11	-0.10
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.17	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.10
Indiana	B10	0.20	0.17	40.91	34.84	-0.04	-0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.23	0.16	36.84	39.02	-0.06	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.22	0.16	12.00	18.82	-0.17	-0.10
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.22	0.15	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.15	0.15	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.14	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.17	0.13	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.07
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.13	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.06
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.13	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.12	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.16	0.12	28.57	31.03	-0.07	-0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.12	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.12	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.12	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.12	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.15	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.06
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.12	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.15	0.12	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.09	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.11	0.09	22.73	23.47	-0.06	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.09	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.07
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.09	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.15	0.09	28.57	27.72	-0.07	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.11	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.16	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.03
Vermont	AE	0.11	0.09	68.00	67.20	0.04	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.05
Liberty	BSth	0.15	0.09	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.09	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.15	0.09	23.81	27.28	-0.08	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.15	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.09	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.14	0.09	83.33	81.25	0.09	0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.08	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.05
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.08	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.06
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.03
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.06	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.06	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.11	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.11	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.03
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.04
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.10	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.03
Army	Pat	0.06	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.04	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.06	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.06	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.06	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.00	0.03	58.33	58.93	0.00	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.00	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.00	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.00	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.00	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.00	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.38	1.82	90.91	87.79	1.95	1.37
Temple	A10	2.43	1.90	78.26	76.82	1.37	1.02
Akron	MAC	2.74	2.35	68.18	64.83	1.00	0.70
Kent St.	MAC	2.69	2.32	68.18	69.27	0.98	0.90
Northwestern	B10	2.46	1.90	68.18	66.86	0.90	0.64
Illinois	B10	2.47	1.90	65.22	57.64	0.75	0.29
Minnesota	B10	2.32	1.81	61.90	63.44	0.55	0.49
Western Michigan	MAC	2.79	4.20	57.14	57.52	0.40	0.63
Ball St.	MAC	2.79	4.16	55.00	53.90	0.28	0.32
Purdue	B10	0.32	0.30	86.36	81.80	0.23	0.19
Michigan St.	B10	0.35	0.23	79.17	76.61	0.20	0.12
Buffalo	MAC	2.68	2.32	52.63	50.15	0.14	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.21	0.18	83.33	83.91	0.14	0.12
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.18	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.13
Illinois St.	MVC	0.31	0.27	66.67	63.46	0.10	0.07
Ohio St.	B10	0.21	0.20	75.00	73.72	0.10	0.10