The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Northern Illinois page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Northern Illinois

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		261.0
Current RPI:		261
Expected SOS:		212
Current SOS:		212
Current Record:		10-20
Expected Record:		10-20
Current Conf Record:		6-11
Expected Conf Record:		6-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-5
Current OOC Record:		4-9
Expected OOC Record:		4-9
Expected OOC RPI:		272
Expected OOC SOS:		234

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
10-20		261.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Northwestern (116.0)	B10	A	55-77	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Illinois (74.0)	B10	A	61-80	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Tennessee St. (260.0)	OVC	H	85-57	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Southeast Missouri St. (312.0)	OVC	H	64-70	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Northern Iowa (17.0)	MVC	A	45-52	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Bradley (105.0)	MVC	H	49-63	L	0%	0.0
12-15	Minnesota (62.0)	B10	A	48-89	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Illinois Chicago (291.0)	Horz	A	49-69	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Maryland Eastern Shore (308.0)	MEAC	H	87-69	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Temple (9.0)	A10	H	60-70	L	0%	0.0
1-2	North Dakota (339.0)	GWC	H	66-45	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Chicago St. (345.0)	GWC	A	99-93	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Ball St. (218.0)	MAC	A	62-48	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Western Michigan (150.0)	MAC	H	87-77	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Eastern Michigan (201.0)	MAC	H	77-69	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Toledo (324.0)	MAC	A	58-54	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Central Michigan (195.0)	MAC	A	75-81	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Ohio (95.0)	MAC	H	84-99	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Buffalo (108.0)	MAC	H	83-95	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Kent St. (47.0)	MAC	A	46-76	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Akron (89.0)	MAC	A	76-90	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Miami OH (144.0)	MAC	H	69-74	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Bowling Green (189.0)	MAC	A	69-73	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Ball St. (218.0)	MAC	H	66-71	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Western Michigan (150.0)	MAC	A	81-90	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Eastern Illinois (170.0)	OVC	A	70-73	L	0%	0.0
2-24	Central Michigan (195.0)	MAC	H	67-65	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Eastern Michigan (201.0)	MAC	A	60-66	L	0%	0.0
3-4	Toledo (324.0)	MAC	H	60-58	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Eastern Michigan (201.0)	MAC	A	59-65	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Northern Illinois's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Northern Illinois's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Northern Illinois.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Illinois	MAC	26.20	26.20	32.31	32.31	-9.27	-9.27
Eastern Michigan	MAC	5.71	5.71	48.15	48.15	-0.21	-0.21
Western Michigan	MAC	4.19	4.19	53.33	53.33	0.28	0.28
Central Michigan	MAC	4.12	4.12	48.15	48.15	-0.15	-0.15
Toledo	MAC	4.08	4.08	10.34	10.34	-3.24	-3.24
Ball St.	MAC	4.06	4.06	48.15	48.15	-0.15	-0.15
Akron	MAC	2.43	2.43	68.75	68.75	0.91	0.91
Ohio	MAC	2.38	2.38	57.58	57.58	0.36	0.36
Miami OH	MAC	2.35	2.35	41.94	41.94	-0.38	-0.38
Buffalo	MAC	2.31	2.31	57.14	57.14	0.33	0.33
Bowling Green	MAC	2.31	2.31	42.86	42.86	-0.33	-0.33
Kent St.	MAC	2.26	2.26	70.00	70.00	0.90	0.90
Chicago St.	GWC	1.92	1.92	22.22	22.22	-1.07	-1.07
Eastern Illinois	OVC	1.91	1.91	57.14	57.14	0.27	0.27
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	1.89	1.89	17.86	17.86	-1.21	-1.21
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.86	1.86	29.03	29.03	-0.78	-0.78
Temple	A10	1.83	1.83	84.85	84.85	1.28	1.28
Northwestern	B10	1.82	1.82	59.38	59.38	0.34	0.34
Illinois	B10	1.82	1.82	56.25	56.25	0.23	0.23
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	1.81	1.81	35.48	35.48	-0.52	-0.52
Illinois Chicago	Horz	1.80	1.80	21.43	21.43	-1.03	-1.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	1.78	1.78	87.10	87.10	1.32	1.32
Bradley	MVC	1.77	1.77	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	1.75	1.75	22.22	22.22	-0.97	-0.97
Minnesota	B10	1.74	1.74	60.61	60.61	0.37	0.37
Detroit	Horz	0.33	0.33	57.58	57.58	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.32	0.32	84.38	84.38	0.22	0.22
Ohio St.	B10	0.26	0.26	79.41	79.41	0.15	0.15
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.25	0.25	60.00	60.00	0.05	0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.25	0.25	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.25	0.25	68.75	68.75	0.09	0.09
Wright St.	Horz	0.25	0.25	62.50	62.50	0.06	0.06
Iowa	B10	0.23	0.23	31.25	31.25	-0.09	-0.09
Michigan St.	B10	0.23	0.23	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.22	0.22	7.41	7.41	-0.19	-0.19
Valparaiso	Horz	0.22	0.22	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.22	0.22	87.50	87.50	0.17	0.17
Indiana St.	MVC	0.22	0.22	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.22	0.22	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.22	0.22	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.22	0.22	62.50	62.50	0.05	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.20	0.20	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Morehead St.	OVC	0.19	0.19	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
Drake	MVC	0.19	0.19	42.42	42.42	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.18	0.18	74.19	74.19	0.09	0.09
Indiana	B10	0.18	0.18	32.26	32.26	-0.06	-0.06
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.17	0.17	11.54	11.54	-0.13	-0.13
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.17	0.17	32.14	32.14	-0.06	-0.06
Butler	Horz	0.16	0.16	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.12
Iowa St.	B12	0.16	0.16	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.16	0.16	27.59	27.59	-0.07	-0.07
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.15	0.15	36.36	36.36	-0.04	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.15	0.15	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.14	18.18	18.18	-0.09	-0.09
Utah Valley	GWC	0.14	0.14	30.77	30.77	-0.06	-0.06
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.14	0.14	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.14	0.14	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.14	0.14	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.14	0.14	28.57	28.57	-0.06	-0.06
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.14	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.13	0.13	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Michigan	B10	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.11	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.10	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.08	0.08	12.00	12.00	-0.06	-0.06
Towson	CAA	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Vermont	AE	0.08	0.08	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.06	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	7.14	7.14	-0.05	-0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.02	0.02	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.02	0.02	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.02	0.02	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Illinois	MAC	26.20	26.20	32.31	32.31	-9.27	-9.27
Eastern Michigan	MAC	5.71	5.71	48.15	48.15	-0.21	-0.21
Western Michigan	MAC	4.19	4.19	53.33	53.33	0.28	0.28
Central Michigan	MAC	4.12	4.12	48.15	48.15	-0.15	-0.15
Toledo	MAC	4.08	4.08	10.34	10.34	-3.24	-3.24
Ball St.	MAC	4.06	4.06	48.15	48.15	-0.15	-0.15
Akron	MAC	2.43	2.43	68.75	68.75	0.91	0.91
Ohio	MAC	2.38	2.38	57.58	57.58	0.36	0.36
Miami OH	MAC	2.35	2.35	41.94	41.94	-0.38	-0.38
Buffalo	MAC	2.31	2.31	57.14	57.14	0.33	0.33
Bowling Green	MAC	2.31	2.31	42.86	42.86	-0.33	-0.33
Kent St.	MAC	2.26	2.26	70.00	70.00	0.90	0.90
Chicago St.	GWC	1.92	1.92	22.22	22.22	-1.07	-1.07
Eastern Illinois	OVC	1.91	1.91	57.14	57.14	0.27	0.27
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	1.89	1.89	17.86	17.86	-1.21	-1.21
Tennessee St.	OVC	1.86	1.86	29.03	29.03	-0.78	-0.78
Temple	A10	1.83	1.83	84.85	84.85	1.28	1.28
Northwestern	B10	1.82	1.82	59.38	59.38	0.34	0.34
Illinois	B10	1.82	1.82	56.25	56.25	0.23	0.23
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	1.81	1.81	35.48	35.48	-0.52	-0.52
Illinois Chicago	Horz	1.80	1.80	21.43	21.43	-1.03	-1.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	1.78	1.78	87.10	87.10	1.32	1.32
Bradley	MVC	1.77	1.77	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	1.75	1.75	22.22	22.22	-0.97	-0.97
Minnesota	B10	1.74	1.74	60.61	60.61	0.37	0.37
Detroit	Horz	0.33	0.33	57.58	57.58	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.32	0.32	84.38	84.38	0.22	0.22
Ohio St.	B10	0.26	0.26	79.41	79.41	0.15	0.15
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.25	0.25	60.00	60.00	0.05	0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.25	0.25	43.33	43.33	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.25	0.25	68.75	68.75	0.09	0.09
Wright St.	Horz	0.25	0.25	62.50	62.50	0.06	0.06
Iowa	B10	0.23	0.23	31.25	31.25	-0.09	-0.09
Michigan St.	B10	0.23	0.23	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.22	0.22	7.41	7.41	-0.19	-0.19
Valparaiso	Horz	0.22	0.22	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.22	0.22	87.50	87.50	0.17	0.17
Indiana St.	MVC	0.22	0.22	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.22	0.22	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.22	0.22	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.22	0.22	62.50	62.50	0.05	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.20	0.20	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Morehead St.	OVC	0.19	0.19	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
Drake	MVC	0.19	0.19	42.42	42.42	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.18	0.18	74.19	74.19	0.09	0.09
Indiana	B10	0.18	0.18	32.26	32.26	-0.06	-0.06
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.17	0.17	11.54	11.54	-0.13	-0.13
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.17	0.17	32.14	32.14	-0.06	-0.06
Butler	Horz	0.16	0.16	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.12
Iowa St.	B12	0.16	0.16	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.16	0.16	27.59	27.59	-0.07	-0.07
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.15	0.15	36.36	36.36	-0.04	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.15	0.15	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.14	18.18	18.18	-0.09	-0.09
Utah Valley	GWC	0.14	0.14	30.77	30.77	-0.06	-0.06
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.14	0.14	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.14	0.14	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.14	0.14	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.14	0.14	28.57	28.57	-0.06	-0.06
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.14	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.13	0.13	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Michigan	B10	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	66.67	66.67	0.04	0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.11	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.10	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.08	0.08	12.00	12.00	-0.06	-0.06
Towson	CAA	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Vermont	AE	0.08	0.08	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.06	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	7.14	7.14	-0.05	-0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.03	0.03	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.02	0.02	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.02	0.02	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.02	0.02	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Iowa	MVC	1.78	1.78	87.10	87.10	1.32	1.32
Temple	A10	1.83	1.83	84.85	84.85	1.28	1.28
Akron	MAC	2.43	2.43	68.75	68.75	0.91	0.91
Kent St.	MAC	2.26	2.26	70.00	70.00	0.90	0.90
Minnesota	B10	1.74	1.74	60.61	60.61	0.37	0.37
Ohio	MAC	2.38	2.38	57.58	57.58	0.36	0.36
Northwestern	B10	1.82	1.82	59.38	59.38	0.34	0.34
Buffalo	MAC	2.31	2.31	57.14	57.14	0.33	0.33
Western Michigan	MAC	4.19	4.19	53.33	53.33	0.28	0.28
Eastern Illinois	OVC	1.91	1.91	57.14	57.14	0.27	0.27
Illinois	B10	1.82	1.82	56.25	56.25	0.23	0.23
Purdue	B10	0.32	0.32	84.38	84.38	0.22	0.22
Murray St.	OVC	0.22	0.22	87.50	87.50	0.17	0.17
Ohio St.	B10	0.26	0.26	79.41	79.41	0.15	0.15
Butler	Horz	0.16	0.16	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.12
Michigan St.	B10	0.23	0.23	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
Illinois St.	MVC	0.25	0.25	68.75	68.75	0.09	0.09
Wisconsin	B10	0.18	0.18	74.19	74.19	0.09	0.09
Morehead St.	OVC	0.19	0.19	67.74	67.74	0.07	0.07
Wright St.	Horz	0.25	0.25	62.50	62.50	0.06	0.06
Wichita St.	MVC	0.13	0.13	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Missouri St.	MVC	0.22	0.22	62.50	62.50	0.05	0.05
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