The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Miami OH page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Miami OH

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		144.0
Current RPI:		144
Expected SOS:		78
Current SOS:		78
Current Record:		14-18
Expected Record:		14-18
Current Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-2
Current OOC Record:		4-10
Expected OOC Record:		4-10
Expected OOC RPI:		206
Expected OOC SOS:		33

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
14-18		144.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Miami OH.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Towson (264.0)	CAA	A	71-82	L	0%	0.0
11-16	Kentucky (2.0)	SEC	A	70-72	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Louisiana Tech (78.0)	WAC	N	62-74	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Nicholls St. (277.0)	Slnd	N	69-58	W	100%	0.0
11-22	New Mexico (10.0)	MWC	A	60-85	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Evansville (250.0)	MVC	H	82-58	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Dayton (53.0)	A10	H	58-65	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Temple (9.0)	A10	H	42-64	L	0%	0.0
12-10	Cincinnati (65.0)	BE	A	59-63	L	0%	0.0
12-13	Wright St. (80.0)	Horz	H	56-55	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Wisconsin Milwaukee (131.0)	Horz	A	61-68	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Xavier (19.0)	A10	A	67-70	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Colorado (121.0)	B12	A	65-67	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Buffalo (108.0)	MAC	A	55-73	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Kent St. (47.0)	MAC	H	55-53	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Ohio (95.0)	MAC	H	79-67	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Akron (89.0)	MAC	A	49-69	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Bowling Green (189.0)	MAC	H	64-52	W	100%	0.0
1-26	Ball St. (218.0)	MAC	A	59-65	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Central Michigan (195.0)	MAC	H	64-51	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Eastern Michigan (201.0)	MAC	H	61-51	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Western Michigan (150.0)	MAC	A	56-54	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Northern Illinois (261.0)	MAC	A	74-69	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Toledo (324.0)	MAC	H	55-47	W	100%	0.0
2-14	Bowling Green (189.0)	MAC	A	64-67	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Akron (89.0)	MAC	H	56-61	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Southeast Missouri St. (312.0)	OVC	H	69-53	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Ohio (95.0)	MAC	A	68-70	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Kent St. (47.0)	MAC	A	58-66	L	0%	0.0
3-4	Buffalo (108.0)	MAC	H	73-62	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Buffalo (108.0)	MAC	N	73-59	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Ohio (95.0)	MAC	N	42-54	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Miami OH's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Miami OH's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Miami OH.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Miami OH	MAC	26.26	26.26	43.55	43.55	-3.39	-3.39
Ohio	MAC	5.46	5.46	58.06	58.06	0.88	0.88
Buffalo	MAC	5.33	5.33	61.54	61.54	1.23	1.23
Akron	MAC	3.91	3.91	67.74	67.74	1.39	1.39
Bowling Green	MAC	3.90	3.90	44.44	44.44	-0.43	-0.43
Kent St.	MAC	3.88	3.88	72.41	72.41	1.74	1.74
Western Michigan	MAC	2.28	2.28	54.84	54.84	0.22	0.22
Toledo	MAC	2.25	2.25	10.00	10.00	-1.80	-1.80
Ball St.	MAC	2.24	2.24	46.43	46.43	-0.16	-0.16
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.22	2.22	51.72	51.72	0.08	0.08
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.20	2.20	34.48	34.48	-0.68	-0.68
Central Michigan	MAC	2.17	2.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	1.79	1.79	74.19	74.19	0.86	0.86
Temple	A10	1.74	1.74	84.85	84.85	1.21	1.21
Dayton	A10	1.73	1.73	61.29	61.29	0.39	0.39
Wright St.	Horz	1.73	1.73	64.52	64.52	0.50	0.50
Towson	CAA	1.72	1.72	30.00	30.00	-0.69	-0.69
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	1.67	1.67	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
New Mexico	MWC	1.64	1.64	87.50	87.50	1.23	1.23
Louisiana Tech	WAC	1.62	1.62	68.75	68.75	0.61	0.61
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	1.61	1.61	21.43	21.43	-0.92	-0.92
Cincinnati	BE	1.61	1.61	53.12	53.12	0.10	0.10
Nicholls St.	Slnd	1.61	1.61	32.00	32.00	-0.58	-0.58
Colorado	B12	1.56	1.56	42.86	42.86	-0.22	-0.22
Evansville	MVC	1.56	1.56	28.57	28.57	-0.67	-0.67
Kentucky	SEC	1.56	1.56	93.94	93.94	1.37	1.37
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.27	0.27	24.14	24.14	-0.14	-0.14
Detroit	Horz	0.25	0.25	57.58	57.58	0.04	0.04
Valparaiso	Horz	0.25	0.25	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.23	0.23	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Butler	Horz	0.22	0.22	87.50	87.50	0.17	0.17
Austin Peay	OVC	0.22	0.22	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.18	0.18	63.33	63.33	0.05	0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.18	0.18	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.17	0.17	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.10
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.17	0.17	71.88	71.88	0.07	0.07
Canisius	MAAC	0.16	0.16	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.15	0.15	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.15	0.15	7.14	7.14	-0.13	-0.13
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.15	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.14	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.14	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.08
Purdue	B10	0.13	0.13	84.38	84.38	0.09	0.09
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Indiana St.	MVC	0.13	0.13	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Creighton	MVC	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.12	0.12	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.12	0.12	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.12	0.12	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.12	0.12	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.12	0.12	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.11	0.11	7.41	7.41	-0.09	-0.09
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.11	0.11	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.11	0.11	11.54	11.54	-0.08	-0.08
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.10	78.12	78.12	0.06	0.06
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.10	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Lamar	Slnd	0.10	0.10	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.10	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.09	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.09	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	25.93	25.93	-0.04	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	28.00	28.00	-0.04	-0.04
Army	Pat	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Texas Tech	B12	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.08	0.08	28.57	28.57	-0.03	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.07	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	78.79	78.79	0.04	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.07	0.07	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Elon	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.03	0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.02	0.02	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.02	0.02	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.02	0.02	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.02	0.02	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Washington	P10	0.02	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.02	0.02	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.02	0.02	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.02	0.02	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.02	0.02	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.02	0.02	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.02	0.02	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.02	0.02	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.02	0.02	81.82	81.82	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Miami OH	MAC	26.26	26.26	43.55	43.55	-3.39	-3.39
Ohio	MAC	5.46	5.46	58.06	58.06	0.88	0.88
Buffalo	MAC	5.33	5.33	61.54	61.54	1.23	1.23
Akron	MAC	3.91	3.91	67.74	67.74	1.39	1.39
Bowling Green	MAC	3.90	3.90	44.44	44.44	-0.43	-0.43
Kent St.	MAC	3.88	3.88	72.41	72.41	1.74	1.74
Western Michigan	MAC	2.28	2.28	54.84	54.84	0.22	0.22
Toledo	MAC	2.25	2.25	10.00	10.00	-1.80	-1.80
Ball St.	MAC	2.24	2.24	46.43	46.43	-0.16	-0.16
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.22	2.22	51.72	51.72	0.08	0.08
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.20	2.20	34.48	34.48	-0.68	-0.68
Central Michigan	MAC	2.17	2.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	1.79	1.79	74.19	74.19	0.86	0.86
Temple	A10	1.74	1.74	84.85	84.85	1.21	1.21
Dayton	A10	1.73	1.73	61.29	61.29	0.39	0.39
Wright St.	Horz	1.73	1.73	64.52	64.52	0.50	0.50
Towson	CAA	1.72	1.72	30.00	30.00	-0.69	-0.69
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	1.67	1.67	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
New Mexico	MWC	1.64	1.64	87.50	87.50	1.23	1.23
Louisiana Tech	WAC	1.62	1.62	68.75	68.75	0.61	0.61
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	1.61	1.61	21.43	21.43	-0.92	-0.92
Cincinnati	BE	1.61	1.61	53.12	53.12	0.10	0.10
Nicholls St.	Slnd	1.61	1.61	32.00	32.00	-0.58	-0.58
Colorado	B12	1.56	1.56	42.86	42.86	-0.22	-0.22
Evansville	MVC	1.56	1.56	28.57	28.57	-0.67	-0.67
Kentucky	SEC	1.56	1.56	93.94	93.94	1.37	1.37
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.27	0.27	24.14	24.14	-0.14	-0.14
Detroit	Horz	0.25	0.25	57.58	57.58	0.04	0.04
Valparaiso	Horz	0.25	0.25	41.38	41.38	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.23	0.23	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Butler	Horz	0.22	0.22	87.50	87.50	0.17	0.17
Austin Peay	OVC	0.22	0.22	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.18	0.18	63.33	63.33	0.05	0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.18	0.18	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.17	0.17	21.43	21.43	-0.10	-0.10
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.17	0.17	71.88	71.88	0.07	0.07
Canisius	MAAC	0.16	0.16	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.15	0.15	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.15	0.15	7.14	7.14	-0.13	-0.13
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.15	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.14	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.14	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.08
Purdue	B10	0.13	0.13	84.38	84.38	0.09	0.09
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.07	0.07
Indiana St.	MVC	0.13	0.13	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.13	0.13	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Creighton	MVC	0.13	0.13	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.12	0.12	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.12	0.12	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.12	0.12	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.12	0.12	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.12	0.12	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.11	0.11	7.41	7.41	-0.09	-0.09
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.11	0.11	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.11	0.11	11.54	11.54	-0.08	-0.08
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.10	78.12	78.12	0.06	0.06
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.10	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Lamar	Slnd	0.10	0.10	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.10	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.09	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.09	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	25.93	25.93	-0.04	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	28.00	28.00	-0.04	-0.04
Army	Pat	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Chicago St.	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Texas Tech	B12	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.08	0.08	28.57	28.57	-0.03	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.07	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	78.79	78.79	0.04	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.07	0.07	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Elon	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.07	0.07	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.03	0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01