The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Miami OH page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Miami OH

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		135.4
Current RPI:		128
Expected SOS:		104
Current SOS:		70
Current Record:		10-13
Expected Record:		14-16
Current Conf Record:		7-3
Expected Conf Record:		10-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-2
Current OOC Record:		3-10
Expected OOC Record:		4-10
Expected OOC RPI:		226
Expected OOC SOS:		49

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-13	89.8	1.30%
16-14	103.9	11.34%
15-15	121.1	30.54%
14-16	141.3	34.50%
13-17	161.1	18.01%
12-18	178.5	4.04%
11-19	195.0	0.25%
10-20	202.0	0.01%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Miami OH.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Towson (288.2)	CAA	A	71-82	L	0%	0.0
11-16	Kentucky (5.9)	SEC	A	70-72	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Louisiana Tech (65.6)	WAC	N	62-74	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Nicholls St. (293.0)	Slnd	N	69-58	W	100%	0.0
11-22	New Mexico (14.1)	MWC	A	60-85	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Evansville (276.2)	MVC	H	82-58	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Dayton (30.8)	A10	H	58-65	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Temple (23.6)	A10	H	42-64	L	0%	0.0
12-10	Cincinnati (61.6)	BE	A	59-63	L	0%	0.0
12-13	Wright St. (81.6)	Horz	H	56-55	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Wisconsin Milwaukee (161.2)	Horz	A	61-68	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Xavier (26.5)	A10	A	67-70	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Colorado (134.3)	B12	A	65-67	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Buffalo (134.0)	MAC	A	55-73	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Kent St. (58.3)	MAC	H	55-53	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Ohio (147.2)	MAC	H	79-67	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Akron (114.2)	MAC	A	49-69	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Bowling Green (196.6)	MAC	H	64-52	W	100%	0.0
1-26	Ball St. (208.7)	MAC	A	59-65	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Central Michigan (187.2)	MAC	H	64-51	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Eastern Michigan (211.9)	MAC	H	61-51	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Western Michigan (121.8)	MAC	A	56-54	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Northern Illinois (248.8)	MAC	A	74-69	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Toledo (323.2)	MAC	H	0-0		96%	18.8
2-14	Bowling Green (196.6)	MAC	A	0-0		55%	1.4
2-17	Akron (114.2)	MAC	H	0-0		56%	1.7
2-20	Southeast Missouri St. (299.1)	OVC	H	0-0		95%	18.4
2-24	Ohio (147.2)	MAC	A	0-0		33%	-4.7
2-27	Kent St. (58.3)	MAC	A	0-0		21%	-8.9
3-4	Buffalo (134.0)	MAC	H	0-0		74%	7.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Miami OH's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Miami OH's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Miami OH.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Miami OH	MAC	26.14	26.15	44.94	48.75	-2.64	-0.65
Bowling Green	MAC	2.77	4.08	50.00	47.52	0.00	-0.20
Ball St.	MAC	2.68	2.30	50.00	49.84	0.00	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	2.63	4.00	72.73	72.53	1.19	1.80
Western Michigan	MAC	2.63	2.27	57.14	58.61	0.38	0.39
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.62	2.30	38.10	38.75	-0.62	-0.52
Buffalo	MAC	2.62	3.99	52.63	51.11	0.14	0.09
Akron	MAC	2.58	3.97	68.18	65.58	0.94	1.24
Central Michigan	MAC	2.57	2.27	52.63	54.20	0.14	0.19
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.57	2.27	50.00	48.63	0.00	-0.06
Ohio	MAC	2.53	4.00	52.38	52.22	0.12	0.18
Xavier	A10	2.46	1.89	68.18	70.46	0.90	0.77
Temple	A10	2.42	1.87	78.26	76.85	1.37	1.00
Dayton	A10	2.41	1.83	71.43	70.96	1.03	0.77
Towson	CAA	2.33	1.82	22.73	23.51	-1.27	-0.96
New Mexico	MWC	2.33	1.75	86.96	82.97	1.72	1.16
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.28	1.73	78.26	72.50	1.29	0.78
Wright St.	Horz	2.28	1.84	65.22	67.63	0.69	0.65
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	2.27	1.78	47.62	49.24	-0.11	-0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	2.26	1.72	23.53	27.61	-1.20	-0.77
Cincinnati	BE	2.22	1.72	59.09	53.94	0.40	0.14
Colorado	B12	2.17	1.67	40.00	38.37	-0.43	-0.39
Evansville	MVC	2.17	1.67	23.81	23.40	-1.14	-0.89
Kentucky	SEC	2.17	1.67	95.45	88.31	1.98	1.28
Toledo	MAC	0.60	2.30	8.70	10.27	-0.50	-1.83
Butler	Horz	0.34	0.20	84.00	84.05	0.23	0.14
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.29	0.28	21.74	22.22	-0.16	-0.16
Valparaiso	Horz	0.29	0.29	43.48	43.62	-0.04	-0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.25	0.26	58.33	58.25	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.25	0.23	60.87	57.67	0.05	0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.24	0.14	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.20	0.17	66.67	63.46	0.07	0.05
Duquesne	A10	0.20	0.14	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.20	0.15	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.20	0.12	30.43	32.84	-0.08	-0.04
Fordham	A10	0.19	0.17	9.52	8.90	-0.16	-0.14
Austin Peay	OVC	0.19	0.23	52.17	55.03	0.01	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.19	0.14	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.19	0.17	66.67	68.15	0.06	0.06
Rhode Island	A10	0.19	0.16	86.36	81.53	0.14	0.10
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.19	0.20	28.57	27.82	-0.08	-0.09
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.18	0.11	63.64	58.35	0.05	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.17	0.09	23.53	26.11	-0.09	-0.04
Purdue	B10	0.16	0.12	86.36	81.79	0.12	0.08
Canisius	MAAC	0.16	0.15	44.00	45.16	-0.02	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.16	0.09	19.05	20.74	-0.10	-0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.15	0.09	39.13	35.39	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.15	0.12	8.70	9.55	-0.12	-0.09
Missouri St.	MVC	0.15	0.09	66.67	64.66	0.05	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.15	0.14	65.22	62.09	0.05	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.12	81.82	79.55	0.09	0.07
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.09	52.17	50.20	0.01	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.15	0.09	41.67	38.60	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.14	0.11	72.73	66.84	0.07	0.04
George Washington	A10	0.14	0.11	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.14	75.00	70.94	0.07	0.06
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.14	0.17	45.45	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.14	29.17	29.51	-0.06	-0.06
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.14	0.14	39.13	36.58	-0.03	-0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.14	0.12	70.59	73.00	0.06	0.05
Drexel	CAA	0.14	0.11	56.00	55.95	0.02	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.12	0.07	68.42	67.05	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.09	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.09	26.32	31.50	-0.05	-0.03
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.09	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.15	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	1.73	27.27	26.58	-0.05	-0.81
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.12	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	70.95	0.06	0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.09	36.36	47.14	-0.03	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.06	76.19	72.74	0.05	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.09	37.50	38.43	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.04
Samford	SC	0.10	0.09	28.57	31.10	-0.04	-0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.06	45.00	54.22	-0.01	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.09	91.30	88.20	0.08	0.07
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.06	54.17	56.01	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.08	59.09	52.86	0.02	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.09	95.83	93.08	0.09	0.07
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.12	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.06	62.50	57.77	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.08	65.22	66.14	0.03	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.09	72.00	73.57	0.04	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.11	64.00	63.77	0.03	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.11	77.27	77.14	0.05	0.06
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.08	91.30	85.32	0.08	0.06
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.08	60.87	56.52	0.02	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.06	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	62.02	0.03	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.14	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.04	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.09	0.08	82.61	78.53	0.06	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.08	76.19	73.21	0.05	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.11	78.26	71.74	0.05	0.05
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.11	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.05	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.05	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.11	33.33	30.71	-0.03	-0.04
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.05	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.09	0.08	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.09	0.05	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.09	0.05	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.08	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.09	0.05	12.00	18.83	-0.07	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.07	21.05	24.99	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.09	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.06	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.07	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.03	63.64	58.77	0.02	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	0.00	4.36	-0.05	-0.03
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	32.00	31.25	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.97	0.02	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.09	68.00	67.16	0.02	0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	15.79	22.91	-0.04	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.06	24.00	23.72	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.81	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.59	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.60	-0.05	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.71	0.03	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.27	-0.00	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.20	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	31.58	39.01	-0.02	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.60	0.00	0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.07	-0.02	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	64.00	62.73	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.14	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.11	65.22	64.72	0.02	0.03
Elon	SC	0.05	0.06	22.73	26.15	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.02	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.10	0.02	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.04	-0.02	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.09	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.06	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	30.79	-0.03	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.70	-0.03	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.64	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.12	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.11	40.00	42.60	-0.01	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.12	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.10
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.12	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.06
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.94	0.03	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.64	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.08	73.91	67.69	0.02	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	34.78	43.27	-0.01	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	24.00	26.47	-0.02	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.91	0.02	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.33	10.42	-0.04	-0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.54	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	20.83	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.06	29.17	31.02	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.08	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	53.85	51.13	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.06	30.43	30.24	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.04	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.16	0.02	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.78	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	35.00	30.57	-0.01	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.94	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.42	0.03	0.04
California	P10	0.05	0.03	65.22	68.43	0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	47.83	48.99	-0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	77.27	73.45	0.02	0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.08	86.96	85.51	0.03	0.06
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.03
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.21	-0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.93	-0.03	-0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.63	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.08	75.00	71.22	0.02	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	84.00	81.56	0.03	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.46	-0.02	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	45.45	44.33	-0.00	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	73.91	76.68	0.02	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.88	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.00	0.05	56.52	54.14	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.09	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.00	0.03	85.71	85.58	0.00	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.00	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.00	0.03	42.86	45.29	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.00	0.03	33.33	35.30	-0.00	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.00	0.03	69.57	70.01	0.00	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.00	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.00	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.00	0.06	58.33	58.90	0.00	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.00	0.05	81.82	75.63	0.00	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.06	43.54	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.03	82.61	79.46	0.00	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.42	0.00	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.00	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.69	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Miami OH	MAC	26.14	26.15	44.94	48.75	-2.64	-0.65
Bowling Green	MAC	2.77	4.08	50.00	47.52	0.00	-0.20
Kent St.	MAC	2.63	4.00	72.73	72.53	1.19	1.80
Ohio	MAC	2.53	4.00	52.38	52.22	0.12	0.18
Buffalo	MAC	2.62	3.99	52.63	51.11	0.14	0.09
Akron	MAC	2.58	3.97	68.18	65.58	0.94	1.24
Toledo	MAC	0.60	2.30	8.70	10.27	-0.50	-1.83
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.62	2.30	38.10	38.75	-0.62	-0.52
Ball St.	MAC	2.68	2.30	50.00	49.84	0.00	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	2.63	2.27	57.14	58.61	0.38	0.39
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.57	2.27	50.00	48.63	0.00	-0.06
Central Michigan	MAC	2.57	2.27	52.63	54.20	0.14	0.19
Xavier	A10	2.46	1.89	68.18	70.46	0.90	0.77
Temple	A10	2.42	1.87	78.26	76.85	1.37	1.00
Wright St.	Horz	2.28	1.84	65.22	67.63	0.69	0.65
Dayton	A10	2.41	1.83	71.43	70.96	1.03	0.77
Towson	CAA	2.33	1.82	22.73	23.51	-1.27	-0.96
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	2.27	1.78	47.62	49.24	-0.11	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	2.33	1.75	86.96	82.97	1.72	1.16
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.28	1.73	78.26	72.50	1.29	0.78
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	1.73	27.27	26.58	-0.05	-0.81
Cincinnati	BE	2.22	1.72	59.09	53.94	0.40	0.14
Nicholls St.	Slnd	2.26	1.72	23.53	27.61	-1.20	-0.77
Colorado	B12	2.17	1.67	40.00	38.37	-0.43	-0.39
Evansville	MVC	2.17	1.67	23.81	23.40	-1.14	-0.89
Kentucky	SEC	2.17	1.67	95.45	88.31	1.98	1.28
Valparaiso	Horz	0.29	0.29	43.48	43.62	-0.04	-0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.29	0.28	21.74	22.22	-0.16	-0.16
Detroit	Horz	0.25	0.26	58.33	58.25	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.25	0.23	60.87	57.67	0.05	0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.19	0.23	52.17	55.03	0.01	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.34	0.20	84.00	84.05	0.23	0.14
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.20	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.19	0.20	28.57	27.82	-0.08	-0.09
Illinois St.	MVC	0.20	0.17	66.67	63.46	0.07	0.05
Fordham	A10	0.19	0.17	9.52	8.90	-0.16	-0.14
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.14	0.17	45.45	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.19	0.17	66.67	68.15	0.06	0.06
Rhode Island	A10	0.19	0.16	86.36	81.53	0.14	0.10
Canisius	MAAC	0.16	0.15	44.00	45.16	-0.02	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.15	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.20	0.15	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.20	0.14	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.14	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.24	0.14	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.19	0.14	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.15	0.14	65.22	62.09	0.05	0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.14	29.17	29.51	-0.06	-0.06
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.14	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.14	75.00	70.94	0.07	0.06
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.14	0.14	39.13	36.58	-0.03	-0.04
Purdue	B10	0.16	0.12	86.36	81.79	0.12	0.08
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.15	0.12	8.70	9.55	-0.12	-0.09
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.12	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.12	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.10
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.12	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.14	0.12	70.59	73.00	0.06	0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.20	0.12	30.43	32.84	-0.08	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.12	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.06
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.12	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.15	0.12	81.82	79.55	0.09	0.07
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.11	65.22	64.72	0.02	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.11	77.27	77.14	0.05	0.06
Texas A&M	B12	0.14	0.11	72.73	66.84	0.07	0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.14	0.11	56.00	55.95	0.02	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.14	0.11	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.11	40.00	42.60	-0.01	-0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.11	64.00	63.77	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.09	0.11	78.26	71.74	0.05	0.05
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.11	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.09	0.11	33.33	30.71	-0.03	-0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.18	0.11	63.64	58.35	0.05	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.09	26.32	31.50	-0.05	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.17	0.09	23.53	26.11	-0.09	-0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.09	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.09	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.09	68.00	67.16	0.02	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.15	0.09	66.67	64.66	0.05	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.09	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.09	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.09	52.17	50.20	0.01	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.16	0.09	19.05	20.74	-0.10	-0.05
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.09	91.30	88.20	0.08	0.07
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.15	0.09	39.13	35.39	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.09	37.50	38.43	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.15	0.09	41.67	38.60	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.09	95.83	93.08	0.09	0.07
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.09	36.36	47.14	-0.03	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.10	0.09	28.57	31.10	-0.04	-0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	70.95	0.06	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.09	72.00	73.57	0.04	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.08	86.96	85.51	0.03	0.06
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.08	65.22	66.14	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.08	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.08	59.09	52.86	0.02	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.09	0.08	82.61	78.53	0.06	0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.08	60.87	56.52	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.08	75.00	71.22	0.02	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.08	91.30	85.32	0.08	0.06
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.08	73.91	67.69	0.02	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.08	76.19	73.21	0.05	0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.09	0.08	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.09	0.08	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.07	21.05	24.99	-0.03	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.07	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.12	0.07	68.42	67.05	0.04	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.06	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.00	0.06	58.33	58.90	0.00	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.06	24.00	23.72	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.81	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.59	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.29	0.00	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.06	54.17	56.01	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.06	76.19	72.74	0.05	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.06	45.00	54.22	-0.01	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.09	0.06	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.06	29.17	31.02	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.06	62.50	57.77	0.02	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.33	10.42	-0.04	-0.04
Elon	SC	0.05	0.06	22.73	26.15	-0.03	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	24.00	26.47	-0.02	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.06	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	20.83	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	30.79	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.04	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.06	30.43	30.24	-0.02	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.42	0.00	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.00	0.05	56.52	54.14	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.05	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	77.27	73.45	0.02	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.05	65.22	62.02	0.03	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	69.57	68.49	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.09	0.05	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.05	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	35.00	30.57	-0.01	-0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.94	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.42	0.03	0.04
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	47.83	48.99	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.09	0.05	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.09	0.05	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.00	0.05	81.82	75.63	0.00	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.09	0.05	12.00	18.83	-0.07	-0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	73.91	76.68	0.02	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	45.45	44.33	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.06	43.54	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.03	63.64	58.77	0.02	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	31.58	39.01	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	0.00	4.36	-0.05	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	15.79	22.91	-0.04	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	32.00	31.25	-0.02	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.02	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.60	-0.05	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.71	0.03	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.27	-0.00	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.97	0.02	0.01