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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Kansas St.

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:57.0
Current RPI:57
Expected SOS:39
Current SOS:39
Current Record:20-13
Expected Record:20-13
Current Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Record:9-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:3-7
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-0
Current OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC RPI:52
Expected OOC SOS:228



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
20-1357.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Kansas St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Western Illinois (325.0)SumH82-55W100%0.0
11-15Nebraska Omaha (132.0)SumH81-68W100%0.0
11-20Hampton (283.0)MEACH89-67W100%0.0
11-22Robert Morris (237.0)NECH61-40W100%0.0
11-25Boston College (219.0)ACCN54-72W100%0.0
11-26Maryland (36.0)B10N69-68L0%0.0
11-30Green Bay (157.0)HorzH80-61W100%0.0
12-3Saint Louis (238.0)A10A53-84W100%0.0
12-6Prairie View A&M (307.0)SWACH74-55W100%0.0
12-10Washington St. (159.0)P12N70-56W100%0.0
12-17Colorado St. (66.0)MWCN70-89W100%0.0
12-21Gardner Webb (186.0)BSthH67-54W100%0.0
12-30Texas (156.0)B12H65-62W100%0.0
1-3Kansas (4.0)B12A90-88L0%0.0
1-7Oklahoma (168.0)B12H75-64W100%0.0
1-10Texas Tech (124.0)B12A66-65L0%0.0
1-14Baylor (11.0)B12H68-77L0%0.0
1-18Oklahoma St. (39.0)B12A88-96W100%0.0
1-21West Virginia (24.0)B12H79-75W100%0.0
1-24Iowa St. (21.0)B12A70-65L0%0.0
1-28Tennessee (82.0)SECA70-58L0%0.0
2-1TCU (67.0)B12H80-86L0%0.0
2-4Baylor (11.0)B12A54-56W100%0.0
2-6Kansas (4.0)B12H71-74L0%0.0
2-11West Virginia (24.0)B12A85-66L0%0.0
2-15Iowa St. (21.0)B12H79-87L0%0.0
2-18Texas (156.0)B12A61-64W100%0.0
2-22Oklahoma St. (39.0)B12H68-80L0%0.0
2-25Oklahoma (168.0)B12A81-51L0%0.0
3-1TCU (67.0)B12A74-75W100%0.0
3-4Texas Tech (124.0)B12H61-48W100%0.0
3-9Baylor (11.0)B12N64-70W100%0.0
3-10West Virginia (24.0)B12N51-50L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Kansas St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Kansas St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Kansas St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Kansas St.B1226.4026.4058.2858.284.374.37
West VirginiaB125.445.4477.4277.422.992.99
BaylorB125.345.3482.1482.143.433.43
Iowa St.B124.074.0767.7467.741.441.44
TCUB124.024.0254.8454.840.390.39
TexasB123.993.9935.4835.48-1.16-1.16
Oklahoma St.B123.943.9462.0762.070.950.95
KansasB123.923.9286.6786.672.882.88
Texas TechB123.923.9256.6756.670.520.52
OklahomaB123.923.9234.4834.48-1.22-1.22
Nebraska OmahaSum1.621.6256.6756.670.220.22
MarylandB101.561.5673.3373.330.730.73
Western IllinoisSum1.561.5624.0024.00-0.81-0.81
HamptonMEAC1.561.5644.4444.44-0.17-0.17
Gardner WebbBSth1.541.5455.1755.170.160.16
Robert MorrisNEC1.541.5443.7543.75-0.19-0.19
Boston CollegeACC1.521.5229.0329.03-0.64-0.64
Colorado St.MWC1.521.5267.7467.740.540.54
Green BayHorz1.521.5257.1457.140.220.22
Prairie View A&MSWAC1.521.5236.6736.67-0.40-0.40
Saint LouisA101.521.5237.5037.50-0.38-0.38
TennesseeSEC1.521.5246.6746.67-0.10-0.10
Washington St.P121.521.5241.3841.38-0.26-0.26
Oral RobertsSum0.230.2321.4321.43-0.13-0.13
AuburnSEC0.190.1956.2556.250.020.02
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.180.1855.8855.880.020.02
RichmondA100.170.1762.5062.500.040.04
Texas SouthernSWAC0.170.1767.6567.650.060.06
GeorgiaSEC0.170.1756.2556.250.020.02
UMKCWAC0.160.1646.6746.67-0.01-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.160.1621.8821.88-0.09-0.09
WisconsinB100.150.1573.5373.530.070.07
ColoradoP120.150.1556.2556.250.020.02
Wichita St.MVC0.140.1487.8887.880.110.11
WashingtonP120.140.1429.0329.03-0.06-0.06
UNLVMWC0.140.1434.3834.38-0.04-0.04
South DakotaSum0.140.1464.5264.520.040.04
Fort WayneSum0.130.1357.1457.140.020.02
IUPUISum0.130.1340.0040.00-0.03-0.03
South Dakota St.Sum0.130.1350.0050.000.000.00
WinthropBSth0.130.1380.0080.000.080.08
OregonP120.120.1284.8584.850.090.09
Jackson St.SWAC0.120.1241.3841.38-0.02-0.02
MississippiSEC0.120.1260.6160.610.030.03
SouthernSWAC0.120.1243.3343.33-0.02-0.02
ArkansasSEC0.120.1273.5373.530.060.06
IowaB100.120.1256.2556.250.010.01
Northern KentuckyHorz0.120.1268.7568.750.040.04
RadfordBSth0.120.1240.0040.00-0.02-0.02
Long Beach St.BW0.120.1240.6240.62-0.02-0.02
IllinoisB100.120.1254.8454.840.010.01
VirginiaACC0.110.1168.7568.750.040.04
DenverSum0.110.1153.3353.330.010.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.110.1160.7160.710.020.02
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.100.1037.5037.50-0.03-0.03
Savannah St.MEAC0.100.1040.7440.74-0.02-0.02
CampbellBSth0.100.1045.1645.16-0.01-0.01
LongwoodBSth0.100.1014.2914.29-0.07-0.07
UNC AshevilleBSth0.100.1070.0070.000.040.04
PittsburghACC0.100.1048.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.100.1020.0020.00-0.06-0.06
Michigan St.B100.100.1057.5857.580.010.01
NebraskaB100.100.1036.6736.67-0.03-0.03
LouisvilleACC0.100.1075.0075.000.050.05
North CarolinaACC0.100.1078.7978.790.060.06
StanfordP120.100.1043.3343.33-0.01-0.01
VCUA100.100.1076.4776.470.050.05
KentuckySEC0.100.1085.2985.290.070.07
Alabama St.SWAC0.090.0923.3323.33-0.05-0.05
NorthwesternB100.090.0967.6567.650.030.03
VanderbiltSEC0.090.0955.8855.880.010.01
Utah St.MWC0.090.0943.3343.33-0.01-0.01
AlabamaSEC0.090.0957.5857.580.010.01
Incarnate WordSlnd0.090.0932.0032.00-0.03-0.03
UABCUSA0.090.0950.0050.000.000.00
VMISC0.090.0914.2914.29-0.07-0.07
DuquesneA100.090.0931.2531.25-0.03-0.03
Texas A&MSEC0.090.0951.6151.610.000.00
MilwaukeeHorz0.080.0829.4129.41-0.03-0.03
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.080.0844.4444.44-0.01-0.01
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.080.0841.9441.94-0.01-0.01
HowardMEAC0.080.0825.0025.00-0.04-0.04
High PointBSth0.080.0842.8642.86-0.01-0.01
OaklandHorz0.080.0873.3373.330.040.04
Youngstown St.Horz0.080.0834.3834.38-0.02-0.02
Stony BrookAE0.080.0858.0658.060.010.01
PresbyterianBSth0.070.0710.7110.71-0.06-0.06
USCP120.070.0772.7372.730.030.03
UtahP120.070.0762.0762.070.020.02
New OrleansSlnd0.070.0760.7160.710.020.02
FloridaSEC0.070.0775.0075.000.040.04
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.070.0776.6776.670.040.04
GeorgetownBE0.070.0743.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Grambling St.SWAC0.070.0743.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.070.0756.6756.670.010.01
XavierBE0.070.0761.7661.760.020.02
San Jose St.MWC0.070.0742.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.070.0751.7251.720.000.00
ClemsonACC0.070.0753.1253.120.000.00
Northern ColoradoBSky0.070.0733.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Fresno St.MWC0.070.0760.0060.000.010.01
IndianaB100.070.0754.5554.550.010.01
LSUSEC0.070.0732.2632.26-0.03-0.03
RiceCUSA0.070.0764.5264.520.020.02
UTSACUSA0.070.0738.7138.71-0.02-0.02
SMUAmer0.070.0788.2488.240.050.05
TowsonCAA0.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
DukeACC0.070.0777.1477.140.040.04
Nicholls St.Slnd0.070.0737.0437.04-0.02-0.02
San Diego St.MWC0.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
Wake ForestACC0.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
George MasonA100.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
GonzagaWCC0.070.0796.9796.970.070.07
Jacksonville St.OVC0.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
MichiganB100.070.0768.5768.570.030.03
DavidsonA100.070.0753.1253.120.000.00
Miami FLACC0.070.0765.6265.620.020.02
Sacred HeartNEC0.070.0740.6240.62-0.01-0.01
LIU BrooklynNEC0.070.0761.2961.290.020.02
ManhattanMAAC0.070.0731.2531.25-0.03-0.03
New HampshireAE0.070.0758.6258.620.010.01
TempleAmer0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
Western CarolinaSC0.070.0723.3323.33-0.04-0.04
Coppin St.MEAC0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Norfolk St.MEAC0.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
South Carolina St.MEAC0.050.0531.0331.03-0.02-0.02
AmericanPat0.050.0526.6726.67-0.03-0.03
PurdueB100.050.0578.1278.120.030.03
Central MichiganMAC0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Cleveland St.Horz0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
DetroitHorz0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
ValparaisoHorz0.050.0574.1974.190.030.03
Wright St.Horz0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
Chicago St.WAC0.050.0510.3410.34-0.04-0.04
Appalachian St.SB0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
ArizonaP120.050.0588.2488.240.040.04
Arizona St.P120.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Charleston SouthernBSth0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
LibertyBSth0.050.0555.1755.170.010.01
UCLAP120.050.0587.8887.880.040.04
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.050.053.333.33-0.05-0.05
Eastern MichiganMAC0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Montana St.BSky0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Oregon St.P120.050.0512.9012.90-0.04-0.04
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.050.0517.8617.86-0.03-0.03
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.050.0536.0036.00-0.01-0.01
Alabama A&MSWAC0.050.056.906.90-0.04-0.04
Cal St. FullertonBW0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
Central ArkansasSlnd0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
ConnecticutAmer0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
MemphisAmer0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
MinnesotaB100.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
Mississippi St.SEC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Northern IowaMVC0.050.0544.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Northwestern St.Slnd0.050.0536.0036.00-0.01-0.01
Ohio St.B100.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
RutgersB100.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
South CarolinaSEC0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.050.0560.7160.710.010.01
TulaneAmer0.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
TulsaAmer0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Georgia TechACC0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
Air ForceMWC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
Boise St.MWC0.050.0562.0762.070.010.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.01-0.01
Houston BaptistSlnd0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Idaho St.BSky0.050.0513.3313.33-0.03-0.03
NevadaMWC0.050.0582.3582.350.030.03
New MexicoMWC0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
North TexasCUSA0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
Notre DameACC0.050.0573.5373.530.020.02
SienaMAAC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
SyracuseACC0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
Virginia TechACC0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
WyomingMWC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Arkansas St.SB0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
BradleyMVC0.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
BryantNEC0.050.0535.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Central ConnecticutNEC0.050.0520.6920.69-0.03-0.03
CincinnatiAmer0.050.0585.2985.290.030.03
DaytonA100.050.0576.6776.670.020.02
DrakeMVC0.050.0520.6920.69-0.03-0.03
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.01-0.01
George WashingtonA100.050.0557.5857.580.010.01
Illinois St.MVC0.050.0581.2581.250.030.03
Indiana St.MVC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Kent St.MAC0.050.0561.7661.760.010.01
La SalleA100.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Louisiana MonroeSB0.050.0522.5822.58-0.03-0.03
St. BonaventureA100.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
St. Francis NYNEC0.050.0510.0010.00-0.04-0.04
St. Francis PANEC0.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
The CitadelSC0.050.0530.0030.00-0.02-0.02
UT ArlingtonSB0.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
WagnerNEC0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
WoffordSC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Miami OHMAC0.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Delaware St.MEAC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
East CarolinaAmer0.030.0345.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Florida A&MMEAC0.030.0317.8617.86-0.02-0.02
Morgan St.MEAC0.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.030.0373.3373.330.010.01
PrincetonIvy0.030.0378.5778.570.020.02
RiderMAAC0.030.0354.5554.550.000.00
William & MaryCAA0.030.0351.7251.720.000.00
Bowling GreenMAC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Murray St.OVC0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
PacificWCC0.030.0331.2531.25-0.01-0.01
ToledoMAC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
CaliforniaP120.030.0363.6463.640.010.01
CreightonBE0.030.0372.7372.730.010.01
FurmanSC0.030.0363.3363.330.010.01
IdahoBSky0.030.0355.1755.170.000.00
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
MontanaBSky0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Sacramento St.BSky0.030.0337.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Utah ValleyWAC0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
CharlotteCUSA0.020.0241.3841.38-0.00-0.00
ChattanoogaSC0.020.0258.6258.620.000.00
East Tennessee St.SC0.020.0278.1278.120.010.01
HoustonAmer0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
LamarSlnd0.020.0251.7251.720.000.00
LipscombASun0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
Louisiana TechCUSA0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
MissouriSEC0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Penn St.B100.020.0245.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Saint Mary'sWCC0.020.0287.5087.500.020.02
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
Tennessee TechOVC0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Texas St.SB0.020.0258.0658.060.000.00
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.020.0218.5218.52-0.02-0.02
DartmouthIvy0.020.0225.9325.93-0.01-0.01
FairfieldMAAC0.020.0253.3353.330.000.00
Florida St.ACC0.020.0275.7675.760.010.01
HartfordAE0.020.0228.1228.12-0.01-0.01
HarvardIvy0.020.0261.5461.540.010.01
Loyola MarymountWCC0.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
New Mexico St.WAC0.020.0283.3383.330.020.02
North Carolina St.ACC0.020.0246.8846.88-0.00-0.00
ProvidenceBE0.020.0262.5062.500.010.01
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.020.0246.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Ball St.MAC0.020.0262.5062.500.010.01
BucknellPat0.020.0276.4776.470.010.01
BuffaloMAC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
BYUWCC0.020.0266.6766.670.010.01
DePaulBE0.020.0228.1228.12-0.01-0.01
FordhamA100.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
LehighPat0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
MassachusettsA100.020.0245.4545.45-0.00-0.00
PennIvy0.020.0246.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Rhode IslandA100.020.0272.7372.730.010.01
Saint Joseph'sA100.020.0235.4835.48-0.01-0.01
SamfordSC0.020.0253.1253.120.000.00
Southern IllinoisMVC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Southern UtahBSky0.020.0212.9012.90-0.02-0.02