The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Alabama A&M page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Alabama A&M

Conference:		SWAC
Expected RPI:		327.5
Current RPI:		336
Expected SOS:		346
Current SOS:		345
Current Record:		4-10
Expected Record:		8-14
Current Conf Record:		4-6
Expected Conf Record:		8-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-9
Current OOC Record:		0-4
Expected OOC Record:		0-4
Expected OOC RPI:		343
Expected OOC SOS:		193

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
12-10	269.1	0.07%
11-11	287.0	1.49%
10-12	305.8	8.90%
9-13	319.4	24.30%
8-14	330.5	33.30%
7-15	337.6	22.26%
6-16	340.9	8.18%
5-17	343.9	1.41%
4-18	345.1	0.08%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Alabama A&M.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	South Carolina (74.3)	SEC	A	50-88	L	0%	0.0
12-1	Auburn (163.8)	SEC	N	52-87	L	0%	0.0
12-15	Tennessee St. (276.7)	OVC	A	77-80	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Florida St. (41.5)	ACC	A	34-81	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Jackson St. (244.3)	SWAC	A	60-71	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Grambling (338.6)	SWAC	A	62-64	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Arkansas Pine Bluff (207.7)	SWAC	H	72-82	L	0%	0.0
1-11	Mississippi Valley St. (319.2)	SWAC	H	72-56	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Alabama St. (302.5)	SWAC	A	69-83	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Southern (342.8)	SWAC	A	70-63	W	100%	0.0
1-25	Alcorn St. (345.0)	SWAC	A	84-70	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Prairie View A&M (250.9)	SWAC	H	59-54	W	100%	0.0
2-1	Texas Southern (205.9)	SWAC	H	62-67	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Arkansas Pine Bluff (207.7)	SWAC	A	55-62	L	0%	0.0
2-8	Mississippi Valley St. (319.2)	SWAC	A	0-0		37%	-3.6
2-13	Alabama St. (302.5)	SWAC	H	0-0		52%	0.7
2-20	Southern (342.8)	SWAC	H	0-0		79%	8.8
2-22	Alcorn St. (345.0)	SWAC	H	0-0		87%	12.4
2-27	Prairie View A&M (250.9)	SWAC	A	0-0		18%	-10.0
3-1	Texas Southern (205.9)	SWAC	A	0-0		10%	-13.7
3-4	Jackson St. (244.3)	SWAC	H	0-0		45%	-1.3
3-6	Grambling (338.6)	SWAC	H	0-0		74%	7.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Alabama A&M's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Alabama A&M's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Alabama A&M.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Alabama A&M	SWAC	26.38	26.62	33.33	37.29	-8.79	-6.76
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	7.87	5.86	26.32	42.86	-3.73	-0.84
Alabama St.	SWAC	4.53	5.88	29.41	36.51	-1.87	-1.59
Southern	SWAC	4.49	5.86	20.00	21.33	-2.69	-3.36
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	4.49	5.86	23.81	26.99	-2.35	-2.70
Texas Southern	SWAC	4.48	5.85	42.11	51.07	-0.71	0.13
Alcorn St.	SWAC	4.48	5.87	0.00	5.07	-4.48	-5.27
Jackson St.	SWAC	4.46	5.86	45.00	47.28	-0.45	-0.32
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	4.45	5.83	50.00	54.88	0.00	0.57
Grambling	SWAC	4.45	5.83	18.75	22.66	-2.78	-3.19
Auburn	SEC	3.83	2.44	42.86	40.65	-0.55	-0.46
Florida St.	ACC	3.65	2.31	72.73	68.44	1.66	0.85
South Carolina	SEC	3.65	2.31	57.14	52.84	0.52	0.13
Tennessee St.	OVC	3.57	2.27	16.67	21.51	-2.38	-1.30
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.36	0.25	69.57	63.55	0.14	0.07
Arkansas	SEC	0.34	0.35	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.34	0.23	77.27	75.69	0.18	0.12
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.33	0.15	72.73	68.13	0.15	0.06
Alabama	SEC	0.32	0.27	56.52	54.14	0.04	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.27	0.25	61.90	56.37	0.06	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.26	0.20	73.91	72.52	0.13	0.09
Colorado	B12	0.26	0.16	42.86	40.56	-0.04	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.26	0.24	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.26	0.24	68.42	67.04	0.09	0.08
Baylor	B12	0.25	0.19	76.19	72.73	0.13	0.09
Oregon	P10	0.25	0.15	54.55	48.81	0.02	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.23	0.15	76.19	73.20	0.12	0.07
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.22	0.11	5.00	8.59	-0.20	-0.09
Cincinnati	BE	0.19	0.17	60.87	55.54	0.04	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.18	0.16	36.36	36.18	-0.05	-0.05
Marquette	BE	0.18	0.13	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.18	0.13	33.33	30.82	-0.06	-0.05
North Texas	SB	0.17	0.16	61.90	63.69	0.04	0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.17	0.12	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.17	0.08	69.57	66.00	0.07	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.17	0.08	66.67	67.74	0.06	0.03
Denver	SB	0.17	0.08	60.87	59.58	0.04	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.17	0.08	81.82	79.60	0.11	0.05
Michigan	B10	0.17	0.08	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.17	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.08	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.17	0.15	79.17	77.30	0.10	0.08
Wofford	SC	0.17	0.12	66.67	67.94	0.06	0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.16	0.08	17.39	20.11	-0.11	-0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.16	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.15	0.09
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.16	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.04	-0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.06
Boston College	ACC	0.16	0.11	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.16	0.15	73.91	67.72	0.08	0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.16	0.08	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.16	0.11	68.18	62.73	0.06	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.16	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.16	0.08	71.43	67.85	0.07	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.16	0.11	75.00	73.72	0.08	0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.15	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.15	0.11	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.15	0.11	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.15	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.07	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.14	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.07	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.11	0.09	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.09	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.09	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.04	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.11	0.09	23.53	26.10	-0.06	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.05
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.09	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.09	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.09	0.08	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.09	0.08	79.17	78.03	0.05	0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.09	0.08	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.09	0.08	87.50	87.42	0.06	0.06
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.09	0.08	21.05	24.96	-0.05	-0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.09	0.08	20.00	20.57	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.09	0.08	18.18	19.18	-0.05	-0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.08	69.57	69.99	0.03	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.08	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.09	0.08	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.08	12.50	15.31	-0.06	-0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.08	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.03
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.08	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.09	0.08	16.00	21.62	-0.06	-0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.08	0.08	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.04	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.08	0.04	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.11	69.57	66.88	0.03	0.04
Furman	SC	0.08	0.04	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.11	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.08	0.08	81.82	83.61	0.05	0.05
High Point	BSth	0.08	0.04	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.08	0.04	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.04	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.04	23.81	29.40	-0.04	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.19	69.57	68.48	0.03	0.07
Missouri St.	MVC	0.08	0.04	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.04	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.08	0.08	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.08	0.04	75.00	71.23	0.04	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.04	70.59	72.98	0.03	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.04	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.08	0.08	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Troy	SB	0.08	0.04	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.08	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.02	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.08	0.04	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.00
Albany	AE	0.08	0.07	23.08	25.77	-0.04	-0.04
Central Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.11	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.08	0.04	82.61	82.33	0.05	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.08	0.04	24.00	23.74	-0.04	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.04	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.04	72.00	70.73	0.03	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.07	95.65	91.32	0.07	0.06
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.04	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.08	0.07	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.08	0.07	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.04	14.29	15.65	-0.06	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.04	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.08	0.07	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.04	81.82	72.57	0.05	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.07	0.07	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.04	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.04	69.57	67.93	0.03	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.04	83.33	81.25	0.05	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.07	0.07	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.04	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.04	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Alabama A&M	SWAC	26.38	26.62	33.33	37.29	-8.79	-6.76
Alabama St.	SWAC	4.53	5.88	29.41	36.51	-1.87	-1.59
Alcorn St.	SWAC	4.48	5.87	0.00	5.07	-4.48	-5.27
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	4.49	5.86	23.81	26.99	-2.35	-2.70
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	7.87	5.86	26.32	42.86	-3.73	-0.84
Jackson St.	SWAC	4.46	5.86	45.00	47.28	-0.45	-0.32
Southern	SWAC	4.49	5.86	20.00	21.33	-2.69	-3.36
Texas Southern	SWAC	4.48	5.85	42.11	51.07	-0.71	0.13
Grambling	SWAC	4.45	5.83	18.75	22.66	-2.78	-3.19
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	4.45	5.83	50.00	54.88	0.00	0.57
Auburn	SEC	3.83	2.44	42.86	40.65	-0.55	-0.46
Florida St.	ACC	3.65	2.31	72.73	68.44	1.66	0.85
South Carolina	SEC	3.65	2.31	57.14	52.84	0.52	0.13
Tennessee St.	OVC	3.57	2.27	16.67	21.51	-2.38	-1.30
Arkansas	SEC	0.34	0.35	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.32	0.27	56.52	54.14	0.04	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.36	0.25	69.57	63.55	0.14	0.07
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.27	0.25	61.90	56.37	0.06	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.26	0.24	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.26	0.24	68.42	67.04	0.09	0.08
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.34	0.23	77.27	75.69	0.18	0.12
Mississippi	SEC	0.26	0.20	73.91	72.52	0.13	0.09
Baylor	B12	0.25	0.19	76.19	72.73	0.13	0.09
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.19	69.57	68.48	0.03	0.07
Cincinnati	BE	0.19	0.17	60.87	55.54	0.04	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.18	0.16	36.36	36.18	-0.05	-0.05
Colorado	B12	0.26	0.16	42.86	40.56	-0.04	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.17	0.16	61.90	63.69	0.04	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.17	0.15	79.17	77.30	0.10	0.08
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.33	0.15	72.73	68.13	0.15	0.06
Oregon	P10	0.25	0.15	54.55	48.81	0.02	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.16	0.15	73.91	67.72	0.08	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.23	0.15	76.19	73.20	0.12	0.07
Marquette	BE	0.18	0.13	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.18	0.13	33.33	30.82	-0.06	-0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.17	0.12	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.17	0.12	66.67	67.94	0.06	0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.16	0.11	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.11	69.57	66.88	0.03	0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.11	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.16	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.15	0.09
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.16	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.04	-0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.16	0.11	68.18	62.73	0.06	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.06
Iowa St.	B12	0.15	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.15	0.11	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.15	0.11	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.16	0.11	75.00	73.72	0.08	0.05
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.22	0.11	5.00	8.59	-0.20	-0.09
Central Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.11	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.15	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.11	0.09	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.09	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.09	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.04	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.11	0.09	23.53	26.10	-0.06	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.05
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.09	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.09	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.09	0.08	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.09	0.08	79.17	78.03	0.05	0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.09	0.08	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.17	0.08	69.57	66.00	0.07	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.17	0.08	66.67	67.74	0.06	0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.09	0.08	87.50	87.42	0.06	0.06
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.09	0.08	21.05	24.96	-0.05	-0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.09	0.08	20.00	20.57	-0.05	-0.05
Denver	SB	0.17	0.08	60.87	59.58	0.04	0.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.09	0.08	18.18	19.18	-0.05	-0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.17	0.08	81.82	79.60	0.11	0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.08	69.57	69.99	0.03	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.17	0.08	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.17	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.08	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.08	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.09	0.08	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.08	12.50	15.31	-0.06	-0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.08	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.03
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.08	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.09	0.08	16.00	21.62	-0.06	-0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.08	0.08	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.16	0.08	17.39	20.11	-0.11	-0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.08	0.08	81.82	83.61	0.05	0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.16	0.08	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.16	0.08	71.43	67.85	0.07	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.16	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.08	0.08	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.08	0.08	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.08	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.02	0.01
Albany	AE	0.08	0.07	23.08	25.77	-0.04	-0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.07	0.07	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.07	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.07	95.65	91.32	0.07	0.06
Morehead St.	OVC	0.14	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.07	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.05
Robert Morris	NEC	0.08	0.07	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.08	0.07	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.07	0.07	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.08	0.07	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.04	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.08	0.04	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.08	0.04	82.61	82.33	0.05	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.08	0.04	24.00	23.74	-0.04	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.08	0.04	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.04	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.08	0.04	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.04	72.00	70.73	0.03	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.08	0.04	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.04	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.04	23.81	29.40	-0.04	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.04	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.08	0.04	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.04	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.04	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.08	0.04	75.00	71.23	0.04	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.04	70.59	72.98	0.03	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.04	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.04	14.29	15.65	-0.06	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.04	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.08	0.04	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.04	81.82	72.57	0.05	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.04	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.08	0.04	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.04	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.04	69.57	67.93	0.03	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.04	83.33	81.25	0.05	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Florida St.	ACC	3.65	2.31	72.73	68.44	1.66	0.85
South Carolina	SEC	3.65	2.31	57.14	52.84	0.52	0.13
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.34	0.23	77.27	75.69	0.18	0.12
Kentucky	SEC	0.16	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.15	0.09
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.33	0.15	72.73	68.13	0.15	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.36	0.25	69.57	63.55	0.14	0.07
Baylor	B12	0.25	0.19	76.19	72.73	0.13	0.09
Mississippi	SEC	0.26	0.20	73.91	72.52	0.13	0.09
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.23	0.15	76.19	73.20	0.12	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.17	0.08	81.82	79.60	0.11	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.07	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.06
Wichita St.	MVC	0.17	0.15	79.17	77.30	0.10	0.08
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.26	0.24	68.42	67.04	0.09	0.08
Missouri	B12	0.17	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.08	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.16	0.11	75.00	73.72	0.08	0.05
Florida	SEC	0.16	0.15	73.91	67.72	0.08	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.07	95.65	91.32	0.07	0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.16	0.08	71.43	67.85	0.07	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.17	0.08	69.57	66.00	0.07	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.27	0.25	61.90	56.37	0.06	0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.09	0.08	87.50	87.42	0.06	0.06
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.05
Miami FL	ACC	0.16	0.11	68.18	62.73	0.06	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.17	0.08	66.67	67.74	0.06	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.18	0.13	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.17	0.12	66.67	67.94	0.06	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.09	0.08	79.17	78.03	0.05	0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.14	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.05	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.08	0.08	81.82	83.61	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.08	0.04	82.61	82.33	0.05	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.04	81.82	72.57	0.05	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.04	83.33	81.25	0.05	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.08	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.07	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.19	0.17	60.87	55.54	0.04	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.17	0.16	61.90	63.69	0.04	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.32	0.27	56.52	54.14	0.04	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.08	0.04	75.00	71.23	0.04	0.02
Denver	SB	0.17	0.08	60.87	59.58	0.04	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.04	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.04	72.00	70.73	0.03	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.17	0.12	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.04	70.59	72.98	0.03	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.08	69.57	69.99	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.11	69.57	66.88	0.03	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.19	69.57	68.48	0.03	0.07
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.04	69.57	67.93	0.03	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.08	0.04	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.16	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.08	0.07	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.08	0.04	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.04	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.25	0.15	54.55	48.81	0.02	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.08	0.08	63.64	58.79	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.16	0.08	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.15	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.15	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.08	0.08	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.34	0.35	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.08	0.08	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.08	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.09	0.08	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.10	0.09	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.16	0.11	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.08	0.04	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.04	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.11	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.04	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	4.45	5.83	50.00	54.88	0.00	0.57
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.26	0.24	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.04	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.08	0.07	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.07	0.07	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.04	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.08	0.04	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.11	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.08	0.04	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.04	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.07	0.07	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.08	0.08	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.09	0.08	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.09	0.08	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.04	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.08	0.04	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.08	0.04	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.17	0.08	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.08	0.04	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.04	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.04	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.15	0.11	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.08	0.07	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.15	0.11	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.11	0.09	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.16	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.04	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.09	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.04
Colorado	B12	0.26	0.16	42.86	40.56	-0.04	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.08	0.04	24.00	23.74	-0.04	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.08	0.07	23.08	25.77	-0.04	-0.04
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.04	23.81	29.40	-0.04	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.09	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.09	0.08	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.09	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.04
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.09	0.08	21.05	24.96	-0.05	-0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.18	0.16	36.36	36.18	-0.05	-0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.09	0.08	20.00	20.57	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.09	0.08	18.18	19.18	-0.05	-0.05
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.05
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.04	14.29	15.65	-0.06	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.11	0.09	23.53	26.10	-0.06	-0.04
Wagner	NEC	0.09	0.08	16.00	21.62	-0.06	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.18	0.13	33.33	30.82	-0.06	-0.05
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.08	12.50	15.31	-0.06	-0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.16	0.08	17.39	20.11	-0.11	-0.05
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.22	0.11	5.00	8.59	-0.20	-0.09
Jackson St.	SWAC	4.46	5.86	45.00	47.28	-0.45	-0.32
Auburn	SEC	3.83	2.44	42.86	40.65	-0.55	-0.46
Texas Southern	SWAC	4.48	5.85	42.11	51.07	-0.71	0.13
Alabama St.	SWAC	4.53	5.88	29.41	36.51	-1.87	-1.59
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	4.49	5.86	23.81	26.99	-2.35	-2.70
Tennessee St.	OVC	3.57	2.27	16.67	21.51	-2.38	-1.30
Southern	SWAC	4.49	5.86	20.00	21.33	-2.69	-3.36
Grambling	SWAC	4.45	5.83	18.75	22.66	-2.78	-3.19
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	7.87	5.86	26.32	42.86	-3.73	-0.84
Alcorn St.	SWAC	4.48	5.87	0.00	5.07	-4.48	-5.27
Alabama A&M	SWAC	26.38	26.62	33.33	37.29	-8.79	-6.76

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Florida St.	ACC	3.65	2.31	72.73	68.44	1.66	0.85
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	4.45	5.83	50.00	54.88	0.00	0.57
South Carolina	SEC	3.65	2.31	57.14	52.84	0.52	0.13
Texas Southern	SWAC	4.48	5.85	42.11	51.07	-0.71	0.13
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.34	0.23	77.27	75.69	0.18	0.12
Mississippi	SEC	0.26	0.20	73.91	72.52	0.13	0.09
Baylor	B12	0.25	0.19	76.19	72.73	0.13	0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.16	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.15	0.09
Wichita St.	MVC	0.17	0.15	79.17	77.30	0.10	0.08
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.26	0.24	68.42	67.04	0.09	0.08
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.19	69.57	68.48	0.03	0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.23	0.15	76.19	73.20	0.12	0.07
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.36	0.25	69.57	63.55	0.14	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.07	95.65	91.32	0.07	0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.09	0.08	87.50	87.42	0.06	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.33	0.15	72.73	68.13	0.15	0.06
Florida	SEC	0.16	0.15	73.91	67.72	0.08	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.16	0.11	75.00	73.72	0.08	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.07	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.08	0.08	81.82	83.61	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.17	0.08	81.82	79.60	0.11	0.05
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.09	0.08	79.17	78.03	0.05	0.05
North Texas	SB	0.17	0.16	61.90	63.69	0.04	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.17	0.12	66.67	67.94	0.06	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.18	0.13	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.04