The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Middle Tennessee page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Middle Tennessee

Conference:		SB
Expected RPI:		188.1
Current RPI:		194
Expected SOS:		244
Current SOS:		234
Current Record:		12-11
Expected Record:		16-13
Current Conf Record:		9-4
Expected Conf Record:		12-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-3
Current OOC Record:		3-7
Expected OOC Record:		4-7
Expected OOC RPI:		254
Expected OOC SOS:		186

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-11	155.9	5.70%
17-12	171.1	24.49%
16-13	186.9	36.55%
15-14	203.0	24.95%
14-15	219.4	7.44%
13-16	234.8	0.84%
12-17	242.0	0.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Middle Tennessee.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	A	68-81	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	A	60-63	L	0%	0.0
11-19	Lamar (239.8)	Slnd	H	74-66	W	100%	0.0
11-23	North Carolina A&T (267.9)	MEAC	A	56-65	L	0%	0.0
12-2	UAB (34.4)	CUSA	A	64-65	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Belmont (139.8)	ASun	H	71-83	L	0%	0.0
12-11	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	N	54-75	L	0%	0.0
12-13	SIU Edwardsville (329.0)	OVC	H	83-58	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Howard (313.9)	MEAC	H	69-51	W	100%	0.0
12-31	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	A	63-58	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Louisiana Lafayette (203.7)	SB	H	68-58	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Vanderbilt (21.8)	SEC	A	53-73	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Arkansas St. (167.5)	SB	A	67-69	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Arkansas Little Rock (266.4)	SB	A	66-52	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Florida International (286.4)	SB	H	58-65	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Florida Atlantic (201.1)	SB	H	60-61	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	H	47-46	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Louisiana Monroe (269.6)	SB	A	69-60	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	A	84-74	W	100%	0.0
1-28	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	H	66-46	W	100%	0.0
1-30	North Texas (158.4)	SB	H	69-64	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Troy (170.2)	SB	H	67-70	L	0%	0.0
2-6	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	A	80-68	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Denver (148.7)	SB	H	0-0		69%	5.3
2-13	Houston Baptist (342.5)	GWC	H	0-0		97%	20.6
2-18	Troy (170.2)	SB	A	0-0		39%	-3.0
2-20	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	H	0-0		77%	8.1
2-25	Florida International (286.4)	SB	A	0-0		72%	6.3
2-27	Florida Atlantic (201.1)	SB	A	0-0		40%	-2.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Middle Tennessee's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Middle Tennessee's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Middle Tennessee.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Middle Tennessee	SB	26.32	26.25	52.34	55.38	1.23	2.82
Western Kentucky	SB	4.89	4.26	59.09	59.86	0.89	0.84
New Orleans	SB	4.89	4.13	25.00	24.68	-2.44	-2.09
Troy	SB	2.99	4.30	45.00	47.88	-0.30	-0.18
South Alabama	SB	2.86	4.28	50.00	50.33	0.00	0.03
North Texas	SB	2.86	2.53	65.00	66.14	0.86	0.82
Florida International	SB	2.82	4.23	20.83	20.85	-1.64	-2.46
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.82	2.50	50.00	50.47	0.00	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	2.81	4.22	42.86	44.86	-0.40	-0.43
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.76	2.51	38.10	37.57	-0.66	-0.62
Arkansas St.	SB	2.72	2.53	55.00	55.45	0.27	0.28
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.72	2.47	25.00	29.48	-1.36	-1.01
Marshall	CUSA	2.48	2.00	65.00	64.27	0.74	0.57
Lamar	Slnd	2.43	1.91	50.00	46.39	0.00	-0.14
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	2.42	1.90	21.05	32.26	-1.40	-0.67
Ohio	MAC	2.33	1.82	47.62	49.27	-0.11	-0.03
UAB	CUSA	2.32	1.91	81.82	77.82	1.48	1.06
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.31	1.84	75.00	72.24	1.16	0.82
Tennessee	SEC	2.28	1.81	80.95	74.82	1.41	0.90
Howard	MEAC	2.23	1.79	26.09	27.53	-1.07	-0.80
Belmont	ASun	2.17	1.72	58.33	62.58	0.36	0.43
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	2.17	1.72	9.09	9.93	-1.78	-1.38
Denver	SB	0.74	2.54	60.87	60.59	0.16	0.54
Tulane	CUSA	0.45	0.33	31.82	29.58	-0.16	-0.14
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.40	0.31	55.56	55.85	0.04	0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.30	0.27	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.29	0.27	77.27	70.93	0.16	0.11
Memphis	CUSA	0.25	0.21	69.57	69.99	0.10	0.08
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.24	0.18	39.13	35.38	-0.05	-0.05
Lipscomb	ASun	0.23	0.15	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.23	0.18	86.96	85.47	0.17	0.13
East Carolina	CUSA	0.20	0.12	20.00	21.94	-0.12	-0.07
Florida	SEC	0.20	0.24	73.91	67.72	0.10	0.09
Rice	CUSA	0.20	0.21	31.82	30.34	-0.07	-0.08
South Carolina	SEC	0.19	0.17	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.19	0.17	19.05	22.94	-0.12	-0.09
North Florida	ASun	0.19	0.12	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.18	0.11	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.15	77.27	75.69	0.08	0.08
Auburn	SEC	0.15	0.12	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.12	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.06
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.15	0.13	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.15	0.18	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.15	0.13	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.07
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.15	1.88	22.73	24.78	-0.08	-0.95
Canisius	MAAC	0.14	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.14	0.09	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.14	0.09	65.22	62.07	0.04	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.11	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.14	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.08	-0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.14	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.09	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.18	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.09	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.09	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	11.11	20.93	-0.08	-0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.12	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.12	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.05
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.09	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.07	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.10	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.09	-0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.12	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.10	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.04	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.10	-0.08
Ball St.	MAC	0.10	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.04
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.09	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.09	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
American	Pat	0.09	0.09	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.15	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.12	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.09	0.11	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.09	0.09	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.08	0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.09	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.09	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.09	0.11	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.09	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.07	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.12	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.09
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.09	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.06
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.07	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.12	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.05
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.09	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.04
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.09	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.04
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.04	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.04	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.04	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.04	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.05
Portland St.	BSky	0.04	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.04	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.04	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.04	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.04
Washington	P10	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.00	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.00	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.00	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.00	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.00	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Montana	BSky	0.00	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.00	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.00	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.00	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.00	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.00	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.00	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.00	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.00	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Middle Tennessee	SB	26.32	26.25	52.34	55.38	1.23	2.82
Troy	SB	2.99	4.30	45.00	47.88	-0.30	-0.18
South Alabama	SB	2.86	4.28	50.00	50.33	0.00	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	4.89	4.26	59.09	59.86	0.89	0.84
Florida International	SB	2.82	4.23	20.83	20.85	-1.64	-2.46
Florida Atlantic	SB	2.81	4.22	42.86	44.86	-0.40	-0.43
New Orleans	SB	4.89	4.13	25.00	24.68	-2.44	-2.09
Denver	SB	0.74	2.54	60.87	60.59	0.16	0.54
North Texas	SB	2.86	2.53	65.00	66.14	0.86	0.82
Arkansas St.	SB	2.72	2.53	55.00	55.45	0.27	0.28
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.76	2.51	38.10	37.57	-0.66	-0.62
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.82	2.50	50.00	50.47	0.00	0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.72	2.47	25.00	29.48	-1.36	-1.01
Marshall	CUSA	2.48	2.00	65.00	64.27	0.74	0.57
UAB	CUSA	2.32	1.91	81.82	77.82	1.48	1.06
Lamar	Slnd	2.43	1.91	50.00	46.39	0.00	-0.14
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	2.42	1.90	21.05	32.26	-1.40	-0.67
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.15	1.88	22.73	24.78	-0.08	-0.95
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.31	1.84	75.00	72.24	1.16	0.82
Ohio	MAC	2.33	1.82	47.62	49.27	-0.11	-0.03
Tennessee	SEC	2.28	1.81	80.95	74.82	1.41	0.90
Howard	MEAC	2.23	1.79	26.09	27.53	-1.07	-0.80
Belmont	ASun	2.17	1.72	58.33	62.58	0.36	0.43
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	2.17	1.72	9.09	9.93	-1.78	-1.38
Tulane	CUSA	0.45	0.33	31.82	29.58	-0.16	-0.14
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.40	0.31	55.56	55.85	0.04	0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.30	0.27	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.29	0.27	77.27	70.93	0.16	0.11
Florida	SEC	0.20	0.24	73.91	67.72	0.10	0.09
Rice	CUSA	0.20	0.21	31.82	30.34	-0.07	-0.08
Memphis	CUSA	0.25	0.21	69.57	69.99	0.10	0.08
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.15	0.18	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.18	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.23	0.18	86.96	85.47	0.17	0.13
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.24	0.18	39.13	35.38	-0.05	-0.05
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.19	0.17	19.05	22.94	-0.12	-0.09
South Carolina	SEC	0.19	0.17	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.23	0.15	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.07
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.15	77.27	75.69	0.08	0.08
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.15	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.15	0.13	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.15	0.13	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.15	0.12	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.12	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.12	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.12	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.06
North Florida	ASun	0.19	0.12	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.20	0.12	20.00	21.94	-0.12	-0.07
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.12	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.12	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.12	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.12	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.09
Bowling Green	MAC	0.09	0.11	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.18	0.11	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.09	0.11	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.11	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.09	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.09	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.10	-0.08
American	Pat	0.09	0.09	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.14	0.09	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.09	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.04
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	11.11	20.93	-0.08	-0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.09	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.09	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.14	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.08	-0.05
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.14	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.09	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.09	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.09	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.06
Indiana St.	MVC	0.14	0.09	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.14	0.09	65.22	62.07	0.04	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.09	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.09	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.09	0.09	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.09	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.07	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.07	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.07	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.10	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.09	-0.05
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.04
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.10	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.10	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.04	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.03
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.09	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.04	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.08	0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.04	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.04	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.04	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.04	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.00	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.00	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.00	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.00	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.00	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.00	0.03	68.18	70.35	0.00	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.00	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.00	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.00	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.00	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.04	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.00	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.00	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.04	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.00	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.04	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Washington	P10	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UAB	CUSA	2.32	1.91	81.82	77.82	1.48	1.06
Tennessee	SEC	2.28	1.81	80.95	74.82	1.41	0.90
Middle Tennessee	SB	26.32	26.25	52.34	55.38	1.23	2.82
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.31	1.84	75.00	72.24	1.16	0.82
Western Kentucky	SB	4.89	4.26	59.09	59.86	0.89	0.84
North Texas	SB	2.86	2.53	65.00	66.14	0.86	0.82
Marshall	CUSA	2.48	2.00	65.00	64.27	0.74	0.57
Belmont	ASun	2.17	1.72	58.33	62.58	0.36	0.43
Arkansas St.	SB	2.72	2.53	55.00	55.45	0.27	0.28
Murray St.	OVC	0.23	0.18	86.96	85.47	0.17	0.13
Denver	SB	0.74	2.54	60.87	60.59	0.16	0.54
Tulsa	CUSA	0.29	0.27	77.27	70.93	0.16	0.11
Memphis	CUSA	0.25	0.21	69.57	69.99	0.10	0.08
Florida	SEC	0.20	0.24	73.91	67.72	0.10	0.09
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.08	0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.15	77.27	75.69	0.08	0.08
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.12	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.04