The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Middle Tennessee page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 10, 2010.

Middle Tennessee

Conference:		SB
Expected RPI:		180.3
Current RPI:		182
Expected SOS:		230
Current SOS:		231
Current Record:		17-13
Expected Record:		17-13
Current Conf Record:		13-6
Expected Conf Record:		13-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		13-4
Current OOC Record:		4-7
Expected OOC Record:		4-7
Expected OOC RPI:		252
Expected OOC SOS:		186

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
17-13		180.3		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Middle Tennessee.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Ohio (117.5)	MAC	A	68-81	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Marshall (61.3)	CUSA	A	60-63	L	0%	0.0
11-19	Lamar (291.9)	Slnd	H	74-66	W	100%	0.0
11-23	North Carolina A&T (301.9)	MEAC	A	56-65	L	0%	0.0
12-2	UAB (38.9)	CUSA	A	64-65	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Belmont (135.9)	ASun	H	71-83	L	0%	0.0
12-11	Tennessee (15.7)	SEC	N	54-75	L	0%	0.0
12-13	SIU Edwardsville (322.1)	OVC	H	83-58	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Howard (329.7)	MEAC	H	69-51	W	100%	0.0
12-31	New Orleans (324.8)	SB	A	63-58	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Louisiana Lafayette (245.3)	SB	H	68-58	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Vanderbilt (21.7)	SEC	A	53-73	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Arkansas St. (203.1)	SB	A	67-69	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Arkansas Little Rock (299.3)	SB	A	66-52	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Florida International (295.8)	SB	H	58-65	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Florida Atlantic (217.2)	SB	H	60-61	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Western Kentucky (133.2)	SB	H	47-46	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Louisiana Monroe (274.3)	SB	A	69-60	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Western Kentucky (133.2)	SB	A	84-74	W	100%	0.0
1-28	New Orleans (324.8)	SB	H	66-46	W	100%	0.0
1-30	North Texas (100.4)	SB	H	69-64	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Troy (108.5)	SB	H	67-70	L	0%	0.0
2-6	South Alabama (209.9)	SB	A	80-68	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Denver (164.5)	SB	H	57-50	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Houston Baptist (330.4)	GWC	H	109-79	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Troy (108.5)	SB	A	62-66	L	0%	0.0
2-20	South Alabama (209.9)	SB	H	81-54	W	100%	0.0
2-25	Florida International (295.8)	SB	A	74-71	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Florida Atlantic (217.2)	SB	A	66-57	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Denver (164.5)	SB	N	58-73	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Middle Tennessee's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Middle Tennessee's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Middle Tennessee.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Middle Tennessee	SB	26.23	26.22	57.25	57.25	3.80	3.80
Troy	SB	4.27	4.27	55.56	55.56	0.47	0.47
South Alabama	SB	4.25	4.25	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Western Kentucky	SB	4.25	4.25	65.62	65.62	1.33	1.33
Denver	SB	4.16	4.16	60.00	60.00	0.83	0.83
Florida International	SB	4.11	4.11	17.24	17.24	-2.69	-2.69
Florida Atlantic	SB	4.11	4.11	42.31	42.31	-0.63	-0.63
New Orleans	SB	4.05	4.05	23.08	23.08	-2.18	-2.18
North Texas	SB	2.57	2.57	75.86	75.86	1.33	1.33
Arkansas St.	SB	2.53	2.53	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.48	2.48	35.71	35.71	-0.71	-0.71
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.45	2.45	44.44	44.44	-0.27	-0.27
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.42	2.42	22.22	22.22	-1.35	-1.35
Marshall	CUSA	1.92	1.92	70.37	69.78	0.78	0.76
Lamar	Slnd	1.86	1.86	37.04	37.04	-0.48	-0.48
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	1.86	1.86	24.14	24.14	-0.96	-0.96
UAB	CUSA	1.84	1.84	75.86	75.66	0.95	0.94
Houston Baptist	GWC	1.81	1.81	36.67	37.37	-0.48	-0.46
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.77	1.77	75.00	75.00	0.89	0.88
Ohio	MAC	1.75	1.75	53.33	52.76	0.12	0.10
Tennessee	SEC	1.75	1.75	75.86	76.50	0.91	0.93
Howard	MEAC	1.75	1.75	22.58	22.58	-0.96	-0.96
Belmont	ASun	1.67	1.67	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	1.67	1.67	12.00	12.00	-1.27	-1.27
Tulane	CUSA	0.31	0.31	26.67	26.67	-0.15	-0.14
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.29	0.31	55.56	54.66	0.03	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.26	0.26	44.83	45.22	-0.03	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.25	0.28	67.74	67.07	0.09	0.09
Florida	SEC	0.23	0.22	64.52	64.85	0.07	0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.20	0.19	74.19	74.20	0.10	0.09
Rice	CUSA	0.20	0.19	23.33	23.33	-0.11	-0.10
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.17	0.17	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.17	0.17	87.50	87.50	0.13	0.13
Houston	CUSA	0.16	0.16	50.00	49.21	0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.16	0.19	36.67	35.65	-0.04	-0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.16	0.16	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.16	0.16	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.07
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.15	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	73.08	73.18	0.07	0.07
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.14	0.14	82.76	83.00	0.09	0.09
Arkansas	SEC	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	64.00	64.72	0.03	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.12	57.69	56.45	0.02	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.12	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.12	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.05
Auburn	SEC	0.11	0.11	46.67	45.96	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.11	0.11	46.67	45.48	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.11	93.55	93.55	0.10	0.10
Mercer	ASun	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.11	0.11	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.11	43.33	44.10	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	37.93	37.76	-0.03	-0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.11	0.11	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.09	58.62	58.05	0.02	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.09	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.08	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	6.45	6.45	-0.07	-0.07
North Carolina	ACC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.08	0.08	18.75	18.71	-0.05	-0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.08	0.08	32.00	33.42	-0.03	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.11	73.33	73.05	0.04	0.05
Evansville	MVC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.08	0.08	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.52	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.08	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Akron	MAC	0.08	0.08	70.00	70.05	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.06	58.06	56.85	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.06	7.41	7.41	-0.05	-0.05
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	86.67	86.67	0.04	0.04
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.06	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.76	0.01	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	17.24	17.24	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.89	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	28.00	28.00	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	56.25	55.05	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.37	69.63	0.02	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	28.12	28.12	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	93.55	93.61	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	56.00	56.08	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.08	25.93	26.48	-0.03	-0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.73	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	51.72	50.46	0.00	0.00
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.35	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	39.40	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	48.28	47.09	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	54.84	53.26	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.10	0.02	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.68	0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	62.07	61.92	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.79	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	69.60	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.70	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.58	0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.94	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	44.83	46.01	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	76.84	0.01	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	65.52	64.59	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.58	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.62	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	32.99	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Middle Tennessee	SB	26.23	26.22	57.25	57.25	3.80	3.80
Troy	SB	4.27	4.27	55.56	55.56	0.47	0.47
South Alabama	SB	4.25	4.25	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Western Kentucky	SB	4.25	4.25	65.62	65.62	1.33	1.33
Denver	SB	4.16	4.16	60.00	60.00	0.83	0.83
Florida International	SB	4.11	4.11	17.24	17.24	-2.69	-2.69
Florida Atlantic	SB	4.11	4.11	42.31	42.31	-0.63	-0.63
New Orleans	SB	4.05	4.05	23.08	23.08	-2.18	-2.18
North Texas	SB	2.57	2.57	75.86	75.86	1.33	1.33
Arkansas St.	SB	2.53	2.53	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.48	2.48	35.71	35.71	-0.71	-0.71
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.45	2.45	44.44	44.44	-0.27	-0.27
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.42	2.42	22.22	22.22	-1.35	-1.35
Marshall	CUSA	1.92	1.92	70.37	69.78	0.78	0.76
Lamar	Slnd	1.86	1.86	37.04	37.04	-0.48	-0.48
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	1.86	1.86	24.14	24.14	-0.96	-0.96
UAB	CUSA	1.84	1.84	75.86	75.66	0.95	0.94
Houston Baptist	GWC	1.81	1.81	36.67	37.37	-0.48	-0.46
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.77	1.77	75.00	75.00	0.89	0.88
Ohio	MAC	1.75	1.75	53.33	52.76	0.12	0.10
Tennessee	SEC	1.75	1.75	75.86	76.50	0.91	0.93
Howard	MEAC	1.75	1.75	22.58	22.58	-0.96	-0.96
Belmont	ASun	1.67	1.67	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	1.67	1.67	12.00	12.00	-1.27	-1.27
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.29	0.31	55.56	54.66	0.03	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.31	0.31	26.67	26.67	-0.15	-0.14
Tulsa	CUSA	0.25	0.28	67.74	67.07	0.09	0.09
Georgia	SEC	0.26	0.26	44.83	45.22	-0.03	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.23	0.22	64.52	64.85	0.07	0.07
Rice	CUSA	0.20	0.19	23.33	23.33	-0.11	-0.10
Memphis	CUSA	0.20	0.19	74.19	74.20	0.10	0.09
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.16	0.19	36.67	35.65	-0.04	-0.05
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.17	0.17	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.17	0.17	87.50	87.50	0.13	0.13
Houston	CUSA	0.16	0.16	50.00	49.21	0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.16	0.16	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.16	0.16	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.15	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	73.08	73.18	0.07	0.07
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.14	0.14	82.76	83.00	0.09	0.09
Arkansas	SEC	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.12	57.69	56.45	0.02	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
South Dakota	GWC	0.12	0.12	64.00	64.72	0.03	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.12	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.05
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.11	0.11	46.67	45.96	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.12	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.11	93.55	93.55	0.10	0.10
Central Florida	CUSA	0.11	0.11	46.67	45.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.11	43.33	44.10	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	37.93	37.76	-0.03	-0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.11	0.11	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Bowling Green	MAC	0.11	0.11	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.11	73.33	73.05	0.04	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.09	58.62	58.05	0.02	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.09	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.08	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	6.45	6.45	-0.07	-0.07
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.08	0.08	18.75	18.71	-0.05	-0.05
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.08	0.08	32.00	33.42	-0.03	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.52	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.08	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.08	0.08	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.08	0.08	70.00	70.05	0.03	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.08	25.93	26.48	-0.03	-0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.06	58.06	56.85	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.06	7.41	7.41	-0.05	-0.05
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.06	75.86	75.86	0.03	0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.76	0.01	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	17.24	17.24	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	86.67	86.67	0.04	0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.89	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	28.00	28.00	-0.02	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.37	69.63	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	56.25	55.05	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	28.12	28.12	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.33	0.04	0.04
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	56.00	56.08	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	93.55	93.61	0.05	0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.73	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	51.72	50.46	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.35	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	39.40	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	54.84	53.26	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.68	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	48.28	47.09	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.10	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	62.07	61.92	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.79	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	69.60	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.70	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	65.52	64.59	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.58	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.58	0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.94	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	32.99	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	44.83	46.01	-0.00	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	76.84	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.62	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Middle Tennessee	SB	26.23	26.22	57.25	57.25	3.80	3.80
North Texas	SB	2.57	2.57	75.86	75.86	1.33	1.33
Western Kentucky	SB	4.25	4.25	65.62	65.62	1.33	1.33
UAB	CUSA	1.84	1.84	75.86	75.66	0.95	0.94
Tennessee	SEC	1.75	1.75	75.86	76.50	0.91	0.93
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.77	1.77	75.00	75.00	0.89	0.88
Denver	SB	4.16	4.16	60.00	60.00	0.83	0.83
Marshall	CUSA	1.92	1.92	70.37	69.78	0.78	0.76
Troy	SB	4.27	4.27	55.56	55.56	0.47	0.47
Belmont	ASun	1.67	1.67	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
South Alabama	SB	4.25	4.25	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Murray St.	OVC	0.17	0.17	87.50	87.50	0.13	0.13
Ohio	MAC	1.75	1.75	53.33	52.76	0.12	0.10
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.11	93.55	93.55	0.10	0.10
Memphis	CUSA	0.20	0.19	74.19	74.20	0.10	0.09
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.14	0.14	82.76	83.00	0.09	0.09
Tulsa	CUSA	0.25	0.28	67.74	67.07	0.09	0.09
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	73.08	73.18	0.07	0.07
Florida	SEC	0.23	0.22	64.52	64.85	0.07	0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	93.55	93.61	0.05	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.12	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.06	0.06	86.67	86.67	0.04	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04