The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Iowa St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Iowa St.

Conference:		B12
Expected RPI:		110.1
Current RPI:		114
Expected SOS:		40
Current SOS:		83
Current Record:		13-10
Expected Record:		16-15
Current Conf Record:		2-6
Expected Conf Record:		5-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-9
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-0
Current OOC Record:		11-4
Expected OOC Record:		11-4
Expected OOC RPI:		106
Expected OOC SOS:		218

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
20-11	60.0	0.03%
19-12	68.9	0.68%
18-13	79.5	5.15%
17-14	91.0	17.37%
16-15	104.2	31.48%
15-16	119.1	29.52%
14-17	135.6	13.44%
13-18	151.5	2.32%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Iowa St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	H	88-68	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Chicago St. (342.9)	GWC	H	72-50	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Drake (179.5)	MVC	A	90-70	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Mississippi Valley St. (319.2)	SWAC	H	96-55	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Tennessee St. (276.7)	OVC	H	84-53	W	100%	0.0
11-27	St. Louis (124.0)	A10	N	65-54	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	N	65-67	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	H	60-63	L	0%	0.0
12-5	California (24.1)	P10	A	63-82	L	0%	0.0
12-11	Iowa (199.8)	B10	H	81-71	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Bradley (115.5)	MVC	H	87-68	W	100%	0.0
12-22	North Dakota (331.1)	GWC	H	83-52	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Houston (144.5)	CUSA	H	82-75	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Duke (3.7)	ACC	N	65-86	L	0%	0.0
1-9	North Dakota St. (269.1)	Sum	H	73-71	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Texas (15.2)	B12	H	83-90	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Nebraska (127.1)	B12	A	56-53	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Texas Tech (54.4)	B12	A	71-78	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Kansas (1.8)	B12	H	61-84	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Oklahoma (79.8)	B12	A	84-89	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Colorado (136.4)	B12	H	64-63	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Baylor (23.2)	B12	A	63-84	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Kansas St. (7.0)	B12	H	75-79	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Missouri (39.0)	B12	A	0-0		12%	-13.0
2-13	Kansas (1.8)	B12	A	0-0		4%	-19.4
2-17	Oklahoma St. (47.7)	B12	H	0-0		55%	1.3
2-20	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	H	0-0		46%	-1.2
2-24	Nebraska (127.1)	B12	H	0-0		67%	4.8
2-27	Colorado (136.4)	B12	A	0-0		40%	-2.7
3-2	Missouri (39.0)	B12	H	0-0		32%	-5.0
3-6	Kansas St. (7.0)	B12	A	0-0		10%	-14.3

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Iowa St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Iowa St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Iowa St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Iowa St.	B12	26.13	26.12	49.49	44.56	-0.26	-2.84
Nebraska	B12	2.53	3.88	59.09	52.77	0.46	0.21
Kansas	B12	2.52	3.85	95.45	90.85	2.29	3.15
Texas	B12	2.47	2.18	81.82	78.05	1.57	1.22
Oklahoma	B12	2.42	2.18	57.14	49.45	0.35	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	2.42	3.82	80.95	78.44	1.50	2.17
Baylor	B12	2.42	2.15	75.00	71.76	1.21	0.94
Drake	MVC	2.42	1.78	45.83	44.64	-0.20	-0.19
Colorado	B12	2.42	3.81	45.00	41.38	-0.24	-0.66
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.37	1.78	90.91	87.79	1.94	1.34
Bradley	MVC	2.36	1.78	54.55	52.01	0.21	0.07
Iowa	B10	2.36	1.77	34.78	31.85	-0.72	-0.64
Texas Tech	B12	2.32	2.15	66.67	57.89	0.77	0.34
St. Louis	A10	2.27	1.69	65.00	58.13	0.68	0.28
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.27	1.66	20.83	24.84	-1.32	-0.84
North Dakota	GWC	2.26	1.75	16.67	28.91	-1.51	-0.74
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.23	1.64	23.81	28.23	-1.17	-0.71
Houston	CUSA	2.22	1.64	50.00	52.64	0.00	0.09
California	P10	2.22	1.66	63.64	67.33	0.61	0.58
Chicago St.	GWC	2.22	1.75	21.05	21.36	-1.29	-1.00
Idaho St.	BSky	2.22	1.64	20.00	24.92	-1.33	-0.82
Northwestern	B10	2.22	1.72	68.18	66.86	0.81	0.58
Duke	ACC	2.17	1.61	81.82	81.74	1.38	1.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	2.17	1.61	35.00	35.32	-0.65	-0.47
Texas A&M	B12	0.40	2.18	72.73	67.29	0.18	0.75
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.40	2.18	69.57	64.18	0.15	0.62
Wichita St.	MVC	0.38	0.25	79.17	77.30	0.22	0.13
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.31	0.25	38.10	38.08	-0.07	-0.06
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.31	0.28	12.00	18.82	-0.23	-0.17
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.30	0.17	36.36	37.37	-0.08	-0.04
Missouri	B12	0.29	3.82	73.91	70.09	0.14	1.54
Missouri St.	MVC	0.28	0.19	66.67	64.62	0.09	0.06
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.28	0.19	54.55	54.05	0.03	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.26	0.18	36.84	39.02	-0.07	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.26	0.23	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.25	0.22	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.04
Southern California	P10	0.24	0.16	60.87	59.61	0.05	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.23	0.18	66.67	59.01	0.08	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.23	0.13	79.17	76.61	0.14	0.07
Creighton	MVC	0.23	0.22	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.21	0.22	77.27	70.93	0.11	0.09
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.20	0.11	77.27	75.69	0.11	0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.14	81.82	83.61	0.13	0.09
Arkansas	SEC	0.20	0.11	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.19	0.16	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.19	0.16	22.73	22.60	-0.10	-0.09
Indiana St.	MVC	0.19	0.16	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.19	0.10	75.00	73.72	0.09	0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.18	0.16	66.67	63.46	0.06	0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.17	0.12	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.06
Montana	BSky	0.16	0.09	68.18	70.35	0.06	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.12	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.07
Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.14	19.05	20.58	-0.10	-0.08
Centenary	Sum	0.15	0.09	27.27	27.20	-0.07	-0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.15	0.11	19.05	20.55	-0.09	-0.07
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.15	0.25	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.15	0.11	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.15	0.14	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.15	0.16	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.15	0.13	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.15	0.08	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.15	0.11	87.50	87.42	0.11	0.08
Washington St.	P10	0.15	0.14	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.11	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.14	0.14	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.05
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.14	0.08	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.14	0.13	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.14	0.11	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.14	0.08	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.14	0.11	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.08	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.14	0.08	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.08	86.96	85.47	0.10	0.06
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.11	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.11	0.09	18.18	19.18	-0.07	-0.06
Samford	SC	0.10	0.08	28.57	31.03	-0.04	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.11	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.11	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.05
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.05	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.10	0.05	22.22	26.51	-0.06	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.05	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.11	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.08	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.12	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.04
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.10	0.09	8.70	9.54	-0.08	-0.07
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.05	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.11	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.11	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.11	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.08	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.05	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.05	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.10	0.08	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.11	0.00	5.15	-0.10	-0.09
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.08	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.08	27.27	29.40	-0.04	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.08	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.05
Washington	P10	0.10	0.11	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.08	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.13	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.08	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.05	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.09	0.05	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.05	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.05	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.05	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Radford	BSth	0.09	0.08	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.05	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.10	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.06
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.08	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.10	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.13	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.09	0.08	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.05
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.08	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.05	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.10	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.13	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.05	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.09	0.10	5.00	8.59	-0.08	-0.09
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.12	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.05
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.08	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.08	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.05
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.08	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.08	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.11	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.05
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.04
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.05	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.05	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.02
Temple	A10	0.05	0.08	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.08	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.04	0.05	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.04	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.04	0.05	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.04	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.04	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.05	33.33	33.00	-0.00	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.05	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.00	0.05	61.90	63.69	0.00	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.08	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.05	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.00	0.05	30.00	31.19	-0.00	-0.02
Seattle	ind	0.00	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.08	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.00	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.00	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.00	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.00	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.00	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.00	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Iowa St.	B12	26.13	26.12	49.49	44.56	-0.26	-2.84
Nebraska	B12	2.53	3.88	59.09	52.77	0.46	0.21
Kansas	B12	2.52	3.85	95.45	90.85	2.29	3.15
Missouri	B12	0.29	3.82	73.91	70.09	0.14	1.54
Kansas St.	B12	2.42	3.82	80.95	78.44	1.50	2.17
Colorado	B12	2.42	3.81	45.00	41.38	-0.24	-0.66
Texas A&M	B12	0.40	2.18	72.73	67.29	0.18	0.75
Oklahoma	B12	2.42	2.18	57.14	49.45	0.35	-0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.40	2.18	69.57	64.18	0.15	0.62
Texas	B12	2.47	2.18	81.82	78.05	1.57	1.22
Texas Tech	B12	2.32	2.15	66.67	57.89	0.77	0.34
Baylor	B12	2.42	2.15	75.00	71.76	1.21	0.94
Drake	MVC	2.42	1.78	45.83	44.64	-0.20	-0.19
Bradley	MVC	2.36	1.78	54.55	52.01	0.21	0.07
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.37	1.78	90.91	87.79	1.94	1.34
Iowa	B10	2.36	1.77	34.78	31.85	-0.72	-0.64
North Dakota	GWC	2.26	1.75	16.67	28.91	-1.51	-0.74
Chicago St.	GWC	2.22	1.75	21.05	21.36	-1.29	-1.00
Northwestern	B10	2.22	1.72	68.18	66.86	0.81	0.58
St. Louis	A10	2.27	1.69	65.00	58.13	0.68	0.28
California	P10	2.22	1.66	63.64	67.33	0.61	0.58
Tennessee St.	OVC	2.27	1.66	20.83	24.84	-1.32	-0.84
Idaho St.	BSky	2.22	1.64	20.00	24.92	-1.33	-0.82
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.23	1.64	23.81	28.23	-1.17	-0.71
Houston	CUSA	2.22	1.64	50.00	52.64	0.00	0.09
Duke	ACC	2.17	1.61	81.82	81.74	1.38	1.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	2.17	1.61	35.00	35.32	-0.65	-0.47
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.31	0.28	12.00	18.82	-0.23	-0.17
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.31	0.25	38.10	38.08	-0.07	-0.06
Wichita St.	MVC	0.38	0.25	79.17	77.30	0.22	0.13
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.15	0.25	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.26	0.23	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.21	0.22	77.27	70.93	0.11	0.09
Oregon St.	P10	0.25	0.22	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.23	0.22	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.28	0.19	66.67	64.62	0.09	0.06
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.28	0.19	54.55	54.05	0.03	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.23	0.18	66.67	59.01	0.08	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.26	0.18	36.84	39.02	-0.07	-0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.30	0.17	36.36	37.37	-0.08	-0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.19	0.16	22.73	22.60	-0.10	-0.09
Illinois St.	MVC	0.18	0.16	66.67	63.46	0.06	0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.19	0.16	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.15	0.16	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.24	0.16	60.87	59.61	0.05	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.19	0.16	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.14	0.14	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.05
Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.14	19.05	20.58	-0.10	-0.08
Arizona	P10	0.15	0.14	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.14	81.82	83.61	0.13	0.09
Washington St.	P10	0.15	0.14	63.64	58.79	0.04	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.13	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.15	0.13	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.14	0.13	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.13	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.13	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.23	0.13	79.17	76.61	0.14	0.07
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.17	0.12	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.06
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.12	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.05
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.12	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.12	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.07
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.11	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.11	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.15	0.11	19.05	20.55	-0.09	-0.07
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.11	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.11	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.05
Brigham Young	MWC	0.15	0.11	87.50	87.42	0.11	0.08
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.15	0.11	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.11	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.20	0.11	77.27	75.69	0.11	0.06
Washington	P10	0.10	0.11	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.11	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.11	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.20	0.11	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.11	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.14	0.11	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.11	0.00	5.15	-0.10	-0.09
UCLA	P10	0.14	0.11	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.19	0.10	75.00	73.72	0.09	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.10	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.09	0.10	5.00	8.59	-0.08	-0.09
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.10	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.10	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.06
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.11	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.16	0.09	68.18	70.35	0.06	0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.11	0.09	18.18	19.18	-0.07	-0.06
Centenary	Sum	0.15	0.09	27.27	27.20	-0.07	-0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.10	0.09	8.70	9.54	-0.08	-0.07
Samford	SC	0.10	0.08	28.57	31.03	-0.04	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.08	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.08	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.08	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.08	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.08	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.08	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.08	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.08	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.08	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.08	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.15	0.08	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.10	0.08	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.14	0.08	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.14	0.08	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.08	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.08	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.08	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.08	27.27	25.82	-0.04	-0.04
Temple	A10	0.05	0.08	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.04
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.08	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.08	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.14	0.08	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.08	27.27	29.40	-0.04	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.08	86.96	85.47	0.10	0.06
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.08	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.03
Purdue	B10	0.09	0.08	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.05
Radford	BSth	0.09	0.08	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.04	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	47.62	48.65	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.11	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.06	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.05	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.10	0.05	22.22	26.51	-0.06	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.00	0.05	61.90	63.69	0.00	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.05	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.05	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.04	0.05	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.05	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.05	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.05	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.05	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.05	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.05	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.05	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.05	33.33	33.00	-0.00	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.09	0.05	20.00	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.05	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.04	0.05	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.05	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.05	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.05	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.00	0.05	30.00	31.19	-0.00	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.05	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.05	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02