The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Kent St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Kent St.

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		57.5
Current RPI:		65
Expected SOS:		104
Current SOS:		111
Current Record:		16-7
Expected Record:		21-9
Current Conf Record:		8-2
Expected Conf Record:		12-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		11-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-1
Current OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC Record:		9-5
Expected OOC RPI:		50
Expected OOC SOS:		28

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
23-7	41.2	9.11%
22-8	49.8	29.00%
21-9	58.0	33.89%
20-10	66.9	20.16%
19-11	76.7	6.39%
18-12	88.2	1.31%
17-13	101.0	0.13%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Kent St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Samford (257.2)	SC	H	69-66	W	100%	0.0
11-14	UAB (34.4)	CUSA	H	72-65	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	H	86-87	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Youngstown St. (257.4)	Horz	A	70-61	W	100%	0.0
11-25	South Florida (64.9)	BE	A	54-76	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Morehead St. (95.2)	OVC	A	63-57	W	100%	0.0
12-4	Xavier (26.6)	A10	A	61-77	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Pittsburgh (26.0)	BE	A	59-71	L	0%	0.0
12-20	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (145.1)	Slnd	H	85-76	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Robert Morris (153.8)	NEC	A	71-57	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Wofford (100.2)	SC	N	73-66	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Northeastern (49.2)	CAA	N	58-61	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Norfolk St. (309.1)	MEAC	H	84-66	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	A	62-60	W	100%	0.0
1-12	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	A	53-55	L	0%	0.0
1-17	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	H	70-76	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Buffalo (134.2)	MAC	H	89-54	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Akron (113.3)	MAC	H	87-70	W	100%	0.0
1-26	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	A	69-49	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	H	74-73	W	100%	0.0
2-1	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	H	76-46	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Eastern Michigan (213.6)	MAC	A	75-68	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	A	68-63	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	H	0-0		91%	14.3
2-13	Buffalo (134.2)	MAC	A	0-0		64%	4.0
2-17	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	H	0-0		78%	8.2
2-20	Western Carolina (101.2)	SC	H	0-0		80%	9.0
2-24	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	A	0-0		72%	6.3
2-27	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	H	0-0		79%	9.0
3-5	Akron (113.3)	MAC	A	0-0		45%	-1.3

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Kent St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Kent St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Kent St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Kent St.	MAC	26.14	26.15	71.56	71.71	11.27	11.36
Miami OH	MAC	2.63	4.00	40.91	46.78	-0.48	-0.26
Western Michigan	MAC	2.62	2.27	57.14	58.64	0.37	0.39
Bowling Green	MAC	2.62	3.99	45.00	44.27	-0.26	-0.46
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.62	2.27	50.00	48.53	0.00	-0.07
Buffalo	MAC	2.62	3.99	57.89	54.73	0.41	0.38
Ohio	MAC	2.62	4.03	52.38	53.80	0.12	0.31
Toledo	MAC	2.58	2.25	9.09	10.44	-2.11	-1.78
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.57	2.25	38.10	38.71	-0.61	-0.51
Akron	MAC	2.57	3.97	72.73	68.76	1.17	1.49
Central Michigan	MAC	2.57	2.27	52.63	54.23	0.14	0.19
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	2.43	1.85	59.09	56.20	0.44	0.23
Youngstown St.	Horz	2.41	1.81	30.00	28.79	-0.96	-0.77
Pittsburgh	BE	2.37	1.84	72.73	69.83	1.08	0.73
Xavier	A10	2.32	1.81	68.18	70.45	0.85	0.74
Samford	SC	2.32	1.84	30.00	32.23	-0.93	-0.65
South Florida	BE	2.28	1.72	63.64	60.87	0.62	0.37
Robert Morris	NEC	2.28	1.78	69.57	66.16	0.89	0.58
UAB	CUSA	2.27	1.73	86.36	81.27	1.65	1.08
Northeastern	CAA	2.22	1.70	65.22	67.01	0.68	0.58
Wofford	SC	2.22	1.75	69.57	70.28	0.87	0.71
Morehead St.	OVC	2.17	1.67	71.43	70.39	0.93	0.68
Norfolk St.	MEAC	2.17	1.67	25.00	28.26	-1.09	-0.72
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	2.17	1.67	50.00	54.57	0.00	0.15
Ball St.	MAC	0.50	2.24	52.38	53.19	0.02	0.14
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.35	0.26	22.73	22.57	-0.19	-0.14
Detroit	Horz	0.30	0.29	56.52	58.43	0.04	0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.29	0.32	62.50	65.32	0.07	0.10
Cincinnati	BE	0.28	0.22	60.87	55.54	0.06	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.25	0.23	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Temple	A10	0.25	0.23	79.17	77.57	0.14	0.13
Elon	SC	0.24	0.23	19.05	23.26	-0.15	-0.12
NC Greensboro	SC	0.24	0.23	21.74	24.84	-0.14	-0.12
Butler	Horz	0.24	0.20	83.33	83.91	0.16	0.14
Valparaiso	Horz	0.24	0.29	40.91	43.37	-0.04	-0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.21	0.12	20.00	20.57	-0.12	-0.07
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.20	0.20	27.27	25.82	-0.09	-0.10
The Citadel	SC	0.20	0.18	45.45	45.80	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.15	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.20	0.20	22.73	23.47	-0.11	-0.11
College of Charleston	SC	0.20	0.18	66.67	65.62	0.07	0.05
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.20	0.12	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.20	0.17	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.20	0.17	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.19	0.14	30.43	30.27	-0.07	-0.06
Canisius	MAAC	0.16	0.15	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.16	0.14	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.15	0.15	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.15	0.12	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.05
James Madison	CAA	0.15	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.15	0.12	20.00	24.04	-0.09	-0.06
Monmouth	NEC	0.15	0.08	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.15	0.14	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.14	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.14	0.08	33.33	33.00	-0.05	-0.03
Davidson	SC	0.14	0.17	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.14	0.18	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.14	72.73	71.91	0.06	0.06
Seton Hall	BE	0.14	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.11	26.09	26.91	-0.07	-0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.14	77.27	77.12	0.08	0.08
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.14	0.11	86.36	81.50	0.10	0.07
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.14	0.08	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.14	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.13	0.07
Drexel	CAA	0.14	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.11	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.09	-0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.11	0.12	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.08
Lamar	Slnd	0.11	0.12	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.09	70.59	72.98	0.04	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.10	0.09	22.22	26.51	-0.06	-0.04
Texas	B12	0.10	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.05
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.09	68.00	67.20	0.04	0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.11	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.10	-0.05
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.12	9.52	8.87	-0.08	-0.09
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.11	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.08	77.27	75.69	0.05	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.10	0.12	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.08	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	1.76	71.43	71.33	0.04	0.75
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.11	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.10	0.08	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.08	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.09	0.09	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.09	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.05	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.08	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.05
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.09	0.08	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.08	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.09	0.11	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.05	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.09	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.05	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.09	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.09	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.05
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.09	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.07
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.09	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.08	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.03	35.00	38.23	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.05	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.08	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.02	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.15	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.15	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.09
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.00	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.00	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.00	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.00	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.00	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.00	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.00	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.00	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.00	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.00	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.00	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.00	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.00	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.00	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.00	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.05	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Kent St.	MAC	26.14	26.15	71.56	71.71	11.27	11.36
Ohio	MAC	2.62	4.03	52.38	53.80	0.12	0.31
Miami OH	MAC	2.63	4.00	40.91	46.78	-0.48	-0.26
Bowling Green	MAC	2.62	3.99	45.00	44.27	-0.26	-0.46
Buffalo	MAC	2.62	3.99	57.89	54.73	0.41	0.38
Akron	MAC	2.57	3.97	72.73	68.76	1.17	1.49
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.62	2.27	50.00	48.53	0.00	-0.07
Western Michigan	MAC	2.62	2.27	57.14	58.64	0.37	0.39
Central Michigan	MAC	2.57	2.27	52.63	54.23	0.14	0.19
Toledo	MAC	2.58	2.25	9.09	10.44	-2.11	-1.78
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.57	2.25	38.10	38.71	-0.61	-0.51
Ball St.	MAC	0.50	2.24	52.38	53.19	0.02	0.14
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	2.43	1.85	59.09	56.20	0.44	0.23
Samford	SC	2.32	1.84	30.00	32.23	-0.93	-0.65
Pittsburgh	BE	2.37	1.84	72.73	69.83	1.08	0.73
Xavier	A10	2.32	1.81	68.18	70.45	0.85	0.74
Youngstown St.	Horz	2.41	1.81	30.00	28.79	-0.96	-0.77
Robert Morris	NEC	2.28	1.78	69.57	66.16	0.89	0.58
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	1.76	71.43	71.33	0.04	0.75
Wofford	SC	2.22	1.75	69.57	70.28	0.87	0.71
UAB	CUSA	2.27	1.73	86.36	81.27	1.65	1.08
South Florida	BE	2.28	1.72	63.64	60.87	0.62	0.37
Northeastern	CAA	2.22	1.70	65.22	67.01	0.68	0.58
Morehead St.	OVC	2.17	1.67	71.43	70.39	0.93	0.68
Norfolk St.	MEAC	2.17	1.67	25.00	28.26	-1.09	-0.72
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	2.17	1.67	50.00	54.57	0.00	0.15
Wright St.	Horz	0.29	0.32	62.50	65.32	0.07	0.10
Detroit	Horz	0.30	0.29	56.52	58.43	0.04	0.05
Valparaiso	Horz	0.24	0.29	40.91	43.37	-0.04	-0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.35	0.26	22.73	22.57	-0.19	-0.14
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.25	0.23	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.24	0.23	19.05	23.26	-0.15	-0.12
NC Greensboro	SC	0.24	0.23	21.74	24.84	-0.14	-0.12
Temple	A10	0.25	0.23	79.17	77.57	0.14	0.13
Cincinnati	BE	0.28	0.22	60.87	55.54	0.06	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.20	0.20	22.73	23.47	-0.11	-0.11
Butler	Horz	0.24	0.20	83.33	83.91	0.16	0.14
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.20	0.20	27.27	25.82	-0.09	-0.10
The Citadel	SC	0.20	0.18	45.45	45.80	-0.02	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.14	0.18	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.20	0.18	66.67	65.62	0.07	0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.20	0.17	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.14	0.17	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.20	0.17	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.16	0.15	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.15	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.20	0.15	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.15	0.15	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.15	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.09
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.15	0.14	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.16	0.14	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.14	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.14	72.73	71.91	0.06	0.06
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.19	0.14	30.43	30.27	-0.07	-0.06
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.14	77.27	77.12	0.08	0.08
Purdue	B10	0.11	0.12	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.08
Chicago St.	GWC	0.21	0.12	20.00	20.57	-0.12	-0.07
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.15	0.12	20.00	24.04	-0.09	-0.06
Lamar	Slnd	0.11	0.12	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.15	0.12	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.05
Furman	SC	0.10	0.12	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.20	0.12	38.10	41.29	-0.05	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.12	9.52	8.87	-0.08	-0.09
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.11	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.11	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.14	0.11	26.09	26.91	-0.07	-0.05
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.11	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.14	0.11	86.36	81.50	0.10	0.07
Providence	BE	0.09	0.11	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.09	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.09	70.59	72.98	0.04	0.04
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.09	68.00	67.20	0.04	0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.09	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.07
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.10	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.05
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.09	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.10	0.09	22.22	26.51	-0.06	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.09	0.09	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.09	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.15	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.10	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.15	0.08	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.08	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.08	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.08	77.27	75.69	0.05	0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.14	0.08	33.33	33.00	-0.05	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.14	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.08	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.10	0.08	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.08	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.14	0.08	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.08	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.14	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.08	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.14	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.13	0.07
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.05
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.09	0.08	39.13	47.65	-0.02	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.11	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.09	-0.04
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.09	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.10	-0.05
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.09	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.05	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.05	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.05	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.04
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.05	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.05	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.05	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.00	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.00	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.00	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.00	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.00	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.00	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.00	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.00	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.00	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.00	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Maine	AE	0.05	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01