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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Kent St.

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:142.0
Current RPI:142
Expected SOS:195
Current SOS:195
Current Record:21-13
Expected Record:21-13
Current Conf Record:14-8
Expected Conf Record:14-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-4
Current OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC RPI:232
Expected OOC SOS:331



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
21-13142.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Kent St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Cleveland St. (260.0)HorzN74-79W100%0.0
11-16Mississippi Valley St. (334.0)SWACH93-63W100%0.0
11-21South Dakota (123.0)SumN80-77L0%0.0
11-22George Mason (103.0)A10N79-75L0%0.0
11-23Wofford (190.0)SCN66-59W100%0.0
11-27Northeastern (136.0)CAAA73-70L0%0.0
12-2Grambling St. (317.0)SWACH86-57W100%0.0
12-7Niagara (275.0)MAACH100-72W100%0.0
12-10NJIT (290.0)ASunH87-71W100%0.0
12-18Wright St. (115.0)HorzH63-68L0%0.0
12-21Oregon St. (280.0)P12A69-50L0%0.0
12-27Texas (156.0)B12A58-63W100%0.0
1-3Ball St. (169.0)MACH100-90W100%0.0
1-6Ohio (117.0)MACA85-67L0%0.0
1-10Northern Illinois (241.0)MACH70-74L0%0.0
1-14Western Michigan (173.0)MACA92-88L0%0.0
1-17Buffalo (146.0)MACH69-82L0%0.0
1-21Toledo (155.0)MACH85-61W100%0.0
1-24Northern Illinois (241.0)MACA66-73W100%0.0
1-28Central Michigan (216.0)MACH98-105L0%0.0
1-31Eastern Michigan (174.0)MACA64-70W100%0.0
2-4Miami OH (302.0)MACA62-66W100%0.0
2-7Bowling Green (225.0)MACH83-84L0%0.0
2-11Toledo (155.0)MACA78-58L0%0.0
2-14Miami OH (302.0)MACH76-72W100%0.0
2-17Akron (58.0)MACA67-70W100%0.0
2-21Buffalo (146.0)MACA69-77W100%0.0
2-25Ohio (117.0)MACH70-67W100%0.0
2-28Bowling Green (225.0)MACA67-74W100%0.0
3-3Akron (58.0)MACH56-66L0%0.0
3-6Central Michigan (216.0)MACH116-106W100%0.0
3-9Buffalo (146.0)MACN65-68W100%0.0
3-10Ohio (117.0)MACN66-68W100%0.0
3-11Akron (58.0)MACN65-70W100%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Kent St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Kent St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Kent St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Kent St.MAC26.4826.4860.1260.125.365.36
OhioMAC5.225.2266.6766.671.741.74
AkronMAC5.215.2180.0080.003.133.13
BuffaloMAC5.205.2051.8551.850.190.19
Miami OHMAC3.853.8532.1432.14-1.38-1.38
Bowling GreenMAC3.823.8237.9337.93-0.92-0.92
ToledoMAC3.793.7950.0050.000.000.00
Central MichiganMAC3.713.7146.4346.43-0.27-0.27
Northern IllinoisMAC3.663.6640.7440.74-0.68-0.68
Eastern MichiganMAC2.422.4242.8642.86-0.35-0.35
Western MichiganMAC2.412.4146.6746.67-0.16-0.16
Ball St.MAC2.382.3864.5264.520.690.69
Cleveland St.Horz1.621.6227.5927.59-0.72-0.72
Wright St.Horz1.611.6158.6258.620.280.28
Grambling St.SWAC1.571.5744.8344.83-0.16-0.16
NiagaraMAAC1.541.5431.2531.25-0.58-0.58
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC1.521.5222.5822.58-0.83-0.83
South DakotaSum1.521.5263.3363.330.400.40
George MasonA101.471.4758.0658.060.240.24
NJITASun1.471.4732.1432.14-0.53-0.53
NortheasternCAA1.471.4746.6746.67-0.10-0.10
Oregon St.P121.471.4710.0010.00-1.18-1.18
TexasB121.471.4734.3834.38-0.46-0.46
WoffordSC1.471.4744.8344.83-0.15-0.15
Green BayHorz0.290.2955.1755.170.030.03
Youngstown St.Horz0.260.2634.3834.38-0.08-0.08
DetroitHorz0.220.2223.3323.33-0.12-0.12
OaklandHorz0.190.1973.3373.330.090.09
MarshallCUSA0.190.1955.8855.880.020.02
MilwaukeeHorz0.170.1729.4129.41-0.07-0.07
Northern KentuckyHorz0.170.1768.7568.750.060.06
Tennessee TechOVC0.170.1733.3333.33-0.06-0.06
SouthernSWAC0.170.1743.3343.33-0.02-0.02
St. BonaventureA100.170.1762.5062.500.040.04
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.170.1735.4835.48-0.05-0.05
Alabama A&MSWAC0.170.176.906.90-0.14-0.14
Coppin St.MEAC0.160.1623.3323.33-0.09-0.09
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.150.1541.9441.94-0.02-0.02
IUPUISum0.140.1440.0040.00-0.03-0.03
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.140.1420.0020.00-0.09-0.09
IonaMAAC0.140.1464.7164.710.040.04
CanisiusMAAC0.140.1454.5554.550.010.01
CreightonBE0.140.1472.7372.730.060.06
MercerSC0.140.1443.3343.33-0.02-0.02
Indiana St.MVC0.120.1233.3333.33-0.04-0.04
ValparaisoHorz0.120.1274.1974.190.060.06
Western IllinoisSum0.120.1223.0823.08-0.06-0.06
Texas SouthernSWAC0.120.1267.6567.650.040.04
Fort WayneSum0.120.1257.1457.140.020.02
Alabama St.SWAC0.120.1223.3323.33-0.06-0.06
Alcorn St.SWAC0.120.1251.7251.720.000.00
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.120.1284.3884.380.080.08
GonzagaWCC0.110.1196.9796.970.110.11
PittsburghACC0.100.1048.4848.48-0.00-0.00
North FloridaASun0.100.1036.6736.67-0.03-0.03
ElonCAA0.100.1053.3353.330.010.01
Georgia TechACC0.100.1051.6151.610.000.00
MaineAE0.100.1019.3519.35-0.06-0.06
NevadaMWC0.100.1082.3582.350.060.06
DelawareCAA0.100.1035.4835.48-0.03-0.03
Montana St.BSky0.100.1046.6746.67-0.01-0.01
William & MaryCAA0.100.1051.7251.720.000.00
Jackson St.SWAC0.090.0941.3841.38-0.02-0.02
ColoradoP120.090.0956.2556.250.010.01
James MadisonCAA0.090.0928.1228.12-0.04-0.04
TowsonCAA0.090.0959.3859.380.020.02
EvansvilleMVC0.090.0945.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.090.0987.8887.880.070.07
West VirginiaB120.090.0976.4776.470.050.05
LipscombASun0.080.0856.6756.670.010.01
MinnesotaB100.080.0872.7372.730.030.03
VermontAE0.070.0784.8584.850.050.05
Austin PeayOVC0.070.0732.1432.14-0.03-0.03
ChattanoogaSC0.070.0758.6258.620.010.01
UNC GreensboroSC0.070.0770.9770.970.030.03
BryantNEC0.070.0735.4835.48-0.02-0.02
Robert MorrisNEC0.070.0742.4242.42-0.01-0.01
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.070.0756.6756.670.010.01
Weber St.BSky0.070.0756.6756.670.010.01
Western KentuckyCUSA0.070.0746.8846.88-0.00-0.00
XavierBE0.070.0761.7661.760.020.02
Nebraska OmahaSum0.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
Murray St.OVC0.070.0745.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Long Beach St.BW0.070.0740.6240.62-0.01-0.01
CaliforniaP120.070.0763.6463.640.020.02
South Dakota St.Sum0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
HofstraCAA0.070.0745.1645.16-0.01-0.01
UCLAP120.070.0787.8887.880.050.05
UMKCWAC0.070.0746.6746.67-0.00-0.00
BradleyMVC0.070.0737.5037.50-0.02-0.02
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.070.0753.3353.330.000.00
DrexelCAA0.070.0725.8125.81-0.03-0.03
Norfolk St.MEAC0.070.0748.3948.39-0.00-0.00
TCUB120.070.0754.5554.550.010.01
Saint Joseph'sA100.070.0735.4835.48-0.02-0.02
Saint LouisA100.070.0736.3636.36-0.02-0.02
VCUA100.070.0776.4776.470.040.04
Iowa St.B120.070.0769.7069.700.030.03
Air ForceMWC0.070.0732.2632.26-0.02-0.02
AmericanPat0.070.0726.6726.67-0.03-0.03
Georgia SouthernSB0.070.0753.3353.330.000.00
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.070.0737.5037.50-0.02-0.02
MonmouthMAAC0.070.0781.8281.820.040.04
QuinnipiacMAAC0.070.0732.2632.26-0.02-0.02
RadfordBSth0.070.0740.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Texas TechB120.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
UC IrvineBW0.070.0757.5857.580.010.01
Cal PolyBW0.050.0531.0331.03-0.02-0.02
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.050.0535.7135.71-0.01-0.01
FIUCUSA0.050.0517.2417.24-0.03-0.03
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.050.0576.6776.670.030.03
IdahoBSky0.050.0555.1755.170.010.01
JacksonvilleASun0.050.0546.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Kennesaw St.ASun0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
South FloridaAmer0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
StetsonASun0.050.0527.5927.59-0.02-0.02
USC UpstateASun0.050.0546.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Georgia St.SB0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
PurdueB100.050.0578.1278.120.030.03
Stony BrookAE0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
Chicago St.WAC0.050.0510.3410.34-0.04-0.04
East Tennessee St.SC0.050.0578.1278.120.030.03
FurmanSC0.050.0563.3363.330.010.01
IllinoisB100.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
Little RockSB0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
MissouriSEC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
PepperdineWCC0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
SamfordSC0.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
The CitadelSC0.050.0530.0030.00-0.02-0.02
UCFAmer0.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
VMISC0.050.0514.2914.29-0.04-0.04
Western CarolinaSC0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
UMass LowellAE0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Savannah St.MEAC0.050.0540.7440.74-0.01-0.01
BrownIvy0.050.0539.2939.29-0.01-0.01
DuquesneA100.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
Penn St.B100.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Boston UniversityPat0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
CincinnatiAmer0.050.0585.2985.290.030.03
College of CharlestonCAA0.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
DenverSum0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Morgan St.MEAC0.050.0544.8344.83-0.00-0.00
North Dakota St.Sum0.050.0560.7160.710.010.01
Oral RobertsSum0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
OregonP120.050.0584.8584.850.030.03
PortlandWCC0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
San Jose St.MWC0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
StanfordP120.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
USCP120.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
UtahP120.050.0562.0762.070.010.01
WashingtonP120.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
Louisiana MonroeSB0.050.0522.5822.58-0.03-0.03
DrakeMVC0.050.0520.6920.69-0.03-0.03
HoustonAmer0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
Michigan St.B100.050.0557.5857.580.010.01
LIU BrooklynNEC0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
FordhamA100.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
George WashingtonA100.050.0557.5857.580.010.01
LongwoodBSth0.050.0514.2914.29-0.03-0.03
MassachusettsA100.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
RichmondA100.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
AlabamaSEC0.050.0557.5857.580.010.01
NorthwesternB100.050.0567.6567.650.020.02
BaylorB120.040.0477.4277.420.020.02
FairfieldMAAC0.040.0453.3353.330.000.00
KansasB120.040.0487.5087.500.030.03
Kansas St.B120.040.0460.6160.610.010.01
ManhattanMAAC0.040.0431.2531.25-0.02-0.02
MaristMAAC0.040.0425.0025.00-0.02-0.02
OklahomaB120.040.0435.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Oklahoma St.B120.040.0461.2961.290.010.01
RiderMAAC0.040.0454.5554.550.000.00
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.040.0459.3859.380.010.01
SienaMAAC0.040.0450.0050.000.000.00
ColgatePat0.030.0329.0329.03-0.01-0.01
Gardner WebbBSth0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
Idaho St.BSky0.030.0313.3313.33-0.02-0.02
LafayettePat0.030.0327.5927.59-0.01-0.01
SMUAmer0.030.0388.2488.240.020.02
St. Francis PANEC0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
SyracuseACC0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
TempleAmer0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Utah St.MWC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Arkansas St.SB0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
BelmontOVC0.020.0277.7877.780.010.01
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.020.0226.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.020.0267.8667.860.010.01
Coastal CarolinaSB0.020.0245.1645.16-0.00-0.00
East CarolinaAmer0.020.0245.4545.45-0.00-0.00
KentuckySEC0.020.0285.2985.290.020.02
Louisiana TechCUSA0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
LSUSEC0.020.0232.2632.26-0.01-0.01
Miami FLACC0.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.020.023.333.33-0.02-0.02
North DakotaBSky0.020.0267.8667.860.010.01
ProvidenceBE0.020.0262.5062.500.010.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Tennessee MartinOVC0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.020.0224.1424.14-0.01-0.01
VirginiaACC0.020.0268.7568.750.010.01
ArizonaP120.020.0288.2488.240.020.02
Arizona St.P120.020.0245.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Boise St.MWC0.020.0262.0762.070.010.01
Central ArkansasSlnd0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
CharlotteCUSA0.020.0241.3841.38-0.00-0.00
ConnecticutAmer0.020.0246.8846.88-0.00-0.00
CornellIvy0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Fresno St.MWC0.020.0260.0060.000.000.00
HarvardIvy0.020.0261.5461.540.010.01
LamarSlnd0.020.0251.7251.720.000.00
Mississippi St.SEC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
MontanaBSky0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
NebraskaB100.020.0236.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Sacramento St.BSky0.020.0237.9337.93-0.01-0.01
TulsaAmer0.020.0246.8846.88-0.00-0.00
UTEPCUSA0.020.0245.1645.16-0.00-0.00
UTSACUSA0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
VillanovaBE0.020.0291.1891.180.020.02
Washington St.P120.020.0240.0040.00-0.00-0.00
DavidsonA100.020.0253.1253.120.000.00
DaytonA100.020.0276.6776.670.010.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.020.0234.4834.48-0.01-0.01
Grand CanyonWAC0.020.0268.9768.970.010.01
IndianaB100.020.0254.5554.550.000.00
La SalleA100.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
LibertyBSth0.020.0255.1755.170.000.00
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.020.0255.8855.880.000.00
Northern IowaMVC0.020.0244.8344.83-0.00-0.00
PennIvy0.020.0246.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Rhode IslandA100.020.0272.7372.730.010.01
SeattleWAC0.020.0237.0437.04-0.01-0.01
Southern UtahBSky0.020.0212.9012.90-0.02-0.02
ArkansasSEC0.020.0273.5373.530.010.01
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.020.0264.5264.520.010.01
GeorgiaSEC0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
HartfordAE0.020.0228.1228.12-0.01-0.01
Incarnate WordSlnd0.020.0232.0032.00-0.01-0.01
MichiganB100.020.0268.5768.570.010.01
North TexasCUSA0.020.0221.4321.43-0.01-0.01
RutgersB100.020.0243.7543.75-0.00-0.00
UABCUSA0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
UT ArlingtonSB0.020.0274.1974.190.010.01