The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Illinois Chicago page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Illinois Chicago

Conference:		Horz
Expected RPI:		293.2
Current RPI:		299
Expected SOS:		166
Current SOS:		167
Current Record:		5-17
Expected Record:		6-22
Current Conf Record:		2-11
Expected Conf Record:		3-15
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-13
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		4-3
Current OOC Record:		3-6
Expected OOC Record:		3-7
Expected OOC RPI:		270
Expected OOC SOS:		244

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
10-18	233.6	0.10%
9-19	250.1	1.66%
8-20	266.0	9.47%
7-21	283.0	27.69%
6-22	299.0	39.33%
5-23	311.3	21.74%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Illinois Chicago.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-18	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	A	48-67	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Illinois St. (108.0)	MVC	H	65-69	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Southern Illinois (133.6)	MVC	A	64-74	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Wisconsin Milwaukee (160.4)	Horz	A	52-57	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	A	59-85	L	0%	0.0
12-13	DePaul (180.2)	BE	A	56-77	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	H	63-61	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	H	69-49	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Akron (113.3)	MAC	A	65-77	L	0%	0.0
12-27	Wisconsin (12.3)	B10	A	43-79	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	H	66-52	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	H	60-56	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	H	47-64	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Youngstown St. (257.4)	Horz	A	67-76	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	A	63-70	L	0%	0.0
1-15	Loyola Chicago (184.8)	Horz	H	50-55	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Valparaiso (167.6)	Horz	H	58-64	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Butler (17.9)	Horz	H	55-84	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	A	43-79	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	A	73-76	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	H	63-74	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Youngstown St. (257.4)	Horz	H	74-68	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Valparaiso (167.6)	Horz	A	0-0		14%	-11.7
2-13	Loyola Chicago (184.8)	Horz	A	0-0		20%	-9.0
2-17	Butler (17.9)	Horz	A	0-0		1%	-24.9
2-20	Evansville (276.1)	MVC	A	0-0		30%	-5.7
2-25	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	H	0-0		35%	-4.2
2-27	Wisconsin Milwaukee (160.4)	Horz	H	0-0		31%	-5.3

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Illinois Chicago's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Illinois Chicago's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Illinois Chicago.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Illinois Chicago	Horz	26.52	26.42	16.67	18.61	-17.68	-16.59
Wright St.	Horz	5.37	4.63	59.09	62.85	0.98	1.19
Detroit	Horz	5.37	4.63	57.14	59.03	0.77	0.84
Youngstown St.	Horz	5.30	4.56	26.32	25.94	-2.51	-2.19
Cleveland St.	Horz	5.26	4.60	40.00	42.87	-1.05	-0.66
Loyola Chicago	Horz	3.28	4.56	50.00	46.07	0.00	-0.36
Valparaiso	Horz	3.27	4.62	38.10	39.56	-0.78	-0.96
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	3.19	4.60	59.09	55.87	0.58	0.54
Butler	Horz	3.18	4.60	82.61	82.80	2.07	3.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	3.08	4.60	47.62	48.52	-0.15	-0.14
Central Michigan	MAC	2.61	2.09	47.37	50.52	-0.14	0.02
Toledo	MAC	2.58	2.13	9.09	10.44	-2.11	-1.68
Illinois St.	MVC	2.43	1.95	65.22	62.20	0.74	0.47
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.43	1.94	38.10	38.71	-0.58	-0.44
Akron	MAC	2.43	1.94	68.18	64.83	0.88	0.58
Wisconsin	B10	2.37	1.91	77.27	78.19	1.29	1.08
DePaul	BE	2.37	1.85	31.82	31.61	-0.86	-0.68
Southern Illinois	MVC	2.37	1.91	52.38	52.35	0.11	0.09
Oregon St.	P10	2.27	1.79	47.62	41.66	-0.11	-0.30
Kent St.	MAC	0.36	0.28	69.57	70.29	0.14	0.11
Western Michigan	MAC	0.36	0.37	54.55	56.62	0.03	0.05
Robert Morris	NEC	0.31	0.19	66.67	64.02	0.10	0.05
Ball St.	MAC	0.31	0.34	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.31	0.34	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.30	0.30	43.48	47.68	-0.04	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.26	0.21	55.00	52.00	0.03	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.26	0.28	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.25	0.34	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.25	0.25	91.30	88.21	0.21	0.19
Wichita St.	MVC	0.25	0.25	79.17	77.30	0.15	0.14
Ohio St.	B10	0.25	0.18	75.00	73.72	0.12	0.09
Purdue	B10	0.21	0.16	86.36	81.80	0.15	0.10
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.21	0.27	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.02
Marquette	BE	0.20	0.15	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.20	0.15	79.17	76.61	0.12	0.08
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.20	0.12	70.59	72.98	0.08	0.06
Ohio	MAC	0.20	0.24	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.20	0.12	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.20	0.22	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.19	1.97	22.73	20.84	-0.11	-1.15
Pittsburgh	BE	0.16	0.10	73.91	70.80	0.08	0.04
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.16	0.10	30.43	30.27	-0.06	-0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.13	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.08
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.16	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.16	-0.08
Xavier	A10	0.16	0.13	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.15	0.19	8.70	9.54	-0.13	-0.15
Albany	AE	0.15	0.13	23.08	25.77	-0.08	-0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.06
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.15	0.09	27.27	25.82	-0.07	-0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.15	0.09	40.00	42.64	-0.03	-0.01
California	P10	0.15	0.12	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.12	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.15	0.12	20.00	24.04	-0.09	-0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.15	69.57	67.93	0.06	0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.15	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.04
Washington	P10	0.15	0.12	69.57	68.86	0.06	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.12	20.00	20.57	-0.07	-0.07
High Point	BSth	0.11	0.07	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.07	4.76	9.78	-0.10	-0.05
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.11	0.07	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.10	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.05
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.13	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.09	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.09	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.12	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.10	0.09	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.25	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.12	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.19	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.05
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.12	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.09	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.04
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.05	-0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.12	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.12	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.07
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.07	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.10	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.06
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.00	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.00	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.00	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.00	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.00	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.00	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.07	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Illinois Chicago	Horz	26.52	26.42	16.67	18.61	-17.68	-16.59
Detroit	Horz	5.37	4.63	57.14	59.03	0.77	0.84
Wright St.	Horz	5.37	4.63	59.09	62.85	0.98	1.19
Valparaiso	Horz	3.27	4.62	38.10	39.56	-0.78	-0.96
Butler	Horz	3.18	4.60	82.61	82.80	2.07	3.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	5.26	4.60	40.00	42.87	-1.05	-0.66
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	3.19	4.60	59.09	55.87	0.58	0.54
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	3.08	4.60	47.62	48.52	-0.15	-0.14
Loyola Chicago	Horz	3.28	4.56	50.00	46.07	0.00	-0.36
Youngstown St.	Horz	5.30	4.56	26.32	25.94	-2.51	-2.19
Toledo	MAC	2.58	2.13	9.09	10.44	-2.11	-1.68
Central Michigan	MAC	2.61	2.09	47.37	50.52	-0.14	0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.19	1.97	22.73	20.84	-0.11	-1.15
Illinois St.	MVC	2.43	1.95	65.22	62.20	0.74	0.47
Akron	MAC	2.43	1.94	68.18	64.83	0.88	0.58
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.43	1.94	38.10	38.71	-0.58	-0.44
Southern Illinois	MVC	2.37	1.91	52.38	52.35	0.11	0.09
Wisconsin	B10	2.37	1.91	77.27	78.19	1.29	1.08
DePaul	BE	2.37	1.85	31.82	31.61	-0.86	-0.68
Oregon St.	P10	2.27	1.79	47.62	41.66	-0.11	-0.30
Western Michigan	MAC	0.36	0.37	54.55	56.62	0.03	0.05
Indiana St.	MVC	0.25	0.34	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.31	0.34	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.31	0.34	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.30	0.30	43.48	47.68	-0.04	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.26	0.28	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.36	0.28	69.57	70.29	0.14	0.11
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.21	0.27	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.25	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.25	0.25	79.17	77.30	0.15	0.14
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.25	0.25	91.30	88.21	0.21	0.19
Ohio	MAC	0.20	0.24	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.20	0.22	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.26	0.21	55.00	52.00	0.03	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.15	0.19	8.70	9.54	-0.13	-0.15
Robert Morris	NEC	0.31	0.19	66.67	64.02	0.10	0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.19	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.25	0.18	75.00	73.72	0.12	0.09
Purdue	B10	0.21	0.16	86.36	81.80	0.15	0.10
Michigan St.	B10	0.20	0.15	79.17	76.61	0.12	0.08
Marquette	BE	0.20	0.15	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.15	69.57	67.93	0.06	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.13	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.08
Albany	AE	0.15	0.13	23.08	25.77	-0.08	-0.06
Xavier	A10	0.16	0.13	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.05
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.13	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.12	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.12	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.12	20.00	20.57	-0.07	-0.07
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.15	0.12	20.00	24.04	-0.09	-0.06
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.12	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.20	0.12	70.59	72.98	0.08	0.06
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.12	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.07
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.12	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.04
California	P10	0.15	0.12	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.04
Michigan	B10	0.20	0.12	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.12	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.15	0.12	69.57	68.86	0.06	0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.10	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.16	0.10	73.91	70.80	0.08	0.04
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.16	0.10	30.43	30.27	-0.06	-0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.10	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.06
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.09	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.15	0.09	27.27	25.82	-0.07	-0.04
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.09	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.16	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.16	-0.08
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.09	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.15	0.09	40.00	42.64	-0.03	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.10	0.09	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.06
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.15	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.04
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.11	0.07	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.07	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.07	4.76	9.78	-0.10	-0.05
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.11	0.07	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.07	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.05
Troy	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.05
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.05	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.00	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.00	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.00	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.00	0.04
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.00	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.00	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Butler	Horz	3.18	4.60	82.61	82.80	2.07	3.02
Wisconsin	B10	2.37	1.91	77.27	78.19	1.29	1.08
Wright St.	Horz	5.37	4.63	59.09	62.85	0.98	1.19
Akron	MAC	2.43	1.94	68.18	64.83	0.88	0.58
Detroit	Horz	5.37	4.63	57.14	59.03	0.77	0.84
Illinois St.	MVC	2.43	1.95	65.22	62.20	0.74	0.47
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	3.19	4.60	59.09	55.87	0.58	0.54
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.25	0.25	91.30	88.21	0.21	0.19
Purdue	B10	0.21	0.16	86.36	81.80	0.15	0.10
Wichita St.	MVC	0.25	0.25	79.17	77.30	0.15	0.14
Kent St.	MAC	0.36	0.28	69.57	70.29	0.14	0.11
Ohio St.	B10	0.25	0.18	75.00	73.72	0.12	0.09
Michigan St.	B10	0.20	0.15	79.17	76.61	0.12	0.08
Southern Illinois	MVC	2.37	1.91	52.38	52.35	0.11	0.09
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.31	0.19	66.67	64.02	0.10	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.13	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.08
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.20	0.12	70.59	72.98	0.08	0.06
Pittsburgh	BE	0.16	0.10	73.91	70.80	0.08	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.12	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.16	0.13	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.05
Marquette	BE	0.20	0.15	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.15	69.57	67.93	0.06	0.05
Washington	P10	0.15	0.12	69.57	68.86	0.06	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.09	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.04
California	P10	0.15	0.12	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.19	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.09	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.25	0.34	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.36	0.37	54.55	56.62	0.03	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.02
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.12	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.26	0.21	55.00	52.00	0.03	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.11	0.07	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.31	0.34	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.26	0.28	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.13	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.12	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.25	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.00	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.00	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.00	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	3.28	4.56	50.00	46.07	0.00	-0.36
Morehead St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.00	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.20	0.24	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.00	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.00	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01