The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Texas El Paso page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Texas El Paso

Conference:		CUSA
Expected RPI:		53.5
Current RPI:		59
Expected SOS:		108
Current SOS:		110
Current Record:		17-5
Expected Record:		22-7
Current Conf Record:		8-1
Expected Conf Record:		13-3
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-0
Current OOC Record:		9-4
Expected OOC Record:		9-4
Expected OOC RPI:		124
Expected OOC SOS:		163

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
24-5	36.0	6.67%
23-6	44.1	25.17%
22-7	52.9	35.29%
21-8	61.6	23.72%
20-9	71.9	7.94%
19-10	82.5	1.13%
18-11	95.4	0.07%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas El Paso.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Texas Southern (205.9)	SWAC	H	89-70	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Arkansas Pine Bluff (207.7)	SWAC	H	70-52	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Arkansas St. (167.5)	SB	H	82-56	W	100%	0.0
11-25	North Carolina A&T (267.9)	MEAC	H	81-66	W	100%	0.0
12-1	New Mexico St. (82.7)	WAC	A	79-58	W	100%	0.0
12-13	New Mexico St. (82.7)	WAC	H	80-87	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	N	81-91	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Alcorn St. (345.0)	SWAC	H	101-41	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Oklahoma (79.8)	B12	N	89-74	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Norfolk St. (309.1)	MEAC	H	93-56	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Air Force (235.8)	MWC	H	58-47	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Texas Tech (54.4)	B12	A	78-86	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Southern Methodist (197.3)	CUSA	H	49-45	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Brigham Young (15.9)	MWC	H	77-83	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Houston (144.5)	CUSA	A	65-75	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Southern Mississippi (111.9)	CUSA	H	56-49	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Memphis (65.5)	CUSA	A	72-67	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Central Florida (192.9)	CUSA	A	96-59	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Tulane (255.7)	CUSA	H	84-71	W	100%	0.0
1-30	UAB (34.4)	CUSA	A	74-65	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Houston (144.5)	CUSA	H	65-58	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Tulsa (63.1)	CUSA	H	73-59	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Southern Methodist (197.3)	CUSA	A	0-0		69%	5.5
2-13	East Carolina (243.1)	CUSA	H	0-0		98%	21.8
2-20	Tulsa (63.1)	CUSA	A	0-0		46%	-1.1
2-24	Southern Mississippi (111.9)	CUSA	A	0-0		62%	3.4
2-27	Rice (288.1)	CUSA	H	0-0		97%	20.8
3-2	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	A	0-0		51%	0.3
3-6	UAB (34.4)	CUSA	H	0-0		72%	6.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Texas El Paso's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Texas El Paso's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Texas El Paso.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas El Paso	CUSA	26.39	26.23	73.40	74.11	12.35	12.65
Houston	CUSA	4.82	4.05	47.37	50.88	-0.25	0.07
New Mexico St.	WAC	4.71	3.54	63.16	56.84	1.24	0.48
Tulsa	CUSA	2.65	4.02	80.95	74.06	1.64	1.94
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.64	4.04	58.82	58.93	0.47	0.72
Memphis	CUSA	2.60	2.51	72.73	72.32	1.18	1.12
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.59	4.04	47.37	46.15	-0.14	-0.31
Central Florida	CUSA	2.59	2.41	50.00	46.06	0.00	-0.19
Tulane	CUSA	2.55	2.42	33.33	30.64	-0.85	-0.94
UAB	CUSA	2.55	4.03	86.36	83.16	1.85	2.67
Alcorn St.	SWAC	2.49	1.90	0.00	5.32	-2.49	-1.70
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	2.49	1.90	26.32	35.96	-1.18	-0.53
Texas Southern	SWAC	2.48	1.90	47.37	56.20	-0.13	0.24
Mississippi	SEC	2.44	1.85	72.73	71.58	1.11	0.80
Oklahoma	B12	2.43	1.84	61.90	52.90	0.58	0.11
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.38	1.84	35.00	48.48	-0.71	-0.06
Arkansas St.	SB	2.37	1.78	60.00	59.29	0.47	0.33
Brigham Young	MWC	2.33	1.79	86.96	87.00	1.72	1.32
Norfolk St.	MEAC	2.33	1.79	25.00	28.26	-1.16	-0.78
Texas Tech	B12	2.32	1.78	66.67	57.89	0.77	0.28
Air Force	MWC	2.32	1.78	36.84	31.76	-0.61	-0.65
Marshall	CUSA	0.48	2.41	66.67	66.15	0.16	0.78
Rice	CUSA	0.47	2.39	31.82	31.32	-0.17	-0.89
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.38	0.27	47.06	53.78	-0.02	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.38	0.30	40.91	38.27	-0.07	-0.07
East Carolina	CUSA	0.38	2.36	20.00	22.70	-0.23	-1.29
New Mexico	MWC	0.37	0.27	87.50	83.52	0.28	0.18
Nevada	WAC	0.32	0.26	57.14	60.54	0.05	0.06
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.31	0.26	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.27	0.27	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.26	0.24	33.33	39.38	-0.09	-0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.26	0.20	69.57	63.55	0.10	0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.26	0.18	23.81	28.38	-0.14	-0.08
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.23	0.23	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.22	0.18	82.61	75.26	0.14	0.09
San Jose St.	WAC	0.22	0.12	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.21	0.18	28.57	36.52	-0.09	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.21	0.21	22.73	27.28	-0.12	-0.09
Lamar	Slnd	0.21	0.18	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.21	0.12	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.21	0.12	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.21	0.18	81.82	80.91	0.13	0.11
Southern	SWAC	0.21	0.20	19.05	20.58	-0.13	-0.12
Arkansas	SEC	0.20	0.17	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.17	0.16	22.73	22.86	-0.09	-0.09
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.17	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.10	0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.17	0.09	55.00	53.61	0.02	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.17	0.15	25.00	26.64	-0.08	-0.07
Idaho	WAC	0.17	0.15	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.17	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.17	0.12	61.90	63.69	0.04	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.17	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.16	0.18	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.16	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.05	0.04
Denver	SB	0.16	0.09	60.87	59.58	0.04	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.16	0.18	23.53	25.88	-0.08	-0.09
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.16	0.12	19.05	22.94	-0.10	-0.06
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.16	0.15	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.16	0.18	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.06
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.16	0.09	22.22	26.51	-0.09	-0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.16	0.09	33.33	33.43	-0.05	-0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.09	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.16	0.12	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.16	0.09	27.27	25.82	-0.07	-0.04
Troy	SB	0.16	0.21	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.16	0.09	73.91	70.60	0.08	0.04
Utah	MWC	0.16	0.15	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.12	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.06
Fresno St.	WAC	0.16	0.15	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.16	0.15	36.36	33.80	-0.04	-0.05
Utah St.	WAC	0.16	0.15	73.91	76.66	0.07	0.08
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.15	0.12	38.10	41.29	-0.04	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.12	26.32	31.51	-0.07	-0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.14	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.11	95.65	91.32	0.14	0.09
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.13	4.76	9.78	-0.10	-0.10
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.11	0.09	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	11.11	20.93	-0.09	-0.07
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.12	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.05	0.06
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.12	29.41	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.12	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.12	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.11	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.11	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.08	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.11	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.12	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.06
Baylor	B12	0.11	0.14	76.19	72.73	0.06	0.07
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.09	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.12	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.12	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.05
Albany	AE	0.10	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.06	-0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.09	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.12	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.07
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.10	0.14	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.08
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.06	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.09	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.10	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.04	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.09	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.06	0.07	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.07	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.06	0.10	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.04
Army	Pat	0.06	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.06	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.15	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.03	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.00	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.00	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.00	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.00	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.00	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.00	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.00	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.00	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.00	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.00	0.01
Furman	SC	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.00	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.00	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.02
High Point	BSth	0.00	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.00	-0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.00	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.00	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.00	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.00	0.06	68.18	68.10	0.00	0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.00	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.00	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas El Paso	CUSA	26.39	26.23	73.40	74.11	12.35	12.65
Houston	CUSA	4.82	4.05	47.37	50.88	-0.25	0.07
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.59	4.04	47.37	46.15	-0.14	-0.31
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.64	4.04	58.82	58.93	0.47	0.72
UAB	CUSA	2.55	4.03	86.36	83.16	1.85	2.67
Tulsa	CUSA	2.65	4.02	80.95	74.06	1.64	1.94
New Mexico St.	WAC	4.71	3.54	63.16	56.84	1.24	0.48
Memphis	CUSA	2.60	2.51	72.73	72.32	1.18	1.12
Tulane	CUSA	2.55	2.42	33.33	30.64	-0.85	-0.94
Central Florida	CUSA	2.59	2.41	50.00	46.06	0.00	-0.19
Marshall	CUSA	0.48	2.41	66.67	66.15	0.16	0.78
Rice	CUSA	0.47	2.39	31.82	31.32	-0.17	-0.89
East Carolina	CUSA	0.38	2.36	20.00	22.70	-0.23	-1.29
Alcorn St.	SWAC	2.49	1.90	0.00	5.32	-2.49	-1.70
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	2.49	1.90	26.32	35.96	-1.18	-0.53
Texas Southern	SWAC	2.48	1.90	47.37	56.20	-0.13	0.24
Mississippi	SEC	2.44	1.85	72.73	71.58	1.11	0.80
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.38	1.84	35.00	48.48	-0.71	-0.06
Oklahoma	B12	2.43	1.84	61.90	52.90	0.58	0.11
Brigham Young	MWC	2.33	1.79	86.96	87.00	1.72	1.32
Norfolk St.	MEAC	2.33	1.79	25.00	28.26	-1.16	-0.78
Texas Tech	B12	2.32	1.78	66.67	57.89	0.77	0.28
Arkansas St.	SB	2.37	1.78	60.00	59.29	0.47	0.33
Air Force	MWC	2.32	1.78	36.84	31.76	-0.61	-0.65
Texas Christian	MWC	0.38	0.30	40.91	38.27	-0.07	-0.07
South Alabama	SB	0.27	0.27	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.38	0.27	47.06	53.78	-0.02	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.37	0.27	87.50	83.52	0.28	0.18
Nevada	WAC	0.32	0.26	57.14	60.54	0.05	0.06
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.31	0.26	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.26	0.24	33.33	39.38	-0.09	-0.05
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.23	0.23	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.16	0.21	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.21	0.21	22.73	27.28	-0.12	-0.09
Southern	SWAC	0.21	0.20	19.05	20.58	-0.13	-0.12
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.26	0.20	69.57	63.55	0.10	0.05
Lamar	Slnd	0.21	0.18	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.21	0.18	81.82	80.91	0.13	0.11
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.22	0.18	82.61	75.26	0.14	0.09
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.26	0.18	23.81	28.38	-0.14	-0.08
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.21	0.18	28.57	36.52	-0.09	-0.05
Grambling	SWAC	0.16	0.18	23.53	25.88	-0.08	-0.09
Texas A&M	B12	0.16	0.18	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.06
Colorado	B12	0.16	0.18	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.20	0.17	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.17	0.16	22.73	22.86	-0.09	-0.09
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.15	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.16	0.15	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.17	0.15	25.00	26.64	-0.08	-0.07
Idaho	WAC	0.17	0.15	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.16	0.15	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.16	0.15	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.16	0.15	36.36	33.80	-0.04	-0.05
Utah St.	WAC	0.16	0.15	73.91	76.66	0.07	0.08
Baylor	B12	0.11	0.14	76.19	72.73	0.06	0.07
Texas	B12	0.10	0.14	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.08
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.14	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.13	4.76	9.78	-0.10	-0.10
North Texas	SB	0.17	0.12	61.90	63.69	0.04	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.16	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.05	0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	11.11	20.93	-0.09	-0.07
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.12	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.05	0.06
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.12	29.41	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.12	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.12	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.12	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.06
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.12	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.06
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.12	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.12	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.22	0.12	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.16	0.12	19.05	22.94	-0.10	-0.06
Iowa St.	B12	0.21	0.12	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.12	26.32	31.51	-0.07	-0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.16	0.12	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.21	0.12	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.15	0.12	38.10	41.29	-0.04	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.12	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.11	95.65	91.32	0.14	0.09
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.06	0.10	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.04
Montana St.	BSky	0.11	0.09	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.16	0.09	60.87	59.58	0.04	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.17	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.10	0.05
Niagara	MAAC	0.17	0.09	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.06	0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.17	0.09	55.00	53.61	0.02	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.17	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.16	0.09	27.27	25.82	-0.07	-0.04
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.09	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.04
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.09	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.16	0.09	22.22	26.51	-0.09	-0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.16	0.09	33.33	33.43	-0.05	-0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.09	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.05
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.09	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.03
Missouri	B12	0.16	0.09	73.91	70.60	0.08	0.04
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.09	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.09	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.10	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.04	-0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.06	0.07	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.07	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.06	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.06	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.11	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.00	0.06	68.18	68.10	0.00	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.11	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.05	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.11	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.08	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.11	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.10	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.06	-0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.06	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.03
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.04
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.04
Campbell	ASun	0.00	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.00	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.00	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.00	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.00	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.00	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.00	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.00	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.00	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.00	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.06	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.02	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.00	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.00	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.00	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.00	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.00	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.00	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.00	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.00	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.00	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.03	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas El Paso	CUSA	26.39	26.23	73.40	74.11	12.35	12.65
UAB	CUSA	2.55	4.03	86.36	83.16	1.85	2.67
Brigham Young	MWC	2.33	1.79	86.96	87.00	1.72	1.32
Tulsa	CUSA	2.65	4.02	80.95	74.06	1.64	1.94
New Mexico St.	WAC	4.71	3.54	63.16	56.84	1.24	0.48
Memphis	CUSA	2.60	2.51	72.73	72.32	1.18	1.12
Mississippi	SEC	2.44	1.85	72.73	71.58	1.11	0.80