The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Tennessee St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Tennessee St.

Conference:		OVC
Expected RPI:		276.7
Current RPI:		271
Expected SOS:		183
Current SOS:		168
Current Record:		5-20
Expected Record:		7-24
Current Conf Record:		2-11
Expected Conf Record:		4-14
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-8
Current OOC Record:		3-9
Expected OOC Record:		3-10
Expected OOC RPI:		237
Expected OOC SOS:		137

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
11-20	230.3	0.20%
10-21	243.2	3.36%
9-22	256.5	14.30%
8-23	269.7	29.44%
7-24	282.8	32.46%
6-25	295.6	16.80%
5-26	306.1	3.43%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tennessee St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Siena (34.4)	MAAC	H	69-85	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	A	57-85	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	A	62-69	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Iowa St. (110.1)	B12	A	53-84	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	N	73-67	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Liberty (252.2)	BSth	N	60-63	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Belmont (139.8)	ASun	A	60-69	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Eastern Illinois (217.6)	OVC	H	81-83	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Southeast Missouri St. (298.6)	OVC	H	66-74	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	A	70-69	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Alabama A&M (327.5)	SWAC	H	80-77	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Vanderbilt (21.8)	SEC	A	71-84	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Alabama (106.5)	SEC	A	65-77	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Eastern Kentucky (131.4)	OVC	A	71-79	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Morehead St. (95.2)	OVC	A	66-72	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Murray St. (68.0)	OVC	H	59-80	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Tennessee Martin (335.4)	OVC	H	73-59	W	100%	0.0
1-12	Iowa (199.8)	B10	A	62-67	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Austin Peay (129.7)	OVC	A	77-79	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Jacksonville St. (265.2)	OVC	A	67-85	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Tennessee Tech (202.4)	OVC	A	56-61	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Morehead St. (95.2)	OVC	H	50-65	L	0%	0.0
1-31	Eastern Kentucky (131.4)	OVC	H	58-75	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Murray St. (68.0)	OVC	A	54-76	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Tennessee Martin (335.4)	OVC	A	74-68	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Austin Peay (129.7)	OVC	H	0-0		39%	-2.9
2-15	Tennessee Tech (202.4)	OVC	H	0-0		58%	2.3
2-17	Jacksonville St. (265.2)	OVC	H	0-0		51%	0.3
2-20	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	A	0-0		16%	-10.9
2-25	Southeast Missouri St. (298.6)	OVC	A	0-0		53%	0.7
2-27	Eastern Illinois (217.6)	OVC	A	0-0		28%	-6.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Tennessee St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Tennessee St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Tennessee St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Tennessee St.	OVC	26.51	26.40	22.52	26.07	-14.57	-12.64
Murray St.	OVC	4.70	4.15	85.71	84.40	3.36	2.85
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	4.64	4.15	61.90	62.10	1.11	1.00
Morehead St.	OVC	4.64	4.14	65.00	65.41	1.39	1.28
Tennessee Martin	OVC	4.62	4.14	5.56	9.28	-4.11	-3.37
Austin Peay	OVC	2.92	4.15	50.00	53.17	0.00	0.26
Eastern Illinois	OVC	2.85	4.22	45.00	46.11	-0.29	-0.33
Tennessee Tech	OVC	2.82	4.14	42.86	41.97	-0.40	-0.67
Jacksonville St.	OVC	2.82	4.14	35.00	38.64	-0.85	-0.94
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.74	4.18	23.81	22.28	-1.43	-2.32
Belmont	ASun	2.14	1.79	58.33	62.58	0.36	0.45
Northwestern	B10	2.14	1.75	68.18	66.86	0.78	0.59
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.09	1.81	33.33	35.14	-0.70	-0.54
Iowa St.	B12	2.09	1.66	54.55	48.82	0.19	-0.04
Alabama	SEC	2.05	1.64	54.55	52.55	0.19	0.08
Iowa	B10	2.04	1.69	30.43	28.52	-0.80	-0.73
Liberty	BSth	2.04	1.64	40.00	39.26	-0.41	-0.35
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.04	1.64	75.00	72.24	1.02	0.73
Kennesaw St.	ASun	2.04	1.67	45.45	40.83	-0.19	-0.31
Alabama A&M	SWAC	2.00	1.61	30.77	38.26	-0.77	-0.38
Detroit	Horz	2.00	1.64	59.09	60.45	0.36	0.34
Siena	MAAC	2.00	1.61	82.61	80.60	1.30	0.99
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.45	0.31	8.70	9.54	-0.37	-0.25
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.30	0.22	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.26	0.16	66.67	59.01	0.09	0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.22	0.25	20.00	20.57	-0.13	-0.15
Chattanooga	SC	0.22	0.17	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.22	0.20	61.90	56.12	0.05	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.22	0.16	42.86	42.46	-0.03	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.22	0.19	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.22	0.16	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.21	0.12	73.91	69.49	0.10	0.05
North Florida	ASun	0.21	0.16	43.48	45.31	-0.03	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.21	0.16	22.73	27.28	-0.11	-0.07
Missouri	B12	0.19	0.20	73.91	70.60	0.09	0.08
Evansville	MVC	0.19	0.17	22.73	22.60	-0.10	-0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.18	0.20	95.65	88.67	0.17	0.15
Western Michigan	MAC	0.18	0.23	54.55	56.62	0.02	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.18	0.19	63.64	64.66	0.05	0.06
Ohio	MAC	0.18	0.17	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.17	0.11	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.04
Florida International	SB	0.17	0.11	24.00	23.74	-0.09	-0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.17	0.11	91.30	88.21	0.14	0.08
Michigan St.	B10	0.17	0.10	79.17	76.61	0.10	0.06
Auburn	SEC	0.16	0.12	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.15	0.12	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.15	0.12	21.05	24.96	-0.08	-0.06
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.15	0.12	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.14	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.14	0.20	8.70	10.09	-0.11	-0.16
Kent St.	MAC	0.14	0.11	69.57	70.29	0.05	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.13	0.14	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.07
Western Kentucky	SB	0.13	0.08	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.13	0.08	36.36	36.18	-0.04	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.13	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.07	-0.06
Manhattan	MAAC	0.13	0.08	33.33	35.33	-0.04	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.13	0.11	83.33	83.91	0.09	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.13	0.14	95.65	91.32	0.12	0.11
Drake	MVC	0.13	0.11	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.13	0.08	4.76	9.78	-0.12	-0.07
Purdue	B10	0.13	0.13	86.36	81.80	0.09	0.09
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.13	0.08	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.13	0.11	29.17	28.85	-0.05	-0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.13	0.11	18.18	21.04	-0.08	-0.06
Stetson	ASun	0.13	0.11	14.29	15.65	-0.09	-0.08
Ohio St.	B10	0.13	0.08	75.00	73.72	0.06	0.04
Campbell	ASun	0.12	0.11	57.14	58.76	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.12	0.11	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.12	0.12	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.13	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.12
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.10	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.10	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.10	33.33	39.38	-0.04	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.14	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.12	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.08
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.06	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.10	0.12	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.09	0.09	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.12	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.05
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.05	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.08	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.12	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.14	73.91	72.52	0.04	0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.23	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.09	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.20	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.11	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.09	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.04	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.11	69.57	66.00	0.03	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.09	0.05	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	1.70	50.00	51.11	0.00	0.04
North Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.05	15.79	27.84	-0.06	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.05	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Temple	A10	0.09	0.05	79.17	77.57	0.05	0.03
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.05	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.08	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.08	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.05	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.11	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.04	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.09	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.02	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.05	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.09	0.05	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.09	0.11	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.05	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.10	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.09	0.11	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.09	0.05	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.11	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.05	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.08	0.05	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.08	0.05	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.07	0.07	23.53	25.88	-0.04	-0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.14	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.11	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.04	0.08	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.04	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.04	0.05	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.04	0.05	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.04	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.04	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Fordham	A10	0.04	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.04	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.04	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.04	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.04	0.05	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.04	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.04	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.04	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Providence	BE	0.04	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.04	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.04	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.04	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.04	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.04	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.04	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.02	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.04	0.05	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.04	0.05	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.05	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.04	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.02	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.04	0.05	44.00	45.15	-0.00	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.04	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.04	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.04	0.05	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.04	0.05	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.05
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.04	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.04	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.04	0.08	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.04	0.05	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.04	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.04	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.04	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.04	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.04	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.02	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.04	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.00	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.00	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.00	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.00	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.00	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Tennessee St.	OVC	26.51	26.40	22.52	26.07	-14.57	-12.64
Eastern Illinois	OVC	2.85	4.22	45.00	46.11	-0.29	-0.33
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.74	4.18	23.81	22.28	-1.43	-2.32
Austin Peay	OVC	2.92	4.15	50.00	53.17	0.00	0.26
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	4.64	4.15	61.90	62.10	1.11	1.00
Murray St.	OVC	4.70	4.15	85.71	84.40	3.36	2.85
Morehead St.	OVC	4.64	4.14	65.00	65.41	1.39	1.28
Tennessee Tech	OVC	2.82	4.14	42.86	41.97	-0.40	-0.67
Jacksonville St.	OVC	2.82	4.14	35.00	38.64	-0.85	-0.94
Tennessee Martin	OVC	4.62	4.14	5.56	9.28	-4.11	-3.37
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.09	1.81	33.33	35.14	-0.70	-0.54
Belmont	ASun	2.14	1.79	58.33	62.58	0.36	0.45
Northwestern	B10	2.14	1.75	68.18	66.86	0.78	0.59
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	1.70	50.00	51.11	0.00	0.04
Iowa	B10	2.04	1.69	30.43	28.52	-0.80	-0.73
Kennesaw St.	ASun	2.04	1.67	45.45	40.83	-0.19	-0.31
Iowa St.	B12	2.09	1.66	54.55	48.82	0.19	-0.04
Detroit	Horz	2.00	1.64	59.09	60.45	0.36	0.34
Alabama	SEC	2.05	1.64	54.55	52.55	0.19	0.08
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.04	1.64	75.00	72.24	1.02	0.73
Liberty	BSth	2.04	1.64	40.00	39.26	-0.41	-0.35
Alabama A&M	SWAC	2.00	1.61	30.77	38.26	-0.77	-0.38
Siena	MAAC	2.00	1.61	82.61	80.60	1.30	0.99
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.45	0.31	8.70	9.54	-0.37	-0.25
Chicago St.	GWC	0.22	0.25	20.00	20.57	-0.13	-0.15
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.23	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.18	0.23	54.55	56.62	0.02	0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.30	0.22	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.14	0.20	8.70	10.09	-0.11	-0.16
St. Louis	A10	0.22	0.20	61.90	56.12	0.05	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.20	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.18	0.20	95.65	88.67	0.17	0.15
Missouri	B12	0.19	0.20	73.91	70.60	0.09	0.08
Lipscomb	ASun	0.22	0.19	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.18	0.19	63.64	64.66	0.05	0.06
Evansville	MVC	0.19	0.17	22.73	22.60	-0.10	-0.09
Chattanooga	SC	0.22	0.17	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.18	0.17	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.22	0.16	42.86	42.46	-0.03	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.21	0.16	43.48	45.31	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.26	0.16	66.67	59.01	0.09	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.22	0.16	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.21	0.16	22.73	27.28	-0.11	-0.07
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.14	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.14	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.14	73.91	72.52	0.04	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.13	0.14	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.13	0.14	95.65	91.32	0.12	0.11
Purdue	B10	0.13	0.13	86.36	81.80	0.09	0.09
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.13	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.12
Florida St.	ACC	0.21	0.12	73.91	69.49	0.10	0.05
Presbyterian	BSth	0.10	0.12	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.08
South Carolina	SEC	0.12	0.12	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.16	0.12	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.15	0.12	21.05	24.96	-0.08	-0.06
Arkansas St.	SB	0.15	0.12	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.12	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.04
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.09	0.12	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.15	0.12	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.10	0.12	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.14	0.11	69.57	70.29	0.05	0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.11	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.05
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.11	69.57	66.00	0.03	0.04
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.11	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.17	0.11	24.00	23.74	-0.09	-0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.11	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.05
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.13	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.07	-0.06
Bowling Green	MAC	0.09	0.11	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.11	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.03
Campbell	ASun	0.12	0.11	57.14	58.76	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.13	0.11	29.17	28.85	-0.05	-0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.12	0.11	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.09	0.11	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.13	0.11	18.18	21.04	-0.08	-0.06
Stetson	ASun	0.13	0.11	14.29	15.65	-0.09	-0.08
California	P10	0.17	0.11	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.04
Drake	MVC	0.13	0.11	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.17	0.11	91.30	88.21	0.14	0.08
Butler	Horz	0.13	0.11	83.33	83.91	0.09	0.07
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.10	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.17	0.10	79.17	76.61	0.10	0.06
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.10	33.33	39.38	-0.04	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.10	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.10	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.09	0.09	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.13	0.08	36.36	36.18	-0.04	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.08	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.13	0.08	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.08	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.13	0.08	4.76	9.78	-0.12	-0.07
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.13	0.08	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.04	0.08	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.13	0.08	33.33	35.33	-0.04	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.08	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.13	0.08	75.00	73.72	0.06	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.04	0.08	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.04	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.02	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.14	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.07	0.07	23.53	25.88	-0.04	-0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.06	-0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.00	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.09	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.09	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.04	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.04	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.09	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.02	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.05	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.05	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.05	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Temple	A10	0.09	0.05	79.17	77.57	0.05	0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.09	0.05	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.05	15.79	27.84	-0.06	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.09	0.05	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.04	0.05	44.00	45.15	-0.00	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.04	0.05	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.04	0.05	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.05	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.05	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.08	0.05	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.04	0.05	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.04	0.05	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.08	0.05	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.05	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.04	0.05	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.04	0.05	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.05	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.05	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.04	0.05	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.04	0.05	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Texas	B12	0.09	0.05	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.00	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.04	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.04	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.04	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.02	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.04	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.04	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.04	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.04	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.01	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.04	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.04	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.04	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.01	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.04	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.04	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.04	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.04	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.04	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.04	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.04	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.04	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.04	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.04	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.04	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.04	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.00	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.00	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.04	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.04	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.00	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.00	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.04	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.04	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.04	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.04	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Murray St.	OVC	4.70	4.15	85.71	84.40	3.36	2.85
Morehead St.	OVC	4.64	4.14	65.00	65.41	1.39	1.28
Siena	MAAC	2.00	1.61	82.61	80.60	1.30	0.99
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	4.64	4.15	61.90	62.10	1.11	1.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.04	1.64	75.00	72.24	1.02	0.73
Northwestern	B10	2.14	1.75	68.18	66.86	0.78	0.59
Detroit	Horz	2.00	1.64	59.09	60.45	0.36	0.34
Belmont	ASun	2.14	1.79	58.33	62.58	0.36	0.45
Iowa St.	B12	2.09	1.66	54.55	48.82	0.19	-0.04
Alabama	SEC	2.05	1.64	54.55	52.55	0.19	0.08
Kentucky	SEC	0.18	0.20	95.65	88.67	0.17	0.15
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.17	0.11	91.30	88.21	0.14	0.08
Kansas	B12	0.13	0.14	95.65	91.32	0.12	0.11
Florida St.	ACC	0.21	0.12	73.91	69.49	0.10	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.17	0.10	79.17	76.61	0.10	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.13	0.13	86.36	81.80	0.09	0.09
Missouri	B12	0.19	0.20	73.91	70.60	0.09	0.08
Illinois	B10	0.26	0.16	66.67	59.01	0.09	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.13	0.11	83.33	83.91	0.09	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.13	0.14	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.07
Ohio St.	B10	0.13	0.08	75.00	73.72	0.06	0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.13	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.02
Texas	B12	0.09	0.05	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.08	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.05