The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Stony Brook page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Stony Brook

Conference:		AE
Expected RPI:		148.3
Current RPI:		153
Expected SOS:		317
Current SOS:		312
Current Record:		15-7
Expected Record:		19-9
Current Conf Record:		8-2
Expected Conf Record:		12-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		14-4
Current OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC RPI:		187
Expected OOC SOS:		322

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
21-7	117.0	11.16%
20-8	134.4	30.47%
19-9	152.5	34.66%
18-10	169.9	17.74%
17-11	187.2	5.19%
16-12	203.3	0.74%
15-13	223.3	0.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Stony Brook.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Maryland Eastern Shore (313.8)	MEAC	A	75-57	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Wagner (323.2)	NEC	A	72-48	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Rhode Island (20.7)	A10	A	58-75	L	0%	0.0
11-28	NJ Inst of Technology (333.3)	GWC	H	60-46	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Lehigh (160.8)	Pat	A	71-52	W	100%	0.0
12-2	St. John's (101.2)	BE	A	55-63	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Columbia (250.1)	Ivy	H	63-60	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Fordham (296.2)	A10	A	77-93	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Colgate (306.0)	Pat	A	66-55	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Sacred Heart (240.9)	NEC	A	70-78	L	0%	0.0
12-28	St. Peter's (145.2)	MAAC	H	46-67	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Holy Cross (269.0)	Pat	H	69-60	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Boston University (152.4)	AE	A	84-75	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Hartford (284.9)	AE	H	70-59	W	100%	0.0
1-10	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	H	69-63	W	100%	0.0
1-12	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	A	62-64	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Maine (154.9)	AE	A	61-67	L	0%	0.0
1-18	MD Baltimore County (339.8)	AE	H	81-69	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Vermont (145.4)	AE	A	65-60	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Albany (293.1)	AE	H	67-61	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Boston University (152.4)	AE	H	71-55	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Hartford (284.9)	AE	A	54-44	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Maine (154.9)	AE	H	0-0		74%	7.0
2-13	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	H	0-0		85%	11.5
2-16	MD Baltimore County (339.8)	AE	A	0-0		83%	10.3
2-19	Albany (293.1)	AE	A	0-0		66%	4.5
2-24	Vermont (145.4)	AE	H	0-0		59%	2.5
2-28	New Hampshire (273.4)	AE	A	0-0		57%	1.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Stony Brook's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Stony Brook's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Stony Brook.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Stony Brook	AE	26.31	26.36	74.49	73.69	12.88	12.49
Hartford	AE	5.10	4.49	33.33	34.88	-1.70	-1.36
Boston University	AE	5.09	4.43	59.09	61.97	0.93	1.06
Maine	AE	2.97	4.52	61.90	61.76	0.71	1.06
New Hampshire	AE	2.95	4.45	36.84	39.57	-0.78	-0.93
Vermont	AE	2.93	4.47	70.83	70.42	1.22	1.83
Albany	AE	2.91	4.44	24.00	26.38	-1.51	-2.10
MD Baltimore County	AE	2.85	4.43	9.09	11.67	-2.33	-3.40
Binghamton	AE	2.81	4.43	36.36	37.25	-0.77	-1.13
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.62	2.00	50.00	52.20	0.00	0.09
Wagner	NEC	2.60	1.98	16.67	22.34	-1.73	-1.09
Fordham	A10	2.58	2.03	5.00	5.50	-2.32	-1.81
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	2.51	1.96	23.53	28.66	-1.33	-0.84
Lehigh	Pat	2.49	1.98	68.18	68.09	0.91	0.72
Colgate	Pat	2.48	2.04	28.57	32.23	-1.06	-0.72
Holy Cross	Pat	2.47	1.97	27.27	32.15	-1.12	-0.70
Columbia	Ivy	2.47	1.94	42.11	40.58	-0.39	-0.37
St. Peter's	MAAC	2.38	1.85	56.52	57.46	0.31	0.28
Rhode Island	A10	2.38	1.88	85.71	80.84	1.70	1.16
St. John's	BE	2.33	1.82	52.38	47.49	0.11	-0.09
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	2.27	1.79	28.57	30.41	-0.97	-0.70
Lafayette	Pat	0.56	0.41	60.87	59.16	0.12	0.07
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.54	0.40	69.57	71.78	0.21	0.17
Marist	MAAC	0.49	0.43	4.17	4.73	-0.45	-0.39
Yale	Ivy	0.46	0.37	36.36	38.12	-0.13	-0.09
American	Pat	0.40	0.37	30.43	32.39	-0.16	-0.13
Bucknell	Pat	0.40	0.37	37.50	39.23	-0.10	-0.08
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.36	0.31	15.79	17.64	-0.25	-0.20
Brown	Ivy	0.36	0.28	23.81	27.31	-0.19	-0.13
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.35	0.34	39.13	41.19	-0.08	-0.06
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.33	0.24	39.13	47.65	-0.07	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.30	0.24	69.57	64.51	0.12	0.07
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.30	0.21	43.48	43.78	-0.04	-0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.26	0.18	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.03
Army	Pat	0.26	0.25	57.14	59.04	0.04	0.05
Harvard	Ivy	0.26	0.22	73.68	75.41	0.12	0.11
La Salle	A10	0.25	0.19	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.25	0.16	72.73	71.91	0.11	0.07
Connecticut	BE	0.25	0.19	60.87	56.49	0.05	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.25	0.22	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.22	0.13	23.81	29.40	-0.12	-0.05
Manhattan	MAAC	0.21	0.13	33.33	35.33	-0.07	-0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.21	0.15	85.71	85.57	0.15	0.11
Seton Hall	BE	0.21	0.16	57.14	57.47	0.03	0.02
Bryant	ind	0.21	0.15	0.00	4.18	-0.21	-0.14
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.20	0.12	39.13	36.57	-0.04	-0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.20	0.21	95.83	91.37	0.19	0.18
Navy	Pat	0.20	0.22	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.20	0.22	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.19	0.18	30.43	30.27	-0.08	-0.07
Siena	MAAC	0.19	0.15	83.33	81.25	0.13	0.09
Long Island	NEC	0.19	0.15	39.13	41.53	-0.04	-0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.19	0.18	72.00	70.73	0.08	0.07
Boston College	ACC	0.17	0.13	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.16	0.19	73.91	70.80	0.08	0.08
Temple	A10	0.16	0.12	79.17	77.57	0.09	0.07
Massachusetts	A10	0.16	0.12	31.82	31.64	-0.06	-0.05
Xavier	A10	0.16	0.13	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Providence	BE	0.15	0.12	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.15	0.15	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.14	0.18	70.83	73.80	0.06	0.09
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.14	0.25	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.10	20.00	20.57	-0.07	-0.06
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.10	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.10	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.11	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.09	0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.12	11.11	20.93	-0.08	-0.07
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.12	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.19	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.03
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.09	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.09	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.16	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.07
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.10	0.12	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.04
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.12	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.10
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.09	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.09	0.18	16.67	19.94	-0.06	-0.11
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.15	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.07	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.07	12.00	18.82	-0.05	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.07	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.07	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.07	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.05
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.09	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.13	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.03	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.09	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.12	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.06
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.04	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.00	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.00	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.07	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.00	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.00	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Stony Brook	AE	26.31	26.36	74.49	73.69	12.88	12.49
Maine	AE	2.97	4.52	61.90	61.76	0.71	1.06
Hartford	AE	5.10	4.49	33.33	34.88	-1.70	-1.36
Vermont	AE	2.93	4.47	70.83	70.42	1.22	1.83
New Hampshire	AE	2.95	4.45	36.84	39.57	-0.78	-0.93
Albany	AE	2.91	4.44	24.00	26.38	-1.51	-2.10
Binghamton	AE	2.81	4.43	36.36	37.25	-0.77	-1.13
Boston University	AE	5.09	4.43	59.09	61.97	0.93	1.06
MD Baltimore County	AE	2.85	4.43	9.09	11.67	-2.33	-3.40
Colgate	Pat	2.48	2.04	28.57	32.23	-1.06	-0.72
Fordham	A10	2.58	2.03	5.00	5.50	-2.32	-1.81
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.62	2.00	50.00	52.20	0.00	0.09
Wagner	NEC	2.60	1.98	16.67	22.34	-1.73	-1.09
Lehigh	Pat	2.49	1.98	68.18	68.09	0.91	0.72
Holy Cross	Pat	2.47	1.97	27.27	32.15	-1.12	-0.70
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	2.51	1.96	23.53	28.66	-1.33	-0.84
Columbia	Ivy	2.47	1.94	42.11	40.58	-0.39	-0.37
Rhode Island	A10	2.38	1.88	85.71	80.84	1.70	1.16
St. Peter's	MAAC	2.38	1.85	56.52	57.46	0.31	0.28
St. John's	BE	2.33	1.82	52.38	47.49	0.11	-0.09
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	2.27	1.79	28.57	30.41	-0.97	-0.70
Marist	MAAC	0.49	0.43	4.17	4.73	-0.45	-0.39
Lafayette	Pat	0.56	0.41	60.87	59.16	0.12	0.07
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.54	0.40	69.57	71.78	0.21	0.17
Bucknell	Pat	0.40	0.37	37.50	39.23	-0.10	-0.08
Yale	Ivy	0.46	0.37	36.36	38.12	-0.13	-0.09
American	Pat	0.40	0.37	30.43	32.39	-0.16	-0.13
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.35	0.34	39.13	41.19	-0.08	-0.06
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.36	0.31	15.79	17.64	-0.25	-0.20
Brown	Ivy	0.36	0.28	23.81	27.31	-0.19	-0.13
Army	Pat	0.26	0.25	57.14	59.04	0.04	0.05
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.14	0.25	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.30	0.24	69.57	64.51	0.12	0.07
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.33	0.24	39.13	47.65	-0.07	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.26	0.22	73.68	75.41	0.12	0.11
Navy	Pat	0.20	0.22	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.25	0.22	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.20	0.22	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.20	0.21	95.83	91.37	0.19	0.18
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.30	0.21	43.48	43.78	-0.04	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.16	0.19	73.91	70.80	0.08	0.08
Connecticut	BE	0.25	0.19	60.87	56.49	0.05	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.19	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.25	0.19	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.26	0.18	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.09	0.18	16.67	19.94	-0.06	-0.11
Iona	MAAC	0.19	0.18	72.00	70.73	0.08	0.07
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.19	0.18	30.43	30.27	-0.08	-0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.14	0.18	70.83	73.80	0.06	0.09
Seton Hall	BE	0.21	0.16	57.14	57.47	0.03	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.16	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.07
Dayton	A10	0.25	0.16	72.73	71.91	0.11	0.07
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.21	0.15	0.00	4.18	-0.21	-0.14
Monmouth	NEC	0.15	0.15	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.21	0.15	85.71	85.57	0.15	0.11
Long Island	NEC	0.19	0.15	39.13	41.53	-0.04	-0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.19	0.15	83.33	81.25	0.13	0.09
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.15	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.13	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.17	0.13	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.22	0.13	23.81	29.40	-0.12	-0.05
Manhattan	MAAC	0.21	0.13	33.33	35.33	-0.07	-0.04
Xavier	A10	0.16	0.13	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.05
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.12	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.20	0.12	39.13	36.57	-0.04	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.16	0.12	31.82	31.64	-0.06	-0.05
Temple	A10	0.16	0.12	79.17	77.57	0.09	0.07
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.10	0.12	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.12	11.11	20.93	-0.08	-0.07
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.12	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.06
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.12	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.10
Providence	BE	0.15	0.12	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.10	20.00	20.57	-0.07	-0.06
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.10	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.10	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	23.81	27.28	-0.05	-0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.09	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.09	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.03
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.09	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.09	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.07	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.04
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.07	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.07	12.00	18.82	-0.05	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.07	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.07	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.07	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.05
Villanova	BE	0.11	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.09	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.05
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.09	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.04	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.00	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.00	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.00	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.00	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.03	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Stony Brook	AE	26.31	26.36	74.49	73.69	12.88	12.49
Rhode Island	A10	2.38	1.88	85.71	80.84	1.70	1.16
Vermont	AE	2.93	4.47	70.83	70.42	1.22	1.83
Boston University	AE	5.09	4.43	59.09	61.97	0.93	1.06
Lehigh	Pat	2.49	1.98	68.18	68.09	0.91	0.72
Maine	AE	2.97	4.52	61.90	61.76	0.71	1.06
St. Peter's	MAAC	2.38	1.85	56.52	57.46	0.31	0.28
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.54	0.40	69.57	71.78	0.21	0.17
Syracuse	BE	0.20	0.21	95.83	91.37	0.19	0.18
Cornell	Ivy	0.21	0.15	85.71	85.57	0.15	0.11
Siena	MAAC	0.19	0.15	83.33	81.25	0.13	0.09
Harvard	Ivy	0.26	0.22	73.68	75.41	0.12	0.11
Lafayette	Pat	0.56	0.41	60.87	59.16	0.12	0.07
Fairfield	MAAC	0.30	0.24	69.57	64.51	0.12	0.07
Dayton	A10	0.25	0.16	72.73	71.91	0.11	0.07
St. John's	BE	2.33	1.82	52.38	47.49	0.11	-0.09
Temple	A10	0.16	0.12	79.17	77.57	0.09	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.05
Villanova	BE	0.11	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.09	0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.19	0.18	72.00	70.73	0.08	0.07
Pittsburgh	BE	0.16	0.19	73.91	70.80	0.08	0.08
Xavier	A10	0.16	0.13	69.57	71.43	0.06	0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.14	0.18	70.83	73.80	0.06	0.09
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.25	0.19	60.87	56.49	0.05	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.15	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.05	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.16	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.07
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Army	Pat	0.26	0.25	57.14	59.04	0.04	0.05
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.03	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.21	0.16	57.14	57.47	0.03	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.09	0.15	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.09	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.06	0.07	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.25	0.22	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.09	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.20	0.22	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.17	0.13	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.15	0.12	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.09	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.09	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.12	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.14	0.25	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.00	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.00	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.07	15.79	27.84	-0.00	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.00	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.00	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	2.62	2.00	50.00	52.20	0.00	0.09
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.13	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.04	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.04	0.06	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.20	0.22	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.10	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.25	0.19	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.26	0.18	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.10	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.07	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.07	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.19	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.12	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.06
Monmouth	NEC	0.15	0.15	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.03
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.09	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.10	0.12	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.04
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.07	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.30	0.21	43.48	43.78	-0.04	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.19	0.15	39.13	41.53	-0.04	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.04	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.04	-0.05