The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated James Madison page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

James Madison

Conference:		CAA
Expected RPI:		242.6
Current RPI:		244
Expected SOS:		211
Current SOS:		210
Current Record:		13-20
Expected Record:		13-20
Current Conf Record:		5-15
Expected Conf Record:		5-15
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-6
Current OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC RPI:		193
Expected OOC SOS:		341

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
13-20		242.6		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for James Madison.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-12	Ohio St. (28.0)	B10	A	44-72	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Murray St. (55.8)	OVC	N	43-71	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Florida International (295.7)	SB	A	81-68	W	100%	0.0
11-23	North Carolina Central (345.4)	ind	N	79-66	W	100%	0.0
11-28	MD Baltimore County (332.8)	AE	H	53-51	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Norfolk St. (263.8)	MEAC	H	72-64	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Georgia St. (247.7)	CAA	H	44-49	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Eastern Michigan (202.2)	MAC	A	64-75	L	0%	0.0
12-17	Gardner Webb (318.2)	BSth	A	78-57	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Fordham (303.3)	A10	H	85-73	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Stanford (160.3)	P10	A	76-80	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Northeastern (73.3)	CAA	A	61-73	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Delaware (237.6)	CAA	H	71-65	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Old Dominion (27.7)	CAA	A	72-74	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Towson (264.1)	CAA	H	69-66	W	100%	0.0
1-14	William & Mary (57.6)	CAA	A	78-85	L	0%	0.0
1-16	George Mason (159.2)	CAA	H	71-82	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Drexel (148.3)	CAA	A	57-78	L	0%	0.0
1-23	NC Wilmington (237.1)	CAA	A	64-67	L	0%	0.0
1-25	Radford (170.4)	BSth	H	67-63	W	100%	0.0
1-27	William & Mary (57.6)	CAA	H	65-63	W	100%	0.0
1-30	George Mason (159.2)	CAA	A	68-70	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Hofstra (146.7)	CAA	H	48-68	L	0%	0.0
2-8	Towson (264.1)	CAA	A	78-81	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Old Dominion (27.7)	CAA	H	44-64	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Virginia Commonwealth (64.8)	CAA	H	76-71	W	100%	0.0
2-16	Georgia St. (247.7)	CAA	A	72-77	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Canisius (204.6)	MAAC	A	66-70	L	0%	0.0
2-22	Longwood (284.0)	ind	H	96-86	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Virginia Commonwealth (64.8)	CAA	A	62-76	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Drexel (148.3)	CAA	H	64-67	L	0%	0.0
3-5	Drexel (148.3)	CAA	N	77-65	W	100%	0.0
3-6	William & Mary (57.6)	CAA	N	65-70	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

James Madison's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

James Madison's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against James Madison.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
James Madison	CAA	26.35	26.34	37.78	37.78	-6.44	-6.44
William & Mary	CAA	5.31	5.31	67.86	67.86	1.90	1.90
Drexel	CAA	5.20	5.20	48.28	48.28	-0.18	-0.18
Old Dominion	CAA	3.96	3.96	75.00	75.00	1.98	1.98
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	3.87	3.87	72.41	72.41	1.73	1.73
Towson	CAA	3.79	3.79	31.03	31.03	-1.44	-1.44
Georgia St.	CAA	3.75	3.75	31.03	31.03	-1.42	-1.42
George Mason	CAA	3.73	3.73	51.72	51.72	0.13	0.13
NC Wilmington	CAA	2.36	2.36	26.67	26.67	-1.10	-1.10
Hofstra	CAA	2.36	2.36	54.84	54.84	0.23	0.23
Northeastern	CAA	2.36	2.36	61.29	61.29	0.53	0.53
Delaware	CAA	2.35	2.35	23.33	23.33	-1.26	-1.26
Radford	BSth	1.72	1.72	60.71	60.71	0.37	0.37
Longwood	ind	1.69	1.69	30.77	30.77	-0.65	-0.65
North Carolina Central	ind	1.62	1.62	12.50	13.23	-1.21	-1.19
Eastern Michigan	MAC	1.61	1.61	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Murray St.	OVC	1.57	1.57	87.10	87.10	1.16	1.16
Florida International	SB	1.57	1.57	20.00	20.00	-0.94	-0.94
Gardner Webb	BSth	1.57	1.57	20.00	20.00	-0.94	-0.94
MD Baltimore County	AE	1.56	1.56	13.79	13.79	-1.13	-1.13
Canisius	MAAC	1.54	1.54	45.16	45.16	-0.15	-0.15
Ohio St.	B10	1.54	1.54	76.67	76.90	0.82	0.83
Fordham	A10	1.52	1.52	7.41	7.41	-1.29	-1.29
Norfolk St.	MEAC	1.52	1.52	37.93	37.93	-0.37	-0.37
Stanford	P10	1.52	1.52	43.33	42.50	-0.20	-0.23
Hampton	MEAC	0.33	0.33	45.16	44.56	-0.03	-0.04
Richmond	A10	0.25	0.25	77.42	77.80	0.14	0.14
Manhattan	MAAC	0.22	0.22	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Liberty	BSth	0.20	0.20	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
High Point	BSth	0.20	0.20	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.20	0.20	73.33	72.98	0.09	0.09
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.18	0.18	24.00	24.00	-0.10	-0.10
George Washington	A10	0.17	0.17	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.17	0.17	77.42	77.42	0.09	0.09
Vermont	AE	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.42	0.08	0.08
Dayton	A10	0.17	0.17	64.52	63.56	0.05	0.05
Bowling Green	MAC	0.15	0.15	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	73.53	73.54	0.07	0.07
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Toledo	MAC	0.15	0.15	9.68	9.68	-0.12	-0.12
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.15	0.15	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.15	0.15	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Niagara	MAAC	0.14	0.14	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.14	0.14	80.00	80.00	0.08	0.08
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.14	0.14	34.62	34.62	-0.04	-0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.14	0.14	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.13	0.13	13.33	13.33	-0.10	-0.10
Indiana	B10	0.13	0.13	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.12	0.12	21.88	21.88	-0.07	-0.07
Western Michigan	MAC	0.12	0.12	54.84	54.42	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Duquesne	A10	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Savannah St.	ind	0.12	0.11	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
NC Asheville	BSth	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	76.67	76.05	0.06	0.06
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.10	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.10	48.28	47.06	-0.00	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.10	0.10	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.10	75.86	75.54	0.05	0.05
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.58	0.04	0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	51.85	52.74	0.00	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.10	0.10	61.29	60.55	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.42	0.05	0.05
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.10	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.10	0.09	70.97	71.58	0.04	0.04
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.10	0.10	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	93.55	93.22	0.08	0.08
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.01	-0.03	-0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	56.25	55.27	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.08	0.08	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	50.00	48.53	0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Kent St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.07	0.07	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	56.00	55.71	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.00	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.07	0.07	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.07	0.07	86.21	86.21	0.05	0.05
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.07	0.07	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.07	0.07	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	83.87	84.24	0.04	0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	60.00	59.43	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.33	0.03	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	83.87	84.00	0.03	0.04
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.08	32.00	33.43	-0.02	-0.03
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	93.75	93.44	0.04	0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.36	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.05	14.81	14.81	-0.03	-0.03
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.33	62.38	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	58.06	56.83	0.01	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.07	46.67	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	61.29	60.86	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.95	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	62.50	61.06	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	86.67	86.62	0.04	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	44.05	-0.00	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.07	70.97	71.33	0.02	0.03
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.82	0.03	0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	71.88	70.21	0.02	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.05	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	7.41	7.41	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.04	0.04	70.97	70.46	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.04	0.04	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.04	67.74	67.21	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.04	0.04	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.04	0.04	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.04	0.04	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.03	0.03	25.93	26.48	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	64.00	64.74	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	71.43	70.09	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.81	-0.01	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	65.52	64.59	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	80.00	78.82	0.02	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	83.33	82.83	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.02	0.02	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.02	0.02	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.02	0.02	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.02	0.02	77.42	76.64	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	74.07	73.84	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.02	0.02	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.02	0.02	68.75	67.65	0.01	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.02	0.02	41.38	40.93	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.02	0.02	80.65	80.51	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.02	0.02	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.02	0.02	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.02	0.02	57.14	56.84	0.00	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.02	0.02	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	80.65	80.72	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
James Madison	CAA	26.35	26.34	37.78	37.78	-6.44	-6.44
William & Mary	CAA	5.31	5.31	67.86	67.86	1.90	1.90
Drexel	CAA	5.20	5.20	48.28	48.28	-0.18	-0.18
Old Dominion	CAA	3.96	3.96	75.00	75.00	1.98	1.98
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	3.87	3.87	72.41	72.41	1.73	1.73
Towson	CAA	3.79	3.79	31.03	31.03	-1.44	-1.44
Georgia St.	CAA	3.75	3.75	31.03	31.03	-1.42	-1.42
George Mason	CAA	3.73	3.73	51.72	51.72	0.13	0.13
NC Wilmington	CAA	2.36	2.36	26.67	26.67	-1.10	-1.10
Hofstra	CAA	2.36	2.36	54.84	54.84	0.23	0.23
Northeastern	CAA	2.36	2.36	61.29	61.29	0.53	0.53
Delaware	CAA	2.35	2.35	23.33	23.33	-1.26	-1.26
Radford	BSth	1.72	1.72	60.71	60.71	0.37	0.37
Longwood	ind	1.69	1.69	30.77	30.77	-0.65	-0.65
North Carolina Central	ind	1.62	1.62	12.50	13.23	-1.21	-1.19
Eastern Michigan	MAC	1.61	1.61	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Murray St.	OVC	1.57	1.57	87.10	87.10	1.16	1.16
Florida International	SB	1.57	1.57	20.00	20.00	-0.94	-0.94
Gardner Webb	BSth	1.57	1.57	20.00	20.00	-0.94	-0.94
MD Baltimore County	AE	1.56	1.56	13.79	13.79	-1.13	-1.13
Canisius	MAAC	1.54	1.54	45.16	45.16	-0.15	-0.15
Ohio St.	B10	1.54	1.54	76.67	76.90	0.82	0.83
Fordham	A10	1.52	1.52	7.41	7.41	-1.29	-1.29
Norfolk St.	MEAC	1.52	1.52	37.93	37.93	-0.37	-0.37
Stanford	P10	1.52	1.52	43.33	42.50	-0.20	-0.23
Hampton	MEAC	0.33	0.33	45.16	44.56	-0.03	-0.04
Richmond	A10	0.25	0.25	77.42	77.80	0.14	0.14
Manhattan	MAAC	0.22	0.22	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Liberty	BSth	0.20	0.20	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.20	0.20	73.33	72.98	0.09	0.09
High Point	BSth	0.20	0.20	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.18	0.18	24.00	24.00	-0.10	-0.10
George Washington	A10	0.17	0.17	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.17	0.17	77.42	77.42	0.09	0.09
Vermont	AE	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.42	0.08	0.08
Dayton	A10	0.17	0.17	64.52	63.56	0.05	0.05
Bowling Green	MAC	0.15	0.15	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	73.53	73.54	0.07	0.07
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Toledo	MAC	0.15	0.15	9.68	9.68	-0.12	-0.12
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.15	0.15	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.15	0.15	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Niagara	MAAC	0.14	0.14	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.14	0.14	80.00	80.00	0.08	0.08
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.14	0.14	34.62	34.62	-0.04	-0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.14	0.14	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.13	0.13	13.33	13.33	-0.10	-0.10
Penn St.	B10	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Indiana	B10	0.13	0.13	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.12	0.12	21.88	21.88	-0.07	-0.07
Western Michigan	MAC	0.12	0.12	54.84	54.42	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.12	0.12	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Duquesne	A10	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.12	0.12	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Savannah St.	ind	0.12	0.11	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
NC Asheville	BSth	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.11	76.67	76.05	0.06	0.06
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Navy	Pat	0.10	0.10	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.10	0.10	48.28	47.06	-0.00	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.10	0.10	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.10	75.86	75.54	0.05	0.05
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.58	0.04	0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	51.85	52.74	0.00	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.10	0.10	61.29	60.55	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.10	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.42	0.05	0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.10	0.10	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
California	P10	0.10	0.09	70.97	71.58	0.04	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	93.55	93.22	0.08	0.08
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.09	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.01	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.08	32.00	33.43	-0.02	-0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	56.25	55.27	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Stony Brook	AE	0.08	0.08	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	50.00	48.53	0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Kent St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.07	0.07	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.00	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	56.00	55.71	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.07	0.07	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.07	0.07	86.21	86.21	0.05	0.05
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.07	0.07	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.07	0.07	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.07	46.67	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Washington	P10	0.05	0.07	70.97	71.33	0.02	0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.06	0.06	83.87	84.24	0.04	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.33	0.03	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	60.00	59.43	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	83.87	84.00	0.03	0.04
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	93.75	93.44	0.04	0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.36	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.05	14.81	14.81	-0.03	-0.03
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.33	62.38	0.01	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.95	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	58.06	56.83	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	71.88	70.21	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	61.29	60.86	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	62.50	61.06	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	86.67	86.62	0.04	0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.05	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	7.41	7.41	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	44.05	-0.00	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.82	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.04	0.04	70.97	70.46	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.04	0.04	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.04	0.04	67.74	67.21	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.04	0.04	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.04	0.04	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.04	0.04	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.03	0.03	25.93	26.48	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	64.00	64.74	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	71.43	70.09	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.81	-0.01	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	65.52	64.59	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	80.00	78.82	0.02	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01