The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Appalachian St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Appalachian St.

Conference:		SC
Expected RPI:		134.5
Current RPI:		125
Expected SOS:		199
Current SOS:		159
Current Record:		11-9
Expected Record:		17-11
Current Conf Record:		7-4
Expected Conf Record:		12-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-5
Current OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC Record:		5-5
Expected OOC RPI:		102
Expected OOC SOS:		46

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
19-9	98.4	6.02%
18-10	112.9	23.93%
17-11	130.9	33.57%
16-12	150.5	24.56%
15-13	169.3	9.77%
14-14	186.7	1.83%
13-15	205.2	0.27%
12-16	218.2	0.04%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Appalachian St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	NC Wilmington (217.4)	CAA	H	79-68	W	100%	0.0
11-14	East Tennessee St. (138.0)	ASun	A	58-62	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Arkansas (126.3)	SEC	A	72-81	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Louisville (36.4)	BE	A	53-80	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Morgan St. (106.3)	MEAC	H	93-92	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Winthrop (181.1)	BSth	H	70-51	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Furman (266.7)	SC	H	82-85	L	0%	0.0
12-7	Wofford (100.2)	SC	A	77-76	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Robert Morris (153.8)	NEC	A	65-52	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Dayton (32.1)	A10	A	49-65	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Campbell (190.8)	ASun	A	63-92	L	0%	0.0
1-6	The Citadel (209.3)	SC	H	58-62	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Davidson (158.8)	SC	A	78-68	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Elon (282.7)	SC	H	89-65	W	100%	0.0
1-16	NC Greensboro (263.1)	SC	H	72-64	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Georgia Southern (296.7)	SC	A	65-68	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Western Carolina (101.2)	SC	H	87-74	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Samford (257.2)	SC	A	68-55	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Chattanooga (219.8)	SC	A	80-85	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Western Carolina (101.2)	SC	A	89-77	W	100%	0.0
2-8	NC Greensboro (263.1)	SC	A	0-0		66%	4.4
2-11	Davidson (158.8)	SC	H	0-0		65%	4.3
2-13	Georgia Southern (296.7)	SC	H	0-0		92%	15.5
2-17	College of Charleston (90.2)	SC	A	0-0		33%	-4.7
2-20	Tennessee Tech (202.4)	OVC	H	0-0		86%	11.6
2-22	Elon (282.7)	SC	A	0-0		74%	6.9
2-25	Chattanooga (219.8)	SC	H	0-0		84%	10.9
2-27	Samford (257.2)	SC	H	0-0		84%	10.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Appalachian St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Appalachian St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Appalachian St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Appalachian St.	SC	26.24	26.31	60.23	63.24	5.37	6.97
Western Carolina	SC	5.62	4.51	78.95	74.85	3.25	2.24
Elon	SC	3.18	4.42	20.00	24.01	-1.91	-2.30
Georgia Southern	SC	3.14	4.33	13.64	17.61	-2.28	-2.80
Wofford	SC	3.13	2.66	69.57	70.28	1.23	1.08
NC Greensboro	SC	3.13	4.39	22.73	25.41	-1.71	-2.16
Furman	SC	3.13	2.66	40.00	38.79	-0.63	-0.60
Chattanooga	SC	3.12	4.42	45.45	45.24	-0.28	-0.42
Samford	SC	3.08	4.38	30.00	32.88	-1.23	-1.50
The Citadel	SC	3.07	2.66	42.86	43.80	-0.44	-0.33
Davidson	SC	3.01	4.32	50.00	53.38	0.00	0.29
Louisville	BE	2.78	1.94	63.64	60.81	0.76	0.42
East Tennessee St.	ASun	2.77	2.03	47.83	52.15	-0.12	0.09
Campbell	ASun	2.73	1.94	55.00	57.18	0.27	0.28
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.71	1.90	73.91	76.11	1.30	0.99
Arkansas	SEC	2.66	1.87	50.00	46.75	0.00	-0.12
NC Wilmington	CAA	2.62	1.88	31.82	33.48	-0.95	-0.62
Robert Morris	NEC	2.55	1.81	69.57	66.16	1.00	0.59
Dayton	A10	2.50	1.79	71.43	70.94	1.07	0.75
Winthrop	BSth	2.50	1.82	55.00	56.91	0.25	0.25
College of Charleston	SC	0.91	2.73	66.67	65.58	0.30	0.85
NC Asheville	BSth	0.35	0.23	33.33	37.71	-0.12	-0.06
Clemson	ACC	0.29	0.22	69.57	66.88	0.11	0.07
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.29	0.28	80.95	82.07	0.18	0.18
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.29	0.25	18.18	21.04	-0.18	-0.15
Lipscomb	ASun	0.28	0.22	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.28	0.15	14.29	15.65	-0.20	-0.11
Duquesne	A10	0.23	0.15	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.23	0.22	58.33	54.32	0.04	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.22	0.13	60.00	63.83	0.04	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.22	0.13	29.17	28.85	-0.09	-0.05
Long Island	NEC	0.21	0.15	39.13	41.53	-0.05	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.18	0.19	20.00	23.58	-0.11	-0.10
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.18	0.13	40.00	40.09	-0.04	-0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.18	0.13	12.50	15.31	-0.13	-0.09
Charlotte	A10	0.17	0.15	78.26	71.72	0.10	0.07
Hofstra	CAA	0.17	0.19	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.17	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.11	0.05
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.17	0.10	21.05	22.43	-0.10	-0.05
Bradley	MVC	0.17	0.09	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.17	0.12	65.22	62.18	0.05	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.17	0.15	76.19	71.14	0.09	0.07
UAB	CUSA	0.17	0.12	82.61	78.56	0.11	0.07
Penn St.	B10	0.17	0.12	34.78	32.23	-0.05	-0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.17	0.15	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.17	0.12	62.50	57.74	0.04	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.16	0.19	69.57	70.29	0.06	0.08
Towson	CAA	0.16	0.12	22.73	23.47	-0.09	-0.06
Georgia St.	CAA	0.16	0.12	37.50	38.45	-0.04	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.16	0.18	75.00	71.23	0.08	0.08
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.12	0.07	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.12	0.10	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.12	0.09	86.36	81.50	0.08	0.06
Texas A&M	B12	0.12	0.10	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.12	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.09	20.00	21.94	-0.07	-0.05
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.09	23.81	29.40	-0.06	-0.04
Radford	BSth	0.11	0.13	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.09	81.82	72.57	0.07	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.13	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.13	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.11	0.13	42.86	42.46	-0.02	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.13	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.11	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.04	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.11	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.05	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.11	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.09	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.11	0.12	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.09	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.11	0.19	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.10	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.09	22.73	27.28	-0.06	-0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.06	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.05
Baylor	B12	0.11	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.06	0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.08	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.11	0.19	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.05
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.11	0.18	86.96	85.47	0.08	0.13
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.04
Albany	AE	0.10	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.06	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.07	20.00	20.57	-0.04	-0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.05
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.06	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.04	0.04
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.07	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.09	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.06	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.07	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.06	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.04	-0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.07	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.06	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.07	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.06	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.06	0.06	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.05	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.06	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.04	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.06	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.06	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.04	0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.05
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.03
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.04
Troy	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.09	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.05
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.06	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.00	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.00	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.00	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.00	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.00	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.00	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.00	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.00	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.00	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.00	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.00	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.00	-0.02
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.00	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.00	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.00	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.00	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.00	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.00	0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.00	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.00	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.00	-0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.00	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.00	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.01
Temple	A10	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.00	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	1.79	45.45	45.13	-0.00	-0.17
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.00	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.00	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Appalachian St.	SC	26.24	26.31	60.23	63.24	5.37	6.97
Western Carolina	SC	5.62	4.51	78.95	74.85	3.25	2.24
Elon	SC	3.18	4.42	20.00	24.01	-1.91	-2.30
Chattanooga	SC	3.12	4.42	45.45	45.24	-0.28	-0.42
NC Greensboro	SC	3.13	4.39	22.73	25.41	-1.71	-2.16
Samford	SC	3.08	4.38	30.00	32.88	-1.23	-1.50
Georgia Southern	SC	3.14	4.33	13.64	17.61	-2.28	-2.80
Davidson	SC	3.01	4.32	50.00	53.38	0.00	0.29
College of Charleston	SC	0.91	2.73	66.67	65.58	0.30	0.85
The Citadel	SC	3.07	2.66	42.86	43.80	-0.44	-0.33
Wofford	SC	3.13	2.66	69.57	70.28	1.23	1.08
Furman	SC	3.13	2.66	40.00	38.79	-0.63	-0.60
East Tennessee St.	ASun	2.77	2.03	47.83	52.15	-0.12	0.09
Campbell	ASun	2.73	1.94	55.00	57.18	0.27	0.28
Louisville	BE	2.78	1.94	63.64	60.81	0.76	0.42
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.71	1.90	73.91	76.11	1.30	0.99
NC Wilmington	CAA	2.62	1.88	31.82	33.48	-0.95	-0.62
Arkansas	SEC	2.66	1.87	50.00	46.75	0.00	-0.12
Winthrop	BSth	2.50	1.82	55.00	56.91	0.25	0.25
Robert Morris	NEC	2.55	1.81	69.57	66.16	1.00	0.59
Dayton	A10	2.50	1.79	71.43	70.94	1.07	0.75
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.00	1.79	45.45	45.13	-0.00	-0.17
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.29	0.28	80.95	82.07	0.18	0.18
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.29	0.25	18.18	21.04	-0.18	-0.15
NC Asheville	BSth	0.35	0.23	33.33	37.71	-0.12	-0.06
Clemson	ACC	0.29	0.22	69.57	66.88	0.11	0.07
Lipscomb	ASun	0.28	0.22	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.23	0.22	58.33	54.32	0.04	0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.18	0.19	20.00	23.58	-0.11	-0.10
Kent St.	MAC	0.16	0.19	69.57	70.29	0.06	0.08
Hofstra	CAA	0.17	0.19	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.11	0.19	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.11	0.19	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.05
Richmond	A10	0.16	0.18	75.00	71.23	0.08	0.08
Murray St.	OVC	0.11	0.18	86.96	85.47	0.08	0.13
Stetson	ASun	0.28	0.15	14.29	15.65	-0.20	-0.11
Wake Forest	ACC	0.17	0.15	76.19	71.14	0.09	0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.17	0.15	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.17	0.15	78.26	71.72	0.10	0.07
Duquesne	A10	0.23	0.15	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.21	0.15	39.13	41.53	-0.05	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.18	0.13	12.50	15.31	-0.13	-0.09
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.18	0.13	40.00	40.09	-0.04	-0.03
Radford	BSth	0.11	0.13	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.22	0.13	60.00	63.83	0.04	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.22	0.13	29.17	28.85	-0.09	-0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.13	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.13	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.11	0.13	42.86	42.46	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.13	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.17	0.12	82.61	78.56	0.11	0.07
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.12	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.17	0.12	34.78	32.23	-0.05	-0.04
South Florida	BE	0.17	0.12	65.22	62.18	0.05	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.16	0.12	37.50	38.45	-0.04	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.17	0.12	62.50	57.74	0.04	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.11	0.12	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Towson	CAA	0.16	0.12	22.73	23.47	-0.09	-0.06
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.12	0.10	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.12	0.10	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.17	0.10	21.05	22.43	-0.10	-0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.09	20.00	21.94	-0.07	-0.05
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.09	23.81	29.40	-0.06	-0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.09	81.82	72.57	0.07	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.17	0.09	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.09	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.06	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.12	0.09	86.36	81.50	0.08	0.06
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.05
Texas	B12	0.17	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.11	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.03
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.09	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.09	22.73	27.28	-0.06	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.09	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.07
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.04
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.08	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.07	20.00	20.57	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.07	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.12	0.07	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.07	26.32	31.51	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.07	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.07	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.00	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.04
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.05
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.00	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.04	0.04
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.06	0.06	16.67	19.94	-0.04	-0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.00	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.00	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.04	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.04
Troy	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.06	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.06	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.06	0.06	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.04	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.04
George Washington	A10	0.11	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.11	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.05	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.11	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.09	0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.10	0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.00	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.00	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.06	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.03
Albany	AE	0.10	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.06	-0.03
Baylor	B12	0.11	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.06	0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.06	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.06	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.00	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.00	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.00	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.00	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.00	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.00	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.00	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.00	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.00	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.00	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.06	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.06	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.05	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.00	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.06	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.04	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.06	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.06	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.06	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.00	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.00	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.00	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.00	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.00	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.00	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.00	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.00	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Appalachian St.	SC	26.24	26.31	60.23	63.24	5.37	6.97
Western Carolina	SC	5.62	4.51	78.95	74.85	3.25	2.24
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.71	1.90	73.91	76.11	1.30	0.99
Wofford	SC	3.13	2.66	69.57	70.28	1.23	1.08
Dayton	A10	2.50	1.79	71.43	70.94	1.07	0.75
Robert Morris	NEC	2.55	1.81	69.57	66.16	1.00	0.59
Louisville	BE	2.78	1.94	63.64	60.81	0.76	0.42
College of Charleston	SC	0.91	2.73	66.67	65.58	0.30	0.85
Campbell	ASun	2.73	1.94	55.00	57.18	0.27	0.28
Winthrop	BSth	2.50	1.82	55.00	56.91	0.25	0.25
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.29	0.28	80.95	82.07	0.18	0.18
Clemson	ACC	0.29	0.22	69.57	66.88	0.11	0.07