The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Alabama St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Alabama St.

Conference:		SWAC
Expected RPI:		303.7
Current RPI:		317
Expected SOS:		342
Current SOS:		341
Current Record:		6-13
Expected Record:		10-16
Current Conf Record:		6-5
Expected Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-9
Current OOC Record:		0-8
Expected OOC Record:		0-8
Expected OOC RPI:		346
Expected OOC SOS:		249

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
13-13	256.7	0.95%
12-14	273.7	8.35%
11-15	291.9	27.22%
10-16	307.7	35.90%
9-17	318.7	21.74%
8-18	328.2	5.26%
7-19	335.2	0.55%
6-20	339.5	0.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Alabama St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	Mississippi (42.7)	SEC	A	53-90	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Belmont (139.4)	ASun	A	42-78	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Tulane (256.8)	CUSA	A	55-82	L	0%	0.0
12-2	DePaul (180.7)	BE	A	50-58	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Evansville (276.2)	MVC	A	57-61	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Southern Illinois (133.8)	MVC	A	63-82	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Arkansas (127.2)	SEC	A	51-76	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Auburn (163.2)	SEC	A	78-94	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Grambling (337.7)	SWAC	A	70-55	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Jackson St. (242.9)	SWAC	A	62-63	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Mississippi Valley St. (324.4)	SWAC	H	73-76	L	0%	0.0
1-11	Arkansas Pine Bluff (205.1)	SWAC	H	75-73	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Alabama A&M (319.5)	SWAC	H	83-69	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Alcorn St. (345.4)	SWAC	A	69-62	W	100%	0.0
1-25	Southern (342.9)	SWAC	A	77-60	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Texas Southern (204.5)	SWAC	H	62-61	W	100%	0.0
2-1	Prairie View A&M (249.9)	SWAC	H	55-56	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Mississippi Valley St. (324.4)	SWAC	A	71-82	L	0%	0.0
2-8	Arkansas Pine Bluff (205.1)	SWAC	A	42-47	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Alabama A&M (319.5)	SWAC	A	0-0		47%	-0.9
2-20	Alcorn St. (345.4)	SWAC	H	0-0		93%	16.4
2-22	Southern (342.9)	SWAC	H	0-0		87%	12.3
2-27	Texas Southern (204.5)	SWAC	A	0-0		18%	-10.1
3-1	Prairie View A&M (249.9)	SWAC	A	0-0		28%	-6.4
3-4	Grambling (337.7)	SWAC	H	0-0		83%	10.4
3-6	Jackson St. (242.9)	SWAC	H	0-0		59%	2.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Alabama St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Alabama St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Alabama St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Alabama St.	SWAC	26.41	26.53	38.96	44.00	-5.83	-3.19
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	6.01	5.02	14.29	19.55	-4.29	-3.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	5.94	4.98	35.00	46.93	-1.78	-0.31
Alabama A&M	SWAC	3.55	4.97	35.71	41.12	-1.01	-0.88
Alcorn St.	SWAC	3.48	5.02	0.00	4.43	-3.48	-4.58
Southern	SWAC	3.42	4.98	19.05	21.38	-2.12	-2.85
Jackson St.	SWAC	3.40	4.98	47.62	47.97	-0.16	-0.20
Grambling	SWAC	3.39	4.96	29.41	28.41	-1.39	-2.14
Texas Southern	SWAC	3.36	4.98	47.37	55.23	-0.18	0.52
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	3.33	4.96	43.75	51.00	-0.42	0.10
Arkansas	SEC	2.92	2.18	50.00	46.70	0.00	-0.14
Auburn	SEC	2.83	2.14	42.86	40.66	-0.40	-0.40
Mississippi	SEC	2.75	2.05	72.73	71.59	1.25	0.88
Evansville	MVC	2.69	1.99	19.05	19.70	-1.67	-1.21
Southern Illinois	MVC	2.69	1.99	52.38	52.37	0.13	0.09
Belmont	ASun	2.63	1.92	58.33	62.59	0.44	0.48
DePaul	BE	2.63	1.92	31.82	31.62	-0.96	-0.71
Tulane	CUSA	2.63	1.92	28.57	27.05	-1.13	-0.88
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.36	0.26	77.27	75.68	0.19	0.13
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.34	0.29	69.57	68.49	0.13	0.11
Illinois St.	MVC	0.31	0.21	66.67	63.46	0.10	0.06
Missouri St.	MVC	0.30	0.20	66.67	64.66	0.10	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.26	0.21	69.57	63.54	0.10	0.06
Bradley	MVC	0.24	0.14	52.17	50.20	0.01	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.24	0.14	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.24	0.23	68.42	67.05	0.09	0.08
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.24	0.17	91.30	88.20	0.20	0.13
Alabama	SEC	0.23	0.26	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.23	0.13	54.55	48.80	0.02	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.23	0.13	61.90	56.09	0.05	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.20	0.18	59.09	54.44	0.04	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.20	0.21	63.64	58.35	0.05	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.19	0.14	65.22	66.14	0.06	0.05
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.19	0.17	29.17	28.88	-0.08	-0.07
Colorado	B12	0.19	0.13	42.86	40.57	-0.03	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.19	0.20	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.18	0.27	79.17	77.29	0.11	0.15
Creighton	MVC	0.18	0.14	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.18	0.10	54.17	56.01	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.18	0.16	76.19	72.74	0.09	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.18	0.10	81.82	79.55	0.11	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.17	0.10	95.65	88.68	0.16	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.17	0.13	81.82	75.63	0.11	0.07
Arkansas St.	SB	0.17	0.10	57.14	57.09	0.02	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.17	0.13	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.16	0.10	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.15	0.12	73.91	69.55	0.07	0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.14	0.18	60.87	55.48	0.03	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.14	0.12	20.00	24.03	-0.08	-0.06
Centenary	Sum	0.13	0.11	27.27	27.20	-0.06	-0.05
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.13	0.14	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.04
North Texas	SB	0.13	0.13	61.90	63.68	0.03	0.04
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.07	69.57	66.00	0.05	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.02
Denver	SB	0.12	0.07	60.87	59.59	0.03	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.12	0.14	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.12	0.07	17.39	20.02	-0.08	-0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.07	72.73	68.10	0.05	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.12	0.07	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.12	0.07	73.91	70.59	0.06	0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.12	0.10	22.73	22.86	-0.07	-0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.12	0.07	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.12	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.11	-0.06
Tulsa	CUSA	0.12	0.10	77.27	70.95	0.07	0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.12	0.10	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.12	0.07	77.27	73.45	0.06	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.12	0.10	21.74	22.22	-0.07	-0.06
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.12	0.19	39.13	35.39	-0.03	-0.06
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.12	0.07	26.32	31.50	-0.06	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.12	0.10	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.12	0.10	82.61	78.53	0.08	0.06
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.12	0.13	76.19	73.21	0.06	0.06
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.06	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.10	47.62	45.43	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.11	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.11	0.06	45.45	40.27	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.11	0.06	91.30	85.32	0.09	0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.06	63.64	58.77	0.03	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.06	82.61	79.46	0.07	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.11	0.09	58.33	58.25	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.09	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.09	95.83	93.08	0.10	0.08
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.06	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.11	0.06	47.62	49.07	-0.01	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.11	0.06	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.06	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.08	0.08	35.00	30.57	-0.02	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	33.33	30.81	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	66.84	0.04	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.07	0.08	23.53	26.11	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.08	78.26	78.94	0.04	0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.07	0.07	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.07	0.07	79.17	78.03	0.04	0.04
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.07	0.07	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.06	0.03	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.06	0.07	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.05
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.03	84.00	84.05	0.04	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.07	21.05	24.99	-0.03	-0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.03	40.00	40.10	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.07	19.05	20.74	-0.04	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.07	20.00	21.93	-0.04	-0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.07	18.18	19.17	-0.04	-0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.03	62.50	57.77	0.01	0.01
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.03	65.22	67.02	0.02	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.03	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.07	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.10	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.07	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.04	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.03	23.81	30.79	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.03	34.78	32.21	-0.02	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.07	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.03	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.03	8.70	9.55	-0.05	-0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.03	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.37	-0.00	0.00
Utah	MWC	0.06	0.07	45.45	44.33	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.03	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.06	0.03	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.07	16.00	21.66	-0.04	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
American	Pat	0.06	0.03	30.43	32.38	-0.02	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.03	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.06	0.03	40.00	39.17	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.03	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.10	73.91	67.69	0.03	0.03
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.03	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.06	65.22	62.02	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	72.00	73.85	0.03	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.03	70.83	63.36	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.03	0.01
Providence	BE	0.06	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.06	0.03	39.13	36.58	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.06	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.05	0.03
Texas	B12	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	36.84	36.81	-0.02	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.74	-0.03	-0.03
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.03	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.06	64.00	63.77	0.02	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.63	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.66	-0.04	-0.04
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.88	0.02	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.86	-0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.06	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.50	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.09	0.00	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	54.55	56.59	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Alabama St.	SWAC	26.41	26.53	38.96	44.00	-5.83	-3.19
Alcorn St.	SWAC	3.48	5.02	0.00	4.43	-3.48	-4.58
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	6.01	5.02	14.29	19.55	-4.29	-3.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	5.94	4.98	35.00	46.93	-1.78	-0.31
Jackson St.	SWAC	3.40	4.98	47.62	47.97	-0.16	-0.20
Southern	SWAC	3.42	4.98	19.05	21.38	-2.12	-2.85
Texas Southern	SWAC	3.36	4.98	47.37	55.23	-0.18	0.52
Alabama A&M	SWAC	3.55	4.97	35.71	41.12	-1.01	-0.88
Grambling	SWAC	3.39	4.96	29.41	28.41	-1.39	-2.14
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	3.33	4.96	43.75	51.00	-0.42	0.10
Arkansas	SEC	2.92	2.18	50.00	46.70	0.00	-0.14
Auburn	SEC	2.83	2.14	42.86	40.66	-0.40	-0.40
Mississippi	SEC	2.75	2.05	72.73	71.59	1.25	0.88
Evansville	MVC	2.69	1.99	19.05	19.70	-1.67	-1.21
Southern Illinois	MVC	2.69	1.99	52.38	52.37	0.13	0.09
Belmont	ASun	2.63	1.92	58.33	62.59	0.44	0.48
DePaul	BE	2.63	1.92	31.82	31.62	-0.96	-0.71
Tulane	CUSA	2.63	1.92	28.57	27.05	-1.13	-0.88
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.34	0.29	69.57	68.49	0.13	0.11
Wichita St.	MVC	0.18	0.27	79.17	77.29	0.11	0.15
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.36	0.26	77.27	75.68	0.19	0.13
Alabama	SEC	0.23	0.26	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.24	0.23	68.42	67.05	0.09	0.08
Illinois St.	MVC	0.31	0.21	66.67	63.46	0.10	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.26	0.21	69.57	63.54	0.10	0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.20	0.21	63.64	58.35	0.05	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.19	0.20	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.30	0.20	66.67	64.66	0.10	0.06
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.12	0.19	39.13	35.39	-0.03	-0.06
South Carolina	SEC	0.20	0.18	59.09	54.44	0.04	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.14	0.18	60.87	55.48	0.03	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.19	0.17	29.17	28.88	-0.08	-0.07
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.24	0.17	91.30	88.20	0.20	0.13
Baylor	B12	0.18	0.16	76.19	72.74	0.09	0.07
Marquette	BE	0.19	0.14	65.22	66.14	0.06	0.05
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.13	0.14	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.24	0.14	52.17	50.20	0.01	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.18	0.14	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.24	0.14	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.12	0.14	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.19	0.13	42.86	40.57	-0.03	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.13	0.13	61.90	63.68	0.03	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.23	0.13	61.90	56.09	0.05	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.23	0.13	54.55	48.80	0.02	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.17	0.13	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.17	0.13	81.82	75.63	0.11	0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.12	0.13	76.19	73.21	0.06	0.06
Florida St.	ACC	0.15	0.12	73.91	69.55	0.07	0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.14	0.12	20.00	24.03	-0.08	-0.06
Centenary	Sum	0.13	0.11	27.27	27.20	-0.06	-0.05
Western Kentucky	SB	0.18	0.10	54.17	56.01	0.01	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.12	0.10	21.74	22.22	-0.07	-0.06
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.10	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.12	0.10	22.73	22.86	-0.07	-0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.12	0.10	77.27	70.95	0.07	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.18	0.10	81.82	79.55	0.11	0.06
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.12	0.10	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.12	0.10	82.61	78.53	0.08	0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.12	0.10	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.17	0.10	57.14	57.09	0.02	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.16	0.10	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.10	73.91	67.69	0.03	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.10	47.62	45.43	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.17	0.10	95.65	88.68	0.16	0.07
Detroit	Horz	0.11	0.09	58.33	58.25	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.09	95.83	93.08	0.10	0.08
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.09	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.08	0.08	35.00	30.57	-0.02	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	33.33	30.81	-0.03	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.08	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.07	0.08	23.53	26.11	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	66.84	0.04	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.08	78.26	78.94	0.04	0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.07	0.07	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.07	0.07	79.17	78.03	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.12	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.11	-0.06
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.07	0.07	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.12	0.07	17.39	20.02	-0.08	-0.04
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.07	69.57	66.00	0.05	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.06	0.07	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.07	21.05	24.99	-0.03	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.07	19.05	20.74	-0.04	-0.04
Denver	SB	0.12	0.07	60.87	59.59	0.03	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.07	20.00	21.93	-0.04	-0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.07	18.18	19.17	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.07	72.73	68.10	0.05	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.07	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.12	0.07	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.12	0.07	73.91	70.59	0.06	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.07	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.07	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.12	0.07	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
Utah	MWC	0.06	0.07	45.45	44.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.07	16.00	21.66	-0.04	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.12	0.07	77.27	73.45	0.06	0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.12	0.07	26.32	31.50	-0.06	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.06	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.06	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.11	0.06	47.62	49.07	-0.01	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.11	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.11	0.06	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.06	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.11	0.06	45.45	40.27	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.06	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.04
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.06	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.66	-0.04	-0.04
Villanova	BE	0.11	0.06	91.30	85.32	0.09	0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.06	63.64	58.77	0.03	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.06	82.61	79.46	0.07	0.04
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.06	65.22	62.02	0.02	0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.74	-0.03	-0.03
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.03	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.06	64.00	63.77	0.02	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.06	0.03	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.03	84.00	84.05	0.04	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.03	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.04	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.03	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.03	8.70	9.55	-0.05	-0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	54.55	56.59	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.03	62.50	57.77	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.86	-0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.03	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.03	23.81	30.79	-0.03	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.03	34.78	32.21	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.03	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.06	0.03	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.02
American	Pat	0.06	0.03	30.43	32.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.03	40.00	40.10	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.06	0.03	40.00	39.17	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.03	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.03	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.03	65.22	67.02	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.03	70.83	63.36	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.03	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.63	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.06	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.06	0.03	39.13	36.58	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.50	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.09	0.00	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.05	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	36.84	36.81	-0.02	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.37	-0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.03	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.00
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.88	0.02	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.03	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	72.00	73.85	0.03	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Texas	B12	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Mississippi	SEC	2.75	2.05	72.73	71.59	1.25	0.88
Belmont	ASun	2.63	1.92	58.33	62.59	0.44	0.48
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.24	0.17	91.30	88.20	0.20	0.13
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.36	0.26	77.27	75.68	0.19	0.13
Kentucky	SEC	0.17	0.10	95.65	88.68	0.16	0.07
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.34	0.29	69.57	68.49	0.13	0.11
Southern Illinois	MVC	2.69	1.99	52.38	52.37	0.13	0.09
Kansas St.	B12	0.18	0.10	81.82	79.55	0.11	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.17	0.13	81.82	75.63	0.11	0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.18	0.27	79.17	77.29	0.11	0.15
Illinois St.	MVC	0.31	0.21	66.67	63.46	0.10	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.26	0.21	69.57	63.54	0.10	0.06
Missouri St.	MVC	0.30	0.20	66.67	64.66	0.10	0.06
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.09	95.83	93.08	0.10	0.08
Villanova	BE	0.11	0.06	91.30	85.32	0.09	0.05
Baylor	B12	0.18	0.16	76.19	72.74	0.09	0.07
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.24	0.23	68.42	67.05	0.09	0.08
UAB	CUSA	0.12	0.10	82.61	78.53	0.08	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.06	82.61	79.46	0.07	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.15	0.12	73.91	69.55	0.07	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.12	0.10	77.27	70.95	0.07	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.12	0.07	77.27	73.45	0.06	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.12	0.13	76.19	73.21	0.06	0.06
Missouri	B12	0.12	0.07	73.91	70.59	0.06	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.19	0.14	65.22	66.14	0.06	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.07	72.73	68.10	0.05	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.23	0.13	61.90	56.09	0.05	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.20	0.21	63.64	58.35	0.05	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.05	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.07	69.57	66.00	0.05	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.06	0.07	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.08	78.26	78.94	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.03	84.00	84.05	0.04	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.12	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.07	0.07	79.17	78.03	0.04	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.04	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.20	0.18	59.09	54.44	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	66.84	0.04	0.03
Texas	B12	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.06	0.03	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.06	63.64	58.77	0.03	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.24	0.14	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.14	0.18	60.87	55.48	0.03	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.23	0.26	56.52	54.14	0.03	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.13	0.13	61.90	63.68	0.03	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.06	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.03	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.03	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.10	73.91	67.69	0.03	0.03
Denver	SB	0.12	0.07	60.87	59.59	0.03	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	72.00	73.85	0.03	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.17	0.10	57.14	57.09	0.02	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.03	70.83	63.36	0.02	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.10	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.03	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.23	0.13	54.55	48.80	0.02	-0.00
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.88	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.07	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.03	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.11	0.09	58.33	58.25	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.03	65.22	67.02	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.06	65.22	62.02	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.06	64.00	63.77	0.02	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.06	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.03	62.50	57.77	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.18	0.10	54.17	56.01	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.06	56.52	59.88	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.12	0.10	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.03	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.03	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.24	0.14	52.17	50.20	0.01	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.03	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.07	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.07	0.07	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01