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Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Oklahoma St.

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:170.0
Current RPI:170
Expected SOS:55
Current SOS:55
Current Record:12-20
Expected Record:12-20
Current Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Record:3-16
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-2
Current OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC RPI:172
Expected OOC SOS:278



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
12-20170.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oklahoma St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCH91-57W100%0.0
11-16Arkansas Pine Bluff (311.0)SWACH86-72W100%0.0
11-19Towson (150.0)CAAN52-69W100%0.0
11-20George Mason (201.0)A10N68-71L0%0.0
11-22Long Beach St. (79.0)BWN77-82W100%0.0
11-27Long Beach St. (79.0)BWH79-73W100%0.0
12-2Tulsa (58.0)AmerH56-66L0%0.0
12-5Missouri St. (235.0)MVCH63-64L0%0.0
12-12Minnesota (257.0)B10N60-62W100%0.0
12-15Longwood (323.0)BSthH73-55W100%0.0
12-19Florida (55.0)SECN72-70L0%0.0
12-29UMKC (286.0)WACH61-43W100%0.0
1-2TCU (174.0)B12H69-48W100%0.0
1-5Baylor (25.0)B12A79-62L0%0.0
1-9West Virginia (10.0)B12A77-60L0%0.0
1-13Oklahoma (6.0)B12H72-74L0%0.0
1-16Texas (27.0)B12A74-69L0%0.0
1-19Kansas (1.0)B12H86-67W100%0.0
1-23Kansas St. (92.0)B12A89-73L0%0.0
1-27Baylor (25.0)B12H65-69L0%0.0
1-30Auburn (175.0)SECA63-74W100%0.0
2-3Texas Tech (36.0)B12A63-61L0%0.0
2-6Iowa St. (23.0)B12H59-64L0%0.0
2-8TCU (174.0)B12A63-56L0%0.0
2-13Kansas St. (92.0)B12H58-55W100%0.0
2-15Kansas (1.0)B12A94-67L0%0.0
2-20Texas Tech (36.0)B12H61-71L0%0.0
2-24Oklahoma (6.0)B12A71-49L0%0.0
2-27West Virginia (10.0)B12H56-70L0%0.0
2-29Iowa St. (23.0)B12A58-50L0%0.0
3-4Texas (27.0)B12H50-62L0%0.0
3-9Kansas St. (92.0)B12A75-71L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Oklahoma St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Oklahoma St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Oklahoma St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Oklahoma St.B1226.3626.3632.3932.39-9.28-9.28
Kansas St.B125.515.5150.0050.000.000.00
West VirginiaB124.124.1275.0075.002.062.06
KansasB124.114.1190.3290.323.323.32
Texas TechB124.064.0658.6258.620.700.70
TCUB124.044.0435.4835.48-1.17-1.17
BaylorB124.044.0463.3363.331.081.08
OklahomaB124.044.0476.6776.672.152.15
Iowa St.B124.014.0163.3363.331.071.07
TexasB123.993.9960.0060.000.800.80
Long Beach St.BW3.123.1260.0060.000.620.62
MinnesotaB101.671.6726.6726.67-0.78-0.78
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC1.661.6625.0025.00-0.83-0.83
Tennessee MartinOVC1.641.6456.6756.670.220.22
FloridaSEC1.631.6356.2556.250.200.20
George MasonA101.611.6132.2632.26-0.57-0.57
Missouri St.MVC1.611.6136.6736.67-0.43-0.43
UMKCWAC1.611.6133.3333.33-0.54-0.54
TulsaAmer1.591.5963.3363.330.420.42
LongwoodBSth1.591.5924.1424.14-0.82-0.82
TowsonCAA1.591.5962.0762.070.380.38
AuburnSEC1.591.5936.6736.67-0.42-0.42
HawaiiBW0.290.2983.3383.330.200.20
Texas A&MSEC0.290.2976.4776.470.150.15
VanderbiltSEC0.240.2459.3859.380.050.05
MississippiSEC0.220.2262.5062.500.050.05
GeorgiaSEC0.220.2259.3859.380.040.04
RichmondA100.190.1950.0050.000.000.00
UC IrvineBW0.190.1971.8871.880.080.08
New Mexico St.WAC0.180.1867.7467.740.060.06
Mississippi St.SEC0.180.1845.1645.16-0.02-0.02
Saint LouisA100.170.1734.3834.38-0.05-0.05
South Dakota St.Sum0.150.1577.4277.420.080.08
Oral RobertsSum0.150.1541.3841.38-0.03-0.03
James MadisonCAA0.150.1564.5264.520.040.04
TennesseeSEC0.150.1544.1244.12-0.02-0.02
UC RiversideBW0.150.1538.7138.71-0.03-0.03
Coppin St.MEAC0.150.1524.1424.14-0.08-0.08
WashingtonP120.150.1556.2556.250.020.02
MissouriSEC0.140.1432.2632.26-0.05-0.05
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.140.1422.5822.58-0.08-0.08
San Diego St.MWC0.140.1471.8871.880.060.06
Chicago St.WAC0.130.133.453.45-0.12-0.12
High PointBSth0.130.1364.2964.290.040.04
IllinoisB100.120.1244.1244.12-0.01-0.01
South DakotaSum0.120.1240.0040.00-0.02-0.02
BradleyMVC0.120.1212.9012.90-0.09-0.09
Northern IowaMVC0.120.1263.6463.640.030.03
ArkansasSEC0.120.1250.0050.000.000.00
CincinnatiAmer0.120.1268.7568.750.050.05
HarvardIvy0.120.1242.8642.86-0.02-0.02
LSUSEC0.120.1257.5857.580.020.02
KentuckySEC0.120.1276.4776.470.060.06
Michigan St.B100.120.1285.2985.290.080.08
Colorado St.MWC0.120.1250.0050.000.000.00
North CarolinaACC0.120.1282.3582.350.080.08
VirginiaACC0.120.1278.7978.790.070.07
Virginia TechACC0.120.1257.5857.580.020.02
DrakeMVC0.100.1020.0020.00-0.06-0.06
IowaB100.100.1067.7467.740.040.04
ConnecticutAmer0.100.1070.5970.590.040.04
MemphisAmer0.100.1055.8855.880.010.01
MichiganB100.100.1063.6463.640.030.03
Illinois St.MVC0.100.1054.8454.840.010.01
SMUAmer0.100.1083.3383.330.070.07
Cal PolyBW0.100.1028.5728.57-0.04-0.04
Cal St. FullertonBW0.100.1028.5728.57-0.04-0.04
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.100.1028.5728.57-0.04-0.04
OregonP120.100.1081.8281.820.060.06
UC DavisBW0.100.1032.1432.14-0.03-0.03
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.100.1056.6756.670.010.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.100.1046.6746.67-0.01-0.01
ColumbiaIvy0.100.1065.5265.520.030.03
South Carolina St.MEAC0.100.1054.8454.840.010.01
Jackson St.SWAC0.100.1053.1253.120.010.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.100.1056.2556.250.010.01
UCLAP120.100.1046.8846.88-0.01-0.01
Utah ValleyWAC0.080.0833.3333.33-0.03-0.03
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.080.0818.5218.52-0.05-0.05
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.080.0876.6776.670.040.04
SeattleWAC0.080.0842.8642.86-0.01-0.01
NortheasternCAA0.080.0853.1253.120.000.00
Arkansas Little RockSB0.080.0887.1087.100.060.06
Austin PeayOVC0.080.0848.4848.48-0.00-0.00
EvansvilleMVC0.080.0872.7372.730.030.03
Indiana St.MVC0.080.0845.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.080.0811.1111.11-0.06-0.06
TempleAmer0.080.0865.6265.620.020.02
Wichita St.MVC0.080.0874.1974.190.040.04
AlabamaSEC0.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
South CarolinaSEC0.070.0774.1974.190.040.04
Arkansas St.SB0.070.0731.0331.03-0.03-0.03
Central ArkansasSlnd0.070.0725.0025.00-0.04-0.04
ColoradoP120.070.0765.6265.620.020.02
Northwestern St.Slnd0.070.0720.8320.83-0.04-0.04
WisconsinB100.070.0762.5062.500.020.02
Loyola MDPat0.070.0730.0030.00-0.03-0.03
Alcorn St.SWAC0.070.0746.4346.43-0.01-0.01
Oregon St.P120.070.0760.0060.000.010.01
ColgatePat0.070.0741.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Rhode IslandA100.070.0753.1253.120.000.00
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.070.0740.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Louisiana MonroeSB0.070.0758.0658.060.010.01
Alabama A&MSWAC0.070.0735.7135.71-0.02-0.02
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.070.0729.0329.03-0.03-0.03
North DakotaBSky0.070.0748.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.070.0732.2632.26-0.03-0.03
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.060.0672.4172.410.030.03
Grand CanyonWAC0.060.0679.3179.310.030.03
Nebraska OmahaSum0.050.0555.1755.170.010.01
CampbellBSth0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Charleston SouthernBSth0.050.0522.2222.22-0.03-0.03
College of CharlestonCAA0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
DelawareCAA0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
DrexelCAA0.050.0520.0020.00-0.03-0.03
ElonCAA0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Gardner WebbBSth0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
HofstraCAA0.050.0571.8871.880.020.02
LibertyBSth0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
PresbyterianBSth0.050.0528.5728.57-0.02-0.02
RadfordBSth0.050.0548.2848.28-0.00-0.00
UMBCAE0.050.0521.8821.88-0.03-0.03
UNC AshevilleBSth0.050.0564.5264.520.020.02
William & MaryCAA0.050.0562.0762.070.010.01
WinthropBSth0.050.0568.9768.970.020.02
Coastal CarolinaBSth0.050.0557.6957.690.010.01
La SalleA100.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
East CarolinaAmer0.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.050.0539.2939.29-0.01-0.01
HoustonAmer0.050.0570.9770.970.020.02
IndianaB100.050.0578.1278.120.030.03
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Morehead St.OVC0.050.0558.6258.620.010.01
Murray St.OVC0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
NorthwesternB100.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
RutgersB100.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
Southern IllinoisMVC0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
TulaneAmer0.050.0535.2935.29-0.01-0.01
UCFAmer0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
UtahP120.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
MercerSC0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
NebraskaB100.050.0547.0647.06-0.00-0.00
OhioMAC0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
PurdueB100.050.0576.4776.470.030.03
Appalachian St.SB0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
ArizonaP120.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
BuffaloMAC0.050.0557.5857.580.010.01
BYUWCC0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
ChattanoogaSC0.050.0584.3884.380.030.03
CreightonBE0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
DavidsonA100.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
DukeACC0.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
George WashingtonA100.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
Incarnate WordSlnd0.050.0556.0056.000.010.01
McNeese St.Slnd0.050.0526.9226.92-0.02-0.02
North Dakota St.Sum0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
PepperdineWCC0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
SamfordSC0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Savannah St.MEAC0.050.0548.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Seton HallBE0.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
StanfordP120.050.0548.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.050.0582.1482.140.030.03
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.050.0576.6776.670.030.03
UT ArlingtonSB0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
UTSACUSA0.050.0513.3313.33-0.04-0.04
VCUA100.050.0570.5970.590.020.02
VillanovaBE0.050.0585.2985.290.030.03
Washington St.P120.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
Saint Joseph'sA100.050.0579.4179.410.030.03
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Alabama St.SWAC0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Delaware St.MEAC0.050.0516.6716.67-0.03-0.03
Grambling St.SWAC0.050.0514.2914.29-0.03-0.03
Holy CrossPat0.050.0542.4242.42-0.01-0.01
Houston BaptistSlnd0.050.0544.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.050.0522.8622.86-0.03-0.03
MontanaBSky0.050.0562.0762.070.010.01
Northern ColoradoBSky0.050.0527.5927.59-0.02-0.02
SouthernSWAC0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.050.0531.0331.03-0.02-0.02
MarshallCUSA0.050.0551.5251.520.000.00
Northern KentuckyHorz0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
StetsonASun0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
LouisvilleACC0.030.0374.1974.190.010.01
USC UpstateASun0.030.0325.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Ball St.MAC0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
DartmouthIvy0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
MaineAE0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Morgan St.MEAC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Sacred HeartNEC0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
BelmontOVC0.030.0363.3363.330.010.01
ButlerBE0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
ClemsonACC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
FIUCUSA0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.030.0322.5822.58-0.01-0.01
Georgia SouthernSB0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
IonaMAAC0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
IUPUISum0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Jacksonville St.OVC0.030.0320.6920.69-0.01-0.01
MarylandB100.030.0375.0075.000.010.01
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.030.0370.9770.970.010.01
MilwaukeeHorz0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
New MexicoMWC0.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
Northern ArizonaBSky0.030.0310.7110.71-0.02-0.02
Ohio St.B100.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
Penn St.B100.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
South FloridaAmer0.030.0324.2424.24-0.01-0.01
Tennessee St.OVC0.030.0364.2964.290.010.01
Tennessee TechOVC0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
UABCUSA0.030.0380.6580.650.020.02
Utah St.MWC0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
ValparaisoHorz0.030.0380.0080.000.020.02
XavierBE0.030.0384.3884.380.020.02
DaytonA100.020.0278.1278.120.010.01
DuquesneA100.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
FordhamA100.020.0255.1755.170.000.00
ManhattanMAAC0.020.0241.9441.94-0.00-0.00
MassachusettsA100.020.0243.7543.75-0.00-0.00
PennIvy0.020.0237.0437.04-0.01-0.01
St. BonaventureA100.020.0273.3373.330.010.01
WagnerNEC0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
Wright St.Horz0.020.0260.6160.610.010.01
ArmyPat0.020.0258.0658.060.000.00
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.020.0255.1755.170.000.00
Florida St.ACC0.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
JacksonvilleASun0.020.0242.8642.86-0.00-0.00
Miami FLACC0.020.0278.1278.120.010.01
NavyPat0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.020.0232.2632.26-0.01-0.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
VermontAE0.020.0260.6160.610.010.01