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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.


Oklahoma St.

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:27.0
Current RPI:27
Expected SOS:39
Current SOS:39
Current Record:24-8
Expected Record:24-8
Current Conf Record:14-6
Expected Conf Record:14-6
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-0
Current OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC RPI:39
Expected OOC SOS:102



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
24-827.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oklahoma St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9UC Davis (234.0)BWH73-65W100%0.0
11-15Akron (43.0)MACN69-65W100%0.0
11-16Tennessee (59.0)SECN45-62W100%0.0
11-18North Carolina St. (33.0)ACCN56-76W100%0.0
11-25Portland St. (339.0)BSkyH81-58W100%0.0
12-1Virginia Tech (177.0)ACCA81-71L0%0.0
12-5South Florida (156.0)BEH61-49W100%0.0
12-8Missouri St. (203.0)MVCH62-42W100%0.0
12-16Central Arkansas (286.0)SlndH91-63W100%0.0
12-19Texas Arlington (119.0)WACH69-44W100%0.0
12-22Tennessee Tech (242.0)OVCH78-42W100%0.0
12-31Gonzaga (6.0)WCCH68-69L0%0.0
1-5Kansas St. (19.0)B12A73-67L0%0.0
1-9Texas Christian (238.0)B12H63-45W100%0.0
1-12Oklahoma (39.0)B12A77-68L0%0.0
1-19Texas Tech (214.0)B12H79-45W100%0.0
1-21Baylor (71.0)B12A64-54L0%0.0
1-26West Virginia (146.0)B12H80-66W100%0.0
1-30Iowa St. (41.0)B12H78-76W100%0.0
2-2Kansas (5.0)B12A80-85W100%0.0
2-6Baylor (71.0)B12H69-67W100%0.0
2-9Texas (116.0)B12A59-72W100%0.0
2-13Texas Tech (214.0)B12A67-91W100%0.0
2-16Oklahoma (39.0)B12H84-79W100%0.0
2-20Kansas (5.0)B12H67-68L0%0.0
2-23West Virginia (146.0)B12A57-73W100%0.0
2-27Texas Christian (238.0)B12A47-64W100%0.0
3-2Texas (116.0)B12H78-65W100%0.0
3-6Iowa St. (41.0)B12A87-76L0%0.0
3-9Kansas St. (19.0)B12H76-70W100%0.0
3-14Baylor (71.0)B12N74-72W100%0.0
3-15Kansas St. (19.0)B12N68-57L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Oklahoma St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Oklahoma St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Oklahoma St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Oklahoma St.B1226.4326.4374.6374.6313.0213.02
Kansas St.B125.645.6480.0080.003.393.39
BaylorB125.545.5457.1457.140.790.79
KansasB124.184.1887.5087.503.133.13
West VirginiaB124.154.1543.3343.33-0.55-0.55
TexasB124.154.1553.3353.330.280.28
OklahomaB124.154.1565.5265.521.291.29
Iowa St.B124.104.1067.7467.741.461.46
Texas TechB124.104.1037.9337.93-0.99-0.99
Texas ChristianB124.054.0534.4834.48-1.26-1.26
GonzagaWCC1.811.8193.5593.551.581.58
Texas ArlingtonWAC1.661.6661.2961.290.380.38
Virginia TechACC1.661.6638.7138.71-0.37-0.37
North Carolina St.ACC1.611.6172.7372.730.730.73
AkronMAC1.561.5683.3383.331.041.04
Central ArkansasSlnd1.561.5640.7440.74-0.29-0.29
Missouri St.MVC1.561.5630.0030.00-0.62-0.62
Portland St.BSky1.561.5624.0024.00-0.81-0.81
South FloridaBE1.561.5640.0040.00-0.31-0.31
TennesseeSEC1.561.5664.5264.520.450.45
Tennessee TechOVC1.561.5638.4638.46-0.36-0.36
UC DavisBW1.561.5646.6746.67-0.10-0.10
LamarSlnd0.200.209.689.68-0.16-0.16
Brigham YoungWCC0.200.2064.5264.520.060.06
Missouri Kansas CitySum0.150.1522.5822.58-0.08-0.08
South Carolina UpstateASun0.150.1545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Boston CollegeACC0.150.1548.4848.48-0.00-0.00
MichiganB100.140.1478.1278.120.080.08
Southern UtahBSky0.130.1331.0331.03-0.05-0.05
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.130.1345.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Oral RobertsSlnd0.130.1354.8454.840.010.01
North DakotaBSky0.130.1346.6746.67-0.01-0.01
Cal PolyBW0.130.1355.1755.170.010.01
Jackson St.SWAC0.130.1337.9337.93-0.03-0.03
NorthwesternB100.130.1340.6240.62-0.02-0.02
OhioMAC0.130.1372.7372.730.060.06
Mississippi St.SEC0.130.1331.2531.25-0.05-0.05
KentuckySEC0.120.1265.6265.620.040.04
AlabamaSEC0.120.1262.5062.500.030.03
ColoradoP120.120.1265.6265.620.040.04
San Jose St.WAC0.120.1228.5728.57-0.05-0.05
ClemsonACC0.120.1241.9441.94-0.02-0.02
North CarolinaACC0.120.1269.7069.700.050.05
VirginiaACC0.120.1265.6265.620.040.04
Sacramento St.BSky0.110.1144.4444.44-0.01-0.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.110.1170.9770.970.040.04
McNeese St.Slnd0.110.1139.2939.29-0.02-0.02
Northwestern St.Slnd0.110.1170.3770.370.040.04
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.110.1185.1985.190.070.07
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.110.1117.8617.86-0.07-0.07
BelmontOVC0.100.1080.0080.000.060.06
Loyola MarymountWCC0.100.1031.2531.25-0.04-0.04
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.100.1048.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.100.1038.7138.71-0.02-0.02
Southern IllinoisMVC0.100.1043.3343.33-0.01-0.01
St. John'sBE0.100.1051.6151.610.000.00
BradleyMVC0.100.1050.0050.000.000.00
Wichita St.MVC0.100.1076.4776.470.050.05
RiceCUSA0.100.1013.7913.79-0.07-0.07
GeorgetownBE0.100.1080.6580.650.060.06
New Mexico St.WAC0.100.1069.7069.700.040.04
Utah St.WAC0.100.1066.6766.670.030.03
DrakeMVC0.100.1045.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Nebraska OmahaSum0.100.1034.4834.48-0.03-0.03
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.100.1052.9452.940.010.01
SouthernSWAC0.100.1068.9768.970.040.04
Texas St.WAC0.100.1033.3333.33-0.03-0.03
Texas SouthernSWAC0.100.1054.8454.840.010.01
FloridaSEC0.100.1078.7978.790.050.05
South DakotaSum0.100.1028.5728.57-0.04-0.04
DukeACC0.090.0984.3884.380.070.07
Georgia TechACC0.090.0951.6151.610.000.00
Miami FLACC0.090.0981.8281.820.060.06
Michigan St.B100.090.0975.0075.000.050.05
Wake ForestACC0.090.0941.9441.94-0.02-0.02
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.090.0932.2632.26-0.03-0.03
Northern ArizonaBSky0.090.0934.3834.38-0.03-0.03
Northern ColoradoBSky0.090.0937.9337.93-0.02-0.02
Nicholls St.Slnd0.080.0830.0030.00-0.03-0.03
UC RiversideBW0.080.0814.2914.29-0.06-0.06
EvansvilleMVC0.080.0854.8454.840.010.01
PortlandWCC0.080.0830.0030.00-0.03-0.03
Arizona St.P120.080.0863.6463.640.020.02
Oregon St.P120.080.0843.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Bowling GreenMAC0.080.0836.6736.67-0.02-0.02
College of CharlestonSC0.080.0872.7372.730.030.03
CreightonMVC0.080.0879.4179.410.040.04
Kent St.MAC0.080.0859.3859.380.010.01
LehighPat0.080.0868.9768.970.030.03
Southern MethodistCUSA0.080.0845.1645.16-0.01-0.01
TulsaCUSA0.080.0851.6151.610.000.00
ArkansasSEC0.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.070.0717.8617.86-0.05-0.05
PacificBW0.070.0762.5062.500.020.02
Texas A&MSEC0.070.0754.5554.550.010.01
UC IrvineBW0.070.0754.5554.550.010.01
Coppin St.MEAC0.070.0722.5822.58-0.04-0.04
GeorgiaSEC0.070.0746.8846.88-0.00-0.00
IdahoWAC0.070.0737.9337.93-0.02-0.02
ConnecticutBE0.070.0766.6766.670.020.02
Miami OHMAC0.070.0726.6726.67-0.03-0.03
Western MichiganMAC0.070.0761.2961.290.020.02
DavidsonSC0.070.0778.1278.120.040.04
OaklandSum0.070.0746.6746.67-0.00-0.00
St. Mary'sWCC0.070.0781.2581.250.050.05
Texas San AntonioWAC0.070.0731.2531.25-0.03-0.03
Virginia Military InstBSth0.070.0739.2939.29-0.02-0.02
NC AshevilleBSth0.070.0744.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Alabama A&MSWAC0.070.0731.0331.03-0.03-0.03
CincinnatiBE0.070.0766.6766.670.020.02
MarylandACC0.070.0764.7164.710.020.02
CampbellBSth0.070.0736.6736.67-0.02-0.02
IowaB100.070.0763.6463.640.020.02
DelawareCAA0.070.0757.5857.580.010.01
George WashingtonA100.070.0743.3343.33-0.01-0.01
North FloridaASun0.070.0738.7138.71-0.02-0.02
Florida St.ACC0.070.0754.5554.550.010.01
Washington St.P120.070.0740.6240.62-0.01-0.01
Idaho St.BSky0.060.0617.2417.24-0.04-0.04
MontanaBSky0.060.0679.3179.310.040.04
Montana St.BSky0.060.0639.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Weber St.BSky0.060.0680.0080.000.040.04
Jacksonville St.OVC0.060.0657.6957.690.010.01
Morehead St.OVC0.060.0641.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Tennessee St.OVC0.060.0653.3353.330.000.00
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.060.0635.4835.48-0.02-0.02
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.060.0628.0028.00-0.03-0.03
Tennessee MartinOVC0.060.0625.0025.00-0.03-0.03
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.060.0637.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Coastal CarolinaBSth0.050.0542.3142.31-0.01-0.01
Loyola ChicagoHorz0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
AuburnSEC0.050.0528.1228.12-0.02-0.02
East Tennessee St.ASun0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
ArizonaP120.050.0578.1278.120.030.03
BuffaloMAC0.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Cal St. FullertonBW0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Central FloridaCUSA0.050.0562.0762.070.010.01
Eastern MichiganMAC0.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Florida A&MMEAC0.050.0520.6920.69-0.03-0.03
GramblingSWAC0.050.050.000.00-0.05-0.05
HawaiiBW0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
HoustonCUSA0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
Illinois St.MVC0.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
Indiana St.MVC0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
Long Beach St.BW0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
Louisiana MonroeSB0.050.0514.8114.81-0.04-0.04
LouisvilleBE0.050.0585.2985.290.040.04
MarquetteBE0.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
NavyPat0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Northern IowaMVC0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
Northern KentuckyASun0.050.0540.7440.74-0.01-0.01
Seton HallBE0.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Texas El PasoCUSA0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
UABCUSA0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.050.0531.0331.03-0.02-0.02
VillanovaBE0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
South CarolinaSEC0.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
DenverWAC0.050.0570.0070.000.020.02
DuquesneA100.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
Fresno St.MWC0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
Louisiana TechWAC0.050.0580.6580.650.030.03
MaristMAAC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
MarshallCUSA0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
MississippiSEC0.050.0576.4776.470.030.03
PepperdineWCC0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
PurdueB100.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
RadfordBSth0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
San DiegoWCC0.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
San FranciscoWCC0.050.0544.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.050.0563.3363.330.010.01
SeattleWAC0.050.0524.1424.14-0.03-0.03
Southern CaliforniaP120.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
UCLAP120.050.0573.5373.530.020.02
VanderbiltSEC0.050.0548.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Cleveland St.Horz0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Penn St.B100.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
StanfordP120.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
MassachusettsA100.050.0565.6265.620.010.01
NC GreensboroSC0.050.0524.1424.14-0.02-0.02
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
Nevada Las VegasMWC0.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
YaleIvy0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
AmericanPat0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
ChattanoogaSC0.050.0536.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Ohio St.B100.050.0578.7978.790.030.03
RichmondA100.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
St. LouisA100.050.0581.8281.820.030.03
TempleA100.050.0571.8871.880.020.02
OregonP120.030.0376.4776.470.020.02
Austin PeayOVC0.030.0320.6920.69-0.02-0.02
Gardner WebbBSth0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
LipscombASun0.030.0337.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Murray St.OVC0.030.0365.5265.520.010.01
Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.030.0320.0020.00-0.02-0.02
Arkansas St.SB0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
Ball St.MAC0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Central MichiganMAC0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
DePaulBE0.030.0334.3834.38-0.01-0.01
DetroitHorz0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
George MasonCAA0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
JacksonvilleASun0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.030.037.147.14-0.02-0.02
Middle TennesseeSB0.030.0384.8584.850.020.02
NevadaMWC0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.030.0370.9770.970.010.01
Northern IllinoisMAC0.030.0313.7913.79-0.02-0.02
Notre DameBE0.030.0373.5373.530.010.01
PittsburghBE0.030.0375.0075.000.010.01
PrincetonIvy0.030.0359.2659.260.000.00
ProvidenceBE0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
RutgersBE0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
San Diego St.MWC0.030.0366.6766.670.010.01
StetsonASun0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
SyracuseBE0.030.0374.2974.290.010.01
ToledoMAC0.030.0353.5753.570.000.00
ValparaisoHorz0.030.0378.1278.120.010.01
Youngstown St.Horz0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Appalachian St.SC0.020.0244.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Boise St.MWC0.020.0265.5265.520.010.01
ButlerA100.020.0275.7675.760.010.01
Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.020.0238.4638.46-0.01-0.01
Colorado St.MWC0.020.0274.1974.190.010.01
Georgia SouthernSC0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Houston BaptistGWC0.020.0239.2939.29-0.01-0.01
IllinoisB100.020.0263.6463.640.010.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.020.0210.0010.00-0.02-0.02
Louisiana St.SEC0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
MemphisCUSA0.020.0288.2488.240.020.02
MissouriSEC0.020.0269.7069.700.010.01
North TexasSB0.020.0236.6736.67-0.01-0.01
PresbyterianBSth0.020.0217.2417.24-0.02-0.02
Rhode IslandA100.020.0227.5927.59-0.01-0.01
SamfordSC0.020.0232.2632.26-0.01-0.01
Western CarolinaSC0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
XavierA100.020.0254.8454.840.000.00
Norfolk St.MEAC0.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
St. BonaventureA100.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00