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Through games of Mar 16, 2014.


Oklahoma St.

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:45.0
Current RPI:45
Expected SOS:31
Current SOS:31
Current Record:21-12
Expected Record:21-12
Current Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Record:9-11
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-0
Current OOC Record:12-1
Expected OOC Record:12-1
Expected OOC RPI:18
Expected OOC SOS:112



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
21-1245.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oklahoma St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-8Mississippi Valley St. (342.0)SWACH117-62W100%0.0
11-12Utah Valley (144.0)WACH93-40W100%0.0
11-15Arkansas Pine Bluff (264.0)SWACH97-63W100%0.0
11-19Memphis (37.0)AmerH101-80W100%0.0
11-25South Florida (232.0)AmerA67-93W100%0.0
11-28Purdue (145.0)B10N97-87W100%0.0
11-29Butler (150.0)BEN67-69W100%0.0
12-1Memphis (37.0)AmerN73-68L0%0.0
12-6South Carolina (140.0)SECH79-52W100%0.0
12-14Louisiana Tech (62.0)CUSAN70-55W100%0.0
12-17Delaware St. (329.0)MEACH75-43W100%0.0
12-21Colorado (34.0)P12N73-78W100%0.0
12-30Robert Morris (129.0)NECH92-66W100%0.0
1-4Kansas St. (51.0)B12A74-71L0%0.0
1-8Texas (36.0)B12H87-74W100%0.0
1-11West Virginia (88.0)B12A72-73W100%0.0
1-15TCU (212.0)B12H82-50W100%0.0
1-18Kansas (3.0)B12A80-78L0%0.0
1-25West Virginia (88.0)B12H81-75W100%0.0
1-27Oklahoma (26.0)B12A88-76L0%0.0
2-1Baylor (30.0)B12H70-76L0%0.0
2-3Iowa St. (7.0)B12H97-98L0%0.0
2-8Texas Tech (121.0)B12A65-61L0%0.0
2-11Texas (36.0)B12A87-68L0%0.0
2-15Oklahoma (26.0)B12H74-77L0%0.0
2-17Baylor (30.0)B12A70-64L0%0.0
2-22Texas Tech (121.0)B12H84-62W100%0.0
2-24TCU (212.0)B12A54-76W100%0.0
3-1Kansas (3.0)B12H72-65W100%0.0
3-3Kansas St. (51.0)B12H77-61W100%0.0
3-8Iowa St. (7.0)B12A85-81L0%0.0
3-12Texas Tech (121.0)B12N80-62W100%0.0
3-13Kansas (3.0)B12N77-70L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Oklahoma St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Oklahoma St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Oklahoma St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Oklahoma St.B1226.4526.4562.0462.046.376.37
KansasB125.425.4273.3373.332.532.53
Texas TechB125.355.3544.8344.83-0.55-0.55
BaylorB124.124.1264.5264.521.201.20
Iowa St.B124.044.0477.4277.422.222.22
TexasB123.983.9870.9770.971.671.67
West VirginiaB123.953.9556.6756.670.530.53
OklahomaB123.953.9570.0070.001.581.58
Kansas St.B123.933.9363.3363.331.051.05
TCUB123.923.9225.9325.93-1.89-1.89
MemphisAmer3.083.0872.4172.411.381.38
ColoradoP121.631.6369.7069.700.640.64
South FloridaAmer1.611.6138.7138.71-0.36-0.36
PurdueB101.591.5948.3948.39-0.05-0.05
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC1.571.5739.2939.29-0.34-0.34
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC1.571.5721.4321.43-0.90-0.90
Louisiana TechCUSA1.561.5681.2581.250.980.98
South CarolinaSEC1.561.5642.4242.42-0.24-0.24
ButlerBE1.541.5444.8344.83-0.16-0.16
Delaware St.MEAC1.521.5225.9325.93-0.73-0.73
Robert MorrisNEC1.521.5263.6463.640.410.41
Utah ValleyWAC1.521.5264.2964.290.430.43
Texas SouthernSWAC0.230.2356.2556.250.030.03
SMUAmer0.220.2271.8871.880.100.10
HoustonAmer0.220.2251.5251.520.010.01
Jackson St.SWAC0.200.2035.4835.48-0.06-0.06
TulsaCUSA0.200.2063.6463.640.050.05
ConnecticutAmer0.190.1976.4776.470.100.10
TempleAmer0.190.1929.0329.03-0.08-0.08
AlabamaSEC0.190.1938.7138.71-0.04-0.04
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.190.1950.0050.000.000.00
SouthernSWAC0.170.1755.1755.170.020.02
Washington St.P120.170.1730.0030.00-0.07-0.07
RutgersAmer0.170.1734.3834.38-0.05-0.05
LSUSEC0.170.1759.3859.380.030.03
GeorgetownBE0.170.1754.8454.840.020.02
FloridaSEC0.160.1694.1294.120.140.14
Grambling St.SWAC0.160.1614.8114.81-0.11-0.11
CincinnatiAmer0.150.1581.8281.820.090.09
LouisvilleAmer0.150.1585.2985.290.100.10
UCFAmer0.150.1537.9337.93-0.04-0.04
Texas A&MSEC0.140.1453.1253.120.010.01
GonzagaWCC0.140.1481.8281.820.090.09
Central ArkansasSlnd0.140.1424.0024.00-0.07-0.07
AuburnSEC0.140.1446.6746.67-0.01-0.01
ArizonaP120.140.1488.2488.240.110.11
Alabama A&MSWAC0.130.1342.8642.86-0.02-0.02
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.130.1330.3030.30-0.05-0.05
Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.130.1325.8125.81-0.06-0.06
IdahoWAC0.130.1345.4545.45-0.01-0.01
Mississippi St.SEC0.120.1242.4242.42-0.02-0.02
LongwoodBSth0.120.1214.2914.29-0.09-0.09
Seton HallBE0.120.1250.0050.000.000.00
VillanovaBE0.120.1287.5087.500.090.09
MississippiSEC0.120.1257.5857.580.020.02
Northwestern St.Slnd0.120.1248.1548.15-0.00-0.00
George MasonA100.120.1235.4835.48-0.03-0.03
Houston BaptistSlnd0.120.1214.8114.81-0.08-0.08
Michigan St.B100.120.1276.4776.470.060.06
Arizona St.P120.120.1265.6265.620.040.04
UT ArlingtonSB0.120.1243.3343.33-0.02-0.02
Alabama St.SWAC0.100.1057.1457.140.010.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.100.1032.1432.14-0.04-0.04
UMKCWAC0.100.1034.4834.48-0.03-0.03
DePaulBE0.100.1036.3636.36-0.03-0.03
Arkansas Little RockSB0.100.1043.3343.33-0.01-0.01
SienaMAAC0.100.1046.8846.88-0.01-0.01
IowaB100.100.1061.2961.290.020.02
Savannah St.MEAC0.100.1036.6736.67-0.03-0.03
Long Beach St.BW0.090.0943.3343.33-0.01-0.01
WisconsinB100.090.0978.7978.790.050.05
UTSACUSA0.090.0922.2222.22-0.05-0.05
VanderbiltSEC0.090.0948.3948.39-0.00-0.00
CharlotteCUSA0.090.0954.8454.840.010.01
MercerASun0.090.0974.1974.190.050.05
MichiganB100.090.0975.7675.760.050.05
Oral RobertsSlnd0.090.0944.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.090.0953.5753.570.010.01
MarshallCUSA0.090.0929.0329.03-0.04-0.04
BYUWCC0.090.0966.6766.670.030.03
Louisiana MonroeSB0.090.0934.6234.62-0.03-0.03
RiceCUSA0.090.0917.8617.86-0.06-0.06
UTEPCUSA0.090.0967.7467.740.030.03
ToledoMAC0.090.0981.2581.250.060.06
AkronMAC0.090.0963.6463.640.020.02
KentuckySEC0.090.0970.5970.590.040.04
Florida A&MMEAC0.080.0840.0040.00-0.02-0.02
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.080.0817.8617.86-0.05-0.05
CreightonBE0.080.0878.7978.790.040.04
Tennessee TechOVC0.080.0848.3948.39-0.00-0.00
HarvardIvy0.070.0786.2186.210.050.05
George WashingtonA100.070.0775.0075.000.040.04
NorthwesternB100.070.0742.4242.42-0.01-0.01
South DakotaSum0.070.0733.3333.33-0.02-0.02
DaytonA100.070.0769.7069.700.030.03
St. Francis NYNEC0.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
Northern ArizonaBSky0.070.0745.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Ohio St.B100.070.0773.5373.530.030.03
PittsburghACC0.070.0773.5373.530.030.03
South Dakota St.Sum0.070.0757.1457.140.010.01
WashingtonP120.070.0753.1253.120.000.00
North TexasCUSA0.070.0744.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Old DominionCUSA0.070.0748.4848.48-0.00-0.00
TulaneCUSA0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
DuquesneA100.070.0741.3841.38-0.01-0.01
MissouriSEC0.070.0766.6766.670.020.02
DukeACC0.070.0776.4776.470.040.04
IonaMAAC0.070.0768.7568.750.030.03
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.070.0764.5264.520.020.02
New MexicoMWC0.070.0781.8281.820.040.04
San Diego St.MWC0.070.0787.1087.100.050.05
TowsonCAA0.070.0767.7467.740.020.02
Wake ForestACC0.070.0751.5251.520.000.00
Boise St.MWC0.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
GeorgiaSEC0.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
St. Francis PANEC0.070.0732.2632.26-0.02-0.02
USCP120.070.0732.2632.26-0.02-0.02
Coppin St.MEAC0.050.0535.4835.48-0.02-0.02
HowardMEAC0.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
Morgan St.MEAC0.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Georgia TechACC0.050.0548.4848.48-0.00-0.00
HamptonMEAC0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.050.0525.8125.81-0.03-0.03
NJITind0.050.0536.0036.00-0.01-0.01
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Chicago St.WAC0.050.0536.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Grand CanyonWAC0.050.0546.1546.15-0.00-0.00
New Mexico St.WAC0.050.0573.5373.530.020.02
SeattleWAC0.050.0539.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.050.0516.6716.67-0.03-0.03
MarquetteBE0.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
ProvidenceBE0.050.0567.6567.650.020.02
St. John'sBE0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
XavierBE0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
BuffaloMAC0.050.0564.2964.290.010.01
CampbellBSth0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
ClemsonACC0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
DelawareCAA0.050.0573.5373.530.020.02
South Carolina St.MEAC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
Austin PeayOVC0.050.0535.7135.71-0.01-0.01
Nicholls St.Slnd0.050.0546.1546.15-0.00-0.00
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Air ForceMWC0.050.0535.7135.71-0.01-0.01
OregonP120.050.0571.8871.880.020.02
Oregon St.P120.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
Georgia SouthernSC0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Loyola MDPat0.050.0534.4834.48-0.01-0.01
MinnesotaB100.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
NebraskaB100.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
Northern ColoradoBSky0.050.0555.1755.170.000.00
Penn St.B100.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
PresbyterianBSth0.050.0513.3313.33-0.03-0.03
TroySB0.050.0531.0331.03-0.02-0.02
Virginia TechACC0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
William & MaryCAA0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
Central ConnecticutNEC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.01-0.01
Eastern MichiganMAC0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
Charleston SouthernBSth0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
North CarolinaACC0.050.0571.8871.880.020.02
Northern IllinoisMAC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Northern IowaMVC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
South AlabamaSB0.050.0528.5728.57-0.02-0.02
Southern MissCUSA0.050.0580.6580.650.030.03
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.050.0593.1093.100.040.04
SyracuseACC0.050.0584.3884.380.030.03
Texas St.SB0.050.0520.6920.69-0.03-0.03
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.050.0523.3323.33-0.02-0.02
FIUCUSA0.050.0546.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Saint Mary'sWCC0.050.0565.6265.620.010.01
ArkansasSEC0.040.0465.6265.620.010.01
BryantNEC0.040.0454.8454.840.000.00
CaliforniaP120.040.0459.3859.380.010.01
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.040.0431.0331.03-0.02-0.02
LIU BrooklynNEC0.040.0431.0331.03-0.02-0.02
Sacred HeartNEC0.040.0416.1316.13-0.03-0.03
TennesseeSEC0.040.0462.5062.500.010.01
UCLAP120.040.0476.4776.470.020.02
UtahP120.040.0463.3363.330.010.01
WagnerNEC0.040.0460.0060.000.010.01
Gardner WebbBSth0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Norfolk St.MEAC0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.030.0383.8783.870.020.02
IUPUISum0.030.0310.3410.34-0.02-0.02
MonmouthMAAC0.030.0334.3834.38-0.01-0.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.030.0378.5778.570.010.01
PepperdineWCC0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.030.0368.9768.970.010.01
Utah St.MWC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
Weber St.BSky0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
Ball St.MAC0.030.0310.7110.71-0.02-0.02
EvansvilleMVC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
LamarSlnd0.030.0310.7110.71-0.02-0.02
North DakotaBSky0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
PrincetonIvy0.030.0370.3770.370.010.01
Boston CollegeACC0.020.0222.5822.58-0.01-0.01
Bowling GreenMAC0.020.0235.4835.48-0.01-0.01
BradleyMVC0.020.0237.5037.50-0.01-0.01
DetroitHorz0.020.0236.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.020.0232.1432.14-0.01-0.01
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.020.0262.5062.500.010.01
IllinoisB100.020.0257.5857.580.000.00
IndianaB100.020.0253.1253.120.000.00
Northern KentuckyASun0.020.0230.0030.00-0.01-0.01
RiderMAAC0.020.0245.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Santa ClaraWCC0.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
StetsonASun0.020.0222.5822.58-0.01-0.01
East CarolinaCUSA0.020.0244.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.020.0226.6726.67-0.01-0.01
UICHorz0.020.0213.7913.79-0.02-0.02
McNeese St.Slnd0.020.0225.9325.93-0.01-0.01
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.020.0270.9770.970.010.01
St. BonaventureA100.020.0253.1253.120.000.00
UABCUSA0.020.0255.1755.170.000.00
UNC GreensboroSC0.020.0237.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Arkansas St.SB0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
Cleveland St.Horz0.020.0263.3363.330.010.01
Colorado St.MWC0.020.0246.6746.67-0.00-0.00
ElonSC0.020.0255.1755.170.000.00
LafayettePat0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
ManhattanMAAC0.020.0278.1278.120.010.01
OaklandHorz0.020.0235.4835.48-0.01-0.01
StanfordP120.020.0263.6463.640.010.01
Tennessee MartinOVC0.020.0220.6920.69-0.01-0.01
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.020.0267.8667.860.010.01
USC UpstateASun0.020.0254.8454.840.000.00
WyomingMWC0.020.0253.3353.330.000.00
Youngstown St.Horz0.020.0241.3841.38-0.00-0.00