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Through games of Nov 26, 2014.


Oklahoma St.

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:51.1
Current RPI:85
Expected SOS:22
Current SOS:257
Current Record:5-0
Expected Record:18-11
Current Conf Record:0-0
Expected Conf Record:9-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-0
Current OOC Record:5-0
Expected OOC Record:9-2
Expected OOC RPI:46
Expected OOC SOS:176



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
27-22.00.01%
26-32.00.02%
25-44.30.11%
24-56.30.38%
23-68.71.14%
22-713.52.97%
21-818.97.00%
20-925.511.36%
19-1034.414.99%
18-1145.117.45%
17-1257.216.35%
16-1371.113.16%
15-1485.77.95%
14-15100.34.27%
13-16116.31.96%
12-17134.20.63%
11-18143.60.22%
10-19187.00.01%
9-20164.00.01%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oklahoma St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Southeastern Louisiana (292.0)SlndH83-55W100%0.0
11-16Prairie View A&M (272.7)SWACH74-52W100%0.0
11-21Milwaukee (258.0)HorzH82-68W100%0.0
11-24Oregon St. (210.6)P12N66-53W100%0.0
11-26Tulsa (100.1)AmerN58-73W100%0.0
12-3North Texas (223.0)CUSAH0-094%18.6
12-6South Carolina (92.0)SECA0-046%-1.2
12-13Memphis (58.1)AmerA0-041%-2.9
12-16Middle Tennessee (168.8)CUSAH0-089%14.4
12-21Maryland (43.9)B10H0-056%1.7
12-30Missouri (159.3)SECN0-076%8.5
1-3Kansas St. (111.8)B12H0-074%7.6
1-6Iowa St. (52.5)B12A0-035%-4.7
1-10Texas (7.0)B12H0-036%-4.4
1-13Kansas (29.0)B12A0-033%-5.2
1-17Oklahoma (39.3)B12A0-031%-5.8
1-21Texas Tech (163.9)B12H0-083%11.7
1-24Kansas St. (111.8)B12A0-051%0.4
1-27Baylor (23.3)B12H0-052%0.5
1-31Oklahoma (39.3)B12H0-055%1.4
2-4Texas (7.0)B12A0-017%-11.6
2-7Kansas (29.0)B12H0-057%2.0
2-9Baylor (23.3)B12A0-029%-6.7
2-14TCU (115.1)B12A0-047%-0.9
2-18Iowa St. (52.5)B12H0-058%2.5
2-21West Virginia (28.4)B12H0-055%1.6
2-28Texas Tech (163.9)B12A0-065%4.5
3-4TCU (115.1)B12H0-070%6.3
3-7West Virginia (28.4)B12A0-032%-5.6


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Oklahoma St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Oklahoma St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Oklahoma St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Oklahoma St.B1230.2526.37100.0059.8730.255.20
BaylorB121.004.46100.0070.881.001.86
OklahomaB121.004.4575.0065.520.501.38
Texas TechB120.004.4375.0046.920.00-0.27
Iowa St.B120.004.4375.0063.130.001.16
TCUB121.004.40100.0062.521.001.10
TexasB120.004.38100.0080.720.002.69
West VirginiaB120.004.38100.0070.650.001.81
Kansas St.B120.004.3850.0047.270.00-0.24
KansasB120.004.3766.6759.600.000.84
Prairie View A&MSWAC10.001.960.0043.72-10.00-0.25
MemphisAmer1.001.8750.0069.040.000.71
South CarolinaSEC0.001.8750.0051.440.000.05
TulsaAmer10.001.8575.0057.445.000.27
North TexasCUSA0.001.8475.0040.030.00-0.37
MissouriSEC0.001.8240.0036.84-0.00-0.48
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd10.001.7925.0035.83-5.00-0.51
MarylandB100.001.78100.0072.770.000.81
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.001.7566.6750.980.000.03
MilwaukeeHorz10.001.7225.0035.53-5.00-0.50
Oregon St.P1210.001.7266.6744.293.33-0.20
AuburnSEC3.250.2660.0037.550.65-0.07
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.000.240.0015.65-0.00-0.16
ArkansasSEC0.000.24100.0079.750.000.14
KentuckySEC0.000.23100.0089.070.000.18
ConnecticutAmer0.000.2375.0069.010.000.09
Oral RobertsSum3.250.2140.0038.45-0.65-0.05
SouthernSWAC0.000.210.0035.41-0.00-0.06
RiceCUSA2.250.2133.3330.44-0.75-0.08
Texas A&MSEC0.000.2075.0068.260.000.07
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.000.180.0068.13-0.000.07
Texas SouthernSWAC0.000.180.0040.80-0.00-0.03
Northwestern St.Slnd0.000.180.0048.64-0.00-0.00
McNeese St.Slnd0.000.170.0046.27-0.00-0.01
UMKCWAC0.000.1720.0042.29-0.00-0.03
LSUSEC0.000.1760.0055.990.000.02
UTSACUSA0.000.1533.3329.25-0.00-0.06
Grambling St.SWAC0.000.150.0020.69-0.00-0.09
TempleAmer0.000.1560.0050.320.000.00
TulaneAmer0.000.1566.6739.850.00-0.03
OaklandHorz0.000.1516.6726.44-0.00-0.07
MarshallCUSA0.000.1550.0044.930.00-0.01
AlabamaSEC0.000.1580.0058.430.000.02
ArizonaP120.000.14100.0075.690.000.07
GeorgiaSEC0.000.1460.0056.970.000.02
TennesseeSEC0.000.1450.0044.110.00-0.02
BradleyMVC0.000.1450.0029.060.00-0.06
IowaB100.000.1466.6765.830.000.04
CreightonBE0.000.12100.0060.970.000.03
CharlotteCUSA0.000.1260.0067.390.000.04
UCLAP120.000.1280.0063.410.000.03
WashingtonP120.000.12100.0055.210.000.01
UTEPCUSA0.000.12100.0072.490.000.05
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.000.1216.6731.72-0.00-0.04
CincinnatiAmer0.000.12100.0061.080.000.03
East CarolinaAmer0.000.1225.0035.38-0.00-0.03
HoustonAmer0.000.1266.6760.360.000.02
SMUAmer0.000.1250.0065.300.000.04
FloridaSEC0.000.1250.0064.920.000.04
South FloridaAmer0.000.1275.0055.330.000.01
UCFAmer0.000.1266.6740.010.00-0.02
VanderbiltSEC0.000.12100.0053.810.000.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.000.120.0033.69-0.00-0.04
George MasonA100.000.1220.0021.73-0.00-0.07
Mississippi St.SEC0.000.12100.0045.580.00-0.01
Washington St.P120.000.1233.3329.54-0.00-0.05
MississippiSEC0.000.1275.0052.920.000.01
LafayettePat0.000.1260.0060.080.000.02
New OrleansSlnd0.000.110.0036.91-0.00-0.03
PurdueB100.000.1183.3368.600.000.04
Long Beach St.BW0.000.1125.0051.07-0.000.00
Old DominionCUSA0.000.0980.0074.520.000.04
ValparaisoHorz0.000.0975.0055.290.000.01
FIUCUSA0.000.0950.0042.970.00-0.01
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.000.090.0038.94-0.00-0.02
Louisiana TechCUSA0.000.0980.0071.830.000.04
Southern MissCUSA0.000.0966.6750.870.000.00
UABCUSA0.000.0925.0040.45-0.00-0.02
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.000.090.0056.00-0.000.01
UtahP120.000.0975.0073.450.000.04
Nicholls St.Slnd0.000.090.0031.85-0.00-0.03
Arizona St.P120.000.0960.0053.110.000.01
Abilene ChristianSlnd1.000.090.0030.94-1.00-0.03
Missouri St.MVC0.000.0950.0049.570.00-0.00
Tennessee St.OVC0.000.090.0025.37-0.00-0.04
Texas St.SB0.000.0966.6746.630.00-0.01
LamarSlnd0.000.0925.0036.41-0.00-0.02
CaliforniaP120.000.0980.0070.250.000.03
StanfordP120.000.0980.0070.970.000.04
LipscombASun0.000.080.0045.69-0.00-0.01
MonmouthMAAC0.000.0850.0052.150.000.00
VMISC0.000.0825.0036.44-0.00-0.02
Alabama A&MSWAC0.000.060.0032.51-0.00-0.02
Alabama St.SWAC0.000.060.0062.99-0.000.02
Cleveland St.Horz0.000.0625.0049.12-0.00-0.00
DetroitHorz0.000.0660.0058.400.000.01
Green BayHorz0.000.0675.0077.520.000.03
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.000.0620.0031.23-0.00-0.02
Jackson St.SWAC0.000.0620.0043.55-0.00-0.01
Weber St.BSky0.000.0625.0052.85-0.000.00
Wright St.Horz0.000.0666.6756.860.000.01
Youngstown St.Horz0.000.0650.0040.550.00-0.01
DePaulBE0.000.0666.6726.420.00-0.03
Louisiana LafayetteSB2.000.0625.0051.72-1.000.00
Western KentuckyCUSA0.000.0625.0041.79-0.00-0.01
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.000.0650.0065.310.000.02
AkronMAC0.000.0660.0066.190.000.02
GeorgetownBE0.000.06100.0061.350.000.01
Kent St.MAC0.000.0675.0066.110.000.02
New Mexico St.WAC0.000.0650.0071.940.000.03
Norfolk St.MEAC0.000.0625.0048.11-0.00-0.00
OregonP120.000.0660.0063.060.000.02
Rhode IslandA100.000.06100.0060.350.000.01
RiderMAAC0.000.0650.0046.840.00-0.00
UNLVMWC0.000.0675.0051.700.000.00
USCP120.000.0650.0028.760.00-0.03
Wichita St.MVC0.000.06100.0084.900.000.04
WisconsinB100.000.06100.0086.460.000.04
GonzagaWCC0.000.06100.0088.520.000.05
Incarnate WordSlnd0.000.06100.0052.660.000.00
Western IllinoisSum1.000.0625.0026.31-0.50-0.03
USC UpstateASun0.000.0666.6751.210.000.00
Air ForceMWC0.000.0633.3345.47-0.00-0.01
Central ArkansasSlnd0.000.060.0022.25-0.00-0.03
DrakeMVC0.000.0625.0024.98-0.00-0.03
Fresno St.MWC0.000.060.0023.00-0.00-0.03
FurmanSC0.000.0625.0027.83-0.00-0.03
Georgia St.SB0.000.0660.0067.690.000.02
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.000.0650.0040.810.00-0.01
Loyola MDPat0.000.0640.0031.26-0.00-0.02
RadfordBSth0.000.0625.0046.64-0.00-0.00
South Carolina St.MEAC0.000.060.0035.63-0.00-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.000.0625.0044.18-0.00-0.01
Tennessee TechOVC2.000.0650.0036.120.00-0.02
IllinoisB100.000.06100.0065.110.000.02
WinthropBSth0.000.0633.3353.30-0.000.00
Boston CollegeACC0.000.0640.0038.08-0.00-0.01
College of CharlestonCAA0.000.0640.0053.46-0.000.00
IndianaB100.000.0680.0057.110.000.01
Michigan St.B100.000.0675.0072.040.000.02
NebraskaB100.000.0675.0053.300.000.00
North Carolina St.ACC0.000.06100.0065.430.000.02
North Dakota St.Sum0.000.0650.0047.310.00-0.00
Northern KentuckyASun0.000.0625.0039.50-0.00-0.01
Penn St.B100.000.0683.3348.410.00-0.00
St. Francis PANEC0.000.0625.0046.16-0.00-0.00
UT ArlingtonSB0.000.0660.0051.520.000.00
Virginia TechACC0.000.0660.0036.000.00-0.02
WoffordSC0.000.0680.0077.430.000.03
Nebraska OmahaSum0.000.0650.0050.040.000.00
PittsburghACC0.000.0660.0057.880.000.01
RutgersB100.000.0650.0024.520.00-0.03
Savannah St.MEAC0.000.0640.0033.60-0.00-0.02
Southern UtahBSky0.000.060.0016.41-0.00-0.04
Delaware St.MEAC0.000.0325.0039.67-0.00-0.01
IonaMAAC0.000.0380.0079.380.000.02
IUPUISum1.000.0340.0030.81-0.20-0.01
MontanaBSky0.000.0333.3351.01-0.000.00
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.000.030.0034.53-0.00-0.01
South DakotaSum0.000.030.0038.82-0.00-0.01
Arkansas Little RockSB0.000.0366.6750.220.000.00
BelmontOVC0.000.0380.0076.610.000.02
ChattanoogaSC0.000.0325.0047.86-0.00-0.00
ClemsonACC0.000.0360.0050.770.000.00
ColoradoP120.000.0375.0060.100.000.01
CornellIvy0.000.0342.8640.94-0.00-0.01
Jacksonville St.OVC0.000.0325.0031.71-0.00-0.01
Murray St.OVC0.000.0333.3367.86-0.000.01
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.000.030.0027.68-0.00-0.01
North FloridaASun0.000.0340.0052.52-0.000.00
Northern ArizonaBSky0.000.0320.0050.03-0.000.00
PortlandWCC0.000.03100.0051.720.000.00
QuinnipiacMAAC0.000.0350.0055.700.000.00
South AlabamaSB0.000.030.0039.18-0.00-0.01
UNC AshevilleBSth0.000.0325.0052.61-0.000.00
ElonCAA0.000.0340.0039.53-0.00-0.01
Houston BaptistSlnd0.000.030.0024.09-0.00-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.000.0333.3350.63-0.000.00
XavierBE0.000.03100.0077.810.000.02
Central ConnecticutNEC0.000.030.0030.79-0.00-0.01
FordhamA100.000.030.0026.01-0.00-0.01
MichiganB100.000.0375.0066.610.000.01
MinnesotaB100.000.0350.0055.290.000.00
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.000.030.0066.35-0.000.01
NorthwesternB100.000.0383.3339.590.00-0.01
Ohio St.B100.000.03100.0074.750.000.01
VirginiaACC0.000.03100.0073.600.000.01
WagnerNEC0.000.030.0045.08-0.00-0.00