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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Oklahoma St.

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:39.0
Current RPI:39
Expected SOS:16
Current SOS:16
Current Record:19-12
Expected Record:19-12
Current Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Record:9-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-0
Current OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC RPI:18
Expected OOC SOS:47



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
19-1239.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oklahoma St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Campbell (246.0)BSthH102-65W100%0.0
11-14Central Arkansas (313.0)SlndH102-90W100%0.0
11-16New Orleans (154.0)SlndH117-72W100%0.0
11-21Connecticut (118.0)AmerN90-98W100%0.0
11-22North Carolina (5.0)ACCN107-75L0%0.0
11-23Georgetown (106.0)BEN97-70W100%0.0
12-3Maryland (36.0)B10A71-70L0%0.0
12-10Tulsa (134.0)AmerA67-71W100%0.0
12-14Arkansas Pine Bluff (345.0)SWACH102-66W100%0.0
12-17Wichita St. (32.0)MVCA76-93W100%0.0
12-22Texas A&M Corpus Chris (158.0)SlndH92-70W100%0.0
12-30West Virginia (24.0)B12H75-92L0%0.0
1-4Texas (156.0)B12A82-79L0%0.0
1-7Baylor (11.0)B12A61-57L0%0.0
1-11Iowa St. (21.0)B12H86-96L0%0.0
1-14Kansas (4.0)B12A87-80L0%0.0
1-18Kansas St. (57.0)B12H88-96L0%0.0
1-21Texas Tech (124.0)B12A64-83W100%0.0
1-23TCU (67.0)B12H89-76W100%0.0
1-28Arkansas (28.0)SECH99-71W100%0.0
1-30Oklahoma (168.0)B12A66-68W100%0.0
2-4West Virginia (24.0)B12A75-82W100%0.0
2-8Baylor (11.0)B12H69-72L0%0.0
2-11Texas (156.0)B12H84-71W100%0.0
2-15TCU (67.0)B12A68-71W100%0.0
2-18Oklahoma (168.0)B12H96-92W100%0.0
2-22Kansas St. (57.0)B12A68-80W100%0.0
2-25Texas Tech (124.0)B12H80-63W100%0.0
2-28Iowa St. (21.0)B12A86-83L0%0.0
3-4Kansas (4.0)B12H85-90L0%0.0
3-9Iowa St. (21.0)B12N92-83L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Oklahoma St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Oklahoma St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Oklahoma St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Oklahoma St.B1226.3326.3359.7359.735.125.12
Iowa St.B125.735.7366.6766.671.911.91
TCUB124.254.2558.0658.060.690.69
West VirginiaB124.254.2578.1278.122.392.39
Kansas St.B124.204.2061.2961.290.950.95
TexasB124.194.1932.2632.26-1.49-1.49
OklahomaB124.144.1437.9337.93-1.00-1.00
KansasB124.124.1286.6786.673.023.02
Texas TechB124.124.1260.0060.000.820.82
BaylorB124.124.1275.8675.862.132.13
New OrleansSlnd1.751.7562.9662.960.450.45
Central ArkansasSlnd1.701.7025.8125.81-0.82-0.82
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd1.701.7062.9662.960.440.44
TulsaAmer1.691.6948.3948.39-0.05-0.05
Wichita St.MVC1.691.6990.6290.621.371.37
MarylandB101.691.6973.3373.330.790.79
GeorgetownBE1.661.6645.1645.16-0.16-0.16
ConnecticutAmer1.661.6648.3948.39-0.05-0.05
ArkansasSEC1.661.6675.7675.760.860.86
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC1.611.6120.6920.69-0.95-0.95
CampbellBSth1.611.6146.6746.67-0.11-0.11
North CarolinaACC1.611.6178.1278.120.910.91
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.240.2451.7251.720.010.01
CincinnatiAmer0.220.2285.2985.290.160.16
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.220.2236.0036.00-0.06-0.06
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.210.2156.6756.670.030.03
Incarnate WordSlnd0.210.2132.0032.00-0.08-0.08
TulaneAmer0.210.2119.3519.35-0.13-0.13
AuburnSEC0.200.2056.2556.250.030.03
Nicholls St.Slnd0.190.1937.0437.04-0.05-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.170.1721.8821.88-0.10-0.10
Illinois St.MVC0.170.1781.2581.250.110.11
Houston BaptistSlnd0.160.1650.0050.000.000.00
Northwestern St.Slnd0.160.1636.0036.00-0.04-0.04
Texas SouthernSWAC0.150.1567.6567.650.050.05
WisconsinB100.150.1573.5373.530.070.07
MemphisAmer0.150.1559.3859.380.030.03
RadfordBSth0.150.1540.0040.00-0.03-0.03
HoustonAmer0.150.1567.7467.740.050.05
SMUAmer0.150.1588.2488.240.110.11
Long Beach St.BW0.150.1540.6240.62-0.03-0.03
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.140.1455.8855.880.020.02
VanderbiltSEC0.140.1455.8855.880.020.02
McNeese St.Slnd0.140.1419.2319.23-0.09-0.09
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.140.1446.6746.67-0.01-0.01
NorthwesternB100.130.1367.6567.650.050.05
Oral RobertsSum0.130.1321.4321.43-0.07-0.07
UNC AshevilleBSth0.130.1370.0070.000.050.05
UABCUSA0.130.1350.0050.000.000.00
South FloridaAmer0.130.1323.3323.33-0.07-0.07
IowaB100.130.1356.2556.250.020.02
Northern IowaMVC0.130.1344.8344.83-0.01-0.01
DukeACC0.120.1277.1477.140.070.07
Texas A&MSEC0.120.1251.6151.610.000.00
TempleAmer0.120.1250.0050.000.000.00
GeorgiaSEC0.120.1256.2556.250.020.02
KentuckySEC0.120.1285.2985.290.090.09
LSUSEC0.120.1232.2632.26-0.04-0.04
BradleyMVC0.120.1237.5037.50-0.03-0.03
DrakeMVC0.120.1220.6920.69-0.07-0.07
Indiana St.MVC0.120.1233.3333.33-0.04-0.04
Miami FLACC0.120.1265.6265.620.040.04
Nebraska OmahaSum0.120.1254.8454.840.010.01
LamarSlnd0.110.1151.7251.720.000.00
Jackson St.SWAC0.110.1141.3841.38-0.02-0.02
SouthernSWAC0.110.1143.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Alabama St.SWAC0.100.1023.3323.33-0.05-0.05
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.100.1035.4835.48-0.03-0.03
Little RockSB0.100.1043.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Michigan St.B100.100.1057.5857.580.020.02
LongwoodBSth0.100.1014.2914.29-0.07-0.07
OregonP120.100.1084.8584.850.070.07
XavierBE0.100.1061.7661.760.020.02
Gardner WebbBSth0.100.1053.3353.330.010.01
LouisvilleACC0.100.1075.0075.000.050.05
IndianaB100.100.1054.5554.550.010.01
East CarolinaAmer0.100.1045.4545.45-0.01-0.01
UCFAmer0.100.1065.6265.620.030.03
Jacksonville St.OVC0.100.1056.2556.250.010.01
MichiganB100.100.1068.5768.570.040.04
FloridaSEC0.100.1075.0075.000.050.05
IllinoisB100.100.1054.8454.840.010.01
MississippiSEC0.100.1060.6160.610.020.02
The CitadelSC0.100.1030.0030.00-0.04-0.04
Arkansas St.SB0.100.1061.2961.290.020.02
UNLVMWC0.100.1034.3834.38-0.03-0.03
UMKCWAC0.100.1046.6746.67-0.01-0.01
WashingtonP120.100.1029.0329.03-0.04-0.04
TennesseeSEC0.100.1048.3948.39-0.00-0.00
VirginiaACC0.100.1068.7568.750.040.04
Utah St.MWC0.080.0843.3343.33-0.01-0.01
UTSACUSA0.080.0838.7138.71-0.02-0.02
PresbyterianBSth0.080.0810.7110.71-0.06-0.06
WinthropBSth0.080.0880.0080.000.050.05
Washington St.P120.080.0840.0040.00-0.02-0.02
SienaMAAC0.080.0850.0050.000.000.00
Ohio St.B100.080.0853.1253.120.000.00
ClemsonACC0.080.0853.1253.120.000.00
NebraskaB100.080.0836.6736.67-0.02-0.02
RichmondA100.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
MinnesotaB100.080.0872.7372.730.030.03
ButlerBE0.080.0874.1974.190.040.04
St. John'sBE0.080.0842.4242.42-0.01-0.01
PittsburghACC0.070.0748.4848.48-0.00-0.00
DavidsonA100.070.0753.1253.120.000.00
SyracuseACC0.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
VMISC0.070.0714.2914.29-0.05-0.05
Boston CollegeACC0.070.0728.1228.12-0.03-0.03
Colorado St.MWC0.070.0765.6265.620.020.02
GonzagaWCC0.070.0796.9796.970.070.07
Missouri St.MVC0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
Saint LouisA100.070.0736.3636.36-0.02-0.02
Savannah St.MEAC0.070.0740.7440.74-0.01-0.01
AlabamaSEC0.070.0757.5857.580.010.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
UT ArlingtonSB0.070.0774.1974.190.040.04
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.060.0624.1424.14-0.03-0.03
Texas St.SB0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
Alabama A&MSWAC0.050.056.906.90-0.05-0.05
Alcorn St.SWAC0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
Grambling St.SWAC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Charleston SouthernBSth0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.050.0576.6776.670.030.03
High PointBSth0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
LibertyBSth0.050.0555.1755.170.010.01
Northern ColoradoBSky0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
RutgersB100.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
VCUA100.050.0576.4776.470.030.03
HawaiiBW0.050.0544.8344.83-0.01-0.01
HowardMEAC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
USC UpstateASun0.050.0546.4346.43-0.00-0.00
CreightonBE0.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
DePaulBE0.050.0528.1228.12-0.02-0.02
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
Idaho St.BSky0.050.0513.3313.33-0.04-0.04
MarquetteBE0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
North TexasCUSA0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
ProvidenceBE0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
RiceCUSA0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
Seton HallBE0.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
StanfordP120.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
VillanovaBE0.050.0591.1891.180.040.04
ChattanoogaSC0.050.0558.6258.620.010.01
North FloridaASun0.050.0536.6736.67-0.01-0.01
ColoradoP120.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
EvansvilleMVC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Green BayHorz0.050.0555.1755.170.010.01
HamptonMEAC0.050.0542.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Kent St.MAC0.050.0561.7661.760.010.01
Louisiana MonroeSB0.050.0522.5822.58-0.03-0.03
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
North Carolina St.ACC0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Robert MorrisNEC0.050.0542.4242.42-0.01-0.01
Western IllinoisSum0.050.0523.0823.08-0.03-0.03
WoffordSC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
ManhattanMAAC0.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
MissouriSEC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
New HampshireAE0.050.0558.6258.620.010.01
Northern KentuckyHorz0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
Western CarolinaSC0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Cal PolyBW0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
Saint Mary'sWCC0.030.0387.5087.500.020.02
USCP120.030.0372.7372.730.010.01
Central MichiganMAC0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
DenverSum0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
George WashingtonA100.030.0357.5857.580.000.00
Grand CanyonWAC0.030.0368.9768.970.010.01
New MexicoMWC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
SeattleWAC0.030.0337.0437.04-0.01-0.01
Tennessee MartinOVC0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
AmericanPat0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
CharlotteCUSA0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
ColgatePat0.030.0329.0329.03-0.01-0.01
Morgan St.MEAC0.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Penn St.B100.030.0345.4545.45-0.00-0.00
PurdueB100.030.0378.1278.120.010.01
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.030.0359.3859.380.000.00
SamfordSC0.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
StetsonASun0.030.0327.5927.59-0.01-0.01
Stony BrookAE0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
TowsonCAA0.030.0359.3859.380.000.00
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.030.0384.3884.380.020.02
Arizona St.P120.030.0345.4545.45-0.00-0.00
ArmyPat0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Boston UniversityPat0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
Coppin St.MEAC0.030.0323.3323.33-0.01-0.01
ElonCAA0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
La SalleA100.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Loyola MarymountWCC0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Morehead St.OVC0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
NortheasternCAA0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Oregon St.P120.030.0312.9012.90-0.02-0.02
San Diego St.MWC0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
UNC GreensboroSC0.030.0370.9770.970.010.01
WagnerNEC0.030.0351.7251.720.000.00
Western MichiganMAC0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Florida St.ACC0.020.0275.7675.760.010.01
Georgia TechACC0.020.0251.6151.610.000.00
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.020.0237.5037.50-0.01-0.01
MonmouthMAAC0.020.0281.8281.820.020.02
Notre DameACC0.020.0273.5373.530.010.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.020.0231.0331.03-0.01-0.01
South Dakota St.Sum0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Virginia TechACC0.020.0268.7568.750.010.01
Wake ForestACC0.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
Austin PeayOVC0.020.0232.1432.14-0.01-0.01
Fort WayneSum0.020.0257.1457.140.000.00
Mississippi St.SEC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
North Dakota St.Sum0.020.0260.7160.710.010.01
South CarolinaSEC0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01