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Through games of Mar 15, 2015.


Oklahoma St.

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:49.0
Current RPI:49
Expected SOS:17
Current SOS:17
Current Record:17-13
Expected Record:17-13
Current Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Record:8-11
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:3-9
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:3-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-0
Current OOC Record:9-2
Expected OOC Record:9-2
Expected OOC RPI:44
Expected OOC SOS:150



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
17-1349.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oklahoma St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Southeastern Louisiana (329.0)SlndH83-55W100%0.0
11-16Prairie View A&M (262.0)SWACH74-52W100%0.0
11-21Milwaukee (206.0)HorzH82-68W100%0.0
11-24Oregon St. (133.0)P12N66-53W100%0.0
11-26Tulsa (45.0)AmerN58-73W100%0.0
12-3North Texas (224.0)CUSAH87-61W100%0.0
12-6South Carolina (91.0)SECA75-49L0%0.0
12-13Memphis (83.0)AmerA55-73W100%0.0
12-16Middle Tennessee (138.0)CUSAH68-44W100%0.0
12-21Maryland (13.0)B10H64-73L0%0.0
12-30Missouri (218.0)SECN72-74W100%0.0
1-3Kansas St. (100.0)B12H61-47W100%0.0
1-6Iowa St. (9.0)B12A63-61L0%0.0
1-10Texas (42.0)B12H69-58W100%0.0
1-13Kansas (2.0)B12A67-57L0%0.0
1-17Oklahoma (18.0)B12A82-65L0%0.0
1-21Texas Tech (183.0)B12H63-43W100%0.0
1-24Kansas St. (100.0)B12A63-53L0%0.0
1-27Baylor (10.0)B12H64-53W100%0.0
1-31Oklahoma (18.0)B12H56-64L0%0.0
2-4Texas (42.0)B12A63-65W100%0.0
2-7Kansas (2.0)B12H67-62W100%0.0
2-9Baylor (10.0)B12A65-74W100%0.0
2-14TCU (131.0)B12A70-55L0%0.0
2-18Iowa St. (9.0)B12H65-70L0%0.0
2-21West Virginia (24.0)B12H63-73L0%0.0
2-28Texas Tech (183.0)B12A63-62L0%0.0
3-4TCU (131.0)B12H82-70W100%0.0
3-7West Virginia (24.0)B12A81-72L0%0.0
3-12Oklahoma (18.0)B12N64-49L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Oklahoma St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Oklahoma St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Oklahoma St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Oklahoma St.B1226.3526.3554.7654.762.512.51
OklahomaB125.955.9565.5265.521.851.85
Iowa St.B124.444.4474.1974.192.152.15
BaylorB124.384.3876.6776.672.342.34
KansasB124.364.3678.1278.122.452.45
TCUB124.334.3354.8454.840.420.42
TexasB124.314.3164.5264.521.251.25
Texas TechB124.314.3140.0040.00-0.86-0.86
West VirginiaB124.264.2670.0070.001.701.70
Kansas St.B124.254.2546.6746.67-0.28-0.28
Prairie View A&MSWAC1.881.8845.1645.16-0.18-0.18
South CarolinaSEC1.821.8248.3948.39-0.06-0.06
MemphisAmer1.801.8058.0658.060.290.29
MissouriSEC1.801.8026.6726.67-0.84-0.84
TulsaAmer1.801.8073.3373.330.840.84
North TexasCUSA1.771.7742.8642.86-0.25-0.25
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd1.741.7426.6726.67-0.81-0.81
MarylandB101.721.7281.2581.251.071.07
Middle TennesseeCUSA1.701.7054.5554.550.150.15
MilwaukeeHorz1.671.6744.4444.44-0.19-0.19
Oregon St.P121.671.6755.1755.170.170.17
AuburnSEC0.240.2441.1841.18-0.04-0.04
ConnecticutAmer0.240.2458.8258.820.040.04
Oral RobertsSum0.220.2253.3353.330.010.01
RiceCUSA0.220.2234.4834.48-0.07-0.07
ArkansasSEC0.210.2176.4776.470.110.11
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.210.2118.7518.75-0.13-0.13
KentuckySEC0.210.21100.00100.000.210.21
HoustonAmer0.180.1840.6240.62-0.03-0.03
Northwestern St.Slnd0.180.1855.5655.560.020.02
Texas A&MSEC0.180.1864.5264.520.050.05
McNeese St.Slnd0.180.1840.7440.74-0.03-0.03
Texas SouthernSWAC0.180.1864.7164.710.050.05
TennesseeSEC0.180.1850.0050.000.000.00
SouthernSWAC0.180.1846.8846.88-0.01-0.01
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.160.1686.6786.670.120.12
UMKCWAC0.160.1638.7138.71-0.04-0.04
CreightonBE0.160.1642.4242.42-0.02-0.02
Mississippi St.SEC0.160.1638.7138.71-0.04-0.04
GeorgiaSEC0.160.1665.6265.620.050.05
LSUSEC0.160.1668.7568.750.060.06
TempleAmer0.150.1569.7069.700.060.06
OaklandHorz0.140.1446.6746.67-0.01-0.01
ArizonaP120.130.1391.1891.180.110.11
UCLAP120.130.1360.6160.610.030.03
WashingtonP120.130.1351.6151.610.000.00
UTEPCUSA0.130.1368.7568.750.050.05
WisconsinB100.130.1391.1891.180.110.11
TulaneAmer0.130.1346.6746.67-0.01-0.01
CharlotteCUSA0.130.1343.7543.75-0.02-0.02
UTSACUSA0.130.1342.8642.86-0.02-0.02
MarshallCUSA0.130.1330.0030.00-0.05-0.05
Grambling St.SWAC0.130.130.000.00-0.13-0.13
George MasonA100.130.1326.6726.67-0.06-0.06
MississippiSEC0.130.1362.5062.500.030.03
AlabamaSEC0.130.1354.8454.840.010.01
BradleyMVC0.130.1325.0025.00-0.06-0.06
IowaB100.130.1365.6265.620.040.04
Michigan St.B100.120.1267.6567.650.040.04
South FloridaAmer0.110.1125.8125.81-0.05-0.05
Old DominionCUSA0.110.1177.4277.420.060.06
Washington St.P120.110.1141.9441.94-0.02-0.02
East CarolinaAmer0.110.1138.7138.71-0.02-0.02
SMUAmer0.110.1181.2581.250.070.07
UCFAmer0.110.1137.9337.93-0.03-0.03
VanderbiltSEC0.110.1158.0658.060.020.02
New OrleansSlnd0.100.1030.7730.77-0.04-0.04
IllinoisB100.100.1059.3859.380.020.02
PurdueB100.100.1063.6463.640.030.03
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.100.1037.5037.50-0.03-0.03
CincinnatiAmer0.100.1068.7568.750.040.04
Alcorn St.SWAC0.100.1016.6716.67-0.07-0.07
Long Beach St.BW0.100.1045.1645.16-0.01-0.01
UABCUSA0.100.1054.5554.550.010.01
FloridaSEC0.100.1048.4848.48-0.00-0.00
LafayettePat0.100.1061.2961.290.020.02
ValparaisoHorz0.090.0983.3383.330.060.06
Nicholls St.Slnd0.080.0826.9226.92-0.04-0.04
Arizona St.P120.080.0853.1253.120.010.01
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.080.0825.0025.00-0.04-0.04
Missouri St.MVC0.080.0831.0331.03-0.03-0.03
CaliforniaP120.080.0854.5554.550.010.01
StanfordP120.080.0859.3859.380.010.01
ButlerBE0.080.0868.7568.750.030.03
Jackson St.SWAC0.080.0834.3834.38-0.02-0.02
Weber St.BSky0.080.0839.2939.29-0.02-0.02
FIUCUSA0.080.0845.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.080.0825.9325.93-0.04-0.04
Louisiana TechCUSA0.080.0875.0075.000.040.04
Southern MissCUSA0.080.0825.9325.93-0.04-0.04
LamarSlnd0.080.0842.3142.31-0.01-0.01
LipscombASun0.080.0839.2939.29-0.02-0.02
MonmouthMAAC0.080.0854.5554.550.010.01
VMISC0.080.0832.1432.14-0.03-0.03
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.080.0856.6756.670.010.01
UtahP120.080.0874.1974.190.040.04
Texas St.SB0.080.0839.2939.29-0.02-0.02
IndianaB100.080.0860.6160.610.020.02
Tennessee St.OVC0.080.0810.3410.34-0.06-0.06
Cleveland St.Horz0.060.0653.3353.330.000.00
DetroitHorz0.060.0641.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Green BayHorz0.060.0673.3373.330.030.03
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.060.0625.0025.00-0.03-0.03
Wright St.Horz0.060.0631.0331.03-0.02-0.02
Youngstown St.Horz0.060.0627.5927.59-0.03-0.03
DePaulBE0.060.0637.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.060.0656.6756.670.010.01
ColoradoP120.060.0646.8846.88-0.00-0.00
OregonP120.060.0672.7372.730.030.03
USCP120.060.0637.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Central ArkansasSlnd0.050.056.906.90-0.05-0.05
Incarnate WordSlnd0.050.0558.3358.330.010.01
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.050.0539.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Tennessee TechOVC0.050.0535.7135.71-0.02-0.02
Western KentuckyCUSA0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
GonzagaWCC0.050.0593.9493.940.050.05
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.050.0572.4172.410.020.02
Western IllinoisSum0.050.0523.0823.08-0.03-0.03
Wichita St.MVC0.050.0587.1087.100.040.04
WinthropBSth0.050.0555.1755.170.010.01
Air ForceMWC0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Alabama A&MSWAC0.050.0528.5728.57-0.02-0.02
Alabama St.SWAC0.050.0562.9662.960.010.01
Boston CollegeACC0.050.0540.6240.62-0.01-0.01
College of CharlestonCAA0.050.0527.2727.27-0.02-0.02
Fresno St.MWC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
Loyola MDPat0.050.0536.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Nebraska OmahaSum0.050.0539.2939.29-0.01-0.01
New Mexico St.WAC0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
Norfolk St.MEAC0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
Northern KentuckyASun0.050.0539.2939.29-0.01-0.01
PittsburghACC0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
Savannah St.MEAC0.050.0524.1424.14-0.03-0.03
South Carolina St.MEAC0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
Southern UtahBSky0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
Virginia TechACC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
WoffordSC0.050.0581.2581.250.030.03
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.050.0575.8675.860.030.03
USC UpstateASun0.050.0563.3363.330.010.01
AkronMAC0.050.0558.8258.820.010.01
DrakeMVC0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
FurmanSC0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
Georgia St.SB0.050.0571.8871.880.020.02
NebraskaB100.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.050.0570.0070.000.020.02
Penn St.B100.050.0552.9452.940.000.00
RadfordBSth0.050.0562.0762.070.010.01
RutgersB100.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
St. Francis PANEC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
UT ArlingtonSB0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
GeorgetownBE0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
Kent St.MAC0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
Rhode IslandA100.050.0570.0070.000.020.02
RiderMAAC0.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
UNLVMWC0.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
IUPUISum0.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
MontanaBSky0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.030.0338.4638.46-0.01-0.01
South DakotaSum0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Delaware St.MEAC0.030.0348.4848.48-0.00-0.00
IonaMAAC0.030.0376.4776.470.020.02
PortlandWCC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
QuinnipiacMAAC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Arkansas Little RockSB0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
ElonCAA0.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
Houston BaptistSlnd0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.030.0356.6756.670.000.00
XavierBE0.030.0361.7661.760.010.01
BrownIvy0.030.0337.9337.93-0.01-0.01
ClemsonACC0.030.0351.6151.610.000.00
CornellIvy0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
HawaiiBW0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
Indiana St.MVC0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Jacksonville St.OVC0.030.0334.4834.48-0.01-0.01
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.030.0323.3323.33-0.01-0.01
North FloridaASun0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
UNC AshevilleBSth0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
Central ConnecticutNEC0.030.0316.1316.13-0.02-0.02
FordhamA100.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
MichiganB100.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
MinnesotaB100.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
NorthwesternB100.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Ohio St.B100.030.0369.7069.700.010.01
VirginiaACC0.030.0390.6290.620.020.02
WagnerNEC0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
BelmontOVC0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
ChattanoogaSC0.020.0266.6766.670.010.01
Murray St.OVC0.020.0283.3383.330.020.02
Northern ArizonaBSky0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
South AlabamaSB0.020.0232.2632.26-0.01-0.01