The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Southern Mississippi page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Southern Mississippi

Conference:		CUSA
Expected RPI:		111.6
Current RPI:		106
Expected SOS:		138
Current SOS:		144
Current Record:		10-8
Expected Record:		15-11
Current Conf Record:		4-4
Expected Conf Record:		9-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-2
Current OOC Record:		6-4
Expected OOC Record:		6-4
Expected OOC RPI:		114
Expected OOC SOS:		223

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-8	64.1	0.24%
17-9	75.3	3.46%
16-10	86.9	15.42%
15-11	102.0	31.89%
14-12	119.4	31.18%
13-13	139.5	14.25%
12-14	159.7	3.14%
11-15	177.0	0.37%
10-16	190.5	0.04%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern Mississippi.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Louisiana Lafayette (203.8)	SB	A	79-72	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Montana St. (193.0)	BSky	A	66-62	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Mississippi (42.7)	SEC	A	79-81	L	0%	0.0
12-12	South Alabama (222.1)	SB	A	66-54	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Louisiana Lafayette (203.8)	SB	H	71-53	W	100%	0.0
12-21	New Orleans (324.9)	SB	N	78-58	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Canisius (203.7)	MAAC	N	56-59	L	0%	0.0
12-23	North Florida (224.0)	ASun	N	46-53	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Vanderbilt (21.7)	SEC	A	46-82	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Marshall (83.3)	CUSA	A	63-76	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Memphis (65.4)	CUSA	H	57-59	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.1)	ind	H	81-65	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Texas El Paso (54.0)	CUSA	A	49-56	L	0%	0.0
1-20	UAB (35.2)	CUSA	A	56-57	L	0%	0.0
1-23	East Carolina (243.8)	CUSA	H	68-53	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Tulane (256.8)	CUSA	A	58-40	W	100%	0.0
2-2	Southern Methodist (198.8)	CUSA	H	56-53	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Houston (144.2)	CUSA	A	57-55	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Tulsa (62.8)	CUSA	A	0-0		22%	-8.5
2-13	Rice (288.6)	CUSA	H	0-0		89%	13.4
2-17	UAB (35.2)	CUSA	H	0-0		46%	-1.1
2-20	Central Florida (193.8)	CUSA	H	0-0		83%	10.2
2-24	Texas El Paso (54.0)	CUSA	H	0-0		38%	-3.4
2-27	Memphis (65.4)	CUSA	A	0-0		15%	-11.1
3-2	Tulane (256.8)	CUSA	H	0-0		87%	12.4
3-6	East Carolina (243.8)	CUSA	A	0-0		72%	6.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Southern Mississippi's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Southern Mississippi's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Southern Mississippi.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	26.28	26.27	61.90	58.93	6.26	4.69
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	5.68	3.98	52.63	52.50	0.30	0.20
Tulane	CUSA	3.30	4.62	33.33	31.29	-1.10	-1.73
Memphis	CUSA	3.24	4.51	68.18	68.47	1.18	1.67
UAB	CUSA	3.23	4.58	81.82	78.63	2.06	2.62
Texas El Paso	CUSA	3.22	4.51	76.19	75.28	1.69	2.28
Marshall	CUSA	3.17	2.69	65.00	64.23	0.95	0.76
East Carolina	CUSA	3.16	4.47	21.05	22.58	-1.83	-2.45
New Orleans	SB	3.15	2.16	23.81	23.74	-1.65	-1.13
Houston	CUSA	3.10	2.65	50.00	52.67	0.00	0.14
Southern Methodist	CUSA	3.02	2.65	47.37	45.57	-0.16	-0.23
Canisius	MAAC	2.90	1.99	41.67	43.27	-0.48	-0.27
Montana St.	BSky	2.90	2.02	50.00	50.60	0.00	0.02
South Alabama	SB	2.90	2.16	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	2.90	1.99	40.91	43.34	-0.53	-0.27
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.84	1.96	23.81	22.17	-1.49	-1.09
Mississippi	SEC	2.84	2.06	72.73	71.59	1.29	0.89
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.78	1.96	75.00	72.25	1.39	0.87
Troy	SB	0.57	0.34	47.62	50.37	-0.03	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.51	2.69	31.82	31.03	-0.19	-1.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.51	0.34	52.17	54.93	0.02	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.51	0.37	23.81	28.38	-0.27	-0.16
Tulsa	CUSA	0.45	2.69	77.27	70.70	0.24	1.11
Arkansas St.	SB	0.44	0.41	57.14	57.09	0.06	0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.39	2.66	47.62	45.47	-0.02	-0.24
Western Kentucky	SB	0.39	0.31	54.17	56.01	0.03	0.04
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.32	0.25	45.45	47.50	-0.03	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.26	0.21	47.62	44.69	-0.01	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.26	0.23	81.82	75.63	0.16	0.12
Denver	SB	0.26	0.28	60.87	59.59	0.06	0.05
Florida International	SB	0.26	0.21	24.00	23.72	-0.13	-0.11
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.26	0.25	36.36	36.18	-0.07	-0.07
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.26	0.20	26.32	31.50	-0.12	-0.08
North Texas	SB	0.26	0.28	61.90	63.68	0.06	0.08
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.25	0.20	22.73	24.06	-0.14	-0.10
Georgia	SEC	0.25	0.20	47.62	45.43	-0.01	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.20	0.10	36.84	36.81	-0.05	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.19	0.10	27.27	27.20	-0.09	-0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.19	0.20	39.13	35.39	-0.04	-0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.19	0.13	69.57	68.49	0.08	0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.19	0.10	36.36	36.05	-0.05	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.19	0.17	23.81	30.79	-0.10	-0.06
Cincinnati	BE	0.19	0.13	60.87	55.48	0.04	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.19	0.13	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.19	0.10	52.17	56.49	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.18	0.20	52.17	48.42	0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.18	0.10	33.33	35.30	-0.06	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.14	0.11	4.76	9.60	-0.13	-0.09
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.10	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.13	0.14	77.27	77.14	0.07	0.07
Idaho St.	BSky	0.13	0.11	19.05	24.00	-0.08	-0.06
Louisville	BE	0.13	0.07	65.22	62.02	0.04	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.13	0.10	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.13	0.07	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.13	0.07	79.17	78.03	0.08	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.07	70.59	73.00	0.05	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.13	0.07	61.90	65.05	0.03	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.13	0.14	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.13	0.10	29.17	28.88	-0.05	-0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.13	0.10	59.09	51.14	0.02	0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.13	0.07	31.82	32.31	-0.05	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.13	0.13	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.13	0.13	73.91	67.69	0.06	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.10	95.65	88.68	0.12	0.08
Mercer	ASun	0.13	0.10	45.45	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.13	0.14	30.43	29.01	-0.05	-0.06
South Carolina	SEC	0.13	0.10	59.09	54.44	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.13	0.07	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.13	0.07	82.61	79.46	0.08	0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.07	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.13	0.10	47.83	44.40	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	63.64	58.35	0.03	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.13	0.07	36.36	40.06	-0.03	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.13	0.07	36.84	39.04	-0.03	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.12	0.10	31.58	39.01	-0.05	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.12	0.10	0.00	4.36	-0.12	-0.09
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.12	0.07	40.00	42.60	-0.02	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.12	0.07	60.00	63.84	0.02	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.12	0.13	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.12	0.10	56.52	59.88	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.12	0.10	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.12	0.07	17.39	20.22	-0.08	-0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.11	0.06	66.67	64.35	0.04	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.11	0.06	72.00	70.67	0.05	0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.11	0.10	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.11	0.06	58.33	58.90	0.02	0.01
Army	Pat	0.07	0.03	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.07	78.26	71.74	0.04	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	69.57	66.83	0.03	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.07	0.03	64.00	62.73	0.02	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.07	0.07	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	20.83	23.58	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.07	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.04	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.07	0.03	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	91.30	88.20	0.06	0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	65.22	62.09	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.03	72.73	66.84	0.03	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.07	76.19	71.16	0.04	0.03
Arizona	P10	0.07	0.07	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.07	0.03	39.13	38.66	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.94	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.07	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.07	0.07	18.18	19.17	-0.04	-0.05
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.07	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.03	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.07	0.03	79.17	73.38	0.04	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.07	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.03	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.07	0.07	68.18	70.36	0.02	0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.07	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.04	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.07	0.03	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.07	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.03	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.07	0.04	54.55	48.80	0.01	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	38.10	39.63	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.07	0.03	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.07	0.03	86.96	84.64	0.05	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.04	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.07	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.03	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.07	0.04	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.07	35.00	30.57	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.07	36.36	47.14	-0.02	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.06	0.07	87.50	87.42	0.05	0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.07	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.07	62.50	57.77	0.02	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.06	0.07	77.27	73.45	0.03	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.07	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.03	27.27	31.42	-0.03	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.07	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.07	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.04	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.03	45.45	40.27	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.07	34.78	32.21	-0.02	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.06	0.07	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.07	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.04	18.18	20.35	-0.04	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.07	45.00	54.22	-0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.07	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.06	0.03	33.33	36.46	-0.02	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.03	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.06	0.03	73.91	76.68	0.03	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.06	84.00	84.05	0.04	0.04
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	21.05	24.99	-0.03	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia St.	CAA	0.06	0.03	37.50	38.43	-0.02	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.10	81.82	83.61	0.04	0.06
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.03	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.09	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	95.83	93.08	0.06	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.06	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.04	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.07	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.57	70.34	0.02	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.06	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.06	0.10	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.03	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.36	0.03	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.02
Samford	SC	0.06	0.06	28.57	31.10	-0.03	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.07	14.29	15.66	-0.04	-0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	95.83	91.32	0.06	0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.03	91.30	85.32	0.05	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.06	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.06	60.87	57.67	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.03	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	51.98	0.01	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.06	0.03	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.03	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.07	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.03	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	4.17	4.75	-0.05	-0.06
Rider	MAAC	0.06	0.06	53.85	51.13	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.06	0.06	84.00	81.56	0.04	0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.06	0.03	43.48	43.79	-0.01	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.00	0.03	23.08	25.74	-0.00	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.00	0.03	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.03	19.05	20.74	-0.00	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.00	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	56.52	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.03	44.00	43.19	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.03	82.61	82.34	0.00	0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	47.83	48.99	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.00	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.00	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	66.67	64.66	0.00	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.48	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.00	0.03	69.57	63.54	0.00	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.03	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.00	0.03	68.18	68.11	0.00	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.00	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.01	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	26.28	26.27	61.90	58.93	6.26	4.69
Tulane	CUSA	3.30	4.62	33.33	31.29	-1.10	-1.73
UAB	CUSA	3.23	4.58	81.82	78.63	2.06	2.62
Memphis	CUSA	3.24	4.51	68.18	68.47	1.18	1.67
Texas El Paso	CUSA	3.22	4.51	76.19	75.28	1.69	2.28
East Carolina	CUSA	3.16	4.47	21.05	22.58	-1.83	-2.45
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	5.68	3.98	52.63	52.50	0.30	0.20
Rice	CUSA	0.51	2.69	31.82	31.03	-0.19	-1.02
Marshall	CUSA	3.17	2.69	65.00	64.23	0.95	0.76
Tulsa	CUSA	0.45	2.69	77.27	70.70	0.24	1.11
Central Florida	CUSA	0.39	2.66	47.62	45.47	-0.02	-0.24
Houston	CUSA	3.10	2.65	50.00	52.67	0.00	0.14
Southern Methodist	CUSA	3.02	2.65	47.37	45.57	-0.16	-0.23
New Orleans	SB	3.15	2.16	23.81	23.74	-1.65	-1.13
South Alabama	SB	2.90	2.16	50.00	49.31	0.00	-0.03
Mississippi	SEC	2.84	2.06	72.73	71.59	1.29	0.89
Montana St.	BSky	2.90	2.02	50.00	50.60	0.00	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	2.90	1.99	41.67	43.27	-0.48	-0.27
North Florida	ASun	2.90	1.99	40.91	43.34	-0.53	-0.27
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.84	1.96	23.81	22.17	-1.49	-1.09
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.78	1.96	75.00	72.25	1.39	0.87
Arkansas St.	SB	0.44	0.41	57.14	57.09	0.06	0.06
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.51	0.37	23.81	28.38	-0.27	-0.16
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.51	0.34	52.17	54.93	0.02	0.03
Troy	SB	0.57	0.34	47.62	50.37	-0.03	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.39	0.31	54.17	56.01	0.03	0.04
Denver	SB	0.26	0.28	60.87	59.59	0.06	0.05
North Texas	SB	0.26	0.28	61.90	63.68	0.06	0.08
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.26	0.25	36.36	36.18	-0.07	-0.07
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.32	0.25	45.45	47.50	-0.03	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.26	0.23	81.82	75.63	0.16	0.12
Florida International	SB	0.26	0.21	24.00	23.72	-0.13	-0.11
Lamar	Slnd	0.26	0.21	47.62	44.69	-0.01	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.26	0.20	26.32	31.50	-0.12	-0.08
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.19	0.20	39.13	35.39	-0.04	-0.06
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.25	0.20	22.73	24.06	-0.14	-0.10
Georgia	SEC	0.25	0.20	47.62	45.43	-0.01	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.18	0.20	52.17	48.42	0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.19	0.17	23.81	30.79	-0.10	-0.06
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.13	0.14	30.43	29.01	-0.05	-0.06
Campbell	ASun	0.13	0.14	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.13	0.14	77.27	77.14	0.07	0.07
Florida	SEC	0.13	0.13	73.91	67.69	0.06	0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	63.64	58.35	0.03	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.19	0.13	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.13	0.13	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.19	0.13	60.87	55.48	0.04	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.12	0.13	50.00	53.72	0.00	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.19	0.13	69.57	68.49	0.08	0.05
Idaho St.	BSky	0.13	0.11	19.05	24.00	-0.08	-0.06
North Carolina Central	ind	0.14	0.11	4.76	9.60	-0.13	-0.09
Texas St.	Slnd	0.20	0.10	36.84	36.81	-0.05	-0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.19	0.10	36.36	36.05	-0.05	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.19	0.10	27.27	27.20	-0.09	-0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.13	0.10	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.12	0.10	0.00	4.36	-0.12	-0.09
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.13	0.10	29.17	28.88	-0.05	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.10	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.12	0.10	56.52	59.88	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.19	0.10	52.17	56.49	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.13	0.10	45.45	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.13	0.10	59.09	51.14	0.02	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.12	0.10	31.58	39.01	-0.05	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.10	95.65	88.68	0.12	0.08
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.13	0.10	47.83	44.40	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.13	0.10	59.09	54.44	0.02	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.18	0.10	33.33	35.30	-0.06	-0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.11	0.10	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.12	0.10	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.10	81.82	83.61	0.04	0.06
Massachusetts	A10	0.06	0.10	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.09	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.07	0.07	18.18	19.17	-0.04	-0.05
Montana	BSky	0.07	0.07	68.18	70.36	0.02	0.03
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.13	0.07	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.13	0.07	79.17	78.03	0.08	0.04
Portland St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	38.10	39.63	-0.02	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.13	0.07	61.90	65.05	0.03	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.07	78.26	71.74	0.04	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	69.57	66.83	0.03	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.07	0.07	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.13	0.07	65.22	62.02	0.04	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	20.83	23.58	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.07	0.07	91.30	88.20	0.06	0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.07	70.59	73.00	0.05	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.07	76.19	71.16	0.04	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.94	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.13	0.07	31.82	32.31	-0.05	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.06	0.07	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	65.22	62.09	0.02	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.12	0.07	40.00	42.60	-0.02	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.13	0.07	82.61	79.46	0.08	0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.07	35.00	30.57	-0.02	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.07	0.07	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.07	36.36	47.14	-0.02	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.12	0.07	60.00	63.84	0.02	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.06	0.07	87.50	87.42	0.05	0.05
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.07	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.06	0.07	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.07	62.50	57.77	0.02	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.06	0.07	77.27	73.45	0.03	0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.07	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.06	0.07	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.07	68.18	62.71	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.07	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.36	0.03	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.07	34.78	32.21	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.07	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.12	0.07	17.39	20.22	-0.08	-0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.07	14.29	15.66	-0.04	-0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.07	45.00	54.22	-0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.07	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.13	0.07	36.36	40.06	-0.03	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.13	0.07	36.84	39.04	-0.03	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.07	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.13	0.07	47.37	52.56	-0.01	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.06	84.00	84.05	0.04	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.11	0.06	66.67	64.35	0.04	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.04	-0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.11	0.06	72.00	70.67	0.05	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.57	70.34	0.02	0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.06	0.06	4.17	4.75	-0.05	-0.06
Rider	MAAC	0.06	0.06	53.85	51.13	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.06	0.06	28.57	31.10	-0.03	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.06	0.06	84.00	81.56	0.04	0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.11	0.06	58.33	58.90	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.06	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.06	60.87	57.67	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	21.05	24.99	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.06	0.06	95.83	93.08	0.06	0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	95.83	91.32	0.06	0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.07	0.04	54.55	48.80	0.01	-0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.07	0.04	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.04	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.04	18.18	20.35	-0.04	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.07	0.03	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.07	0.03	39.13	38.66	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.07	0.03	64.00	62.73	0.02	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.06	0.03	37.50	38.43	-0.02	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.07	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.04	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.07	0.03	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.07	0.03	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.07	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.03	72.73	66.84	0.03	0.01
Albany	AE	0.00	0.03	23.08	25.74	-0.00	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.00	0.03	52.38	53.77	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	56.52	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.07	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.02	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.03	44.00	43.19	-0.00	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	47.83	48.99	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.00	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.00	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.00	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.07	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.03	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.00	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.03	27.27	31.42	-0.03	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.07	0.03	79.17	73.38	0.04	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.06	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.02	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.07	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.03	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.07	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.04	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.03	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.03	45.45	40.27	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.00	0.03	68.18	68.11	0.00	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.07	0.03	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.00	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.07	0.03	86.96	84.64	0.05	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.04	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.01	0.00	0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.07	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.03	47.83	48.93	-0.00	-0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.06	0.03	33.33	36.46	-0.02	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.03	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.06	0.03	73.91	76.68	0.03	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.06	0.03	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	51.98	0.01	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.03	19.05	20.74	-0.00	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.00	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.03	82.61	82.34	0.00	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.06	0.03	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.03	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.03	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.00	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.06	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.04	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.03	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	66.67	64.66	0.00	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.48	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.00	0.03	69.57	63.54	0.00	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.03	54.17	58.54	0.00	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.06	0.03	43.48	43.79	-0.01	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.03	91.30	85.32	0.05	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	26.28	26.27	61.90	58.93	6.26	4.69
UAB	CUSA	3.23	4.58	81.82	78.63	2.06	2.62
Texas El Paso	CUSA	3.22	4.51	76.19	75.28	1.69	2.28
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.78	1.96	75.00	72.25	1.39	0.87
Mississippi	SEC	2.84	2.06	72.73	71.59	1.29	0.89
Memphis	CUSA	3.24	4.51	68.18	68.47	1.18	1.67
Marshall	CUSA	3.17	2.69	65.00	64.23	0.95	0.76
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	5.68	3.98	52.63	52.50	0.30	0.20
Tulsa	CUSA	0.45	2.69	77.27	70.70	0.24	1.11
Tennessee	SEC	0.26	0.23	81.82	75.63	0.16	0.12
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.10	95.65	88.68	0.12	0.08
West Virginia	BE	0.13	0.07	82.61	79.46	0.08	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.13	0.07	79.17	78.03	0.08	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.19	0.13	69.57	68.49	0.08	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA<