The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Southern California page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Southern California

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		81.0
Current RPI:		79
Expected SOS:		66
Current SOS:		58
Current Record:		14-9
Expected Record:		18-12
Current Conf Record:		6-5
Expected Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-1
Current OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC RPI:		75
Expected OOC SOS:		59

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
21-9	49.8	0.68%
20-10	58.3	5.83%
19-11	67.8	22.23%
18-12	78.3	34.46%
17-13	90.7	26.15%
16-14	105.7	9.35%
15-15	123.4	1.22%
14-16	142.7	0.07%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern California.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-17	UC Riverside (264.2)	BW	H	77-67	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Loyola Marymount (205.0)	WCC	H	59-67	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Coppin St. (332.1)	MEAC	H	74-43	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Nebraska (127.1)	B12	H	48-51	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Texas (15.2)	B12	A	50-69	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Georgia Tech (25.2)	ACC	A	53-79	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Sacramento St. (287.6)	BSky	H	51-36	W	100%	0.0
12-11	Idaho St. (275.5)	BSky	H	59-53	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	H	77-55	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Western Michigan (121.6)	MAC	N	55-51	W	100%	0.0
12-23	St. Mary's (42.1)	WCC	N	60-49	W	100%	0.0
12-25	Nevada Las Vegas (32.4)	MWC	N	67-56	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Arizona (81.7)	P10	H	56-50	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	H	47-37	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Stanford (173.0)	P10	A	53-54	L	0%	0.0
1-9	California (24.1)	P10	A	59-67	L	0%	0.0
1-16	UCLA (146.7)	P10	A	67-46	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Washington St. (111.0)	P10	H	60-67	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Washington (50.4)	P10	H	87-61	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	A	45-51	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Oregon (152.1)	P10	A	57-67	L	0%	0.0
2-4	California (24.1)	P10	H	66-63	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Stanford (173.0)	P10	H	54-49	W	100%	0.0
2-14	UCLA (146.7)	P10	H	0-0		83%	10.5
2-18	Washington (50.4)	P10	A	0-0		24%	-7.6
2-20	Washington St. (111.0)	P10	A	0-0		49%	-0.2
2-25	Oregon (152.1)	P10	H	0-0		81%	9.7
2-27	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	H	0-0		87%	12.2
3-4	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	A	0-0		23%	-8.0
3-6	Arizona (81.7)	P10	A	0-0		40%	-2.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Southern California's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Southern California's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Southern California.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern California	P10	26.31	26.35	57.14	57.88	3.76	4.15
California	P10	4.82	4.22	66.67	69.73	1.61	1.67
Stanford	P10	4.82	4.22	42.86	42.60	-0.69	-0.62
UCLA	P10	2.84	4.22	50.00	46.32	0.00	-0.31
Oregon	P10	2.80	4.28	52.38	48.05	0.13	-0.17
Arizona	P10	2.80	4.25	54.55	55.35	0.25	0.46
Oregon St.	P10	2.79	4.28	42.86	39.11	-0.40	-0.93
Arizona St.	P10	2.75	4.23	69.57	69.77	1.08	1.67
Washington	P10	2.74	4.22	72.73	71.07	1.25	1.78
Washington St.	P10	2.74	4.22	61.90	57.56	0.65	0.64
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.43	1.84	31.82	30.08	-0.88	-0.73
Idaho St.	BSky	2.32	1.78	20.00	24.92	-1.39	-0.89
St. Mary's	WCC	2.27	1.78	90.91	87.76	1.86	1.34
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.27	1.76	45.45	42.40	-0.21	-0.27
Nebraska	B12	2.22	1.75	54.55	48.77	0.20	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.22	1.72	85.71	83.80	1.59	1.16
UC Riverside	BW	2.22	1.70	35.00	37.85	-0.67	-0.41
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.17	1.67	11.76	21.77	-1.66	-0.94
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.17	1.67	71.43	66.99	0.93	0.57
Tennessee	SEC	2.17	1.67	85.71	78.27	1.55	0.94
Texas	B12	2.17	1.69	81.82	78.05	1.38	0.95
Western Michigan	MAC	2.17	1.67	57.14	58.64	0.31	0.29
Montana	BSky	0.39	0.32	68.18	70.35	0.14	0.13
Portland St.	BSky	0.38	0.32	38.10	39.65	-0.09	-0.07
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.29	0.20	60.00	59.64	0.06	0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.29	0.22	87.50	87.42	0.22	0.17
San Diego	WCC	0.29	0.26	33.33	33.43	-0.10	-0.09
Kansas	B12	0.29	0.22	95.65	91.32	0.26	0.18
Colorado	B12	0.25	0.22	42.86	40.56	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.24	0.23	22.73	21.40	-0.13	-0.13
UC Davis	BW	0.24	0.20	35.00	33.21	-0.07	-0.07
San Diego St.	MWC	0.24	0.23	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.08
Iowa St.	B12	0.24	0.17	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.24	0.18	68.18	68.10	0.09	0.06
Portland	WCC	0.24	0.28	61.90	65.68	0.06	0.09
Texas Tech	B12	0.24	0.25	68.18	59.30	0.09	0.05
San Francisco	WCC	0.23	0.23	31.82	32.31	-0.09	-0.08
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.20	0.17	69.57	63.55	0.08	0.05
Montana St.	BSky	0.20	0.18	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.20	0.21	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.18	18.18	19.18	-0.12	-0.11
New Mexico	MWC	0.20	0.14	87.50	83.52	0.15	0.10
Weber St.	BSky	0.20	0.15	61.90	65.04	0.05	0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.19	0.15	36.36	36.06	-0.05	-0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.19	0.17	42.86	45.66	-0.03	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.19	0.17	81.82	79.60	0.12	0.10
Santa Clara	WCC	0.19	0.15	33.33	34.27	-0.06	-0.05
Seattle	ind	0.19	0.20	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.19	0.17	27.27	25.31	-0.09	-0.09
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.16	0.15	29.41	29.63	-0.07	-0.06
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.15	0.17	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.15	0.12	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.12	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.15	0.09	19.05	20.55	-0.09	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.17	22.73	27.28	-0.08	-0.08
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.12	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.03
San Jose St.	WAC	0.15	0.12	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.15	0.12	36.36	40.08	-0.04	-0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.15	0.17	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.11	33.33	30.72	-0.05	-0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.14	0.14	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.11	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.07
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.14	0.14	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.14	0.08	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.14	0.12	19.05	22.94	-0.09	-0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.14	0.17	81.82	83.61	0.09	0.12
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.14	76.19	73.20	0.08	0.07
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.05	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.14	0.11	18.18	21.04	-0.09	-0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.14	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.14	0.14	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.14	0.11	31.82	30.34	-0.05	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.14	0.14	72.73	66.85	0.06	0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.11	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.04
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.10	0.12	79.17	78.03	0.06	0.07
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.11	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.08	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.10	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.05	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.10	0.09	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.14	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.06
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.08	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.09
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.09	0.09	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.09	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.09	0.05	12.00	18.82	-0.07	-0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.13	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.06
Texas St.	Slnd	0.09	0.08	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.05	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.00	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern California	P10	26.31	26.35	57.14	57.88	3.76	4.15
Oregon	P10	2.80	4.28	52.38	48.05	0.13	-0.17
Oregon St.	P10	2.79	4.28	42.86	39.11	-0.40	-0.93
Arizona	P10	2.80	4.25	54.55	55.35	0.25	0.46
Arizona St.	P10	2.75	4.23	69.57	69.77	1.08	1.67
Stanford	P10	4.82	4.22	42.86	42.60	-0.69	-0.62
UCLA	P10	2.84	4.22	50.00	46.32	0.00	-0.31
Washington	P10	2.74	4.22	72.73	71.07	1.25	1.78
California	P10	4.82	4.22	66.67	69.73	1.61	1.67
Washington St.	P10	2.74	4.22	61.90	57.56	0.65	0.64
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.43	1.84	31.82	30.08	-0.88	-0.73
Idaho St.	BSky	2.32	1.78	20.00	24.92	-1.39	-0.89
St. Mary's	WCC	2.27	1.78	90.91	87.76	1.86	1.34
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.27	1.76	45.45	42.40	-0.21	-0.27
Nebraska	B12	2.22	1.75	54.55	48.77	0.20	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.22	1.72	85.71	83.80	1.59	1.16
UC Riverside	BW	2.22	1.70	35.00	37.85	-0.67	-0.41
Texas	B12	2.17	1.69	81.82	78.05	1.38	0.95
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.17	1.67	11.76	21.77	-1.66	-0.94
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.17	1.67	71.43	66.99	0.93	0.57
Tennessee	SEC	2.17	1.67	85.71	78.27	1.55	0.94
Western Michigan	MAC	2.17	1.67	57.14	58.64	0.31	0.29
Montana	BSky	0.39	0.32	68.18	70.35	0.14	0.13
Portland St.	BSky	0.38	0.32	38.10	39.65	-0.09	-0.07
Portland	WCC	0.24	0.28	61.90	65.68	0.06	0.09
San Diego	WCC	0.29	0.26	33.33	33.43	-0.10	-0.09
Texas Tech	B12	0.24	0.25	68.18	59.30	0.09	0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.24	0.23	22.73	21.40	-0.13	-0.13
San Diego St.	MWC	0.24	0.23	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.08
San Francisco	WCC	0.23	0.23	31.82	32.31	-0.09	-0.08
Brigham Young	MWC	0.29	0.22	87.50	87.42	0.22	0.17
Colorado	B12	0.25	0.22	42.86	40.56	-0.04	-0.04
Kansas	B12	0.29	0.22	95.65	91.32	0.26	0.18
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.20	0.21	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.24	0.20	35.00	33.21	-0.07	-0.07
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.29	0.20	60.00	59.64	0.06	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.19	0.20	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.18	18.18	19.18	-0.12	-0.11
Montana St.	BSky	0.20	0.18	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.24	0.18	68.18	68.10	0.09	0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.14	0.17	81.82	83.61	0.09	0.12
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.15	0.17	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.19	0.17	42.86	45.66	-0.03	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.19	0.17	27.27	25.31	-0.09	-0.09
Colorado St.	MWC	0.15	0.17	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.17	22.73	27.28	-0.08	-0.08
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.20	0.17	69.57	63.55	0.08	0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.24	0.17	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.19	0.17	81.82	79.60	0.12	0.10
Weber St.	BSky	0.20	0.15	61.90	65.04	0.05	0.05
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.16	0.15	29.41	29.63	-0.07	-0.06
Cal Poly	BW	0.19	0.15	36.36	36.06	-0.05	-0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.19	0.15	33.33	34.27	-0.06	-0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.20	0.14	87.50	83.52	0.15	0.10
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.14	76.19	73.20	0.08	0.07
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.14	0.14	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.04
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.14	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.14	0.14	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.14	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.06
Oklahoma	B12	0.14	0.14	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.14	0.14	72.73	66.85	0.06	0.05
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.13	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.06
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.10	0.12	79.17	78.03	0.06	0.07
UC Irvine	BW	0.15	0.12	36.36	40.08	-0.04	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.15	0.12	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.15	0.12	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.14	0.12	19.05	22.94	-0.09	-0.06
San Jose St.	WAC	0.15	0.12	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.15	0.12	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.11	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.11	33.33	30.72	-0.05	-0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.14	0.11	31.82	30.34	-0.05	-0.04
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.11	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.09
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.14	0.11	18.18	21.04	-0.09	-0.06
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.04
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.10	0.09	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.15	0.09	19.05	20.55	-0.09	-0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.09	0.09	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.14	0.08	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.08	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.05	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.08	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.09	0.08	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.11	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.10	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.10	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.05	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.10	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.06	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.09	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.09	0.05	12.00	18.82	-0.07	-0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.05	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.06	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.00	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern California	P10	26.31	26.35	57.14	57.88	3.76	4.15
St. Mary's	WCC	2.27	1.78	90.91	87.76	1.86	1.34
California	P10	4.82	4.22	66.67	69.73	1.61	1.67
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	2.22	1.72	85.71	83.80	1.59	1.16
Tennessee	SEC	2.17	1.67	85.71	78.27	1.55	0.94
Texas	B12	2.17	1.69	81.82	78.05	1.38	0.95
Washington	P10	2.74	4.22	72.73	71.07	1.25	1.78
Arizona St.	P10	2.75	4.23	69.57	69.77	1.08	1.67
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.17	1.67	71.43	66.99	0.93	0.57
Washington St.	P10	2.74	4.22	61.90	57.56	0.65	0.64
Western Michigan	MAC	2.17	1.67	57.14	58.64	0.31	0.29
Kansas	B12	0.29	0.22	95.65	91.32	0.26	0.18
Arizona	P10	2.80	4.25	54.55	55.35	0.25	0.46