The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Southern California page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Southern California

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		113.0
Current RPI:		113
Expected SOS:		88
Current SOS:		88
Current Record:		16-14
Expected Record:		16-14
Current Conf Record:		8-10
Expected Conf Record:		8-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		4-0
Current OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC RPI:		94
Expected OOC SOS:		102

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
16-14		113.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern California.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-17	UC Riverside (255.0)	BW	H	77-67	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Loyola Marymount (174.0)	WCC	H	59-67	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Coppin St. (337.0)	MEAC	H	74-43	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Nebraska (149.0)	B12	H	48-51	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Texas (29.0)	B12	A	50-69	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Georgia Tech (33.0)	ACC	A	53-79	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Sacramento St. (297.0)	BSky	H	51-36	W	100%	0.0
12-11	Idaho St. (305.0)	BSky	H	59-53	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Tennessee (13.0)	SEC	H	77-55	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Western Michigan (150.0)	MAC	N	55-51	W	100%	0.0
12-23	St. Mary's (35.0)	WCC	N	60-49	W	100%	0.0
12-25	Nevada Las Vegas (48.0)	MWC	N	67-56	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Arizona (96.0)	P10	H	56-50	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Arizona St. (63.0)	P10	H	47-37	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Stanford (164.0)	P10	A	53-54	L	0%	0.0
1-9	California (20.0)	P10	A	59-67	L	0%	0.0
1-16	UCLA (137.0)	P10	A	67-46	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Washington St. (163.0)	P10	H	60-67	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Washington (41.0)	P10	H	87-61	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Oregon St. (185.0)	P10	A	45-51	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Oregon (138.0)	P10	A	57-67	L	0%	0.0
2-4	California (20.0)	P10	H	66-63	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Stanford (164.0)	P10	H	54-49	W	100%	0.0
2-14	UCLA (137.0)	P10	H	68-64	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Washington (41.0)	P10	A	67-64	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Washington St. (163.0)	P10	A	47-51	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Oregon (138.0)	P10	H	44-54	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Oregon St. (185.0)	P10	H	44-49	L	0%	0.0
3-4	Arizona St. (63.0)	P10	A	54-59	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Arizona (96.0)	P10	A	84-86	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Southern California's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Southern California's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Southern California.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern California	P10	26.27	26.27	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	4.34	4.34	46.67	46.67	-0.29	-0.29
Washington	P10	4.33	4.33	77.42	77.42	2.38	2.38
California	P10	4.33	4.33	70.97	70.97	1.82	1.82
UCLA	P10	4.28	4.28	46.67	46.67	-0.29	-0.29
Stanford	P10	4.28	4.28	43.33	43.33	-0.57	-0.57
Oregon St.	P10	4.28	4.28	41.38	41.38	-0.74	-0.74
Arizona	P10	4.25	4.25	51.72	51.72	0.15	0.15
Arizona St.	P10	4.23	4.23	70.00	70.00	1.69	1.69
Washington St.	P10	4.22	4.22	46.43	46.43	-0.30	-0.30
Sacramento St.	BSky	1.84	1.84	25.93	25.93	-0.89	-0.89
Idaho St.	BSky	1.78	1.78	19.23	19.23	-1.09	-1.09
St. Mary's	WCC	1.77	1.77	86.21	86.21	1.28	1.28
Loyola Marymount	WCC	1.75	1.75	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
Nebraska	B12	1.75	1.75	43.75	43.75	-0.22	-0.22
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.72	1.72	77.42	77.42	0.94	0.94
UC Riverside	BW	1.70	1.70	38.46	38.46	-0.39	-0.39
Texas	B12	1.69	1.69	71.88	71.88	0.74	0.74
Coppin St.	MEAC	1.67	1.67	19.23	19.23	-1.03	-1.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.67	1.67	62.50	62.50	0.42	0.42
Tennessee	SEC	1.67	1.67	78.12	78.12	0.94	0.94
Western Michigan	MAC	1.67	1.67	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
Portland St.	BSky	0.31	0.31	36.67	36.67	-0.08	-0.08
Montana	BSky	0.31	0.31	68.97	68.97	0.12	0.12
Portland	WCC	0.29	0.29	65.52	65.52	0.09	0.09
San Diego	WCC	0.25	0.25	32.26	32.26	-0.09	-0.09
San Diego St.	MWC	0.24	0.24	74.19	74.19	0.12	0.12
Brigham Young	MWC	0.24	0.24	84.85	84.85	0.17	0.17
San Francisco	WCC	0.24	0.24	35.71	35.71	-0.07	-0.07
Texas Tech	B12	0.23	0.23	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.22	0.22	24.14	24.14	-0.11	-0.11
Gonzaga	WCC	0.22	0.22	80.65	80.65	0.13	0.13
Colorado	B12	0.21	0.21	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.21	0.21	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.20	0.20	94.12	94.12	0.18	0.18
UC Davis	BW	0.20	0.20	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.19	0.19	67.86	67.86	0.07	0.07
Seattle	ind	0.19	0.19	54.84	54.84	0.02	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.19	0.19	20.69	20.69	-0.11	-0.11
Iowa St.	B12	0.18	0.18	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.18	0.18	25.00	25.00	-0.09	-0.09
Montana St.	BSky	0.17	0.17	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.17	0.17	64.52	64.52	0.05	0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.17	0.17	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.17	0.17	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.16	0.16	25.81	25.81	-0.08	-0.08
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.16	0.16	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.16	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.15	77.42	77.42	0.08	0.08
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.15	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.15	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	64.29	64.29	0.04	0.04
Cal Poly	BW	0.14	0.14	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.14	0.14	32.00	32.00	-0.05	-0.05
Santa Clara	WCC	0.13	0.13	30.00	30.00	-0.05	-0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.13	0.13	87.88	87.88	0.10	0.10
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.13	0.13	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
Oklahoma	B12	0.13	0.13	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.13	0.13	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Duke	ACC	0.13	0.13	85.29	85.29	0.09	0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.13	94.12	94.12	0.11	0.11
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.12	0.12	76.67	76.67	0.06	0.06
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.12	0.12	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.11	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
San Jose St.	WAC	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Utah	MWC	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.11	0.11	23.33	23.33	-0.06	-0.06
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Southern California	P10	26.27	26.27	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	4.34	4.34	46.67	46.67	-0.29	-0.29
Washington	P10	4.33	4.33	77.42	77.42	2.38	2.38
California	P10	4.33	4.33	70.97	70.97	1.82	1.82
UCLA	P10	4.28	4.28	46.67	46.67	-0.29	-0.29
Stanford	P10	4.28	4.28	43.33	43.33	-0.57	-0.57
Oregon St.	P10	4.28	4.28	41.38	41.38	-0.74	-0.74
Arizona	P10	4.25	4.25	51.72	51.72	0.15	0.15
Arizona St.	P10	4.23	4.23	70.00	70.00	1.69	1.69
Washington St.	P10	4.22	4.22	46.43	46.43	-0.30	-0.30
Sacramento St.	BSky	1.84	1.84	25.93	25.93	-0.89	-0.89
Idaho St.	BSky	1.78	1.78	19.23	19.23	-1.09	-1.09
St. Mary's	WCC	1.77	1.77	86.21	86.21	1.28	1.28
Loyola Marymount	WCC	1.75	1.75	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
Nebraska	B12	1.75	1.75	43.75	43.75	-0.22	-0.22
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.72	1.72	77.42	77.42	0.94	0.94
UC Riverside	BW	1.70	1.70	38.46	38.46	-0.39	-0.39
Texas	B12	1.69	1.69	71.88	71.88	0.74	0.74
Coppin St.	MEAC	1.67	1.67	19.23	19.23	-1.03	-1.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.67	1.67	62.50	62.50	0.42	0.42
Tennessee	SEC	1.67	1.67	78.12	78.12	0.94	0.94
Western Michigan	MAC	1.67	1.67	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
Portland St.	BSky	0.31	0.31	36.67	36.67	-0.08	-0.08
Montana	BSky	0.31	0.31	68.97	68.97	0.12	0.12
Portland	WCC	0.29	0.29	65.52	65.52	0.09	0.09
San Diego	WCC	0.25	0.25	32.26	32.26	-0.09	-0.09
San Diego St.	MWC	0.24	0.24	74.19	74.19	0.12	0.12
Brigham Young	MWC	0.24	0.24	84.85	84.85	0.17	0.17
San Francisco	WCC	0.24	0.24	35.71	35.71	-0.07	-0.07
Texas Tech	B12	0.23	0.23	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.22	0.22	24.14	24.14	-0.11	-0.11
Gonzaga	WCC	0.22	0.22	80.65	80.65	0.13	0.13
Colorado	B12	0.21	0.21	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.21	0.21	46.15	46.15	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.20	0.20	94.12	94.12	0.18	0.18
UC Davis	BW	0.20	0.20	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.19	0.19	67.86	67.86	0.07	0.07
Seattle	ind	0.19	0.19	54.84	54.84	0.02	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.19	0.19	20.69	20.69	-0.11	-0.11
Iowa St.	B12	0.18	0.18	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.18	0.18	25.00	25.00	-0.09	-0.09
Montana St.	BSky	0.17	0.17	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.17	0.17	64.52	64.52	0.05	0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.17	0.17	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.17	0.17	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.16	0.16	25.81	25.81	-0.08	-0.08
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.16	0.16	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.16	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.15	77.42	77.42	0.08	0.08
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.15	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.15	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.15	64.29	64.29	0.04	0.04
Cal Poly	BW	0.14	0.14	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.14	0.14	32.00	32.00	-0.05	-0.05
Santa Clara	WCC	0.13	0.13	30.00	30.00	-0.05	-0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.13	0.13	87.88	87.88	0.10	0.10
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.13	0.13	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
Oklahoma	B12	0.13	0.13	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.13	0.13	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Duke	ACC	0.13	0.13	85.29	85.29	0.09	0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.13	94.12	94.12	0.11	0.11
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.12	0.12	76.67	76.67	0.06	0.06
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.12	0.12	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.11	0.11	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.11	34.38	34.38	-0.04	-0.04
San Jose St.	WAC	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Utah	MWC	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.11	0.11	23.33	23.33	-0.06	-0.06
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.10	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.10	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.09	0.09	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.08	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.05	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Washington	P10	4.33	4.33	77.42	77.42	2.38	2.38
California	P10	4.33	4.33	70.97	70.97	1.82	1.82
Arizona St.	P10	4.23	4.23	70.00	70.00	1.69	1.69
St. Mary's	WCC	1.77	1.77	86.21	86.21	1.28	1.28
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	1.72	1.72	77.42	77.42	0.94	0.94
Tennessee	SEC	1.67	1.67	78.12	78.12	0.94	0.94
Texas	B12	1.69	1.69	71.88	71.88	0.74	0.74
Georgia Tech	ACC	1.67	1.67	62.50	62.50	0.42	0.42
Kansas	B12	0.20	0.20	94.12	94.12	0.18	0.18
Brigham Young	MWC	0.24	0.24	84.85	84.85	0.17	0.17
Western Michigan	MAC	1.67	1.67	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
Arizona	P10	4.25	4.25	51.72	51.72	0.15	0.15
Gonzaga	WCC	0.22	0.22	80.65	80.65	0.13	0.13
San Diego St.	MWC	0.24	0.24	74.19	74.19	0.12	0.12
Montana	BSky	0.31	0.31	68.97	68.97	0.12	0.12
Kentucky	SEC	0.13	0.13	94.12	94.12	0.11	0.11
New Mexico	MWC	0.13	0.13	87.88	87.88	0.10	0.10
Duke	ACC	0.13	0.13	85.29	85.29	0.09	0.09
Portland	WCC	0.29	0.29	65.52	65.52	0.09	0.09
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.16	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09