The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Northern Iowa page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Northern Iowa

Conference:		MVC
Expected RPI:		17.0
Current RPI:		17
Expected SOS:		112
Current SOS:		112
Current Record:		28-4
Expected Record:		28-4
Current Conf Record:		18-3
Expected Conf Record:		18-3
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		6-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		12-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-2
Current OOC Record:		10-1
Expected OOC Record:		10-1
Expected OOC RPI:		52
Expected OOC SOS:		238

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
28-4		17.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Iowa.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Denver (165.0)	SB	A	71-65	W	100%	0.0
11-20	DePaul (212.0)	BE	N	52-60	L	0%	0.0
11-21	East Carolina (231.0)	CUSA	N	74-68	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Boston College (125.0)	ACC	N	81-69	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Northern Illinois (261.0)	MAC	H	52-45	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Iowa St. (124.0)	B12	A	63-60	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Iowa (211.0)	B10	H	67-50	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Siena (31.0)	MAAC	H	82-65	W	100%	0.0
12-19	North Dakota (339.0)	GWC	A	64-41	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Wyoming (228.0)	MWC	H	72-54	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Creighton (115.0)	MVC	A	60-52	W	100%	0.0
1-1	Evansville (250.0)	MVC	H	65-46	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Missouri St. (90.0)	MVC	H	84-76	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Southern Illinois (171.0)	MVC	A	61-49	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Illinois St. (76.0)	MVC	A	59-44	W	100%	0.0
1-12	Bradley (105.0)	MVC	H	52-50	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Indiana St. (87.0)	MVC	H	62-40	W	100%	0.0
1-19	Wichita St. (43.0)	MVC	A	51-60	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Indiana St. (87.0)	MVC	A	67-58	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Drake (179.0)	MVC	H	67-51	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Missouri St. (90.0)	MVC	A	55-54	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Wichita St. (43.0)	MVC	H	59-56	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Southern Illinois (171.0)	MVC	H	55-52	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Drake (179.0)	MVC	A	57-48	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Bradley (105.0)	MVC	A	59-68	L	0%	0.0
2-16	Creighton (115.0)	MVC	H	70-52	W	100%	0.0
2-19	Old Dominion (27.0)	CAA	H	71-62	W	100%	0.0
2-23	Evansville (250.0)	MVC	A	54-55	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Illinois St. (76.0)	MVC	H	61-55	W	100%	0.0
3-5	Drake (179.0)	MVC	N	55-40	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Bradley (105.0)	MVC	N	57-40	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Wichita St. (43.0)	MVC	N	67-52	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Northern Iowa's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Northern Iowa's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Northern Iowa.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Iowa	MVC	26.55	26.55	90.28	90.28	21.39	21.39
Drake	MVC	5.73	5.73	46.67	46.67	-0.38	-0.38
Wichita St.	MVC	5.72	5.72	76.67	76.67	3.05	3.05
Bradley	MVC	5.69	5.69	53.57	53.57	0.41	0.41
Missouri St.	MVC	4.20	4.20	66.67	66.67	1.40	1.40
Illinois St.	MVC	4.20	4.20	73.33	73.33	1.96	1.96
Creighton	MVC	4.15	4.15	55.17	55.17	0.43	0.43
Southern Illinois	MVC	4.14	4.14	51.85	51.85	0.15	0.15
Indiana St.	MVC	4.12	4.12	57.14	57.14	0.59	0.59
Evansville	MVC	4.12	4.12	25.93	25.93	-1.98	-1.98
Iowa St.	B12	1.76	1.76	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
Iowa	B10	1.73	1.73	32.26	32.26	-0.61	-0.61
North Dakota	GWC	1.68	1.68	22.22	22.22	-0.94	-0.94
Northern Illinois	MAC	1.67	1.67	34.48	34.48	-0.52	-0.52
Denver	SB	1.59	1.59	61.29	61.29	0.36	0.36
Wyoming	MWC	1.59	1.59	28.57	28.57	-0.68	-0.68
Boston College	ACC	1.56	1.56	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	1.56	1.56	23.33	23.33	-0.83	-0.83
East Carolina	CUSA	1.56	1.56	25.93	25.93	-0.75	-0.75
Old Dominion	CAA	1.56	1.56	78.79	78.79	0.90	0.90
Siena	MAAC	1.56	1.56	84.38	84.38	1.07	1.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.23	0.23	11.54	11.54	-0.18	-0.18
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.21	0.21	24.14	24.14	-0.11	-0.11
Western Kentucky	SB	0.18	0.18	61.76	61.76	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.16	0.16	7.41	7.41	-0.13	-0.13
South Dakota	GWC	0.15	0.15	66.67	66.67	0.05	0.05
Illinois	B10	0.15	0.15	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.15	0.15	51.72	51.72	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.15	0.15	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.13	0.13	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.13	0.13	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.13	0.13	84.85	84.85	0.09	0.09
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.13	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.12	0.12	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.12	0.12	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.11	36.36	36.36	-0.03	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.10	87.88	87.88	0.08	0.08
Ball St.	MAC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.10	9.68	9.68	-0.08	-0.08
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.10	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.10	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.10	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	28.12	28.12	-0.04	-0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
Western Carolina	SC	0.08	0.08	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.07	0.07	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.07	0.07	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	6.45	6.45	-0.06	-0.06
Binghamton	AE	0.07	0.07	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.07	0.07	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.07	0.07	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	78.79	78.79	0.04	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.07	0.07	22.58	22.58	-0.04	-0.04
Towson	CAA	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	18.18	18.18	-0.04	-0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.03	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.04	-0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.02	0.02	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.02	0.02	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.02	0.02	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Seattle	ind	0.02	0.02	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.02	0.02	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.02	0.02	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.02	0.02	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.02	0.02	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.02	0.02	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.02	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Iowa	MVC	26.55	26.55	90.28	90.28	21.39	21.39
Drake	MVC	5.73	5.73	46.67	46.67	-0.38	-0.38
Wichita St.	MVC	5.72	5.72	76.67	76.67	3.05	3.05
Bradley	MVC	5.69	5.69	53.57	53.57	0.41	0.41
Missouri St.	MVC	4.20	4.20	66.67	66.67	1.40	1.40
Illinois St.	MVC	4.20	4.20	73.33	73.33	1.96	1.96
Creighton	MVC	4.15	4.15	55.17	55.17	0.43	0.43
Southern Illinois	MVC	4.14	4.14	51.85	51.85	0.15	0.15
Indiana St.	MVC	4.12	4.12	57.14	57.14	0.59	0.59
Evansville	MVC	4.12	4.12	25.93	25.93	-1.98	-1.98
Iowa St.	B12	1.76	1.76	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
Iowa	B10	1.73	1.73	32.26	32.26	-0.61	-0.61
North Dakota	GWC	1.68	1.68	22.22	22.22	-0.94	-0.94
Northern Illinois	MAC	1.67	1.67	34.48	34.48	-0.52	-0.52
Denver	SB	1.59	1.59	61.29	61.29	0.36	0.36
Wyoming	MWC	1.59	1.59	28.57	28.57	-0.68	-0.68
Boston College	ACC	1.56	1.56	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	1.56	1.56	23.33	23.33	-0.83	-0.83
East Carolina	CUSA	1.56	1.56	25.93	25.93	-0.75	-0.75
Old Dominion	CAA	1.56	1.56	78.79	78.79	0.90	0.90
Siena	MAAC	1.56	1.56	84.38	84.38	1.07	1.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.23	0.23	11.54	11.54	-0.18	-0.18
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.21	0.21	24.14	24.14	-0.11	-0.11
Western Kentucky	SB	0.18	0.18	61.76	61.76	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.16	0.16	7.41	7.41	-0.13	-0.13
South Dakota	GWC	0.15	0.15	66.67	66.67	0.05	0.05
Illinois	B10	0.15	0.15	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.15	0.15	51.72	51.72	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.15	0.15	21.43	21.43	-0.08	-0.08
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.13	0.13	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.13	0.13	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Brigham Young	MWC	0.13	0.13	84.85	84.85	0.09	0.09
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.13	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.13	0.13	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.12	0.12	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.12	0.12	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.12	0.12	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.12	0.12	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.11	0.11	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.11	36.36	36.36	-0.03	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.10	87.88	87.88	0.08	0.08
Ball St.	MAC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.10	9.68	9.68	-0.08	-0.08
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.10	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.10	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.10	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	28.12	28.12	-0.04	-0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
Western Carolina	SC	0.08	0.08	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.07	0.07	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.07	0.07	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	6.45	6.45	-0.06	-0.06
Binghamton	AE	0.07	0.07	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.07	0.07	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.07	0.07	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	78.79	78.79	0.04	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.07	0.07	22.58	22.58	-0.04	-0.04
Towson	CAA	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	18.18	18.18	-0.04	-0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.05	84.38	84.38	0.03	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.04	-0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.03	0.03	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00