The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Northern Iowa page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Northern Iowa

Conference:		MVC
Expected RPI:		19.0
Current RPI:		13
Expected SOS:		109
Current SOS:		91
Current Record:		21-2
Expected Record:		26-3
Current Conf Record:		12-1
Expected Conf Record:		16-2
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		12-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-0
Current OOC Record:		9-1
Expected OOC Record:		10-1
Expected OOC RPI:		54
Expected OOC SOS:		212

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
27-2	10.8	18.14%
26-3	15.8	38.44%
25-4	22.1	29.40%
24-5	30.2	11.40%
23-6	39.4	2.33%
22-7	50.5	0.28%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Iowa.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Denver (148.7)	SB	A	71-65	W	100%	0.0
11-20	DePaul (180.2)	BE	N	52-60	L	0%	0.0
11-21	East Carolina (243.1)	CUSA	N	74-68	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Boston College (106.8)	ACC	N	81-69	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	H	52-45	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Iowa St. (110.1)	B12	A	63-60	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Iowa (199.8)	B10	H	67-50	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Siena (34.4)	MAAC	H	82-65	W	100%	0.0
12-19	North Dakota (331.1)	GWC	A	64-41	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Wyoming (206.5)	MWC	H	72-54	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Creighton (123.3)	MVC	A	60-52	W	100%	0.0
1-1	Evansville (276.1)	MVC	H	65-46	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	H	84-76	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Southern Illinois (133.6)	MVC	A	61-49	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Illinois St. (108.0)	MVC	A	59-44	W	100%	0.0
1-12	Bradley (115.5)	MVC	H	52-50	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	H	62-40	W	100%	0.0
1-19	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	A	51-60	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Indiana St. (91.9)	MVC	A	67-58	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Drake (179.5)	MVC	H	67-51	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	A	55-54	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Wichita St. (46.3)	MVC	H	59-56	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Southern Illinois (133.6)	MVC	H	55-52	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Drake (179.5)	MVC	A	0-0		76%	7.8
2-13	Bradley (115.5)	MVC	A	0-0		67%	4.9
2-16	Creighton (123.3)	MVC	H	0-0		87%	12.2
2-19	Old Dominion (35.4)	CAA	H	0-0		57%	1.8
2-23	Evansville (276.1)	MVC	A	0-0		88%	12.9
2-27	Illinois St. (108.0)	MVC	H	0-0		83%	10.3

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Northern Iowa's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Northern Iowa's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Northern Iowa.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Iowa	MVC	26.47	26.38	92.52	88.92	22.51	20.53
Indiana St.	MVC	5.10	4.38	61.90	58.50	1.21	0.75
Wichita St.	MVC	5.09	4.42	81.82	79.25	3.24	2.58
Southern Illinois	MVC	5.04	4.38	60.00	58.21	1.01	0.72
Missouri St.	MVC	5.00	4.39	72.73	69.23	2.27	1.69
Drake	MVC	3.11	4.48	45.83	45.36	-0.26	-0.42
Bradley	MVC	3.11	4.44	54.55	52.72	0.28	0.24
Illinois St.	MVC	3.02	4.39	69.57	67.38	1.18	1.53
Creighton	MVC	3.01	4.39	52.17	53.83	0.13	0.34
Evansville	MVC	2.96	4.38	23.81	23.88	-1.55	-2.29
Iowa St.	B12	2.37	1.90	59.09	52.15	0.43	0.08
Iowa	B10	2.36	1.87	34.78	31.85	-0.72	-0.68
North Dakota	GWC	2.31	1.84	16.67	28.91	-1.54	-0.78
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.28	1.82	38.10	38.71	-0.54	-0.41
Denver	SB	2.23	1.75	63.64	61.70	0.61	0.41
Wyoming	MWC	2.22	1.75	35.00	31.86	-0.67	-0.64
Boston College	ACC	2.17	1.72	54.55	50.44	0.20	0.02
DePaul	BE	2.17	1.72	31.82	31.61	-0.79	-0.63
East Carolina	CUSA	2.17	1.72	21.05	22.79	-1.26	-0.94
Siena	MAAC	2.17	1.72	86.96	84.05	1.61	1.17
Western Kentucky	SB	0.29	0.21	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.28	0.18	57.14	57.10	0.04	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.25	0.15	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.24	0.24	22.73	22.57	-0.13	-0.13
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.24	0.18	5.00	8.59	-0.21	-0.15
St. Louis	A10	0.24	0.15	61.90	56.12	0.06	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.21	0.15	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.20	0.12	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.20	0.15	33.33	39.38	-0.07	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.20	0.24	8.70	9.54	-0.16	-0.19
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.19	0.15	27.27	25.82	-0.09	-0.07
Illinois	B10	0.19	0.14	66.67	59.01	0.06	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.19	0.11	20.00	24.04	-0.11	-0.06
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.18	0.17	23.81	28.38	-0.10	-0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.12	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.08
Clemson	ACC	0.15	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.06	0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.15	0.09	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.14	0.12	69.57	66.00	0.06	0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.14	0.12	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.14	0.12	8.70	10.09	-0.12	-0.09
Air Force	MWC	0.14	0.12	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.05
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.12	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.06
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.12	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.14	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.06	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.14	0.09	39.13	36.57	-0.03	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.14	0.12	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.04
Michigan	B10	0.14	0.14	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.14	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.05	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.14	0.09	68.18	59.30	0.05	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.14	0.11	72.00	70.73	0.06	0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.11	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.11	0.09	66.67	65.54	0.04	0.03
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.12	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.06
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.05
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.09
Miami OH	MAC	0.10	0.09	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.12	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.08
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.12	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.12	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.07
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.04
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.04
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.12	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.09	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Temple	A10	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.09	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.09	0.09	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.05
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.09	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.03	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.09	0.06	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.12	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.11	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.09	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.09	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.09	-0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.09	0.11	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.09	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.03
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.05
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.09	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.06
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.12	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.05	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.03	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.12	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Maine	AE	0.05	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.09	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.02	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.02	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.08	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.11	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.02	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.05
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.04	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.11	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.00	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.09	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.00	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.00	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.00	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.00	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.00	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.00	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.00	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.00	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.00	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	1.72	72.00	74.55	0.00	0.85
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.00	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.00	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.00	-0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.00	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.00	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.00	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Iowa	MVC	26.47	26.38	92.52	88.92	22.51	20.53
Drake	MVC	3.11	4.48	45.83	45.36	-0.26	-0.42
Bradley	MVC	3.11	4.44	54.55	52.72	0.28	0.24
Wichita St.	MVC	5.09	4.42	81.82	79.25	3.24	2.58
Creighton	MVC	3.01	4.39	52.17	53.83	0.13	0.34
Illinois St.	MVC	3.02	4.39	69.57	67.38	1.18	1.53
Missouri St.	MVC	5.00	4.39	72.73	69.23	2.27	1.69
Indiana St.	MVC	5.10	4.38	61.90	58.50	1.21	0.75
Evansville	MVC	2.96	4.38	23.81	23.88	-1.55	-2.29
Southern Illinois	MVC	5.04	4.38	60.00	58.21	1.01	0.72
Iowa St.	B12	2.37	1.90	59.09	52.15	0.43	0.08
Iowa	B10	2.36	1.87	34.78	31.85	-0.72	-0.68
North Dakota	GWC	2.31	1.84	16.67	28.91	-1.54	-0.78
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.28	1.82	38.10	38.71	-0.54	-0.41
Denver	SB	2.23	1.75	63.64	61.70	0.61	0.41
Wyoming	MWC	2.22	1.75	35.00	31.86	-0.67	-0.64
Boston College	ACC	2.17	1.72	54.55	50.44	0.20	0.02
DePaul	BE	2.17	1.72	31.82	31.61	-0.79	-0.63
East Carolina	CUSA	2.17	1.72	21.05	22.79	-1.26	-0.94
Old Dominion	CAA	0.00	1.72	72.00	74.55	0.00	0.85
Siena	MAAC	2.17	1.72	86.96	84.05	1.61	1.17
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.24	0.24	22.73	22.57	-0.13	-0.13
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.20	0.24	8.70	9.54	-0.16	-0.19
Western Kentucky	SB	0.29	0.21	54.17	55.99	0.02	0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.24	0.18	5.00	8.59	-0.21	-0.15
Arkansas St.	SB	0.28	0.18	57.14	57.10	0.04	0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.18	0.17	23.81	28.38	-0.10	-0.08
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.20	0.15	33.33	39.38	-0.07	-0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.25	0.15	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.21	0.15	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.19	0.15	27.27	25.82	-0.09	-0.07
St. Louis	A10	0.24	0.15	61.90	56.12	0.06	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.19	0.14	66.67	59.01	0.06	0.03
Michigan	B10	0.14	0.14	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.15	0.12	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.08
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.12	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.07
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.10	0.12	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.06
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.20	0.12	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.09
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.12	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.12	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.14	0.12	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.12	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.08
Texas Christian	MWC	0.14	0.12	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.12	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.14	0.12	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.14	0.12	8.70	10.09	-0.12	-0.09
Austin Peay	OVC	0.09	0.12	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.04
Central Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.12	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.12	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.12	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.14	0.12	69.57	66.00	0.06	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.14	0.12	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.04
Iona	MAAC	0.14	0.11	72.00	70.73	0.06	0.05
Niagara	MAAC	0.09	0.11	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.19	0.11	20.00	24.04	-0.11	-0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.11	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.11	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.09	0.11	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.11	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.09	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.05
Marshall	CUSA	0.11	0.09	66.67	65.54	0.04	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.15	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.10	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.09	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.10	0.09	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.09	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.06
Clemson	ACC	0.15	0.09	69.57	66.88	0.06	0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.15	0.09	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.05
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.09	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.09	0.09	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.14	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.06	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.14	0.09	39.13	36.57	-0.03	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.09	0.09	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.09	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.14	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.05	-0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.14	0.09	68.18	59.30	0.05	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.09	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.08	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.04
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.02	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.11	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.09	0.06	80.95	82.07	0.06	0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.09	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.04
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Temple	A10	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.09	-0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.02	-0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.05
Marquette	BE	0.09	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.03	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.00	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.09	0.06	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.00	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.00	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.04	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.00	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.09	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.05	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.04
Texas	B12	0.09	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.00	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.00	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.03	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.00	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.00	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.00	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.00	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00