The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Austin Peay page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 10, 2010.

Austin Peay

Conference:		OVC
Expected RPI:		164.8
Current RPI:		165
Expected SOS:		155
Current SOS:		156
Current Record:		15-15
Expected Record:		15-15
Current Conf Record:		11-8
Expected Conf Record:		11-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-1
Current OOC Record:		4-7
Expected OOC Record:		4-7
Expected OOC RPI:		126
Expected OOC SOS:		17

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
15-15		164.8		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Austin Peay.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Tennessee (15.7)	SEC	A	54-83	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Akron (94.7)	MAC	A	80-77	W	100%	0.0
11-20	IUPUI (87.5)	Sum	N	63-77	L	0%	0.0
11-21	North Carolina St. (105.0)	ACC	N	59-66	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Niagara (128.6)	MAAC	N	69-67	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Drake (183.6)	MVC	H	72-78	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Southeast Missouri St. (312.5)	OVC	H	76-71	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Eastern Illinois (169.3)	OVC	H	73-60	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Ohio (117.5)	MAC	A	68-66	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Kentucky (3.7)	SEC	A	69-90	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Evansville (249.1)	MVC	H	71-68	W	100%	0.0
12-27	Missouri (44.4)	B12	A	79-94	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Morehead St. (84.3)	OVC	A	65-68	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Eastern Kentucky (154.2)	OVC	A	71-76	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Tennessee Martin (338.6)	OVC	H	90-72	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Murray St. (57.7)	OVC	H	53-69	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Tennessee St. (259.6)	OVC	H	79-77	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Tennessee Tech (198.3)	OVC	A	90-94	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Jacksonville St. (297.2)	OVC	A	66-64	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Eastern Kentucky (154.2)	OVC	H	80-76	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Morehead St. (84.3)	OVC	H	56-55	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Tennessee Martin (338.6)	OVC	A	74-69	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Murray St. (57.7)	OVC	A	63-65	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Tennessee St. (259.6)	OVC	A	67-76	L	0%	0.0
2-15	Jacksonville St. (297.2)	OVC	H	83-63	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Tennessee Tech (198.3)	OVC	H	77-72	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Oral Roberts (125.2)	Sum	H	80-89	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Eastern Illinois (169.3)	OVC	A	73-83	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Southeast Missouri St. (312.5)	OVC	A	71-68	W	100%	0.0
3-2	Tennessee Tech (198.3)	OVC	H	65-68	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Austin Peay's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Austin Peay's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Austin Peay.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Austin Peay	OVC	26.44	26.44	50.76	50.76	0.40	0.40
Tennessee Tech	OVC	5.98	5.98	40.74	40.74	-1.11	-1.11
Morehead St.	OVC	4.51	4.51	68.97	68.97	1.71	1.71
Murray St.	OVC	4.46	4.46	86.67	86.67	3.27	3.27
Eastern Illinois	OVC	4.42	4.42	59.26	59.26	0.82	0.82
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	4.37	4.37	60.71	60.71	0.94	0.94
Tennessee St.	OVC	4.35	4.35	26.67	26.67	-2.03	-2.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	4.33	4.33	34.62	34.62	-1.33	-1.33
Tennessee Martin	OVC	4.33	4.33	8.00	8.00	-3.64	-3.64
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	4.28	4.28	22.22	22.22	-2.38	-2.38
Evansville	MVC	1.86	1.86	28.57	28.57	-0.80	-0.80
IUPUI	Sum	1.85	1.85	67.74	67.74	0.66	0.66
Ohio	MAC	1.80	1.80	56.67	55.98	0.24	0.22
Akron	MAC	1.80	1.80	72.41	72.39	0.81	0.80
Drake	MVC	1.78	1.78	40.62	40.62	-0.33	-0.33
Kentucky	SEC	1.78	1.77	93.33	93.33	1.54	1.54
Oral Roberts	Sum	1.77	1.77	58.06	58.06	0.29	0.29
Missouri	B12	1.75	1.75	67.74	67.74	0.62	0.62
Tennessee	SEC	1.72	1.72	75.86	76.50	0.89	0.91
Niagara	MAAC	1.69	1.69	56.25	56.25	0.21	0.21
North Carolina St.	ACC	1.69	1.69	53.33	52.27	0.11	0.08
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.33	0.33	11.54	11.54	-0.25	-0.25
Illinois St.	MVC	0.27	0.27	68.75	68.75	0.10	0.10
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.25	0.25	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.23	0.22	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.22	0.22	43.33	43.70	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.22	0.22	33.33	33.33	-0.07	-0.07
Oakland	Sum	0.21	0.21	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
Missouri St.	MVC	0.20	0.20	62.50	62.50	0.05	0.05
Georgia	SEC	0.19	0.19	44.83	45.22	-0.02	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.19	0.19	74.19	74.20	0.09	0.09
Chattanooga	SC	0.19	0.19	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.19	0.19	37.04	37.04	-0.05	-0.05
Southern Utah	Sum	0.19	0.19	18.52	18.52	-0.12	-0.12
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.19	75.86	75.86	0.10	0.10
Belmont	ASun	0.17	0.17	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Kansas	B12	0.16	0.16	93.55	93.61	0.14	0.14
Kent St.	MAC	0.16	0.19	73.33	73.05	0.08	0.09
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.15	0.15	23.08	23.08	-0.08	-0.08
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	37.93	37.76	-0.03	-0.03
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.13	64.52	64.85	0.04	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.13	0.13	60.71	60.18	0.03	0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.13	0.13	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Auburn	SEC	0.13	0.13	46.67	45.96	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.13	0.13	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.13	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.13	0.13	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.12	0.12	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.12	0.11	23.33	23.33	-0.06	-0.06
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.11	65.52	64.59	0.04	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.11	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Toledo	MAC	0.11	0.11	9.68	9.68	-0.09	-0.09
Western Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.14	51.72	50.94	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.11	0.11	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.11	75.86	75.86	0.06	0.06
South Carolina	SEC	0.11	0.11	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.11	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.11	0.11	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.11	19.35	19.35	-0.07	-0.07
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.11	50.00	49.58	0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.08	60.00	60.65	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	48.28	47.09	-0.00	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	76.84	0.05	0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	67.86	67.54	0.03	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	64.00	64.72	0.02	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.08	0.08	12.00	12.73	-0.06	-0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.79	0.02	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.08	0.08	79.31	79.09	0.05	0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.03	-0.00	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.08	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	31.86	-0.03	-0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	57.69	56.45	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.44	0.03	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	36.67	35.65	-0.01	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	72.41	72.70	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.35	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.37	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	73.08	73.18	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.33	42.53	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.07	0.02	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.04	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.65	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.89	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	86.67	86.67	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	73.33	72.97	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.68	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.17	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.05	70.00	70.31	0.01	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	83.87	83.87	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.16	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	32.99	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.53	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	67.74	66.97	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.43	70.82	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.05	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	78.09	0.02	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.85	0.00	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	90.32	90.55	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	68.75	67.91	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	69.60	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	51.61	50.31	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.79	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	75.00	74.46	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.75	18.71	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	54.84	53.26	0.00	0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	28.57	27.67	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	71.43	71.93	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Austin Peay	OVC	26.44	26.44	50.76	50.76	0.40	0.40
Tennessee Tech	OVC	5.98	5.98	40.74	40.74	-1.11	-1.11
Morehead St.	OVC	4.51	4.51	68.97	68.97	1.71	1.71
Murray St.	OVC	4.46	4.46	86.67	86.67	3.27	3.27
Eastern Illinois	OVC	4.42	4.42	59.26	59.26	0.82	0.82
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	4.37	4.37	60.71	60.71	0.94	0.94
Tennessee St.	OVC	4.35	4.35	26.67	26.67	-2.03	-2.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	4.33	4.33	34.62	34.62	-1.33	-1.33
Tennessee Martin	OVC	4.33	4.33	8.00	8.00	-3.64	-3.64
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	4.28	4.28	22.22	22.22	-2.38	-2.38
Evansville	MVC	1.86	1.86	28.57	28.57	-0.80	-0.80
IUPUI	Sum	1.85	1.85	67.74	67.74	0.66	0.66
Ohio	MAC	1.80	1.80	56.67	55.98	0.24	0.22
Akron	MAC	1.80	1.80	72.41	72.39	0.81	0.80
Drake	MVC	1.78	1.78	40.62	40.62	-0.33	-0.33
Kentucky	SEC	1.78	1.77	93.33	93.33	1.54	1.54
Oral Roberts	Sum	1.77	1.77	58.06	58.06	0.29	0.29
Missouri	B12	1.75	1.75	67.74	67.74	0.62	0.62
Tennessee	SEC	1.72	1.72	75.86	76.50	0.89	0.91
Niagara	MAAC	1.69	1.69	56.25	56.25	0.21	0.21
North Carolina St.	ACC	1.69	1.69	53.33	52.27	0.11	0.08
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.33	0.33	11.54	11.54	-0.25	-0.25
Illinois St.	MVC	0.27	0.27	68.75	68.75	0.10	0.10
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.25	0.25	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.23	0.22	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.22	0.22	33.33	33.33	-0.07	-0.07
Miami OH	MAC	0.22	0.22	43.33	43.70	-0.03	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.21	0.21	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
Missouri St.	MVC	0.20	0.20	62.50	62.50	0.05	0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.19	0.19	74.19	74.20	0.09	0.09
Chattanooga	SC	0.19	0.19	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.19	0.19	44.83	45.22	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.19	0.19	37.04	37.04	-0.05	-0.05
Southern Utah	Sum	0.19	0.19	18.52	18.52	-0.12	-0.12
Kent St.	MAC	0.16	0.19	73.33	73.05	0.08	0.09
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.19	75.86	75.86	0.10	0.10
Belmont	ASun	0.17	0.17	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Kansas	B12	0.16	0.16	93.55	93.61	0.14	0.14
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.15	0.15	23.08	23.08	-0.08	-0.08
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	37.93	37.76	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.14	51.72	50.94	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.13	64.52	64.85	0.04	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.13	0.13	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.13	0.13	46.67	45.96	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.13	0.13	60.71	60.18	0.03	0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.13	0.13	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.13	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.13	0.13	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.12	0.12	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.11	65.52	64.59	0.04	0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.12	0.11	23.33	23.33	-0.06	-0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.11	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Toledo	MAC	0.11	0.11	9.68	9.68	-0.09	-0.09
Western Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.62	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.11	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.11	0.11	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.11	19.35	19.35	-0.07	-0.07
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.11	75.86	75.86	0.06	0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.11	0.11	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.11	0.11	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.11	50.00	49.58	0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.08	60.00	60.65	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	48.28	47.09	-0.00	-0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	76.84	0.05	0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	36.67	35.65	-0.01	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	64.00	64.72	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.10	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.08	0.08	79.31	79.09	0.05	0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.08	0.08	46.88	46.03	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.08	0.08	12.00	12.73	-0.06	-0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.79	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.16	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	67.86	67.54	0.03	0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.08	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	31.86	-0.03	-0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	57.69	56.45	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.44	0.03	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.35	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.37	0.03	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	73.08	73.18	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.33	42.53	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	72.41	72.70	0.02	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.04	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.65	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.05	70.00	70.31	0.01	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.89	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.07	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	32.99	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.53	-0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	86.67	86.67	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	73.33	72.97	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.68	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	78.09	0.02	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.17	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	83.87	83.87	0.02	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.16	0.01	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.85	0.00	0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	67.74	66.97	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	71.43	70.82	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.05	0.00	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	90.32	90.55	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	68.75	67.91	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	69.60	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	51.61	50.31	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.79	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	75.00	74.46	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.75	18.71	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	54.84	53.26	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	28.57	27.67	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	71.43	71.93	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Murray St.	OVC	4.46	4.46	86.67	86.67	3.27	3.27
Morehead St.	OVC	4.51	4.51	68.97	68.97	1.71	1.71
Kentucky	SEC	1.78	1.77	93.33	93.33	1.54	1.54
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	4.37	4.37	60.71	60.71	0.94	0.94
Tennessee	SEC	1.72	1.72	75.86	76.50	0.89	0.91
Eastern Illinois	OVC	4.42	4.42	59.26	59.26	0.82	0.82
Akron	MAC	1.80	1.80	72.41	72.39	0.81	0.80
IUPUI	Sum	1.85	1.85	67.74	67.74	0.66	0.66
Missouri	B12	1.75	1.75	67.74	67.74	0.62	0.62
Austin Peay	OVC	26.44	26.44	50.76	50.76	0.40	0.40
Oral Roberts	Sum	1.77	1.77	58.06	58.06	0.29	0.29
Ohio	MAC	1.80	1.80	56.67	55.98	0.24	0.22
Niagara	MAAC	1.69	1.69	56.25	56.25	0.21	0.21
Kansas	B12	0.16	0.16	93.55	93.61	0.14	0.14
North Carolina St.	ACC	1.69	1.69	53.33	52.27	0.11	0.08
Oakland	Sum	0.21	0.21	75.00	75.00	0.11	0.11
Illinois St.	MVC	0.27	0.27	68.75	68.75	0.10	0.10
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.13	0.13	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.19	75.86	75.86	0.10	0.10
Memphis	CUSA	0.19	0.19	74.19	74.20	0.09	0.09
Kent St.	MAC	0.16	0.19	73.33	73.05	0.08	0.09
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Maryland	ACC	0.11	0.11	75.86	75.86	0.06	0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	73.53	73.53	0.05	0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.20	0.20	62.50	62.50	0.05	0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.08	0.08	79.31	79.09	0.05	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.11	0.11	70.00	70.00	0.05	0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.08	0.08	77.42	76.84	0.05	0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.13	64.52	64.85	0.04	0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.17	0.17	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.11	65.52	64.59	0.04	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.37	0.03	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.44	0.03	0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.13	0.13	60.71	60.18	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	67.86	67.54	0.03	0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	73.08	73.18	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	72.41	72.70	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	64.00	64.72	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.89	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.03	0.03	90.32	90.55	0.02	0.02
California	P10	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.65	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	86.67	86.67	0.02	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02