The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Austin Peay page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Austin Peay

Conference:		OVC
Expected RPI:		129.7
Current RPI:		116
Expected SOS:		152
Current SOS:		116
Current Record:		12-11
Expected Record:		16-13
Current Conf Record:		8-5
Expected Conf Record:		11-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-2
Current OOC Record:		4-6
Expected OOC Record:		5-6
Expected OOC RPI:		122
Expected OOC SOS:		24

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-11	97.1	7.08%
17-12	111.4	25.69%
16-13	128.0	34.45%
15-14	146.7	22.89%
14-15	164.0	8.17%
13-16	181.2	1.64%
12-17	198.3	0.07%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Austin Peay.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	A	54-83	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Akron (113.3)	MAC	A	80-77	W	100%	0.0
11-20	IUPUI (106.7)	Sum	N	63-77	L	0%	0.0
11-21	North Carolina St. (110.7)	ACC	N	59-66	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Niagara (157.5)	MAAC	N	69-67	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Drake (179.5)	MVC	H	72-78	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Southeast Missouri St. (298.6)	OVC	H	76-71	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Eastern Illinois (217.6)	OVC	H	73-60	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	A	68-66	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Kentucky (6.1)	SEC	A	69-90	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Evansville (276.1)	MVC	H	71-68	W	100%	0.0
12-27	Missouri (39.0)	B12	A	79-94	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Morehead St. (95.2)	OVC	A	65-68	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Eastern Kentucky (131.4)	OVC	A	71-76	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Tennessee Martin (335.4)	OVC	H	90-72	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Murray St. (68.0)	OVC	H	53-69	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Tennessee St. (276.7)	OVC	H	79-77	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Tennessee Tech (202.4)	OVC	A	90-94	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Jacksonville St. (265.2)	OVC	A	66-64	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Eastern Kentucky (131.4)	OVC	H	80-76	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Morehead St. (95.2)	OVC	H	56-55	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Tennessee Martin (335.4)	OVC	A	74-69	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Murray St. (68.0)	OVC	A	63-65	L	0%	0.0
2-9	Tennessee Tech (202.4)	OVC	H	0-0		80%	9.2
2-13	Tennessee St. (276.7)	OVC	A	0-0		61%	2.9
2-15	Jacksonville St. (265.2)	OVC	H	0-0		75%	7.3
2-20	Oral Roberts (122.0)	Sum	H	0-0		53%	0.9
2-25	Eastern Illinois (217.6)	OVC	A	0-0		52%	0.5
2-27	Southeast Missouri St. (298.6)	OVC	A	0-0		76%	7.6

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Austin Peay's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Austin Peay's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Austin Peay.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Austin Peay	OVC	26.51	26.41	54.55	57.26	2.41	3.83
Tennessee Martin	OVC	5.12	4.48	5.56	9.28	-4.55	-3.65
Murray St.	OVC	5.10	4.43	85.71	84.40	3.64	3.05
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	5.09	4.46	66.67	65.80	1.70	1.41
Morehead St.	OVC	5.08	4.45	70.00	69.25	2.03	1.71
Tennessee St.	OVC	3.17	4.43	20.83	24.34	-1.85	-2.28
Tennessee Tech	OVC	3.11	4.45	42.86	42.81	-0.44	-0.64
Jacksonville St.	OVC	3.06	4.42	40.00	43.58	-0.61	-0.57
Eastern Illinois	OVC	3.06	4.45	50.00	51.07	0.00	0.10
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.92	4.43	28.57	26.84	-1.25	-2.05
Evansville	MVC	2.38	1.91	23.81	23.44	-1.24	-1.01
Ohio	MAC	2.36	1.87	52.38	52.72	0.11	0.10
Akron	MAC	2.36	1.87	72.73	68.28	1.07	0.68
IUPUI	Sum	2.32	1.90	63.64	65.82	0.63	0.60
Drake	MVC	2.32	1.84	41.67	41.30	-0.39	-0.32
Missouri	B12	2.28	1.82	72.73	69.63	1.04	0.71
Kentucky	SEC	2.27	1.84	95.45	88.29	2.07	1.41
Niagara	MAAC	2.22	1.75	54.17	53.57	0.19	0.12
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.22	1.75	56.52	52.79	0.29	0.10
Tennessee	SEC	2.17	1.78	80.95	74.82	1.35	0.88
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.54	0.36	8.70	9.54	-0.45	-0.29
Illinois St.	MVC	0.33	0.29	66.67	63.46	0.11	0.08
Chattanooga	SC	0.29	0.21	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.25	0.18	66.67	64.62	0.08	0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.25	0.24	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.24	0.15	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.23	0.14	45.45	42.62	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.20	0.20	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.20	0.18	69.57	70.29	0.08	0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.20	0.18	69.57	69.99	0.08	0.07
Miami OH	MAC	0.19	0.23	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.19	0.18	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.19	0.24	36.36	37.37	-0.05	-0.06
Florida International	SB	0.19	0.12	24.00	23.74	-0.10	-0.06
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.20	76.19	73.20	0.10	0.09
Bradley	MVC	0.19	0.12	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.19	0.12	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.16	0.12	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.16	0.13	21.05	24.96	-0.09	-0.06
Florida St.	ACC	0.15	0.09	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.12	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.05
Toledo	MAC	0.15	0.12	8.70	10.09	-0.12	-0.10
Belmont	ASun	0.15	0.18	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.15	0.12	17.39	20.11	-0.10	-0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.15	0.12	20.00	20.57	-0.09	-0.07
Western Illinois	Sum	0.15	0.18	30.00	31.79	-0.06	-0.07
Ball St.	MAC	0.15	0.18	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.12	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.15	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.12
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.14	0.15	23.81	27.28	-0.08	-0.07
Oakland	Sum	0.14	0.18	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.07
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.14	0.09	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.09	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.14	73.91	67.72	0.07	0.05
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.14	0.09	33.33	33.00	-0.05	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.14	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.14	0.12	71.43	67.85	0.06	0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.14	0.09	4.76	9.78	-0.13	-0.07
Georgia St.	CAA	0.14	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.03	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.12	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.12	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.10	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.10	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.11	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.03	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.11	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.18	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.11
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.09	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.00
California	P10	0.09	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.09	0.12	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.09	0.14	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.06
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	1.81	54.17	58.96	0.01	0.32
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.09	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.09	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.03	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.11	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.12	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.09
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.09	0.09	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.05	-0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.09	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.03	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.09	0.08	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.09	0.14	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.11	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.07
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.05	0.06
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.04
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.12	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.12	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.12	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.08	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.09	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.04	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.04	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.04	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.04	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.01	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.04	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.05
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.04	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.04	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.04	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.00	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.00	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.00	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.00	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.00	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.11	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.00	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.00	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.00	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.00	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.00	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.00	0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.00	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.00	-0.04
Texas	B12	0.00	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.00	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.00	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Austin Peay	OVC	26.51	26.41	54.55	57.26	2.41	3.83
Tennessee Martin	OVC	5.12	4.48	5.56	9.28	-4.55	-3.65
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	5.09	4.46	66.67	65.80	1.70	1.41
Tennessee Tech	OVC	3.11	4.45	42.86	42.81	-0.44	-0.64
Morehead St.	OVC	5.08	4.45	70.00	69.25	2.03	1.71
Eastern Illinois	OVC	3.06	4.45	50.00	51.07	0.00	0.10
Tennessee St.	OVC	3.17	4.43	20.83	24.34	-1.85	-2.28
Murray St.	OVC	5.10	4.43	85.71	84.40	3.64	3.05
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.92	4.43	28.57	26.84	-1.25	-2.05
Jacksonville St.	OVC	3.06	4.42	40.00	43.58	-0.61	-0.57
Evansville	MVC	2.38	1.91	23.81	23.44	-1.24	-1.01
IUPUI	Sum	2.32	1.90	63.64	65.82	0.63	0.60
Ohio	MAC	2.36	1.87	52.38	52.72	0.11	0.10
Akron	MAC	2.36	1.87	72.73	68.28	1.07	0.68
Drake	MVC	2.32	1.84	41.67	41.30	-0.39	-0.32
Kentucky	SEC	2.27	1.84	95.45	88.29	2.07	1.41
Missouri	B12	2.28	1.82	72.73	69.63	1.04	0.71
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	1.81	54.17	58.96	0.01	0.32
Tennessee	SEC	2.17	1.78	80.95	74.82	1.35	0.88
Niagara	MAAC	2.22	1.75	54.17	53.57	0.19	0.12
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.22	1.75	56.52	52.79	0.29	0.10
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.54	0.36	8.70	9.54	-0.45	-0.29
Illinois St.	MVC	0.33	0.29	66.67	63.46	0.11	0.08
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.25	0.24	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.19	0.24	36.36	37.37	-0.05	-0.06
Miami OH	MAC	0.19	0.23	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.29	0.21	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.20	0.20	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.20	76.19	73.20	0.10	0.09
Belmont	ASun	0.15	0.18	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.05
Ball St.	MAC	0.15	0.18	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.25	0.18	66.67	64.62	0.08	0.05
Western Illinois	Sum	0.15	0.18	30.00	31.79	-0.06	-0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.20	0.18	69.57	69.99	0.08	0.07
Oakland	Sum	0.14	0.18	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.07
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.18	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.11
Kent St.	MAC	0.20	0.18	69.57	70.29	0.08	0.07
Indiana St.	MVC	0.19	0.18	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.14	0.15	23.81	27.28	-0.08	-0.07
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.24	0.15	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.15	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.12
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.09	0.14	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.14	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.23	0.14	45.45	42.62	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.14	73.91	67.72	0.07	0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.09	0.14	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.16	0.13	21.05	24.96	-0.09	-0.06
Arkansas St.	SB	0.16	0.12	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.15	0.12	20.00	20.57	-0.09	-0.07
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.12	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.15	0.12	17.39	20.11	-0.10	-0.07
Toledo	MAC	0.15	0.12	8.70	10.09	-0.12	-0.10
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.12	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.12	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.05
Florida International	SB	0.19	0.12	24.00	23.74	-0.10	-0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.06
Bradley	MVC	0.19	0.12	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.19	0.12	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.12	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.09
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.05	0.06
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.12	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.05
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.12	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.09	0.12	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.12	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.04
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.12	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.14	0.12	71.43	67.85	0.06	0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.11	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.11	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.11	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.11	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.11	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.07
Florida St.	ACC	0.15	0.09	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.14	0.09	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.14	0.09	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.04
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.14	0.09	33.33	33.00	-0.05	-0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.14	0.09	4.76	9.78	-0.13	-0.07
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.09	0.09	40.00	42.64	-0.02	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.09	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.14	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.03	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.05
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.08	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.09	0.08	33.33	30.82	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.09	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.03	0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.09	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.00	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.00	-0.04
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.00	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.10	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.10	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.03
California	P10	0.09	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.09	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.09	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.03	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.10	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.09	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.06	-0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.00	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.00	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.03	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.05	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.09	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.04	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.04	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.04	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.04	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.04	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.01	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.04	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.09	0.06	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.00	0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.00	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.00	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.00	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.00	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.00	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.00	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.00	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.00	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.00	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.04	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.03	68.18	62.73	0.00	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.04	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.04	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.04	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.00	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.00	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Murray St.	OVC	5.10	4.43	85.71	84.40	3.64	3.05
Austin Peay	OVC	26.51	26.41	54.55	57.26	2.41	3.83
Kentucky	SEC	2.27	1.84	95.45	88.29	2.07	1.41
Morehead St.	OVC	5.08	4.45	70.00	69.25	2.03	1.71
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	5.09	4.46	66.67	65.80	1.70	1.41
Tennessee	SEC	2.17	1.78	80.95	74.82	1.35	0.88
Akron	MAC	2.36	1.87	72.73	68.28	1.07	0.68
Missouri	B12	2.28	1.82	72.73	69.63	1.04	0.71
IUPUI	Sum	2.32	1.90	63.64	65.82	0.63	0.60
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.22	1.75	56.52	52.79	0.29	0.10
Niagara	MAAC	2.22	1.75	54.17	53.57	0.19	0.12
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.15	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.12
Ohio	MAC	2.36	1.87	52.38	52.72	0.11	0.10
Illinois St.	MVC	0.33	0.29	66.67	63.46	0.11	0.08
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.20	76.19	73.20	0.10	0.09
Missouri St.	MVC	0.25	0.18	66.67	64.62	0.08	0.05
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.12	91.30	88.21	0.08	0.09
Kent St.	MAC	0.20	0.18	69.57	70.29	0.08	0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.20	0.18	69.57	69.99	0.08	0.07
Florida St.	ACC	0.15	0.09	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.12	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.14	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.07	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.14	73.91	67.72	0.07	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.05
Maryland	ACC	0.14	0.12	71.43	67.85	0.06	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.11	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.05	0.06
Oakland	Sum	0.14	0.18	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.07
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.06
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.03	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.15	0.18	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.05
California	P10	0.09	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.19	0.18	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.02