The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Western Michigan page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Western Michigan

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		150.0
Current RPI:		150
Expected SOS:		148
Current SOS:		148
Current Record:		17-15
Expected Record:		17-15
Current Conf Record:		10-9
Expected Conf Record:		10-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-4
Current OOC Record:		7-6
Expected OOC Record:		7-6
Expected OOC RPI:		92
Expected OOC SOS:		39

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
17-15		150.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Western Michigan.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Detroit (168.0)	Horz	A	80-86	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Virginia Commonwealth (66.0)	CAA	H	83-67	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Loyola Chicago (213.0)	Horz	A	58-60	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Holy Cross (274.0)	Pat	H	64-54	W	100%	0.0
12-1	Temple (9.0)	A10	H	70-76	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Eastern Illinois (170.0)	OVC	A	69-58	W	100%	0.0
12-13	Illinois (74.0)	B10	A	53-88	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Kennesaw St. (284.0)	ASun	H	72-64	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Southern California (113.0)	P10	N	51-55	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Northeastern (75.0)	CAA	N	75-60	W	100%	0.0
12-25	College of Charleston (91.0)	SC	N	66-63	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Sam Houston St. (70.0)	Slnd	H	74-73	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Eastern Michigan (201.0)	MAC	H	61-47	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Northern Illinois (261.0)	MAC	A	77-87	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Central Michigan (195.0)	MAC	H	70-61	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Ball St. (218.0)	MAC	A	68-75	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Toledo (324.0)	MAC	H	73-41	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Akron (89.0)	MAC	H	70-79	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Kent St. (47.0)	MAC	A	73-74	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Buffalo (108.0)	MAC	A	85-70	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Miami OH (144.0)	MAC	H	54-56	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Bowling Green (189.0)	MAC	H	65-64	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Ohio (95.0)	MAC	A	74-90	L	0%	0.0
2-14	Eastern Michigan (201.0)	MAC	A	52-66	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Northern Illinois (261.0)	MAC	H	90-81	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Southern Illinois (171.0)	MVC	A	72-89	L	0%	0.0
2-24	Toledo (324.0)	MAC	A	61-41	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Central Michigan (195.0)	MAC	A	66-74	L	0%	0.0
3-4	Ball St. (218.0)	MAC	H	67-52	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Bowling Green (189.0)	MAC	H	75-73	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Central Michigan (195.0)	MAC	N	69-60	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Akron (89.0)	MAC	N	64-66	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Western Michigan's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Western Michigan's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Western Michigan.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Western Michigan	MAC	26.29	26.29	53.08	53.08	1.62	1.62
Central Michigan	MAC	5.33	5.33	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	3.93	3.93	32.14	32.14	-1.40	-1.40
Eastern Michigan	MAC	3.92	3.92	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	3.86	3.86	10.34	10.34	-3.06	-3.06
Ball St.	MAC	3.84	3.84	48.15	48.15	-0.14	-0.14
Akron	MAC	3.82	3.82	67.74	67.74	1.36	1.36
Bowling Green	MAC	3.75	3.75	48.15	48.15	-0.14	-0.14
Ohio	MAC	2.36	2.36	57.58	57.58	0.36	0.36
Miami OH	MAC	2.28	2.28	41.94	41.94	-0.37	-0.37
Buffalo	MAC	2.27	2.27	60.71	60.71	0.49	0.49
Kent St.	MAC	2.25	2.25	70.00	70.00	0.90	0.90
Detroit	Horz	1.81	1.81	56.25	56.25	0.23	0.23
Temple	A10	1.75	1.75	84.85	84.85	1.22	1.22
Eastern Illinois	OVC	1.66	1.66	60.71	60.71	0.36	0.36
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	1.66	1.66	73.33	73.33	0.77	0.77
Northeastern	CAA	1.64	1.64	64.52	64.52	0.48	0.48
Loyola Chicago	Horz	1.64	1.64	40.74	40.74	-0.30	-0.30
Illinois	B10	1.61	1.61	56.25	56.25	0.20	0.20
Holy Cross	Pat	1.59	1.59	30.00	30.00	-0.64	-0.64
College of Charleston	SC	1.56	1.56	67.74	67.74	0.55	0.55
Kennesaw St.	ASun	1.56	1.56	36.67	36.67	-0.42	-0.42
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	1.56	1.56	77.78	77.78	0.87	0.87
Southern California	P10	1.56	1.56	51.72	51.72	0.05	0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	1.56	1.56	46.43	46.43	-0.11	-0.11
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.36	0.36	24.14	24.14	-0.19	-0.19
Wright St.	Horz	0.36	0.36	62.50	62.50	0.09	0.09
Valparaiso	Horz	0.33	0.33	41.38	41.38	-0.06	-0.06
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.24	0.24	28.12	28.12	-0.10	-0.10
Chicago St.	GWC	0.24	0.24	21.43	21.43	-0.13	-0.13
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.21	0.21	20.69	20.69	-0.12	-0.12
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.21	0.21	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.21	0.21	84.38	84.38	0.14	0.14
Rhode Island	A10	0.19	0.19	71.88	71.88	0.08	0.08
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.18	0.18	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.18	0.18	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.16	0.16	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.16	0.16	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Bradley	MVC	0.16	0.16	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.16	0.16	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.12
St. Louis	A10	0.16	0.16	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
Towson	CAA	0.15	0.15	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.15	0.15	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.15	0.15	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.08
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.13	0.13	7.41	7.41	-0.11	-0.11
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.13	0.13	11.54	11.54	-0.10	-0.10
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Drake	MVC	0.13	0.13	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.13	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
Xavier	A10	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Samford	SC	0.13	0.13	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.12	0.12	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.12	0.12	79.41	79.41	0.07	0.07
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.11	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	6.45	6.45	-0.09	-0.09
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.10	7.14	7.14	-0.09	-0.09
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.10	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.10	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.10	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.10	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.08	0.08	19.35	19.35	-0.05	-0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Princeton	Ivy	0.08	0.08	70.37	70.37	0.03	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.08	0.08	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Army	Pat	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.08	0.08	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
California	P10	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.33	0.03	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.02	0.02	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.02	0.02	80.00	80.00	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.02	0.02	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.02	0.02	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.02	0.02	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.02	0.02	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	78.79	78.79	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.02	0.02	80.65	80.65	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.02	0.02	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Western Michigan	MAC	26.29	26.29	53.08	53.08	1.62	1.62
Central Michigan	MAC	5.33	5.33	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	3.93	3.93	32.14	32.14	-1.40	-1.40
Eastern Michigan	MAC	3.92	3.92	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	3.86	3.86	10.34	10.34	-3.06	-3.06
Ball St.	MAC	3.84	3.84	48.15	48.15	-0.14	-0.14
Akron	MAC	3.82	3.82	67.74	67.74	1.36	1.36
Bowling Green	MAC	3.75	3.75	48.15	48.15	-0.14	-0.14
Ohio	MAC	2.36	2.36	57.58	57.58	0.36	0.36
Miami OH	MAC	2.28	2.28	41.94	41.94	-0.37	-0.37
Buffalo	MAC	2.27	2.27	60.71	60.71	0.49	0.49
Kent St.	MAC	2.25	2.25	70.00	70.00	0.90	0.90
Detroit	Horz	1.81	1.81	56.25	56.25	0.23	0.23
Temple	A10	1.75	1.75	84.85	84.85	1.22	1.22
Eastern Illinois	OVC	1.66	1.66	60.71	60.71	0.36	0.36
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	1.66	1.66	73.33	73.33	0.77	0.77
Northeastern	CAA	1.64	1.64	64.52	64.52	0.48	0.48
Loyola Chicago	Horz	1.64	1.64	40.74	40.74	-0.30	-0.30
Illinois	B10	1.61	1.61	56.25	56.25	0.20	0.20
Holy Cross	Pat	1.59	1.59	30.00	30.00	-0.64	-0.64
College of Charleston	SC	1.56	1.56	67.74	67.74	0.55	0.55
Kennesaw St.	ASun	1.56	1.56	36.67	36.67	-0.42	-0.42
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	1.56	1.56	77.78	77.78	0.87	0.87
Southern California	P10	1.56	1.56	51.72	51.72	0.05	0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	1.56	1.56	46.43	46.43	-0.11	-0.11
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.36	0.36	24.14	24.14	-0.19	-0.19
Wright St.	Horz	0.36	0.36	62.50	62.50	0.09	0.09
Valparaiso	Horz	0.33	0.33	41.38	41.38	-0.06	-0.06
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.24	0.24	28.12	28.12	-0.10	-0.10
Chicago St.	GWC	0.24	0.24	21.43	21.43	-0.13	-0.13
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.21	0.21	20.69	20.69	-0.12	-0.12
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.21	0.21	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.21	0.21	84.38	84.38	0.14	0.14
Rhode Island	A10	0.19	0.19	71.88	71.88	0.08	0.08
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.18	0.18	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.18	0.18	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.16	0.16	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.16	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.16	0.16	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.16	0.16	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Bradley	MVC	0.16	0.16	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.16	0.16	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.12
St. Louis	A10	0.16	0.16	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
Towson	CAA	0.15	0.15	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.15	0.15	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.15	0.15	22.58	22.58	-0.08	-0.08
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.13	0.13	7.41	7.41	-0.11	-0.11
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.13	0.13	11.54	11.54	-0.10	-0.10
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Drake	MVC	0.13	0.13	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.13	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
Xavier	A10	0.13	0.13	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Samford	SC	0.13	0.13	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.12	0.12	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.12	0.12	79.41	79.41	0.07	0.07
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.11	0.11	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	6.45	6.45	-0.09	-0.09
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.10	7.14	7.14	-0.09	-0.09
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Iowa	B10	0.10	0.10	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.10	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.10	0.10	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.10	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.10	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.08	0.08	19.35	19.35	-0.05	-0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.08	0.08	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Princeton	Ivy	0.08	0.08	70.37	70.37	0.03	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.08	0.08	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Army	Pat	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.08	0.08	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
California	P10	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.33	0.03	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01