The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Western Michigan page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Western Michigan

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		121.6
Current RPI:		117
Expected SOS:		142
Current SOS:		102
Current Record:		12-10
Expected Record:		16-13
Current Conf Record:		5-5
Expected Conf Record:		9-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-3
Current OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC Record:		7-6
Expected OOC RPI:		71
Expected OOC SOS:		29

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
19-10	86.1	2.46%
18-11	97.3	14.66%
17-12	110.6	30.97%
16-13	127.2	30.77%
15-14	146.4	16.73%
14-15	165.2	3.91%
13-16	182.1	0.45%
12-17	199.0	0.04%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Western Michigan.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	A	80-86	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Virginia Commonwealth (43.2)	CAA	H	83-67	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Loyola Chicago (184.8)	Horz	A	58-60	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Holy Cross (269.0)	Pat	H	64-54	W	100%	0.0
12-1	Temple (24.9)	A10	H	70-76	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Eastern Illinois (217.6)	OVC	A	69-58	W	100%	0.0
12-13	Illinois (76.5)	B10	A	53-88	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	H	72-64	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Southern California (81.0)	P10	N	51-55	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Northeastern (49.2)	CAA	N	75-60	W	100%	0.0
12-25	College of Charleston (90.2)	SC	N	66-63	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Sam Houston St. (79.9)	Slnd	H	74-73	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Eastern Michigan (213.6)	MAC	H	61-47	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	A	77-87	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	H	70-61	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	A	68-75	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	H	73-41	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Akron (113.3)	MAC	H	70-79	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Kent St. (57.5)	MAC	A	73-74	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Buffalo (134.2)	MAC	A	85-70	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Miami OH (135.6)	MAC	H	54-56	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	H	65-64	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Ohio (147.7)	MAC	A	0-0		38%	-3.2
2-14	Eastern Michigan (213.6)	MAC	A	0-0		57%	1.9
2-17	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	H	0-0		89%	13.3
2-20	Southern Illinois (133.6)	MVC	A	0-0		35%	-4.1
2-24	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	A	0-0		87%	12.3
2-27	Central Michigan (186.3)	MAC	A	0-0		51%	0.3
3-4	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	H	0-0		84%	10.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Western Michigan's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Western Michigan's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Western Michigan.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Western Michigan	MAC	26.14	26.17	52.17	57.69	1.14	4.02
Bowling Green	MAC	2.79	2.38	50.00	47.38	0.00	-0.12
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.79	4.20	33.33	36.03	-0.93	-1.17
Toledo	MAC	2.75	4.15	9.09	10.35	-2.25	-3.29
Miami OH	MAC	2.75	2.35	40.91	45.88	-0.50	-0.19
Ball St.	MAC	2.74	4.13	50.00	51.14	0.00	0.09
Kent St.	MAC	2.74	2.35	68.18	69.27	1.00	0.91
Central Michigan	MAC	2.74	4.13	52.63	54.43	0.14	0.37
Akron	MAC	2.69	2.35	68.18	64.83	0.98	0.70
Buffalo	MAC	2.69	2.32	57.89	54.00	0.42	0.19
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.69	4.13	50.00	48.73	0.00	-0.11
Detroit	Horz	2.49	1.94	54.55	57.00	0.23	0.27
Temple	A10	2.48	1.90	78.26	76.82	1.40	1.02
Northeastern	CAA	2.43	1.81	69.57	70.46	0.95	0.74
Loyola Chicago	Horz	2.42	1.81	50.00	47.36	0.00	-0.10
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	2.37	1.81	80.95	79.98	1.47	1.09
Holy Cross	Pat	2.33	1.76	27.27	32.15	-1.06	-0.63
Illinois	B10	2.32	1.78	65.22	57.64	0.71	0.27
Eastern Illinois	OVC	2.32	1.84	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	2.27	1.72	69.57	67.88	0.89	0.62
Kennesaw St.	ASun	2.27	1.72	45.45	40.83	-0.21	-0.32
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	2.27	1.72	75.00	76.02	1.14	0.90
Southern California	P10	2.27	1.72	59.09	58.22	0.41	0.28
Ohio	MAC	0.47	2.32	50.00	50.60	0.00	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.43	0.36	62.50	65.32	0.11	0.11
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.36	0.36	22.73	22.57	-0.20	-0.20
Valparaiso	Horz	0.31	0.30	40.91	43.37	-0.06	-0.04
Towson	CAA	0.26	0.15	22.73	23.47	-0.14	-0.08
Rhode Island	A10	0.25	0.17	86.36	81.50	0.18	0.11
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.22	0.21	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.22	0.16	44.00	45.15	-0.03	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.22	0.24	20.00	20.57	-0.13	-0.14
Purdue	B10	0.22	0.21	86.36	81.80	0.16	0.13
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.21	0.24	27.27	25.82	-0.10	-0.12
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.21	0.18	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.21	0.18	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.21	0.15	28.57	27.72	-0.09	-0.07
Butler	Horz	0.21	0.18	83.33	83.91	0.14	0.12
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.20	0.15	8.70	9.54	-0.17	-0.12
Georgia St.	CAA	0.20	0.18	37.50	38.45	-0.05	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.20	0.24	20.00	24.04	-0.12	-0.13
Xavier	A10	0.20	0.12	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.05
Samford	SC	0.20	0.15	28.57	31.03	-0.08	-0.06
Drexel	CAA	0.20	0.18	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.19	0.14	26.09	26.91	-0.09	-0.07
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.16	0.13	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.16	0.18	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.08
Belmont	ASun	0.16	0.12	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.16	0.15	61.90	56.12	0.04	0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.18	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.15	0.09	9.52	8.87	-0.12	-0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.15	0.12	30.43	32.32	-0.06	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.15	0.09	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.03
California	P10	0.15	0.09	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.12	69.57	67.93	0.06	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.14	0.11	79.17	76.61	0.08	0.06
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.11	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.14	0.08	34.78	32.23	-0.04	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.12	0.07	24.00	23.74	-0.06	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.12	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.11	0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.12	0.10	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.11	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.11	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.08	0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.08
Army	Pat	0.11	0.09	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.09	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.11	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.11	0.09	68.00	67.20	0.04	0.03
Albany	AE	0.10	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.06	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.12	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.12	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.05
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.18	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.09	68.18	66.65	0.04	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.15	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.12	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.09	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.09	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.09	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.06
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.09	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.10	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.07	-0.04
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.09	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.05	-0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.09	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.09	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.06	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.07	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.04	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.07	0.10	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.07	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.07	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.07	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.07	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.07	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.07	0.07	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.15	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.09	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.12	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.06
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.16	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.13
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.06	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.09	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.12	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.09
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
American	Pat	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.04
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.09	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.05
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.06	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Maine	AE	0.05	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.05	-0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.04
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.12	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.00	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.00	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.00	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.09	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.00	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.00	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.00	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.00	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.00	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.00	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.00	1.72	54.55	53.66	0.00	0.13
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.00	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.00	-0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.00	0.03	58.33	58.93	0.00	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.00	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.00	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.00	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Western Michigan	MAC	26.14	26.17	52.17	57.69	1.14	4.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.79	4.20	33.33	36.03	-0.93	-1.17
Toledo	MAC	2.75	4.15	9.09	10.35	-2.25	-3.29
Central Michigan	MAC	2.74	4.13	52.63	54.43	0.14	0.37
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.69	4.13	50.00	48.73	0.00	-0.11
Ball St.	MAC	2.74	4.13	50.00	51.14	0.00	0.09
Bowling Green	MAC	2.79	2.38	50.00	47.38	0.00	-0.12
Akron	MAC	2.69	2.35	68.18	64.83	0.98	0.70
Kent St.	MAC	2.74	2.35	68.18	69.27	1.00	0.91
Miami OH	MAC	2.75	2.35	40.91	45.88	-0.50	-0.19
Ohio	MAC	0.47	2.32	50.00	50.60	0.00	0.03
Buffalo	MAC	2.69	2.32	57.89	54.00	0.42	0.19
Detroit	Horz	2.49	1.94	54.55	57.00	0.23	0.27
Temple	A10	2.48	1.90	78.26	76.82	1.40	1.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	2.32	1.84	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	2.43	1.81	69.57	70.46	0.95	0.74
Loyola Chicago	Horz	2.42	1.81	50.00	47.36	0.00	-0.10
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	2.37	1.81	80.95	79.98	1.47	1.09
Illinois	B10	2.32	1.78	65.22	57.64	0.71	0.27
Holy Cross	Pat	2.33	1.76	27.27	32.15	-1.06	-0.63
College of Charleston	SC	2.27	1.72	69.57	67.88	0.89	0.62
Kennesaw St.	ASun	2.27	1.72	45.45	40.83	-0.21	-0.32
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	2.27	1.72	75.00	76.02	1.14	0.90
Southern California	P10	2.27	1.72	59.09	58.22	0.41	0.28
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.00	1.72	54.55	53.66	0.00	0.13
Wright St.	Horz	0.43	0.36	62.50	65.32	0.11	0.11
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.36	0.36	22.73	22.57	-0.20	-0.20
Valparaiso	Horz	0.31	0.30	40.91	43.37	-0.06	-0.04
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.21	0.24	27.27	25.82	-0.10	-0.12
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.20	0.24	20.00	24.04	-0.12	-0.13
Chicago St.	GWC	0.22	0.24	20.00	20.57	-0.13	-0.14
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.22	0.21	45.45	46.81	-0.02	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.22	0.21	86.36	81.80	0.16	0.13
Butler	Horz	0.21	0.18	83.33	83.91	0.14	0.12
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.16	0.18	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.08
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.21	0.18	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.21	0.18	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.18	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.20	0.18	37.50	38.45	-0.05	-0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.18	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.20	0.18	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.25	0.17	86.36	81.50	0.18	0.11
Canisius	MAAC	0.22	0.16	44.00	45.15	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.16	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.13
Illinois St.	MVC	0.06	0.15	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.15	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.20	0.15	8.70	9.54	-0.17	-0.12
St. Louis	A10	0.16	0.15	61.90	56.12	0.04	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.26	0.15	22.73	23.47	-0.14	-0.08
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.21	0.15	28.57	27.72	-0.09	-0.07
Samford	SC	0.20	0.15	28.57	31.03	-0.08	-0.06
Delaware	CAA	0.19	0.14	26.09	26.91	-0.09	-0.07
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.16	0.13	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.16	0.12	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.12	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.12	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.09
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.15	0.12	30.43	32.32	-0.06	-0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.12	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.12	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.12	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.06
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.12	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.20	0.12	69.57	71.43	0.08	0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.15	0.12	69.57	67.93	0.06	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.14	0.11	66.67	67.94	0.05	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.14	0.11	79.17	76.61	0.08	0.06
Lamar	Slnd	0.07	0.10	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.12	0.10	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.09	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.09	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.10	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.03
Army	Pat	0.11	0.09	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.09	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.09	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.09	0.00	5.15	-0.11	-0.08
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.09	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.09	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.05
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.09	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.09	68.18	66.65	0.04	0.03
Vermont	AE	0.11	0.09	68.00	67.20	0.04	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.09	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.06
Fordham	A10	0.15	0.09	9.52	8.87	-0.12	-0.07
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.09	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.10	0.09	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.09	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.03
Iowa	B10	0.15	0.09	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.03
California	P10	0.15	0.09	65.22	68.42	0.05	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.10	0.09	66.67	64.02	0.03	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.09	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.14	0.08	34.78	32.23	-0.04	-0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.07	0.07	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.07	0.07	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.12	0.07	24.00	23.74	-0.06	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.11	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.03	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.11	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.08	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.12	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.11	0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.06	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.00	0.03
Albany	AE	0.10	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.06	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.11	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
American	Pat	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.06	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.10	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.07	-0.04
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.09	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.06	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.04
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.00	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.03
Furman	SC	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.06	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.03
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.04
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.05	-0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.06	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.06	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.01	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.04
Stanford	P10	0.10	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.03
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.06	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.09	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.06	0.04
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.06	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.07	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.04	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.07	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.00	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.00	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.07	0.03	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.07	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.07	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.07	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.00	0.03	58.33	58.93	0.00	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.00	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.00	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00