The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Texas Southern page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Texas Southern

Conference:		SWAC
Expected RPI:		204.5
Current RPI:		222
Expected SOS:		314
Current SOS:		271
Current Record:		9-11
Expected Record:		15-13
Current Conf Record:		7-3
Expected Conf Record:		13-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		13-5
Current OOC Record:		2-8
Expected OOC Record:		2-8
Expected OOC RPI:		217
Expected OOC SOS:		23

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-11	173.5	8.67%
16-12	189.9	32.93%
15-13	208.3	34.94%
14-14	226.6	17.57%
13-15	241.7	5.01%
12-16	255.4	0.82%
11-17	271.4	0.05%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas Southern.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Texas El Paso (54.0)	CUSA	A	70-89	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Idaho (148.8)	WAC	H	72-65	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Colorado (134.3)	B12	A	77-88	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Northern Colorado (103.4)	BSky	N	62-66	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Texas San Antonio (183.6)	Slnd	A	57-79	L	0%	0.0
12-1	Cincinnati (61.6)	BE	A	57-94	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Wichita St. (47.1)	MVC	A	43-74	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Southeastern Louisiana (205.1)	Slnd	N	71-65	W	100%	0.0
12-23	New Mexico St. (76.7)	WAC	A	75-79	L	0%	0.0
12-28	North Texas (158.7)	SB	A	69-71	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Alcorn St. (345.4)	SWAC	H	89-56	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Southern (342.9)	SWAC	H	82-68	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Prairie View A&M (249.9)	SWAC	H	60-65	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Grambling (337.7)	SWAC	A	74-59	W	100%	0.0
1-18	Jackson St. (242.9)	SWAC	A	51-44	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Mississippi Valley St. (324.4)	SWAC	H	74-73	W	100%	0.0
1-25	Arkansas Pine Bluff (205.1)	SWAC	H	70-67	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Alabama St. (303.7)	SWAC	A	61-62	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Alabama A&M (319.5)	SWAC	A	67-62	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Prairie View A&M (249.9)	SWAC	A	58-63	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Grambling (337.7)	SWAC	H	0-0		93%	16.5
2-15	Jackson St. (242.9)	SWAC	H	0-0		78%	8.4
2-20	Mississippi Valley St. (324.4)	SWAC	A	0-0		73%	6.5
2-22	Arkansas Pine Bluff (205.1)	SWAC	A	0-0		29%	-5.9
2-27	Alabama St. (303.7)	SWAC	H	0-0		82%	10.1
3-1	Alabama A&M (319.5)	SWAC	H	0-0		89%	13.1
3-4	Alcorn St. (345.4)	SWAC	A	0-0		91%	14.5
3-6	Southern (342.9)	SWAC	A	0-0		83%	10.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Texas Southern's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Texas Southern's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Texas Southern.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas Southern	SWAC	26.38	26.51	51.25	60.15	0.66	5.38
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	5.61	4.68	40.00	49.79	-1.12	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	3.38	4.74	0.00	4.34	-3.38	-4.33
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	3.35	4.70	38.10	48.02	-0.80	-0.19
Jackson St.	SWAC	3.32	4.71	52.38	52.39	0.16	0.23
Southern	SWAC	3.28	4.67	19.05	21.23	-2.03	-2.69
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	3.24	4.64	22.73	25.71	-1.77	-2.25
Alabama St.	SWAC	3.19	4.62	27.78	37.35	-1.42	-1.17
Grambling	SWAC	3.18	4.62	29.41	28.86	-1.31	-1.95
Alabama A&M	SWAC	3.17	4.60	35.71	43.22	-0.91	-0.62
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.88	2.04	61.90	56.86	0.68	0.28
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.74	1.98	52.94	57.66	0.16	0.30
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.72	1.97	76.19	74.81	1.43	0.98
Cincinnati	BE	2.65	1.86	59.09	53.94	0.48	0.15
North Texas	SB	2.63	1.88	60.00	62.29	0.53	0.46
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	2.57	1.82	52.94	56.66	0.15	0.24
Colorado	B12	2.56	1.85	40.00	38.37	-0.51	-0.43
Idaho	WAC	2.56	1.85	47.37	50.11	-0.13	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	2.55	1.84	78.26	76.50	1.44	0.98
Northern Colorado	BSky	2.50	1.79	78.26	77.25	1.41	0.97
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.45	0.29	69.57	63.54	0.18	0.08
Iowa	B10	0.27	0.14	33.33	30.81	-0.09	-0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.27	0.14	72.73	66.84	0.12	0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.26	0.13	35.00	30.57	-0.08	-0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.24	0.16	45.45	45.94	-0.02	-0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.24	0.29	68.42	67.05	0.09	0.10
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.23	0.23	36.36	36.18	-0.06	-0.06
Arkansas St.	SB	0.23	0.16	57.14	57.09	0.03	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.23	0.16	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.19	0.14	26.32	31.50	-0.09	-0.05
Utah	MWC	0.19	0.13	45.45	44.33	-0.02	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.19	0.16	56.52	50.48	0.02	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.18	0.10	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.18	0.16	73.91	76.68	0.09	0.08
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.18	0.13	79.17	73.38	0.10	0.06
Illinois St.	MVC	0.17	0.13	66.67	63.46	0.06	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.17	0.16	76.19	72.74	0.09	0.07
Tulsa	CUSA	0.17	0.16	77.27	70.95	0.09	0.06
Arkansas	SEC	0.17	0.19	52.17	48.42	0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.17	0.16	18.18	19.17	-0.11	-0.10
Hawaii	WAC	0.17	0.16	36.36	33.80	-0.05	-0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.17	0.12	81.82	83.61	0.11	0.08
Auburn	SEC	0.15	0.15	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.15	0.07	29.17	28.88	-0.06	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.14	0.10	47.62	44.69	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.14	0.11	22.22	26.51	-0.08	-0.05
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.14	0.18	23.53	26.11	-0.07	-0.08
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.14	0.10	70.59	73.00	0.06	0.05
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.07	12.00	18.83	-0.11	-0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.14	0.10	36.84	36.81	-0.04	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.07	45.45	47.50	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.13	0.14	47.06	43.54	-0.01	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.13	0.17	21.05	24.99	-0.07	-0.08
Portland	WCC	0.13	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.12	0.10	69.57	68.49	0.05	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.12	0.10	73.91	72.54	0.06	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.10	31.82	29.57	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.12	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.12	0.06	32.00	31.25	-0.04	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.12	0.13	47.83	48.99	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.12	0.13	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Florida International	SB	0.12	0.07	24.00	23.72	-0.06	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.12	0.13	54.55	54.07	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.12	0.09	63.64	58.77	0.03	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.12	0.13	81.82	79.55	0.07	0.07
Missouri	B12	0.12	0.13	73.91	70.59	0.06	0.05
New Orleans	SB	0.12	0.13	22.73	22.86	-0.06	-0.07
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.02
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.11	0.09	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.12	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.11	0.06	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.11	0.09	45.45	40.27	-0.01	-0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.11	0.09	87.50	87.42	0.09	0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.09	69.57	70.01	0.04	0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.11	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.09	0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.06	23.81	30.79	-0.06	-0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.11	0.06	59.09	52.86	0.02	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.12	95.83	93.08	0.10	0.10
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.09	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon	P10	0.11	0.12	54.55	48.80	0.01	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.09	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.05
Denver	SB	0.11	0.13	60.87	59.59	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.09	59.09	51.14	0.02	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.09	68.18	59.32	0.04	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.05	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.06	75.00	70.94	0.05	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.06	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.06	68.18	70.36	0.04	0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	47.62	48.66	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.10	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.09	0.05
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	73.91	69.55	0.04	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.08	0.08	59.09	54.44	0.02	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	20.00	24.03	-0.05	-0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.07	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.03	65.22	64.72	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.04	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.04	39.13	35.39	-0.02	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.10	65.22	66.14	0.02	0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.07	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.10	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.03	36.36	40.06	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	78.26	78.94	0.04	0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.07	0.07	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.07	0.10	34.78	33.90	-0.02	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.07	0.13	22.73	22.57	-0.04	-0.07
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.07	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	15.79	22.91	-0.04	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.07	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.02
Troy	SB	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.37	-0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.03	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.03	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	19.05	20.74	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	72.73	68.10	0.03	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.06	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.06	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.03	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.03	86.96	84.64	0.04	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.03	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.06	16.00	21.66	-0.04	-0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.02	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.91	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.09	0.02	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.23	0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.05	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.04	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.21	0.03	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.78	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.44	0.02	0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.74	-0.03	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.70	-0.04	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.03	0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.63	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.06	64.00	63.77	0.01	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.05	0.01	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.71	-0.02	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.93	-0.00	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.45	0.00	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.00	0.03	22.73	24.06	-0.00	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.00	0.03	42.86	45.64	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.51	0.00	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.00	0.03	68.18	68.11	0.00	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.03	91.30	85.32	0.00	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.03	82.61	79.46	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas Southern	SWAC	26.38	26.51	51.25	60.15	0.66	5.38
Alcorn St.	SWAC	3.38	4.74	0.00	4.34	-3.38	-4.33
Jackson St.	SWAC	3.32	4.71	52.38	52.39	0.16	0.23
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	3.35	4.70	38.10	48.02	-0.80	-0.19
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	5.61	4.68	40.00	49.79	-1.12	-0.02
Southern	SWAC	3.28	4.67	19.05	21.23	-2.03	-2.69
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	3.24	4.64	22.73	25.71	-1.77	-2.25
Alabama St.	SWAC	3.19	4.62	27.78	37.35	-1.42	-1.17
Grambling	SWAC	3.18	4.62	29.41	28.86	-1.31	-1.95
Alabama A&M	SWAC	3.17	4.60	35.71	43.22	-0.91	-0.62
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.88	2.04	61.90	56.86	0.68	0.28
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.74	1.98	52.94	57.66	0.16	0.30
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.72	1.97	76.19	74.81	1.43	0.98
North Texas	SB	2.63	1.88	60.00	62.29	0.53	0.46
Cincinnati	BE	2.65	1.86	59.09	53.94	0.48	0.15
Colorado	B12	2.56	1.85	40.00	38.37	-0.51	-0.43
Idaho	WAC	2.56	1.85	47.37	50.11	-0.13	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	2.55	1.84	78.26	76.50	1.44	0.98
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	2.57	1.82	52.94	56.66	0.15	0.24
Northern Colorado	BSky	2.50	1.79	78.26	77.25	1.41	0.97
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.45	0.29	69.57	63.54	0.18	0.08
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.24	0.29	68.42	67.05	0.09	0.10
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.23	0.23	36.36	36.18	-0.06	-0.06
Arkansas	SEC	0.17	0.19	52.17	48.42	0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.14	0.18	23.53	26.11	-0.07	-0.08
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.13	0.17	21.05	24.99	-0.07	-0.08
Nebraska	B12	0.19	0.16	56.52	50.48	0.02	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.24	0.16	45.45	45.94	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.23	0.16	57.14	57.09	0.03	0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.17	0.16	36.36	33.80	-0.05	-0.05
San Jose St.	WAC	0.23	0.16	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.18	0.16	73.91	76.68	0.09	0.08
Baylor	B12	0.17	0.16	76.19	72.74	0.09	0.07
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.17	0.16	18.18	19.17	-0.11	-0.10
Tulsa	CUSA	0.17	0.16	77.27	70.95	0.09	0.06
Auburn	SEC	0.15	0.15	45.45	42.64	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.13	0.14	47.06	43.54	-0.01	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.19	0.14	26.32	31.50	-0.09	-0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.27	0.14	72.73	66.84	0.12	0.05
Iowa	B10	0.27	0.14	33.33	30.81	-0.09	-0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.26	0.13	35.00	30.57	-0.08	-0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.17	0.13	66.67	63.46	0.06	0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.07	0.13	22.73	22.57	-0.04	-0.07
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.12	0.13	54.55	54.07	0.01	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.19	0.13	45.45	44.33	-0.02	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.12	0.13	22.73	22.86	-0.06	-0.07
Denver	SB	0.11	0.13	60.87	59.59	0.02	0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.12	0.13	47.83	48.99	-0.01	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.12	0.13	81.82	79.55	0.07	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.18	0.13	79.17	73.38	0.10	0.06
Missouri	B12	0.12	0.13	73.91	70.59	0.06	0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.12	0.13	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.12	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.12	95.83	93.08	0.10	0.10
Gonzaga	WCC	0.17	0.12	81.82	83.61	0.11	0.08
Oregon	P10	0.11	0.12	54.55	48.80	0.01	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.14	0.11	22.22	26.51	-0.08	-0.05
Lamar	Slnd	0.14	0.10	47.62	44.69	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.14	0.10	70.59	73.00	0.06	0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.10	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.14	0.10	36.84	36.81	-0.04	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.10	65.22	66.14	0.02	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.12	0.10	73.91	72.54	0.06	0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.12	0.10	31.82	29.57	-0.04	-0.04
DePaul	BE	0.07	0.10	34.78	33.90	-0.02	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.18	0.10	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.12	0.10	69.57	68.49	0.05	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.09	59.09	51.14	0.02	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.11	0.09	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.09	68.18	59.32	0.04	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.11	0.09	87.50	87.42	0.09	0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.09	69.57	70.01	0.04	0.04
Oregon St.	P10	0.11	0.09	45.45	40.27	-0.01	-0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.12	0.09	63.64	58.77	0.03	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.09	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.05
South Alabama	SB	0.11	0.09	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	73.91	69.55	0.04	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.08	0.08	59.09	54.44	0.02	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	20.00	24.03	-0.05	-0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.07	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.15	0.07	29.17	28.88	-0.06	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.07	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	78.26	78.94	0.04	0.04
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.13	0.07	45.45	47.50	-0.01	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.07	0.07	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.07	12.00	18.83	-0.11	-0.04
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.07	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.12	0.07	24.00	23.72	-0.06	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.06	0.07	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.12	0.06	32.00	31.25	-0.04	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.12	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.13	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.11	0.06	59.09	52.86	0.02	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.11	0.06	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.06	0.06	19.05	20.74	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	72.73	68.10	0.03	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan	B10	0.06	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.06	68.18	70.36	0.04	0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	47.62	48.66	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.11	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.09	0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.06	23.81	30.79	-0.06	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.10	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	38.10	39.63	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	12.50	15.32	-0.04	-0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.06	0.06	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.06	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.06	16.00	21.66	-0.04	-0.03
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.05	0.01	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.06	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.09	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.05	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.06	75.00	70.94	0.05	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.09	0.02	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.74	-0.03	-0.03
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.03	0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.06	64.00	63.77	0.01	0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.04	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.04	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.04	39.13	35.39	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.03	65.22	64.72	0.02	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.03	36.36	40.06	-0.02	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.00	0.03	22.73	24.06	-0.00	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.37	-0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.03	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	15.79	22.91	-0.04	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.00	0.03	42.86	45.64	-0.00	-0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.03	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.93	-0.00	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.51	0.00	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.70	-0.04	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.00	0.03	68.18	68.11	0.00	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.06	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.03	86.96	84.64	0.04	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.03	47.83	43.81	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.71	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.03	77.27	73.45	0.00	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.02	0.02	0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.91	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.23	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.05	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.07	-0.04	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.21	0.03	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.03	91.30	85.32	0.00	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.00	0.03	82.61	79.46	0.00	0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.78	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.44	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Wichita St.	MVC	2.55	1.84	78.26	76.50	1.44	0.98
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.72	1.97	76.19	74.81	1.43	0.98
Northern Colorado	BSky	2.50	1.79	78.26	77.25	1.41	0.97
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.88	2.04	61.90	56.86	0.68	0.28
Texas Southern	SWAC	26.38	26.51	51.25	60.15	0.66	5.38
North Texas	SB	2.63	1.88	60.00	62.29	0.53	0.46
Cincinnati	BE	2.65	1.86	59.09	53.94	0.48	0.15
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.45	0.29	69.57	63.54	0.18	0.08
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.74	1.98	52.94	57.66	0.16	0.30
Jackson St.	SWAC	3.32	4.71	52.38	52.39	0.16	0.23
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	2.57	1.82	52.94	56.66	0.15	0.24
Texas A&M	B12	0.27	0.14	72.73	66.84	0.12	0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.17	0.12	81.82	83.61	0.11	0.08
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.18	0.13	79.17	73.38	0.10	0.06
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.12	95.83	93.08	0.10	0.10
Tulsa	CUSA	0.17	0.16	77.27	70.95	0.09	0.06
Baylor	B12	0.17	0.16	76.19	72.74	0.09	0.07
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.24	0.29	68.42	67.05	0.09	0.10
Utah St.	WAC	0.18	0.16	73.91	76.68	0.09	0.08
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.10	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.09	0.05
Brigham Young	MWC	0.11	0.09	87.50	87.42	0.09	0.07
New Mexico	MWC	0.11	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.09	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.12	0.13	81.82	79.55	0.07	0.07
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.09	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.12	0.10	73.91	72.54	0.06	0.04
Illinois St.	MVC	0.17	0.13	66.67	63.46	0.06	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.14	0.10	70.59	73.00	0.06	0.05
Missouri	B12	0.12	0.13	73.91	70.59	0.06	0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.06	75.00	70.94	0.05	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.05	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.12	0.10	69.57	68.49	0.05	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.06	70.83	63.36	0.05	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.09	69.57	70.01	0.04	0.04
St. Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.03	86.96	84.64	0.04	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	73.91	69.55	0.04	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.11	0.09	68.18	59.32	0.04	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	78.26	78.94	0.04	0.04
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.06	68.18	70.36	0.04	0.03
Texas	B12	0.06	0.03	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.23	0.16	57.14	57.09	0.03	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.12	0.09	63.64	58.77	0.03	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.13	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.21	0.03	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	72.73	68.10	0.03	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.19	0.16	56.52	50.48	0.02	0.00
Denver	SB	0.11	0.13	60.87	59.59	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.03	71.43	67.91	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.44	0.02	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.07	0.03	65.22	64.72	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.10	65.22	66.14	0.02	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.11	0.06	59.09	52.86	0.02	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.09	59.09	51.14	0.02	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.12	0.13	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03