The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Oregon St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Oregon St.

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		202.8
Current RPI:		196
Expected SOS:		133
Current SOS:		153
Current Record:		10-12
Expected Record:		12-18
Current Conf Record:		4-6
Expected Conf Record:		6-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		3-3
Current OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC RPI:		232
Expected OOC SOS:		299

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-13	117.0	0.01%
16-14	138.4	0.25%
15-15	154.9	1.98%
14-16	172.1	9.06%
13-17	188.2	22.20%
12-18	204.6	34.41%
11-19	220.0	24.63%
10-20	233.8	7.45%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oregon St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (145.1)	Slnd	N	43-67	L	0%	0.0
11-14	South Dakota (236.2)	GWC	N	62-47	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Texas Tech (54.4)	B12	A	60-64	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Sacramento St. (287.6)	BSky	H	63-65	L	0%	0.0
11-28	George Washington (136.9)	A10	A	64-57	W	100%	0.0
12-4	Colorado (136.4)	B12	H	74-69	W	100%	0.0
12-6	Cal St. Bakersfield (322.0)	ind	H	74-39	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Nebraska (127.1)	B12	A	44-50	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	A	61-63	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Mississippi Valley St. (319.2)	SWAC	H	76-62	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Fresno St. (160.9)	WAC	H	73-65	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Washington (50.4)	P10	A	70-76	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Washington St. (111.0)	P10	A	60-65	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Seattle (222.4)	ind	H	48-99	L	0%	0.0
1-10	Oregon (152.1)	P10	A	64-57	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Arizona (81.7)	P10	H	67-64	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	H	57-66	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Stanford (173.0)	P10	A	35-59	L	0%	0.0
1-23	California (24.1)	P10	A	61-65	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Southern California (81.0)	P10	H	51-45	W	100%	0.0
1-30	UCLA (146.7)	P10	H	52-62	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Oregon (152.1)	P10	H	62-42	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	A	0-0		7%	-16.1
2-13	Arizona (81.7)	P10	A	0-0		16%	-10.8
2-18	California (24.1)	P10	H	0-0		17%	-10.3
2-20	Stanford (173.0)	P10	H	0-0		52%	0.6
2-25	UCLA (146.7)	P10	A	0-0		30%	-5.7
2-27	Southern California (81.0)	P10	A	0-0		13%	-12.2
3-4	Washington St. (111.0)	P10	H	0-0		49%	-0.4
3-6	Washington (50.4)	P10	H	0-0		24%	-7.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Oregon St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Oregon St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Oregon St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Oregon St.	P10	26.23	26.35	42.55	37.34	-3.91	-6.67
Oregon	P10	4.99	4.25	60.00	52.30	1.00	0.20
Southern California	P10	2.92	4.28	63.64	60.77	0.80	0.92
Washington	P10	2.92	4.28	68.18	67.48	1.06	1.50
Arizona	P10	2.88	4.25	54.55	54.49	0.26	0.38
Stanford	P10	2.87	4.25	40.91	40.90	-0.52	-0.77
UCLA	P10	2.87	4.25	45.45	40.85	-0.26	-0.78
Washington St.	P10	2.87	4.25	61.90	57.54	0.68	0.64
Arizona St.	P10	2.83	4.23	65.22	65.75	0.86	1.33
California	P10	2.82	4.22	63.64	66.77	0.77	1.42
Texas Tech	B12	2.49	1.90	66.67	57.89	0.83	0.30
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.43	1.78	23.81	28.23	-1.27	-0.78
Seattle	ind	2.42	1.84	43.48	47.17	-0.32	-0.10
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	2.39	1.73	44.44	50.72	-0.27	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	2.38	1.73	52.94	63.05	0.14	0.45
Nebraska	B12	2.38	1.81	54.55	48.77	0.22	-0.04
Colorado	B12	2.37	1.80	45.00	42.06	-0.24	-0.29
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.37	1.78	27.27	26.38	-1.08	-0.84
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.32	1.78	23.81	22.17	-1.22	-0.99
Fresno St.	WAC	2.32	1.72	50.00	50.61	0.00	0.02
George Washington	A10	2.27	1.67	57.14	57.03	0.32	0.23
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.27	1.67	19.05	19.70	-1.41	-1.01
Kansas	B12	0.30	0.25	95.65	91.32	0.28	0.21
UC Davis	BW	0.30	0.22	35.00	33.21	-0.09	-0.07
Portland St.	BSky	0.30	0.28	38.10	39.65	-0.07	-0.06
Utah Valley	GWC	0.26	0.23	36.84	39.02	-0.07	-0.05
Missouri	B12	0.26	0.20	73.91	70.60	0.12	0.08
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.26	0.19	33.33	46.80	-0.09	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.26	0.17	59.09	52.85	0.05	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.26	0.22	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.25	0.19	69.57	63.55	0.10	0.05
Idaho St.	BSky	0.25	0.20	19.05	24.00	-0.16	-0.10
Montana	BSky	0.25	0.20	68.18	70.35	0.09	0.08
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.25	0.20	39.13	43.30	-0.05	-0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.25	0.17	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.25	0.19	61.90	65.68	0.06	0.06
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.25	0.17	18.18	19.18	-0.16	-0.11
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.23	0.16	12.00	18.82	-0.18	-0.10
Kansas St.	B12	0.22	0.23	81.82	79.60	0.14	0.14
Texas	B12	0.21	0.20	82.61	78.76	0.14	0.11
Texas A&M	B12	0.20	0.17	72.73	66.85	0.09	0.06
Montana St.	BSky	0.20	0.14	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.20	0.17	31.82	32.31	-0.07	-0.06
Cal Poly	BW	0.20	0.14	36.36	36.06	-0.05	-0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.19	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.20	0.16	87.50	87.42	0.15	0.12
Gonzaga	WCC	0.16	0.14	81.82	83.61	0.10	0.10
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.15	0.11	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.15	0.12	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.15	0.08	61.90	56.12	0.04	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.15	0.11	86.96	84.62	0.11	0.08
Wright St.	Horz	0.15	0.12	62.50	65.32	0.04	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.15	0.08	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.15	0.08	36.36	40.08	-0.04	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.15	0.17	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.15	0.14	33.33	33.43	-0.05	-0.05
San Jose St.	WAC	0.15	0.16	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.15	0.11	33.33	36.45	-0.05	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.15	0.14	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.15	0.14	68.18	68.10	0.05	0.05
San Diego St.	MWC	0.15	0.14	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.09	61.90	65.04	0.03	0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.13	0.07	15.79	27.84	-0.09	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.13	0.07	8.70	9.54	-0.10	-0.05
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.06	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.10	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.05
Lamar	Slnd	0.11	0.09	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.11	0.09	22.22	26.51	-0.06	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.11	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.06	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.09	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	11.11	20.93	-0.08	-0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.03
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.17	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.08
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.12	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.08
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.08	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.08	87.50	83.52	0.08	0.06
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.08	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.08	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.05
Harvard	Ivy	0.10	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.08	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.05	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.11	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.06
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.11	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.07
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.11	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.08	27.27	25.31	-0.04	-0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.09	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.10	0.11	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.08	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.10	0.14	60.00	59.64	0.02	0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.05	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.06	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.03	0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.06
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.00	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.00	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Oregon St.	P10	26.23	26.35	42.55	37.34	-3.91	-6.67
Southern California	P10	2.92	4.28	63.64	60.77	0.80	0.92
Washington	P10	2.92	4.28	68.18	67.48	1.06	1.50
Arizona	P10	2.88	4.25	54.55	54.49	0.26	0.38
UCLA	P10	2.87	4.25	45.45	40.85	-0.26	-0.78
Oregon	P10	4.99	4.25	60.00	52.30	1.00	0.20
Stanford	P10	2.87	4.25	40.91	40.90	-0.52	-0.77
Washington St.	P10	2.87	4.25	61.90	57.54	0.68	0.64
Arizona St.	P10	2.83	4.23	65.22	65.75	0.86	1.33
California	P10	2.82	4.22	63.64	66.77	0.77	1.42
Texas Tech	B12	2.49	1.90	66.67	57.89	0.83	0.30
Seattle	ind	2.42	1.84	43.48	47.17	-0.32	-0.10
Nebraska	B12	2.38	1.81	54.55	48.77	0.22	-0.04
Colorado	B12	2.37	1.80	45.00	42.06	-0.24	-0.29
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.43	1.78	23.81	28.23	-1.27	-0.78
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	2.32	1.78	23.81	22.17	-1.22	-0.99
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.37	1.78	27.27	26.38	-1.08	-0.84
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	2.39	1.73	44.44	50.72	-0.27	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	2.38	1.73	52.94	63.05	0.14	0.45
Fresno St.	WAC	2.32	1.72	50.00	50.61	0.00	0.02
George Washington	A10	2.27	1.67	57.14	57.03	0.32	0.23
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.27	1.67	19.05	19.70	-1.41	-1.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.30	0.28	38.10	39.65	-0.07	-0.06
Kansas	B12	0.30	0.25	95.65	91.32	0.28	0.21
Utah Valley	GWC	0.26	0.23	36.84	39.02	-0.07	-0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.22	0.23	81.82	79.60	0.14	0.14
Iowa St.	B12	0.26	0.22	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.30	0.22	35.00	33.21	-0.09	-0.07
Idaho St.	BSky	0.25	0.20	19.05	24.00	-0.16	-0.10
Texas	B12	0.21	0.20	82.61	78.76	0.14	0.11
Montana	BSky	0.25	0.20	68.18	70.35	0.09	0.08
Missouri	B12	0.26	0.20	73.91	70.60	0.12	0.08
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.25	0.20	39.13	43.30	-0.05	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.19	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.26	0.19	33.33	46.80	-0.09	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.25	0.19	69.57	63.55	0.10	0.05
Portland	WCC	0.25	0.19	61.90	65.68	0.06	0.06
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.25	0.17	18.18	19.18	-0.16	-0.11
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.25	0.17	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.20	0.17	31.82	32.31	-0.07	-0.06
Colorado St.	MWC	0.26	0.17	59.09	52.85	0.05	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.15	0.17	59.09	51.13	0.03	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.20	0.17	72.73	66.85	0.09	0.06
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.17	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.08
San Jose St.	WAC	0.15	0.16	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.20	0.16	87.50	87.42	0.15	0.12
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.23	0.16	12.00	18.82	-0.18	-0.10
Montana St.	BSky	0.20	0.14	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.16	0.14	81.82	83.61	0.10	0.10
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.15	0.14	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.15	0.14	68.18	68.10	0.05	0.05
San Diego	WCC	0.15	0.14	33.33	33.43	-0.05	-0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.20	0.14	36.36	36.06	-0.05	-0.04
San Diego St.	MWC	0.15	0.14	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.10	0.14	60.00	59.64	0.02	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.12	36.84	36.82	-0.03	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.12	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.08
Detroit	Horz	0.15	0.12	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.15	0.12	62.50	65.32	0.04	0.04
UC Riverside	BW	0.15	0.11	33.33	36.45	-0.05	-0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.15	0.11	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.11	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.07
St. Mary's	WCC	0.15	0.11	86.96	84.62	0.11	0.08
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.10	0.11	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.11	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.11	61.90	56.37	0.02	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.15	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.10	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.06
Lamar	Slnd	0.11	0.09	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.11	0.09	22.22	26.51	-0.06	-0.04
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.09	61.90	65.04	0.03	0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	11.11	20.93	-0.08	-0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.09	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.09	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.05
UC Irvine	BW	0.15	0.08	36.36	40.08	-0.04	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.10	0.08	70.59	70.98	0.04	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.15	0.08	61.90	56.12	0.04	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.08	87.50	83.52	0.08	0.06
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.08	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.08	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.04
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.08	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.15	0.08	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.08	27.27	25.31	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.08	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.05
North Dakota	GWC	0.13	0.07	15.79	27.84	-0.09	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.13	0.07	8.70	9.54	-0.10	-0.05
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.07	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.06	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.06	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.04	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.11	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.06	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.03	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.10	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.05	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.06	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.05	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.06	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.03	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.00	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.00	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Washington	P10	2.92	4.28	68.18	67.48	1.06	1.50
Oregon	P10	4.99	4.25	60.00	52.30	1.00	0.20
Arizona St.	P10	2.83	4.23	65.22	65.75	0.86	1.33
Texas Tech	B12	2.49	1.90	66.67	57.89	0.83	0.30
Southern California	P10	2.92	4.28	63.64	60.77	0.80	0.92
California	P10	2.82	4.22	63.64	66.77	0.77	1.42
Washington St.	P10	2.87	4.25	61.90	57.54	0.68	0.64
George Washington	A10	2.27	1.67	57.14	57.03	0.32	0.23
Kansas	B12	0.30	0.25	95.65	91.32	0.28	0.21
Arizona	P10	2.88	4.25	54.55	54.49	0.26	0.38
Nebraska	B12	2.38	1.81	54.55	48.77	0.22	-0.04
Brigham Young	MWC	0.20	0.16	87.50	87.42	0.15	0.12
South Dakota	GWC	2.38	1.73	52.94	63.05	0.14	0.45