The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Gardner Webb page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Gardner Webb

Conference:		BSth
Expected RPI:		310.3
Current RPI:		294
Expected SOS:		257
Current SOS:		183
Current Record:		4-16
Expected Record:		6-20
Current Conf Record:		4-9
Expected Conf Record:		6-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-9
Current OOC Record:		0-7
Expected OOC Record:		0-8
Expected OOC RPI:		309
Expected OOC SOS:		53

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
10-16	250.8	0.05%
9-17	269.3	1.30%
8-18	286.7	8.26%
7-19	301.9	24.63%
6-20	312.7	35.21%
5-21	321.0	24.27%
4-22	328.4	6.27%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Gardner Webb.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-23	North Carolina (84.6)	ACC	A	72-93	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Western Carolina (113.2)	SC	H	59-75	L	0%	0.0
12-4	NC Asheville (247.8)	BSth	H	56-58	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Charlotte (46.6)	A10	A	66-95	L	0%	0.0
12-15	Duke (3.7)	ACC	A	68-113	L	0%	0.0
12-17	James Madison (252.8)	CAA	H	57-78	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Penn St. (210.9)	B10	A	57-104	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Texas (19.1)	B12	A	63-95	L	0%	0.0
1-2	High Point (269.0)	BSth	A	68-78	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Radford (173.6)	BSth	A	45-75	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Charleston Southern (268.6)	BSth	H	64-61	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Coastal Carolina (129.4)	BSth	H	64-80	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Liberty (253.0)	BSth	A	57-68	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Virginia Military Inst (317.0)	BSth	A	92-84	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Presbyterian (326.0)	BSth	H	64-57	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Winthrop (182.9)	BSth	H	45-65	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Radford (173.6)	BSth	H	73-80	L	0%	0.0
1-30	High Point (269.0)	BSth	H	80-82	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Coastal Carolina (129.4)	BSth	A	60-96	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Charleston Southern (268.6)	BSth	A	82-73	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Virginia Military Inst (317.0)	BSth	H	0-0		60%	2.7
2-13	Liberty (253.0)	BSth	H	0-0		47%	-0.7
2-16	Winthrop (182.9)	BSth	A	0-0		7%	-15.8
2-20	Elon (273.3)	SC	H	0-0		41%	-2.6
2-23	Presbyterian (326.0)	BSth	A	0-0		34%	-4.5
2-27	NC Asheville (247.8)	BSth	A	0-0		22%	-8.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Gardner Webb's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Gardner Webb's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Gardner Webb.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Gardner Webb	BSth	26.64	26.56	20.83	23.52	-15.54	-14.06
Radford	BSth	6.01	5.07	47.37	52.78	-0.32	0.28
Coastal Carolina	BSth	5.89	5.07	78.95	80.64	3.41	3.11
High Point	BSth	5.84	5.01	36.84	39.92	-1.54	-1.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	5.82	4.99	44.44	43.58	-0.65	-0.64
NC Asheville	BSth	3.81	5.07	30.00	33.43	-1.52	-1.68
Presbyterian	BSth	3.65	5.05	13.04	14.05	-2.70	-3.63
Winthrop	BSth	3.64	5.04	50.00	51.46	0.00	0.15
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	3.50	4.99	22.22	22.64	-1.95	-2.73
Liberty	BSth	3.40	5.01	40.00	38.73	-0.68	-1.13
Duke	ACC	2.79	2.16	81.82	81.75	1.78	1.37
Charlotte	A10	2.67	2.13	77.27	70.76	1.46	0.89
James Madison	CAA	2.62	1.99	39.13	36.55	-0.57	-0.54
Western Carolina	SC	2.61	2.09	66.67	65.18	0.87	0.64
Texas	B12	2.61	1.99	78.26	76.24	1.48	1.04
North Carolina	ACC	2.60	2.08	54.55	50.31	0.24	0.01
Penn St.	B10	2.50	1.92	31.82	29.87	-0.91	-0.77
College of Charleston	SC	0.41	0.32	64.00	62.73	0.12	0.08
Clemson	ACC	0.39	0.33	69.57	66.83	0.15	0.11
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.35	0.28	81.82	72.56	0.23	0.13
Georgia Southern	SC	0.35	0.24	17.39	20.02	-0.23	-0.15
George Mason	CAA	0.35	0.28	62.50	57.77	0.09	0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.34	0.28	4.76	9.60	-0.31	-0.22
Elon	SC	0.29	2.10	22.73	24.97	-0.16	-1.05
Auburn	SEC	0.24	0.15	45.45	42.64	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.24	0.14	55.56	56.61	0.03	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.23	0.14	65.22	62.02	0.07	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.23	0.20	76.19	71.16	0.12	0.08
William & Mary	CAA	0.22	0.13	68.18	66.69	0.08	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.22	0.16	72.73	68.10	0.10	0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.21	0.19	75.00	73.71	0.11	0.09
Maryland	ACC	0.18	0.17	71.43	67.91	0.08	0.06
Duquesne	A10	0.18	0.14	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.17	0.10	66.67	65.51	0.06	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.17	0.21	57.14	61.39	0.02	0.05
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.17	0.25	29.17	31.02	-0.07	-0.09
Kansas	B12	0.17	0.10	95.83	93.08	0.16	0.09
Furman	SC	0.17	0.24	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.17	0.20	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.17	0.17	72.00	73.57	0.07	0.08
Wisconsin	B10	0.16	0.10	78.26	78.94	0.09	0.06
Illinois	B10	0.16	0.13	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.13	0.08	35.00	30.57	-0.04	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.13	0.08	14.29	15.66	-0.09	-0.05
The Citadel	SC	0.13	0.14	47.83	48.93	-0.01	-0.00
Richmond	A10	0.12	0.14	75.00	71.22	0.06	0.06
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.12	0.07	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.12	0.07	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.12	0.10	27.27	31.42	-0.05	-0.04
Navy	Pat	0.12	0.10	47.83	44.79	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.12	0.07	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.03
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.12	0.14	17.39	20.22	-0.08	-0.08
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.12	0.07	28.57	27.82	-0.05	-0.03
Campbell	ASun	0.12	0.11	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.12	0.17	66.67	67.98	0.04	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.10	95.65	88.68	0.10	0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	81.82	75.63	0.07	0.05
Davidson	SC	0.11	0.13	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.11	0.17	20.83	23.58	-0.06	-0.09
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.10	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.09	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.06	63.64	64.63	0.03	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.11	0.06	16.67	19.93	-0.07	-0.04
Temple	A10	0.11	0.06	79.17	77.60	0.06	0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.11	0.09	66.67	57.28	0.04	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	56.52	0.02	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.06	24.00	23.72	-0.06	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.11	0.06	9.52	8.90	-0.09	-0.05
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.10	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
Iowa	B10	0.11	0.06	33.33	30.81	-0.04	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.11	0.06	42.86	45.64	-0.02	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.11	0.06	8.33	10.42	-0.09	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.13	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.07
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.06	26.09	26.14	-0.05	-0.03
Army	Pat	0.07	0.08	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.08	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.07	55.00	51.98	0.01	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.07	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.07	60.87	55.48	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.07	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.14	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.05
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.36	0.02	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.07	20.00	24.03	-0.04	-0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.03	39.13	38.66	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.13	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.06	0.13	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.05
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.74	-0.03	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.93	-0.03	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	73.91	69.55	0.03	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.45	0.03	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.79	0.04	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	64.00	63.77	0.02	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.60	-0.01	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.23	0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.05	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.57	-0.02	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.62	-0.01	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	27.78	28.62	-0.02	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.44	0.02	0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.07	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.74	0.03	0.03
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.10	72.73	71.93	0.02	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	29.17	29.51	-0.02	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.69	0.02	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.03	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.14	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.51	0.04	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.03	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	18.18	20.35	-0.03	-0.04
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.64	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.83	-0.04	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	40.06	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.00	0.03	44.00	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.07	65.22	64.72	0.00	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.00	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	69.57	70.34	0.00	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.00	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.06	68.18	62.71	0.00	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.00	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.48	0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.53	0.00	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.58	-0.00	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	70.95	0.00	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.00	0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Gardner Webb	BSth	26.64	26.56	20.83	23.52	-15.54	-14.06
Coastal Carolina	BSth	5.89	5.07	78.95	80.64	3.41	3.11
Radford	BSth	6.01	5.07	47.37	52.78	-0.32	0.28
NC Asheville	BSth	3.81	5.07	30.00	33.43	-1.52	-1.68
Presbyterian	BSth	3.65	5.05	13.04	14.05	-2.70	-3.63
Winthrop	BSth	3.64	5.04	50.00	51.46	0.00	0.15
High Point	BSth	5.84	5.01	36.84	39.92	-1.54	-1.01
Liberty	BSth	3.40	5.01	40.00	38.73	-0.68	-1.13
Charleston Southern	BSth	5.82	4.99	44.44	43.58	-0.65	-0.64
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	3.50	4.99	22.22	22.64	-1.95	-2.73
Duke	ACC	2.79	2.16	81.82	81.75	1.78	1.37
Charlotte	A10	2.67	2.13	77.27	70.76	1.46	0.89
Elon	SC	0.29	2.10	22.73	24.97	-0.16	-1.05
Western Carolina	SC	2.61	2.09	66.67	65.18	0.87	0.64
North Carolina	ACC	2.60	2.08	54.55	50.31	0.24	0.01
James Madison	CAA	2.62	1.99	39.13	36.55	-0.57	-0.54
Texas	B12	2.61	1.99	78.26	76.24	1.48	1.04
Penn St.	B10	2.50	1.92	31.82	29.87	-0.91	-0.77
Clemson	ACC	0.39	0.33	69.57	66.83	0.15	0.11
College of Charleston	SC	0.41	0.32	64.00	62.73	0.12	0.08
George Mason	CAA	0.35	0.28	62.50	57.77	0.09	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.35	0.28	81.82	72.56	0.23	0.13
North Carolina Central	ind	0.34	0.28	4.76	9.60	-0.31	-0.22
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.17	0.25	29.17	31.02	-0.07	-0.09
Georgia Southern	SC	0.35	0.24	17.39	20.02	-0.23	-0.15
Furman	SC	0.17	0.24	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.17	0.21	57.14	61.39	0.02	0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.17	0.20	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.23	0.20	76.19	71.16	0.12	0.08
Ohio St.	B10	0.21	0.19	75.00	73.71	0.11	0.09
Wofford	SC	0.12	0.17	66.67	67.98	0.04	0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.18	0.17	71.43	67.91	0.08	0.06
NC Greensboro	SC	0.11	0.17	20.83	23.58	-0.06	-0.09
Old Dominion	CAA	0.17	0.17	72.00	73.57	0.07	0.08
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.22	0.16	72.73	68.10	0.10	0.06
Auburn	SEC	0.24	0.15	45.45	42.64	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.13	0.14	47.83	48.93	-0.01	-0.00
Richmond	A10	0.12	0.14	75.00	71.22	0.06	0.06
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.24	0.14	55.56	56.61	0.03	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.12	0.14	17.39	20.22	-0.08	-0.08
Duquesne	A10	0.18	0.14	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.23	0.14	65.22	62.02	0.07	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.14	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.05
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.13	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.06	0.13	28.57	31.10	-0.02	-0.05
Davidson	SC	0.11	0.13	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.22	0.13	68.18	66.69	0.08	0.04
Illinois	B10	0.16	0.13	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.13	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.07
Campbell	ASun	0.12	0.11	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	81.82	75.63	0.07	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.10	95.65	88.68	0.10	0.08
Navy	Pat	0.12	0.10	47.83	44.79	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.17	0.10	95.83	93.08	0.16	0.09
Longwood	ind	0.12	0.10	27.27	31.42	-0.05	-0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.17	0.10	66.67	65.51	0.06	0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.10	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.10	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.10	72.73	71.93	0.02	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.16	0.10	78.26	78.94	0.09	0.06
Virginia	ACC	0.11	0.09	66.67	57.28	0.04	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.09	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.07	0.08	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.08	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.13	0.08	35.00	30.57	-0.04	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.13	0.08	14.29	15.66	-0.09	-0.05
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.07	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.07	55.00	51.98	0.01	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.12	0.07	39.13	43.30	-0.03	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.07	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.07	60.87	55.48	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.07	65.22	64.72	0.00	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.12	0.07	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.36	0.02	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.12	0.07	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.07	20.00	24.03	-0.04	-0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.12	0.07	28.57	27.82	-0.05	-0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.07	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.69	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.00	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.14	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.06	63.64	64.63	0.03	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.79	0.04	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	18.18	20.35	-0.03	-0.04
Temple	A10	0.11	0.06	79.17	77.60	0.06	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.44	0.02	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.11	0.06	9.52	8.90	-0.09	-0.05
Iowa	B10	0.11	0.06	33.33	30.81	-0.04	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.11	0.06	8.33	10.42	-0.09	-0.05
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.11	0.06	16.67	19.93	-0.07	-0.04
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.74	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	56.52	0.02	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.06	24.00	23.72	-0.06	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	73.91	69.55	0.03	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.11	0.06	42.86	45.64	-0.02	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.06	68.18	62.71	0.00	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.10	0.06	26.09	26.14	-0.05	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.00	0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.03	39.13	38.66	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	69.57	70.34	0.00	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.00	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.38	-0.02	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.03	20.00	21.93	-0.03	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.53	0.00	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	64.00	63.77	0.02	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.58	-0.00	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.60	-0.01	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.57	-0.02	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	27.78	28.62	-0.02	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.74	-0.03	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.00	0.03	44.00	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	29.17	29.51	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.45	0.03	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.03	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.00	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.51	0.04	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.48	0.00	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.03	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.64	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.23	0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.05	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.83	-0.04	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	70.95	0.00	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	40.06	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.62	-0.01	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Coastal Carolina	BSth	5.89	5.07	78.95	80.64	3.41	3.11
Duke	ACC	2.79	2.16	81.82	81.75	1.78	1.37
Texas	B12	2.61	1.99	78.26	76.24	1.48	1.04
Charlotte	A10	2.67	2.13	77.27	70.76	1.46	0.89
Western Carolina	SC	2.61	2.09	66.67	65.18	0.87	0.64
North Carolina	ACC	2.60	2.08	54.55	50.31	0.24	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.35	0.28	81.82	72.56	0.23	0.13
Kansas	B12	0.17	0.10	95.83	93.08	0.16	0.09
Clemson	ACC	0.39	0.33	69.57	66.83	0.15	0.11
Wake Forest	ACC	0.23	0.20	76.19	71.16	0.12	0.08
College of Charleston	SC	0.41	0.32	64.00	62.73	0.12	0.08
Ohio St.	B10	0.21	0.19	75.00	73.71	0.11	0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.11	0.10	95.65	88.68	0.10	0.08
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.22	0.16	72.73	68.10	0.10	0.06
Wisconsin	B10	0.16	0.10	78.26	78.94	0.09	0.06
George Mason	CAA	0.35	0.28	62.50	57.77	0.09	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.22	0.13	68.18	66.69	0.08	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.18	0.17	71.43	67.91	0.08	0.06
Old Dominion	CAA	0.17	0.17	72.00	73.57	0.07	0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.11	81.82	75.63	0.07	0.05
Louisville	BE	0.23	0.14	65.22	62.02	0.07	0.03
Temple	A10	0.11	0.06	79.17	77.60	0.06	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.13	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.07
Richmond	A10	0.12	0.14	75.00	71.22	0.06	0.06
Marshall	CUSA	0.17	0.10	66.67	65.51	0.06	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.16	0.13	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.32	0.05	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.79	0.04	0.04
Wofford	SC	0.12	0.17	66.67	67.98	0.04	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.51	0.04	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.11	0.09	66.67	57.28	0.04	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.03	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.45	0.03	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.06	63.64	64.63	0.03	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.17	0.20	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.74	0.03	0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.24	0.14	55.56	56.61	0.03	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	75.00	70.94	0.03	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	73.91	69.55	0.03	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.69	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.36	0.02	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.17	0.21	57.14	61.39	0.02	0.05
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.10	72.73	71.93	0.02	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.14	69.57	67.92	0.02	0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	56.52	0.02	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.44	0.02	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.54	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.15	0.02	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.12	0.11	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.14	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.12	0.07	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	64.00	63.77	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.07	60.87	55.48	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.64	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.06	59.09	51.14	0.01	0.00
Army	Pat	0.07	0.08	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.08	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.06	56.00	55.95	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.07	55.00	51.98	0.01	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.23	0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.11	0.10	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.09	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.00	0.03	44.00	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.18	0.14	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.07	65.22	64.72	0.00	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.00	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	69.57	70.34	0.00	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.00	0.03	52.17	56.49	0.00	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.00	0.06	68.18	62.71	0.00	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.59	0.00	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.48	0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.53	0.00	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.58	-0.00	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	70.95	0.00	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.00	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	3.64	5.04	50.00	51.46	0.00	0.15
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.40	-0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.06	0.13	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.07	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.07	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	45.45	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.12	0.10	47.83	44.79	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.11	0.13	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.13	0.14	47.83	48.93	-0.01	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.05	-0.01	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.62	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.10	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.60	-0.01	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.03	39.13	38.66	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.43	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	40.06	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.07	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.11	0.06	42.86	45.64	-0.02	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.57	-0.02	-0.01