The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Bowling Green page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Bowling Green

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		189.0
Current RPI:		189
Expected SOS:		163
Current SOS:		163
Current Record:		13-16
Expected Record:		13-16
Current Conf Record:		6-11
Expected Conf Record:		6-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-2
Current OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC RPI:		146
Expected OOC SOS:		232

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
13-16		189.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Bowling Green.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-17	Xavier (19.0)	A10	A	57-101	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Iowa (211.0)	B10	A	46-68	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Wisconsin Milwaukee (131.0)	Horz	H	83-90	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Florida International (296.0)	SB	H	67-62	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Savannah St. (316.0)	ind	H	59-51	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Fordham (306.0)	A10	A	67-46	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Canisius (206.0)	MAAC	A	58-54	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Detroit (168.0)	Horz	A	69-73	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Temple (9.0)	A10	A	39-63	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Towson (264.0)	CAA	A	70-69	W	100%	0.0
1-2	St. Louis (86.0)	A10	H	59-50	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Akron (89.0)	MAC	A	45-71	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Buffalo (108.0)	MAC	H	65-68	L	0%	0.0
1-17	Kent St. (47.0)	MAC	A	76-70	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Ohio (95.0)	MAC	H	65-57	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Miami OH (144.0)	MAC	A	52-64	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Eastern Michigan (201.0)	MAC	A	64-61	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Central Michigan (195.0)	MAC	H	52-64	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Toledo (324.0)	MAC	H	58-47	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Ball St. (218.0)	MAC	A	59-64	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Western Michigan (150.0)	MAC	A	64-65	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Northern Illinois (261.0)	MAC	H	73-69	W	100%	0.0
2-14	Miami OH (144.0)	MAC	H	67-64	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Buffalo (108.0)	MAC	A	51-64	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Valparaiso (186.0)	Horz	H	87-70	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Kent St. (47.0)	MAC	H	69-75	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Akron (89.0)	MAC	H	68-74	L	0%	0.0
3-4	Ohio (95.0)	MAC	A	60-82	L	0%	0.0
3-7	Western Michigan (150.0)	MAC	A	73-75	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Bowling Green's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Bowling Green's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Bowling Green.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Bowling Green	MAC	26.14	26.14	46.46	46.46	-1.85	-1.85
Miami OH	MAC	4.30	4.30	43.33	43.33	-0.57	-0.57
Ohio	MAC	4.28	4.28	59.38	59.38	0.80	0.80
Akron	MAC	4.25	4.25	67.74	67.74	1.51	1.51
Buffalo	MAC	4.21	4.21	55.56	55.56	0.47	0.47
Kent St.	MAC	4.16	4.16	72.41	72.41	1.86	1.86
Western Michigan	MAC	4.14	4.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.47	2.47	51.72	51.72	0.09	0.09
Ball St.	MAC	2.44	2.44	46.43	46.43	-0.17	-0.17
Toledo	MAC	2.43	2.43	10.00	10.00	-1.94	-1.94
Central Michigan	MAC	2.41	2.41	46.43	46.43	-0.17	-0.17
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.39	2.39	34.48	34.48	-0.74	-0.74
Detroit	Horz	1.98	1.98	56.25	56.25	0.25	0.25
Temple	A10	1.98	1.98	84.85	84.85	1.38	1.38
Valparaiso	Horz	1.97	1.97	42.86	42.86	-0.28	-0.28
Xavier	A10	1.95	1.95	74.19	74.19	0.94	0.94
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	1.89	1.89	54.84	54.84	0.18	0.18
Towson	CAA	1.84	1.84	33.33	33.33	-0.61	-0.61
Fordham	A10	1.83	1.83	7.41	7.41	-1.56	-1.56
Canisius	MAAC	1.81	1.81	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
St. Louis	A10	1.81	1.81	65.52	65.52	0.56	0.56
Florida International	SB	1.72	1.72	20.00	20.00	-1.03	-1.03
Iowa	B10	1.72	1.72	29.03	29.03	-0.72	-0.72
Savannah St.	ind	1.72	1.72	33.33	33.33	-0.57	-0.57
Wright St.	Horz	0.35	0.35	62.50	62.50	0.09	0.09
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.33	0.33	24.14	24.14	-0.17	-0.17
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.31	0.31	61.29	61.29	0.07	0.07
Dayton	A10	0.31	0.31	62.50	62.50	0.08	0.08
Rhode Island	A10	0.27	0.27	71.88	71.88	0.12	0.12
Butler	Horz	0.25	0.25	87.50	87.50	0.19	0.19
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.25	0.25	21.43	21.43	-0.14	-0.14
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.25	0.25	42.86	42.86	-0.04	-0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.23	0.23	46.67	46.67	-0.02	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.23	0.23	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.22	0.22	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.20	0.20	84.38	84.38	0.14	0.14
Richmond	A10	0.19	0.19	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10
Niagara	MAAC	0.19	0.19	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.17	0.17	39.39	39.39	-0.04	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.16	0.16	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.16	0.16	12.00	12.00	-0.12	-0.12
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
George Washington	A10	0.14	0.14	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.14	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.14	0.14	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.14	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.13	0.13	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.13	0.13	22.58	22.58	-0.07	-0.07
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.12	0.12	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Manhattan	MAAC	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.09	0.09	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.09	0.09	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Troy	SB	0.09	0.09	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.08	0.08	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.08	0.08	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.08	0.08	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Marist	MAAC	0.08	0.08	3.33	3.33	-0.08	-0.08
Illinois St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Drake	MVC	0.08	0.08	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.08	0.08	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.08	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Western Illinois	Sum	0.08	0.08	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Army	Pat	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.88	87.88	0.04	0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.04	0.04	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.04	0.04	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.04	0.04	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.02	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Bowling Green	MAC	26.14	26.14	46.46	46.46	-1.85	-1.85
Miami OH	MAC	4.30	4.30	43.33	43.33	-0.57	-0.57
Ohio	MAC	4.28	4.28	59.38	59.38	0.80	0.80
Akron	MAC	4.25	4.25	67.74	67.74	1.51	1.51
Buffalo	MAC	4.21	4.21	55.56	55.56	0.47	0.47
Kent St.	MAC	4.16	4.16	72.41	72.41	1.86	1.86
Western Michigan	MAC	4.14	4.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.47	2.47	51.72	51.72	0.09	0.09
Ball St.	MAC	2.44	2.44	46.43	46.43	-0.17	-0.17
Toledo	MAC	2.43	2.43	10.00	10.00	-1.94	-1.94
Central Michigan	MAC	2.41	2.41	46.43	46.43	-0.17	-0.17
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.39	2.39	34.48	34.48	-0.74	-0.74
Detroit	Horz	1.98	1.98	56.25	56.25	0.25	0.25
Temple	A10	1.98	1.98	84.85	84.85	1.38	1.38
Valparaiso	Horz	1.97	1.97	42.86	42.86	-0.28	-0.28
Xavier	A10	1.95	1.95	74.19	74.19	0.94	0.94
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	1.89	1.89	54.84	54.84	0.18	0.18
Towson	CAA	1.84	1.84	33.33	33.33	-0.61	-0.61
Fordham	A10	1.83	1.83	7.41	7.41	-1.56	-1.56
Canisius	MAAC	1.81	1.81	48.39	48.39	-0.06	-0.06
St. Louis	A10	1.81	1.81	65.52	65.52	0.56	0.56
Florida International	SB	1.72	1.72	20.00	20.00	-1.03	-1.03
Iowa	B10	1.72	1.72	29.03	29.03	-0.72	-0.72
Savannah St.	ind	1.72	1.72	33.33	33.33	-0.57	-0.57
Wright St.	Horz	0.35	0.35	62.50	62.50	0.09	0.09
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.33	0.33	24.14	24.14	-0.17	-0.17
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.31	0.31	61.29	61.29	0.07	0.07
Dayton	A10	0.31	0.31	62.50	62.50	0.08	0.08
Rhode Island	A10	0.27	0.27	71.88	71.88	0.12	0.12
Butler	Horz	0.25	0.25	87.50	87.50	0.19	0.19
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.25	0.25	21.43	21.43	-0.14	-0.14
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.25	0.25	42.86	42.86	-0.04	-0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.23	0.23	46.67	46.67	-0.02	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.23	0.23	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.22	0.22	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.20	0.20	84.38	84.38	0.14	0.14
Richmond	A10	0.19	0.19	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10
Niagara	MAAC	0.19	0.19	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.17	0.17	39.39	39.39	-0.04	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.16	0.16	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.16	0.16	12.00	12.00	-0.12	-0.12
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
George Washington	A10	0.14	0.14	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.14	0.14	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.14	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.14	0.14	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.14	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.13	0.13	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.13	0.13	22.58	22.58	-0.07	-0.07
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.12	0.12	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.11	0.11	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Manhattan	MAAC	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.09	0.09	73.53	73.53	0.04	0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.09	0.09	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Troy	SB	0.09	0.09	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.08	0.08	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.08	0.08	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.08	0.08	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Marist	MAAC	0.08	0.08	3.33	3.33	-0.08	-0.08
Illinois St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Drake	MVC	0.08	0.08	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.08	0.08	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.08	0.08	29.63	29.63	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Western Illinois	Sum	0.08	0.08	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Army	Pat	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.06	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.88	87.88	0.04	0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.04	0.04	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.04	0.04	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.04	0.04	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.02	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.02	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.03	0.03	59.26	59.26	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Kent St.	MAC	4.16	4.16	72.41	72.41	1.86	1.86
Akron	MAC	4.25	4.25	67.74	67.74	1.51	1.51
Temple	A10	1.98	1.98	84.85	84.85	1.38	1.38
Xavier	A10	1.95	1.95	74.19	74.19	0.94	0.94
Ohio	MAC	4.28	4.28	59.38	59.38	0.80	0.80
St. Louis	A10	1.81	1.81	65.52	65.52	0.56	0.56
Buffalo	MAC	4.21	4.21	55.56	55.56	0.47	0.47
Detroit	Horz	1.98	1.98	56.25	56.25	0.25	0.25
Butler	Horz	0.25	0.25	87.50	87.50	0.19	0.19
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	1.89	1.89	54.84	54.84	0.18	0.18
Purdue	B10	0.20	0.20	84.38	84.38	0.14	0.14
Rhode Island	A10	0.27	0.27	71.88	71.88	0.12	0.12
Richmond	A10	0.19	0.19	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10