The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Bowling Green page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Bowling Green

Conference:		MAC
Expected RPI:		196.6
Current RPI:		185
Expected SOS:		181
Current SOS:		208
Current Record:		10-11
Expected Record:		13-15
Current Conf Record:		4-6
Expected Conf Record:		6-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-2
Current OOC Record:		6-5
Expected OOC Record:		7-5
Expected OOC RPI:		180
Expected OOC SOS:		276

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
17-11	120.2	0.09%
16-12	139.2	1.43%
15-13	158.9	6.67%
14-14	176.7	19.54%
13-15	193.5	30.75%
12-16	210.4	27.05%
11-17	225.9	12.37%
10-18	239.1	2.09%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Bowling Green.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-17	Xavier (26.5)	A10	A	57-101	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Iowa (201.1)	B10	A	46-68	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Wisconsin Milwaukee (161.2)	Horz	H	83-90	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Florida International (287.9)	SB	H	67-62	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Savannah St. (320.5)	ind	H	59-51	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Fordham (295.4)	A10	A	67-46	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Canisius (203.7)	MAAC	A	58-54	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Detroit (164.2)	Horz	A	69-73	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Temple (23.6)	A10	A	39-63	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Towson (288.2)	CAA	A	70-69	W	100%	0.0
1-2	St. Louis (123.7)	A10	H	59-50	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Akron (114.2)	MAC	A	45-71	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Buffalo (134.0)	MAC	H	65-68	L	0%	0.0
1-17	Kent St. (58.3)	MAC	A	76-70	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Ohio (147.2)	MAC	H	65-57	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Miami OH (135.4)	MAC	A	52-64	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Eastern Michigan (211.9)	MAC	A	64-61	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Central Michigan (187.2)	MAC	H	52-64	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Toledo (323.2)	MAC	H	58-47	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Ball St. (208.7)	MAC	A	59-64	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Western Michigan (121.8)	MAC	A	64-65	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Northern Illinois (248.8)	MAC	H	0-0		72%	6.3
2-14	Miami OH (135.4)	MAC	H	0-0		45%	-1.4
2-17	Buffalo (134.0)	MAC	A	0-0		28%	-6.3
2-20	Valparaiso (166.4)	Horz	H	0-0		53%	0.7
2-24	Kent St. (58.3)	MAC	H	0-0		28%	-6.3
2-27	Akron (114.2)	MAC	H	0-0		37%	-3.7
3-4	Ohio (147.2)	MAC	A	0-0		18%	-10.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Bowling Green's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Bowling Green's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Bowling Green.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Bowling Green	MAC	26.12	26.17	52.63	46.90	1.37	-1.62
Miami OH	MAC	3.03	4.37	40.91	45.56	-0.55	-0.39
Western Michigan	MAC	2.92	2.46	52.38	55.04	0.14	0.25
Buffalo	MAC	2.91	4.30	52.63	49.27	0.15	-0.06
Kent St.	MAC	2.87	4.28	72.73	72.79	1.31	1.95
Ball St.	MAC	2.87	2.46	50.00	49.84	0.00	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.86	2.46	50.00	48.63	0.00	-0.07
Toledo	MAC	2.83	2.44	9.09	10.42	-2.31	-1.93
Akron	MAC	2.82	4.28	68.18	64.89	1.02	1.27
Central Michigan	MAC	2.81	2.43	47.37	50.50	-0.15	0.02
Ohio	MAC	2.76	4.25	52.38	51.66	0.13	0.14
Temple	A10	2.65	2.03	78.26	76.85	1.50	1.09
Xavier	A10	2.59	2.03	68.18	70.46	0.94	0.83
Detroit	Horz	2.55	2.01	56.52	56.81	0.33	0.27
Fordham	A10	2.54	1.90	10.00	9.23	-2.03	-1.55
Canisius	MAAC	2.50	1.88	45.83	46.72	-0.21	-0.12
Towson	CAA	2.49	1.91	27.27	27.08	-1.13	-0.88
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	2.48	1.97	47.62	49.24	-0.12	-0.03
St. Louis	A10	2.44	1.88	65.00	58.10	0.73	0.30
Florida International	SB	2.38	1.79	25.00	24.54	-1.19	-0.91
Iowa	B10	2.38	1.79	30.43	28.50	-0.93	-0.77
Savannah St.	ind	2.38	1.79	31.58	32.68	-0.88	-0.62
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.60	2.43	36.36	37.75	-0.16	-0.60
Valparaiso	Horz	0.37	2.03	43.48	43.49	-0.05	-0.26
Dayton	A10	0.32	0.30	72.73	71.93	0.15	0.13
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.32	0.34	21.74	22.22	-0.18	-0.19
Butler	Horz	0.32	0.25	84.00	84.05	0.21	0.17
Duquesne	A10	0.31	0.25	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.27	0.17	4.76	9.60	-0.25	-0.14
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.27	0.31	60.87	57.67	0.06	0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.27	0.37	62.50	65.37	0.07	0.11
James Madison	CAA	0.26	0.18	41.67	38.60	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.26	0.25	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Purdue	B10	0.23	0.22	86.36	81.79	0.16	0.14
Charlotte	A10	0.21	0.15	78.26	71.74	0.12	0.07
La Salle	A10	0.21	0.15	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.21	0.24	86.36	81.53	0.15	0.15
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.21	0.27	28.57	27.82	-0.09	-0.12
Niagara	MAAC	0.21	0.22	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.18	0.12	39.13	41.23	-0.04	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.17	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.17	0.12	19.05	20.74	-0.10	-0.07
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.16	0.22	40.00	42.60	-0.03	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.16	0.15	75.00	71.22	0.08	0.06
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.16	0.12	47.62	49.07	-0.01	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.09	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.16	0.15	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.16	0.12	31.82	31.64	-0.06	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.16	0.18	39.13	36.58	-0.03	-0.05
Northeastern	CAA	0.16	0.12	66.67	68.15	0.05	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.16	0.09	75.00	73.71	0.08	0.04
Robert Morris	NEC	0.16	0.15	64.00	63.77	0.04	0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.16	0.15	29.17	29.51	-0.06	-0.06
Cincinnati	BE	0.16	0.12	60.87	55.48	0.03	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.16	0.09	56.00	55.95	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.15	0.12	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.15	0.09	66.67	64.35	0.05	0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.15	0.12	33.33	35.30	-0.05	-0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.12	79.17	76.61	0.09	0.06
Jacksonville	ASun	0.12	0.11	56.52	59.88	0.02	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.12	0.08	30.00	31.80	-0.05	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.12	0.07	47.83	48.93	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.04	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.09	30.43	32.84	-0.04	-0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.04	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.15	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.07
Creighton	MVC	0.11	0.07	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.10	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.09	0.03	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.11	0.10	68.00	67.16	0.04	0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.11	0.06	8.70	9.55	-0.09	-0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.06	0.00	4.36	-0.11	-0.06
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.07	77.27	73.45	0.06	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.11	0.09	37.50	38.43	-0.03	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.06	34.78	43.27	-0.03	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.11	0.06	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.11	0.09	28.57	31.10	-0.05	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.07	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.11	0.06	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.11	0.06	91.30	85.32	0.09	0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.12	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.11	0.06	65.22	66.14	0.03	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.12	75.00	70.94	0.05	0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.12	77.27	77.14	0.06	0.07
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.21	45.45	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.06	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.10	0.06	8.33	10.42	-0.09	-0.05
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.09	65.22	64.72	0.03	0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.10	0.12	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	70.59	73.00	0.04	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	70.95	0.06	0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.09	54.17	56.01	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.09	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.09	24.00	26.47	-0.05	-0.04
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.21	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.12	20.00	24.03	-0.06	-0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	81.82	72.56	0.06	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.09	84.00	81.56	0.07	0.06
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.06	72.00	70.67	0.04	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.10	0.06	61.90	63.68	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.13	58.33	58.90	0.02	0.02
Army	Pat	0.06	0.07	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.04	80.95	82.07	0.04	0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.03	32.00	31.25	-0.02	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.07	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.08	27.27	31.42	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.04	73.91	70.59	0.03	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.03	70.59	70.97	0.02	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.04	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.08	14.29	15.66	-0.04	-0.06
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.03	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.03	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.06	0.03	65.22	63.02	0.02	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.03	70.83	63.36	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.03	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.07	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.06	0.03	68.18	68.74	0.02	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.07	-0.02	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	64.00	62.73	0.02	0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.06	22.73	26.15	-0.03	-0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.04	-0.03	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	30.79	-0.03	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.64	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.06	78.26	78.94	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	36.36	47.14	-0.01	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.74	0.03	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.58	0.04	0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.77	0.01	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.03	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.68	0.05	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.39	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	79.17	73.38	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	20.83	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.06	29.17	31.02	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.03
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.06	30.43	30.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.53	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.16	0.03	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.71	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.74	-0.03	-0.01
California	P10	0.05	0.03	65.22	68.43	0.02	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.02	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.06	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.83	93.08	0.05	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.09	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.04	0.05
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.93	-0.03	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.00
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.29	0.03	0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.09	0.01	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.59	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.55	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.06	4.17	4.75	-0.04	-0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.51	0.04	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	53.85	51.13	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.79	-0.01	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.05	0.09	47.62	50.37	-0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.00	0.03	73.91	67.69	0.00	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.03	17.39	20.02	-0.00	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.03	15.79	27.70	-0.00	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.00	0.09	69.57	67.92	0.00	0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.42	0.00	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.69	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Bowling Green	MAC	26.12	26.17	52.63	46.90	1.37	-1.62
Miami OH	MAC	3.03	4.37	40.91	45.56	-0.55	-0.39
Buffalo	MAC	2.91	4.30	52.63	49.27	0.15	-0.06
Akron	MAC	2.82	4.28	68.18	64.89	1.02	1.27
Kent St.	MAC	2.87	4.28	72.73	72.79	1.31	1.95
Ohio	MAC	2.76	4.25	52.38	51.66	0.13	0.14
Western Michigan	MAC	2.92	2.46	52.38	55.04	0.14	0.25
Ball St.	MAC	2.87	2.46	50.00	49.84	0.00	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.86	2.46	50.00	48.63	0.00	-0.07
Toledo	MAC	2.83	2.44	9.09	10.42	-2.31	-1.93
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.60	2.43	36.36	37.75	-0.16	-0.60
Central Michigan	MAC	2.81	2.43	47.37	50.50	-0.15	0.02
Temple	A10	2.65	2.03	78.26	76.85	1.50	1.09
Xavier	A10	2.59	2.03	68.18	70.46	0.94	0.83
Valparaiso	Horz	0.37	2.03	43.48	43.49	-0.05	-0.26
Detroit	Horz	2.55	2.01	56.52	56.81	0.33	0.27
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	2.48	1.97	47.62	49.24	-0.12	-0.03
Towson	CAA	2.49	1.91	27.27	27.08	-1.13	-0.88
Fordham	A10	2.54	1.90	10.00	9.23	-2.03	-1.55
Canisius	MAAC	2.50	1.88	45.83	46.72	-0.21	-0.12
St. Louis	A10	2.44	1.88	65.00	58.10	0.73	0.30
Florida International	SB	2.38	1.79	25.00	24.54	-1.19	-0.91
Iowa	B10	2.38	1.79	30.43	28.50	-0.93	-0.77
Savannah St.	ind	2.38	1.79	31.58	32.68	-0.88	-0.62
Wright St.	Horz	0.27	0.37	62.50	65.37	0.07	0.11
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.32	0.34	21.74	22.22	-0.18	-0.19
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.27	0.31	60.87	57.67	0.06	0.05
Dayton	A10	0.32	0.30	72.73	71.93	0.15	0.13
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.21	0.27	28.57	27.82	-0.09	-0.12
Duquesne	A10	0.31	0.25	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.32	0.25	84.00	84.05	0.21	0.17
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.26	0.25	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.21	0.24	86.36	81.53	0.15	0.15
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.16	0.22	40.00	42.60	-0.03	-0.03
Purdue	B10	0.23	0.22	86.36	81.79	0.16	0.14
Niagara	MAAC	0.21	0.22	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.21	45.45	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.26	0.18	41.67	38.60	-0.04	-0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.16	0.18	39.13	36.58	-0.03	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.27	0.17	4.76	9.60	-0.25	-0.14
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.15	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.07
George Washington	A10	0.16	0.15	54.55	55.03	0.01	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.16	0.15	75.00	71.22	0.08	0.06
Charlotte	A10	0.21	0.15	78.26	71.74	0.12	0.07
La Salle	A10	0.21	0.15	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.16	0.15	29.17	29.51	-0.06	-0.06
Robert Morris	NEC	0.16	0.15	64.00	63.77	0.04	0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.10	0.13	58.33	58.90	0.02	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.17	0.12	19.05	20.74	-0.10	-0.07
Manhattan	MAAC	0.15	0.12	33.33	35.30	-0.05	-0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.16	0.12	47.62	49.07	-0.01	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.18	0.12	39.13	41.23	-0.04	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.16	0.12	31.82	31.64	-0.06	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.12	20.00	24.03	-0.06	-0.06
Northeastern	CAA	0.16	0.12	66.67	68.15	0.05	0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.12	77.27	77.14	0.06	0.07
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.12	79.17	76.61	0.09	0.06
Illinois	B10	0.15	0.12	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.12	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.16	0.12	60.87	55.48	0.03	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.10	0.12	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.12	75.00	70.94	0.05	0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.12	0.11	56.52	59.88	0.02	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.11	0.10	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.11	0.10	68.00	67.16	0.04	0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.09	30.43	32.84	-0.04	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.11	0.09	37.50	38.43	-0.03	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.17	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.09	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.15	0.09	66.67	64.35	0.05	0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.09	66.67	63.46	0.04	0.02
Samford	SC	0.11	0.09	28.57	31.10	-0.05	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.09	65.22	62.09	0.03	0.02
Troy	SB	0.05	0.09	47.62	50.37	-0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.16	0.09	56.00	55.95	0.02	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.10	0.09	54.17	56.01	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.16	0.09	75.00	73.71	0.08	0.04
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.09	65.22	64.72	0.03	0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.10	0.09	24.00	26.47	-0.05	-0.04
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	70.95	0.06	0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.09	63.64	64.63	0.01	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.00	0.09	69.57	67.92	0.00	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.09	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.09	84.00	81.56	0.07	0.06
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.09	45.45	44.04	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.08	27.27	31.42	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.08	14.29	15.66	-0.04	-0.06
Western Illinois	Sum	0.12	0.08	30.00	31.80	-0.05	-0.03
The Citadel	SC	0.12	0.07	47.83	48.93	-0.01	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.11	0.07	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.07	43.48	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.11	0.07	77.27	73.45	0.06	0.03
Army	Pat	0.06	0.07	57.14	59.01	0.01	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.07	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.06	34.78	43.27	-0.03	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.04	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.11	0.06	8.70	9.55	-0.09	-0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.11	0.06	0.00	4.36	-0.11	-0.06
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.29	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.06	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.11	0.06	52.17	53.91	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.06	45.83	47.79	-0.01	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.06	29.17	31.02	-0.02	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.06	0.06	54.55	54.07	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.11	0.06	54.55	49.23	0.01	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.11	0.06	91.30	85.32	0.09	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.11	0.06	65.22	66.14	0.03	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.10	0.06	8.33	10.42	-0.09	-0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	70.59	73.00	0.04	0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.20	0.04	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.06	78.26	78.94	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	36.36	47.14	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.06	42.86	40.57	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.06	22.73	26.15	-0.03	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.06	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.10	0.06	72.00	70.67	0.04	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.68	0.05	0.05
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.06	79.17	73.38	0.03	0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	51.55	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.06	4.17	4.75	-0.04	-0.05
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	20.83	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.04
New Orleans	SB	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	30.79	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.10	0.06	61.90	63.68	0.02	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	53.85	51.13	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.06	30.43	30.24	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.37	52.56	-0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.53	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.06	68.18	66.42	0.00	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.98	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.71	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.06	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.21	-0.03	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.10	0.06	81.82	72.56	0.06	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.04	80.95	82.07	0.04	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.04	73.91	70.59	0.03	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.04	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.06	0.03	32.00	31.25	-0.02	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.03	17.39	20.02	-0.00	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.06	0.03	65.22	63.02	0.02	0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.03	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.03	70.59	70.97	0.02	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.06	0.03	68.18	68.74	0.02	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.03	45.45	44.05	-0.01	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.06	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.03	60.00	63.84	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.07	-0.02	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	64.00	62.73	0.02	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.77	0.01	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.06	0.03	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.04	-0.03	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.03	21.74	24.91	-0.03	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.85	0.02	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.00	0.03	15.79	27.70	-0.00	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.03	70.83	63.36	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.64	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.81	-0.01	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.69	0.00	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.74	-0.03	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.09	0.01	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.74	0.03	0.01
California	P10	0.05	0.03	65.22	68.43	0.02	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.58	0.04	0.02
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.59	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.90	-0.02	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.00	0.03	73.91	67.69	0.00	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.55	0.02	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.03	0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.39	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.51	0.04	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.79	-0.01	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.16	0.03	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.83	93.08	0.05	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.93	-0.03	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.81	-0.00	0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.50	0.01	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.00
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.29	0.03	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Temple	A10	2.65	2.03	78.26	76.85	1.50	1.09
Bowling Green	MAC	26.12	26.17	52.63	46.90	1.37	-1.62
Kent St.	MAC	2.87	4.28	72.73	72.79	1.31	1.95
Akron	MAC	2.82	4.28	68.18	64.89	1.02	1.27
Xavier	A10	2.59	2.03	68.18	70.46	0.94	0.83
St. Louis	A10	2.44	1.88	65.00	58.10	0.73	0.30
Detroit	Horz	2.55	2.01	56.52	56.81	0.33	0.27