The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Arizona St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Arizona St.

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		63.0
Current RPI:		63
Expected SOS:		80
Current SOS:		80
Current Record:		22-10
Expected Record:		22-10
Current Conf Record:		12-7
Expected Conf Record:		12-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		12-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-0
Current OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC RPI:		54
Expected OOC SOS:		58

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
22-10		63.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arizona St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Western Illinois (280.0)	Sum	H	87-35	W	100%	0.0
11-16	Texas St. (243.0)	Slnd	H	84-62	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Texas Christian (188.0)	MWC	H	52-49	W	100%	0.0
11-20	San Francisco (205.0)	WCC	H	104-65	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Duke (3.0)	ACC	N	53-64	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Louisiana St. (224.0)	SEC	N	71-52	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Arkansas Pine Bluff (184.0)	SWAC	H	74-57	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Baylor (8.0)	B12	H	61-64	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Brigham Young (23.0)	MWC	A	68-81	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Delaware St. (219.0)	MEAC	H	76-34	W	100%	0.0
12-19	San Diego St. (18.0)	MWC	H	55-52	W	100%	0.0
12-21	UC Santa Barbara (94.0)	BW	H	69-42	W	100%	0.0
12-23	South Carolina Upstate (307.0)	ASun	H	61-52	W	100%	0.0
12-31	UCLA (137.0)	P10	A	70-72	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Southern California (113.0)	P10	A	37-47	L	0%	0.0
1-8	Washington (41.0)	P10	H	68-51	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Washington St. (163.0)	P10	H	71-46	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Oregon (138.0)	P10	A	76-57	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Oregon St. (185.0)	P10	A	66-57	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Arizona (96.0)	P10	H	58-77	L	0%	0.0
1-28	California (20.0)	P10	H	70-78	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Stanford (164.0)	P10	H	88-70	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Washington St. (163.0)	P10	A	81-70	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Washington (41.0)	P10	A	56-79	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Oregon St. (185.0)	P10	H	56-46	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Oregon (138.0)	P10	H	61-51	W	100%	0.0
2-21	Arizona (96.0)	P10	A	73-69	W	100%	0.0
2-25	Stanford (164.0)	P10	A	68-60	W	100%	0.0
2-27	California (20.0)	P10	A	46-62	L	0%	0.0
3-4	Southern California (113.0)	P10	H	59-54	W	100%	0.0
3-6	UCLA (137.0)	P10	H	56-46	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Stanford (164.0)	P10	N	61-70	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Arizona St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Arizona St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Arizona St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arizona St.	P10	26.36	26.36	65.67	65.67	8.26	8.26
Stanford	P10	5.53	5.53	44.83	44.83	-0.57	-0.57
Washington	P10	4.17	4.17	74.19	74.19	2.02	2.02
California	P10	4.14	4.14	67.74	67.74	1.47	1.47
UCLA	P10	4.10	4.10	43.33	43.33	-0.55	-0.55
Oregon	P10	4.09	4.09	53.33	53.33	0.27	0.27
Arizona	P10	4.06	4.06	51.72	51.72	0.14	0.14
Washington St.	P10	4.04	4.04	53.57	53.57	0.29	0.29
Oregon St.	P10	4.01	4.01	48.28	48.28	-0.14	-0.14
Southern California	P10	3.96	3.96	53.57	53.57	0.28	0.28
Brigham Young	MWC	1.77	1.77	84.38	84.38	1.22	1.22
San Diego St.	MWC	1.74	1.74	76.67	76.67	0.93	0.93
Texas Christian	MWC	1.71	1.71	37.93	37.93	-0.41	-0.41
UC Santa Barbara	BW	1.66	1.66	70.37	70.37	0.68	0.68
San Francisco	WCC	1.66	1.66	37.04	37.04	-0.43	-0.43
Louisiana St.	SEC	1.61	1.61	36.67	36.67	-0.43	-0.43
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	1.61	1.61	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
Delaware St.	MEAC	1.61	1.61	56.00	56.00	0.19	0.19
Texas St.	Slnd	1.59	1.59	42.31	42.31	-0.24	-0.24
Baylor	B12	1.56	1.56	76.67	76.67	0.83	0.83
Duke	ACC	1.56	1.56	84.85	84.85	1.09	1.09
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	1.56	1.56	21.43	21.43	-0.89	-0.89
Western Illinois	Sum	1.56	1.56	38.46	38.46	-0.36	-0.36
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.33	0.33	75.00	75.00	0.16	0.16
Colorado St.	MWC	0.30	0.30	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.25	0.25	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.22	0.22	25.81	25.81	-0.11	-0.11
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.22	87.88	87.88	0.17	0.17
San Diego	WCC	0.21	0.21	32.26	32.26	-0.07	-0.07
UC Davis	BW	0.21	0.21	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.20	0.20	45.45	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.20	0.20	27.59	27.59	-0.09	-0.09
Portland	WCC	0.20	0.20	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.18	0.18	83.33	83.33	0.12	0.12
Colorado	B12	0.18	0.18	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.18	0.18	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.17	0.17	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.16	0.16	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.16	0.16	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.16	0.16	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
Texas	B12	0.16	0.16	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.16	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09
Long Beach St.	BW	0.16	0.16	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.15	27.59	27.59	-0.07	-0.07
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.15	0.15	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.15	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
UC Riverside	BW	0.13	0.13	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.13	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.13	80.65	80.65	0.08	0.08
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.13	0.13	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Fresno St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.13	0.13	24.14	24.14	-0.07	-0.07
Idaho St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Kansas	B12	0.12	0.12	94.12	94.12	0.11	0.11
Virginia	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.11	0.11	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.10	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.10	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	94.12	94.12	0.09	0.09
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.10	17.24	17.24	-0.06	-0.06
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.10	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.09	0.09	23.08	23.08	-0.05	-0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.08	0.08	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.08	0.08	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
San Jose St.	WAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.07	0.07	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.07	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	28.00	28.00	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	64.29	64.29	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.04	-0.04
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.05	81.25	81.25	0.03	0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.02	0.02	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	78.79	78.79	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.02	0.02	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.02	0.02	80.00	80.00	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.02	0.02	19.23	19.23	-0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.02	0.02	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arizona St.	P10	26.36	26.36	65.67	65.67	8.26	8.26
Stanford	P10	5.53	5.53	44.83	44.83	-0.57	-0.57
Washington	P10	4.17	4.17	74.19	74.19	2.02	2.02
California	P10	4.14	4.14	67.74	67.74	1.47	1.47
UCLA	P10	4.10	4.10	43.33	43.33	-0.55	-0.55
Oregon	P10	4.09	4.09	53.33	53.33	0.27	0.27
Arizona	P10	4.06	4.06	51.72	51.72	0.14	0.14
Washington St.	P10	4.04	4.04	53.57	53.57	0.29	0.29
Oregon St.	P10	4.01	4.01	48.28	48.28	-0.14	-0.14
Southern California	P10	3.96	3.96	53.57	53.57	0.28	0.28
Brigham Young	MWC	1.77	1.77	84.38	84.38	1.22	1.22
San Diego St.	MWC	1.74	1.74	76.67	76.67	0.93	0.93
Texas Christian	MWC	1.71	1.71	37.93	37.93	-0.41	-0.41
UC Santa Barbara	BW	1.66	1.66	70.37	70.37	0.68	0.68
San Francisco	WCC	1.66	1.66	37.04	37.04	-0.43	-0.43
Louisiana St.	SEC	1.61	1.61	36.67	36.67	-0.43	-0.43
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	1.61	1.61	54.84	54.84	0.16	0.16
Delaware St.	MEAC	1.61	1.61	56.00	56.00	0.19	0.19
Texas St.	Slnd	1.59	1.59	42.31	42.31	-0.24	-0.24
Baylor	B12	1.56	1.56	76.67	76.67	0.83	0.83
Duke	ACC	1.56	1.56	84.85	84.85	1.09	1.09
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	1.56	1.56	21.43	21.43	-0.89	-0.89
Western Illinois	Sum	1.56	1.56	38.46	38.46	-0.36	-0.36
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.33	0.33	75.00	75.00	0.16	0.16
Colorado St.	MWC	0.30	0.30	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.25	0.25	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.22	0.22	25.81	25.81	-0.11	-0.11
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.22	87.88	87.88	0.17	0.17
San Diego	WCC	0.21	0.21	32.26	32.26	-0.07	-0.07
UC Davis	BW	0.21	0.21	40.00	40.00	-0.04	-0.04
Nebraska	B12	0.20	0.20	45.45	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.20	0.20	27.59	27.59	-0.09	-0.09
Portland	WCC	0.20	0.20	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.18	0.18	83.33	83.33	0.12	0.12
Colorado	B12	0.18	0.18	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.18	0.18	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.17	0.17	36.67	36.67	-0.05	-0.05
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.16	0.16	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.16	0.16	34.38	34.38	-0.05	-0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.16	0.16	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
Texas	B12	0.16	0.16	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.16	78.12	78.12	0.09	0.09
Long Beach St.	BW	0.16	0.16	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.15	27.59	27.59	-0.07	-0.07
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.15	0.15	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.15	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
UC Riverside	BW	0.13	0.13	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.13	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.13	80.65	80.65	0.08	0.08
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.13	0.13	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
Fresno St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.13	0.13	24.14	24.14	-0.07	-0.07
Idaho St.	BSky	0.12	0.12	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Kansas	B12	0.12	0.12	94.12	94.12	0.11	0.11
Virginia	ACC	0.12	0.12	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.11	0.11	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.10	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.10	0.10	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.10	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	94.12	94.12	0.09	0.09
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.10	17.24	17.24	-0.06	-0.06
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.10	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.09	0.09	23.08	23.08	-0.05	-0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.08	0.08	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.08	0.08	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
San Jose St.	WAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.07	0.07	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.07	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.06	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	28.00	28.00	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	64.29	64.29	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.04	-0.04
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.05	81.25	81.25	0.03	0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.02	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.02	0.02	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	78.79	78.79	0.01	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.02	0.02	16.13	16.13	-0.02	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.02	0.02	80.00	80.00	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.02	0.02	19.23	19.23	-0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.02	0.02	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arizona St.	P10	26.36	26.36	65.67	65.67	8.26	8.26
Washington	P10	4.17	4.17	74.19	74.19	2.02	2.02
California	P10	4.14	4.14	67.74	67.74	1.47	1.47
Brigham Young	MWC	1.77	1.77	84.38	84.38	1.22	1.22
Duke	ACC	1.56	1.56	84.85	84.85	1.09	1.09
San Diego St.	MWC	1.74	1.74	76.67	76.67	0.93	0.93
Baylor	B12	1.56	1.56	76.67	76.67	0.83	0.83
UC Santa Barbara	BW	1.66	1.66	70.37	70.37	0.68	0.68
Washington St.	P10	4.04	4.04	53.57	53.57	0.29	0.29
Southern California	P10	3.96	3.96	53.57	53.57	0.28	0.28
Oregon	P10	4.09	4.09	53.33	53.33	0.27	0.27
Delaware St.	MEAC	1.61	1.61	56.00	56.00	0.19	0.19