The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Arizona St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Arizona St.

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		71.5
Current RPI:		76
Expected SOS:		93
Current SOS:		82
Current Record:		16-8
Expected Record:		21-10
Current Conf Record:		6-5
Expected Conf Record:		11-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		9-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-0
Current OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC RPI:		70
Expected OOC SOS:		124

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
23-8	53.4	6.22%
22-9	61.5	25.99%
21-10	70.9	37.67%
20-11	81.2	22.68%
19-12	93.6	6.49%
18-13	108.0	0.89%
17-14	125.8	0.05%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arizona St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Western Illinois (307.7)	Sum	H	87-35	W	100%	0.0
11-16	Texas St. (256.5)	Slnd	H	84-62	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Texas Christian (174.6)	MWC	H	52-49	W	100%	0.0
11-20	San Francisco (222.5)	WCC	H	104-65	W	100%	0.0
11-25	Duke (3.7)	ACC	N	53-64	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	N	71-52	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Arkansas Pine Bluff (207.7)	SWAC	H	74-57	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Baylor (23.2)	B12	H	61-64	L	0%	0.0
12-8	Brigham Young (15.9)	MWC	A	68-81	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Delaware St. (236.6)	MEAC	H	76-34	W	100%	0.0
12-19	San Diego St. (44.0)	MWC	H	55-52	W	100%	0.0
12-21	UC Santa Barbara (144.6)	BW	H	69-42	W	100%	0.0
12-23	South Carolina Upstate (298.7)	ASun	H	61-52	W	100%	0.0
12-31	UCLA (146.7)	P10	A	70-72	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Southern California (81.0)	P10	A	37-47	L	0%	0.0
1-8	Washington (50.4)	P10	H	68-51	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Washington St. (111.0)	P10	H	71-46	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Oregon (152.1)	P10	A	76-57	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	A	66-57	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Arizona (81.7)	P10	H	58-77	L	0%	0.0
1-28	California (24.1)	P10	H	70-78	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Stanford (173.0)	P10	H	88-70	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Washington St. (111.0)	P10	A	81-70	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Washington (50.4)	P10	A	56-79	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	H	0-0		93%	16.1
2-13	Oregon (152.1)	P10	H	0-0		89%	13.6
2-21	Arizona (81.7)	P10	A	0-0		55%	1.3
2-25	Stanford (173.0)	P10	A	0-0		67%	4.7
2-27	California (24.1)	P10	A	0-0		28%	-6.2
3-4	Southern California (81.0)	P10	H	0-0		77%	8.0
3-6	UCLA (146.7)	P10	H	0-0		91%	14.5

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Arizona St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Arizona St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Arizona St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arizona St.	P10	26.34	26.35	62.00	64.34	6.32	7.56
Washington	P10	4.68	4.12	71.43	70.20	2.00	1.66
Washington St.	P10	4.67	4.11	70.00	63.15	1.87	1.08
Arizona	P10	2.82	4.14	50.00	52.30	0.00	0.19
UCLA	P10	2.70	4.12	45.45	43.02	-0.25	-0.58
California	P10	2.69	4.12	63.64	67.18	0.73	1.42
Oregon	P10	2.64	4.12	57.14	51.92	0.38	0.16
Southern California	P10	2.64	4.09	59.09	59.47	0.48	0.77
Stanford	P10	2.64	4.09	45.45	44.99	-0.24	-0.41
Oregon St.	P10	2.59	4.09	47.62	42.90	-0.12	-0.58
Brigham Young	MWC	2.27	1.81	86.96	87.00	1.68	1.34
San Diego St.	MWC	2.27	1.81	70.00	70.25	0.91	0.73
San Francisco	WCC	2.27	1.72	33.33	33.55	-0.76	-0.57
Texas Christian	MWC	2.23	1.75	42.86	39.64	-0.32	-0.36
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.23	1.73	63.16	62.02	0.59	0.41
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.18	1.67	40.91	36.60	-0.40	-0.45
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.13	1.67	35.00	48.48	-0.64	-0.05
Texas St.	Slnd	2.13	1.64	38.89	38.29	-0.47	-0.38
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.13	1.67	50.00	52.85	0.00	0.10
Baylor	B12	2.08	1.61	75.00	71.76	1.04	0.70
Duke	ACC	2.08	1.61	81.82	81.74	1.33	1.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	2.08	1.61	19.05	21.80	-1.29	-0.91
Western Illinois	Sum	2.08	1.61	31.58	33.06	-0.77	-0.55
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.32	0.30	81.82	80.91	0.20	0.19
San Diego	WCC	0.28	0.20	33.33	33.43	-0.09	-0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.28	0.22	35.00	30.59	-0.08	-0.09
Colorado St.	MWC	0.28	0.30	59.09	52.85	0.05	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.25	0.14	81.82	79.60	0.16	0.08
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.24	0.17	39.13	43.30	-0.05	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.24	0.19	42.86	40.56	-0.03	-0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.24	0.22	22.73	27.28	-0.13	-0.10
St. Mary's	WCC	0.24	0.20	86.96	84.62	0.18	0.14
New Mexico	MWC	0.24	0.22	87.50	83.52	0.18	0.15
Nebraska	B12	0.23	0.22	56.52	50.42	0.03	0.00
Portland	WCC	0.23	0.22	61.90	65.68	0.05	0.07
Portland St.	BSky	0.23	0.16	38.10	39.65	-0.05	-0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.23	0.24	68.18	59.30	0.08	0.05
Pacific	BW	0.20	0.14	68.18	68.10	0.07	0.05
UC Riverside	BW	0.20	0.14	33.33	36.45	-0.07	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.20	0.12	42.86	45.31	-0.03	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.20	0.17	35.00	33.21	-0.06	-0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.19	0.14	81.82	83.61	0.12	0.10
Utah	MWC	0.19	0.19	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.19	0.13	72.73	68.13	0.08	0.05
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.16	0.09	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.16	0.09	21.05	24.96	-0.09	-0.05
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.16	0.09	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.15	0.12	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.04
Texas	B12	0.15	0.14	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.08
Santa Clara	WCC	0.15	0.12	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.15	0.14	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.15	0.11	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.14	0.15	36.36	36.06	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.14	0.14	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.14	0.14	69.57	63.55	0.06	0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.14	0.14	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.14	0.11	19.05	20.58	-0.09	-0.06
Fresno St.	WAC	0.14	0.14	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.14	0.17	33.33	30.72	-0.05	-0.06
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.08	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.14	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.14	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.11
Texas A&M	B12	0.14	0.11	72.73	66.85	0.06	0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.14	0.14	22.73	21.40	-0.08	-0.08
Jacksonville	ASun	0.14	0.11	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.14	0.11	22.22	26.51	-0.08	-0.05
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.14	0.08	18.18	19.18	-0.09	-0.05
Belmont	ASun	0.14	0.11	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.03
Montana	BSky	0.14	0.11	68.18	70.35	0.05	0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.14	0.11	31.82	30.34	-0.05	-0.04
San Jose St.	WAC	0.14	0.08	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Seattle	ind	0.14	0.11	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.14	0.13	19.05	24.00	-0.08	-0.07
Georgetown	BE	0.14	0.08	77.27	73.36	0.07	0.04
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.12	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.10	70.83	73.80	0.05	0.05
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.09	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	11.11	20.93	-0.08	-0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.12	19.05	22.94	-0.07	-0.07
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.12	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.04
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.10	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.08	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.12	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.11	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.05
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.09	0.08	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.11	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.05	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.05	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.09	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.09	0.05	77.27	75.69	0.05	0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.09	0.11	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.08	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.04
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.05	21.74	24.84	-0.05	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.09	0.11	27.27	25.31	-0.04	-0.06
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.09	0.11	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.05
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.05	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.05	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.05	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.11	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.05	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.07	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.06	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.03	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.07	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.06	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Maine	AE	0.06	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.02	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.07	27.27	29.40	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.02	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.04	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.04	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.04	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.04	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.04	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.05	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.05	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.00	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.00	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arizona St.	P10	26.34	26.35	62.00	64.34	6.32	7.56
Arizona	P10	2.82	4.14	50.00	52.30	0.00	0.19
UCLA	P10	2.70	4.12	45.45	43.02	-0.25	-0.58
California	P10	2.69	4.12	63.64	67.18	0.73	1.42
Washington	P10	4.68	4.12	71.43	70.20	2.00	1.66
Oregon	P10	2.64	4.12	57.14	51.92	0.38	0.16
Washington St.	P10	4.67	4.11	70.00	63.15	1.87	1.08
Oregon St.	P10	2.59	4.09	47.62	42.90	-0.12	-0.58
Southern California	P10	2.64	4.09	59.09	59.47	0.48	0.77
Stanford	P10	2.64	4.09	45.45	44.99	-0.24	-0.41
Brigham Young	MWC	2.27	1.81	86.96	87.00	1.68	1.34
San Diego St.	MWC	2.27	1.81	70.00	70.25	0.91	0.73
Texas Christian	MWC	2.23	1.75	42.86	39.64	-0.32	-0.36
UC Santa Barbara	BW	2.23	1.73	63.16	62.02	0.59	0.41
San Francisco	WCC	2.27	1.72	33.33	33.55	-0.76	-0.57
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.18	1.67	40.91	36.60	-0.40	-0.45
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	2.13	1.67	35.00	48.48	-0.64	-0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.13	1.67	50.00	52.85	0.00	0.10
Texas St.	Slnd	2.13	1.64	38.89	38.29	-0.47	-0.38
Baylor	B12	2.08	1.61	75.00	71.76	1.04	0.70
Duke	ACC	2.08	1.61	81.82	81.74	1.33	1.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	2.08	1.61	19.05	21.80	-1.29	-0.91
Western Illinois	Sum	2.08	1.61	31.58	33.06	-0.77	-0.55
Colorado St.	MWC	0.28	0.30	59.09	52.85	0.05	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.32	0.30	81.82	80.91	0.20	0.19
Texas Tech	B12	0.23	0.24	68.18	59.30	0.08	0.05
Portland	WCC	0.23	0.22	61.90	65.68	0.05	0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.28	0.22	35.00	30.59	-0.08	-0.09
New Mexico	MWC	0.24	0.22	87.50	83.52	0.18	0.15
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.24	0.22	22.73	27.28	-0.13	-0.10
Nebraska	B12	0.23	0.22	56.52	50.42	0.03	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.28	0.20	33.33	33.43	-0.09	-0.07
St. Mary's	WCC	0.24	0.20	86.96	84.62	0.18	0.14
Colorado	B12	0.24	0.19	42.86	40.56	-0.03	-0.04
Utah	MWC	0.19	0.19	45.45	44.32	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.24	0.17	39.13	43.30	-0.05	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.20	0.17	35.00	33.21	-0.06	-0.06
Wyoming	MWC	0.14	0.17	33.33	30.72	-0.05	-0.06
Portland St.	BSky	0.23	0.16	38.10	39.65	-0.05	-0.03
Cal Poly	BW	0.14	0.15	36.36	36.06	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.15	0.14	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.20	0.14	68.18	68.10	0.07	0.05
UC Riverside	BW	0.20	0.14	33.33	36.45	-0.07	-0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.14	0.14	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.25	0.14	81.82	79.60	0.16	0.08
Long Beach St.	BW	0.14	0.14	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.19	0.14	81.82	83.61	0.12	0.10
Texas	B12	0.15	0.14	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.08
Fresno St.	WAC	0.14	0.14	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.14	0.14	22.73	21.40	-0.08	-0.08
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.14	0.14	69.57	63.55	0.06	0.04
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.14	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.11
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.19	0.13	72.73	68.13	0.08	0.05
Idaho St.	BSky	0.14	0.13	19.05	24.00	-0.08	-0.07
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.11	0.12	11.11	20.93	-0.08	-0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.12	19.05	22.94	-0.07	-0.07
Santa Clara	WCC	0.15	0.12	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.20	0.12	42.86	45.31	-0.03	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.15	0.12	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.12	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.12	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.12	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.15	0.11	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.14	0.11	22.22	26.51	-0.08	-0.05
Pepperdine	WCC	0.09	0.11	27.27	25.31	-0.04	-0.06
Southern	SWAC	0.14	0.11	19.05	20.58	-0.09	-0.06
Belmont	ASun	0.14	0.11	60.00	63.83	0.03	0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.14	0.11	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.09	0.11	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.11	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.11	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.14	0.11	72.73	66.85	0.06	0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.14	0.11	31.82	30.34	-0.05	-0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.14	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.11	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.04
Montana	BSky	0.14	0.11	68.18	70.35	0.05	0.04
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.09	0.11	30.43	29.01	-0.04	-0.05
Seattle	ind	0.14	0.11	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.10	70.83	73.80	0.05	0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.16	0.09	21.05	24.96	-0.09	-0.05
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.16	0.09	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.16	0.09	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.09	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.04
San Jose St.	WAC	0.14	0.08	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.08	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.09	0.08	45.00	45.40	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.14	0.08	18.18	19.18	-0.09	-0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.08	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.08	82.61	75.26	0.06	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.08	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.14	0.08	77.27	73.36	0.07	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.07	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.07	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.07	27.27	29.40	-0.03	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.10	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.04
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.02	-0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.10	0.06	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.09	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.05	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.05	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.05	21.74	24.84	-0.05	-0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.09	0.05	77.27	75.69	0.05	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.05	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.05	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.05	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.05	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.05	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.05	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.00	0.05	71.43	67.85	0.00	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.06	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.03	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.06	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Maine	AE	0.06	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.02	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.04	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.04	0.03	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.04	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.00	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.04	0.03	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.00	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.04	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Arizona St.	P10	26.34	26.35	62.00	64.34	6.32	7.56
Washington	P10	4.68	4.12	71.43	70.20	2.00	1.66
Washington St.	P10	4.67	4.11	70.00	63.15	1.87	1.08
Brigham Young	MWC	2.27	1.81	86.96	87.00	1.68	1.34
Duke	ACC	2.08	1.61	81.82	81.74	1.33	1.02
Baylor	B12	2.08	1.61	75.00	71.76	1.04	0.70
San Diego St.	MWC	2.27	1.81	70.00	70.25	0.91	0.73