The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Washington St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Washington St.

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		111.0
Current RPI:		101
Expected SOS:		126
Current SOS:		140
Current Record:		14-8
Expected Record:		17-12
Current Conf Record:		5-6
Expected Conf Record:		8-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-0
Current OOC Record:		9-2
Expected OOC Record:		9-2
Expected OOC RPI:		67
Expected OOC SOS:		275

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
21-8	65.1	0.13%
20-9	73.0	1.88%
19-10	83.5	9.65%
18-11	95.7	22.96%
17-12	110.0	31.85%
16-13	126.5	23.44%
15-14	145.3	8.99%
14-15	162.3	1.09%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Washington St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Mississippi Valley St. (319.2)	SWAC	H	94-66	W	100%	0.0
11-16	Eastern Washington (293.2)	BSky	H	67-61	W	100%	0.0
11-19	IUPU Fort Wayne (241.9)	Sum	H	89-70	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Nicholls St. (292.0)	Slnd	N	78-69	W	100%	0.0
11-28	San Diego (225.4)	WCC	N	93-56	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Gonzaga (35.5)	WCC	A	69-74	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Kansas St. (7.0)	B12	A	69-86	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Idaho (149.2)	WAC	H	76-64	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Air Force (235.8)	MWC	N	75-68	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Portland St. (210.1)	BSky	N	93-69	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	N	72-70	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Oregon (152.1)	P10	H	89-91	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	H	65-60	W	100%	0.0
1-8	Arizona (81.7)	P10	A	78-76	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	A	46-71	L	0%	0.0
1-14	California (24.1)	P10	H	88-93	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Stanford (173.0)	P10	H	77-73	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Southern California (81.0)	P10	A	67-60	W	100%	0.0
1-23	UCLA (146.7)	P10	A	62-74	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Washington (50.4)	P10	A	64-92	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	H	70-81	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Arizona (81.7)	P10	H	78-60	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Stanford (173.0)	P10	A	0-0		39%	-3.0
2-13	California (24.1)	P10	A	0-0		10%	-13.9
2-18	UCLA (146.7)	P10	H	0-0		73%	6.7
2-20	Southern California (81.0)	P10	H	0-0		51%	0.2
2-27	Washington (50.4)	P10	H	0-0		38%	-3.4
3-4	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	A	0-0		51%	0.4
3-6	Oregon (152.1)	P10	A	0-0		42%	-2.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Washington St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Washington St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Washington St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Washington St.	P10	26.33	26.37	62.50	58.38	6.58	4.42
Arizona St.	P10	5.09	4.40	63.64	65.51	1.39	1.36
Arizona	P10	5.04	4.36	57.14	57.49	0.72	0.65
Washington	P10	3.01	4.39	68.18	67.98	1.10	1.58
Stanford	P10	2.97	4.42	45.45	44.00	-0.27	-0.53
Oregon	P10	2.87	4.39	52.38	46.66	0.14	-0.29
Oregon St.	P10	2.87	4.39	47.62	41.42	-0.14	-0.75
California	P10	2.87	4.36	63.64	66.52	0.78	1.44
Southern California	P10	2.87	4.36	63.64	62.11	0.78	1.06
UCLA	P10	2.87	4.36	45.45	42.39	-0.26	-0.66
Eastern Washington	BSky	2.49	1.85	19.05	19.89	-1.54	-1.11
Gonzaga	WCC	2.48	1.88	80.95	83.03	1.53	1.24
Portland St.	BSky	2.47	1.90	40.00	41.11	-0.49	-0.34
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.43	1.81	40.91	36.60	-0.44	-0.49
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.43	1.87	23.81	28.23	-1.27	-0.81
San Diego	WCC	2.37	1.84	34.78	34.62	-0.72	-0.57
Idaho	WAC	2.32	1.75	47.37	50.11	-0.12	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	2.32	1.75	45.00	47.05	-0.23	-0.10
Nicholls St.	Slnd	2.32	1.75	23.53	27.62	-1.23	-0.78
Air Force	MWC	2.27	1.72	36.84	31.76	-0.60	-0.63
Kansas St.	B12	2.27	1.72	80.95	78.87	1.41	1.00
Portland	WCC	0.52	0.41	61.90	65.68	0.12	0.13
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.37	0.27	30.43	29.01	-0.14	-0.11
Seattle	ind	0.32	0.30	45.83	48.87	-0.03	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.30	0.21	87.50	87.42	0.23	0.16
San Diego St.	MWC	0.30	0.21	66.67	67.74	0.10	0.07
San Francisco	WCC	0.29	0.23	31.82	32.31	-0.11	-0.08
Boise St.	WAC	0.27	0.15	45.45	45.95	-0.02	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.26	0.21	45.00	45.40	-0.03	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.26	0.18	59.09	51.13	0.05	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.26	0.21	81.82	80.91	0.16	0.13
Western Illinois	Sum	0.25	0.15	30.00	31.79	-0.10	-0.05
St. Mary's	WCC	0.25	0.26	86.96	84.62	0.19	0.18
Colorado	B12	0.25	0.20	42.86	40.56	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.25	0.20	33.33	46.80	-0.08	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.22	0.15	82.61	75.26	0.14	0.08
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.19	87.50	83.52	0.16	0.12
Texas Christian	MWC	0.21	0.12	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.21	0.24	19.05	24.00	-0.13	-0.12
Montana	BSky	0.21	0.24	68.18	70.35	0.08	0.10
Wisconsin	B10	0.20	0.12	78.26	78.92	0.12	0.07
Pepperdine	WCC	0.20	0.21	27.27	25.31	-0.09	-0.10
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.20	0.17	69.57	68.48	0.08	0.06
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.18	0.10	23.53	26.10	-0.09	-0.05
Utah	MWC	0.16	0.12	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.09
IUPUI	Sum	0.16	0.09	65.22	67.00	0.05	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.18	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.16	0.15	35.00	33.21	-0.05	-0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.16	0.12	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.16	0.18	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.16	0.15	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.15	0.15	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.17	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.17	95.65	91.32	0.14	0.14
Texas Tech	B12	0.15	0.20	68.18	59.30	0.05	0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.15	0.18	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.15	0.09	31.82	30.34	-0.05	-0.03
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.06
Santa Clara	WCC	0.15	0.12	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.04
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.14	0.11	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.14	0.11	60.00	59.64	0.03	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.13	0.07	68.42	67.04	0.05	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.09	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Utah St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.10	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.04
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.10	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.09	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.09	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.09	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.12	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.11	0.12	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.11	0.12	66.67	69.41	0.04	0.05
Weber St.	BSky	0.11	0.12	61.90	65.04	0.03	0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.09	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.09	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.09	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.12	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.05
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.09	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.10	0.14	22.73	21.40	-0.06	-0.08
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Texas	B12	0.10	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.09	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.05
Pacific	BW	0.10	0.09	68.18	68.10	0.04	0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.10	0.09	33.33	36.45	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.07	21.05	24.96	-0.04	-0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.06	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.06	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.07	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.09	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Washington St.	P10	26.33	26.37	62.50	58.38	6.58	4.42
Stanford	P10	2.97	4.42	45.45	44.00	-0.27	-0.53
Arizona St.	P10	5.09	4.40	63.64	65.51	1.39	1.36
Washington	P10	3.01	4.39	68.18	67.98	1.10	1.58
Oregon	P10	2.87	4.39	52.38	46.66	0.14	-0.29
Oregon St.	P10	2.87	4.39	47.62	41.42	-0.14	-0.75
Arizona	P10	5.04	4.36	57.14	57.49	0.72	0.65
California	P10	2.87	4.36	63.64	66.52	0.78	1.44
Southern California	P10	2.87	4.36	63.64	62.11	0.78	1.06
UCLA	P10	2.87	4.36	45.45	42.39	-0.26	-0.66
Portland St.	BSky	2.47	1.90	40.00	41.11	-0.49	-0.34
Gonzaga	WCC	2.48	1.88	80.95	83.03	1.53	1.24
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.43	1.87	23.81	28.23	-1.27	-0.81
Eastern Washington	BSky	2.49	1.85	19.05	19.89	-1.54	-1.11
San Diego	WCC	2.37	1.84	34.78	34.62	-0.72	-0.57
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.43	1.81	40.91	36.60	-0.44	-0.49
Idaho	WAC	2.32	1.75	47.37	50.11	-0.12	0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	2.32	1.75	45.00	47.05	-0.23	-0.10
Nicholls St.	Slnd	2.32	1.75	23.53	27.62	-1.23	-0.78
Air Force	MWC	2.27	1.72	36.84	31.76	-0.60	-0.63
Kansas St.	B12	2.27	1.72	80.95	78.87	1.41	1.00
Portland	WCC	0.52	0.41	61.90	65.68	0.12	0.13
Seattle	ind	0.32	0.30	45.83	48.87	-0.03	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.37	0.27	30.43	29.01	-0.14	-0.11
St. Mary's	WCC	0.25	0.26	86.96	84.62	0.19	0.18
Idaho St.	BSky	0.21	0.24	19.05	24.00	-0.13	-0.12
Montana	BSky	0.21	0.24	68.18	70.35	0.08	0.10
San Francisco	WCC	0.29	0.23	31.82	32.31	-0.11	-0.08
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.26	0.21	45.00	45.40	-0.03	-0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.26	0.21	81.82	80.91	0.16	0.13
Brigham Young	MWC	0.30	0.21	87.50	87.42	0.23	0.16
Pepperdine	WCC	0.20	0.21	27.27	25.31	-0.09	-0.10
San Diego St.	MWC	0.30	0.21	66.67	67.74	0.10	0.07
Colorado	B12	0.25	0.20	42.86	40.56	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Tech	B12	0.15	0.20	68.18	59.30	0.05	0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.25	0.20	33.33	46.80	-0.08	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.19	87.50	83.52	0.16	0.12
Oklahoma	B12	0.26	0.18	59.09	51.13	0.05	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.16	0.18	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.18	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.15	0.18	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.17	95.65	91.32	0.14	0.14
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.17	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.20	0.17	69.57	68.48	0.08	0.06
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.09
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.22	0.15	82.61	75.26	0.14	0.08
Boise St.	WAC	0.27	0.15	45.45	45.95	-0.02	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.25	0.15	30.00	31.79	-0.10	-0.05
Fresno St.	WAC	0.16	0.15	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.16	0.15	35.00	33.21	-0.05	-0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.15	0.15	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.10	0.14	22.73	21.40	-0.06	-0.08
Utah	MWC	0.16	0.12	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.11	0.12	61.90	65.04	0.03	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.11	0.12	66.67	69.41	0.04	0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.16	0.12	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.21	0.12	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.20	0.12	78.26	78.92	0.12	0.07
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.12	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.11	0.12	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.15	0.12	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.04
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.12	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.05
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.14	0.11	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.14	0.11	60.00	59.64	0.03	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.10	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.18	0.10	23.53	26.10	-0.09	-0.05
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.11	0.10	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.16	0.09	65.22	67.00	0.05	0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.11	0.09	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.09	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.11	0.09	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.09	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.09	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.09	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.09	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.09	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.09	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.10	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Pacific	BW	0.10	0.09	68.18	68.10	0.04	0.03
Texas	B12	0.10	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.05
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
UC Riverside	BW	0.10	0.09	33.33	36.45	-0.03	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.09	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Rice	CUSA	0.15	0.09	31.82	30.34	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.09	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.06
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.07	21.05	24.96	-0.04	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.13	0.07	68.42	67.04	0.05	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.05	0.07	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.06	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.06	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.02	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.10	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.06	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.06	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.06	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.00	0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.06	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Washington St.	P10	26.33	26.37	62.50	58.38	6.58	4.42
Gonzaga	WCC	2.48	1.88	80.95	83.03	1.53	1.24
Kansas St.	B12	2.27	1.72	80.95	78.87	1.41	1.00
Arizona St.	P10	5.09	4.40	63.64	65.51	1.39	1.36
Washington	P10	3.01	4.39	68.18	67.98	1.10	1.58
California	P10	2.87	4.36	63.64	66.52	0.78	1.44
Southern California	P10	2.87	4.36	63.64	62.11	0.78	1.06
Arizona	P10	5.04	4.36	57.14	57.49	0.72	0.65
Brigham Young	MWC	0.30	0.21	87.50	87.42	0.23	0.16
St. Mary's	WCC	0.25	0.26	86.96	84.62	0.19	0.18
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.26	0.21	81.82	80.91	0.16	0.13
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.19	87.50	83.52	0.16	0.12
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.22	0.15	82.61	75.26	0.14	0.08
Kansas	B12	0.15	0.17	95.65	91.32	0.14	0.14
Oregon	P10	2.87	4.39	52.38	46.66	0.14	-0.29
Portland	WCC	0.52	0.41	61.90	65.68	0.12	0.13
Wisconsin	B10	0.20	0.12	78.26	78.92	0.12	0.07
San Diego St.	MWC	0.30	0.21	66.67	67.74	0.10	0.07
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.06
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.20	0.17	69.57	68.48	0.08	0.06
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.04
Montana	BSky	0.21	0.24	68.18	70.35	0.08	0.10
Texas	B12	0.10	0.09	82.61	78.76	0.07	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.15	0.20	68.18	59.30	0.05	0.04
Utah St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.09	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.12	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.16	0.09	65.22	67.00	0.05	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.26	0.18	59.09	51.13	0.05	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.13	0.07	68.42	67.04	0.05	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.10	0.09	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.11	0.12	66.67	69.41	0.04	0.05
Pacific	BW	0.10	0.09	68.18	68.10	0.04	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.14	0.11	60.00	59.64	0.03	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.18	59.09	52.85	0.03	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.11	0.12	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.11	0.12	61.90	65.04	0.03	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.09	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.15	0.15	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00